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Multiphysics Analysis of Load Following and Safety Transients for MicroReactors

The tools developed within the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy’s Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program aim at providing high fidelity multiphysics modeling capabilities to support design and licensing of various types of advanced nuclear reactors, including the technologies being developed by U.S. microreactor vendors relying on heat pipe and gas-cooled technologies. In FY-2022, the NEAMS Multiphysics Applications team made significant progress both in demonstrating capabilities applied to microreactor problems, and in supporting NEAMS developers.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Horizontal Split Table Conceptual Design for Advanced Reactor Validation

Oak Ridge National Laboratory and Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory are collaborating to develop a conceptual design for a horizontal split table for use in performing critical experiments. The goal of this design effort is to provide nuclear data testing and validation capabilities for advanced reactors such as pebble-bed high-temperature gas-cooled reactors, molten salt reactors, and heat pipe microreactor, but it could also be used for the current generation of reactors. The first concept being explored for the horizontal split table, a pebble-bed design based on the HTR-10 reactor, is described in this paper. A critical configuration corresponding to a footprint of about 4.5 m 2 was determined with SCALE/KENO-VI to fit the planned dimensions of the horizontal split table. The similarity of the pebble-bed design and the HTR-10 reactor application was assessed using SCALE/TSUNAMI, and a similarity coefficient $c_k$ of 0.9982 was obtained, proving that the concept will be useful for nuclear data validation and assimilation of pebble-bed type advanced reactors. In the proposed design, the materials with the highest $k_{eff}$ sensitivity are graphite and uranium, demonstrating that particular care must be given to carbon-related cross-section data. The effect of mechanical uncertainties between the fixed and moving tables was also assessed by calculating the reactivity change caused by vertical and horizontal gaps, as well as angular and torsion offsets between the two sides of the horizontal split table concept. The highest relative changes on the concept’s reactivity were caused by angular perturbations. The same analysis process is currently being used to create a molten salt advanced reactor type horizontal split table concept based on the Molten Salt Reactor Experiment (MSRE).

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

SMR safety through HTTF modeling and benchmark efforts for code validation for gas-cooled reactor applications

Accurate modeling and simulation tools for thermal-hydraulics calculations are a key element needed to design and license new advanced reactors including Small Modular Reactors (SMR) and Microreactors. Uncertainties in modeling and simulation can have significant safety and economic implications. The High Temperature Test Facility (HTTF) at Oregon State University (OSU) is a scaled integral effects experiment designed to investigate transient behavior in high-temperature gas-cooled prismatic-block nuclear reactors. High-quality measurement data is available from the HTTF that is suitable for a thermal-hydraulics code validation benchmark for gas-cooled reactor simulations. Here, this paper summarizes individual HTTF modeling efforts to date for tool validation at Idaho National Laboratory (INL), Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), Oregon State University (OSU) and Canadian Nuclear Laboratories (CNL) using system thermal-hydraulics codes, Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) codes and system-CFD code couplings. Also, the paper introduces the ongoing OECD Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) High Temperature Gas Reactor Thermal-Hydraulics (HTGR T/H) benchmark that allows for better comparisons of results between different international modeling teams. The benchmark provides well defined computational problems that include code-to-code comparisons and comparisons to measured data. These problems provide an avenue for quantifying accuracy and identifying sources of uncertainty in thermal-hydraulics calculations, including in measured thermophysical properties, as part of validation for gas-cooled reactor simulation tools.

