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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 37 records · Page 2
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Recent land cover changes in the Southwestern US lead to an increase in surface temperature

The increase in large-scale land cover change (LCC) in recent decades, particularly in response to climate-driven disturbances, has potential to impact local and regional changes in climate due to modification of carbon sources and sinks, albedo, surface roughness and energy fluxes. Using observational data, we predict the impact of two of the most extensive LCCs occurring in the Southwestern US: drought-induced tree mortality and shrub encroachment into grasslands, on surface temperature. We developed a new energy balance method that extracts the biophysical responses to environmental conditions, to predict how structural changes in albedo, surface roughness and canopy conductance following LCC will alter surface temperature. This method allows us not only to explain the observed differences in surface temperature between two non-adjacent study sites with different environmental conditions, but also to separate the contribution of biophysical and non-biophysical properties to surface temperature. Our results suggest that changes in biophysical properties due to shrub encroachment and tree mortality in the Southwestern US (independent of changes in other environmental properties) can potentially lead to an increase in midday surface temperature (11AM to 2PM) of 1 to 2 degrees Celsius, comparable to changes in surface temperature following deforestation. Although the average surface temperature increase in response to both shrub encroachment and tree mortality is similar, the biophysical properties driving the temperature change are different in each scenario. Change in aerodynamic conductance following tree mortality is the largest contributor to heating, while reduced albedo and canopy conductance drive the increase in surface temperature following shrub encroachment. Finally, we also show how this increase in daytime surface temperature could be further intensified with future climate, especially with the expected reduction in soil water availability in the Southwest.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

AN OVERVIEW OF THE DESIGN AND PERFORMANCE TESTING OF A 275 BAR INTEGRALLY GEARED SUPERCRITICAL CO2 COMPRESSOR FOR POWER GENERATION

An integrally geared compressor-expander (compander) for supercritical CO2 (sCO2) was developed to convert thermal energy to electricity. With operating pressures of 275 bar, this turbomachine represents the state of the art in integrally geared machine architecture, hitting compressor inlet densities of 600 kg/m3 and discharge pressures of 275 bar. The product development was funded by the Department of Energy’s Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Office under EE0007114 to advance the state of the art in concentrated solar power applications; however, the technology itself is agnostic to heat source, and is predicted to achieve a thermal-to-electric conversion efficiency of 50% for any indirect heat source capable of providing turbine inlet temperatures of 700°C or greater. While the program encompassed the design and testing for the compressor and turbine elements, this paper will focus on the compressor design and operation. The paper will begin with an introduction to the cycle design and analysis of an indirectly heated integrally geared sCO2 compander, a discussion of the mechanical and aerodynamic design of the compressor that is a two stage radial compressor operating subcritically at 27,512 rpm, and will then proceed to describe the test facility and measured data to characterize the performance and robustness of the machine. The paper will conclude with a discussion on lessons learned throughout the course of commissioning and testing. Practical aspects of testing a compressor operating near the dome including complications relating to obtaining an accurate compressor flow map, efficiency calculations, flow unsteadiness, and associated measurement uncertainties will be discussed.

wilkes, jason↗
DOE OSTI2024

Barriers and variable spacing enhance convective cooling and increase power output in solar PV plants

When the temperature of solar photovoltaic (PV) modules rises, efficiency drops and module degradation accelerates. Thus, it is beneficial to reduce module operating temperatures. Previous studies of solar power plants have illustrated that incoming flow characteristics, turbulent mixing, and array geometry can strongly impact convective cooling, as measured by the convective heat transfer coefficient h. In the fields of heat transfer and plant canopy flow, previous work has shown that system-scale arrangement modifications—e.g., variable spacing, barriers, or windbreaks—can passively alter the flow, enhance turbulent mixing, and influence convection. However, researchers have not yet explored how variable spacing or barriers might enhance convective cooling in solar power plants. Here, high-resolution large-eddy simulations model the air flow and heat transfer through solar power plant arrangements modified with missing modules and barrier walls. We then perform a control volume analysis to evaluate the net heat flux and compute h, which quantifies the influence of these spatial modifications on convective cooling and, thus, module temperature and power output. Installing barrier walls yields the greatest improvements, increasing h by 3.4%, reducing module temperature by an estimated 2.5 °C, and boosting power output by an estimated 1.4% on average. These findings indicate that incorporating variable spacing or barrier-type elements into PV plant designs can reduce module temperature and, thus, improve PV performance and service life.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Laser heating and evaporation of a single droplet

