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Analytic Neural Network Gaussian Process Enabled Chance-Constrained Voltage Regulation for Active Distribution Systems with PVs, Batteries and EVs

This paper proposes an analytic neural network Gaussian process (NNGP)-based chance-constrained real-time voltage regulation method for active distribution systems with photovoltaics (PVs), batteries, and electric vehicles (EVs). NNGP can utilize historical measurement data to achieve real-time probabilistic node voltage estimation through Bayesian inference. Then, NNGP is fully analytically embedded into the optimal power flow model to perform voltage regulation and adapt to various topological changes. The uncertainties of voltage estimations are easily considered via the chance constraint, and it has been shown that the adoption of this chance constraint can significantly improve the reliability of voltage regulation under various scenarios. The comparison results with other methods, carried out on a real 759-node distribution system located in western Colorado, U.S., show that the proposed method can achieve accurate voltage estimation across different topologies and reliably perform voltage regulation considering PVs, batteries, and EVs.

active distribution systems↗

A Combined Computer Vision and Deep Learning Approach for Rapid Drone-Based Optical Characterization of Parabolic Troughs

Optical accuracy is a primary driver of parabolic trough concentrating solar power (CSP) plant performance, but can be damaged by wind loads, gravity, error during installation, and regular plant operation. Collecting and analyzing optical measurements over an entire operating parabolic trough plant is difficult, given the large scale of typical installations. Distant Observer, a software tool developed at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, uses images of the absorber tube reflected in the collector mirror to measure both surface slope in the parabolic mirror and offset of the absorber tube from the ideal focal point. This technology has been adapted for fast data collection using low-cost commercial drones, but until recently still required substantial human labor to process large amounts of data. A new method leveraging advanced deep learning and computer vision tools can drastically reduce the time required to process images. This new method addresses the primary analysis bottleneck, identifying featureless, reflective mirror corner points to a high degree of accuracy. Recent work has shown promising results using computer vision methods. The combined deep learning and computer vision approach presented here proved highly effective and has the potential to further automate data collection and analysis, making the tool more robust. The method presented in this paper automatically identified 74.3% of mirror corners within 2 pixels of their manually marked counterparts and 91.9% within 3 pixels. This level of accuracy is sufficient for practical Distant Observer analysis within a target uncertainty. A commercial drone collected video of over 100 parabolic trough modules at an operating CSP plant to demonstrate the deep learning and computer vision method's usefulness in processing large amounts of data. These troughs were successfully analyzed using Distant Observer, paired with the new deep learning and computer vision algorithm, and can provide plant operators and trough designers with valuable insight about plant performance, operating strategies, and plant-wide optical error trends.

computer vision↗

pvlib python 2022 Update

Summary of updates to pvlib-python in the time since the 2019 PVPMC workshop, covering pvlib versions 0.7.0 to 0.9.2.

MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING,SOLAR ENERGY↗

PVAnalytics: A Python Package for Automated Processing of Solar Time Series Data

Multiple publicly available software packages exist that analyze solar time series data, including RdTools and Solar Data Tools, among others. Several of these packages contain their own unique quality assurance (QA) and feature recognition algorithms. The python PVAnalytics package was developed to offer an internally consistent source for these analysis tools, making it easier for the end user to deploy these routines on his or her solar data. The PVAnalytics package currently contains routines for outlier detection, inverter clipping detection, irradiance and temperature checks, orientation checks, and data shift detection, among other functions. These functions have been aggregated from various sources including Solar Forecast Arbiter, RdTools, and the QA process developed by NREL's PV Fleets Initiative. We are continuously adding new functionality to the package, including documentation, examples and algorithms. By bundling QA functionality into a single software package, we hope to make PVAnalytics a comprehensive software library to support analysis of solar metadata and time series data.

data cleaning↗

Computational Methods to Characterize Panel Loading Conditions for Accelerated Testing

Panel cracking and degradation due to wind loading are known to have a detrimental effect on power output. Recreating these damaging conditions in a controlled experimental setting requires an understanding of the loads being generated at the panel surface as a function of both wind speed, wind direction, and panel orientation. To better understand these relationships, a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulation package was constructed using an open-source Python library for solving partial differential equations with the finite element method. This CFD package allows the simulated wind speed and panel orientation of a multi-panel array to be easily changed and provides the capability to measure the traction forces at discrete points along the sun-facing and ground-facing surface of an interior panel residing in the wake of one or more upstream panels. A parameter exploration was performed in which the panel angle was varied in even increments from -70 deg to 70 deg and the wind speed was varied from 2 to 30 m/s. During post processing, the measured traction along the panel surface was averaged spatially and interpreted as a time-varying signal, where further processing of this signal yielded the root mean square amplitude and a characteristic frequency associated with the loading. This study found that higher wind speeds are generally associated with increased amplitude of loading and that the panel orientation angle can significantly exacerbate or mitigate this loading. These outcomes are presented along with current work on higher-fidelity verification simulations and recommendations for performing accelerated experimental testing.

