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Long-Term field testing of the accuracy and HVAC energy savings potential of occupancy presence sensors in A Single-Family home

The energy-saving potential of occupancy-centric smart thermostats has been extensively explored in simulations but lacked field testing for energy savings quantification and sensor performance assessment in real buildings. This paper presents a long-term field study conducted in a single-family home in Texas, U.S. to evaluate the performance of occupancy-centric controls (OCC) of HVAC (heating, ventilation, and air-conditioning) system in terms of energy savings, sensor accuracy, and impact on electric peak demand. The test site was equipped with a commercial off-the-shelf (COTS) smart thermostat and multiple occupancy presence sensors for OCC implementation. Additionally, a sub-metering system was installed to monitor electricity consumption of various end-use equipment, including the HVAC system. A supplementary device was installed to track the ground-truth occupancy for the accuracy evaluation of the occupancy presence sensor. Scenarios of baseline and OCC controls were alternated weekly over the 20-month testing period. The results indicated an effective OCC execution, as evidenced by indoor temperature profiles. During the 2023 cooling season, OCC achieved total energy savings of 1,958 kWh, corresponding to a 17.6% energy savings ratio. Under certain conditions, daily HVAC energy savings reached as high as 17 kWh, with a savings ratio of 35%. Sensor performance showed an overall accuracy of 83.8%, a False Positive Rate (FPR) of 12.8%, and a False Negative Rate (FNR) of 47.4%. A key limitation was the sensor’s inability to detect stationary occupants during sleep, leading to a midnight FNR of nearly 100% and significantly compromising thermal comfort. Additionally, the implementation of OCC resulted in extended periods of high electricity demand on summer afternoons, affecting occupant’s thermal comfort and posing potential challenges to community-level grid operations if OCC were widely adopted. Furthermore, this study addresses a critical research gap by empirically investigating energy-saving potential and occupancy sensor performance in residential buildings. Through a comprehensive field-testing study, the research examines the interrelationship between sensor accuracy, energy savings, and thermal comfort, an area that has received limited attention in the current literature.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI

Equation-of-motion internally contracted multireference unitary coupled-cluster theory

The accurate computation of excited states remains a challenge in electronic structure theory, especially for systems with a ground state that requires a multireference treatment. In this work, we introduce a novel equation-of-motion (EOM) extension of the internally contracted multireference unitary coupled-cluster framework (ic-MRUCC), termed EOM-ic-MRUCC. EOM-ic-MRUCC follows the transform-then-diagonalize approach, in analogy to its non-unitary counterpart. By employing a projective approach to optimize the ground state, the method retains additive separability and proper scaling with system size. We show that excitation energies are size-intensive if the EOM operator satisfies the “killer” and the projective conditions. Furthermore, we propose to represent changes in the reference state upon electron excitation via projected many-body operators that span the active orbitals and show that the EOM equations formulated in this way are invariant with respect to active orbital rotations. We test the EOM-ic-MRUCC method truncated to single and double excitations by computing the potential energy curves for several excited states of a BeH2 model system, the HF molecule, and water undergoing symmetric dissociation. Across these systems, our method delivers accurate excitation energies and potential energy curves within 5 mE h (∼0.14 eV) from full configuration interaction. Here, we find that truncating the Baker–Campbell–Hausdorff series to fourfold commutators contributes negligible errors (on the order of 10 −5 E h or less), offering a practical route to highly accurate excited-state calculations with reduced computational overhead.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS

MBX V1.2: Accelerating Data-Driven Many-Body Molecular Dynamics Simulations

The MBX software provides an advanced platform for molecular dynamics simulations, leveraging state-of-the-art MB-pol and MB-nrg data-driven many-body potential energy functions. Developed over the past decade, these potential energy functions integrate physics-based and machine-learned many-body terms trained on electronic structure data calculated at the "gold standard" coupled-cluster level of theory. Recent advancements in MBX have focused on optimizing its performance, resulting in the release of MBX v1.2. While the inherently many-body nature of MB-pol and MB-nrg ensures high accuracy, it poses computational challenges. MBX v1.2 addresses these challenges with significant performance improvements, including enhanced parallelism that fully harnesses the power of modern multicore CPUs. In conclusion, these advancements enable simulations on nanosecond time scales for condensed-phase systems, significantly expanding the scope of high-accuracy, predictive simulations of complex molecular systems powered by data-driven many-body potential energy functions.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH

