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At least 37 records · Page 2

Low-level circulations induced by an upper-level jet in a fine mesh numerical model

Attention is given to varying the initial conditions in the Penn State three-dimensional numerical model in the development of the low-level jet over the Ohio Valley during the 10 May 1973 severe weather event. The results of two forecasts are summarized: (1) the control forecast which interpolated the National Meteorological Center's operational analysis to the mesoscale model grid; and (2) modifying the control forecast by inserting artificial soundings and surface observations. Enhancements are made on the basis of subsynoptic scale analyses by Uccellini and surface data. The results indicate that the low-level jet was in part induced by pressure changes associated with deceleration and horizontal divergence of air in the exit region of the upper-level jet. The enhancement of the initial moisture field using surface reports of clouds and precipitation has a substantial effect on precipitation.

Burkhart, R. P.

Sensitivity Analysis of Numerical Modeling Input Parameters on Wind Turbine Loads in Deterministic Transient Load Cases

Aero-hydro-elastic-servo numerical models used to design and analyze wind turbines are based on thousands of variable input parameters that dictate the inflow, aerodynamic, structural, and control characteristics of the system as well as sea state, hydrodynamic, and mooring characteristics for fixed-bottom and floating offshore wind turbines. Each of these parameters has some level of uncertainty, which can significantly impact the predicted loads. Understanding the uncertainty in the inputs is critical to understanding the uncertainty in the outputs. This work demonstrates a screening technique to identify which parameters ultimate loads are most sensitive to so that more focus can be given to quantifying the possible range of those parameters. This technique has been demonstrated previously for different turbine and load case types and is extended here for a floating offshore wind turbine in design load cases with transient events both in the inflow and operations. Each load case features a deterministic gust, including variations in wind speed, direction, and shear. Load cases are considered with an operating turbine as well as with prescribed fault, startup, and shutdown procedures. The study found that key input parameters with a large impact on loads include the length of the gust, the magnitude of direction change and speed in the gust, the initial wind speed, and the shape of the gust profile.

17 WIND ENERGY

Project Fog Drops 5. Task 1: A numerical model of advection fog. Task 2: Recommendations for simplified individual zero-gravity cloud physics experiments

A two-dimensional numerical model was used to investigate the formation of marine advection fog. The model predicts the evolution of potential temperature, horizontal wind, water vapor content, and liquid water content in a vertical cross section of the atmosphere as determined by vertical turbulent transfer and horizontal advection, as well as radiative cooling and drop sedimentation. The model is designed to simulate the formation, development, or dissipation of advection fog in response to transfer of heat and moisture between the atmosphere and the surface as driven by advection over horizontal discontinuities in the surface temperature. Results from numerical simulations of advection fog formation are discussed with reference to observations of marine fog. A survey of candidate fog or cloud microphysics experiments which might be performed in the low gravity environment of a shuttle-type spacecraft in presented. Recommendations are given for relatively simple experiments which are relevent to fog modification problems.

Rogers, C. W.

The multiple nesting of mesoscale, submesoscale, and nonhydrostatic microscale numerical models for a case of mesocyclogenesis and severe storm development

A fundamental approach involving the integration of two different numerical models over several different spatial mesh lengths is considered. Model I is a hydrostatic, incompressible, and adiabatic primitive (Newtonian) equation set with no boundary layer forcing, i.e., surface heat or moisture flux or external frictional stresses. Typically this model is initialized from conventional radiosonde data and run for a 12-15 hour forecast period over a 40 km horizontal mesh. If phase I of the tornado developmental processes develops, the data is 'frozen' in space and time, interpolated to a 20 km mesh, and integrated for a shorter time period (3 hours) with a shorter time step. Model II is a nonhydrostatic compressible 18-level complement of model I. If model II indicates the development of the intensification of phase V dynamical processes, the data is frozen and interpolated to finer mesh lengths until the tornadic circulation system is approximated

Kaplan, M. L.

