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Machine Learning Inference of Random Medium Properties

Earth materials are heterogeneous across a range of spatial scales, but the resolvability of small structures is limited by sparse data coverage, noise, bandlimitedness, and other difficulties. In practice, heterogeneities below a certain size cannot be recovered from seismic data except through statistical medium descriptions, which even then can be difficult to uniquely determine. To improve the characterization of such heterogeneities, we develop a novel supervised machine learning (ML) model that provides insight about the recoverability of statistical medium properties from elastic waveform data and succeeds despite cycle-skipping and other challenges well known from elastic waveform inversion. We demonstrate the approach using random media generated by superimposing self-affine random variations on homogeneous and layered background structures. After training on sparsely-recorded, high-frequency waveforms from hundreds of different random medium realizations, we show the ability of our ML model to recover correlation lengths and other statistical properties of interest to near-surface and crustal seismology, among other fields. For frequency passbands and spatial offsets encountered in seismology, Gaussian correlation lengths and the amplitude of the random variations relative to the background model are recovered even in challenging scenarios involving unknown medium parameters, complex crustal structures, and low signal-to-noise ratio. In comparison, von Kármán correlation lengths, which are related to larger-wavelength variations of the medium than Gaussian correlation lengths, are not as well recovered. These results provide one of the first and most systematic investigations of the recoverability of statistical properties of heterogeneities below the resolution limit of deterministic seismic tomography, and suggest practical ML strategies for high-frequency waveform seismology.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Group structure selection with random forests

Choosing an appropriate group structure for multigroup transport is far from an exact science. For some applications, one blindly uses a group structure developed years ago by forgotten methods. Furthermore, one sometimes uses the same group structure for a variety of problems, even if the group structure was originally developed with a certain application in mind. In this work, we create optimized group structures with simulated annealing for critical assembly test problems and apply a random forest regressor with bagging to choose the best group structure based on parameters of the different test problems. The optimized group structures were generated using a simulated annealing optimizer for several simple, spherical, and unreflected problems. The optimization was performed to minimize a cost function that included fission rate, absorption rate, leakage, and k{sub eff}. A random forest regressor was then trained on a set of International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project inputs and used to select one of these six group structures. The trained machine learning model chose the best group structure 65% of the time, and one of the three best 89% of the time. Furthermore, it decreased the L2 error over all test problems by a factor of 25 when compared to the standard Los Alamos 70-group structure. In other words, the model chose group structure that were far more appropriate for the test problems than the traditional LANL group structure. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Phylogenetic structure of specialization: A new approach that integrates partner availability and phylogenetic diversity to quantify biotic specialization in ecological networks

Abstract Biotic specialization holds information about the assembly, evolution, and stability of biological communities. Partner availabilities can play an important role in enabling species interactions, where uneven partner availabilities can bias estimates of biotic specialization when using phylogenetic diversity indices. It is therefore important to account for partner availability when characterizing biotic specialization using phylogenies. We developed an index, phylogenetic structure of specialization (PSS), that avoids bias from uneven partner availabilities by uncoupling the null models for interaction frequency and phylogenetic distance. We incorporate the deviation between observed and random interaction frequencies as weights into the calculation of partner phylogenetic α‐diversity. To calculate the PSS index, we then compare observed partner phylogenetic α‐diversity to a null distribution generated by randomizing phylogenetic distances among the same number of partners. PSS quantifies the phylogenetic structure (i.e., clustered, overdispersed, or random) of the partners of a focal species. We show with simulations that the PSS index is not correlated with network properties, which allows comparisons across multiple systems. We also implemented PSS on empirical networks of host–parasite, avian seed‐dispersal, lichenized fungi–cyanobacteria, and hummingbird pollination interactions. Across these systems, a large proportion of taxa interact with phylogenetically random partners according to PSS, sometimes to a larger extent than detected with an existing method that does not account for partner availability. We also found that many taxa interact with phylogenetically clustered partners, while taxa with overdispersed partners were rare. We argue that species with phylogenetically overdispersed partners have often been misinterpreted as generalists when they should be considered specialists. Our results highlight the important role of randomness in shaping interaction networks, even in highly intimate symbioses, and provide a much‐needed quantitative framework to assess the role that evolutionary history and symbiotic specialization play in shaping patterns of biodiversity. PSS is available as an R package at https://github.com/cjpardodelahoz/pss .

