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At least 343 records · Page 19

Report on concentrations, lifetimes, and trends of CFCs, halons, and related species

The atmospheric lifetimes of molecules containing chlorine and bromine are the dominant parameters influencing their ability to promote enhanced ozone destruction in the stratosphere. The purpose of this report is to assess the present state of knowledge of the lifetimes of halocarbons using two complementary approaches. First, a time series of measurements of gas concentrations is used together with information on their emissions histories and a computational model of atmospheric circulation and chemistry to infer lifetimes through a mass balance approach. Second, an atmospheric chemical-dynamical model is used with detailed information on the chemistry and spectroscopy of the molecules of interest to calculate lifetimes. The lifetimes determined by these two methods are then compared. Attention is focused most closely on fully halogenated chlorine- and bromine-containing molecules, primarily the chlorofluorocarbons, and the halons, because of their ability to deliver chlorine and bromine to the stratosphere. Some attention will be given to those molecules containing hydrogen, which are subject to removal in the troposphere primarily by reaction with OH and by other processes.

Kaye, J. A.↗

Do quasars have cosmologically long lifetimes

An alternative explanation to gravitational lensing is examined, by which problems inherent in space density evolution are avoided without invoking gravitational effects. Apparent and unreal density evolution follows as an immediate consequence, if the quasar lifetimes that are the only free parameter in the model proposed are of the order of three billion years. If such lifetimes are the case, while quasars may occur less frequently than has been thought, the local density of quasars may have been grossly underestimated.

Chanan, G. A.↗

Roles of bandgrading, lifetime, band alignment, and carrier concentration in high-efficiency CdSeTe solar cells

CdSeTe alloying has significantly increased the efficiency of CdTe-based solar technology. Here, computational modeling compares how different CdSeTe bandgrading, carrier lifetimes, band alignment, and carrier concentrations contribute to transport, recombination, and performance. We find that the gain in photocurrent caused by bandgap narrowing alone is insufficient to describe experimental efficiency gains. Performance can be increased by adjusting CdSeTe compositions and bandgrading depths. However, these performance gains are small relative to the contributions of enhanced lifetime by Se alloying, which can explain record cell efficiency gains with minimal open-circuit voltage loss despite significant bandgap narrowing. Similarly, CdSeTe band alignment shifts can significantly increase performance if front interface recombination is prevalent. For a wide range of CdSeTe grading profiles, the hole density is a critical component to achieve efficiencies exceeding 25%.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Impact of doped barriers on the recombination coefficients of c -plane InGaN/GaN single quantum well light-emitting diodes

Differential carrier lifetime measurements were performed on c-plane InGaN/GaN single quantum well (QW) light-emitting diodes (LEDs) of different QW indium compositions as well as with and without doped barriers. Mg-doped p-type and Si-doped n-type barriers close to the QW were used to reduce the net internal electric field in the QW, thereby improving the electron–hole wavefunction overlap on the LEDs. LEDs with doped barriers show short lifetimes and low carrier densities in the active region compared to the reference LEDs. The recombination coefficients in the ABC model were estimated based on the carrier lifetime and quantum efficiency measurements. The improvement in the radiative coefficients in the LEDs with doped barriers coupled with the blueshift of the emission wavelengths indeed indicates an enhancement in wavefunction overlap and a reduction of quantum confined Stark effect as a result of the reduced internal electric field. However, doped barriers also introduce non-radiative recombination centers and thereby increase the Shockley–Read–Hall (SRH) coefficient, although the increment is less for LEDs with high indium composition QWs. As a result, at high indium composition (22%), LEDs with doped barriers outperform the reference LEDs even though the trend is reversed for LEDs with lower indium composition (13.5%). In conclusion, despite the trade-off of higher SRH coefficients, doped barriers are shown to be effective in reducing the internal electric field and increasing the recombination coefficients.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Plastics Environmental Risk Calculator

SF-24-074 The Plastics Environmental Risk Calculator (PERC) was developed in Microsoft Excel and estimates the environmental distribution and lifetime of new biobased and conventional plastics from commonly measured properties of the plastics. A Random Forest regression model embedded in the calculator calculates plastic degradation rates and lifetimes as a proxy for environmental risk. Model default assumptions may be overwritten by the user.

