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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

A LOCA Analysis Tool: Coupling RELAP5-3D to BISON

Experimental evidence illustrates that at burnups slightly above the current regulatory limit of a rod-averaged burnup of 62 MWd/kgU, the ceramic UO 2 inside light-water reactor fuel rods becomes susceptible to a phenomenon known as fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal (FFRD) during a loss of coolant accident (LOCA) transient. The severity of FFRD is strongly influenced by the zirconium-based (Zircaloy) cladding behavior during the LOCA transient. A Technology Commercialization Fund (TCF) project was awarded to an Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI)/Idaho National Laboratory team to create a LOCA analysis tool that couples BISON to the systems/thermal-hydraulics code RELAP5-3D [1] for analysis of LOCA scenarios. In addition, further refinements to existing BISON models were identified as necessary to more accurately represent more recent experimental evidence from the Studsvik Cladding Integrity Project (SCIP) and other experimental programs.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Estimation of post-burst vibration-induced fuel dispersal thresholds following LOCA-simulant testing

The nuclear industry intends to increase burnup past the regulatory limit of 62 GWd/MTU, and to be successful, the dispersal behavior of fragmented high-burnup fuel during loss-of-coolant accidents must be better understood. Part of this behavior is fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal. This work reports on testing concerning the dispersal of fuel from rods following burst and pressure blowdown through the burst. The Fuel Relocation Induced by Accident Recovery (FRIAR) system was used to examine surrogate material and pre-burst cladding specimens to evaluate the effects of vibrational loading, mixture composition, and burst size on post-burst dispersal. Vibrational loading resulted in maximum dispersal around 15 Hz when the loading was performed with peak-to-peak oscillation amplitudes at 0.5 and 1 mm. Here, under this aggressive vibrational loading, dispersal was found to become significant as burst widths increased to approximately 5 mm and larger. However, below 4 mm widths, little material dispersed out of the opening, even at 1 mm amplitudes and for more dispersive mixtures (smaller average fragments). At and above 7 mm widths, dispersal was rapid for all mixtures. Finally, dispersal in the threshold region (4–5 mm wide bursts) strongly depended on the mixture. For mixtures with large fragments, dispersal was minimized to a few fragments, as the large fragments proved to be effective at minimizing dispersal. Conversely, mixtures with smaller fragments showed increased dispersal in this region.

Burst geometry↗
DOE OSTI2024

Fracture behavior of irradiation induced nanocrystalline UO 2 studied by in-situ mechanical testing in transmission electron microscopy

Uranium Dioxide (UO 2 ) is widely used as a fuel in current light water reactors (LWRs). Upon accumulation of radiation damage, LWR UO 2 fuel pellets start to develop a different microstructure at the pellet periphery when fuel burnup exceeds 45–50 GWd/tHM. The resulting porous, nanocrystalline microstructure is one of the most prominent microstructural changes occurring in such fuel. Its fracture mechanisms, which causes fuel fine fragmentation, could impact safety limits when the cladding breaches. Direct measurements of these properties are challenging, therefore a surrogate obtained via ion irradiation can be used. In this study, multiple microcantilevers were fabricated by focused ion beam from both fresh UO 2 and UO 2 irradiated with 84 MeV Xe 26+ ions to a peak dose of 1357 displacements per atom (dpa). Further, the irradiation produced a pseudo high burnup structure approximately 2 µm below the surface. In-situ nano-mechanical bending tests were conducted to investigate the fracture behavior and the effect of the surrogate UO 2 high burnup structure on local fracture properties. Fresh UO 2 fuel was observed to fracture in transgranular mode without nucleation or movement of dislocations. However, the Xe-irradiated nanocrystalline microcantilevers fractured along the grain boundaries, with no influence from the pre-existing micro-cracks in the microcantilever. Fracture toughness for this type of surrogate high burnup UO 2 structure is reported for the first time in literature. Both the fracture stress and toughness show degradation for UO 2 as a result of Xe-irradiation.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2025

