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At least 343 records · Page 19

COVID-19 dynamics across the US: A deep learning study of human mobility and social behavior

This paper presents a deep learning framework for epidemiology system identification from noisy and sparse observations with quantified uncertainty. The proposed approach employs an ensemble of deep neural networks to infer the time-dependent reproduction number of an infectious disease by formulating a tensor-based multi-step loss function that allows us to efficiently calibrate the model on multiple observed trajectories. The method is applied to a mobility and social behavior-based SEIR model of COVID-19 spread. The model is trained on Google and Unacast mobility data spanning a period of 66 days, and is able to yield accurate future forecasts of COVID-19 spread in 203 US counties within a time-window of 15 days. Interestingly, a sensitivity analysis that assesses the importance of different mobility and social behavior parameters reveals that attendance of close places, including workplaces, residential, and retail and recreational locations, has the largest impact on the effective reproduction number. Furthermore, the model enables us to rapidly probe and quantify the effects of government interventions, such as lock-down and re-opening strategies. Taken together, the proposed framework provides a robust workflow for data-driven epidemiology model discovery under uncertainty and produces probabilistic forecasts for the evolution of a pandemic that can judiciously provide information for policy and decision making. All codes and data accompanying this manuscript are available at https://github.com/PredictiveIntelligenceLab/DeepCOVID19.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Determination of the mutual orientation between proton CSA tensors mediated through band-selective 1 H– 1 H recoupling under fast MAS

We report the mutual orientation of nuclear spin interaction tensors provides critical information on the conformation and arrangement of molecules in chemicals, materials, and biological systems at an atomic level. Proton is a ubiquitous and important element in a variety of substances, and its NMR is highly sensitive due to their virtually 100% natural abundance and large gyromagnetic ratio. Nevertheless, the measurement of mutual orientation between the 1 H CSA tensors has remained largely untouched in the past due to strong 1 H– 1 H homonuclear interactions in a dense network of protons. In this study, we have developed a proton-detected 3D 1 H CSA/ 1 H CSA/ 1 H CS correlation method that utilizes three techniques to manage homonuclear interactions, namely fast magic-angle spinning, windowless C-symmetry-based CSA recoupling (windowless-ROCSA), and a band-selective 1 H– 1 H polarization transfer. The asymmetric 1 H CSA/ 1 H CSA correlated powder patterns produced by the C-symmetry-based methods are highly sensitive to the sign and asymmetry parameter of the 1 H CSA, and the Euler angle β as compared to the symmetric pattern obtained by the existing γ-encoded R-symmetry-based CSA/CSA correlation methods and allows a larger spectral area for data fitting. These features are beneficial for determining the mutual orientation between the nuclear spin interaction tensors with improved accuracy.

1H CSA↗

Quantum-Inspired Bayesian Sampling for Uncertainty Quantification and Machine Learning (Final Technical Report)

With increasing simulation and measurement data, machine learning and artificial intelligence have been widely used in computational decision-making of complex engineering systems. The resulting tools, such as uncertainty quantification solvers, reinforcement learning, and physics-informed machine learning, have achieved great success in critical DOE tasks such as material discovery and design, energy system modeling and control, and numerical weather and climate prediction. A core topic in scientific machine learning and artificial intelligence is Bayesian inference: given an observed data set, people want to estimate the posterior distribution of a (possibly large) number of hidden parameters. Due to the flexibility and weak assumptions, Bayesian sampling has been the mainstream Bayesian inference solvers despite the rapid progress of approximate Bayesian inference. Classical Bayesian sampling methods such as Markov-chain Monte Carlo suffer from a low-acceptance rate due to the random walk nature, therefore state-of-the-art techniques use Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and its variants to efficiently draw posterior samples in a high dimension. The key idea of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo and its variants is to simulate the Hamiltonian dynamics of a classical particle with a fixed mass, and their performance significantly degrades when the posterior distribution is highly spiky or has multiple modes. Leveraging the idea of quantum physics, this project has investigated new theory, algorithms and applications of Bayesian inference (especially Bayesian sampling). The main results include: (1) novel quantum-inspired Bayesian sampling methods that can lead to better accuracy for challenging multi-modal or spiky distributions, (2) more scalable machine learning framework leveraging tensor-compressed Bayesian inference, and (3) Bayesian and sampling approaches for verifying the robustness of continuous and binary neural networks.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Learning local equivariant representations for large-scale atomistic dynamics