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Photocatalytic Hydrogen Evolution Using Mesoporous Honeycomb Iron Titanate

Mesoporous honeycomb iron titanate using a sol-gel, evaporation-induced self-assembly method is synthesized. A triblock copolymer, F127, serves as a structure-directing agents, with iron chloride and titanium (IV) isopropoxide as inorganic precursors. The strong intermolecular force of attraction among urea, metal precursors, and polymer led to the formation of the mesoporous honeycomb structure. The study of physicochemical properties using different techniques reveals the formation of microstructures with a remarkable degree of porosity. The amorphous iron titanate outperforms the photochemical generation of H 2 due to its disorderly structural arrangement and incomplete crystal formation. The randomness on the structure provides more area for catalytic reaction by providing more contact with the reactant and superior light absorption capability. The high amount of hydrogen gas, 40.66 mmolg -1 h -1 , is observed in the investigation over 3 h of activity for the iron titanate honeycomb sample. This yield is a more significant amount compared to the obtained for the commercially available TiO 2 (23.78 mmolg -1 h -1 ). The iron titanate materials synthesized with low-cost materials and methods are very effective and have the potential for hydrogen generation.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

Synchrotron CT imaging of lattice structures with engineered defects

Understanding mechanical failure, crack propagation, and compressive behavior at the micrometer scale is essential for tailoring material properties for structural performance in cellular materials. Typically, modeling of traditional polymer foam materials is clouded by the lack of control in material morphology and its inherent stochastic structure. Additive manufacturing with sub-micrometer resolution provides a direct path for experimenters to specifically tailor structures needed by modelers to explicitly probe mechanical performance. Using laboratory-based 3D X-ray computed tomographic imaging (CT), the examination of deformation and damage provides a critical path to understand how these soft materials behave. Additionally, synchrotron CT yields realistic information at higher strain rates to directly validate the robustness of our finite element modeling. For this study, nanolithographic printing was employed to generate a series of engineered lattices with increasing levels of defects through the random removal of ligaments. These structures were mechanically tested and imaged with laboratory-based microCT. Additionally, synchrotron experiments were conducted in which the structures were imaged in 3D at 14 Hz during compression at a 0.4 s –1 strain rate. These 3D images show the changes in the structure as the ligaments bend, buckle and fracture in real time. This technique provides a robust framework for developing our methodologies and future exploration of engineered structures.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A graph embedding‐based approach for automatic cyber‐physical power system risk assessment to prevent and mitigate threats at scale

Abstract Power systems are facing an increasing number of cyber incidents, potentially leading to damaging consequences to both physical and cyber aspects. However, the development of analytical methods for the study of large‐scale power infrastructures as cyber‐physical systems is still in its early stages. Drawing inspiration from machine‐learning techniques, the authors introduce a method inspired by the principles of graph embedding that is tailored for quantitative risk assessment and the exploration of possible mitigation strategies of large‐scale cyber‐physical power systems. The primary advantage of the graph embedding approach lies in its ability to generate numerous random walks on a graph, simulating potential access paths. Meanwhile, it enables capturing high‐dimensional structures in low‐dimensional spaces, facilitating advanced machine‐learning applications, and ensuring scalability and adaptability for comprehensive network analysis. By employing this graph embedding‐based approach, the authors present a structured and methodical framework for risk assessment in cyber‐physical systems. The proposed graph embedding‐based risk analysis framework aims to provide a more insightful perspective on cyber‐physical risk assessment and situation awareness for power systems. To validate and demonstrate its applicability, the method has been tested on two cyber‐physical power system models: the Western System Coordinating Council (WSCC) 9‐Bus System and the Illinois 200‐Bus System , thereby showing its advantages in enhancing the accuracy of risk analysis and comprehensiveness of situational awareness.