2025 ASMS Investigation of the Collision-Induced Dissociation Mechanism of Protonated TODGA with IRIS

Title (20 words): Investigation of the Collision-Induced Dissociation Mechanism of Protonated TODGA with IRIS Introduction (120 words): One of the challenges facing wide-spread adoption of nuclear power is the development of efficient separation processes for used nuclear fuel. The molecules in separation processes are subjected to an extreme environment due to the high radiation fields from the used fuel and highly acidic media used for fuel dissolution, which results in significant molecular degradation, leading to reduced process efficiency. These degradation products must be identified and studied so mitigation strategies can be developed to maintain process efficiency. However, complex systems can have many degradation products, complicating identification. Untargeted analysis tools could be used to understand radiation chemistry in complex systems. However, this would necessitate improved understanding of the gas-phase fragmentation mechanisms of fuel cycle molecules like tetraoctyldiglycolamide (TODGA). Methods (120 words): The gas-phase fragmentation of protonated TODGA was investigated using collision-induced dissociation (CID), resonance ejection, and infrared ion spectroscopy (IRIS). CID and resonance ejection experiments were conducted using a Bruker Daltonics (Bremen, Gemany) SolariX XR fourier transform ion cyclotron resonance (FT-ICR) mass spectrometer. IRIS spectra of protonated TODGA and its two CID fragmentation products were measured using a modified Bruker amaZon Speed ETD 3D quadrupole ion trap mass spectrometer coupled to the Free Electron Lasers for Infrared eXperiments (FELIX) free electron laser. Measured spectra were compared with density functional theory (DFT) calculations using the Gaussian 16, Revision C.02 software package with the ?B97X-D functional and def2-TZVPP basis sets. Candidate structures were generated using the CREST 3.0 conformational sampling software tool. Preliminary Data (300 words): Collision-induced dissociation of protonated TODGA ([C36H73N2O3]+, m/z=581.562) results two fragment ions, one at m/z=340.285 assigned as [C20H38NO3]+ and the other at m/z=312.290, assigned as [C19H38NO2]+. Based on the assigned formula and the structure of protonated TODGA, the fragment at m/z=340.285 is likely formed from elimination of neutral dioctylamine. Comparison of the IRIS spectrum of m/z=340.285 with DFT predictions suggests it contains a ring structure, and is assigned as N-octyl-N-(6-oxo-1,4-dioxan-2-ylidene)octan-1-aminium. Based on this structure and the structure of protonated TODGA, we hypothesize this fragment formed from elimination of neutral dioctylamine followed by a ring closure mechanism. Comparison of the IRIS spectrum of the fragment at m/z=312.290 with DFT predictions also indicated the presence of a ring structure, assigned as N-(1,3-dioxolan-4-ylidene)-N-octyloctan-1-aminium. This product could be formed from elimination of carbon monoxide from the ring of m/z=340.285 as a sequential fragmentation or formed directly from protonated TODGA via elimination of neutral N,N-dioctylformamide followed by a ring closure. Resonance ejection experiments where m/z=340 was continuously ejected from the IRC cell showed no decrease in intensity of m/z=312.290 across several collision energies, suggesting that the later, direct formation mechanism, dominates. The location of the ionizing proton in protonated TODGA is important for modeling the fragmentation mechanisms. DFT calculations suggested that the position of bands involving the coupled vibrations of the amide C—N and C=O bonds in TODGA are the most sensitive to proton location. Evaluation of the IRIS spectrum of protonated TODGA suggests that the ionizing proton is located between the two amid oxygens. This protonation location was calculated to lie approximately 30 kJ/mol lower in energy than the next lowest energy location, with the proton located solely on one of the amide oxygens. Novel aspect (20 words): Infrared ion spectroscopy combined with resonance ejection experiments and density functional theory to probe the collision-induced dissociation mechanism of tetraoctyldiglycolamide.

37 - INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL AND ANALYTICAL C↗
DOE OSTI2025

High Resolution Fission Fragment Spectroscopy with Superconducting Microcalorimeters

Sub-1 AMU mass determination is important for determining fission yields and neutron multiplicity, which are necessary inputs for fission models. Fission models can improve spent nuclear waste stream analysis and nuclear fuel burnup determination. Here, to achieve this goal, we have used superconducting microcalorimeter detectors to directly measure the energy of fission fragments from the spontaneous fission of 252 Cf. With a fiber coupled LED pulser setup we demonstrate that we can reach a relative energy resolution of 0.1% and better for photon pulses with energies above 60 MeV. This instrument, in conjunction with time-of-flight (TOF) measurement, would allow for sub-1 atomic mass unit (AMU) mass determination of fission fragments in a future beamline application.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2025

