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DOE OSTI2026

Using Explainable Artificial Intelligence to Predict Perovskite Solar Cell Electrical Metastability from Operando Photoluminescence Images in Accelerated Stress Testing

Metal halide perovskite (MHP) solar cells exhibit a metastable response to bias governed by coupled ionic–electronic processes, complicating the conventional reciprocity relation between luminescence intensity and device open-circuit voltage (V oc ). This limits the use of luminescence as a diagnostic for device screening or accelerated stress testing, motivating new approaches that can interpret photoluminescence (PL) signals under nonequilibrium conditions. From the artificial intelligence perspective, we develop an explainable deep learning framework that integrates convolutional neural networks (CNN), long short-term memory (LSTM) layers, and an attention mechanism to learn spatiotemporal features from operando photoluminescence PL image sequences. The model achieves a mean absolute error of ±0.027 V in predicting open-circuit voltage transients and reduces extreme-tail errors by up to 78% compared to physics-based reciprocity calculations. Gradient-weighted Class Activation Mapping (Grad-CAM) provides interpretability by highlighting physically meaningful regions such as electrode edges and emergent defect features. From the engineering application perspective, this framework enables accurate, contactless prediction of device V oc and identification of degradation-relevant features during accelerated aging of perovskite solar cells. This approach demonstrates how explainable AI can enhance operando diagnostics and reliability analysis in photovoltaic devices under nonequilibrium conditions.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Photovoltaic Cable Jackets: A Comparison of Representative Products Using Combined-Accelerated Stress Testing [Slides]

Photovoltaic (PV) cables facilitate the distribution of electricity collected from modules to the energy grid. Durable cabling enables continuous operation of PV installations, whereas cables with a lifetime less than the modules must be replaced - reducing electricity generation and adding to the operating expense. This study primarily focusses on the aging of the key cable types using the combined-accelerated stress testing (C-AST) protocol. Representative cables for utility, building, and control/auxiliary applications were examined. Cable jacket materials examined include: polyolefin, polyethylene, polyamide, poly(vinyl chloride), chlorinated polyethylene, thermoplastic elastomer, and ethylene propylene diene monomer rubber. Specimen characterizations applied include: optical microscopy, mechanical profilometry, instrumented indentation, scanning electron microscopy (SEM), energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy (EDS), Fourier-transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR), thermogravimetric analysis (TGA), and differential scanning calorimetry (DSC). A variety of performance and durability characteristics were observed, depending on the base material, polymer formulation, and jacket color. The results from C-AST are analyzed and discussed relative to a recent industry survey on electronic balance of system components in addition to a recent study where similar cables were aged using steady state ultraviolet weathering (International Electrotechnical Commission Technical Specification 62788-7-2). Recommendations are made for the screening, industry qualification, and service life prediction of PV cable jackets.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2022

Electrolyzer Performance Loss from Accelerated Stress Tests and Corresponding Changes to Catalyst Layers and Interfaces

Stress tests are developed for proton exchange membrane electrolyzers that utilize low catalyst loading, elevated potential, and frequent cycling with square- and triangle-waves to accelerate anode catalyst layer degradation during intermittent operation. Kinetics drive performance losses (ohmic/transport secondary) and are accompanied by decreasing exchange current density, decreasing cyclic voltammetric capacitance, and increasing polarization resistance. Decreased kinetics are likely due to a combination of iridium (Ir) migration into electrochemically inaccessible locations in the anode or membrane, Ir particle growth (supported by X-ray scattering), changes in the extent of the Ir oxidation state (supported by X-ray absorption spectroscopy), and anode catalyst layer reordering. Decreasing catalyst/transport layer contact and catalyst/membrane interfacial tearing may add contact resistances and account for increasing ohmic losses. Performance losses for low and moderate catalyst loading, as well as from accelerated and model wind/solar cycling protocols, were likewise dominated by kinetics but vary in severity. Additionally, accelerated cycling (1 cycle per minute) appears to reasonably accelerate relevant loss mechanisms and can be used to project electrolyzer lifetime from anode deterioration. Ongoing accelerated stress test development and studies into performance loss mechanisms will continue to be critical as electrolysis shifts to intermittent power and low-cost applications.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

DOE OSTI2023

Accelerated Aging of PV Cables - The Development of Methods Towards Combined-Accelerated Stress Testing

