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3D Play Fairway Analysis for Examining of Superhot Drilling Production Scenarios: Preprint

The DEEPEN (DE-risking Exploration for geothermal Plays in magmatic ENvironments) project was a multi-laboratory, international effort to reduce uncertainty and improve resource characterization in superhot geothermal systems. Building on this foundation, this work advances open-source tools designed to lower the exploration risk and cost of superhot geothermal projects while promoting transparency, reproducibility, and efficiency in exploration workflows. These tools are being tested at two key sites: (1) the Nesjavellir Geothermal Area in Iceland, where the Icelandic Deep Drilling Project (IDDP) will drill its third well, and (2) Newberry Volcano in Oregon, USA, where Mazama Energy will pilot the first superhot enhanced geothermal system (EGS). A major outcome is the creation of a modular, open-source Python framework for play fairway analysis (PFA) in 2D and 3D, called geoPFA. The PFA workflow has been expanded to produce pseudo conceptual models, and will soon be refined to assess reservoir components through integration with the thermo-hydraulic-mechanical-chemical (THMC) simulator TReactMech, to enable iterative coupling between PFA and THMC models, improving characterization of superhot systems. All three of the Icelandic Deep Drilling Project's production scenarios were analyzed via this framework: (1) a superhot deep injection well paired with conventional production wells at Nesjavellir, (2) a superhot deep production well at Nesjavellir, and (3) superhot enhanced geothermal system at Newberry Volcano. This analysis provides useful insights around conceptual modeling of these production scenarios, helping to inform decisions around which scenario is best suited for which types of environments.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY

Analog In-Memory Computing for the Synthetic Aperture Radar Polar Format Algorithm

As the utility of synthetic aperture radar (SAR) systems increases in autonomous vehicles, satellites, and other power- and space-constrained edge applications, there is a growing need for processors that can form SAR images at low power. In recent years, analog in-memory compute (AIMC) has shown immense promise for accelerating neural networks and other matrix-vector multiplication (MVM) heavy workloads at the edge. Here, in this work, we examine how the polar format algorithm (PFA), a popular SAR image formation algorithm, can be mapped to these AIMC systems. The PFA maps readily onto analog MVMs because it primarily consists of two linear operations: interpolation of frequency-domain data to a Cartesian grid, followed by a 2-D Fourier transform. This work presents two approaches to map the interpolation operation onto MVMs in analog hardware: a chirp transform and a modified form of sinc interpolation. These mappings introduce algorithmic errors, and their effect on the quality of SAR image formation is examined, both quantitatively and qualitatively. In addition, the impact of errors introduced by the analog hardware is explored to determine which approach is optimal under varying assumptions about the underlying analog memory devices and circuits.

Analog computing

Volatile Organic Compounds in Bankhead National Forest (AMF3). August to September, 2025

The formation of atmospheric aerosols through the transformation of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) is a fundamental process in aerosol-climate interactions, as these particles serve as cloud condensation nuclei and ultimately influence Earth’s radiative balance. However, there remains a critical need to quantify the effects of multiple coexisting VOC precursors on aerosol formation beyond the limitations of laboratory-scale studies. This research aims to advance the mechanistic understanding of secondary organic aerosol formation in the southeastern United States by investigating interactions among coexisting VOC precursors observed at the third ARM Mobile Facility located in the Bankhead National Forest. The dataset was generated from the deployment of Oak Ridge National Laboratory’s PTR-TOF 6000 X2 Proton Transfer Reaction Time-of-Flight Mass Spectrometer (PTR-ToF-MS) for the real-time, continuous monitoring of VOCs from August 21 to September 15, 2025. To minimize sampling artifacts and compound losses, the PTR-ToF-MS inlet was connected to the cabin flow line by replacing the existing Tygon tubing with 1/2-inch outer diameter perfluoroalkoxy (PFA) tubing. The instrument operated on an hourly measurement cycle consisting of 8 minutes of zero-air measurements followed by 52 minutes of ambient air sampling, with a temporal resolution of 10 seconds. The dataset includes concentrations, reported in ppb, of methanol, acetone, acetonitrile, isoprene, methyl vinyl ketone and methacrolein (MVK + MACR), monoterpenes, benzene, toluene, and catechol.

