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At least 37 records · Page 2

Side-by-Side Comparison of Subhourly Clipping Models: Preprint

Over the past several years there have been numerous attempts at quantifying the inherent power clipping of inverters due to inter-hourly irradiance variability that is not captured in hourly PV performance models. Different models have been proposed to correct for these clipping losses in PV performance estimates, including matrix lookup models, distribution modeling of the PV power performance within a given hour, and machine learning methods. To date, there have been few comprehensive quantitative comparisons of these inverter clipping correction modeling approaches to evaluate the effectiveness of said approaches in predicting the actual behavior of PV system inverter clipping. In this study, we perform such a comparison, evaluating two different clipping correction loss modeling approaches recently implemented in the System Advisor Model (SAM) against clipping losses modeled with 1-minute climate data. These comparisons will be performed across a variety of climate locations and inverter loading ratios to thoroughly analyze the effectiveness of these modeling approaches relative to each other. Results from this analysis reveal that both clipping correction approaches improve annual energy accuracy to within 2% of 1-minute modeled energy yield. The models can improve accuracy up to 3% in systems with ILR of 2.0, showing the importance of this modeling factor in energy yield estimates.

clipping↗

Side-by-Side Comparison of Subhourly Clipping Models

Over the past several years there have been numerous attempts at quantifying the inherent power clipping of inverters due to subhourly irradiance variability that is not captured in hourly PV performance models. Different models have been proposed to correct for these clipping losses in PV performance estimates, including matrix lookup models, distribution modeling of the PV power performance within a given hour, and machine learning methods. To date, there have been few comprehensive quantitative comparisons of these inverter clipping correction modeling approaches to evaluate the effectiveness of these approaches in predicting the actual behavior of PV system inverter clipping. In this study, we perform such a comparison, evaluating the Allen and Walker correction loss modeling approaches recently implemented in the System Advisor Model (SAM) against clipping losses modeled with 1-minute climate data. These comparisons were performed across a variety of climate locations and inverter loading ratios to thoroughly analyze the effectiveness of these modeling approaches relative to each other. Results from this analysis reveal that both clipping correction approaches improve annual energy accuracy to within 2% of 1-minute modeled energy yield. The two models predict annual clipping loss more accurately than simple hourly power limit clipping, with the Allen method typically being slightly more accurate at typical ILR values and the Walker method often being slightly more accurate at high ILR values The models can improve accuracy over the status quo clipping approach up to 3 percentage points in systems with ILR of 2.0, showing the importance of this modeling factor in energy yield estimates.

accuracy↗

Data for Validating Models for PV Module Performance

This data encompasses performance data measured for flat-plate photovoltaic (PV) modules installed in Cocoa, Florida; Eugene, Oregon; and Golden, Colorado. The data include PV module current-voltage curves and associated meteorological data for approximately one-year periods. The data was acquired with the NREL Performance and Energy Rating Testbed (PERT) and the mobile Performance and Energy Rating Testbed (mPERT).

PV, Validation, IV Curves, Field performance, mPER↗

Education for PV Modeling Professionals: Survey of Educators

We report a survey of instructors at universities offering courses that address PV performance modeling. We confirm our earlier finding that most courses lack the level of detail sought by the professional community. We recommend that the PV Performance Modeling Collaborative (PVPMC), or a university, sponsor a committee to produce a curriculum outline for PV system performance modeling, and that the PVPMC solicit industry for well-documented examples of PV system designs and accompany

Hansen, Clifford [Sandia National Laboratories (SN↗

How Climate and Data Quality Impact Photovoltaic Performance Loss Rate Estimations