Mitigation of distortion of Al/steel part under simulated paint baking condition: Experiment and numerical model studies

Multi-material joining of lightweight structures is essential to reduce vehicle weight for more energy savings and less greenhouse gas emission. However, mismatch of thermal expansion coefficient for dissimilar materials during the paint baking process can induce part distortion and joint failure for adhesive bonding. Here, in the present work, a thermomechanical model based on contact mechanics and large deformation theory was developed for dissimilar high-strength Al alloy and steel components to study the distortion mechanism and influential factors of the residual gap. The established model was used to optimize joint conditions, such as pitch distance and part geometry. When a weld pitch is shorter than 100 mm, the maximum gap between Al and steel part can be greatly reduced to 0.1 mm, and the local stress and plastic strain around the joint during the oven heating and cooling cycle are also substantially reduced compared with the long pitch case (900 mm). The numerical modeling results revealed that a comparable bending stiffness ratio between the steel and Al cross sections is critical to the minimization of gap and distortion under paint baking condition. Digital image correlation technique was used to measure the overall part distortion and local strain distribution that were used to validate the model prediction. Weld bonding (adhesive bonding with friction bit joining) process was successfully employed to join Al to steel component without gap opening in adhesive after the paint baking and cooling.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE

Random element method for numerical modeling of diffusional processes

The random element method is a generalization of the random vortex method that was developed for the numerical modeling of momentum transport processes as expressed in terms of the Navier-Stokes equations. The method is based on the concept that random walk, as exemplified by Brownian motion, is the stochastic manifestation of diffusional processes. The algorithm based on this method is grid-free and does not require the diffusion equation to be discritized over a mesh, it is thus devoid of numerical diffusion associated with finite difference methods. Moreover, the algorithm is self-adaptive in space and explicit in time, resulting in an improved numerical resolution of gradients as well as a simple and efficient computational procedure. The method is applied here to an assortment of problems of diffusion of momentum and energy in one-dimension as well as heat conduction in two-dimensions in order to assess its validity and accuracy. The numerical solutions obtained are found to be in good agreement with exact solution except for a statistical error introduced by using a finite number of elements, the error can be reduced by increasing the number of elements or by using ensemble averaging over a number of solutions.

Ghoniem, A. F.

A numerical model simulation of the regional air pollution meteorology of the greater Chesapeake Bay area - Summer day case study

The mesoscale numerical model of the University of Virginia (UVMM), has been applied to the greater Chesapeake Bay area in order to provide a detailed description of the air pollution meteorology during a typical summer day. This model provides state of the art simulations for land-sea thermally induced circulations. The model-predicted results agree favorably with available observed data. The effects of synoptic flow and sea breeze coupling on air pollution meteorological characteristics in this region, are demonstrated by a spatial and temporal presentation of various model predicted fields. A transport analysis based on predicted wind velocities indicated possible recirculation of pollutants back onto the Atlantic coast due to the sea breeze circulation.

Segal, M.

Geothermal Heat Pump System Showcase: Short-Term Validation of Borehole Heat Exchanger Performance from Field Data to Numerical Modeling: Preprint

Since 2011, a geothermal heat pump (GHP) system has been operating to provide space heating and cooling for the Solar Radiation and Research Laboratory building at the National Laboratory of the Rockies (NLR) in Golden, Colorado. The system consists of 23 vertical boreholes, each extending to a depth of 300 ft (91 m), connected to 11 water-to-air heat pump units and four circulation pumps. Between fiscal years 2023 and 2025, additional power meters and temperature sensors were retrofitted to support detailed system performance assessment and model development. This study presents preliminary monitoring results and the development of an initial numerical model of the borehole heat exchanger field. The model incorporated site-specific geometry, ground thermal properties derived from thermal response tests, and ambient temperatures, and simulated system behavior over a representative operating day in September. Model predictions of outlet temperatures were compared against corresponding field measurements. Results showed that modeling initialized with a simplified linear subsurface temperature gradient presents systematic discrepancies in outlet temperature, whereas incorporating depth-resolved borehole temperature measurements for initialization yields substantially improved agreement with observations. The findings highlight the sensitivity of short-term predictive modeling to the representation of initial subsurface thermal conditions and underscore the value of high-resolution field measurements for model calibration and validation. These preliminary results inform ongoing efforts to extend the modeling framework to longer time horizons and to refine monitoring and modeling strategies that support the design guidance and operational optimization of GHP systems in research and commercial buildings.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY

Predictive numerical modeling of plasma-induced surface roughness and wettability evolution in LM-PAEK/CF tape