Atmospheric concentration of volatile organic comp

Wide temperature range fiber optic cable: Cable design study

Factors considered in the design and fabrication of a single fiber optic cable intended for spacecraft applications in an environment of temperature extremes from -160 C to 125 C include: abrasion resistance, low temperature flexibility, small size, low weight, and overall temperature stability. Specific requirements were identified for fiber core and overall diameters, fiber loss and NA, and cable tensile load. The single fiber cable will be fabricated by using a chemical vapor step index fiber of .125 mm coated to .3 mm with RTV silicone and then extruded with a jacket of Teflon PFA to a diameter of .5 mm. Six yarns of 1420 denier unimpregnated Kevlar 49 with a helical lay of 1.3 inches will surround the jacketed fiber under an extrusion of PFA. The finished cable diameter will measure 1.8 mm, and the weight of one kilometer length will be approximately 4350grams.

Speed, E. U.

Data structure characterization of miltispectral data using principal component and principal factor analysis

Both principal component analysis (PCA) and principal factor analysis (PFA) were used to analyze an experimental multispectral data structure in terms of common and unique variance. Only the common variance of the multispectral data was associated with the principal factor, while higher-order principal components were associated with both common and unique variance. The unique variance was found to represent small spectral variations within each cover type as well as noise vectors, and was most abundant in the lower-order principal components. The lower-order principal components can be useful in research designed to discriminate minor physical variations within features, and to highlight localized change when using multitemporal-multispectral data. Conversely, PFA of the multispectral data provided an insight into a great potential for discriminating basic land-cover types by excluding the unique variance which was related to the noise and minor spectral variations.

Lee, Jae K.

Dielectric breakdown studies of Teflon perfluoroalkoxy at high temperature

Teflon perfluoroalkoxy (PFA) was evaluated for use as a dielectric material in high-temperature high-voltage capacitors for space applications. The properties that were characterized included the dc dielectric strength at temperatures up to 250 C and the permittivity and dielectric loss as a function of frequency, temperature and voltage. To understand the breakdown mechanism taking place at high temperatures, the pre-breakdown discharge and conduction currents, and the dependence of dielectric strength on thickness of the film were determined. Confocal laser microscopy was performed to diagnose for microimperfections within the film structure. The results obtained show a significant decrease in the dielectric strength and an increase in dielectric loss with an increase in temperature, suggesting that impulse thermal breakdown could be a responsible mechanism in PFA film at temperatures above 150 C.

Suthar, J. L.

Evaluating Risk Of Failure With Limited Information

Report describes probabilistic failure assessment (PFA). Developed for application to spaceflight systems for sufficient testing of hardware to ensure reliability not feasible. However, must be ascertained that critical failure modes extremely unlikely to occur during service. PFA applied to any failure mode described by quantitative models of physics and mechanics of failure phenomena, such as fatigue crack in initiation or propagation in structures, leakage of seals, wear in bearings, and erosion of arcjet thrustor cathodes.

Moore, N. R.

Development of GENOA Progressive Failure Parallel Processing Software Systems

A capability consisting of software development and experimental techniques has been developed and is described. The capability is integrated into GENOA-PFA to model polymer matrix composite (PMC) structures. The capability considers the physics and mechanics of composite materials and structure by integration of a hierarchical multilevel macro-scale (lamina, laminate, and structure) and micro scale (fiber, matrix, and interface) simulation analyses. The modeling involves (1) ply layering methodology utilizing FEM elements with through-the-thickness representation, (2) simulation of effects of material defects and conditions (e.g., voids, fiber waviness, and residual stress) on global static and cyclic fatigue strengths, (3) including material nonlinearities (by updating properties periodically) and geometrical nonlinearities (by Lagrangian updating), (4) simulating crack initiation. and growth to failure under static, cyclic, creep, and impact loads. (5) progressive fracture analysis to determine durability and damage tolerance. (6) identifying the percent contribution of various possible composite failure modes involved in critical damage events. and (7) determining sensitivities of failure modes to design parameters (e.g., fiber volume fraction, ply thickness, fiber orientation. and adhesive-bond thickness). GENOA-PFA progressive failure analysis is now ready for use to investigate the effects on structural responses to PMC material degradation from damage induced by static, cyclic (fatigue). creep, and impact loading in 2D/3D PMC structures subjected to hygrothermal environments. Its use will significantly facilitate targeting design parameter changes that will be most effective in reducing the probability of a given failure mode occurring.