loading↗

Visualizing Fault Induced Traveling Waves in Medium Voltage Systems: Preprint

Traveling waves are induced in power systems during most transient events in the grid. These waves travel close to the speed of light in overhead lines and 50% to 60% the speed of light in underground cables. Even though traveling wave-based protection schemes for transmission systems are available commercially, traveling waves in medium voltage distribution networks are still in research space. Compared to transmission system, medium voltage distribution systems contain more reflections and refractions. Thus, visualization is challenging and is critical in locating faults in distribution network. To address this visualization challenge, this paper presents an open-source tool to visualize the traveling waves using Bewley lattice approach. The developed visualization tool will be useful for the protection and safety engineers to detect and triangulate fault locations in the medium voltage systems and isolate the faults.

Bewley Lattice↗

Recent Improvements in the National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB)

The National Solar Radiation Database (NSRDB) has significantly evolved since the first release of the point source database in 1993. The NSRDB has been widely used by the solar energy industry to provide long-term time-series solar resource data for various project phases. The NSRDB represents the state of the art in the satellite-based estimation of solar resource information and uses a unique physics-based modeling approach that allows improvements in accuracy with the deployment of the next-generation geostationary satellites. This poster provides an overview of (1) the improved spatiotemporal resolution; (2) on-demand services and their applications; (3) future Improvements, such as a new direct normal irradiance model and new methods to gap-fill missing data using physics-guided machine learning; (4) data quality; and (5) data dissemination.

MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING,SOLAR ENERGY↗

Predicting Wind Loading and Instability in Solar Tracking PV Arrays

Wind loading and the fluctuating pressure loads it creates on PV panel surfaces are associated with multiple degradation mechanisms and failures. Modest wind speeds create reversing loads that can initiate cell cracks and weather cracked cells. Stronger wind speeds and extreme weather events can lead to larger scale forces and the aerodynamic instability known as torsional galloping. All these effects are dependent on the complex coupling between wind speed, panel orientation, and a myriad of other hardware and site-specific factors. In this work, we present the latest developments from our work to build an open-source, high-performance computing (HPC) fluid dynamics solver to predict and mitigate these effects. This simulation package allows users to easily specify different array layouts, solar-tracking angles, panel geometries, and weather conditions before automatically generating a refined computational mesh and solving for the unsteady loading on each panel surface. Small domains (e.g., a single panel row in isolation) can be solved on a modern laptop, while larger domains or very high-fidelity studies can be solved on distributed or HPC resources with minimal modifications to the underlying problem specification. We present preliminary case studies obtained using this simulation package and highlight how increased wind speeds combined with sub-optimal tracking angles can exacerbate degradation drivers.

aerodynamics↗

AI and ML Applications for PV Reliability and System Performance

This poster discusses AI and ML topics in PV reliability and system performance. In particular, automated metadata extraction and QA for fielded solar installations is covered for the PV Fleets Project. Additionally, statistical learning topics for the PVInsight Project are addressed, as well as development of the PV Validation Hub.

algorithm↗

PVDeg: Development of a Streamlined Tool for PV Degradation Modeling

The photovoltaic (PV) industry constantly aims for lower costs, higher-efficiency cells, and improved module designs. These trends lead to using new materials, designs, and manufacturing processes, resulting in a continually changing technological landscape. These changes can potentially introduce new, unknown degradation mechanisms and failure modes that are difficult to diagnose, analyze, test, and model. This introduces uncertainty into the expected lifetime of PV modules of 25 to 50 years. research efforts aim to achieve this while keeping performance degradation at a minimum for decades. This puts considerable pressure on improving the accuracy of long-term durability and reliability assessments. There is a need to organize the existing degradation data into an accessible format and to provide industry relevant tools for extrapolation from laboratory to field conditions. Because the core of this type of analysis involves calculations that are complicated but ubiquitous for many degradation processes, an enhanced predictive modeling framework will facilitate the analysis to help researchers keep up with the rapid pace of technological changes. In this work, we present an online tool that can be used to search for and analyze degradation information and extrapolate PV module performance and durability to field exposure. The tool will simplify many of the routine computational operations that are common to many degradation studies. The prediction tool will be built modular and published as open source, enabling users to expand on the existing framework. This repository will contain various degradation models and material parameters suitable for the reliability and durability assessment of materials and components deployed outdoors.