Catalytic Activation of Pyran Ethers in Self-Solvating Saccharides with Alkaline Earth Metals (Final Report)

Catalytic activation of cellulose ethers occurs via hydroxyl-stabilized cleavage of inter-monomer glycosidic bonds. Cooperativity between two hydroxyl groups lowers the ether cleavage transition state necessary to break apart long carbohydrate chains to initiate small molecule formation as fuel precursors. Metals existing with lignocellulosic materials including alkaline earth metals (Ca 2+ , Mg 2+ ) or alkali (Na + , K + ) also can catalyze ether scission cooperatively. By bonding with carbohydrate hydroxyl groups, a metal cation disrupt the hydrogen bonding network and free carbohydrate functional groups to react; a second metal cation stabilizes the carbohydrate ether transition state and enhances the rate of polymer scission. In this work, we expanded our initial understanding of metal-catalyzed glycoside ether scission. Within polysaccharides such as cellulose, two ether groups exist: one between monomers (glycosidic linkages) and one within a pyran ring. The hydroxyl-group hydrogen bonding network and bound metal ions form low energy binding states that interact with both ether oxygens simultaneously. Based on this interaction, our primary hypothesis was that the competition between stabilizing the two ether scission transition states determines the extent of the major pathways. Metals that disrupt the hydrogen bonding network of the C6 of sugars and stabilize the glycosidic ether promote transglycosylation to levoglucosan; in contrast, metals that stabilize the pyran ether oxygen promote sugar ring fragmentation to furans such as furfural. Varying characteristics of metal cation catalysts and configurations of bound polysaccharide chains dictate the relative rates of ether scission.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Ether Cleavage Decreases the Ion Exchange Capacity of Anion Exchange Membranes

Anion exchange membranes (AEMs) are integral to fuel cells and water electrolysis systems but suffer from poor durability under alkaline conditions. Ether cleavage is an important failure pathway of poly(arylene ether)-based AEMs that compromises both mechanical stability and ion transport. While this degradation pathway is often studied in terms of polymer fragmentation, the role of newly formed hydrophilic groups has been largely overlooked. Here, we show that polymer scission leads to reduced mechanical rigidity, while the introduction of hydrophilic groups partially mitigates this loss. Under alkaline conditions, phenoxide groups formed during ether cleavage neutralize the polymer cations, leading to a previously unreported loss of ion exchange capacity (IEC). This IEC loss mechanism exacerbates the reduction in ionic conductivity, emphasizing the severity of ether cleavage as a degradation pathway. Recognizing that ether cleavage introduces significant chemical changes beyond polymer fragmentation provides critical insights into its interplay with other degradation mechanisms, such as the direct reduction of cationic sites by E2 and S N 2, and provides molecular-level interpretations for the concurrent effects of polymer scission and increased hydrophilicity on membrane performance.

crystal cleavage↗
DOE OSTI2025

Towards the development of resonantly enhanced laser-based diagnostics for molten salt reactor safeguards

The adoption of Generation IV molten salt reactors (MSRs) depends on the ability to implement compatible monitoring instrumentation to ensure adherence to nuclear safeguards. This task is nontrivial due to the high temperature, reactive, and chemically complex fuel and coolant components contained within these systems. Optical spectroscopy techniques such as laser-induced fluorescence (LIF) and laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS) are candidates for monitoring instrumentation. They offer many advantages for continuous monitoring, including the ability to operate at a standoff and compatibility with liquid-phase analytes. We discuss the use of LIF for the detection of Nd, a common fission fragment, within a liquid matrix. Results show that for NdCl3 dissolved in water, the Nd I 492.45 nm resonant transition is detectable without the need to induce a plasma and that the fluorescence emission can be separated in the time domain from the laser scatter signal. Additionally, we present a setup and preliminary results for measurements of solid Nd and U using resonant LIBS. The results demonstrate element-selective measurement capabilities and provide the foundational data necessary to continue the development of laser-based MSR diagnostics. This work also helps address gaps in the literature regarding energy level assignments of Nd.