21 - SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLAN↗

BISON analyses of TRISO fuel performance, its dependence on time-at-temperature, and possible implications for fuel design and qualification

The Advanced Gas Reactor Fuel Development and Qualification (AGR) program has established a substantial technical foundation to support private entry into the U.S. high-temperature gas-cooled reactor market. However, emerging tristructural isotropic (TRISO)-fueled reactor applications include small modular reactors and microreactors with longer fuel residence times, which may expose fuels to higher time-at-temperature (TAT) values than were explored by the AGR program. Increased TAT could affect diffusive and thermomechanical behaviors such as Pd penetration, fission gas release, creep, and fission product transport. In this work, we applied multiscale best-estimate BISON fuel performance modeling to assess these effects within a representative design space based on the AGR-5/6/7 experiment and analyzed trends in predicted particle and compact fuel performance metrics with possible implications for near-term fuel design and qualification. BISON unambiguously predicted that TRISO fuel performance is sensitive to TAT. Increasing TAT was not predicted to increase the magnitude of failure-inducing tangential stresses in particle coating layers. Predictions obtained using a mechanistic model for Pd penetration indicated that penetration depth does not depend strongly on TAT. While these observations suggest that AGR testing provides a conservative upper bound for the steady-state operation of TRISO particles at lower powers and higher residence times, BISON also predicted that the release of poorly retained Ag would increase with TAT. Because these analyses applied models to extrapolate beyond the available experimental data, the authors recommend performing targeted experiments to confirm these predictions. Nevertheless, these predictions may provide reactor developers with enough confidence to make near-term design decisions associated with the potential fuel performance trade-offs of increasing TAT.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Towards a Benchmark Experiment with the Compact Nuclear Power Source

The Compact Nuclear Power Source (CNPS) was a high-assay low enriched uranium (HALEU) tristructural isotropic (TRISO)-fueled, graphite-moderated microreactor constructed in 1987 at Los Alamos National Laboratory. The reactor, conceived as a power source for short-range radar stations, was designed to be "walk-away safe," and was cooled by heat pipes and ambient air. Though the project was formally cancelled after the fuel and moderator material had been received, its potential to meaningfully advance the body of critical and integral data was evident, and critical experiments with a mock-up of the reactor proceeded at TA-18 until its disassembly in 1991. The reflector and some components of the core would later go on to see service as part of the New Production Reactor Modular High-Temperature Gas-Cooled Reactor (NP-MHTGR) critical experiments. In light of the progress made by groups like Westinghouse and X-Energy towards contemporary graphite-moderated microreactors, the system remains an attractive candidate for the basis of a benchmark experiment even today. Uncertainties remain, however, in some features of the system–inconsistencies in the dimensions and composition of the reactor’s components as described in literature and implemented in current computational models. The identification, quantification, and to the extent possible, the minimization of these uncertainties is a crucial task on the path towards creating a benchmark based on the CNPS system. The present work seeks to initiate this process with a survey of available documentation and improvements to the accuracy of CNPS neutronics models.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

U.S. High Temperature Materials Highlights

U.S. GIF VHTR work is continuing on graphite qualification, Alloy 617 regulatory issues beyond the Code space, Alloy 800H weldments, and ASME Codes and Standards R&D is still considering both pebble bed and prismatic and steam generator and heat exchanger U.S. DOE Advanced Reactor Demonstration Program (ARDP) Two U.S.-based teams were selected to demonstrate advanced nuclear reactors in the United States that can be operational by 2027 One of the teams is X-energy (Rockville, MD) which will demonstrate a modular gas-cooled reactor design (Xe-100) with four 80 MWe, TRISO fuel, pebble bed reactors A number of U.S.-based teams were selected to design and develop safe and affordable reactor technologies that can be licensed and deployed over the next 10 to 14 years (Risk Reduction) One of the teams is BWXT Advanced Technologies, LLC which will develop a commercially viable transportable microreactor with the design focused on using TRISO fuel particles and silicon carbide (SiC) matrix A number of U.S.-based teams were selected to assist the progression of advanced reactor designs in their earliest phases (Advanced Reactor Concepts-20) One of the teams is Massachusetts Institute of Technology which will mature the Modular Integrated Gas-Cooled High Temperature Reactor (MIGHTR) concept with a horizontal compact design from a pre-conceptual stage to a conceptual stage to support commercialization