Beckman, Kevin [Argonne National Laboratory (ANL),↗

Probabilistic constitutive relationships for cyclic material strength models

A methodology is developed that provides a probabilistic treatment for the lifetime of structural components of aerospace propulsion systems subjected to fatigue. Material strength degradation models, based on primitive variables, include both a fatigue strength reduction model and a fatigue crack growth model. Probabilistic analysis is based on simulation, and both maximum entropy and maximum penalized likelihood methods are used for the generation of probability density functions. The resulting constitutive relationships are included in several computer programs.

Boyce, L.↗

Identification of Life Models for Li-Ion Batteries Using Penalized Regression and Bilevel Optimization

Reduced-order physics-based life models are extremely useful for rapidly predicting battery state-of-health and for simulating battery lifetime in arbitrary aging conditions. However, identification of well-parameterized models is difficult. This is because, for maximum usefulness in predicting lifetime under a variety of conditions, aging test data exhibits many degradation mechanisms, which all need to be accurately modeled. However, because aging tests are time-consuming and expensive, especially for large-format batteries, a minimum of tests are conducted while probing many stress factors. Building a well-parameterized model is then very challenging: an under-parameterized model will neglect critical degradation modes, and an over-parameterized model will extrapolate poorly to new testing conditions. To complicate this matter, the functional form of the model for any individual degradation rate can be very difficult to identify. In this work, the statistical tools of penalized regression and bilevel optimization are used to help identify both the functional forms of and optimize the parameters of reduced-order life models, accelerating identification of robust models. Model robustness is demonstrated through traditional statistics methods of cross-validation and sensitivity analysis, uncertainty quantification through bootstrap resampling and Monte-Carlo simulation, and simulation of real-world use cases.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Benefits of colorectal cancer screening using fecal immunochemical testing with varying positivity thresholds by age and sex

Background Fecal immunochemical test (FIT) performance for colorectal cancer screening varies by age and sex, yet most FIT-based screening programs use uniform positivity thresholds. This study assessed the potential benefits of stratifying FIT thresholds based on age and sex. Methods We conducted a meta-analysis of FIT sensitivity and specificity at various positivity thresholds by age and sex. We then used these estimates in 2 microsimulation models of colorectal cancer and projected lifetime clinical outcomes, incremental costs, and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained from age- and sex-stratified FIT strategies. FIT thresholds ranged from 10 to 50 µg hemoglobin per gram of feces. Results For current uniform FIT screening (20 µg hemoglobin/gram of feces), models projected 85.67 to 122.15 QALYs gained at incremental costs of ‒$982 to $504 per 1000 individuals compared with no screening. At equivalent costs to current uniform screening, only 1 model found stratified FIT approaches cost-effective, yielding a marginal increase of 1.04 and 1.10 QALYs gained/1000 female and male individuals, respectively. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100 000/QALYs gained, both models found stratified FIT cutoffs to be the best strategy, with cutoffs being equal to or higher for males and lowest at older ages (70-75 years). Uniform strategies showed comparable effectiveness, falling within 1 quality-adjusted life-day per person of efficient strategies at up to $112 more per person. Results were sensitive to FIT test performance characteristics and 1-time setup costs. Conclusion Stratifying FIT thresholds by age and sex may be cost-effective compared to current screening. The gain in expected health benefits with stratified FIT screening, however, is likely small.

Harlass, Matthias↗

Recombination rate analysis in long minority carrier lifetime mid-wave infrared InGaAs/InAsSb superlattices