98 - NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL↗
DOE OSTI2026

Decision Support System

Forest-based value chains involve decisions that begin at the landscape level and extend through processing, product manufacturing, and end-use markets. However, these decisions are often made independently across sectors, with limited visibility into how upstream resource conditions, incentives, and land management choices influence downstream production systems. In forested regions of the United States, wildfire risk, fragmented ownership, and uncertain markets for low-value residues complicate efforts to align extraction, processing, and utilization decisions. Without tools that link these stages, stakeholders may overlook opportunities to improve resource utilization or inadvertently shift impacts elsewhere in the value chain. This repository introduces a decision support system (DSS) that applies a system-impact-analysis approach to forest biomass residues and co-products. The framework integrates forest inventory data, geospatial resource assessments, and economic modeling to evaluate how biomass extraction decisions influence downstream product pathways. By linking regional feedstock avail- ability with market incentives and processing options—such as fuels, wood products, or soil amendments like biochar—the tool allows decision-makers to compare value chain outcomes across multiple utilization strategies.

Davis, Maggie [Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL↗
DOE OSTI2025

A Synchrotron-Based Vacuum Ultraviolet Photoionization Mass Spectrometer-Coupled Microreactor To Probe Thermocatalysis

Vacuum ultraviolet photoionization (VUV-PI) mass spectrometry offers an isomer-selective and universal ionization with minimal fragmentation detection of organics in complex chemical systems such as pyrolysis and combustion. Here, in this study, we report a state-of-the-art experimental setup of a universal catalytic microreactor combined with a molecular beam to investigate the thermocatalytic oxidation of a heterogeneous system relevant for probing reactions at gas–solid interfaces. In strong contrast to traditional off-line analytical methods, this technique is capable of identifying and quantifying short-lived species (radicals) as well as stable products to decipher initial reaction steps via the detection of nascent products. The thermocatalytic oxidative degradation of exo-tetrahydrodicyclopentadiene (JP-10), a high energy-density hydrocarbon fuel, over solid titanium–aluminum–boron reactive mixed metal nanopowder (Ti-Al-B RMNP) is exploited to showcase potential applications. Overall, some 59 nascent gas-phase products are identified via photoionization efficiency (PIE) curves, including oxygenated species and hydrocarbons comprising closed-shell molecules and radicals. The critical temperature for complete oxidative decomposition of JP-10 was lowered by 450 K from 1400 K to 950 K, indicating an efficient thermocatalytic action of Ti-Al-B nanoparticles on JP-10. The enabling of a universal chemical microreactor along with VUV-PI mass spectrometry broadens the applicability of this technique to hydrocarbon fuel oxidation and pyrolysis characterization. This isomer-selective sensitive probing along with the detection of radical transients makes the aforementioned technique superior to other conventional analytical techniques such as microflow tube and pyrolysis-gas chromatography coupled with mass spectrometry for investigating similar pyrolysis reactions and comprehensive quantification.

Paul, Dababrata [Univ. of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolul↗
DOE OSTI2026

Gear Test Assembly - Experimental Testing and Analysis of Gears and Bearings - FY2026