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

A Microreactor Program Plan for The Department of Energy

The DOE Microreactor Program was established in FY 2019 to support research and development (R&D) of technologies related to the development, demonstration, and deployment of low-power, transportable reactors to provide power and heat for decentralized generation in civilian, industrial, and defense energy sectors. The program conducts both fundamental and applied R&D to de-risk technology performance and manufacturability readiness of microreactors. R&D projects and work packages are selected to support concept-neutral technology maturation. The intent is to ensure those concepts can be licensed and deployed by commercial entities to meet specific use case requirements. At the same time, the program will also support R&D specific to certain reactor technology groups (e.g., heat pipe reactors and gas-cooled reactors) to ensure relevancy and address the technology needs of commercial developers. The program will ensure coordination of work and activities across participating laboratories and universities, establish, and manage stakeholder interactions, and support program meetings. These stakeholders include, but are not limited to, industry developers, the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, the Department of Energy, policymakers, and end users. This document provides an overview of the overall Microreactor Program, including its vision, key technical objectives, and scope of the current and proposed R&D portfolio. It covers a 5-year rolling currently from Fiscal year 2025 through Fiscal year 2030. This document will be revised at least biennially to reflect changing priorities.

99 - GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

RELAP5-3D Solutions to Exercise 1 of the OECD-NEA HTTF Benchmark

The high-temperature gas-cooled reactor (HTGR) is an advanced reactor concept that has received considerable attention over the last 60 years. HTGRs boast high coolant outlet temperatures, passive safety, and large margins to fuel failure. Recent years have seen increasing interest in HTGRs, whether large-scale HTGRs for electricity or process heat applications or as microreactors serving remote communities. HTGRs have considerable potential to fulfill these applications, but modeling and simulation tools typically used for reactor safety analysis have not been validated for HTGR modeling. The High-Temperature Test Facility (HTTF) was constructed at Oregon State University (OSU) to provide validation data for HTGR modeling. Recently, Idaho National Laboratory (INL), OSU, Argonne National Laboratory, Canadian Nuclear Laboratories, and the University of Tennessee Knoxville have collaborated to develop an HTGR thermal hydraulics benchmark based on HTTF experiments. This summary presents results from a portion of that benchmark using RELAP5-3D

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Core Design of the Holos-Quad Microreactor

The Holos-Quad micro-reactor concept, developed by HolosGen LLC, is equipped with a 22 MWt (Mega-Watt thermal) core and an integral power conversion system converting the core thermal energy into approximately 10 MWe (Mega-Watt electric). This design can be configured to support a wide range of applications. It is a very innovative high-temperature gas-cooled reactor concept using TRI-structural ISOtropic particle fuel (TRISO) distributed in graphite hexagonal blocks, cooled with helium in a direct Brayton cycle independently executed by four Subcritical Power Modules (SPMs) fitted into a hardened 40-foot container whose dimensions are in compliance with ISO shipping containers requirements. In FY2019 HolosGen LLC was awarded by the Department of Energy Advanced Research Project Agency-Energy (DOE ARPA-E) under the MEITNER funding program. As part of the MEITNER award, the Argonne National Laboratory (ANL) contributed expertise through two specialized teams: The “Design Team” and the “Resource Team”. The Design Team was dedicated to validate feasibility of the Holos-Quad core and to optimize its core design through neutronics analyses. The Resource Team was dedicated to feasibility verification via high-fidelity codes of Holos-Quad thermal-hydraulic, heat transfer, shielding, and structural aspects. This report summarizes the activities conducted by ANL Design Team. A rigorous design approach based on multi-criteria optimization and code-to-code comparison involving stochastic and high-fidelity deterministic solutions was developed and employed at several evolutionary stages of the Holos-Quad design. Several generations of the Holos-Quad core were designed within this project before converging to the current full-scale Gen 2+ design that is detailed in this report. Figure EA-1 illustrates a cross-sectional view of Gen 2+ Holos-Quad core configuration, and Figure EA-2 provides a simplified perspective view of 1-of-4 SPMs. The Holos-Quad uses four thermal-hydraulically independent SPMs locked into stationary positions during power operation, surrounded by BeO reflector and structural component fully comprised within the dimensional constraints represented by traditional ISO containers. One of the benefits of this approach is to enable transportation of each SPM promptly after irradiation in shielded containers. The core is designed to operate for approximately 8 full-power years while the reactivity controls and power conversion system enable load-following operations. The reactivity controls are represented by independent, diversified, and redundant reactivity control systems based on control drums and redundant sets of shutdown rods. The high-fidelity simulation tools were used to assess detailed power and flux distributions of the three-dimensional full-core or quarter-core of the Gen 2+ configuration. Single-physics and multi-physics simulations of the neutronics code PROTEUS and the thermal-hydraulic code System Analysis Module (SAM) were performed to analyze the Holos design configurations with detailed high-fidelity solutions. The design work performed confirmed feasibility of the Holos-Quad concept, provided realistic design description for detailed design of the operational system, and identified several core design improvements to be further considered for future reactor development activities.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Review of Graphite Properties Relevant to Micro-Reactor Design