Geothermal Power Systems Analysis: Outcome of Industry Stakeholders Workshop

Geothermal cost and performance evaluation implemented via techno-economic assessment (TEA) modeling is critical for the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) and other geothermal industry stakeholders in assessing the current state of geothermal technologies and to identify existing hurdles to commercially viable geothermal development. The Geothermal Electricity Technology Evaluation Model (GETEM) is a major TEA tool used in estimating the economic feasibility and levelized cost of energy (LCOE) of conventional hydrothermal systems and enhanced geothermal systems (EGS). Since 2021, GETEM has been transitioning from an intricate spreadsheet model to a user-friendly tool within the System Advisor Model (SAM) developed by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL). Apart from enabling an expanded visibility of the geothermal model among other renewable resources, having GETEM in SAM has the advantage of simulation automation, better usability, updates tracking, active user inputs/feedback, and extended financial modeling. GETEM is used in developing supply curves for NREL's Annual Technology Baseline (ATB), which provides inputs to the Renewable Energy Potential (reV) and the Regional Energy Deployment System (ReEDS) models. The geothermal module in NREL's reV model assesses the geothermal energy potential in the conterminous United States by defining the geospatial intersection of geothermal resources with existing grid infrastructure within the constraint of land use characteristics. The ReEDS model is a capacity expansion model used for simulating the long-term build-out and operation of the U.S. generation and transmission system based on current energy costs and policies. To ensure enhanced representation of current industry trends in our model transitions and development, we organized a two-day virtual workshop to elicit geothermal industry stakeholder input and recommendations on our current approaches and assumptions on techno-economic, resource assessment, and deployment scenarios modeling of geothermal technologies. Participants included developers, operators, investors, regulatory agencies, system modelers, national laboratory researchers, consultants, and other stakeholders. In this workshop, we gained stakeholder insights on current geothermal plant performance (i.e., capacity factors), updated drilling costs and learning curves, and next-generation technologies such as closed-loop and superhot rock geothermal. Other outcomes from this workshop and its impact on future geothermal development feasibility, resource availability, and capacity expansion studies are compiled and discussed.

annual technology baseline

Colorado Alternatively Powered Aircraft Airport Infrastructure Study

Advanced Air Mobility encompasses emerging technologies in propulsion of general aviation and commuter aircraft for the purpose of moving passengers and goods. The State of Colorado has a strong aerospace and aviation legacy, and this research explores the potential energy implications of a transition from traditional aircraft propulsion systems to more-electric, full electric and hydrogen powered aircraft in flight schools, and small community air service utilizing NASA's Regional Air Mobility Model. Effort includes identifying potential energy needs and cost-effective solutions to support those emerging needs analyzing potential benefits on on-site generation and storage to optimize energy systems.Advanced Air Mobility encompasses emerging technologies in propulsion of general aviation and commuter aircraft for the purpose of moving passengers and goods. The State of Colorado has a strong aerospace and aviation legacy, and this research explores the potential energy implications of a transition from traditional aircraft propulsion systems to more-electric, full electric and hydrogen powered aircraft in flight schools, and small community air service utilizing NASA's Regional Air Mobility Model. Effort includes identifying potential energy needs and cost-effective solutions to support those emerging needs analyzing potential benefits on on-site generation and storage to optimize energy systems.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS

Energy Evolution from the Chromosphere to the Heliosphere in the 2021 October 28 Solar Eruption