The laser technology is being abundantly studied for controlled energy deposition for a range of applications in aerodynamic flow control, material processing, ignition, and combustion. The absorption of laser radiation by liquid droplets affects further propagation of laser in the atmosphere and causes bleaching of suspended droplets while the ignition and combustion characteristics in combustors are influenced by the evaporation rate of the sprayed fuel. In this work, we present a multi-dimensional mathematical model built on OpenFOAM for laser heating and evaporation of a single droplet in the diffusion dominated regime taking into account absorption of the laser radiation, evaporation process and vapor flow dynamics. The developed solver is validated against available experimental and numerical data for the ethanol and water droplet heating and evaporation. For continuous heating the peak temperature is established by the balance of cooling, evaporation and heating and results in high temperature for larger droplets. It has been shown that for heating by a single laser pulse the maximum temperature of droplets depends only on the peak intensity of the laser radiation. Furthermore, for the peak irradiance close to the transition to the boiling regime, temporal dynamics of the droplet temperature is independent of the droplet size. With proper normalization of time, the dynamics of the droplet shrinkage and cooling is shown to be independent of droplet sizes and peak laser intensities. The influence of cooling and evaporation processes on droplet heating was found to be controlled by the pulse repetition rate for repeated pulse operation.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

Realistic operation of two residential cordwood-fired outdoor hydronic heater appliances—Part 2: Particle number and size

The use of wood as a fuel for home heating is a concern from an environmental health and safety perspective as biomass combustion appliances emit high concentrations of particulate matter. Wood burning significantly contributes to wintertime particulate matter concentrations in many states in the northern United States. Of particular concern are outdoor wood-fired hydronic heaters. These devices are concerning as they tend to have very large combustion chambers and typical use patterns can result in long periods of low output, which result in an increased particulate matter emission rate relative to high heat output operating conditions. In this study, the performance of two hydronic heaters operating under different combustion conditions, including four different heat output categories approximately corresponding to categories I–IV denoted in Environmental Protection Agency Method 28 Outdoor Wood-fired Hydronic Heaters, and during start-up and reloading events were investigated. Measurements of flue gas particulate number concentration and size for particles with aerodynamic diameters between 0.006 and 10 µm were made using a dilution sampling system. The measured particle number concentration in the flue gas was between 0.71 and 420 million particles per cubic centimeter and was dependent on fuel loading and heat output. For each hydronic heater tested, the highest average particle concentration was found at the beginning of each test during the cold-start condition. Additionally, the majority of the particles had aerodynamic diameters less than 0.100 µm (particles of this size made up between 64% and 97% of all particles) and less than 1% of all particles had aerodynamic diameters greater than 1 µm for all phases. For particles in the accumulation mode, between 0.100 and 1 µm, the mean particle diameter was dependent on fuel loading and heat output.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2025

Structure–property relations of binary ferrite melts

Molten ferrite systems are used in the smelting and refining processes in steelmaking, to reduce the loss of metals in slags and to accelerate reaction rates. Here, high-energy x-ray diffraction experiments have been performed on aerodynamically levitated molten spheres of 43BaO–57FeO X and 43SrO–57FeO X at 1873 K using laser beam heating. The composition was varied within the range of x = 1–1.5 by changing the oxygen partial pressure of the levitation gas. The corresponding x-ray pair distribution functions have been interpreted using empirical potential structure refinement (EPSR) modeling. In oxygen-rich melts (x = 1.5), our EPSR models indicate very similar structures for the different alkaline-earth liquids, with both the Ba–O and Sr–O coordination numbers to be ∼8.4 and the total Fe–O coordination numbers ∼5.7. However, our models show that in reducing environments, the Fe 3+ and Fe 2+ ions exhibit very different behaviors in the Ba- and Sr-ferrite liquids. In the Ba-ferrite melt, the Fe 3+ –O coordination number decreases from 5.7 (at x = 1.5) to 5.2 (at x = 1.07), whereas Fe 2+ –O remains constant at ∼5.0 across the same compositional range. In the Sr melts, both the Fe 2+ –O and Fe 3+ –O coordination numbers rise from ∼5.7 (at x = 1.5) to 6.3 (at x = 1.07). All models show the structures to be heterogeneous with intertwined nanometer sized clusters or channels of Ba/Sr–O and Fe–O polyhedra that grow as oxygen content is reduced. Changes in the viscosity and electrical properties are interpreted in terms of the number of bridging and non-bridging oxygens associated with FeO 4 tetrahedra and concentration of charge carriers, respectively.

