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Influence of local river hydraulics on Kootenai River white sturgeon ( Acipenser transmontanus ) habitat selection during four spawning years, 2017–2020
Understanding fine-scale habitat selection of endangered Kootenai River white sturgeon ( Acipenser transmontanus) is an important component for monitoring and recovery efforts. Fine-scale habitat selection and quantifying temporal changes in suitable habitat contributes to the work of addressing recruitment failure within the Kootenai River population. Habitat suitability indices were developed using over 96 000 acoustic telemetry sturgeon detections and two-dimensional hydrodynamic model simulations near Bonners Ferry, Idaho, USA. The selected habitat was assessed to develop habitat suitability indices for sturgeon; females undergoing spawn migrations and non-spawners. The most frequented locations were 8–9 m deep and water velocities of 0.3–0.7 m·s −1 . These observations suggest sturgeon with different spawning capabilities selected similar habitat. Weighted usable area was calculated to understand temporal variability in habitat quality, which showed a positive relationship with increases in flow. Results help understand the habitat limiting factors in regulated hydrologic regimes; provide biologists insight for monitoring efforts in discrete habitat conditions; guidance for water managers and the regulation of upstream water resources; and guidance to restoration practitioners for in-stream structure designs.
The Photometric LSST Astronomical Time-series Classification Challenge PLAsTiCC: Selection of a Performance Metric for Classification Probabilities Balancing Diverse Science Goals
Classification of transient and variable light curves is an essential step in using astronomical observations to develop an understanding of the underlying physical processes from which they arise. However, upcoming deep photometric surveys, including the Large Synoptic Survey Telescope (LSST), will produce a deluge of low signal-to-noise data for which traditional type estimation procedures are inappropriate. Probabilistic classification is more appropriate for such data but is incompatible with the traditional metrics used on deterministic classifications. Furthermore, large survey collaborations like LSST intend to use the resulting classification probabilities for diverse science objectives, indicating a need for a metric that balances a variety of goals. We describe the process used to develop an optimal performance metric for an open classification challenge that seeks to identify probabilistic classifiers that can serve many scientific interests. The Photometric LSST Astronomical Time-series Classification Challenge (PLASTICC) aims to identify promising techniques for obtaining classification probabilities of transient and variable objects by engaging a broader community beyond astronomy. Using mock classification probability submissions emulating realistically complex archetypes of those anticipated of PLASTICC, we compare the sensitivity of two metrics of classification probabilities under various weighting schemes, finding that both yield results that are qualitatively consistent with intuitive notions of classification performance. We thus choose as a metric for PLASTICC a weighted modification of the cross-entropy because it can be meaningfully interpreted in terms of information content. Finally, we propose extensions of our methodology to ever more complex challenge goals and suggest some guiding principles for approaching the choice of a metric of probabilistic data products.
Bayesian and LASSO Regressions for Comparative Permeability Modeling of Sandstone Reservoirs
In this research, Bayesian model averaging (BMA) and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression (LASSO) algorithms were adopted for the core permeability modeling as a function of well log and core measurements. More specifically, the core permeability (dependent factor) was modeled given the well log and core data (independent variables) and then predicted in non-cored intervals of a well in a sandstone formation. The BMA is a stochastic linear modeling and a Bayesian parameter selection. Among 50 linear models generated as a function of the independent variables and depicted in Occam’s window, the best model of the highest posterior probability is determined. The best model has the optimal subset parameters that most influences the response factor. The core permeability modeling was again conducted using the LASSO algorithm, which adopts a completely different way of modeling and subset selection by using the penalized least-squared equation. Both BMA and LASSO resulted in a very accurate prediction of the core permeability by achieving perfect measured and calculated permeability matching. Matches for the two algorithms were quantified by computing the adjusted R-squared and root-mean-squared prediction error. In addition, results of the BMA and LASSO were compared to the conventional multiple linear regression (LM). The LASSO algorithm led to an accurate matching similar to LM, but slightly better than BMA. Therefore, both BMA and LASSO represent integrated procedures for accurate permeability estimation similar to conventional regression analysis.