We perform a detailed study of the energetics for a well-observed solar eruption and flare that occurred on 2021 October 28. This event included a GOES class X1.0 flare, a global extreme-UV (EUV) wave, and a coronal mass ejection (CME) that reached speeds of >2000 km s −1 . The event was observed from a variety of spacecraft in NASA’s Heliophysics System Observatory, including multiple missions near Earth, STEREO-A off the Sun-Earth line, and Solar Orbiter, near the Sun-Earth line at about 0.8 au. Using remote sensing, in situ observations, and in some cases scaling laws based on previous observations, we characterize the following quantities: free magnetic energy, energy in nonthermal electrons, energy in nonthermal ions, bolometric energy, energy deposited in the chromosphere, thermal energy radiated in the flare loops, energy dissipated by the EUV wave, CME kinetic and gravitational potential energy, CME energy flux in the heliosphere, and the energy partition in the CME shock. We find that the total energy released during the event is consistent with estimates of the pre-event stored magnetic energy, and the CME kinetic + potential energy dominates the energy partition.

solar coronal mass ejection shocks

Robustness of inflation to kinetic inhomogeneities

We investigate the effects of large inhomogeneities in both the inflaton field and its momentum. We find that in general, large kinetic perturbations reduce the number of e-folds of inflation. In particular, we observe that inflationary models with sub-Planckian characteristic scales are not robust even to kinetic energy densities that are sub-dominant to the potential energy density, unless the initial field configuration is sufficiently far from the minimum. This strengthens the results of our previous work. In inflationary models with super-Planckian characteristic scales, despite a reduction in the number of e-folds, inflation is robust even when the potential energy density is initially sub-dominant. For the cases we study, the robustness of inflation strongly depends on whether the inflaton field is driven into the reheating phase by the inhomogeneous scalar dynamics.

gravity

Pressure-dependent kinetics of cyclopentene consumption

Recent experiments have uncovered deficiencies in the ability of current kinetic models for cyclopentane combustion to predict species profiles as a function of O2 concentration. One likely source of these discrepancies flows from the limited availability of relevant kinetic data for key functionalized intermediates, requiring the use of distant analogies to estimate their rates. This work fills this gap for cyclopentene, the most prominent C5 intermediate in low-temperature cyclopentane combustion. Ab initio transition-state-theory based master equation methods are used to calculate pressure-dependent rate constants across four potential energy surfaces (C5H8 + OH, C5H8 + HO2, C5H7, and C5H7 + O2). Potential energy surfaces are characterized at the CCSD(T)-F12/cc-pVDZ-F12//revDSD-PBEP86-D3BJ/def2-TZVPP level of theory. Pressure-dependent rate constants and branching fractions are determined via 1D master equation calculations. The results are used to analyze the competition for radicals between cyclopentene and cyclopentane in the intermediate temperature region, and to identify the dominant pathways flowing from these initiation channels. On the OH initiation surface, we find good agreement with recently published experimental rate constants at high temperature, and we elucidate the complex temperature dependence below 800 K, where 𝜋𝜋 addition becomes prominent. On the HO2 initiation surface, we find an interesting alternative route to bicyclic ether formation via well-skipping over the HO2 adduct well. On the cyclopentenyl radical surface, the major product is cyclopentadiene plus H. On the cyclopentenyl + O2 surface, we find that resonance stabilization largely prevents the allylic radical from undergoing oxidation, whereas the alkylic radical has a somewhat elevated propensity for oxidation pathways relative to cyclopentyl.

ab initio calculations

Long-Range Interaction between Molecules with Electronic Degeneracy: Beyond the Born–Oppenheimer Approximation

Long-range intermolecular interaction plays an essential role in (ultra)cold collisions. For monomers with degenerate electronic states, an accurate description of the long-range interaction can be challenging due to the potential breakdown of the Born–Oppenheimer approximation. In this work, we developed a general method to construct long-range interaction potential energy surfaces (IPESs) between arbitrary molecules using the degenerate perturbation theory of Schrödinger. To further simplify the application of this method, a group-theoretical method is introduced to identify nonzero components of electrostatic properties of monomers, especially for the nonlinear molecules. To demonstrate this approach, we report the long-range IPESs of the O( 3 P)–OH( 2 Π) and OH( 2 Π)–OH( 2 Π) systems. The excellent agreement with ab initio calculations in large separations, even near electronic degeneracies, confirms the accuracy of our approach. The method is expected to lay the groundwork for the accurate investigation of (ultra)cold collisional dynamics involving open-shell species.