Plasma surface modification effectively enhances adhesion in thermoplastic composites, yet its impacts on high-performance polymers like low-melting polyaryletherketone (LM-PAEK) remain inadequately quantified. Here, this study integrates experimental analysis and numerical modeling to characterize surface roughness and wettability changes in LM-PAEK/carbon fiber composites treated with atmospheric plasma. Atomic Force Microscopy quantified surface topography (n = 10 per condition for contact angles), while static contact-angle assessments measured wettability. Roughness rapidly increased from ∼0.2 nm to 1.6 nm, and contact angle reduced from ∼90° to 24°, both stabilizing after 25–30 s of exposure. A semi-empirical, physics-informed framework was calibrated to these data, coupling surface chemistry via the Owens–Wendt decomposition with topography via the Wenzel roughness factor, and evaluated using out-of-sample (cross-validated) tests, while static contact angle assessments measured wettability. Numerical predictions matched experimental results closely (RMSE <5%, R 2 > 0.95). Incorporating material-specific parameters, the calibrated model supports plasma-treatment optimization and provides quantitative guidance for improving interfacial adhesion in thermoplastic composite manufacturing.

Atomic Force Microscopy

Resource Assessment Study of Long Island Sound Tidal Resource in New York State Waters Based on Numerical Modeling (Abstract)

To refine the understanding of the tidal energy resource in Long Island Sound (LIS), Verdant Power and PNNL will collaborate to conduct a numerical modeling campaign in accordance with a Stage 2 resource assessment according to IEC TC 62600-201. The work will develop a high resolution tidal hydrodynamic model using FVCOM in LIS, validate the model using NOAA C-MIST ADCP data, and conduct a Stage 2 array layout design study at selected hotspots within the project area. The teams will also model tidal energy extraction using the FVCOMTEC module at the hotspot sites, based on specific device technologies provided by Verdant Power. Model results from this study will inform additional resource assessment activities such as in situ water velocity measurements for further model validation and elucidate understanding of other key sites in Long Island Sound for commercial-scale tidal energy deployments.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER

A numerical model of the zonal mean circulation of the middle atmosphere

The paper presents a simulation of the zonally averaged circulation in the middle atmosphere using a numerical model based on the primitive equations in log pressure coordinates. The circulation is driven radiatively by heating due to solar ultraviolet absorption by ozone and infrared cooling due to carbon dioxide and ozone; Rayleigh friction with a a short time constant above 70 km is included to simulate the strong mechanical dissipation which is hypothesized to exist in the vicinity of the mesopause due to turbulence associated with gravity waves and tides near the mesopause.

Holton, J. R.

Impact of mixed grain size sediment input on braided river Morphodynamics: Insights from experimental and numerical modeling

The rate of sediment supply has significant impacts on river morphology, making it crucial to understand the geomorphic changes and grain size distribution dynamics in rivers. However, the effects of varying grain size sediment input on morphological changes in braided channels remain poorly understood. This study is the first to investigate the bar development and sediment sorting processes in braided channels with non-uniform sediment inputs using both numerical and experimental approaches. We applied a two-dimensional numerical model, Nays2DH to confirm and generalize experimental results. The model reproduced key experiment results, including 1) stream elevation changes, and 2) grain size distribution. Using this validated model, we explored the morphological changes and sorting process in a braided river with sediment inputs. The numerical experiments demonstrate that sediment input controls the elevation of the stream bed and the grain size distribution. Notably, both the elevation and grain-size distribution become relatively stable in downstream of the channel. Additionally, the simulation results suggest that an increased sediment supply leads to greater channel complexity, with bed surface armoring decreasing.

Nays2DH

A preliminary study of the application of HCMM satellite data to define initial and boundary conditions for numerical models: A case study in St. Louis, Missouri

Infrared and visible HCMM data were used to examine the potential application of these data to define initial and boundary conditions for mesoscale numerical models. Various boundary layer models were used to calculate the distribution of the surface heat flux, specific humidity depression (the difference between the specific humidity in the air at approxmately the 10 m level and the specific humidity at the ground), and the eddy vicosity in a 72 km by 72 km area centered about St. Louis, Missouri. Various aspects of the implications of the results on the meteorology of St. Louis are discussed. Overall, the results indicated that a reasonable estimate of the surface heat flux, urban albedo, ground temperature, and specific humidity depression can be obtained using HCMM satellite data. Values of the ground-specific humidity can be obtained if the distribution of the air-specific humidity is available. More research is required in estimating the absolute magnitude of the specific humidity depression because calculations may be sensitive to model parameters.

Vukovich, F. M.