Selection of Global Climate Model Data for Downscaling With Generative Machine Learning and Use in the Power Planning for Alignment of Climate and Energy Systems Project
The range of results from climate models and scenarios is important to the understanding of uncertainty in power planning analysis. A U.S. Department of Energy-funded analytic project called Power Planning for Alignment of Climate and Energy Systems is developing data and analytic methods to reflect the effects of climate change on key variables for power system planning, as part of the Grid Modernization Lab Consortium. This project will select and prepare global climate model results for use in power system planning models. A related report (Evaluation of Global Climate Models for Use in Energy Analysis) assesses the performance of various global climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 data archive for their historical skill with respect to energy system performance and for their future projections under multiple climate change scenarios. Building from that report, we describe the selection of a climate scenario (Shared Socioeconomic Pathway [SSP] 2-4.5) and five climate models: TaiESM1, EC-Earth3-CC, GFDL-CM4, EC-Earth3-Veg, and MPI-ESM1-2-HR. We describe the model selection criteria, which were based on the quality of the match between model results under historical conditions and on the representation of the range of future values for several variables. These results will be downscaled via an open-source generative machine learning method called Super-Resolution for Renewable Energy Resource Data with Climate Change Impacts.
Evaluating Moisture Control of Variable-Capacity Heat Pumps in Mechanically Ventilated, Low-Load Homes in Climate Zone 2A
Low-load homes can present a challenge when selecting appropriate space-conditioning equipment. Conventional, fixed-capacity heating and cooling equipment is often oversized for small homes, causing increased first costs and operating costs. This report evaluates the performance of variable-capacity comfort systems, with a focus on inverter-driven, variable-capacity systems, as well as proposed system enhancements.
Compression of tokamak boundary plasma simulation data using a maximum volume algorithm for matrix skeleton decomposition
This report demonstrates satisfactory data compression of SOLPS-ITER simulation output ranging from 2D fields, 1D profiles, and 0D scalar variables with a novel matrix decomposition approach. The singular value decomposition (SVD) scales poorly for large matrix sizes and is unsuited to the application on high dimensional data common to fusion plasma physics simulation. In this work, we employ the columns-submatrix-rows (CUR) matrix factorization technique in order to compute a low-rank approximation up to two orders of magnitude faster than the SVD, but within a nominal L2-norm relative error of ε = 10 –2 . In addition, the CUR approach maintains the original format of the data, in its extracted columns and rows, allowing for interpretable data storage at the original resolution of the simulation. We utilize an iterative algorithm to compute the CUR decomposition of simulation output by maximizing the volume, or linearly independent information content, of a low-rank submatrix contained within the data. Experiments over $\textit{n} × \textit{n}$ randomized test matrices with embedded rank-deficient features show that this maximum volume implementation of CUR matrix approximation has reduced asymptotic computational complexity on the order of n compared to the SVD, which scales approximately as $n^3$. These results show that the CUR technique can be used to effectively select time step snapshots (columns) of over 140 SOLPS-ITER output variables and the associated discretized coordinate timeseries (rows) allowing for reconstruction of the complete simulation dynamics.
CMIP5 model selection for ISMIP6 ice sheet model forcing: Greenland and Antarctica
Abstract. The ice sheet model intercomparison project for CMIP6 (ISMIP6) effort brings together the ice sheet and climate modeling communities to gain understanding of the ice sheet contribution to sea level rise. ISMIP6 conducts stand-alone ice sheet experiments that use space- and time-varying forcing derived from atmosphere–ocean coupled global climate models (AOGCMs) to reflect plausible trajectories for climate projections. The goal of this study is to recommend a subset of CMIP5 AOGCMs (three core and three targeted) to produce forcing for ISMIP6 stand-alone ice sheet simulations, based on (i) their representation of current climate near Antarctica and Greenland relative to observations and (ii) their ability to sample a diversity of projected atmosphere and ocean changes over the 21st century. The selection is performed separately for Greenland and Antarctica. Model evaluation over the historical period focuses on variables used to generate ice sheet forcing. For stage (i), we combine metrics of atmosphere and surface ocean state (annual- and seasonal-mean variables over large spatial domains) with metrics of time-mean subsurface ocean temperature biases averaged over sectors of the continental shelf. For stage (ii), we maximize the diversity of climate projections among the best-performing models. Model selection is also constrained by technical limitations, such as availability of required data from RCP2.6 and RCP8.5 projections. The selected top three CMIP5 climate models are CCSM4, MIROC-ESM-CHEM, and NorESM1-M for Antarctica and HadGEM2-ES, MIROC5, and NorESM1-M for Greenland. This model selection was designed specifically for ISMIP6 but can be adapted for other applications.