ab initio calculations

Controlling Interfacial Charge Separation Energetics and Kinetics

The overall goal is to probe electron transfer kinetics of the Marcus inverted region at interfaces. This project specifically uses a dye‐semiconductor interface with a reversible electron transfer reagent in solution where the semiconductor conduction band and electron transfer reagent ideally have a potential energy difference firmly within the Marcus inverted region. The goals of this project are: (Goal 1) Identify dye design elements that give dyes with low energy ground‐state oxidation potentials while retaining desirable electron transfer kinetics at the semiconductor interface. (Goal 2) Identify dye designs with excited‐state oxidation potentials set to fixed energies through molecular design while the dye ground‐state oxidation potentials are varied to allow for the evaluation of varied electron transfer reagents/redox shuttles (RS) with different free energies for electron transfer. (Goal 3) Within the context of the functionality identified in goals 1 and 2, goal 3 seeks to design dyes with features maximizing charge carrier lifetimes by minimizing recombination losses at metal oxide interfaces with high voltage systems. (Goal 4) Probe electron transfer kinetics in a high voltage‐dye sensitized solar cell with both the oxidized dye and RS firmly within the Marcus inverted region with regard to the TiO2 CB. (Goal 5) Identify tailored sensitizer/redox shuttle pairs with desirable electron transfer kinetics in defined spectral regions capable of “banding off” incident solar irradiation to give high voltage multijunction systems capable of exceeding the Shockley‐Queisser limit and powering catalytic processes.

14 SOLAR ENERGY

Many roads to the seam: How conformational flexibility drives nonadiabatic relaxation in a prototypical tetrapyrrolic chromophore

Large and structurally flexible chromophores pose challenges for in silico modeling of photodeactivation due to the many vibrational modes that can funnel the system toward energy degeneracy. In this work, we examine how the multiple degrees of freedom in biliverdin, a prototypical tetrapyrrolic chromophore, cooperate to drive access to the S 1 /S 0 intersection seam in vacuo. We begin by mapping the ground-state potential energy surface to identify representative biliverdin conformers relevant to photoexcitation. We then use a CASSCF-based framework to map the excited-state landscape and characterize the intersection seam, identifying distinct conical-intersection types. Finally, we employ ab initio multiple spawning to resolve the dynamical pathways by which the system accesses these regions. DFT potential-energy and free-energy mappings indicate that, although several conformers are relevant, the “locked-helix” ZsZsZs conformer predominates in the ground state. The intersection seam comprises numerous geometrically distinct regions characterized by varying degrees and combinations of dihedral torsion, pyramidalization, and bond-length alternation. Yet only select regions lie within energetic reach, and moderate barriers separate them from the S 1 minimum. Nonadiabatic dynamics combined with multivariate analyses show that, despite extensive mode coupling during deactivation that guides the system toward multiple regions of the seam, a single dihedral torsion, together with bond-length alternation, predominantly drives energy degeneracy. This work offers new insight into biliverdin’s intrinsic photochemical response and underscores a general feature of flexible chromophores: many modes may participate during photorelaxation, but only a limited subset ultimately dictates seam accessibility.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH

Numerical simulations of three-dimensional ion crystal dynamics in a Penning trap using the fast multipole method

We simulate the dynamics, including laser cooling, of three-dimensional (3-D) ion crystals confined in a Penning trap using a newly developed molecular dynamics-like code. The numerical integration of the ions’ equations of motion is accelerated using the fast multipole method to calculate the Coulomb interaction between ions, which allows us to efficiently study large ion crystals with thousands of ions. In particular, we show that the simulation time scales linearly with ion number, rather than with the square of the ion number. By treating the ions’ absorption of photons as a Poisson process, we simulate individual photon scattering events to study laser cooling of 3-D ellipsoidal ion crystals. Initial simulations suggest that these crystals can be efficiently cooled to ultracold temperatures, aided by the mixing of the easily cooled axial motional modes with the low frequency planar modes. In our simulations of a spherical crystal of 1000 ions, the planar kinetic energy is cooled to several millikelvin in a few milliseconds while the axial kinetic energy and total potential energy are cooled even further. This suggests that 3-D ion crystals could be well suited as platforms for future quantum science experiments.