Microreactors are advanced reactors that are designed to be small, scalable, and portable with up to 20 MW power. These reactors could operate independently, or as part of a microgrid, without need of a frequent refueling. Micro-reactors are designed to be deployable to provide electric power in remote locations, therefore providing greater flexibility. Several micro-reactors are under development in the US. These reactors are based on advanced gas-cooled or heat-pipe concepts. While Graphite can be found in various applications, some high-temperature reactors plan to employ Graphite in their core components due to its role as a moderator and its ability to maintain its structural integrity when subjected to elevated temperatures and high neutron fluence. Although there is significant experience with use of Graphite in nuclear applications, there are still unknowns that should be addressed. Graphite properties depend on the graphite type and affected by the fabrication procedures. Material properties are functions of the temperature and irradiation dose. The fundamental properties also affected by the oxidation environment. Therefore, in-depth understanding of graphite properties, including the effect of irradiation, oxidation and other influencing parameters are required to evaluate the design accurately. This draft aims to provide a comprehensive review of material properties for Graphite relevant to micro reactor design. For this work, two distinct grades of graphite were considered, namely IG-110 and Mersen-2114. Physical, thermal, and mechanical properties for these grades were comparatively evaluated. The properties that are discussed in this draft aim to serve as a basis for design and safety analysis.

42 ENGINEERING↗

A MOOSE-Based Model for Fission Product Transport and Source Term Estimation for High-Temperature Gas-Cooled Reactors

Thanks to fuel elements containing tristructural isotropic (TRISO) particles combined with a low core power density and passive feedback mechanisms leading to modest temperature rises in the event of accidental events, high-temperature gas-cooled reactors (HTGRs) offer a high degree of reliability in terms of fission product retention. While the anticipated source term for HTGRs is expected to be very low, it is important to provide a quantitative estimate of radiological releases during nominal and accidental conditions. Here, we propose a computationally efficient mechanistic source term methodology relying on the Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) for tracking fission product transport from TRISO particles up to the coolant pressure boundary, as well as modeling the transport and potential deposition of these nuclides inside the reactor coolant loop. The proposed computational scheme is applied to estimate source term inventories for a representative 10-MW(thermal) prismatic high-temperature microreactor and is qualitatively compared against known release fractions. In addition to providing an alternate analysis tool, this MOOSE model can help reactor designers quantify the influence of key design parameters relevant for studies of radiological dose consequences.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Comparative Analysis of Heat Exchangers for High Temperature High Pressure Helium Component Testing

