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This presentation summarizes impact risk assessment results for Epoch 3 of the 2023 PDC hypothetical asteroid impact scenario. Epoch 3 represents the assessment phase after data is received from a fast fly-by reconnaissance mission, which refines direct size estimates, asteroid type, and impact location range.
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The design approach, rationale for the selected configuration, and the development status of a cost effective point-focus solar concentrator are discussed. The low-cost concentrator reflective surface design is based on the use of a thin, backsilvered mirror glass reflector bonded to a molded structural plastic substrate. The foundation, support, and drive subassembles are described. A hybrid, two-axis, Sun tracking control system based on microprocessor technology was selected. Coarse synthetic tracking is achieved through a microcomputer-based control system to calculate Sun position for transient periods of cloud cover as well as sundown and sunrise positioning. Accurate active tracking is achieved by two-axis optical sensors. Results of the reflective panel demonstration tests investigating slope error, hail impact survivability, temperature/humidity cycling, longitudinal strength/bending stiffness, and torsional stiffness are discussed.
The Asteroid Redirect Mission (ARM) concept would robotically visit a hazardous-size near-Earth asteroid (NEA) with a rendezvous spacecraft, collect a multi-ton boulder and regolith samples from its surface, demonstrate an innovative planetary defense technique known as the Enhanced Gravity Tractor (EGT), and return the asteroidal material to a stable orbit around the Moon, allowing astronauts to explore the returned material in the mid-2020s. Launch of the robotic vehicle to rendezvous with the ARM reference target, NEA (341843) 2008 EV5, would occur in late 2021 [1,2]. The robotic segment of the ARM concept uses a 40 kW Solar Electric Propulsion (SEP) system with a specific impulse (Isp) of 2600 s, and would provide the first ever demonstration of the EGT technique on a hazardous-size asteroid and validate one method of collecting mass in-situ. The power, propellant, and thrust capability of the ARM robotic spacecraft can be scaled from a 40 kW system to 150 kW and 300 kW, which represent a likely future power level progression. The gravity tractor technique uses the gravitational attraction of a station-keeping spacecraft with the asteroid to provide a velocity change and gradually alter the trajectory of the asteroid. EGT utilizes a spacecraft with a high-efficiency propulsion system, such as Solar Electric Propulsion (SEP), along with mass collected in-situ to augment the mass of the spacecraft, thereby increasing the gravitational force between the objects [3]. As long as the spacecraft has sufficient thrust and propellant capability, the EGT force is only limited by the amount of in-situ mass collected and can be increased several orders of magnitude compared to the traditional gravity tractor technique in which only the spacecraft mass is used to generate the gravitational attraction force. This increase in available force greatly reduces the required deflection time. The collected material can be a single boulder, multiple boulders, regolith, or a combination of different material types using a variety of collection techniques. The EGT concept assumes that the ability to efficiently collect asteroid mass in-situ from a wide variety of asteroid types and environments is a future capability that will be developed and perfected in the future by the asteroid mining community. Additionally, it is anticipated that the mass collection would likely be performed by a single or multiple separable spacecraft to allow the SEP spacecraft to operate at safe distance from the asteroid.