Benmore, Chris J. [Argonne National Laboratory (AN↗
DOE OSTI2020

Experimental Investigation of Sweeping Jet Film Cooling in a Transonic Turbine Cascade

Abstract The sweeping jet (SJ) film cooling hole has shown promising cooling performance compared to the standard shaped hole in low-speed conditions. The present work demonstrates the first attempt of SJ film cooling at an engine relevant Mach number. An experimental investigation was conducted to study the SJ film cooling on a nozzle guide vane suction surface. A well-established additive manufacturing technique commonly known as stereolithography (SLA) was utilized to design a transonic, engine representative vane geometry in which a row of SJ holes was used on the vane suction surface. Experiments were performed in a linear transonic cascade at an exit Mach number of 0.8 and blowing ratios of BR = 0.25–2.23. The measurement of heat transfer was conducted with the transient IR method, and the convective heat transfer coefficient (HTC) and adiabatic film cooling effectiveness were estimated using a dual linear regression technique (DLRT). Aerodynamic loss measurements were also performed with a total pressure Kiel probe at 0.25Cax downstream of the exit plane of the vane cascade. Experiments were also conducted for a baseline-shaped hole (777-hole) for a direct comparison. Results showed that the SJ hole has a wider coolant spreading in the lateral direction near the hole exit due to its sweeping motion that improves the overall cooling performance particularly at high blowing ratios (BR > 1). Aerodynamic loss measurement suggested that the SJ hole has a comparable total pressure loss to the 777-shaped hole.

Engineering↗
DOE OSTI2021

Advanced Multi-Tube Mixer Combustion for 65% Efficiency (Final Report)

This project targeted advanced low NOx combustion for advanced gas turbines capable of 65%, or greater, efficiency in combined cycle application. This technology advancement has further potential to benefit gas turbines used in coal based IGCC applications with pre-combustion carbon capture and hydrogen as the resulting fuel. The program developed and synthesized the most advanced combustion system capable of achieving low NOX emissions up to turbine inlet temperatures of 3100F while also supporting the load-following needs of a modern grid. The combustion system contributes to the overall gas turbine efficiency goal by setting the maximum cycle temperature achievable for a given NOX level and by minimizing the through-combustor air flow pressure drop. Focus areas for this project targeted maximizing the turbine inlet temperature entitlement, as constrained by emissions considerations. The design also minimized parasitic air flow pressure drop by using advanced cooling techniques and performance materials selections and by minimizing hot surface area. These two technology objectives (maximum, emissions-compliant cycle temperature and minimum air flow pressure drop) were integrated into a prototype design. The primarily analytical project sought to identify the most promising technologies to meet these objectives. Additional critical “jugular” data were obtained from multi-tube mixer tests to realize the potential of leveraging “micro flames” for minimizing overall hot surface area. This data was used, in conjunction with an understanding of advanced material and cooling design technologies, to analytically develop multiple design concepts. Phase I focused on in-depth engineering analysis and design, with minimal supporting laboratory testing to enable a selection of the top three combustion architectures for achieving these overall objectives. Phase II of the program developed the selected design through a combination of sub-scale testing and analytical efforts. Early tests included a cold-flow cascade to establish aerodynamic performance characteristics and a sub-scale fired test at GE Global Research in Niskayuna, NY, to establish cooling and heat transfer characteristics in conjunction with combustion performance. The data from these tests validated the analytical models to ultimately design a full-scale, test article to evaluate at prototypical pressure and temperature conditions at GE Gas Power’s Gas Turbine Technology Laboratory in Greenville, SC. GE Gas Power also developed, tested, and recommended a suitable seal design to be applied to the unique features of the combustor. To assess the technology challenges from prospective future production of the combustor from a ceramic matrix composite material, screening tests of Environmental Barrier Coatings were completed.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Asymmetric daytime and nighttime surface temperature feedback induced by crop greening across Northeast China