Gallium is incorporated into the strain-balanced In(Ga)As/InAsSb superlattice system to achieve the same mid-wave infrared cutoff tunability as conventional Ga-free InAs/InAsSb type-II superlattices, but with an additional degree of design freedom to enable optimization of absorption and transport properties. Time-resolved photoluminescence measurements of InGaAs/InAsSb superlattice characterization- and doped device structures are reported from 77 to 300 K and compared to InAs/InAsSb. The low-injection photoluminescence decay yields the minority carrier lifetime, which is analyzed with a recombination rate model, enabling the determination of the temperature-dependent Shockley–Read–Hall, radiative, and Auger recombination lifetimes and extraction of defect energy levels and capture cross section defect concentration products. The Shockley–Read–Hall-limited lifetime of undoped InGaAs/InAsSb is marginally reduced from 2.3 to 1.4 μs due to the inclusion of Ga; however, given that Ga improves the vertical hole mobility by a factor of >10×, a diffusion-limited InGaAs/InAsSb superlattice nBn could expect a lower bound of 2.5× improvement in diffusion length with significant impact on photodetector quantum efficiency and radiation hardness. At temperatures below 120 K, the doped device structures are Shockley–Read–Hall limited at 0.5 μs, which shows promise for detector applications.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Discovery of the new isotope 251 Lr and the α-decay fine structure in 253 L

The products of the 203, 205 Tl ( 50 Ti, 2n) fusion-evaporation reactions were studied using the recently commissioned Argonne Gas-Filled Analyzer at Argonne National Laboratory. Two α-decay activities with energies of 9210(19) and 9246(19) keV and half-lives of $42^{+42}_{-14}$ and $24.4^{+7.0}_{-4.5}$ ms were observed which were followed by the known α decays of 247 Md and 243 Es . They are interpreted as originating from the 1/2 ⁻ [521] and 7/2 ⁻ [514] single-proton Nilsson states in the hitherto unknown isotope 251 Lr . From the measured Q α values the 1/2 ⁻ level was placed 117(27) keV above the 7/2 - level in 251 Lr in contrast to 255 Lr where the 1/2 ⁻ level is the lowest. Also, the α decay of 253 Lr was studied in more detail and a new α line at 8660(20) keV was found and a new half-life value of 2.46(32) s for an isomeric state in 253 Lr was measured. The 251, 253, 255 Lr Q α values were compared with predictions of various mass models. The relative energies of the 1/2 ⁻ [521] and 7/2 ⁻ [514] single-proton Nilsson states in 251, 253, 255 Lr isotopes were compared with results of the cranking shell model with pairing treated using the particle-number-conserving method. The level separation and, in particular, the level order change between 251 Lr and 255 Lr was reproduced only when the hexacontetrapole deformation ϵ 6 was included in the calculations.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

The Distribution of Snow Black Carbon observed in the Arctic and Compared to the GISS-PUCCINI Model

In this study, we evaluate the ability of the latest NASA GISS composition-climate model, GISS-E2- PUCCINI, to simulate the spatial distribution of snow BC (sBC) in the Arctic relative to present-day observations. Radiative forcing due to BC deposition onto Arctic snow and sea ice is also estimated. Two sets of model simulations are analyzed, where meteorology is linearly relaxed towards National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) and towards NASA Modern Era Reanalysis for Research and Applications (MERRA) reanalyses. Results indicate that the modeled concentrations of sBC are comparable with presentday observations in and around the Arctic Ocean, except for apparent underestimation at a few sites in the Russian Arctic. That said, the model has some biases in its simulated spatial distribution of BC deposition to the Arctic. The simulations from the two model runs are roughly equal, indicating that discrepancies between model and observations come from other sources. Underestimation of biomass burning emissions in Northern Eurasia may be the main cause of the low biases in the Russian Arctic. Comparisons of modeled aerosol BC (aBC) with long-term surface observations at Barrow, Alert, Zeppelin and Nord stations show significant underestimation in winter and spring concentrations in the Arctic (most significant in Alaska), although the simulated seasonality of aBC has been greatly improved relative to earlier model versions. This is consistent with simulated biases in vertical profiles of aBC, with underestimation in the lower and middle troposphere but overestimation in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere, suggesting that the wet removal processes in the current model may be too weak or that vertical transport is too rapid, although the simulated BC lifetime seems reasonable. The combination of observations and modeling provides a comprehensive distribution of sBC over the Arctic. On the basis of this distribution, we estimate the decrease in snow and sea ice albedo and the resulting radiative forcing. We suggest that the albedo reduction due to BC deposition presents significant space-time variations, with highest mean reductions of 1.25% in the Russian Arctic, which are much larger than those in other Arctic regions (0.39% to 0.64 %). The averaged value over the Arctic north of 66degN is 0.4-0.6% during spring, leading to regional surface radiative forcings of 0.7, 1.1 and 1.0Wm(exp−2) in spring 2007, 2008 and 2009, respectively.