Abstract A simultaneously accurate and computationally efficient parametrization of the potential energy surface of molecules and materials is a long-standing goal in the natural sciences. While atom-centered message passing neural networks (MPNNs) have shown remarkable accuracy, their information propagation has limited the accessible length-scales. Local methods, conversely, scale to large simulations but have suffered from inferior accuracy. This work introduces Allegro, a strictly local equivariant deep neural network interatomic potential architecture that simultaneously exhibits excellent accuracy and scalability. Allegro represents a many-body potential using iterated tensor products of learned equivariant representations without atom-centered message passing. Allegro obtains improvements over state-of-the-art methods on QM9 and revMD17. A single tensor product layer outperforms existing deep MPNNs and transformers on QM9. Furthermore, Allegro displays remarkable generalization to out-of-distribution data. Molecular simulations using Allegro recover structural and kinetic properties of an amorphous electrolyte in excellent agreement with ab-initio simulations. Finally, we demonstrate parallelization with a simulation of 100 million atoms.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

NASA SpaceCube Edge TPU SmallSat Card for Autonomous Operations and Onboard Science-Data Analysis

Using state-of-the-art artificial intelligence (AI)frameworks onboard spacecraft is challenging because common spacecraft processors cannot provide comparable performance to datacenters with server-grade CPUs and GPUs available for terrestrial applications and advanced deep-learning networks. This limitation makes small, lo w-p o we r AI microchip architectures, such as the Google Coral Edge Tensor Processing Unit (TPU), attractive for space missions where the application-specific design enables both high-performance and power-efficient computing for AI applications. To address these challenging considerations for space deployment, this research introduces the design and capabilities of a CubeSat-sized Edge TPU-based co-processor card, known as the SpaceCube Low-power Ed g e Artificial Intelligence Resilient Node (SC-LEARN). This design conforms to NASA’s CubeSat Card Specification (CS2) for integration into next-generation SmallSat and CubeSat systems. This paper describes the overarching architecture and design of the SC-LEARN, as well as, the supporting test card designed for rapid prototyping and evaluation. The SC-LEARN was developed with three operational modes: (1) a high-performance parallel-processing mode,(2)a fault-tolerant mode for onboard resilience, and (3) a power-saving mode with cold spares. Importantly, this research also elaborates on both training and quantization of Tensor Flow models for the SC-LEARN for use onboard with representative, open-source datasets. Lastly, we describe future research plans, including radiation-beam testing and flight demonstration.

Advanced avionics↗

Harnessing Neural Networks for Elucidating X-ray Absorption Structure–Spectrum Relationships in Amorphous Carbon

Improved understanding of structural and chemical properties through local experimental probes, such as X-ray absorption near-edge structure (XANES) spectroscopy, is crucial for the understanding and design of functional materials. In recent years, significant advancements have been made in the development of data science approaches for the automated interpretation of XANES structure–spectrum relationships. However, existing studies have primarily focused on crystalline solids and small molecules, while fewer efforts have been devoted to disordered systems. Thus, in this work, we demonstrate the development of neural network models for predicting and interpreting XANES spectra of amorphous carbon (a-C) from local structural descriptors. Comparison between different structural descriptors expectedly shows that the inclusion of both bond length and bond angle information is necessary for an accurate prediction of the spectra. Among the descriptors considered in this work, we find that the local many-body tensor representation yields the highest accuracy and greatest interpretability so that it can be leveraged to understand the importance of structural motifs in determining XANES spectra. Furthermore, we also discuss performance of neural network models for predicting both local structure features, such as bond lengths and bond angles, and global chemical composition, such as the sp:sp 2 :sp 3 ratio.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Neural chaos: A spectral stochastic neural operator