Abdi, Frank

NASA Software of the Year, GENOAPFA, Given 2000 R and D 100 Award

GENOA-PFA, marketed currently by Alpha Star Corporation, is an enhanced commercial version of the Composite Durability Structural Analysis (CODSTRAN) computer program that was originally developed in-house at NASA Glenn Research Center specifically for polymer-matrix composite structures. Alpha Star Corporation and the University of Clarkson ha ve made substantial developments to the code under the NASA Small Bus iness Innovation Research and University Grant support. The code won the NASA Software of the year award in 1999 and was given the 2000 R&D 100 Award. The current GENOA-PFA can simulate the initiation and pro gression of damage, ultimately leading to global fracture in advanced composite structures under various loading and environmental conditi ons. It offers a number of capabilities beyond those of programs developed previously for similar purposes; these capabilities make GENOA-P FA preferable for use in analyzing the durability and damage toleranc e of complex aero and space structures that have fiber reinforcements formed as two- and even three-dimensional weaves and braids.

Murthy, Pappu L. N.

NASA Structural Analysis Report on the American Airlines Flight 587 Accident - Local Analysis of the Right Rear Lug

A detailed finite element analysis of the right rear lug of the American Airlines Flight 587 - Airbus A300-600R was performed as part of the National Transportation Safety Board s failure investigation of the accident that occurred on November 12, 2001. The loads experienced by the right rear lug are evaluated using global models of the vertical tail, local models near the right rear lug, and a global-local analysis procedure. The right rear lug was analyzed using two modeling approaches. In the first approach, solid-shell type modeling is used, and in the second approach, layered-shell type modeling is used. The solid-shell and the layered-shell modeling approaches were used in progressive failure analyses (PFA) to determine the load, mode, and location of failure in the right rear lug under loading representative of an Airbus certification test conducted in 1985 (the 1985-certification test). Both analyses were in excellent agreement with each other on the predicted failure loads, failure mode, and location of failure. The solid-shell type modeling was then used to analyze both a subcomponent test conducted by Airbus in 2003 (the 2003-subcomponent test) and the accident condition. Excellent agreement was observed between the analyses and the observed failures in both cases. From the analyses conducted and presented in this paper, the following conclusions were drawn. The moment, Mx (moment about the fuselage longitudinal axis), has significant effect on the failure load of the lugs. Higher absolute values of Mx give lower failure loads. The predicted load, mode, and location of the failure of the 1985-certification test, 2003-subcomponent test, and the accident condition are in very good agreement. This agreement suggests that the 1985-certification and 2003- subcomponent tests represent the accident condition accurately. The failure mode of the right rear lug for the 1985-certification test, 2003-subcomponent test, and the accident load case is identified as a cleavage-type failure. For the accident case, the predicted failure load for the right rear lug from the PFA is greater than 1.98 times the limit load of the lugs. I.

Raju, Ivatury S

Comparison of NASA's 30-cm Ion Thruster Capabilities with the Dawn Mission Requirements

The Dawn ion thrusters meet all of the performance and life requirements for the Dawn mission. FT001 has two magnets in sideways in the middle magnet ring, but this has only a minor impact on the thruster performance. Electron-backstreaming is the first wear-out failure mechanism for the Dawn ion thrusters - PFA Modeling Indicates: a) The mission cannot be completed with a single thruster; b) The probability for mission success based on accelerator grid wear is > 99% for the worst case thruster usage for nominal thruster beamlet profiles; and c) FT002 has the most peaked beam profile which impacts the thruster s throughput capability. PFA results indicate that this reduces the probability for mission success based on accelerator grid wear to 97% based on the worst case thruster usage. The wear-out probability is zero if all three thrusters are used during the mission.

ion thrusters

Structural Analysis of the Right Rear Lug of American Airlines Flight 587

A detailed finite element analysis of the right rear lug of the American Airlines Flight 587 - Airbus A300-600R was performed as part of the National Transportation Safety Board s failure investigation of the accident that occurred on November 12, 2001. The loads experienced by the right rear lug are evaluated using global models of the vertical tail, local models near the right rear lug, and a global-local analysis procedure. The right rear lug was analyzed using two modeling approaches. In the first approach, solid-shell type modeling is used, and in the second approach, layered-shell type modeling is used. The solid-shell and the layered-shell modeling approaches were used in progressive failure analyses (PFA) to determine the load, mode, and location of failure in the right rear lug under loading representative of an Airbus certification test conducted in 1985 (the 1985-certification test). Both analyses were in excellent agreement with each other on the predicted failure loads, failure mode, and location of failure. The solid-shell type modeling was then used to analyze both a subcomponent test conducted by Airbus in 2003 (the 2003-subcomponent test) and the accident condition. Excellent agreement was observed between the analyses and the observed failures in both cases. The moment, Mx (moment about the fuselage longitudinal axis), has significant effect on the failure load of the lugs. Higher absolute values of Mx give lower failure loads. The predicted load, mode, and location of the failure of the 1985- certification test, 2003-subcomponent test, and the accident condition are in very good agreement. This agreement suggests that the 1985-certification and 2003-subcomponent tests represent the accident condition accurately. The failure mode of the right rear lug for the 1985-certification test, 2003-subcomponent test, and the accident load case is identified as a cleavage-type failure. For the accident case, the predicted failure load for the right rear lug from the PFA is greater than 1.98 times the limit load of the lugs.