Different data pipelines and statistical methods are applied to photovoltaic (PV) performance datasets to quantify the performance loss rate (PLR). Since the real values of PLR are unknown, a variety of unvalidated values are reported. As such, the PV industry commonly assumes PLR based on statistically extracted ranges from the literature. However, the accuracy and uncertainty of PLR depend on several parameters including seasonality, local climatic conditions, and the response of a particular PV technology. In addition, the specific data pipeline and statistical method used affect the accuracy and uncertainty. To provide insights, a framework of (≈200 million) synthetic simulations of PV performance datasets using data from different climates is developed. Time series with known PLR and data quality are synthesized, and large parametric studies are conducted to examine the accuracy and uncertainty of different statistical approaches over the contiguous US, with an emphasis on the publicly available and “standardized” library, RdTools . In the results, it is confirmed that PLRs from RdTools are unbiased on average, but the accuracy and uncertainty of individual PLR estimates vary with climate zone, data quality, PV technology, and choice of analysis workflow. Best practices and improvement recommendations based on the findings of this study are provided.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Extreme Weather Events and the Impact on PV Time Series Data

The impact of extreme weather events on PV performance was studied by comparing the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration database on severe weather with the PV Fleet database on continuous PV performance. We identified 170 systems that were immediately impacted by weather events. These severe weather events lead to a median loss of only 1% of annual production. However, flooding and high wind events were found to have an extremely long tail extending to 60 % loss showing that these discrete events can pose a substantial risk to PV systems. Besides the short-term impact of lost production due to outages, we also found a statistically significant increased performance loss rate (PLR) for high wind events comparing PLR before and after these weather events. In addition, hail events caused a higher PLR for 2 out of 3 systems. More data are required to better quantify the impact, but these first results illustrate the substantial risk these events pose short-and long-term.

degradation↗

What should DOE do to help establish voluntary consensus standards for measuring and rating the performance of PV modules?

In response to concern expressed by the photovoltaics community over progress toward the establishment and issuance of concensus standards on photovoltaic performance measurements, a review of the status of and progress in developing these standards was conducted. It examined the roles of manufacturers, and consumers and the national laboratories funded by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) in supporting this effort. This was done by means of a series of discussions with knowledgeable members of the photovoltaic community. Results of these interviews are summarized and a new approach to managing support of standards activity is recommended that responds to specific problems found in the performance measurement standards area. The study concludes that there is a positive role to be played by the U.S. Department of Energy in establishing collector performance measurement standards. It recommends that DOE continue to provide direct financial support for selected committees and for research at national laboratories, and that management of the activity be restructured to increase the authority and responsibility of the consensus committees.

Runkle, L. D.↗

Extreme Weather Events and PV Systems Impact

The impact of extreme weather events on PV performance was studied by comparing the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration database on severe weather with the National Renewable Energy Laboratory's (NREL) PV Fleet database on continuous PV performance. We identified 170 systems that were immediately impacted by weather events. These severe weather events lead to a median loss of only 1 % of annual production. However, flooding and high wind events were found to have an extremely long tail extending to 60 % loss, showing that these discrete events can pose a substantial risk to PV systems. Besides the short-term impact of lost production due to outages, we also found a statistically significant increased performance loss rate (PLR) for high wind events above 90 kilometer/hour, by comparing PLR before and after these events. Similarly, hail events caused higher PLR for hail sizes of and above 25 mm indicating that more stringent hail testing for PV modules is required. In addition, very high snow loads may also cause increased PLRs, but more data are required to better quantify the impact. These findings illustrate the substantial risk extreme weather events pose short-and long-term to fielded PV installations.

extreme weather↗

Multifunctional Thiol-Containing Additives for Improved Photoluminescence and Photovoltaic Performance of Cs 0.15 FA 0.85 PbI 3 Perovskites

Thiol containing molecules as both interfacial surface ligands and additives are promising modulators for enhancing photoluminescence (PL) properties, stability, and photovoltaic (PV) performance of metal halide perovskites. However, alkanethiols are much more effective for improving photoluminescence (PL) intensity and stability in metal halide perovskite nanocrystals than in their thin film analogues. Herein, we investigate how additional functional groups on a pyrimidine core can alter thiol reactivity and influence the PL, stability, and PV performance of organic metal halide perovskites. Through an investigation of five different pyrimidine derivatives, it is shown that all derivatives containing thiol groups form thiolates in the presence of the perovskite precursors and increase the photoluminescence intensity of the perovskite film. The largest all-around improvement to the PL intensity, stability, and photovoltaic performance of Cs 0.15 FA 0.85 PbI 3 perovskites is realized through the addition of a hydroxyl group combined with a trifluoromethyl group to form 4-hydroxy-6-(trifluoromethyl)pyrimidine-2-thiol. Furthermore, this investigation helps illuminate how combinations of functional groups can be employed to further increase the beneficial effects over monofunctional additives in organic metal halide perovskites.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Evaluation of an LED Simulator for Single- and Multi-Junction PV Cell Performance Testing

