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At least 343 records · Page 19

Global Lightning Variations Caused by Changes in Thunderstorm Flash Rate and by Changes in Number of Thunderstorms

Global lightning activity is highly variable on many time scales. This variability is attributable to changes in the flash rate per thunderstorm, the number of thunderstorms, or a combination. The TRMM Mission offers lightning observations from the Optical Transient Detector (OTD) and the Lightning Imaging Sensor (LIS) in space. Both are used to examine the response of these parameters to thermodynamic forcing of deep convection on the diurnal and annual time scales. On both time scales, the changes in the number of storms dominate the variations in total lightning activity. On the diurnal time scale, the mean flash rate appears to vary with cloud buoyancy, peaking in early afternoon and declining in late afternoon, but the contribution of number of thunderstorms is 2-3 times greater that the mean storm flash rate. On the annual time scale, almost all of the total lightning response is due to changes in the number of storms, with a negligible contribution from flash rate. Evidence is presented that the LIS/OTD 'area' is a meaningful objective identifier for a thunderstorm.

Williams, E. K.↗

Models of Solar Irradiance Variability and the Instrumental Temperature Record

The effects of decade-to-century (Dec-Cen) variations in total solar irradiance (TSI) on global mean surface temperature Ts during the pre-Pinatubo instrumental era (1854-1991) are studied by using two different proxies for TSI and a simplified version of the IPCC climate model.

solar variability climate change global warming↗

Comparison of V-4 and V-5 Exercise/Oxygen Prebreathe Protocols to Support Extravehicular Activity in Microgravity

The Prebreathe Reduction Program (PRP) used exercise during oxygen prebreathe to reduce necessary prebreathe time prior to depressurizing to work in a 4.3 psi suit during extravehicular activity (EVA). Initial testing produced a two-hour protocol incorporating ergometry exercise and a 30 min cycle of depress/repress to 10.2 psi where subjects breathed 26.5% oxygen/balance nitrogen (Phase II - 10 min at 75% peak oxygen consumption [VO2 peak] followed by 40 min intermittent light exercise [ILE] [approx. 5.8 mL-per kilogram- per minute], then 50 min of rest). The Phase II protocol (0/45 DCS) was approved for operations and has been used on 40 EVAs, providing significant time savings compared to the standard 4 h resting oxygen prebreathe. The Phase V effort focused on performing all light in-suit exercise. Two oxygen prebreathe protocols were tested sequentially: V-4) 160 min prebreathe with 150 min of continuous ILE. The entire protocol was completed at 14.7 psi. All exercise involved upper body effort. Exercise continued until decompression. V-5) 160 min prebreathe with 140 min of ILE - first 40 min at 14.7 psi, then 30 min at 10.2 psi (breathing 26.5% oxygen) after a 20 min depress, simulating a suit donning period. Subjects were then repressed to 14.7 psi and performed another 50 min of lower body ILE, followed by 50 min rest before decompression. The V-4 protocol was rejected with 3 DCS/6 person-exposures. Initial V-5 testing has produced 0 DCS/11 person-exposures (ongoing trials). The difference in DCS rate was significant (Fisher Exact p=0.029). The observations of DCS were significantly lower in early V-5 trials than in V-4 trials. Additional studies are required to evaluate the relative contribution of the variables in exercise distribution, the 10.2 psi depress/repress component, pre-decompression rest, or possible variation in total oxygen consumption.