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The key to success in geothermal drilling is economic feasibility, and a major cost in the development of geothermal resources is the actual drilling of the wells. In this project, a real-time drilling optimization system for geothermal drilling was developed. The system couples three individual components while drilling. The first component is a drill stem vibration analysis model, the second is Mechanical Specific Energy (MSE) analyses, and the third is a detailed PDC Rate of Penetration (ROP) drill bit model for optimum RPM and WOB combinations. The benefit of the coupled system is that the range of WOB and RPM could be selected to avoid drill stem vibrations. Secondly, MSE is used as an efficiency measure and the detailed PDC drill bit model ensures the drill bit does not endure temperatures that exceed the temperature at which the PDC cutters experience accelerated wear. The new detailed PDC bit model is based on rock/bit interaction that physically tracks the PDC cutter wear flats as the bit drills ahead giving the capability to calculate the temperature being generated underneath the worn cutters to better advise on operational parameters to avoid accelerated cutter wear and failure and to ensure that operational parameters are applied so that overall ROP is maximized. By combining the drill stem vibrations and the detailed PDC bit cutter wear and “safe” non-accelerated cutter wear temperature and optimum ranges of operating parameters, it results in higher ROP and lower cost drilling. Single cutter PDC testing performed in different lithologies at Sandia was utilized to verify the PDC cutter forces and depth of cut for new and worn cutters. Based on single cutter PDC temperature modeling, verification using single cutter data from the testing done by National Oilwell Varco (NOV) was performed. Sandia’s Hard-Rock Drilling Facility (HRDF) was utilized to test different drill bit configurations with different cutter designs and wear status with different induced modes of vibration to obtain the critical bit RPM/WOB ranges resulting in ineffective drilling and low ROP. The collected test data were further used to verify and calibrate the full hole PDC ROP model that was developed based on single cutter interaction data. A full coupled drill stem vibration model was formulated and verified with geothermal field data from the Chocolate Mountain Aerial Gunnery Range (CMAGR). A graphical user interface (GUI) was developed using Tkinter library in the computer programming language Python, which integrates all the developed models in one system. The developed system consists mainly of the PDC ROP model, PDC bit wear model, PDC cutter temperature model, Mechanical Specific Energy (MSE) model, and drillstring vibration model integrated into one system. The developed system can be used for both, post well analysis and real-time optimization using different criteria such as ROP maximization or MSE minimization. The software uses Differential Evolution Algorithm (DEA) to find optimum values for operational parameters based on last foot drilled while avoiding the drillstring vibration and cutter temperature critical operating parameters.
The growing significance of lignin-first biorefineries, which focus on upgrading the aromatics resulting from lignin depolymerization, presents opportunities for bioproduct synthesis using microbial strains capable of funneling a diverse array of phenolics into a single commodity chemical. In this study, we evaluated a biomass-to-bioproduct pipeline involving the reductive catalytic fractionation (RCF) of poplar biomass followed by biological funneling with a Novosphingobium aromaticivorans strain that produces 2-pyrone-4,6-dicarboxylic acid (PDC), a potential bioplastic precursor. Considering the impact of solvent on RCF reactor operating pressure, and the potential inhibitory effects of solvent on downstream microbial funneling, we performed an analysis of six pure solvents, namely methanol, ethanol, isopropanol, isobutanol, 1,4-dioxane and ethylene glycol, and different variations of their aqueous mixtures comprising 5 to 50 vol% water. For each pure solvent and solvent/water system, we measured phenolic monomer yields in the RCF process and PDC yields from the phenolic monomers. We then developed correlation models that relate phenolic monomer yields from RCF-derived samples to Hansen solubility parameters to determine solvent descriptors that contribute to high yields. Furthermore, we developed an integrated biorefinery system to estimate the minimum selling price (MSP) of PDC and the associated carbon footprint to identify solvent systems with better costs and sustainability metrics. These analyses resulted in the 50 vol% methanol/water system being identified as optimal because it reduces RCF reactor pressure and is compatible with microbial funneling with N. aromaticivorans. This solvent system produced 63 g PDC per kg biomass (264 g PDC per kg lignin) from 85 g phenolic monomers per kg biomass at a reduced reactor pressure of 48 bar (reduced by 26% compared to our previous poplar-to-PDC pipeline). The MSP for this system is $\$$13.98 per kg of purified PDC (carbon footprint of 1.47 kg CO 2 e per kg), which is about 24% lower than a previously described poplar-to-PDC pipeline and 46% lower than a lignin-to-PDC pipeline that used pure methanol as the solvent. The results from this study illustrate improvements that can be made in lignocellulosic biorefineries that are compatible with the hybrid chemical and biological processes needed to gain value from lignin.