Analysis of HolosGen Sub-Scale Simulator with Plant Dynamics Code
The Subcritical Power Module Sub-scale Simulator (SPM-SS) has been designed and constructed by HolosGen LLC under the ARPA-E MEITNER program to simulate the thermal-hydraulic and heat transfer behavior of the full-scale Holos-Quad Subcritical Power Modules (SPMs). Four coupled SPMs, each rated at 5.5MW, form the Holos-Quad gas-cooled microreactor design. The SPM-SS represents a substantially scaled-down system with a power rating less than 40 kW, equipped with an electrically heated fuel cartridge heat exchanger, an electrically heated compressor heat exchanger, and a valve actuated turbine heat exchanger, in addition to a recuperator and a cooler heat exchanger. The fuel cartridge represents a portion of the full-scale SPM core, the compressor heat exchanger mimics the temperature changes resulting from the compressor’s turbomachinery inefficiencies, the turbine heat exchanger mimics the expansion process normally occurring through the turbine, while the recuperator and cooler heat exchangers complete the subscale simulator loop. The heaters equipping the fuel cartridge and the compressor heat exchangers are electronically controlled to simulate normal and off-normal SPM operating conditions. The full-scale Holos-Quad SPM design eliminates the traditional balance of plant and executes thermal-to-electric energy conversion by means of an intercooled Brayton cycle with decoupled compressor-turbine turbomachinery. The Holos-Quad full-scale design is equipped with a multi-stage axial Low- and High-Pressure compressor, and a multistage axial turbine. The SPM-SS is designed for testing and validation of selected components which are instead coupled by a traditional balance of plant. The SPMSS is not equipped with turbo-machinery (compressor and turbine) as the development of these components were excluded from the scope of work under the ARPA-E MEITNER funding program. The SPM-SS balance of plant enables modifications, replacement and testing of individual components with different working fluids and is designed to include the turbo-machinery components that will be developed in future research . The SPM-SS can be operated with different gases, variable mass-flow-rates, pressures, and temperatures to obtain test data for selected components, whose performance can be scaled to validate the computer model of the full-scale SPM at various conditions (e.g., start-up, transients conditions). The SPM-SS can operate at the maximum Holos-Quad design pressure of 7 MPa, and a maximum temperature limited to 650 °C by the electrical heaters. Several SPM-SS tests have been conducted and analyzed with the Plant Dynamics Code (PDC) developed at the Argonne National Laboratory (ANL). These tests aimed at validating the PDC modeled predictions of the full-scale Holos-Quad design with data from selected SPM-SS components. In order to address SPM-SS specific characteristics, such as components heat losses and absence of turbomachinery components, some modifications to the PDC have been implemented to factor the design differences from the full-scale Holos-Quad SPM to the SPM-SS. As the PDC offers capabilities to analyze systems with different working fluids, air, nitrogen, and helium were utilized as the SPM-SS working fluids. Air was utilized to fine-tune the SPM-SS Systems Structures and Components (SSCs), nitrogen was utilized to pressure test the SPM-SS loop at the SPMs design maximum pressure of 7MPa. Helium was utilized as the working fluid circulating through the SPM-SS SSCs for specific tests to validate the PDC predictions of the fuel cartridge heat exchanger. SPM-SS tests data were also analyzed with both the steady-state and transient analysis capabilities offered by the PDC. This report describes the PDC analysis of the SPM-SS tests data, including the necessary code modifications and comparison of the code results with the experimental data. Based on the results, a discussion is presented on how the analysis supports design and transient calculations of the full-scale Holos-Quad microreactor. Also based on the results of this work, recommendations are made for future optimizations of the SPM-SS components and PDC model development needs.