Pollock, N. W.↗

Integrating Enhanced Grace Terrestrial Water Storage Data Into the U.S. and North American Drought Monitors

NASA's Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites measure time variations nf the Earth's gravity field enabling reliable detection of spatio-temporal variations in total terrestrial water storage (TWS), including ground water. The U.S. and North American Drought Monitors are two of the premier drought monitoring products available to decision-makers for assessing and minimizing drought impacts, but they rely heavily on precipitation indices and do not currently incorporate systematic observations of deep soil moisture and groundwater storage conditions. Thus GRACE has great potential to improve the Drought Monitors hy filling this observational gap. Horizontal, vertical and temporal disaggregation of the coarse-resolution GRACE TWS data has been accomplished by assimilating GRACE TWS anomalies into the Catchment Land Surface Model using ensemble Kalman smoother. The Drought Monitors combine several short-term and long-term drought indices and indicators expressed in percentiles as a reference to their historical frequency of occurrence for the location and time of year in question. To be consistent, we are in the process of generating a climatology of estimated soil moisture and ground water based on m 60-year Catchment model simulation which will subsequently be used to convert seven years of GRACE assimilated fields into soil moisture and groundwater percentiles. for systematic incorporation into the objective blends that constitute Drought Monitor baselines. At this stage we provide a preliminary evaluation of GRACE assimilated Catchment model output against independent datasets including soil moisture observations from Aqua AMSR-E and groundwater level observations from the U.S. Geological Survey's Groundwater Climate Response Network.

Housborg, Rasmus↗

Using Enhanced Grace Water Storage Data to Improve Drought Detection by the U.S. and North American Drought Monitors

NASA's Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites measure time variations of the Earth's gravity field enabling reliable detection of spatio-temporal variations in total terrestrial water storage (TWS), including groundwater. The U.S. and North American Drought Monitors rely heavily on precipitation indices and do not currently incorporate systematic observations of deep soil moisture and groundwater storage conditions. Thus GRACE has great potential to improve the Drought Monitors by filling this observational gap. GRACE TWS data were assimilating into the Catchment Land Surface Model using an ensemble Kalman smoother enabling spatial and temporal downscaling and vertical decomposition into soil moisture and groundwater components. The Drought Monitors combine several short- and long-term drought indicators expressed in percentiles as a reference to their historical frequency of occurrence. To be consistent, we generated a climatology of estimated soil moisture and ground water based on a 60-year Catchment model simulation, which was used to convert seven years of GRACE assimilated fields into drought indicator percentiles. At this stage we provide a preliminary evaluation of the GRACE assimilated moisture and indicator fields.

Houborg, Rasmus↗

Application of GRACE for Monitoring Groundwater in Data Scarce Regions

In the United States, groundwater storage is somewhat well monitored (spatial and temporal data gaps notwithstanding) and abundant data are freely and easily accessible. Outside of the U.S., groundwater often is not monitored systematically and where it is the data are rarely centralized and made available. Since 2002 the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite mission has delivered gravity field observations which have been used to infer variations in total terrestrial water storage, including groundwater, at regional to continental scales. Challenges to using GRACE for groundwater monitoring include its relatively coarse spatial and temporal resolutions, its inability to differentiate groundwater from other types of water on and under the land surface, and typical 2-3 month data latency. Data assimilation can be used to overcome these challenges, but uncertainty in the results remains and is difficult to quantify without independent observations. Nevertheless, the results are preferable to the alternative - no data at all- and GRACE has already revealed groundwater variability and trends in regions where only anecdotal evidence existed previously.

Rodell, Matt↗

The Mars Crustal Magnetic Field Control of Plasma Boundary Locations and Atmospheric Loss: MHD Prediction and Comparison with MAVEN

We present results from a global Mars time-dependent MHD simulation under constant solar wind and solar radiation impact considering inherent magnetic field variations due to continuous planetary rotation. We calculate the 3-D shapes and locations of the bow shock (BS) and the induced magnetospheric boundary (IMB) and then examine their dynamic changes with time. We develop a physics-based, empirical algorithm to effectively summarize the multidimensional crustal field distribution. It is found that by organizing the model results using this new approach, the Mars crustal field shows a clear, significant influence on both the IMB and the BS. Specifically, quantitative relationships have been established between the field distribution and the mean boundary distances and the cross-section areas in the terminator plane for both of the boundaries. The model-predicted relationships are further verified by the observations from the NASA Mars Atmosphere and Volatile EvolutioN (MAVEN) mission. Our analysis shows that the boundaries are collectively affected by the global crustal field distribution, which, however, cannot be simply parameterized by a local parameter like the widely used subsolar longitude. Our calculations show that the variability of the intrinsic crustal field distribution in Mars-centered Solar Orbital itself may account for approx.60% of the variation in total atmospheric loss, when external drivers are static. It is found that the crustal field has not only a shielding effect for atmospheric loss but also an escape-fostering effect by positively affecting the transterminator ion flow cross-section area.