Helium gas loops have been designed and built to gain a better understanding of the gas thermohydraulic phenomena that take place in a helium system. Some of these loops are used for validation and testing of components for high temperature gas-cooled reactors (HTGRs). However, most of them operate at lower pressure and temperature than an HTGR. While these loops can provide valuable information about gas-cooled reactor components, the operating envelope of the experiment is constrained by the maximum operating conditions of the helium loop. In response to the lack of an experimental facility that can provide the infrastructure needed to validate and test components at nominal pressures and temperatures of HTGRS, the HElium Component Testing Out-of-pile Research (HECTOR) facility was designed at Idaho National Laboratory with the assistance of University of Idaho and Walsh Engineering. With the capability to test at temperatures up to 800°C and pressures of 8MPa, HECTOR serves as a critical tool for the advancement of HTGR technology. The facility's primary role is to provide a controlled, high-fidelity environment for the assessment of component resilience and efficiency under nominal HTGR conditions. In the quest to enhance the efficiency and performance of HECTOR, a comparative analysis of three distinct types of heat exchangers—shell and tube, offset strip fin, and printed-circuit—was conducted, focusing primarily on two critical metrics: the required surface area and pressure drop characteristics. The shell and tube heat exchanger, renowned for its robust design and widespread industrial application, was evaluated against the offset strip fin and the cuttingedge printed-circuit heat exchangers, both of which are lauded for their compactness and thermal effectiveness. This comparative study aims to provide detailed insights into the thermal management capabilities of each heat exchanger type under the conditions inherent to HECTOR, thereby facilitating an informed selection for systems demanding high operational integrity and efficiency.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Versatile Heat Transfer Module

Development of micro-reactors that can be easily transported to remote areas for civilian or military applications is an immediate focus of U.S. nuclear industry and therefore is being pursued by multiple reactor vendors (e.g. HolosGen LLC, Westinghouse, Ultra Safe Nuclear Corporation, URENCO, etc.) and actively supported by DOE-NE, DOE-ARPA-E and by the Department Of Defense (DoD). Very-high-temperature gas-cooled (VHTR) and heat pipe cooled reactor technologies are regarded as promising concepts for microreactors applications since they enable compact power conversion systems and display beneficial inherent safety features. Development of microreactors with enhanced performance must be supported by innovations in nuclear technologies. Several technologies being developed by the microreactor industry are being revisited with material technologies developed at the Argonne National Laboratory (ANL). Innovative high-temperature compatible solutions are developed to enable advanced thermal-spectrum microreactor designs featuring improved neutronics performance at high-temperature operating conditions to enable high thermal efficiency and economic competitiveness. This report focuses on the Versatile Heat Transfer Module (VHTM) technology that is developed at ANL for heat-transfer in thermal-spectrum microreactors. This technology is built on a liquid alkali metal heat pipe concept while leveraging advanced nuclear material technologies for high-temperature applications at reduced neutronic penalty with potential improvement in inherent safety behavior. The VHTM can be applied to design high-temperature thermal-spectrum microreactor systems with reduced size, weight, uranium enrichment, or increased lifetime. The INFINIT technology deriving from the VHTM enables design of a highly compact long-life microreactor concept for fission surface power (FSP). Demonstration of multiphysics modeling capability was also completed to showcase the added inherent safety benefits obtained with this concept. The VHTM technology remain at an early development stage with low Technology Readiness Level and Manufacturing Readiness Level. The current demonstration of these technologies has focused on manufacturing capability, on performance of the hydrogen diffusion barrier under thermal cycling, while radiation tolerance demonstration is planned. The next step of the demonstration plan will be the assembly of miniature VHTM for high-temperature testing, which can be used as a prototype for future pilot scale demonstration. Such research is critical to pursue development of these technologies that have the clear potential to significantly improve the performance of currently investigated micro-reactors systems.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Small Reactors in Microgrids: Technology Modeling and Selection (Net-Zero Microgrid Program Project Report)