Building surrogate models for operators with uncertainty quantification capabilities is essential for many engineering applications where randomness–such as variability in material properties, boundary conditions, and initial conditions–is unavoidable. Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) is widely recognized as a go-to method for constructing stochastic surrogates in both intrusive and non-intrusive ways, and it has recently been used in the context of operator learning. However, its application becomes challenging for complex or high-dimensional processes, as achieving accuracy requires higher-order polynomials, which can increase computational demand and/or the risk of overfitting. Furthermore, PCE requires specialized treatments to manage random variables that are not independent, and these treatments may be problem-dependent or may fail with increasing complexity. Here, in this work, we adopt the same formalism as the spectral expansion used in PCE; however, we replace the classical polynomial basis functions with neural network (NN) basis functions to leverage their expressivity. To achieve this, we propose an algorithm that identifies NN-parameterized basis functions in a purely data-driven manner, without any prior assumptions about the joint distribution of the random variables involved, whether independent or dependent, or about their marginal distributions. The proposed algorithm identifies each NN-parameterized basis function sequentially, ensuring they are orthogonal with respect to the data distribution. The basis functions are constructed directly on the joint stochastic variables without requiring a tensor product structure or assuming independence of the random variables. This approach may offer greater flexibility for complex stochastic models, while simplifying implementation compared to the tensor product structures typically used in PCE to handle random vectors. This is particularly advantageous given the current state of open-source packages, where building and training neural networks can be done with just a few lines of code and extensive community support. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed scheme through several numerical examples of varying complexity and provide comparisons with classical PCE.

Polynomial chaos expansion↗

Cartesian message passing neural networks for directional properties: Fast and transferable atomic multipoles

The message passing neural network (MPNN) framework is a promising tool for modeling atomic properties but is, until recently, incompatible with directional properties, such as Cartesian tensors. We propose a modified Cartesian MPNN (CMPNN) suitable for predicting atom-centered multipoles, an essential component of ab initio force fields. The efficacy of this model is demonstrated on a newly developed dataset consisting of 46 623 chemical structures and corresponding high-quality atomic multipoles, which was deposited into the publicly available Molecular Sciences Software Institute QCArchive server. We show that the CMPNN accurately predicts atom-centered charges, dipoles, and quadrupoles and that errors in the predicted atomic multipoles have a negligible effect on multipole–multipole electrostatic energies. The CMPNN is accurate enough to model conformational dependencies of a molecule’s electronic structure. This opens up the possibility of recomputing atomic multipoles on the fly throughout a simulation in which they might exhibit strong conformational dependence.

Glick, Zachary L. (ORCID:0000000309002849)↗

The influence of packing structure and interparticle forces on ultrasound transmission in granular media

Ultrasound propagation through externally stressed, disordered granular materials was experimentally and numerically investigated. Experiments employed piezoelectric transducers to excite and detect longitudinal ultrasound waves of various frequencies traveling through randomly packed sapphire spheres subjected to uniaxial compression. The experiments featured in situ X-ray tomography and diffraction measurements of contact fabric, particle kinematics, average per-particle stress tensors, and interparticle forces. The experimentally measured packing configuration and inferred interparticle forces at different sample stresses were used to construct spring networks characterized by Hessian and damping matrices. The ultrasound responses of these network were simulated to investigate the origins of wave velocity, acoustic paths, dispersion, and attenuation. Results revealed that both packing structure and interparticle force heterogeneity played an important role in controlling wave velocity and dispersion, while packing structure alone quantitatively explained most of the observed wave attenuation. This research provides insight into time- and frequency-domain features of wave propagation in randomly packed granular materials, shedding light on the fundamental mechanisms controlling wave velocities, dispersion, and attenuation in such systems.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A Machine Learning Model for Solar Sail Shape Reconstruction Using Flight Data