Enrichment of root-associated Streptomyces strains in response to drought is driven by diverse functional traits and does not predict beneficial effects on plant growth
The genus Streptomyces has consistently been found enriched in drought-stressed plant root microbiomes, yet the ecological basis and functional variation underlying this enrichment at the strain and isolate level remain unclear. Using two 16S rRNA sequencing methods with different levels of taxonomic resolution, we confirmed drought-associated enrichment (DE) of Streptomyces in field-grown sorghum roots and identified five closely related but distinct amplicon sequence variants (ASVs) belonging to the genus with variable drought enrichment patterns. From a culture collection of sorghum root endophytes, we selected 12 Streptomyces isolates representing these ASVs for phenotypic and genomic characterization. Whole-genome sequencing revealed substantial variation in gene content, even among closely related isolates, and exometabolomic profiling showed distinct metabolic responses to media supplemented with drought- versus well-watered root tissue. Traits linked to drought survival, including osmotic stress tolerance, siderophore production, and carbon utilization, varied widely among isolates and were not phylogenetically conserved. Using a broader panel of 48 Streptomyces, we demonstrate that DE scores, determined through mono-association experiments in gnotobiotic sorghum systems, showed high variability and lacked correlation with plant growth promotion. Pangenome-wide association identified orthogroups involved in osmolyte transport (e.g., proP) and membrane biosynthesis (e.g., fabG) as positively associated with DE, though most associations lacked phylogenetic signal. Collectively, these results demonstrate that Streptomyces DE is not a conserved genus-level trait but is instead strain-specific and functionally heterogeneous. Furthermore, DE in the root microbiome was shown not to predict beneficial effects on plant growth. This work underscores the need to resolve functional traits at the strain level and highlights the complexity of microbe-host-environment interactions under abiotic stress.
Recommended Nuclear Data for the Production of Selected Therapeutic Radionuclides
Increasing interest in the treatment of human disease by means of targeted radionuclide-based therapies requires an accurate understanding of achievable yields and quantification of realisable degrees of purity. Important studies within a more extensive Coordinated Research Project of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA CRP) have included in-depth assessments and evaluations of all available measured cross-section data for ten nuclear reactions leading to the formation of 131 Cs, 131 Ba, 225 Ac, 225 Ra, 227 Th, 227 Ac, 230 U and 230 Pa for various on-going and proposed therapeutic applications in nuclear medicine. Equivalent studies were also undertaken of possible reactions to produce the 178W /low-spin 178m Ta generator system that has been clinically applied in diagnosis by means of SPECT - these particular cross-section studies and recommendations are included in this paper for completeness. All available measured data have been critically reviewed and assessed to produce statistically consistent datasets. Selected datasets have been fitted by a least-squares method with Padé approximations of variable order to evaluate the production cross sections and corresponding uncertainties. New measurements have been made in some instances, and reported data have been adjusted to accommodate new nuclear decay or monitor reaction data which altered the original reported quantities adversely. Insufficient measured data are available in many cases to permit a reliable evaluation of cross sections, and these instances are discussed. Finally, recommended therapeutic radionuclide production reaction data and their uncertainties are available on the Web page of the IAEA Nuclear Data Section at www-nds.iaea.org/radionuclides/ and also at the IAEA medical portal www-nds.iaea.org/medportal/.
Quantifying Leaf Chlorophyll Concentration of Sorghum from Hyperspectral Data Using Derivative Calculus and Machine Learning
Leaf chlorophyll concentration (LCC) is an important indicator of plant health, vigor, physiological status, productivity, and nutrient deficiencies. Hyperspectral spectroscopy at leaf level has been widely used to estimate LCC accurately and non-destructively. This study utilized leaf-level hyperspectral data with derivative calculus and machine learning to estimate LCC of sorghum. We calculated fractional derivative (FD) orders starting from 0.2 to 2.0 with 0.2 order increments. Additionally, 43 common vegetation indices (VIs) were calculated from leaf spectral reflectance factor to make comparisons with reflectance-based data. Within the modeling pipeline, three feature selection methods were assessed: Pearson’s correlation coefficient (PCC), partial least squares based variable importance in the projection (VIP), and random forest-based mean decrease impurity (MDI). Finally, we used partial least squares regression (PLSR), random forest regression (RFR), support vector regression (SVR), and extreme learning regression (ELR) to estimate the LCC of sorghum. Results showed that: (1) increasing derivative order can show improved model performance until certain order for reflectance-based analysis; however, it is inconclusive to state that a particular order is optimal for estimating LCC of sorghum; (2) VI-based modeling outperformed derivative augmented reflectance factor-based modeling; (3) mean decrease impurity was found effective in selecting sensitive features from large feature space (reflectance-based analysis), whereas simple Pearson’s correlation coefficient worked better with smaller feature space (VI-based analysis); and (4) SVR outperformed all other models within reflectance-based analysis; alternatively, ELR with VIs from original reflectance yielded slightly better results compared to all other models.