PV cables allow the collection and distribution of electricity from modules to the energy grid. Durable cabling allows continuous operation of PV installations. Cables with a life less than that of the modules must be replaced - reducing electricity generation and adding to the system operating expense. We have examined the durability of a variety of representative cable samples using artificial UV weathering (IEC TS 62788-7-2) and combined accelerated stress testing (C-AST). Jackets in this study include PV-rated (polyolefin), building wire (PVC/PA), and multi-conductor (rubber, as in PV trackers), with some examples of black and red cables. Characterizations at read points include appearance (camera and optical microscope), surface roughness (linear profilometry), instrumented indentation, surface morphology (SEM), chemical composition (EDS), thermal decomposition (TGA), phase transition (DSC), crystalline structure (WAXS), and polymer chemical structure (FTIR). Complimentary examinations confirm damage to the external and interior layer(s) of less durable samples, including changes in morphology (e.g., cracking), chemistry (e.g., oxidation), structure, and mechanical performance (e.g., through-thickness modulus and hardness). The results may be generally compared to other examples from the field (PV installations) or after accelerated testing (IEC 61215). The methods in this study are presently being applied in a follow-on C-AST study, incorporating both dynamic and kinematic fixtures.

balance of systems↗

DOE OSTI2022

Evaluating the Durability of Balance of Systems Components Using Combined-Accelerated Stress Testing

The degradation of photovoltaic (PV) balance of systems (BoS) components is not well-studied, but the consequences include: offline-modules, -strings, -inverters; system shutdown; arc-faults; and fires. A utility provider experienced a ~30% failure rate in their power transfer chain, attributed to branch connectors. Field-failed specimen assemblies were therefore examined, consisting of cable connector, branch connector and discrete fuse components. Unused field-vintage specimens are presently being examined using combined-accelerated stress testing (C-AST) to clarify the most influential environmental stressors as well as the effect of external mechanical perturbation. A benchtop prototype fixture was used to develop the perturbation capability for C-AST. The benchtop experiments were also used to develop the in-situ data acquisition of specimen: current, voltage, and temperature. A significant increase in operating temperature, ~100 deg C from ~40 deg C, and a different failure mode was observed immediately once periodic mechanical perturbation was applied. The current at failure was decreased from 35 A (with failure occurring in the fuses) to 15 A (failure at the male/female metal pin connection). After initial examination using X-ray computed tomography, the external plastic was machined away from failed specimens to allow failure analysis, including the extraction of the internal convolute springs for morphological examination (optical- and electron-microscopy). Chemical composition analysis included: energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy, differential scanning calorimetry, and Fourier transform infrared spectroscopy.

balance of systems↗

DOE OSTI2022

Evaluating the Durability of Balance of Systems Components Using Combined-Accelerated Stress Testing

The degradation of photovoltaic (PV) balance of systems (BoS) components is not well-studied, but the consequences include offline modules, strings, and inverters; system shutdown; arc faults; and fires. A utility provider experienced a ~30% failure rate in their power transfer chain, originally attributed to branch connectors. Field-failed specimen assemblies were therefore examined, consisting of cable connector, branch connector, and discrete fuse components. In this study, unused field-vintage specimens are examined using combined-accelerated stress testing (C-AST) to clarify the most influential environmental stressors as well as the effect of external mechanical perturbation. A benchtop prototype fixture was used to develop the perturbation capability for the C-AST chamber. The benchtop experiments were also used to develop the in-situ data acquisition of specimen current, voltage, and temperature. A significant increase in operating temperature (~100 degrees C from ~40 degrees C) and a different failure mode were observed promptly once periodic mechanical perturbation was applied. The current at failure was decreased from 35 A (with failure in the fuses) to 15 A (failure at the male/female metal pin connection). After initial examination using X-ray computed tomography, the external plastic was machined away from failed specimens to allow for failure analysis, including the extraction of the internal convolute springs for morphological examination (optical and electron microscopy).

balance of systems↗

DOE OSTI2022

Evaluating the Durability of Balance of Systems Components Using Combined-Accelerated Stress Testing: Preprint

The degradation of photovoltaic (PV) balance of systems (BoS) components is not well-studied, but the consequences include: offline-modules, -strings, -inverters; system shutdown; arc-faults; and fires. A utility provider experienced a ~30% failure rate in their power transfer chain, originally attributed to branch connectors. Field-failed specimen assemblies were therefore examined, consisting of cable connector, branch connector, and discrete fuse components. Unused field-vintage specimens are presently being examined using combined-accelerated stress testing (C-AST) to clarify the most influential environmental stressors as well as the effect of external mechanical perturbation. A benchtop prototype fixture was used to develop the perturbation capability for the C-AST chamber. The benchtop experiments were also used to develop the in-situ data acquisition of specimen: current, voltage, and temperature. A significant increase in operating temperature, ~100 deg C from ~40 deg C, and a different failure mode was observed promptly once periodic mechanical perturbation was applied. The current at failure was decreased from 35 A (with failure in the fuses) to 15 A (failure at the male/female metal pin connection). After initial examination using X-ray computed tomography, the external plastic was machined away from failed specimens to allow failure analysis, including the extraction of the internal convolute springs for morphological examination (optical- and electron-microscopy).