degradation↗

NREL's Tools for AgriPV Modeling

As part of the Tools and Apps for Agrivoltaics session, NREL presents their tools that have capabilities for modeling PV and agricultural dual use sites. These include the System Advisor Model (SAM), bifacial_radiance open-source raytracing tool, and a simplified agriPV calculator available in the InSPIRE website.

agriculture↗

The "PVLib" of Degradation: PVDeg

The Photovoltaic (PV) industry constantly aims for lower costs through higher-efficiency cells, improved module designs, and improvements in durability. This leads to the use of new materials, designs, and manufacturing processes, and not always with a sufficient amount of durability testing. To help drive down costs there is a desire to create modules that will last for up to 50 years of service life. To accomplish this, every degradation mode and mechanism must be identified and either eliminated or otherwise mitigated. This involves the extrapolation of laboratory results to the field conditions. There is a need to organize the existing degradation data into an accessible format and to provide industry relevant tools for extrapolation from laboratory to field conditions. While the basic equations used to model degradation are sometimes very simple, the full analysis involves calculations are cumbersome but ubiquitous for many degradation processes. A simplified, modeling framework to accomplish these repetitive processes will facilitate the analysis to help researchers keep up with the rapid pace of technological changes. In this talk, we will describe our progress creating the open-source tool PVDeg. This tool can be used to search for and analyze degradation information and extrapolate PV module performance and durability to field exposure. PVDeg simplifies many of the common foundational computational operations for obtaining meteorological data and using it to generate a model of the PV deployment. This prediction tool repository also contains various degradation models as well as a library of material parameters suitable for estimating the durability assessment of materials and components. We use an integration pipeline approach that allows us to leverage weather data from the National Solar Radiation Database, and other weather sources, to perform geospatial degradation analysis in the US and worldwide. We hope to become a repository that can be used for weathering and degradation analysis for various applications beyond the PV industry. During the talk, we will provide the PVPMC attendees the opportunity to interact with the tool via a Google Collab tutorial they can run on their phones or laptops.

durability↗

Energy Yield Loss Due to LETID

This presentation presents an open-source LETID model part of the PVDegradationTools, which can calculate solar modules degradation due to Light and Elevated Temperature (LETID).

degradation↗

The Hard Life of Floatovoltaics: Modeling Wind-Driven Oscillations of Floating Solar Panels

Modern, thin photovoltaic (PV) panels for solar power are susceptible to high stress loads in windy conditions. Manufacturers are eager to determine optimal installation practices to reduce these loads, including in the relatively new practice of installing PV on floating structures located on artificial and natural lakes. As part of our effort to develop simulation capabilities for stress on such floating PV systems, we here present our combined model-simulation approach, which simulates the dynamic wind loading and uses modeled elements to capture both the hydrodynamic and mooring-line forces. We discuss the forces important for our model and the challenges inherent in our simulation. Of particular interest is our model of the hysteresis response displayed by the attached mooring lines, which are engineered to damp motion and oscillation of the floating panel system. We validate our approach against the benchmark problem of vortex-induced vibration of a cylinder, which is driven by the same dynamic forces present in floating PV panels.

floating↗

A Simulation and Optimization Framework for Managing Wind-Driven Loading on PV Systems

As PV modules continue to trend toward larger, thinner, and more flexible forms they grow more susceptible to damage from dynamic wind loading. As a result, understanding the impact of wind on PV systems, particularly when mounted on solar-tracking hardware, and identifying robust, stable array layouts and stow strategies is becoming increasingly important for the PV community. We are developing an open-source software package, PVade (PV aerodynamic design engineering), to simulate the cascading fluid-structure interaction that occurs within solar-tracking arrays to enable researchers to test hardware, layout, and tracker control changes, leading to enhanced stability and a reduction in wind-driven damage. We will give an overview of the PVade software and present the latest outcomes from our ongoing validation campaign in which we compare statistical structural responses with field data. From there, we will present simulated results from a larger, multi-row array and highlight the effect of varying tracker angles on stability as measured by both acceleration and deformation, focusing on the stability differences between positive and negative tilt angles.

fluid structure interaction↗