This report demonstrates the capabilities of the net-zero microgrid (NZM) Xendee platform for modeling an SR module with electricity, heat extraction and thermal storage in microgrids configurations. The model effectively captures the most important technical and economic considerations for SR technology specific analysis: cost and operational characteristics of SR technology and financial costs and incentives. The model can analyze multiple scenarios to establish metrics for cost-competitive and zero-carbon microgrids connected to the grid or completely isolated. The model is fully integrated within the Xendee platform for modeling and analysis of clean energy microgrids with storage and generation from renewable energy sources. The model captures the capabilities, constraints, and nuances of SR by incorporating parameters related to plant economics, design efficiency and performance, plant operation and component and fuel lifespan. The cost and operational parameters modeled in the SR module are specific to the technology selected for integration in the microgrid. Cost parameters recognize advanced nuclear technology for modular production and installation based on economies of scale from factory manufacture and related commissioning, and cost reduction through technology maturation—first-of-a-kind (FOAK) and nth-of-a-Kind (NOAK). The cost parameters include installation, operations and maintenance (O&M), fuel refueling cycle, and reactor life. Installation cost reflects economies of scale due to unit sizing at scale and colocation. O&M economies of scale for both fixed- and variable-cost fuel life-cycle costs are incurred at every refueling interval, with separate front- and back-end fuel costs, as well as waste-handling and disposition costs. This report investigates key characteristics of different SR technologies suitable for microgrid applications, including design principles, sizing, coolant properties, temperature ratings, fuel structures, and life-cycle considerations. This also includes fuel technologies applicable to these SR systems, alongside strategies for nuclear-waste and spent-fuel management and approaches to address safety, security, and proliferation challenges. Four primary groups of SR technologies are examined: water-cooled, liquid-metal-cooled, high-temperature gas-cooled, and molten-salt-cooled systems. In this report, an initial guideline for technology selection is established, aligning the characteristics of the technologies with the requirements of microgrids. The selection of technology in a microgrid is influenced by various factors, including financial capacity, location and accessibility, demand type and characteristics, reliability and resilience requirements, area constraints, and the lifespan of the microgrid. The types of electrical and non-electrical applications within the microgrid also play a significant role in technology selection. The characteristics of SRs, such as their smaller size, modularity, transportability, long refueling interval, improved safety features, ability to operate in autonomous or semi-autonomous mode, and provision of high-grade heat, are particularly appealing for microgrids. Furthermore, a list of considerations for implementing SRs in microgrids is outlined. The SR model is created to be continuously improved with the acquisition of actual data on investment and operational costs, experience with supply chains, production at scale, and field deployments. In the near term, performance data on applications in microgrids will become available from lessons learned from laboratory tests, such as those planned for the Microreactor Applications Research Validation and Evaluation Project (MARVEL), led by Idaho National Laboratory (INL). The SR model incorporates scenario data and known SR design specifications, enabling technoeconomic analysis for SR deployment in microgrids. It specifically considers the distinctive attributes of SRs as generators in technoeconomic studies. SRs can be modeled and analyzed with generation from renewable-energy sources, energy storage, and flexible loads over a range of functionality and applications. This offers a comprehensive tool for feasibility studies, scenario development, and sensitivity analysis for “what-if” consideration of any range of assumptions about SRs in microgrids and other aggregations of distributed-energy resources, including virtual power plants.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Modeling and Simulation Supporting Material Control and Accounting for Advanced Reactors: Task 2: Safeguards Modeling and Simulation Assessment

Commercial interest in advanced reactors for power production in the United States is increasing. A variety of advanced reactor designs are being developed, and many of them use non-traditional fuel forms. Therefore, the material control and accounting (MC&A) methods that will be required for these advanced reactor systems also need to be developed to ensure that the necessary safeguards are implemented. To provide information that can be leveraged to explore different MC&A approaches, three representative advanced reactor types were evaluated from a technical safeguards perspective. These reactor designs were selected to encompass common materials and configurations that could affect safeguards considerations. The three designs evaluated were a molten salt reactor (MSR), a gas-cooled reactor (GCR), and a heat pipe-cooled microreactor.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Feasibility and strategic implications of deploying nuclear power reactors in Africa