Sun, Shining↗

FY21 Progress Report: SRNL Analysis of ICCWR LCM and WAMS data for Corrosion and Cracking

The development of algorithms for machine learning and data analysis for the 3013 Surveillance Program is a collaborative effort by the Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) and the University of South Carolina (USC). For corrosion detection, Laser Confocal Microscope (LCM) or Wide Area 3D Measurement System (WAMS) data is extracted from large binary files, with software written to convert the data to physical attributes (e.g., height, color and grayscale values; all as functions of a location in a plane projection). A user-friendly Matlab Graphical User Interface (GUI) that reads data from either LCM or WAMS files was developed to integrate input data with software developed for processing and evaluation. The GUI can selectively download binary data, interrogate data attributes, label data, flag significant features, execute Machine Learning (ML) algorithms, output parameters for trained ML algorithms, report ML model accuracy with respect to labeled data, and generate graphical representations for various analyses. Features can be called out by user-specified thresholds, manual labeling or machine learning algorithms when they have been completed. The ability to rapidly label data is important because of the volume of data required for training machine learning algorithms. The GUI has the flexibility to allow addition of improved ML algorithms, methods for data visualization, and statistical computations. Statistical analyses via the GUI include areas of pits within a defined range of pit depths, correlations between Red-Green-Blue (RGB) or grayscale intensity and relative surface height, covariances between values associated with features, and feature histograms. The development of supervised machine learning algorithms, however, has been hindered by a lack of training data. The machine learning algorithms for crack identification are being refined but require improvements to the true positive rate for crack detection. This shortcoming is an artifact of the limited training data currently available, perhaps more so than the structure of the neural networks. At present, the best results are had from a consensus over an ensemble of randomly generated Deep Neural Network (DNN) or Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) algorithms. Although the consensus accuracy method has yielded optimum true positive and true negative rates in excess of 80%, additional validation testing is necessary. In addition to the suite of LCM data that was initially used, and which represents the majority of the work presented in this report, WAMS image data was also reviewed at a preliminary level. The review included a comparison between image resolution and dynamic range for each method. WAMS (ZON file) image data was found to have a pixel pitch of 3.69μm compared to 1 μm for the LCM (vk4 file) data, which implies a lower resolution for the WAMS images. Conversely, the ratio of dynamic range of the WAMS data to the LCM data was approximately 41:20 for height data, suggesting that information from WAMS should more accurately determine the depth of pits. At present, the significance of the greater dynamic range of the WAMS data relative to the LCM data has not yet been evaluated.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Posiform planting: generating QUBO instances for benchmarking

We are interested in benchmarking both quantum annealing and classical algorithms for minimizing quadratic unconstrained binary optimization (QUBO) problems. Such problems are NP-hard in general, implying that the exact minima of randomly generated instances are hard to find and thus typically unknown. While brute forcing smaller instances is possible, such instances are typically not interesting due to being too easy for both quantum and classical algorithms. In this contribution, we propose a novel method, called posiform planting , for generating random QUBO instances of arbitrary size with known optimal solutions, and use those instances to benchmark the sampling quality of four D-Wave quantum annealers utilizing different interconnection structures (Chimera, Pegasus, and Zephyr hardware graphs) and the simulated annealing algorithm. Posiform planting differs from many existing methods in two key ways. It ensures the uniqueness of the planted optimal solution, thus avoiding groundstate degeneracy, and it enables the generation of QUBOs that are tailored to a given hardware connectivity structure, provided that the connectivity is not too sparse. Posiform planted QUBOs are a type of 2-SAT boolean satisfiability combinatorial optimization problems. Our experiments demonstrate the capability of the D-Wave quantum annealers to sample the optimal planted solution of combinatorial optimization problems with up to 5, 627 qubits.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

A Computational Framework to design 3D stiffness gradient acoustic metamaterials for impedance matching

Acoustic waves play a crucial role in various applications, including medical imaging, non-destructive testing, and sonar systems. One of the significant challenges in these applications is impedance matching, which is essential for minimizing reflections and maximizing the transfer of acoustic energy between different media. Acoustic metamaterials offer a promising solution to this challenge. In addition to impedance control, gradient stiffness can enhance structural efficiency and enable spatial control of wave propagation, making it a valuable feature in acoustic metamaterial design. In this pa- per, we present our developed computational method to design 3D stiffness gradient acoustic metamaterials for impedance matching. The key steps in our approach include generating initial designs using a periodic covariance function to provide unit cells that are both periodic on the boundaries and randomly formed inside the unit cell. Furthermore, we integrated manufacturing constraints into the design process, ensuring that the structures are interconnected for fabrication. We propose two computational optimization algorithms: GenUnit, based on a non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm (NSGA-II), and MLMatch, which leverages differentiable machine learning. The two approaches are not separate contributions but complementary com- ponents of a unified framework. GenUnit requires no training data and directly interfaces with physics-based simulations, making it highly accurate but slower for large-scale exploration. In contrast, MLMatch is data-hungry during training but, once trained, enables near-instantaneous inference and broad design-space coverage. Together, they form a hybrid strategy: ML- Match rapidly explores the global design space, and GenUnit provides local refinement with high-fidelity accuracy. This balance between training cost, inference time, and precision is the motivation for including both methods in the same study. We applied this dual-algorithm framework to generate two metallic-based metamaterial designs that match the acoustic impedance of water while exhibiting a controlled gradient in stiffness (from stiff to soft). The stiffness gradient is particularly advantageous in applications where one side of the structure must interface with soft or sensitive surfaces, such as human tissue or delicate components. Here, this work paves the way for improved materials in various acoustic applications, particularly in ultrasound devices, by providing better impedance.