Mid-high latitude Northeast China witnessed significant crop greening from 2001 to 2020, as evidenced by satellite records and field observations. The land surface temperature of croplands during the growing season showed a decreasing trend, suggesting negative surface temperature feedback to crop greening of agricultural ecosystems in mid-high latitude Northeast China. Here, using time-series remote sensing products and long-term scenario simulations, the present study highlights that crop greening can slow climate warming. Our study noted a stronger surface cooling effect induced by crop greening during the growing season in the day than at the night, which contributed to asymmetric diurnal temperature cycle changes in Northeast China. In addition, our biophysical mechanism analysis revealed aerodynamic and surface resistances as the major driving factors for the daytime land surface temperature (LST) cooling effect induced by crop greening, while the ground heat flux and ambient temperature feedback as the major attributes of the nighttime LST cooling impact due to crop greening.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Overall Cooling Effectiveness of Internally Cooled Additively Manufactured Blades

Power generation gas turbine blades must utilize highly effective cooling schemes to withstand moderate heat loads for long operating times. Prior work indicates that gas turbines in the 5-10 MW range primarily utilize internal cooling to prevent further increase of aerodynamic losses that result from film cooling, but few studies focus solely on internal cooling. In this study, three additively manufactured internal cooling designs were tested in the 50 percent span section of the National Experimental Turbine (NExT) blade: a baseline cooling design with pin-fin arrays and rib turbulators, a double wall design with impingement jets and serpentine channels, and an incremental impingement design. The designs were tested in a high-speed linear cascade at exit Reynolds numbers ranging from 700,000 to 1,400,000 at an exit Mach of 0.8. In addition, freestream turbulence and build angle effects on cooling performance were studied.

gas turbine blades↗
DOE OSTI2023

The structure of molten calcium ferrite under various redox conditions

Laser-heated melts based on the 43CaO–57Fe 2 O 3-x eutectic, close to the calcium ferrite (CF) composition, were measured with high-energy X-ray diffraction using aerodynamic levitation over a range of redox states controlled by CO/CO 2 gas atmospheres. The iron–oxygen coordination number was found to rise from 4.4 ± 0.3 at 15% Fe 3+ to 5.3 ± 0.3 at 87% Fe 3+ . Empirical potential structure refinement modelling was used to obtain the ferric and ferrous partial pair distribution functions. It was found that the Fe 2+ iron–oxygen coordination number is consistently approximately 10% higher in CF than in pure iron oxide, while Fe 3+ is essentially identical in all but the most oxygen-rich environments (where it is higher in CF compared with FeO x ). The model also shows calcium octahedra to be the dominant species across all redox environments, although the population of CaO 7 increases with the availability of oxygen at the expense of CaO 4 and CaO 5 .

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

Development of a 300 MWe Utility Scale Oxy-Fuel sCO2 Turbine

A 300 MWe direct-fired supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO2) oxy-fuel turbine is being developed that will burn natural gas-fired, coal syngas and even hydrogen mixtures capable of 1,150ºC turbine inlet temperature at 300 bar. This design will significantly improve the state-of-the-art for thermal efficiency and results in a high-pressure stream of CO2 with 98%+ carbon capture, making the power plant near emission-free and more efficient than Natural Gas Combined Cycle (NGCC) plants with carbon capture. This power plant will be capable of burning coal through gasification and cleanup of the synthesis gas (syngas). sCO2 power cycles are a transformational technology for the energy industry, providing higher efficiency heat source energy conversion for conventional and alternative energy sources. This novel cycle significantly reduces capital costs because of smaller equipment footprints, design modularity, and allows for rapid cyclic load and source following to balance solar and wind energy power swings. Oxy-fuel sCO2 cycles take these advantages even further, utilizing higher firing temperatures, improved efficiency, and simpler carbon capture strategies. This turbine will require cooled turbine nozzles and blades as well as advanced thermal management systems to accommodate these high temperatures. The cooled blade heat transfer correlations required new test programs at higher Reynolds number than air-breathing gas turbines for impingement, serpentine, and pin-fin regions. Novel blade optimization was performed to maximize aerodynamic efficiency, while minimizing cooling flows. A turbine layout was generated utilizing individual combustor cans with cooled liners feeding into a 6-stage axial flow turbine with cooled stator nozzles and turbine blades. The case design and thermal management preliminary design will be described.