Solar sail deformation leads to disturbance torques from solar radiation pressure, driving performance requirements for momentum management systems. For the Solar Cruiser technology demonstrator mission, we have developed a model leveraging neural network-based machine learning to derive sail shape characteristics. The model uses torque and attitude telemetry simulated from a reduced-order tensor model of the deformed sail mesh over a characterization sequence. The machine learning model predicts sail boom deflection with comparable accuracy to that of an onboard context camera. This model can discover sail shape with no additional mass or data downlink requirements, allowing for validation of sail force modeling assumptions using in flight data. The results from the project hold promise for the further implementation of machine learning techniques in solar sail telemetry analysis and control.

solar sail↗

A Machine Learning Model for Solar Sail Shape Reconstruction Using Flight Data

Solar sail deformation leads to disturbance torques from solar radiation pressure, driving performance requirements for momentum management systems. For the Solar Cruiser technology demonstrator mission, we have developed a model leveraging neural network-based machine learning to derive sail shape characteristics. The model uses torque and attitude telemetry simulated from a reduced-order tensor model of the deformed sail mesh over a characterization sequence. The machine learning model predicts sail boom deflection with comparable accuracy to that of an onboard context camera. This model can discover sail shape with no additional mass or data downlink requirements, allowing for validation of sail force modeling assumptions using in flight data. The results from the project hold promise for the further implementation of machine learning techniques in solar sail telemetry analysis and control.

solar sail↗

Seismic source characterization of the Arabian Peninsula and Zagros Mountains from regional moment tensor and coda envelopes

Reliable estimates of moment magnitude and source mechanism for seismic events in the Middle East can be challenging due to a small number of openly available stations, the complex tectonic setting, and regions of high attenuation. Access to high-quality waveform data from well-calibrated regional seismic stations is fundamental in producing robust and stable estimates of earthquake source parameters, particularly when measurements of absolute ground motion amplitudes are required. Earthquake source mechanism and moment magnitude are invaluable information in the assessment of seismic hazard, plate motions, and the characterization of faults and regional stress field. The expansion of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia’s national seismic network in the past several decades provides an opportunity to develop the capabilities of routine focal mechanism and moment magnitude estimations. In this study, we use time-domain full waveform moment tensor inversion and coda envelope–derived amplitude measurements to solve for earthquake source mechanism, moment magnitudes, and their source type. Furthermore, we compared the moment magnitudes calculated from the two methods and publicly available earthquake catalogs and discuss the implications of the obtained source parameters.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Cuboidal Liquid Crystal Phases Under Multiaxial Geometrical Frustration.

Cuboidal liquid crystal phases - the so-called blue phases - consist of a network of topological defects arranged into a cubic symmetry. They exhibit striking optical properties, including Bragg reflection in the visible range and fast response times. Confining surfaces can interfere with the packing of such a network, leading to structures that have not been explored before. In this work, a Landau-de Gennes free energy formalism for the tensor alignment field Q is used to investigate the behavior of chiral liquid crystals under non-isotropic confinement. The underlying free energy functional is solved by relying on a Monte Carlo method that facilitates efficient exploration of configuration space. The results of simulations are expressed in terms of phase diagrams as a function of chirality and temperature for three families of spheroids: oblate, spherical, and prolate. Upon deformation, blue phases adapt and transform to accommodate the geometrical constraints, thereby resulting in a wider range of thermal stability. For oblate spheroids, confinement interferes with the development of a full blue phase structure, resulting on a combination of half skyrmions. For prolate spheroids, the blue phases are hybridized and exhibit features of blue phases I and II. More generally, it is shown that mechanical deformation provides an effective means to control, manipulate and stabilize blue phases and cholesterics confined in tactoids.