balance of systems↗

DOE OSTI2021

UV-Fluorescence Imaging of Silicon PV Modules After Outdoor Aging and Accelerated Stress Testing

Fast, non-destructive, outdoor-compatible methods for photovoltaic module characterization are essential for monitoring module quality without disrupting energy production. UV-fluorescence (UVF) imaging of the encapsulant layer can be used for crack detection in the field. We show that UVF patterns vary widely between modules and types of applied stress. We propose that combining accelerated stress testing (e.g. thermal cycling and damp heat) with field investigations can help build understanding of different types of UVF, which are formed and subsequently quenched at varying rates. Ultimately, such understanding could enable estimating when cracks were formed.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗

DOE OSTI2024

Field‐representative evaluation of PID‐polarization in TOPCon PV modules by accelerated stress testing

Abstract Potential‐induced degradation‐polarization (PID‐p) can reduce module power, but how to project the extent to which PID‐p may occur in field conditions considering the factors of system voltage, condensed moisture, temperature, and illumination has not been clarified. Using tunnel oxide passivated contact (TOPCon) modules, this work demonstrates a method to test full‐size crystalline silicon PV modules for PID‐p to provide field‐representative results. In initial screening tests with positive or negative 1000 V electrical bias applied at 60°C for 96 h using Al foil electrodes on the glass surfaces, the module type exhibited reversible PID‐p only on the front face when the cell circuit was in negative voltage potential. No PID was detected on the rear after testing in either polarity. We then evaluated the PID‐p sensitivity on the front side under different UV irradiances while maintaining the glass surface wet to estimate real‐world susceptibility to PID‐p. The magnitude of the observed behavior was fit using a previously developed charge transfer and depletion by light model. Whereas power loss with −1000 V applied to the cell circuit at 60°C for 96 h in the dark was about 30%, testing the module front under 0.051 W·m −2 nm −1 at 340 nm UVA irradiation using fluorescent tubes, the mean degradation was only 3%. When the modules were tested in the dark for PID‐p with in situ dark current–voltage (I‐V) characterization, the thermal activation energy for degradation was 0.71 eV; for recovery in the dark, it was 0.58 eV. Whereas recovery from the degraded state at 60°C in the dark without voltage bias was 5% absolute in 38 h, rapid recovery of about 5% absolute was observed with 1000 W·s/m 2 exposure at 25°C using a flash tester.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

A Custom High-Throughput Optical Mapping Instrument for Accelerated Stress Testing of PV Module Materials

The performance and integrity of photovoltaic (PV) modules and materials may be assessed through optical characterizations. We have developed a custom optical mapping instrument (OMI) to improve measurement throughput time, facilitate automated measurements, allow for localized specimen examination, obtain spatial information relative to commercial benchtop spectrophotometer instruments, and provide automated data analysis. Both the key components and the methods used to improve the measurements are described. The measurement precision for the OMI is benchmarked for hemispherical transmittance relative to a previous round-robin study for commercial spectrophotometers. In addition to the unique instrument developed in this study, new insights have emerged from the examination of specimens from previous experiments, including: the depletion of the UV absorber is revealed for specimens beyond a certain size after artificial ultraviolet (UV) weathering; an optical degradation by internal haze formation is confirmed following Damp Heat (85 °C/85% relative humidity) testing; the better uniformity of the wear pattern for falling sand abrasion is used to select the DIN 52348 fixture over the ASTM D968 fixture; and the greater local (in the order of millimeters) heterogeneity of surface contamination in the soiling-prone location of Dubai relative to Kuwait. The results of the UV study have already been used to improve the standardized weathering of encapsulants. The example for Damp Heat testing is given to increase awareness of a degradation believed to be ubiquitously occurring in safety and design-type qualification testing of PV modules.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Extended Accelerated Stress Testing of Lamination-Free Edge-Sealed Photovoltaic Minimodules