Metamaterial↗

Establishing metrics to quantify spatial similarity in spherical and red blood cell distributions

As computational power increases and systems with millions of red blood cells can be simulated, it is important to note that varying spatial distributions of cells may affect simulation outcomes. Since a single simulation may not represent the ensemble behavior, many different configurations may need to be sampled to adequately assess the entire collection of potential cell arrangements. In order to determine both the number of distributions needed and which ones to run, we must first establish methods to identify well-generated, randomly placed cell distributions and to quantify distinct cell configurations. We utilize metrics to assess (1) the presence of any underlying structure to the initial cell distribution and (2) similarity between cell configurations. We propose the use of the radial distribution function to identify long-range structure in a cell configuration and apply it to a randomly distributed and structured set of red blood cells. To quantify spatial similarity between two configurations, we make use of the Jaccard index, and characterize sets of red blood cell and sphere initializations. As an extension to our work submitted to the International Conference on Computational Science, we significantly increase our data set size from 72 to 1048 cells, include a similar set of studies using spheres, compare the effects of varying sphere size, and utilize the Jaccard index distribution to probe sets of extremely similar configurations. Our results show that the radial distribution function can be used as a metric to determine long-range structure in both distributions of spheres and RBCs. We determine that the ideal case of spheres within a cube versus bi-concave shaped cells within a cylinder affects the shape of the Jaccard index distributions, as well as the range of Jaccard values, showing that both the shape of particle and the domain may play a role. Furthermore, we also find that the distribution is able to capture very similar configurations through Jaccard index values greater than 95% when appending several nearly identical configurations into the data set.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Complexity-calibrated benchmarks for machine learning reveal when prediction algorithms succeed and mislead

Abstract Recurrent neural networks are used to forecast time series in finance, climate, language, and from many other domains. Reservoir computers are a particularly easily trainable form of recurrent neural network. Recently, a “next-generation” reservoir computer was introduced in which the memory trace involves only a finite number of previous symbols. We explore the inherent limitations of finite-past memory traces in this intriguing proposal. A lower bound from Fano’s inequality shows that, on highly non-Markovian processes generated by large probabilistic state machines, next-generation reservoir computers with reasonably long memory traces have an error probability that is at least $$\sim 60\%$$ ∼ 60 % higher than the minimal attainable error probability in predicting the next observation. More generally, it appears that popular recurrent neural networks fall far short of optimally predicting such complex processes. These results highlight the need for a new generation of optimized recurrent neural network architectures. Alongside this finding, we present concentration-of-measure results for randomly-generated but complex processes. One conclusion is that large probabilistic state machines—specifically, large $$\epsilon$$ ϵ -machines—are key to generating challenging and structurally-unbiased stimuli for ground-truthing recurrent neural network architectures.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Energy metric prediction for double insertion mutants via the RoseNet deep learning framework

Studying the structural and functional implications of protein mutations is an important task in computational biology and bioinformatics. We leverage our previously proposed RoseNet neural network architecture to predict energy metrics of proteins with double amino acid insertions or deletions (InDels). We train models on previously generated benchmark datasets containing the exhaustive double InDel mutations for three proteins, as well as an additional three proteins for which ∼145k random mutants, each with two InDels, have been generated. We expand on our previous work by evaluating three additional proteins and analyzing domain features that impact the prediction capabilities of RoseNet. These features include InDels into secondary structures and the solvent accessible surface area (SASA) scores of the residues. We uncover further evidence to support that RoseNet has a higher proficiency of generalizing to unseen residue combinations than unseen insertion positions. We also observe that RoseNet produces higher-quality predictions when inserting into a β-sheet over an α-helix. Additionally, when the insertions fall in an area of high SASA, RoseNet often displays better performance than inserting into areas of low SASA.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Modeling and simulations of hydrodynamic shocks in a plasma flowing across randomized ICF scale laser beams