Towards a 𝜈 𝜇 CC 1𝜇 + 1p exc. cross section measurement at the NOvA Near Detector
In the recent past, the NOvA near detector has been used to perform several neutrino-matter cross section measurements as a function of final state muon or electron kinematics around $E_\nu = 2$ GeV. In this talk, I show how the muon neutrino charged-current measurement in particular can be extended into a more exclusive region of phase space in order to probe nuclear effects. This can be done by selecting a final state with 1$\mu$, 1 proton, and nothing else, and measuring the cross section in terms of transverse kinematic imbalance (TKI) variables. The measurement I describe here would also be sensitive to quasi-elastic (QEL), two-particle two-hole (2p2h), and resonant (RES) neutrino interactions. Currently, I am optimizing the selection cuts for this analysis and developing a proton momentum estimator, which is necessary for reconstructing the TKI variables.
A GIS-Based Suitability Analysis of a Phytomanagment Strategy for TCE in Groundwater and Soil Niagara Falls Storage Site, New York - 19385
The large number of complexly contaminated sites throughout the nation has propagated the application of phytoremedial techniques in a wide array of environmental remediation strategies. The use and breeding of vegetation for the in-situ treatment of environmental media (soil, groundwater, sediment) contaminated with organic or inorganic contaminants has shown to provide a low-cost alternative to conventional means of remediating contaminated sites (e.g., groundwater extraction, chemical oxidation or reduction, bioremediation, excavation, etc.). One impediment to effective phytoremediation is the selection of proper plant-species, which is complicated due to the many variables that are required for plant-species viability (i.e. range of soil pH, annual precipitation values, depth to groundwater table, etc.). This study employed the use of a Geographic Information Systems (GIS) to first define the spatial extent of contaminated media (soil and groundwater) at a project site and then support an effective means to optimize phytoremediative techniques to manage these impacts prior to final remediation. Spatial analyses and analytical calculations were coupled to determine an optimal plant species and spacing to maximize the effectiveness of a phytomanagement plan. The incorporation of fuzzy membership functions and fuzzy overlay provide an innovative method to help select the optimal plant-species for phytomanagement planning. Fuzzy membership functions were used to represent the plant growth requirements and provided an intuitive method to represent the uncertainty associated with plant-growth requirements. The fuzzy overlay function then employed a raster-based suitability analysis that together provided decision makers with a scientific solution to optimally design a phytomanagement strategy for site-related volatile organic compound (VOC) impacts. The Niagara Falls Storage Site (NFSS) VOC-impacted groundwater is contained in clayey glacial sediments, which commonly are technically impractical to remediate. Prior on-site studies show that native poplar (cottonwood variants) preferentially translocate or phytoextract the VOCs from the site soils and thus provide a proven mechanism to manage the multi-media impacts. Consequently, the Army Corps of Engineers Buffalo District evaluated phytoremediative approaches as a passive tool to manage the VOCs during the project life cycle prior to final remediation. The fuzzy membership functions and fuzzy overlay modeling of candidate species narrowed the selection to an optimal species and subsequent transpiration modeling estimated the plant spacing for the overall phytomanagement plan. The method employed for this study is easy applied to other phytoremediative and phytomanagement actions derived from hazardous waste decision making. (authors)
Unveiling the influence of selective-area-regrowth interfaces on local electronic properties of GaN p-n junctions for efficient power devices
Here, we report correlated nanoscale mapping of the structure, composition, and properties of regrown GaN p-n junctions to identify how etching and non-planar regrowth processes limit diode performance via the introduction of unintentional dopants and defect states. p-GaN was selectively regrown in n-GaN trenches with SiO 2 masks of variable mask-to-trench-width ratio. Dilute Al layers were periodically introduced during regrowth as markers of the growth interface. Correlated nanoscale mapping of doping, conductivity, and dopant complexes was achieved with atom probe tomography (APT), scanning spreading resistance microscopy (SSRM), and cathodoluminescence (CL) spectroscopy, respectively. The Al marker layers, detected by APT, enabled reconstruction of the faceted growth interface and correlation of the dopant concentration with position and time. The p-GaN growth rate is proportional to the mask-to-trench width ratio while the dopant incorporation rate is invariant. At trench edges, magnesium incorporation is suppressed, and oxygen incorporation enhanced, due to preferential incorporation on the semi-polar growth surface, leading to compensation and less abrupt p-n junctions; the SiO 2 mask is a source of oxygen. Residual etch damage below the regrowth interface induces n-type and p-type conductivity, creating leakage pathways. The non-uniform Mg incorporation is driven by crystal anisotropy and is thus inherent to non-planar regrowth, but can be mitigated by engineering the regrowth interface and process parameters. The unprecedented integration of spatially resolved mapping of dopants, impurities, conductivity, and carrier type is a powerful approach to discriminating distinct factors that limit the performance of regrown diodes, enabling the rational optimization of process and device design.