Global↗

Polar Vortex Outbreak Air Transport: Observation using Satellite IR Sounder Derived Ozone Product and Comparison with Model

The Single Field of View (SFOV) Sounder Atmospheric Products (SiFSAP) derived from Cross-track Infrared Sounder (CrIS) on SNPP and JPSS have a spatial resolution ( ~14.5 km) better than most global weather and climate models. Most recent significant improvement in the quality of these products enables us to use these high-resolution observation-based sounding data for weather studies and model evaluation. The aim of this study is to explore the value to use these SFOV products for studying the dynamic transport associated with polar vortex outbreak. In a few cases studies, we used SiFSAP products, especially ozone, as well as the data of wind, geopotential height (GPH) and potential velocity (PV) from the fifth-generation ECMWF reanalysis (ERA5) data, to analyze the variation of total ozone, relative humidity and ozone in different layers, as well as their correlation with GPH and PV. Some comparison of the retrieved temperature and water vapor with ERA5 data, and ozone with the Ozone Mapping and Profiler Suite (OMPS) measurements have also been made. It is found (1) the transport of O3-riched polar air accompanying the polar vortex breakup to lower latitude and lower atmosphere, and (2) the transport path of O3 agreeing well with the path of polar cold air (illustrated using the retrieved RH, wind fields and GPH). These results demonstrate the 3-D structure of O3 distribution as derived from CrIS measurements provides some insights of the cold air transport, and can be used to track the dynamic transport of polar cold air following the outbreak of polar vortex. The observed enhancement of O3 following the polar vortex outbreak also suggests some possible linkage between the tropospheric cold air advected with stratospheric air source.

Xiaozhen Xiong↗

On Computationally Efficient Radiative Transfer Calculations for Three-dimensional Entry Problems

The current work presents an efficient simulation framework for rigorously modeling radiative fields emanating from non-equilibrium planetary entry flows in complex three-dimensional domains. Key to this endeavor is adoption of finite-volume discretization in lieu of brute-force ray tracing. This change in conjunction with mesh sweeping and Lebedev-type quadrature for angular integration allows spatial-angular resolution of radiative transfer to be performed in a computationally tractable manner. Additionally, a new methodology has been established to build standalone reduced-order spectral databases for non-equilibrium radiative properties that can be applied to a broad range of hypersonic planetary entry problems with minimal loss in accuracy. The efficacy of the new framework has been demonstrated on the atomic nitrogen radiative system. The resulting reduced-order model requires three orders-of-magnitude fewer spectral evaluations and results in a 95% decrease in memory footprint. A comparative study for representative forebody and afterbody lines-of-sight from Stardust, FIRE II, and meteor entries into the Earth atmosphere indicates that both total intensity variation and detailed spectra can be retrieved with as few as 625 reduced-order groups (contrasting with the 100,000 frequencies in the original full set model). Similarly, three-dimensional predictions of radiative heating experienced by the Orion forebody are in excellent agreement with legacy radiation solvers while requiring only a sliver (roughly 0.5%) of computing wall time.