High-energy laser beams interacting with flowing plasmas can produce a plasma response that leads to deflection of the beam, beam bending. Such beams have usually a speckle structure generated by optical smoothing techniques that reduce the spatial and temporal coherence in the laser field pattern. The cumulative plasma response from laser speckles slows down the velocity of the incoming flow by momentum conservation. For slightly super-sonic flow the cumulative plasma response to the ponderomotive force exerted by the beam speckle ensemble is the strongest, such that slowing down the flow to subsonic velocities leads eventually to the generation of a shock around the cross section of the beam. This scenario has been predicted theoretically and is confirmed here by our hydrodynamic simulations in two dimensions with speckled beams and in one dimension with a reduced model. The conditions of shock generation are given in terms of the ponderomotive pressure, speckle size and the flow velocity. The nonlinear properties of the shocks are analyzed using Rankine–Hugoniot relations. According to linear theory, temporally smoothed laser beams exhibit a higher threshold for shock generation. Numerical simulations with beams that are smoothed by spectral dispersion compare well with the linear theory results, diverging from those produced by beams with only a random phase plates in the nonlinear regime. The conditions necessary for shock generation and their effects on the laser plasma coupling in inertial confinement fusion (ICF) experiments are also discussed.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Effects of irradiation damage on the elastic properties and hardness of complex transition metal diborides

Multi-principal component transition metal (TM) diborides represent a class of high-entropy ceramics (HECs) that have received considerable interest in recent years owing to their promising properties for extreme environment applications that include thermal/ environmental barriers, hypersonic vehicles, turbine engines, and next-generation nuclear reactors. While the addition of chemical disorder through the random distribution of TM elements on the cation sublattice has offered opportunities to tailor elastic stiffness and hardness, the effects of irradiationinduced structural damage on the physical properties of these complex materials have remained largely unexplored. To this end, changes in the hardness and elastic moduli of a high-entropy TM diboride (Hf0.2Nb0.2Ta0.2Ti0.2Zr0.2)B2 and three of its quaternary subsets following irradiation with 10 MeV gold (Au) ions to fluences of up to 6 × 10^15 Au cm-2 are investigated at the micrometer and sub-micrometer length-scales via the dispersion of laser-generated surface acoustic waves (SAW) and nanoindentation, respectively. The nanoindentation measurements show that the TM diborides exhibit an initial increase in hardness following irradiation with energetic Au ions, with a subsequent decrease in hardness following further irradiation. One quaternary composition, (Hf1/3Ta1/3Ti1/3)B2, exhibits a notable exception to the trend and continues to exhibit an increase in hardness with ion irradiation fluence. Although differences in the absolute values of the effective elastic moduli obtained from the measured SAW dispersion and nanoindentation are observed (and attributed to microstructural variations at the measurement length-scale), both techniques yield similar trends in the form of an initial reduction and subsequent saturation in the elastic modulus with increasing ion irradiation fluence. The quaternary TM diboride (Hf1/3Ta1/3Ti1/3)B2 again exhibits a departure from this trend. The high-entropy TM diboride (Hf0.2Nb0.2Ta0.2Ti0.2Zr0.2)B2 exhibits the greatest recovery in hardness and modulus when irradiated to high ion fluences following initial changes at low fluence, indicating superior resistance to radiation-induced damage over its quaternary counterparts. Opportunities for designing HECs with superior hardness and modulus for enhanced radiation resistance (compared to their single constituent counterparts) by tailoring chemical disorder and bond character in the lattice are discussed.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Large-Area Lasing in Nanoscale Complex Media: The Critical Role of Local Dielectric Environment