Moore, Jeffrey↗
DOE OSTI2023

Numerical Investigation of Wall-Cooling Effect on Aero-Optical Distortions for Hypersonic Boundary Layer

Compressible wall-modeled large-eddy simulations of Mach 8 turbulent boundary-layer flows over a flat plate were carried out for the conditions of the hypersonic wind tunnel at Sandia National Laboratories. The simulations provide new insight into the effect of wall cooling on the aero-optical path distortions for hypersonic turbulent boundary-layer flows. Four different wall-to-recovery temperature ratios, 0.3, 0.48, 0.71, and 0.89, are considered. Despite the much lower grid resolution, the mean velocity, temperature, and resolved Reynolds stress profiles from the simulation for a temperature ratio of 0.48 are in good agreement with those from a reference direct numerical simulation. The normalized root-mean-square optical path difference obtained from the present simulations is compared with that from reference direct numerical simulations, Sandia experiments, as well as predictions obtained with a semi-analytical model by Notre Dame University. Here the present analysis focuses on the effect of wall cooling on the wall-normal density correlations, on key underlying assumptions of the aforementioned model such as the strong Reynolds analogy, and on the elevation angle effect on the optical path difference. Wall cooling is found to increase the velocity fluctuations and decrease the density fluctuations, resulting in an overall reduction of the normalized optical path distortion. Compared to the simulations, the basic strong Reynolds analogy overpredicts the temperature fluctuations for cooled walls. Also different from the strong Reynolds analogy, the velocity and temperature fluctuations are not perfectly anticorrelated. Finally, as the wall temperature is raised, the density correlation length, away from the wall but inside the boundary layer, increases significantly for beam paths tilted in the downstream direction.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

Data-driven closure modeling for hypersonic turbulent flows

The Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes (RANS) equations remain a workhorse technology for simulating compressible fluid flows of practical interest. Due to model-form errors, however, RANS models can yield erroneous predictions that preclude their use on mission-critical problems. This report summarizes work performed from FY22-FY24 focused on improving RANS models for hypersonic flows using data-driven modeling and scientific machine learning. In this work we: 1. Investigate the current capabilities of RANS models in Sandia’s parallel aerodynamics and re-entry code (SPARC) for hypersonic flows with a focus on shock boundary layer interactions (SBLIs), 2. Assess several established corrections that exist in the literature aimed at improving predictions for SBLIs, 3. Develop improved models for the Reynolds stress tensor using tensor-basis neural networks, 4. Develop a neural-network-based variable turbulent Prandtl number model to reduce errors in wall heating in SBLIs. 5. Begin future investigations including employing the LIFE framework to improve wall heating predictions in SBLIs as well as the ensemble Kalman filter. We find that current RANS models in SPARC are deficient for complex SBLI flows. In particular, no current model jointly predicts wall heat flux, wall shear stress, and wall pressure with reasonable accuracy. Existing corrections help, but do not alleviate this issue altogether. The development of improved models for the Reynolds stress tensor via tensor-basis neural networks results in more predictive RANS models across a suite of low-speed and high-speed cases. For hypersonic boundary layers, the inclusion of the wall-normal Reynolds stress via TBNNs has an appreciable impact on the wall-normal momentum balance and wall quantities. However, we find that improvements to the Reynolds stress tensor do not address the over-prediction in wall heat flux in SBLIs. We find that a neural-network-based variable turbulent Prandtl number model systematically and substantially improves wall heating predictions for a range of SBLI cases.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Nonseeded linewise temperature measurements by resonantly ionized photoemission thermometry in a Mach 4 Ludwieg tube

A one-dimensional (1D) thermometry using oxygen-tagging resonantly ionized photoelectron thermometry (O 2 RIPT) was employed to investigate thermal gradients within a Mach 4 Ludwieg tube. The Ludwieg tube is pulsed with a test duration of approximately 100 ms, providing a cold supersonic flow at Mach 4 ideal for studying aerothermal effects. This study focused on measuring freestream temperatures, capturing shock-induced heating behind a detached bow shock from a blunt cylinder, and resolving sharp temperature variations across a bow shock generated by a cylinder. The O 2 RIPT technique produced strong emission signals extending approximately 4 cm long, demonstrating its capability for precise temperature measurements in high-speed wind tunnel environments. The results confirm that O 2 RIPT is well-suited for applications in large-scale aerodynamic testing facilities, particularly in regions with strong compression effects, enabling the resolution of sharp thermal gradients. This method presents a promising solution for thermometry in dynamic flow conditions relevant to various experimental ground-test facilities.