Palacio-Betancur, Viviana↗

E(3)-equivariant graph neural networks for data-efficient and accurate interatomic potentials

Abstract This work presents Neural Equivariant Interatomic Potentials (NequIP), an E(3)-equivariant neural network approach for learning interatomic potentials from ab-initio calculations for molecular dynamics simulations. While most contemporary symmetry-aware models use invariant convolutions and only act on scalars, NequIP employs E(3)-equivariant convolutions for interactions of geometric tensors, resulting in a more information-rich and faithful representation of atomic environments. The method achieves state-of-the-art accuracy on a challenging and diverse set of molecules and materials while exhibiting remarkable data efficiency. NequIP outperforms existing models with up to three orders of magnitude fewer training data, challenging the widely held belief that deep neural networks require massive training sets. The high data efficiency of the method allows for the construction of accurate potentials using high-order quantum chemical level of theory as reference and enables high-fidelity molecular dynamics simulations over long time scales.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Interpretable Models for Workflow Differentiation in High-Performance Scientific Networks

Scientific workflows in high-performance networks spawn hundreds of interdependent flows that must be managed collectively—yet existing network classifiers treat each flow in isolation, leading to fragmented QoS decisions and missed interflow patterns. We present a novel traffic classification solution that operates at the workflow level, distinguishing entire filetransfer operations from streaming analytics by capturing how concurrent flows interact and burst together. We introduce a workflow identification window (WIW) that ingests raw packet headers from parallel flows into unified tensors, preserving the spatial-temporal patterns that differentiate scientific workflows. This approach achieves 98.7% accuracy using CNN, LSTM, and hybrid architectures, while maintaining 84% accuracy on production traffic collected a week later—demonstrating robustness to temporal drift. By integrating SHAP and GradCAM explainability, we reveal that early-packet timing patterns and cross-flow correlations drive classification decisions, providing operators with interpretable insights. Our system enables coherent workflow-level QoS enforcement and dynamic bandwidth allocation in scientific networks, eliminating manual per-flow configuration while maintaining classification latency at millisecond level.

Giannakou, Anna [LBL, Berkeley]↗

A physics-informed multi-agents model to predict thermo-oxidative/hydrolytic aging of elastomers

This paper introduces a novel physics-informed multi-agents constitutive model to propose prediction in quasi-static constitutive behavior of cross-linked elastomer and the loss of mechanical performance during environmental aging. The presented model is used to simulate the effect of single-mechanism chemical aging (i.e. thermal-inducedor hydrolytic aging) on the behavior of the material in this hybrid framework. Those environmental single-mechanism damages change the polymer matrix over time due to massive chain scission, chain formations, and changing the arrangement of molecules in the polymer matrix. Here we propose a data-driven super-constrained machine-learned engine to represent damage in the polymer matrix and capture the changes in material behavior, including its inelastic features such as Mullins effect and permanent set in the course of aging. We have simplified the 3D stress–strain tensor mapping problem into a small number of super-constrained 1D mapping problems by means of a sequential order reduction. An assembly of multiple replicated conditional neural-network learning-agents (L-agents) is trained to systematically simplify the high-dimensional mapping problem into multiple 1D problems, each represented by a different type of agent. Our hybrid framework is designed to capture the effect of deformation history, aging time, and aging temperature. The model is validated with respect to a comprehensive set of experiments specifically designed to benchmark model capabilities and also against available data in the literature. Thermodynamic consistency and frame independency have been verified. Besides acceptable predictive abilities, a significant reduction of computational cost to predict behavior at multiple states of deformation is the most significant feature of this model.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Molecular transport enhancement in pure metallic carbon nanotube porins

Nanofluidic channels impose extreme confinement on water and ions, giving rise to unusual transport phenomena strongly dependent on the interactions at the channel–wall interface. Yet how the electronic properties of the nanofluidic channels influence transport efficiency remains largely unexplored. Here we measure transport through the inner pores of sub-1 nm metallic and semiconducting carbon nanotube porins. We find that water and proton transport are enhanced in metallic nanotubes over semiconducting nanotubes, whereas ion transport is largely insensitive to the nanotube bandgap value. Molecular simulations using polarizable force fields highlight the contributions of the anisotropic polarizability tensor of the carbon nanotubes to the ion–nanotube interactions and the water friction coefficient. We also describe the origin of the proton transport enhancement in metallic nanotubes using deep neural network molecular dynamics simulations. Finally, these results emphasize the complex role of the electronic properties of nanofluidic channels in modulating transport under extreme nanoscale confinement.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