Controlling how electromagnetic waves interact with complex media is critical for applications in imaging and focusing. Such lightwave interactions with complex media can lead to dramatic optical effects like lasing. While much work in random lasing focus on understanding how gain and scattering co-operatively generate lasing, little work has focused on how to manipulate the lasing threshold without modifying the structural disorder. Here, a simple, mostly unexplored, strategy is demonstrated that employs atomic layer deposition (ALD) to tune the local near-field environment while preserving the underpinning disorder—controlling lasing in a nanoscale complex medium on a large scale (>cm 2 ). The nanoscale complex medium is a quasi-2D system of coupled zinc oxide nanospheres with overall thickness deep in the sub-wavelength regime (≈λ/4). Near-ultraviolet femtosecond spectroscopy probes the broadband response of the gain nanomaterial, details how ALD process fundamentally modifies the fast-picosecond and slow-nanosecond carrier dynamics, and informs on the relevant timescales critical for lasing. Full-field electromagnetic simulations provide critical insights about how near-field dielectric environment modifies the nanostructure's scattering cross-section, which ultimately results in enhanced lasing. Importantly, these results highlight a simple path to control how electromagnetic waves interact in a complex medium, a key step toward large-scale implementation of complex lasers.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Autonomous reinforcement learning agent for stretchable kirigami design of 2D materials

Abstract Mechanical behavior of 2D materials such as MoS 2 can be tuned by the ancient art of kirigami. Experiments and atomistic simulations show that 2D materials can be stretched more than 50% by strategic insertion of cuts. However, designing kirigami structures with desired mechanical properties is highly sensitive to the pattern and location of kirigami cuts. We use reinforcement learning (RL) to generate a wide range of highly stretchable MoS 2 kirigami structures. The RL agent is trained by a small fraction (1.45%) of molecular dynamics simulation data, randomly sampled from a search space of over 4 million candidates for MoS 2 kirigami structures with 6 cuts. After training, the RL agent not only proposes 6-cut kirigami structures that have stretchability above 45%, but also gains mechanistic insight to propose highly stretchable (above 40%) kirigami structures consisting of 8 and 10 cuts from a search space of billion candidates as zero-shot predictions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Quantum annealing-assisted lattice optimization

High Entropy Alloys (HEAs) have drawn great interest due to their exceptional properties compared to conventional materials. The configuration of HEA system is considered a key to their superior properties, but exhausting all possible configurations of atom coordinates and species to find the ground energy state is extremely challenging. In this work, we proposed a quantum annealing-assisted lattice optimization (QALO) algorithm, which is an active learning framework that integrates the Field-aware Factorization Machine (FFM) as the surrogate model for lattice energy prediction, Quantum Annealing (QA) as an optimizer and Machine Learning Potential (MLP) for ground truth energy calculation. By applying our algorithm to the NbMoTaW alloy, we reproduced the Nb depletion and W enrichment observed in bulk HEA. We found our optimized HEAs to have superior mechanical properties compared to the randomly generated alloy configurations. Our algorithm highlights the potential of quantum computing in materials design and discovery, laying a foundation for further exploring and optimizing structure-property relationships.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

GRB 221009A: Discovery of an Exceptionally Rare Nearby and Energetic Gamma-Ray Burst

We report the discovery of the unusually bright long-duration gamma-ray burst (GRB), GRB 221009A, as observed by the Neil Gehrels Swift Observatory (Swift), Monitor of All-sky X-ray Image, and Neutron Star Interior Composition Explorer Mission. This energetic GRB was located relatively nearby (z = 0.151), allowing for sustained observations of the afterglow. The large X-ray luminosity and low Galactic latitude (b = 4$^°_.$3) make GRB 221009A a powerful probe of dust in the Milky Way. Using echo tomography, we map the line-of-sight dust distribution and find evidence for significant column densities at large distances (≳10 kpc). We present analysis of the light curves and spectra at X-ray and UV–optical wavelengths, and find that the X-ray afterglow of GRB 221009A is more than an order of magnitude brighter at T 0 + 4.5 ks than that from any previous GRB observed by Swift. In its rest frame, GRB 221009A is at the high end of the afterglow luminosity distribution, but not uniquely so. In a simulation of randomly generated bursts, only 1 in 10 4 long GRBs were as energetic as GRB 221009A; such a large E γ,iso implies a narrow jet structure, but the afterglow light curve is inconsistent with simple top-hat jet models. Using the sample of Swift GRBs with redshifts, we estimate that GRBs as energetic and nearby as GRB 221009A occur at a rate of ≲1 per 1000 yr—making this a truly remarkable opportunity unlikely to be repeated in our lifetime.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