Dou, T.↗

Stratospheric distributions of odd nitrogen and odd hydrogen in a two-dimensional model

A two-dimensional pole-to-pole chemical model of the stratosphere is developed which extends from 8 to 38 km in altitude. Atmospheric motions are simulated by mean vertical and meridional winds and eddy diffusion coefficients. Seasonally averaged distributions of important odd nitrogen (NO, NO2, and HNO3) and odd hydrogen (H, OH, HO2, H2O2) compounds are computed. Photodissociation of N2O leads to production of odd nitrogen in the stratosphere, and the odd nitrogen is ultimately removed by downward transport into the troposphere and by rain-out (modeled by a rain-out lifetime of 30 days below 8-km altitude). Results are presented for a quasi-steady state in which seasonal cycles repeat themselves. These results show significant latitudinal as well as vertical variations in the predicted species which emphasize the need for at least two dimensions in accurate stratospheric modeling. Computed concentrations are compared with observations when they exist.

Prinn, R. G.↗

Radio observation of comet Meier /1978f/ in 18-cm OH lines

Observations of 18-cm OH spectral lines in comet Meier (1978f) with the 1000-ft. Arecibo telescope show spatial resolution of the OH coma by the 2.9 arcmin beam (=3.7 x 10 to the 5th km). The data agree with predictions of the solar Fraunhofer spectrum-pumping theory of comet OH excitation. On the assumption that the OH parent molecule (e.g., H2O) has a Haser-model scale length of about 1.0 x 10 to the 5th km at heliocentric distance 1 AU, an OH scale length of less than 10 to the 6th km, and probably near 1.0 x 10 to the 5th km is derived. Assuming a recently calculated value of the OH lifetime and the solar radiative pumping model, the results indicate an OH production rate of 10 to the 29th Kayser at heliocentric distance 2 AU.

Giguere, P. T.↗

Kinematic models of supergranular diffusion on the Sun

We develop kinematic models of diffusion generated by supergranulation at the solar surface. These models use current observations for the size, horizontal velocity, and lifetime of supergranules. Because there is no observational description of the appearance and disappearance of supergranules, we investigate models using several plausible evolution processes, including the effect of different lifetime distribution functions for the cells. The results are quite insensitive to the methods chosen to replace old supergranules, the distribution of cell lifetimes, and even the cell lifetime itself, for mean lifetimes between 15 to 30 hr. Calculated diffusion coefficients range between 500 and 700 sq km/s, in agreement with the best fit diffusion coefficients used by Sheeley and his collaborators to model the large-scale distribution of magnetic fields over the solar surface. However, our models do not explain the field distribution in plage, and they predict that virtually all the strong field in quiet Sun exists in relatively isolated clumps. We suggest possible mechanisms for the creation of plage and the bright network seen in quiet Sun.

Simon, G. W.↗

Rapid Open-Air Fabrication of Perovskite Solar Modules

We report on the open-air fabrication of perovskite solar modules with key advances including scalable large-area spray deposition, new monolithic integration scribing techniques, advanced photoluminescence characterization, and reproducible high-throughput manufacturability. Perovskite deposition with linear speeds of 12 m/min without a post-anneal are demonstrated with improved device performance, luminescent yield and >10X carrier lifetimes. Manufacturability using monolithic integration of series-connected modules is accomplished with a new indirect fiber laser ablation scribing method. A stable cell and module power output of 18.0% and 15.5%, respectively, was achieved with a subcell V oc > 1.06V. A comprehensive supporting technoeconomic analysis details the entire in-line manufacturing process from the glass substrate to the junction box of the encapsulated module. Here, the module manufacturing cost, balance of system costs and levelized cost of energy for a range of module efficiencies and lifetimes provides insights for the necessary tool speeds, efficiencies, and lifetimes for utility-scale energy generation.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Absorption of solar radiation by O2 - Implications for O3 and lifetimes of N2O, CFCl3, and CF2Cl2