This report assesses the feasibility and strategic implications of deploying nuclear power reactors, including large-scale plants, advanced small modular reactors (SMRs), and microreactors, in African countries. Case studies focus on South Africa, Egypt, Kenya, Ghana, and Nigeria, examining nuclear energy’s role in Africa’s rapidly evolving energy landscape, marked by fast-growing demand, significant electricity access gaps, increasing renewable penetration, and strong policy commitments to industrialization and energy security. Several U.S. reactor technologies and designs are considered based on their development status and readiness for deployment. The analysis finds that nuclear power can provide reliable, clean baseload and flexible generation, as well as high-temperature process heat for desalination, hydrogen production, and industrial applications. However, suitability is highly country-specific, depending on grid size and stability, transmission capacity, cooling water availability, regulatory readiness, and fuel supply chains. Near-term deployment opportunities are strongest for light-water reactors (such as NuScale, BWRX-300, AP300, and SMR-300) that use low-enriched uranium and build on proven technology. More advanced concepts, including gas-cooled, sodium-cooled, molten-salt cooled reactors, and microreactors, will likely be relevant for African deployment in the 2030s or later, contingent on demonstration projects, high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU) fuel availability, and mature international licensing frameworks. Economic analysis shows that SMRs are capital-intensive, with projected overnight costs for 300 MWe units in 2025 ranging from approximately 1.4 to 2.6 billion USD per module. The levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) is highly sensitive to the weighted average cost of capital (WACC). Given typically higher financing costs and utility balance-sheet weaknesses in many African countries, bankable project structures will require sovereign guarantees, robust offtake arrangements, and layered financing from export credit agencies, development finance institutions, and vendor nations. Comparisons with recent large nuclear projects in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Egypt underscore the central role of state-backed loans, long tenors, and concessional terms. Country case studies illustrate a spectrum of readiness and opportunity. South Africa operates two 920 MWe pressurized light water reactors (totaling 1,840 MWe) at Koeberg and has the most mature regulatory and industrial base, positioning it as a prime candidate for both large reactors and SMRs to replace coal, support desalination, and anchor industrial hubs. Egypt is constructing four VVER-1200 units at El Dabaa with strong state leadership and could later complement this fleet with SMRs for coastal and industrial applications. Kenya and Ghana are advancing through IAEA Milestones with growing institutional capacity and clear interest in SMRs that match their smaller grids and industrialization plans. Nigeria has the largest demand potential but faces acute constraints in grid reliability, project bankability, and regulatory capacity; targeted deployments of large reactors and SMRs near coastal or industrial sites could have high impact if accompanied by major grid upgrades and institutional reforms. The report identifies cross-cutting challenges such as financing, political continuity, public acceptance, nonproliferation and security, waste and back-end management, regulatory capacity, grid adequacy, and long deployment timelines for first-of-a-kind designs, and ANL/NSE-26/3 ii proposes broad directions for resolution. These include stronger multifaceted financing for nuclear, long-term national energy strategies that transcend electoral cycles, proactive stakeholder engagement, strengthened regional and national regulators, and systematic workforce development through centers of excellence and expanded training. The United States should develop partnerships with African countries and offer end-to-end nuclear package similar to those used effectively by competitors: coordinated project development, state-backed financing, long-term fuel services, and durable in-country support through regional offices and sustained workforce/regulatory training. With timely planning, sustained political commitment, and appropriate financing and institutional support, nuclear energy, both large reactors and advanced SMRs, can become a meaningful, though not dominant, pillar of Africa’s future power mix, enhancing energy security, enabling industrial growth, and supporting climate goals.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