Raju, Ivatury S.

Predicting Failure Progression and Failure Loads in Composite Open-Hole Tension Coupons

Failure types and failure loads in carbon-epoxy [45n/90n/-45n/0n]ms laminate coupons with central circular holes subjected to tensile load are simulated using progressive failure analysis (PFA) methodology. The progressive failure methodology is implemented using VUMAT subroutine within the ABAQUS(TradeMark)/Explicit nonlinear finite element code. The degradation model adopted in the present PFA methodology uses an instantaneous complete stress reduction (COSTR) approach to simulate damage at a material point when failure occurs. In-plane modeling parameters such as element size and shape are held constant in the finite element models, irrespective of laminate thickness and hole size, to predict failure loads and failure progression. Comparison to published test data indicates that this methodology accurately simulates brittle, pull-out and delamination failure types. The sensitivity of the failure progression and the failure load to analytical loading rates and solvers precision is demonstrated.

Arunkumar, Satyanarayana

Using Reliability to Meet Z540.3's 2 percent Rule

NASA's Kennedy Space Center (KSC) undertook implementation of ANSI/NCSL Z540.3-2006 in October 2008. Early in the implementation, KSC identified that the largest cost driver of Z540.3 implementation is measurement uncertainty analyses for legacy calibration processes. NASA, like other organizations, has a significant inventory of measuring and test equipment (MTE) that have documented calibration procedures without documented measurement uncertainties. This paper provides background information to support the rationale for using high in-tolerance reliability as evidence of compliance to the 2% probability of false acceptance (PFA) quality metric of ANSI/NCSL Z540.3-2006 allowing use of qualifying legacy processes. NASA is adopting this as policy and is recommending NCSL International consider this as a method of compliance to Z540.3. Topics covered include compliance issues, using end-of-period reliability (EOPR) to estimate test point uncertainty, reliability data influences within the PFA model, the validity of EOPR data, and an appendix covering "observed" versus "true" EOPR.

Mimbs, Scott M.

Compression After Impact on Honeycomb Core Sandwich Panels with Thin Facesheets, Part 2: Analysis

A two part research study has been completed on the topic of compression after impact (CAI) of thin facesheet honeycomb core sandwich panels. The research has focused on both experiments and analysis in an effort to establish and validate a new understanding of the damage tolerance of these materials. Part 2, the subject of the current paper, is focused on the analysis, which corresponds to the CAI testings described in Part 1. Of interest, are sandwich panels, with aerospace applications, which consist of very thin, woven S2-fiberglass (with MTM45-1 epoxy) facesheets adhered to a Nomex honeycomb core. Two sets of materials, which were identical with the exception of the density of the honeycomb core, were tested in Part 1. The results highlighted the need for analysis methods which taken into account multiple failure modes. A finite element model (FEM) is developed here, in Part 2. A commercial implementation of the Multicontinuum Failure Theory (MCT) for progressive failure analysis (PFA) in composite laminates, Helius:MCT, is included in this model. The inclusion of PFA in the present model provided a new, unique ability to account for multiple failure modes. In addition, significant impact damage detail is included in the model. A sensitivity study, used to assess the effect of each damage parameter on overall analysis results, is included in an appendix. Analysis results are compared to the experimental results for each of the 32 CAI sandwich panel specimens tested to failure. The failure of each specimen is predicted using the high-fidelity, physicsbased analysis model developed here, and the results highlight key improvements in the understanding of honeycomb core sandwich panel CAI failure. Finally, a parametric study highlights the strength benefits compared to mass penalty for various core densities.

Mcquigg, Thomas D.