We present the evaluation of a solar simulator comprising a Light Emitting Diode (LED) array as its light source. While multiple applications can be envisioned for such a light source, here we focus on its use for performance testing of solar cells at Standard Test Conditions. With this in mind, we present characterization of the spatial uniformity of the irradiance and its temporal stability as well as the spectral range and spectral class. For a multisource simulator, the spectral uniformity across the test plane should also be evaluated and we discuss a method for performing this evaluation that is well suited to a solar cell performance testing application. One major advantage of this simulator is the ability to easily adjust the spectral output as needed in multijunction PV cell measurements and we also discuss this application here.

LED↗

Analysis of PV Fleet Performance in Western United States During August 2020 Extreme Heat Wave

Starting in June 2020 through the end of that year, the western and central United States experienced a widespread heat wave and drought, which resulted in US$5.44 billion (CPI-adjusted) worth of damages. The ongoing heat and drought produced record large wildfires across the region, responsible for an additional US$19.9 billion in damage. These natural disasters directly impacted the energy system in the western US, leading to power blackouts in August 2020. In this work, we analyze the NLR PV Fleets data set, focusing on the geographic area covered by the Western Coordinating Council (WECC). We find that over the 10-day period from August 14 through 24, the median PV system produced 12% lower energy than expected, with some locations experiencing total losses of around 30%. Analyzing the spatial-temporal structure of the data and supplementing with limited operational current and voltage data where available, we find that system underperformance was more strongly impacted by irradiance reduction from wildfire smoke rather than by the high heat itself.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Summary of photovoltaic system performance models

A detailed overview of photovoltaics (PV) performance modeling capabilities developed for analyzing PV system and component design and policy issues is provided. A set of 10 performance models are selected which span a representative range of capabilities from generalized first order calculations to highly specialized electrical network simulations. A set of performance modeling topics and characteristics is defined and used to examine some of the major issues associated with photovoltaic performance modeling. Each of the models is described in the context of these topics and characteristics to assess its purpose, approach, and level of detail. The issues are discussed in terms of the range of model capabilities available and summarized in tabular form for quick reference. The models are grouped into categories to illustrate their purposes and perspectives.

Smith, J. H.↗

A bending test protocol for characterizing the mechanical performance of flexible photovoltaics

Flexible photovoltaics (PV) represents a promising research field with great potential for wearable, portable, and indoor applications. Significant progress has been made in recent years, with flexible emerging PV reporting power conversion efficiency (PCE) over 24%. Yet, there is a need for a unifying protocol to assess PV performance, compare research results, and evaluate the state- of-the-art achievements in flexible PV. In this paper, a consensus protocol is presented for measuring PCE over 1,000 bending cycles under 1% strain. Moreover, several good practice guidelines are proposed including bending procedures, flexibility testing with and without encapsulation, and ambient conditions during testing (e.g., temperature, humidity, illumination). Notably, the importance of uniform application of bending radius and the testing of parallel and perpendicular orientations of bending axis with respect to the direction of the electric current are emphasized. These recommendations aim to promote consistency in device comparison and allow for better reproducibility.

Fukuda, Kenjiro↗

Field studies of PERC and Al-BSF PV module performance loss using power and I-V timeseries

We have studied the degradation of both full-sized modules and minimodules with PERC and Al-BSF cell variations in fields while considering packaging strategies. We demonstrate the implementations of data-driven tools to analyze large numbers of modules and volumes of timeseries data to obtain the performance loss and degradation pathways. This data analysis pipeline enables quantitative comparison and ranking of module variations, as well as mapping and deeper understanding of degradation mechanisms. The best performing module is a half-cell PERC, which shows a performance loss rate ( PLR ) of −0.27 ± 0.12% per annum (%/ a ) after initial losses have stabilized. Minimodule studies showed inconsistent performance rankings due to significant power loss contributions via series resistance, however, recombination losses remained stable. Overall, PERC cell variations outperform or are not distinguishable from Al-BSF cell variations.