The Gear Test Assembly (GTA) is an experimental test apparatus built and installed in the Mechanisms and Engineering Test Loop (METL) at Argonne National Laboratory (ANL). While designed to accommodate a variety of components intended for use in advanced compact in-vessel transfer machine, the focus of GTA been the testing of large radial spur gears. The performance of the components used in GTA motivates the choices made in the design, components, and material choices for the forthcoming METL test articles; the Gripper Test Assembly (GrTA), and the Bearing Test Assembly (BTA). To date, GTA has completed nine experimental testing campaigns and achieved over 21 million revolutions under prototypic sodium fast reactor loads and operating conditions. This report provides an overview and results for the two most recent experiments Campaign #8 and Campaign #9. `Campaign #8 was the first campaign to make use of a set of nickel alloy radial spur gears, made from Hastelloy C-22HS, and combined with heat-treated tapered roller bearings. The bearings and torque profile used allowed Campaign #8 to be directly compared with Campaign #1 where Inconel 718 gears were used instead. Campaign #8 attained 1,058,880 shaft revolutions within 23% of the 1,314,855 revolutions achieved in Campaign #1. These results demonstrate that the heat-treated tapered roller bearings show consistent increased lifetimes, approximately three times longer than for non heat-treated taper rollers, and that the particular material of the gear does not play a substantial role in performance. Similar to Campaign #7 where bearing failure resulted in fragmentation and transport of bearing material into the gear teeth led to tooth damage in the Inconel gears, a similar process led to the damage of the Hastelloy gears. Subsequent NDE analysis showed that the damage was only limited to the tooth surface and does not extend into the gear interiors. Based on the NDE reports, the Hastelloy gears can be reconditioned and put back into service for future campaigns as was done for the Inconel gears. Reconditioned Inconel 718 gears damaged in Campaign #7 were returned to service in Campaign #9 and paired with non heat-treated tapered roller bearings. In Campaign #9 a novel set of operating conditions were implemented whereby the gears and bearings were cycled between hot, submerged refueling conditions where fuel handling operations occurred and cold, dry, and inert conditions where the sodium was drained and the vessel was allowed to cool simulating long, ex-vessel storage of the fuel handling machine. A total of eight of these operating cycles were achieved before a bearing failure occurred after the accumulation of 475,692 shaft revolutions were achieved. During Campaign #9, one of the drive motors was damaged and over the course of a 240 day standby period, the entire GTA drive system was upgraded from a 480VAC system to a 240VAC system that provided the opportunity to consolidate wall-space in the METL facility and provide more space for additional test articles being installed in the coming year. The over 475,000 shaft revolutions achieved in Campaign #9 eclipses the previous record for lifetime of non heat-treated tapered roller bearings held by Campaign #3 of 392,000 shaft revolutions. Further analysis and future campaigns hope to shed light on the cause of this approximately 17% increase in lifetime.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Catalytic deconstruction of organic additive-containing plastics

Plastics waste ends up in landfills, oceans, and incinerators, posing major environmental and human health threats. Catalytic deconstruction is emerging as a key technological solution to handle complex plastics and has successfully converted virgin polymers into various products. Here, we investigate the resilience of chemical deconstruction technologies to organic additives, which are ubiquitous in plastics. We study catalyst-additive interactions experimentally and via first-principles calculations for plastics additives representative of entire classes. We reveal two deactivation mechanisms and demonstrate that many recently developed catalysts are inadequate for polyolefin conversion due to poisoning caused by the strong adsorption of most additives or their small fragments. Furthermore, we also identify conditions and catalysts that can circumvent the challenge of deconstruction in the presence of additives challenge.

10 SYNTHETIC FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Toward the Development of Molten Salt Reactor Diagnostics based on Resonantly Enhanced Laser Spectroscopy

One emerging concern within the safeguards community is how to best ensure compliance with nuclear security regulations within molten salt reactor (MSR) facilities. This problem is nontrivial as molten salts used for fuel or coolant are highly corrosive, chemically complex, and inherently require high operational temperatures. Laser spectroscopy methods such as laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS) and laser-induced fluorescence (LIF) have previously been suggested for molten salt diagnostics due to their compatibility with liquid phase samples and potential for in-situ measurements [1]. In the former, the laser is used to ionize the sample, allowing for the characteristic light from electronic de-excitation as the resultant plasma cools to be used for material characterization. In the latter, a tunable light source is set be resonant with a specific transition, resulting in element specific excitation and the emission of fluorescence light. In our previous work [2], we demonstrated that LIF could be used for the detection of fission fragments such as Nd in solution through the separation of laser scatter and fluorescence within the time domain. Here, we present progress towards two alternate measurement schemes: LIF measurements based on spectroscopic discrimination of fluorescence emissions and resonant LIBS measurements that induce plasma using a light source set to the resonant frequency of a specific electronic transition. Both methods aim to exploit resonant excitation methods to enhance the emitted signal. The studies may provide routes for element-specific detection of constituents within complicated matrices and a means to better understand the chemical behavior of lanthanides and actinides relevant to MSRs.