Numerical model of long-lived Jovian vortices

The extension of the measured zonal velocity profile into the adiabatic interior of Jupiter, while eddies and large oval structures are confined to a shallow stably-stratified upper layer, are assumed in a nonlinear numerical model of long-lived Jovian vortices. In agreement of the observed flows of Jupiter, each vortex is stationary with respect to the shear flow at a critical latitude that is close to the latitude of the vortex center. The solutions obtained are strongly nonlinear, in contrast to the solitary wave solutions that are the weakly nonlinear extensions of ultralong linear waves. The merging of two stable vortices upon collision, rather than the non-interaction predicted by solitary wave theory, is in keeping with Jovian vortex observations. It is suggested that long-lived vortices maintain themselves against dissipation by absorbing smaller vortices produced by convection.

Ingersoll, A. P.

OC6 Project Phase IV: Validation of Numerical Models for Novel Floating Offshore Wind Support Structures

The fourth phase of the Offshore Code Comparison, Collaboration, Continued, with Correlation and unCertainty (OC6) aims to assess the ability of the tools to model a novel floating wind design. The design that was selected for this project is the TetraSpar designed by Stiesdal Offshore Technologies. The platform is a unique design that features a spar like stability with a very low center of gravity, but does not require deep-water ports. This combination is achieved with a system made of two separate steel structures, a hull at the water’s surface that supports the wind turbine tower, and a keel that is suspended below the main body. This lower keel has a very high density and drives the total platform’s low center of gravity. Scaled model tests of the TetraSpar design were performed in 2018-2019 by the University of Maine. The tests were performed with 1:43 Froude scaling. The data collected in the model tests provide a detailed description of the response of the platform in various controlled and relatively well understood conditions. Comparison with these data provides a good opportunity for validation of numerical models. The OC6 Phase IV work will focus on the specific parameters used in these scaled model tests. The load cases (LC) considered in this project are as follows: LC 1.X - Equilibrium and Static Offset Tests LC 2.X - Platform Free Decays LC 3.X - Turbine Thrust (Wind Only) LC 4.X - Regular and Irregular Waves (Wave only) LC 5.X - Combined Wind and Wave Loading

17 WIND ENERGY

Resolution requirements for numerical modeling of neutrino quantum kinetics

Neutrino quantum kinetics is a rapidly evolving field in computational astrophysics, with a primary focus on collective neutrino oscillations in core-collapse supernovae and postmerger phases of binary neutron star mergers. In recent years, there has been considerable debate concerning resolution dependence in numerical simulations. In this paper, we conduct a comprehensive resolution study in both angular- and spatial directions by using two independent schemes of quantum kinetic neutrino transport: finite volume and pseudospectral methods. We complement our discussion by linear stability analysis including inhomogeneous modes. Our result suggests that decreasing spatial resolutions underestimates the growth of flavor instability, and then leads to wrong asymptotic states of flavor conversions, which potentially has a critical impact on astrophysical consequences. We further delve into numerical results of low resolution simulations, that reveals the underlying mechanism responsible for numerical artifacts caused by insufficient resolutions. Finally, this study settles the debate on requirements of resolutions and serves as a guideline for numerical modeling of quantum kinetic neutrino transport.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS

Verification and transfer of thermal pollution model. Volume 6: User's manual for 1-dimensional numerical model

The six-volume report: describes the theory of a three dimensional (3-D) mathematical thermal discharge model and a related one dimensional (1-D) model, includes model verification at two sites, and provides a separate user's manual for each model. The 3-D model has two forms: free surface and rigid lid. The former, verified at Anclote Anchorage (FL), allows a free air/water interface and is suited for significant surface wave heights compared to mean water depth; e.g., estuaries and coastal regions. The latter, verified at Lake Keowee (SC), is suited for small surface wave heights compared to depth (e.g., natural or man-made inland lakes) because surface elevation has been removed as a parameter.

Lee, S. S.

Optimum employment of satellite indirect soundings as numerical model input

The characteristics of satellite-derived temperature soundings that would significantly affect their use as input for numerical weather prediction models were examined. Independent evaluations of satellite soundings were emphasized to better define error characteristics. Results of a Nimbus-6 sounding study reveal an underestimation of the strength of synoptic scale troughs and ridges, and associated gradients in isobaric height and temperature fields. The most significant errors occurred near the Earth's surface and the tropopause. Soundings from the TIROS-N and NOAA-6 satellites were also evaluated. Results again showed an underestimation of upper level trough amplitudes leading to weaker thermal gradient depictions in satellite-only fields. These errors show a definite correlation to the synoptic flow patterns. In a satellite-only analysis used to initialize a numerical model forecast, it was found that these synoptically correlated errors were retained in the forecast sequence.

Horn, L. H.