3D radiation↗

On Computationally Efficient Radiative Transfer Calculations for Three-Dimensional Entry Problems

The current work presents an efficient simulation framework for rigorously modeling radiative fields emanating from non-equilibrium planetary entry flows in complex three-dimensional domains. Key to this endeavor is adoption of finite-volume discretization in lieu of brute-force ray tracing. This change in conjunction with mesh sweeping and Lebedev-type quadrature for angular integration allows spatial-angular resolution of radiative transfer to be performed in a computationally tractable manner. Additionally, a new methodology has been established to build standalone reduced-order spectral databases for non-equilibrium radiative properties that can be applied to a broad range of hypersonic planetary entry problems with minimal loss in accuracy. The efficacy of the new framework has been demonstrated on the atomic nitrogen radiative system. The resulting reduced-order model requires three orders-of-magnitude fewer spectral evaluations and results in a 95% decrease in memory footprint. A comparative study for representative forebody and afterbody lines-of-sight from Stardust, FIRE II, and meteor entries into the Earth atmosphere indicates that both total intensity variation and detailed spectra can be retrieved with as few as 625 reduced-order groups (contrasting with the 100,000 frequencies in the original full set model). Similarly, three-dimensional predictions of radiative heating experienced by the Orion forebody are in excellent agreement with legacy radiation solvers while requiring only a sliver (roughly 0.5%) of computing wall time.

3D radiation↗

Validation of 1985-1997 Active Cavity Radiometer Spacecraft Measurements of Total Solar Irradiance Variability

Since 1978, long-term variations in the total solar irradiance (solar constant) have been monitored using spacecraft radiometers, at the 0.01% precision level. The irradiance measurements were performed from the Earth Radiation Budget Satellite [ERBS], Nimbus-7, Solar Maximum Mission [SMM], Upper Atmosphere Research Satellite [UARS], European Retrievable Carrier (EURECA), Solar and Heliospheric Observatory [SOHO], and the Space Shuttle Atmospheric Laboratory for Applications and Science [ATLAS] spacecraft platforms. Radiometer responses can drift or shift at precision levels of a few hundreds of a percent. In-flight calibration sources are not available to detect radiometer response changes at radiometric accuracy or precision levels near the 0.01% (0.1 W/sq m) level. Inconsistent trends among the sets were used to identify possible instrumental drifts or shifts which may be incorrectly interpreted as solar irradiance changes while consistent trends among the different measurement sets were used to detect long-term irradiance variability components. In this paper, 1991-1998 corresponding ERBS, UARS, SOHO, and ATLAS irradiance measurements are inter-compared with each other as well as with the ERBS empirical irradiance fit. The empirical irradiance fit is based upon 10.7-cm solar radio flux (F10) and photometric sunspot index (PSI), indices of solar magnetic activity. Analyses of recent data sets identified no long-term shifts and drifts in the ERBS, SOHO, or UARS data sets. The typical value of the total solar irradiance is approximately 1365 Watts per meter squared (W/sq m).

Lee, Robert B., III↗

The Contribution of the Solcon Instrument to the Long Term Total Solar Irradiance Observation

On century time scales, the variation in the total solar irradiance received by the earth is believed to be a major climate change driver. Therefore accurate and time stable measurements of the total solar irradiance are necessary. We present the latest contribution of the SOLar CONstant (SOLCON) instrument to these measurements, namely its measurements during the International Extreme Ultraviolet Hitchhiker (IEH) 3 space shuttle flight, and its results: the verification of the ageing of the Earth Radiation Budget Satellite (ERBS), and the measurement of the Space Absolute Radiometric Reference (SARR) adjustment coefficients for the Variability of solar IRradiance and Gravity Oscillations (VIRGO) radiometers.