98 - NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL↗
DOE OSTI2025

Fe‐Triazolate Metal–Organic Frameworks as Water Oxidation Catalysts with Dual Photoanode Functionality

Artificial photosynthesis is an emerging technology that achieves renewable fuels, such as hydrogen, from sunlight. Its realization depends on finding highly active and stable catalysts of water splitting and photoactive materials for light absorption. To be scalable, these should contain only abundant elements. Here, for the first time, Fe-triazolate (Fe(ta) 2 ) and its metal substituted derivatives (Fe-Metal(ta) 2 ) Metal-organic frameworks (MOFs) are characterized as new dual-function materials for photo-absorption and water oxidation catalysis in acidic media. The materials were studied by a range of structural, spectroscopic, and computational density functional theory (DFT) techniques. Fe(ta) 2 and Fe-Mn(ta) 2 were found to be highly active and stable in chemical and photochemical water oxidation, and in addition function as photoanodes, with photo-electrocatalytic currents (∼2.00 x 10 −3 Acm −2 at + 1.4 V vs. Ag/AgCl) at pH = 1. The possibility of a unique catalytic mechanism where O─O bond formation is possible from the coupling of two adjacent Fe IV = O fragments was demonstrated by DFT analysis. Thus, Fe-triazolate MOF has been established as a new, stable, scalable, versatile, and efficient platform for sustainable energy conversion in the realm of artificial photosynthesis.

Artificial photosynthesis↗
DOE OSTI2025

OR-AGENT framework – Architecting electrified heavy-duty drayage applications

The widespread adoption of zero-emission vehicles in heavy-duty (HD) commercial freight transportation faces considerable technoeconomic challenges. For heavy-duty trucks, ensuring high uptime, cost parity with diesel, and safety standards is especially critical as these vehicles operate over long distances with heavy loads, where any downtime or off-nominal behaviors significantly impacts logistics, productivity, and the total cost of ownership. Unlike traditional diesel refueling, BEV charging infrastructure must be co-optimized with vehicle deployment, operational demands, and grid capacity to ensure cost-effective and reliable freight operations. However, the lack of a standardized ownership and service model has led to a fragmented approach—where commercial vehicle operators may invest in, own, and maintain both vehicle/batteries and charging/energy infrastructure. This disconnect may exclude energy service providers from the equation, forcing fleet operators to explore ‘behind-the-fence’ energy solutions that increase capital investment, operational downtime, overhead costs, and, in some cases, net carbon emissions. To address these issues, this study introduces OR-AGENT (Optimal Regional Architecture Generation for Efficient National Transport), a comprehensive modeling framework that integrates powertrain architectures, charging infrastructures, and energy backbone systems into a cohesive strategy. In this paper, OR-AGENT is applied to develop an interconnected systems architecture for energy efficiency and resiliency enhancement of heavy-duty drayage vehicles at the Port of Savannah, GA. This framework showcases an interconnected systems approach to electrifying heavy-duty drayage vehicles at the Port of Savannah, GA. The study assessed BEVs with 400–1200 kWh battery capacities, accounting for seasonal variations in weather and freight routing. A diverse charging mix (150 kW–1250 kW) was evaluated alongside grid capacity constraints, cost, and carbon intensity analysis, leading to the development of a strategic microgrid/Distributed Energy Resources (DER) deployment architecture to ensure a reliable and sustainable transition. However, the findings also highlight the need for alternative zero-emission solutions for remaining trips, such as larger batteries, electrified roadways, hydrogen powertrains, or net-zero emission fuels. In conclusion, the findings are incorporated into a Total Cost of Ownership (TCO) model to identify optimal architectures for an interconnected electrified ecosystem.

Commercial vehicles↗
DOE OSTI2026

A Global Methane Observation System to Reduce Uncertainty for Anthropogenic and Natural Sources and Sinks for Detecting and Attributing Climate Feedbacks