McCord, Walker (ORCID:0000000179747550)↗
DOE OSTI2023

Hypersonic Fluid–Structure Interaction on a Cone–Slice–Ramp Geometry

In this study, fluid–structure interactions were measured between a representative control surface and the hypersonic flow deflected by it. The control surface is simplified as a spanwise finite ramp placed on a longitudinal slice of a cone. The front surface of the ramp contains a thin panel designed to respond to the unsteady fluid loading arising from the shock-wave/boundary-layer interactions. Experiments were conducted at Mach 5 and Mach 8 with ramps of different angles. High-speed schlieren captured the unsteady flow dynamics and accelerometers behind the thin panel measured its structural response. Panel vibrations were dominated by natural modes that were excited by the broadband aerodynamic fluctuations arising in the flowfield. However, increased structural response was observed in two distinct flow regimes: 1) attached or small separation interactions, where the transitional regime induced the strongest panel fluctuations. This was in agreement with the observation of increased convective undulations or bulges in the separation shock generated by the passage of turbulent spots, and 2) large separated interactions, where shear layer flapping in the laminar regime produced strong panel response at the flapping frequency. In addition, panel heating during the experiment caused a downward shift in its natural mode frequencies.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Scaling considerations for supercritical carbon dioxide cycles including turbomachinery loss models

A modeling framework for the supercritical carbon dioxide recompressed closed Brayton cycle was developed. Unlike typical models, this effort incorporated generalized empirical turbomachinery loss models. Aerodynamic, windage, and leakage losses were considered in order to address the limitations of conventional constant-efficiency turbomachinery assumptions without relying on machine-specific or computationally expensive simulations. The model enables system-level exploration of optimal cycle design across a range of power scales, including smaller scales that are relevant to microreactors and extraterrestrial power applications. Parametric studies and multi-objective optimizations are used to evaluate the trade-offs between thermal efficiency and system compactness based on an analytical heat exchanger scaling model, yielding Pareto-optimal fronts across a range of operating pressures. Results reveal that at small power scales, the Pareto-optimal compressor inlet pressure becomes subcritical due to the increasing influence of density-dependent turbomachinery losses. Here, the relative contributions of each loss mechanism are quantified, and design recommendations are provided for key parameters such as recompression split ratio and generator cavity pressure across varying power scales.

Multi-objective optimization↗
DOE OSTI2024

Trends and meteorological drivers of extreme daily reservoir evaporation events in the western United States

Extreme daily evaporation from reservoir surfaces can lead to significant short-term water losses, affecting water quality, water supply, and reservoir operation strategies. Historical trends in daily reservoir evaporation events have eluded the scientific and operational communities, largely due to a lack of long-term, consistent data record. This study quantifies trends in extreme daily reservoir evaporation events at 165 major reservoirs located in the western U.S. Here, we use the place-based energy balance and aerodynamic Daily Lake Evaporation Model (DLEM) driven by multiple meteorological data products (RTMA, gridMET, Daymet) to estimate daily evaporation rates at these reservoirs from 1981 to 2022. The results—while are based on different meteorological forcing datasets—consistently indicate that the California, Lower Colorado, and Rio Grande hydrologic regions are more prone to higher daily evaporation extremes. Compared to the rest of western U.S, these three regions also experience a more pronounced increasing trend in the annual maximum daily evaporation rate, at about 0.3 mm day -1 decade -1 during 1981-2022. The results show that heat and dryness are the main drivers to the increasing trend of extreme evaporation, while extreme wind speed is the primary contributor to exceptionally high daily evaporation events across all regions. This phenomenon is particularly prominent in the arid Lower Colorado region, but less significant in the cold and humid Pacific Northwest region. We also find that the correlation between extreme wind speed and extreme evaporation degrades as the time scale increases from daily, to monthly and seasonal. Our findings have strong implications for the pattern and distribution of extreme evaporation events at the western U.S. reservoirs, and illustrate how various drivers influence extreme evaporation across different time scales.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