Dewitte, S.↗

Saturn's rings - 3-mm low-inclination observations and derived properties

To determine a more precise brightness temperature and more accurate properties for Saturn's rings, 3.3 mm low inclination observations have been made at 90 GHz with the Aerospace 4.6 m radio telescope. A mean brightness temperature of 17 plus or minus 4 K has been determined by comparing the data with the variation of the inclination of the total flux from the planet and rings predicted by a simple model with uniformly bright A and B rings. Variation of the normal optical depth from 0.4 to 1.0 resulted in a total variation of about 1.5 K in A and B brightness. A portion of the brightness attributed to ring particle thermal emission has been determined to be at a temperature of 11 plus or minus 5 K. If the maximum particle radius (approximately 5 m) deduced from Voyager bistatic radar observations is correct, results indicate a particle distribution ranging between 1 cm and several meters radius of the form r exp -s with s = 3.3-3.6, or a material absorption coefficient ranging between 3 and 10 times lower than that of pure water ice at 85 K, or both. An increase in the porosity of the ice particles through a decrease in their density will not produce the observed particle albedo. If the rocky material is uniformly distributed, low ring brightness temperature would allow a silicate upper limit of approximately 10 percent by mass; however, the silicate material could be more abundant if it is separated from the icy material.

Epstein, E. E.↗

Modelling of total solar irradiance variability - An overview

Several components contribute to the observed variations of the total solar irradiance. There has been considerable effort expended on building empirical models for specific components, especially for sunspots and faculae. These models typically use time series of ground-based data as a means of representing the total-irradiance variability. The models may help to identify the physical cause of a variation; the parameters of a model (e.g. the effective temperature of a sunspot) may be determinable via correlation with the total-irradiance observations; the models may be used as proxy representations for total-irradiance variability during periods of no data; finally, the models in principle can be used as a basis for 'correcting' the total-irradiance data, as a means for better identification of additional components of variability.

Hudson, Hugh S.↗

Evaluating Ground-based Proxies for Solar Irradiance Variation

In order to determine what ground-based proxies are best for evaluating solar irradiance variation before the advent of space observations, it is necessary to test these proxies against space observations. We have tested sunspot number, total sunspot area, and sunspot umbral area against the Nimbus-7 measurements of total solar irradiance variation cover the eleven year period 1980-1990. The umbral area yields the best correlation and the total sunspot area yields the poorest. Reasons for expecting the umbral area to yield the best correlation are given, the statistical procedure followed to obtain the results is described, and the value of determining the best proxy is discussed. The latter is based upon the availability of an excellent database from the Greenwich Observatory obtained over the period 1876-1976, which can be used to estimate the total solar irradiance variation before sensitive space observations were available. The ground-based observations used were obtained at the Coimbra Solar Observatory. The analysis was done at Goddard using these data and data from the Nimbus-7 satellite.

Oegerle, William↗

The solar cycle; Proceedings of the National Solar Observatory/Sacramento Peak 12th Summer Workshop, Sunspot, NM, Oct. 15-18, 1991

Attention is given to a flux-transport model, the effect of fractal distribution on the evolution of solar surface magnetic fields, active nests on the sun, magnetic flux transport in solar active regions, recent advances in stellar cycle research, magnetic intermittency on the sun, a search for existence of large-scale motions on the sun, and new solar cycle data from the NASA/NSO spectromagnetograph. Attention is also given to the solar cycle variation of coronal temperature during cycle 22, the distribution of the north-south asymmetry for the various activity cycles, solar luminosity variation, a two-parameter model of total solar irradiance variation over the solar cycle, the origin of the solar cycle, nonlinear feedbacks in the solar dynamo, and long-term dynamics of the solar cycle.

Harvey, Karen L.↗

Absolute rate of the reaction of bromine atoms with ozone from 200 to 360 K

The rate constant for the reaction Br + O3 yields BrO + O2 has been measured from 200 to 360 K by the technique of flash photolysis coupled to time resolved detection of bromine atoms by resonance fluorescence (FP-RF). Br atoms were produced by the flash photolysis of CH3Br at a wavelength of 165 nm. O3 concentration was monitored continuously under reaction conditions by absorption at 253.7 nm. At each of five temperatures the results were independent of substantial variations in O3 concentration, total pressure (Ar), and limited variations in flash intensity (i.e., initial Br concentration). The measured rate constants obey the Arrhenius expression, k = (7.74 plus or minus 0.50) x 10 to the -12th exp(-603 plus or minus 16/T) cu cm/molecule/sec, where the error quoted is two standard deviations.

Michael, J. V.↗