Atmospheric methane (CH4) concentrations are accelerating global warming as net emissions increase. Observing systems that quantify sources remain too sparse and fragmented to detect trends—especially in remote regions where climate‐driven natural emissions may be rising. We provide a framework for quantifying uncertainty reductions through the implementation of a global ecosystem‐methane observing system designed to: (i) substantially lower uncertainty in sectoral and regional emissions, (ii) separate co‐occurring anthropogenic and natural fluxes, and (iii) trend detection at regional scales to verify mitigation progress and provide early warning of natural feedbacks. Using bottom‐up inventories and process‐model ensembles for 2014–2023, we show that anthropogenic emissions remain uncertain by ∼32% globally, while natural sources—tropical and boreal‐arctic wetlands, fires, and inland waters—carry far larger uncertainties (+ 70%) and trend uncertainties reaching ∼200%. Additional observations must match spatial emission structure to increase observability of emissions: high‐resolution satellite constellations for point sources combined with expanded flux networks and wetland mapping for diffuse sources, and denser ground‐based atmospheric column measurements to restore observability in under‐sampled tropics and high latitudes. Notional analyses indicate that targeted additions of flux towers and ∼20 in situ atmospheric column concentration instruments per key tropical region could reduce continental‐scale uncertainties at modest cost. Conceptual illustration of a Global Ecosystem Methane Observing System (GEM‐OS) integrating satellites, aircraft, atmospheric networks, and ecosystem measurements to quantify methane emissions from anthropogenic and natural sources. The multi‐scale observing framework improves source attribution, reduces uncertainty in regional methane budgets, and enables early detection of climate‐driven feedbacks from wetlands, fires, permafrost, agriculture, and fossil‐fuel emissions.

Ciais, P↗
DOE OSTI2026

A systematic analytical framework for multi-source municipal solid waste characterization for energy recovery

Advancing municipal solid waste (MSW) management from disposal-oriented practices toward circular, value-driven systems requires standardized methodologies capable of identifying material composition and resource recoverable potential at the point of generation. Despite extensive research, MSW characterization remains fragmented due to inconsistences in sampling methodologies, waste sorting categories, and temporal coverage across previous studies which limit cross-site comparability, reproducibility, and constrain the reliable evaluation of potential resource recovery pathways. This lack of consistency has hindered the development of a unified framework for MSW characterization and resource assessment. This study introduces a standardized, field-validated protocol for MSW sampling and composition analysis that ensures consistent, traceable data across diverse waste sources. The protocol integrates randomized spatial sampling, systematic material sorting, and controlled subsampling for multi-site and multi-season field campaigns. Validation included MSW collection from residential, grocery, restaurant, and school MSW streams across five U.S. states, including Maryland, Idaho, Virginia, Ohio, and Mississippi, to demonstrate the protocol’s ability to identify source-based composition patterns relevant to resource recovery applications. Grocery and restaurant streams were dominated by food waste and high-moisture organics, while school waste contained higher paper content and residential waste showed greater heterogeneity. Aggregation into energy-relevant fractions highlighted practical recovery pathways via anaerobic digestion or gasification, supporting data-driven planning, policy, and circular economy strategies for sustainable waste management across waste sources.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Plant Bioengineering Atlas: A Knowledge Graph of Genes, DNA Constructs, and Plant Traits.

Plant bioengineering has generated tens of thousands of genotype-to-phenotype relationships, but this knowledge remains fragmented across narrative literature and difficult to use computationally. Inconsistent descriptions of DNA constructs, host species, and traits, including variable species names, omitted regulatory elements, and inconsistent gene symbols, impede data reuse, comparative analysis, and design-build-test-learn cycles. Here, we present the Plant Bioengineering Atlas, a literature-mined, ontology-grounded knowledge base assembled using an artificial intelligence (AI)-aided extraction pipeline. A large language model parsed open-access primary research articles to generate structured, provenance-anchored records of engineered genes, modification types, promoter-gene-terminator constructs, host species, target traits, and reported phenotypes, with every record traceable to its source. The current release contains 14,358 curated records encompassing 6,998 distinct genes across 436 plant species from 6,452 papers published between 2000 and 2026. Corpus analysis reveals that experiments are concentrated in a small group of model and crop species, disease and pathogen resistance is the most frequently engineered trait class, and constitutive regulatory parts (particularly the CaMV 35S promoter and NOS terminator) remain pervasive. Two in five records omit one or both flanking regulatory elements (i.e., promoter and terminator), while only 23.4% describe cassettes in which both elements resolve to named part classes, exposing a systematic reproducibility gap. We organize these data into a knowledge graph linking genes, constructs, species, and traits; provide access through an interactive web portal; and propose an AI-compatible documentation standard for AI-ready reporting. The Plant Bioengineering Atlas provides a foundation for data-driven hypothesis generation and AI-aided plant biodesign.

, Genes, DNA Constructs↗