Zaris, John (ORCID:0009000196476323)

Numerical Mixing Suppresses Submesoscale Baroclinic Instabilities Over Sloping Bathymetry

Abstract The impacts of spurious numerical salinity mixing on the larger‐scale flow and tracer fields are characterized using idealized simulations. The idealized model is motivated by realistic simulations of the Texas‐Louisiana shelf and features oscillatory near‐inertial wind forcing. can exceed the physical mixing from the turbulence closure in frontal zones and within the mixed layer. This suggests that simulated mixing processes in frontal zones are driven largely by . Near‐inertial alongshore wind stress amplitude is varied to identify a base case that maximizes the ratio of to in simulations with no prescribed horizontal mixing. We then test the sensitivity of the base case with three tracer advection schemes (MPDATA, U3HC4, and HSIMT) and conduct ensemble runs with perturbed bathymetry. Instability growth is evaluated using the volume‐integrated eddy kinetic energy and available potential energy . While all schemes have similar total mixing, the HSIMT simulations have over double the volume‐integrated and 20% less relative to other schemes, which suppresses the release of and reduces the by roughly 25%. This results in reduced isohaline variability and steeper isopycnals, evidence that enhanced suppresses instability growth. Differences in and between the MPDATA and U3HC4 simulations are marginal. However, the U3HC4 simulations have 25% more . Experiments with variable horizontal viscosity and diffusivity coefficients show that small amounts of prescribed horizontal mixing improve the representation of the ocean state for all advection schemes by reducing the and increasing the .

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Planning for a Sustainable and Resilient Energy Future on Beaver Island, Michigan

Beaver Island formed the Smart Energy Team to identify and seek solutions to existing energy challenges on the island. The Smart Energy Team applied and was selected as one of the communities in the Transitions Initiative Partnership Project (ETIPP), sponsored by the U.S. Department of Energy. The focus of ETIPP is to provide strategic energy planning for remote and island communities to address local energy and infrastructure challenges and enhance the long-term resilience of their energy systems. Through ETIPP, the community received technical assistance from Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL). This report is the culmination of the technical assistance provided to Beaver Island which includes understanding how energy is used on the island, exploring opportunities to lower energy demand and potential energy generation avenues for the island, as well as stakeholder engagement with the local community.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY

An Overview of Potential Future Aviation Energy Carriers

Global jet fuel demand is projected to grow to 165 billion gallons by 2050 and there is growing interest in the aviation industry to understand the capabilities of alternative energy carriers. This report considers several potential energy carriers, reviewing their production potential, operational considerations, and economic implications to inform potential next steps in aeronautics research. The following energy carriers (i.e., fuels) were evaluated in this study for future use in aviation: sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) - both biomass-based and power-to-liquids (PtL) - based SAF - cryogenic hydrogen (LH 2 ) - also known as liquid hydrogen - liquefied natural gas (LNG), liquefied ethane (LE), and Jet X. The barriers and opportunities for the evaluated energy carriers vary. SAF is a commercially available drop-in fuel compatible with existing aircraft and infrastructure. SAF is limited by both higher prices and slow commercialization of multiple pathways using different feedstocks necessary to significantly grow supply. Cryogenic fuels, in contrast, have very different thermal, physical, and chemical properties than SAF and Jet A, requiring the construction of new airport storage and dispensing infrastructure and the design of new aircraft energy systems capable of mitigating heat transfer and boil-off. Cryogenic fuels offer an opportunity to diversify aviation fuel carriers from domestic energy relevant for both energy security and resilience. This means cryogenic fuels are more of a longer-term solution for aircraft but are worth exploring for potential future cost savings and emissions benefits. Jet X refers to non-drop-in liquid hydrocarbon fuels in the early stages of investigation seeking favorable properties. There are substantial barriers to non-drop-in liquid aviation fuels that are not compatible with existing aircraft and fuel infrastructure.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS

Ab-initio simulation of spin-vibronic spectra of methoxy radical

Despite the fact that experimental and theoretical work on the spectrum of methoxy has stretched from the microwave to the ultraviolet and proceeded for nearly 50 years, parts of the spectrum have remained a challenge to simulate theoretically and make reliable line-by-line assignments. The spectral complexity arises because the radical has a non-zero electron spin and significant vibronic coupling between the two elec- tronic components of the ground state due to the presence of a conical intersection. This work describes a completely ab initio effort to understand and assign the spin- vibronic levels of the X 2E state from 0 to above 3000 cm−1, a region that includes the fundamental transitions of the C-H symmetric and asymmetric stretches that have not previously been identified uniquely. A potential energy surface for methoxy was calculated at the EOM-CCSDT/ANO1 level of theory. Subsequently this potential energy surface was fit to a quartic power series expansion of all nine vibrational nor- mal coordinates (as determined at the minimum of the conical intersection) by the use of a machine-learning-based algorithm. After the addition of spin-orbit coupling, the spin-vibronic problem was solved using both the Krylov-Schur and Lanczos algorithms with the SOCJT3 software to converge eigenvalues up to 3500 cm−1 and their eigen- vectors. The latter were used, in conjunction with the calculated dipole moment and its derivatives (calculated using finite differences at EOM-CCSDT/ANO1 level), to determine spectral intensities for the spin-vibronic spectra. The calculated transition frequencies and intensities were used to simulate and assign the observed transitions of the spin-vibronic spectra of the radical. The credibility of the assignments and their significance is discussed in detail.

Sharma, Ketan [University of Florida, Gainesville,

Ultrafast solvent-to-solute proton transfer mediated by intermolecular coherent vibrations

Ultrafast photoinduced excited-state proton transfer (ESPT) plays a crucial role in protecting biomolecules and functional materials from photodamage. However, the influence of solute-solvent interactions on ESPT dynamics remains under active investigation. Here, we present an ultrafast spectroscopic study of ESPT in the photobase 2-(2´-pyridyl)benzimidazole (PBI) in methanol. Ultrafast absorption spectroscopy, supported by quantum chemical calculations, reveals three distinct kinetic steps: (1) a 2.2 ps solvent-to-solute proton transfer, (2) subsequent nonradiative relaxation to the ground state within 31 ps, producing a vibrationally hot ensemble with substantial excess kinetic energy, and (3) equilibration as this energy dissipates into the surrounding solvent bath over 186 ps. Femtosecond-resolved dynamics exhibit oscillatory signals indicative of coherent wavepacket motion on the S 1 potential energy surface. A phase flip in the excited-state absorption maximum confirms this assignment. Fourier analysis resolves two dominant periods (∼117 fs and ∼340 fs), corresponding to in-plane and out-of-plane vibrational modes coupled between PBI and the hydrogen-bonded methanol molecule. The rapid dephasing ( < 300 fs) suggests that the nuclear wavefunction evolves on an anharmonic potential energy surface while traversing the ESPT reaction coordinate.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH

Irrigation Infrastructure and Modernization – Setting a Baseline: Estimates of Irrigation Water Conveyance Infrastructure Extents and Composition and the Potential Water, Energy, and Economic Benefits of Modernization in the Western U.S.

In the Western United States (U.S.), water delivery for irrigation is still largely managed using century-old equipment and designs. Modernization of this vital water conveyance infrastructure, such as piping of earthen canals, is known to improve water availability and water quality for farmers, while saving energy and enabling new hydropower. However, there is sparse information about the extent of irrigation water delivery infrastructure, which makes it challenging to estimate the cost of upgrades at scale and the potential benefits of accelerating modernization work. This report estimates a variety of previously unquantified data points related to irrigation water delivery infrastructure in the Western U.S. to support stakeholders interested in nationwide modernization planning. The findings should be considered approximations, useful for understanding the scale, range, or variability of these indicators. Taken together, the findings of this report illustrate some of the challenges and opportunities involved in modernizing the agricultural water delivery infrastructure in the Western U.S. Accelerating the pace of modernization could strengthen the long-term resilience of U.S. food systems while providing significant economic, energy, water, and environmental benefits.

13 HYDRO ENERGY