Curran, Alan J.↗

The economic value of photovoltaic performance loss mitigation in electricity spot markets

Photovoltaic (PV) performance is affected by reversible and irreversible losses. These can typically be mitigated through responsive and proactive operations and maintenance (O&M) activities. However, to generate profit, the cost of O&M must be lower than the value of the recovered electricity. This value depends both on the amount of recovered energy and on the electricity prices, which can vary significantly over time in spot markets. The present work investigates the impact of the electricity price variability on the PV profitability and on the related O&M activities in Italy, Portugal, and Spain. Here, it is found that the PV revenues varied by 1.6 × to 1.8 × within the investigated countries in the last 5 years. Moreover, forecasts predict higher average prices in the current decade compared to the previous one. These will increase the future PV revenues by up to 60% by 2030 compared to their 2015–2020 mean values. These higher revenues will make more funds available for better maintenance and for higher quality components, potentially leading to even higher energy yield and profits. Linearly growing or constant price assumptions cannot fully reproduce these expected price trends. Furthermore, significant price fluctuations can lead to unexpected scenarios and alter the predictions.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

pvplr-python: Python package implementation of PVplr for Performance Loss Rate (PLR) analysis

Due to software fragmentation, PV system modeling teams can be limited to language specific packages, preventing cross-sectional analysis of different modeling techniques and workflows. To this end, PVplr, a popular PV performance modeling R software package, has been ported to the Python programming language. To verify and test the robustness of the port, NSRDB data has been used to simulated PV installations at native resolution (~2 million Sites), with a variety of degradation rates, degradation patterns, and modules. Performance Ratios were calculated using the ported functions from pvplr-python and compared against Rdtools YoY values. Due to the complicated nature of degradation, a new metric has been proposed to quantify the performance loss of a system. The cumulative production loss, is the total amount of energy lost due to the degrading performance of the system. Cumulative production loss alleviates the problems with fitting linear functions to non-linear degradation. Cumulative Production loss was shown to better estimate the total lost revenue for non-linear degradation patterns. $XbX + UTC$ was found to most accurately predict the total lost revenue in simulated systems.

Kumar, Suraj↗

Colossal Grains for a New Structural Paradigm in Thin-Film Photovoltaics

II-VI based thin-film photovoltaics (PV) have experienced substantial commercial success on a foundation of fast large-scale deposition and processing. This type of processing, regardless of material type, nearly always results in small grain (nm to several um diameters) polycrystalline material that, if not for effective grain boundary (GB) and defect passivation, would severely limit PV performance. In the case of CdTe based PV technology, the nearly ubiquitous CdCl2 treatment is used, in part, to passivate the polycrystalline p-type absorber even though Cl is known to (and used to) compensate p-type II-VI materials. Given that VOC is still the most limited performance metric and it can only be improved through higher p-type absorber concentrations, CdCl2 treatments may be holding the technology back. In this talk, we will discuss results related to a process by which small grain CdSeTe material is rapidly transformed into very large grain material (100-1000um diameters, Fig. 1a). This explosive recrystallization, which we have termed colossal grain growth (CGG), occurs by a Cl free process with thin films (<10um) deposited using the same fast deposition techniques the industry has relied on for more than a decade. Our modeling suggests that GB recombination becomes significantly less important at these grain sizes and thus may eliminate the need for a CdCl2 treatment. This result is complimented by previous results of epitaxial growth at high rates on single crystal seed layers. Thin CdSeTe CGG seed layers can be used for rapid epitaxy of CdTe to complete a standard device stack (Fig.1b). This is an optimistic view and the current limitations and challenges related to this process and these materials will also be discussed, including alloy and substrate roughness sensitivity, intragrain material quality, and complex defect chemistry. These challenges are not insignificant but overcoming them may enable a new structural paradigm for thin-film PV.

CdTe↗