An accurate line-by-line model is used to evaluate effects of absorption in the Schumann-Runge bands of O2 on transmission of UV radiation. The model is used to evaluate rates of photolysis for N2O, CFCl3, and CF2Cl2, and to infer global loss rates and instantaneous lifetimes appropriate for 1980. A parameterized version of the line-by-line model enabling rapid evaluation of transmission in the Schumann-Runge region is described. Photochemical calculations employing the parameterization and constrained by data from the Atmospheric Trace Molecule Spectroscopy experiment are used to examine the budget of odd oxygen. Consistent with previous studies, it is shown that photochemical loss of odd oxygen exceeds production by photolysis of O2 for altitudes above 40 km. The imbalance between production and loss is shown to be consistent with a source of odd oxygen proportional to the product of the mixing ratio and photolysis rate of ozone, which suggests that processes involving vibrationally excited O2 may play an important role in production of odd oxygen.

Minschwaner, K.↗

Modeling of Radiative Emission from Shallow Color Centers in Single Crystalline Diamond

Optically active defects in diamond are widely used as bright single-photon sources for quantum sensing, computing, and communication. For many applications, it is useful to place the emitter close to the diamond surface, where the radiative properties of the emitter are strongly modified by its dielectric environment. It is well-known that the radiative power from an electric dipole decreases as the emitter approaches an interface with a lower-index dielectric, leading to an increase in the radiative lifetime. For emitters in crystalline solids, modeling of this effect needs to take into account the crystal orientation and direction of the surface cut, which can greatly impact the emission characteristics. In this paper, a framework for analyzing the emission rates of shallow (<100 nm) defects is provided, in which optical transitions are derived from electric dipoles in a plane perpendicular to their spin axis. The calculations for the depth-dependent radiative lifetime for color centers in (100)-, (110)-, and (111)-cut diamond are presented, which can be extended to other vacancy defects in diamond.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Lifetime measurements of states of S 35 , S 36 , S 37 , and S 38 using the AGATA γ -ray tracking spectrometer

Lifetimes or lifetime limits of a small number of excited states of the sulfur isotopes with mass numbers A = 35 , 36, 37, and 38 have been measured using the differential recoil-distance method. The isotopes of sulfur were populated in binary grazing reactions initiated by a beam of 36 S ions of energy 225 MeV incident on a thin 208 Pb target which was mounted in the Cologne plunger apparatus. The combination of the PRISMA magnetic spectrometer and an early implementation of the AGATA γ-ray tracking array was used to detect γ rays in coincidence with projectile-like nuclear species. Lifetime measurements of populated states were measured within the range from about 1 to 100 ps. The number of states for which lifetime measurements or lifetime limits were possible was limited by statistics. For 35 S, the lifetime was determined for the first 1/2 + state at 1572 keV; the result is compared with a previous published lifetime value. The lifetime of the 3 - state of 36 S at 4193 keV was determined and compared with earlier measurements. No previous lifetime information exists for the (6 + ) state at 6690 keV; a lifetime measurement with large associated error was made in the present work. For 37 S, the states for which lifetime limits were established were those at 646 keV with J π = 3/2 - and at 2776 keV with J π = 11/2 - ; there are no previously published lifetime values for excited states of 37 S. Finally, a lifetime limit was established for the J π =(6 + ) state of 38 S at 3675 keV; no lifetime information exists for this state in the literature. Measured lifetime values were compared with the results of state-of-the-art shell-model calculations based on the PSDPF, SDPF-U, and FSU effective interactions. In addition, nuclear magnetic-dipole and electric-quadrupole moments, branching ratios, mixing ratios, and electromagnetic transition rates, where available, have been compared with shell-model values. The current work suffers from poor statistics; nevertheless, lifetime values and limits have been possible, allowing a useful discussion of the ability of state-of-the-art shell-model calculations to reproduce the experimental results.

electromagnetic transitions↗