Enumeration and Fluorescence In Situ Hybridization of Microbial Bioburden on Cleanroom Surfaces

Introduction: Microorganisms are everywhere on Earth, even in the cleanest of places. Spacecraft assembly cleanrooms can harbor low levels of living and dead microbial cells (e.g., [1,2]), and cleanroom bioburden can also include organic molecules from industrial sources and in situ biomass. Life detection missions require careful attention to avoid contaminants that can be easily convoluted with analytical targets. We are evaluating epifluorescent microscopy and fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH) as methods to complement organic contamination detection techniques. Epifluorescent cell counting offers an accurate and cost-effective way to quantify low levels of surface biomass. FISH could allow for the identification of residual organisms, and can be targeted to detect active populations of specific organisms such as bacteria known to resist cleaning procedures. This effort is part of a larger study that is concentrated on characterizing the surface and airborne molecular organic contamination background in Johnson Space Center (JSC) Astromaterials curation laboratories and Goddard Space Flight Center (GSFC) spacecraft assembly rooms, and understanding contaminants in the context of cleaning procedures and residual bioburden. Methods: Samples were collected by swabbing surfaces in ISO 5 and ISO 7 equivalent cleanrooms at JSC. Swabs for FISH were fixed in 4% paraformaldehyde (PFA) for 3 hours and then stored in 1:1 ethanol:PBS, while swabs for cell counting were stored in 4% PFA until analysis to avoid any cell loss during centrifugation that could impact quantification of very low biomass samples. Cell counting was performed with SYBR Gold as in [3], but adapted for very low biomass. FISH was performed as in [4], using DAPI as a counterstain for all DNA-containing cells. Negative controls included wells with no probe applied, to test for natural fluorescence, as well as the nonsense probe NONEUB (reverse complement of EUB338) to evaluate non-specific probe binding. Results and Discussion: Cleanroom surfaces had 102-103 cells cm-2. The extremely low biomass of these samples was challenging for enumeration, and required careful and routine use of “field” and laboratory blanks. FISH was performed with the general archaeal and bacterial probes ARCH915 and EUB338 (EUBMIX, [4]), probe GAMBET ([4]), and PSE227, which targets the genus Pseudomonas [5]). The latter two probes were selected because Pseudomonas spp. and other Gammaproteobacteria have not been isolated from cleanroom surfaces but do appear frequently in rRNA gene libraries from these surfaces. While some active bacteria were identified (Fig. 1c), most cells detectable by DAPI did not have a strong or any fluorescent signal (e.g., Fig. 1d), indicating that the vast majority of cells are dead or inactive. This suggests that cleaning protocols are effective at inactivating microbial contaminants, but that dead or inactive cells can remain on surfaces. Cells were often clumped in a weakly autofluorescent matrix, possibly biofilm material (Fig. 1c,d). We also observed other particulate material that was collected by the swabs, including apparent textile fibers (Fig. 1b). Our results are consistent with other studies that show that the bioburden present in clean rooms includes active, dormant, and dead cells. We will discuss how FISH and epifluorescent cell counting could be applied in planetary protection protocols, including the advantages and disadvantages of FISH and cell counting for routine use, as well as different possible applications for more specialized FISH procedures. References: [1] Moissl-Eichinger et al. (2015) Sci Rep, 5, 9156 [2] Hendrickson et al. (2021) Microbiome, 9, 238 [3] Jones et al. (2017) Appl Environ Microbiol, 83, e00909-17 [4] Jones et al. (2015) Appl Environ Microbiol, 81, 1242-1250. [5] Watt et al. (2006) Environ Microbiol, 8, 871-884

C J Huff

Renewable Energy Potential Model: Hawaii Geothermal Supply Curves

This dataset extends the development of the Renewable Energy Potential (reV) model to include geothermal energy, with a specific focus on Hawaii. Provided here are the results of two scenarios that were modeled for geothermal energy in Hawaii: binary enhanced geothermal systems (EGS) at a depth of 2.5 km and hydrothermal binary systems at a depth of 1.5 km. The resource data for both scenarios were derived from Lautze and Haskins (2024) using an exponential method. The PFA probability of heat map was used as a look up table for which temperature gradient to use (Lautze and Haskins, 2024). The dataset provides geospatial and techno-economic details for evaluating geothermal energy potential. It includes spatial coordinates, estimated capacity factors, developable area, resource potential, and annual energy production metrics. Economic details such as levelized cost of electricity (LCOE), site development costs, transmission costs, and fixed-charge rates are also included. The reV model, originally developed for wind and solar energy, incorporates these variables to evaluate deployment constraints related to land use, environmental and cultural factors, and grid integration.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-Los Lost Creek

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Los Lost Creek. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Los Lost Creek produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - Shrub wetland site, chosen to be representative of the wetlands within the US-PFa tall tower flux footprint. This is a deciduous shrub wetland. Coniferous and grassy stands also exist within the fux footprint. Solar power. The site has excellent micrometeorological characteristics.

Desai, Ankur [University of Wisconsin]