Behavioral state resource selection in invasive wild pigs in the Southeastern United States
Elucidating correlations between wild pig ( Sus scrofa ) behavior and landscape attributes can aid in the advancement of management strategies for controlling populations. Using GPS data from 49 wild pigs in the southeastern U.S., we used hidden Markov models to define movement path characteristics and assign behaviors (e.g., resting, foraging, travelling). We then explored the connection between these behaviors and resource selection for both sexes between two distinct seasons based on forage availability (i.e., low forage, high forage). Females demonstrated a crepuscular activity pattern in the high-forage season and a variable pattern in the low-forage season, while males exhibited nocturnal activity patterns across both seasons. Wild pigs selected for bottomland hardwoods and dense canopy cover in all behavioral states in both seasons. Males selected for diversity in vegetation types while foraging in the low-forage season compared to the high-forage season and demonstrated an increased use of linear anthropogenic features across seasons while traveling. Wild pigs can establish populations and home ranges in an array of landscapes, but our results demonstrate male and female pigs exhibit clear differences in movement behavior and there are key resources associated with common behaviors that can be targeted to improve the efficiency of management programs.
Method for assessing coal-floor water-inrush risk based on the variable-weight model and unascertained measure theory
Water inrush from coal-seam floors greatly threatens mining safety in North China and is a complex process controlled by multiple factors. This study presents a mathematical assessment system for coal-floor water-inrush risk based on the variable-weight model (VWM) and unascertained measure theory (UMT). In contrast to the traditional constant-weight model (CWM), which assigns a fixed weight to each factor, the VWM varies with the factor-state value. The UMT employs the confidence principle, which is more effective in ordered partition problems than the maximum membership principle adopted in the former mathematical theory. The method is applied to the Datang Tashan Coal Mine in North China. First, eight main controlling factors are selected to construct the comprehensive evaluation index system. Subsequently, an incentive-penalty variable-weight model is built to calculate the variable weights of each factor. Then, the VWM-UMT model is established using the quantitative risk-grade divide of each factor according to the UMT. On this basis, the risk of coal-floor water inrush in Tashan Mine No. 8 is divided into five grades. For comparison, the CWM is also adopted for the risk assessment, and a differences distribution map is obtained between the two methods. Finally, the verification of water-inrush points indicates that the VWM-UMT model is powerful and more feasible and reasonable. The model has great potential and practical significance in future engineering applications.
Quantifying the relative contribution of factors to household vehicle miles of travel
Household vehicle miles of travel (VMT) has been exhibiting a steady growth in post-recession years in the United States and has reached record levels in 2017. With transportation accounting for 27 percent of greenhouse gas emissions, planning professionals are increasingly seeking ways to curb vehicular travel to advance sustainable, vibrant, and healthy communities. Although there is considerable understanding of the various factors that influence household vehicular travel, there is little knowledge of their relative contribution to explaining variance in household VMT. This paper presents a holistic analysis to identify the relative contribution of socio-economic and demographic characteristics, built environment attributes, residential self-selection effects, and social and spatial dependency effects in explaining household VMT production. The modeling framework employs a simultaneous equations model of residential location (density) choice and household VMT generation. The analysis is performed using household travel survey data from the New York metropolitan region. Model results showed insignificant spatial dependency effects, with socio-demographic variables explaining 33 percent, density (as a key measure of built environment attributes) explaining 12 percent, and self-selection effects explaining 11 percent of the total variance in the logarithm of household VMT. The remaining 44 percent remains unexplained and attributable to omitted variables and unobserved idiosyncratic factors, calling for further research in this domain to better understand the relative contribution of various drivers of household VMT.