Lamination-free minimodules are constructed with silicon solar cells between glass sheets and an edge seal of polyisobutylene and silicone. These samples are stressed using a repeated sequential testing sequence including ultraviolet-containing simulated solar spectrum light exposure at elevated temperature, damp heat, humidity freeze, and thermal cycling adapted from the International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC) TS 63209-2:2022. The minimodule performance throughout the stressing is characterized by flash testing and electroluminescence imaging. Results are compared to conventional laminated minimodules using the same type of solar cells. The lamination-free minimodules experience up to 8% power loss compared to roughly 3% for the laminated versions. However, those losses, dominated by current and fill factor, are caused by glass soiling and busbar ribbon separation on the cells. When glass is replaced and the stressed cells are contacted with probes bypassing the delaminated ribbons, the initial performance is recovered, and overall losses of the lamination-free samples become negligible.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Evaluating Non-Fluoropolymer-Based Co-Extruded Backsheets Using Combined-Accelerated Stress Testing and Materials Forensics

Co-extruded, non-fluoropolymer backsheet films for photovoltaic (PV) modules have gained popularity in recent years based on their cost competitiveness. However, their viability has been thrown into question as a result of widespread, early-life field-failures of some materials, particularly the polyamide (PA)-based “AAA” backsheet product. Failure to detect weaknesses in those earlier products could be due, in part, to insufficient quality testing practices. New testing protocols have recently been developed to better evaluate such materials. Here we show the testing results for a non-fluoropolymer, co-extruded PA-based backsheet film, which demonstrates greater durability than AAA and some commercial fluoropolymers. Using material characterization techniques including Fourier-transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR), wide-angle x-ray scattering (WAXS), differential scanning calorimetry (DSC), X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS), elongation-to-break (ETB), and optical microscopy we perform a comprehensive failure analysis to better understand the materials weaknesses. This analysis can ultimately inform how best to improve the material and extend its lifetime. This work serves as a demonstration that some materials should not be discounted due to a single poorly designed product and that more appropriate qualification testing with subsequent materials analysis can be used to develop better materials.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗

DOE OSTI2024

Catalyst-Specific Accelerated Stress Tests in Proton Exchange Membrane Low-Temperature Electrolysis for Intermittent Operation

Device-level stress tests are developed that focus on anode catalyst layer degradation and future anticipated operating conditions, including intermittent load and reduced platinum group metal content. Square-wave cycles with an upper load limit of 2.5 A cm -2 are utilized to screen commercial iridium (Ir) materials. Performance losses are primarily due to decreasing kinetics and are accompanied by catalyst migration into the membrane, worsening catalyst/ionomer integration, and weakening of the catalyst/membrane interface. For ruthenium-containing catalysts, the in situ performances are higher but durabilities lower than Ir baselines, and any performance advantage is lost within the test. Increased loss is likely due to the higher dissolution rate; microscopy confirmed greater degrees of ruthenium migration. For Ir metal or mixed oxides, ex situ activity improvements generally did not translate to in situ performance. The durability, however, is significantly lower and the loss rate increased from 3 (oxide) to 9 (metal) μ V cycle -1 . These results are consistent with historical findings in literature, rationalize the continued use of iridium oxide as a baseline catalyst, and demonstrate that traditional catalyst development approaches may not improve device-level durability when focused on low-cost applications. A shift in focus may therefore be more effective at improving catalyst utilization and lessening load requirements.

08 HYDROGEN↗

DOE OSTI2022

Accelerated Stress Test (AST) Development for Advanced Liquid Alkaline Water Electrolysis [Slides]

Outline. Alkaline Water Electrolyzers: Comparison of PEMEC and AWE systems and Components and degradation mechanisms in AWE; AST development: Electrolzyer AST development (AWE focus), PEMEC AST development, and AWE AST development.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2021

A Custom High-Throughput Optical Mapping Instrument (OMI) for Accelerated Stress Testing of PV Module Materials

The performance and integrity of photovoltaic (PV) modules and materials may be assessed through optical characterizations. We have developed a custom Optical Mapping Instrument (OMI) to improve measurement throughput time, facilitate automated measurements, and obtain spatial information relative to commercial benchtop spectrophotometer instruments. Both the key components and the methods used to improve the measurements are described. The measurement precision for the OMI is benchmarked for hemispherical transmittance relative to a previous round-robin study for commercial spectrophotometers. Example mapping measurements and their implications are given for specimens from other studies, including: (1) the depletion of the UV absorber is revealed for specimens beyond a certain size after standardized artificial ultraviolet (UV) weathering, (2) an optical degradation by internal haze formation is confirmed following Damp Heat (85°C/85% relative humidity) testing, (3) the better uniformity of the wear pattern for falling sand abrasion is used to select the DIN 52348 fixture over the ASTM D968 fixture, and (4) the local (millimeter-scale) heterogeneity of surface contamination in the soiling-prone location of Dubai relative to Kuwait. The results of the UV study have already been used to improve the standardized weathering of encapsulants. The example for Damp Heat testing is given to increase awareness of a degradation believed to be ubiquitously occurring in safety and design-type qualification testing of PV modules.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗

DOE OSTI2022

Evaluating the Durability of Balance of Systems Components Using Combined-Accelerated Stress Testing

balance of systems↗

DOE OSTI2022

Reliability Evaluation of Bifacial and Monofacial Glass/Glass Modules with EVA and non-EVA Encapsulants

The market share for bifacial modules is projected to be doubled from 30% to 60% in the next ten years. For the monofacial crystalline silicon glass/backsheet (G/B) modules, extensive reliability data has been available for over 40 years. However, practically little/no long-term field or accelerated reliability test data is available for the new generation glass/glass (G/G) bifacial modules and glass/transparent (G/T) bifacial modules. Therefore, the primary motivation of this project was to identify the reliability strengths and weaknesses of new generation G/G modules compared to G/B modules. In this 3-year project, the goal was to objectively recommend the best construction materials for the new generation G/G (bifacial) modules through a systematic experimental approach with appropriate tasks including: Evaluation of field retrieved old-generation G/G modules; Inspection of new-generation G/G modules installed in the plants; Evaluation of new-generation G/G, G/B and G/T modules using EAST (Extended Accelerated Stress Testing), CAST (Combined Accelerated Stress Testing) and FAST (Field Accelerated Stress Testing); and, dynamic literature search and review. Major accomplishments and outcomes of this project are: Accomplishments: Evaluated more than 60 field retrieved modules and constructed and characterized more than 135 mini-modules with three substrate types (G, B, and T), two encapsulant types (EVA and POE), and two cell types (monofacial and bifacial) as well as evaluated more than 30 commercial G/G and G/B modules; Subjected all the modules to multitude characterization tests and various indoor and outdoor accelerated stress tests including FAST (Field Accelerated Stress Testing), EAST (Extended Accelerated Stress Testing), and CAST (Combined Accelerated Stress Testing) to identify and correlate the failure modes in both field and lab tests. Outcomes: Based on the accelerated test results and handling/mounting experience obtained in this project, the recommended best construction for the glass/glass modules is: “Framed GG modules with cut-cells and POE encapsulant (UVpass front; UVpass back).” However, from a statistical and manufacturing point of view (along with stakeholders surveys), the following cautionary notes are added to the above-mentioned recommendation: (i) Cut cells could introduce a higher level of manufacturing issues, including a higher number of cell interconnects; (ii) POE encapsulant is more expensive than EVA and could present a delamination risk and lower throughput during manufacturing due to lower adhesion strength. Other encapsulants, such as coextruded EPE (EVA/POE/EVA), are also recommended to be investigated. The potential public benefit of the proposed project is to present the strengths and weaknesses of glass/glass modules, so an informed procurement decision can be made.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Experimental Considerations for Estimating Degradation in PV Modules

Carefully controlled laboratory experiments and measurements can enable the determination of acceleration factors suitable for extrapolation to durability and performance of a fielded PV module. Ideally, a single mechanism can be identified with appropriate acceleration factors for extrapolation to the field. However, even with a single mechanism, the inherent uncertainty in these factors leads to uncertainty in the extrapolation which is greater the higher the acceleration factor. This course will explain how because of the wide range of acceleration factors for a given degradation mode, utilizing acceleration factors greater than about 10x will typically lead to unacceptable uncertainty in the results. Therefore, if even just a rank ordering of materials is desired, acceleration factors must be minimized which requires a good general understanding of the scale of the different acceleration factors for the degradation mode of interest. In this tutorial we will discuss what the different purposes are for many of the accelerated stress tests used today. E.g., what is a qualification test, a highly accelerated stress test, a rank ordering test, or a service life prediction test. We will discuss how one can understand the relationship between test results and expected field performance. A single accelerated stress test condition cannot duplicate outdoor exposure for all possible degradation pathways; therefore, one must use targeted evaluation of material properties at different stress levels to determine the relevant acceleration factors and fit it to a model. We will also discuss how to interpret the results of experiments understanding what is relevant/not relevant, or not e valuated in a test. There are many common error people make in their test interpretations because they push the stress levels to be too harsh. This creates biases and can mask the relevant failure modes and mechanisms or will erroneously lead one to over design materials against things that aren't relevant. Several case studies will be presented to illustrate appropriate interpretation of accelerated stress testing results.

degradation↗