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At least 343 records · Page 19

Evaluation of CMIP6 models in simulating the statistics of extreme precipitation over Eastern Africa

We report the Eastern Africa region experiences frequent extreme precipitation events that can cause destruction of property and environment, and loss of lives. Thus, there is a need to understand how these events may change in the future and how well the global climate models that are used to make projections can simulate precipitation extremes in this region before they can be used in downscaling or flood and drought impact assessment studies. In this work, we evaluated the ability of sixteen Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) models to simulate present-day precipitation extremes over the Eastern Africa region during the two rainy seasons (March–May and September–November). We used nine extreme precipitation indices (including seven (one) indices of wet (dry) extremes) defined by the Expert Team on Climate Change Detection and Indices. The CMIP6 models were evaluated against two gridded observation datasets: Global Precipitation Climatology Project One-Degree Daily Dataset and Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Multi-satellite Precipitation Analysis 3B42. Three model performance metrics (percentage bias, normalized root-mean-square error, and pattern correlation coefficient) were employed to further assess the strengths and weakness of the models. Our results show that the multi-model ensemble mean generally provides a better representation of observed precipitation and related extremes compared to individual models when considering all metrics and seasons. Several consistent biases are evident across CMIP6 models, which tend to overestimate the total-wet day precipitation and consecutive wet days, and underestimate very wet days and maximum 5-day precipitation in both seasons. Furthermore, no single model consistently performs best, model performance varies with the season and index under consideration and is generally independent of horizontal resolution.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Two distinct rotations of bithiazole DNA intercalation revealed by direct comparison of crystal structures of Co(III)•bleomycin A 2 and B 2 bound to duplex 5'-TAGTT sites

Bleomycins constitute a family of anticancer natural products that bind DNA through intercalation of a C-terminal tail/bithiazole moiety and hydrogen-bonding interactions between the remainder of the drug and the minor groove. The clinical utility of the bleomycins is believed to result from single- and double-strand DNA cleavage mediated by the HOO-Fe(III) form of the drug. The bleomycins also serve as a model system to understand the nature of complex drug-DNA interactions that may guide future DNA-targeted drug discovery. In this study, the impact of the C-terminal tail on bleomycin-DNA interactions was investigated. Toward this goal, we determined two crystal structures of HOO-Co(III)•BLMA 2 “green” (a stable structural analogue of the active HOO-Fe(III) drug) bound to duplex DNA containing 5'-TAGTT, one in which the entire drug is bound (fully bound) and a second with only the C-terminal tail/bithiazole bound (partially bound). The structures reported here were captured by soaking HOO-Co(III)•BLMA 2 into preformed host–guest crystals including a preferred DNA-binding site. While the overall structure of DNA-bound BLMA 2 was found to be similar to those reported earlier at the same DNA site for BLMB 2 , the intercalated bithiazole of BLMB 2 is “flipped” 180° relative to DNA-bound BLMA 2 . Further, this finding highlights an unidentified role for the C-terminal tail in directing the intercalation of the bithiazole. In addition, these analyses identified specific bond rotations within the C-terminal domain of the drug that may be relevant for its reorganization and ability to carry out a double-strand DNA cleavage event.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Investigation of potential aerosol transmission and infectivity of SARS-CoV-2 through central ventilation systems

Here we evaluate the concentrations and probabilities of infection for both building interior and exterior exposure sources using a well-mixed model in a connected multizone building. As a central hub of many community and economic activities, buildings provide social connectivity, but the COVID-19 pandemic has reduced social connectivity due to concerns of viral spread within buildings. Although single zone models of infectious spread are well studied, the impact of aerosolized spread of SARS-CoV-2 via air handling systems in multizone buildings remains unexplored. Here we evaluate the influence of filtration, air exchange rates, and the fraction of outdoor air on the probability of infection using the well-known well-mixed modeling approach for a multizone. We find filtration lowers the concentration and probability of infection in both source and connected rooms provided at least some air is recirculated, but that probability is not zero. Filtration has no influence without recirculation or unless the outdoor air contains virus. We find that increasing the air exchange rate removes virus from the source room faster but also increases the rate of exposure to connected rooms. Therefore, slower air exchange rates reduce infectivity in connected rooms at shorter durations, but higher air exchange rates reduce infectivity at longer durations. We further find that when outdoor air is virus free, increasing the fraction of outdoor air is helpful, but, when outdoor air is infective, pathogen exposure inside can persist for hours after a short-term release.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

A method for characterization of multiple dynamic constitutive parameters of FRCs

We propose a method to measure multiple dynamic material constitutive parameters of unidirectional fiber reinforced composites (FRCs) in a single experiment. Dynamic short-beam shear (DSBS) experiments were performed on a modified Kolsky compression bar, with integration of high-speed imaging and digital image correlation (DIC). The unidirectional FRCs investigated were S-2 glass fiber reinforced matrix of TGDDM-Jeffamine® D230 with monoamine functionalized partially reacted substructures (mPRS) and commercially available SC-15. Analytical solutions of normal and shear strains of a composite beam were derived based on Timoshenko beam theory, assuming material to be transversely isotropic and have different moduli in tension and compression in each principle material orientation. Tensile and compressive moduli were inversely computed through monitoring normal strain slope when specimen was constantly loaded at a speed of ~7.3 m/s within a small deflection. Non-linear shear stress-strain behavior of the composite was described via Ramberg–Osgood equation. Finite element (FE) analysis was conducted in ABAQUS, simultaneously defining via user subroutine UMAT the transverse isotropy of material, bi-modulus constitutive model, and non-linear shear stress-strain relation. The method proposed in this work was validated by comparing strain distributions computed by FE model and DIC measurements. Comparing with traditional dynamic tensile, compressive, and shear experiments on FRCs, this method significantly simplifies the specimen preparation and design of complicated gripping fixtures for multiple experiments. Here, systematic errors resulting from variations of specimen geometry and dimension, loading direction, and instrumentation are reduced, thereby providing compatible data for numerical studies on impact behavior of composites.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Thermal and mechanical performance of gypsum composites containing fly ash cenosphere encapsulated phase change materials

Utilizing phase change materials (PCMs) within construction materials improves the thermal energy storage capabilities in the built environment. Notably, integrating PCMs into drywalls presents a promising avenue to reduce building energy use. However, incorporating PCMs into drywalls poses challenges, particularly reduced mechanical properties and workability limitations as it can adversely affect the hardening and cohesiveness of gypsum composites. To address these challenges, this study explores a novel strategy to incorporate PCMs into gypsum composites through fly ash cenosphere-encapsulated PCM, namely CenoPCM, aiming to enhance the mechanical properties and thermal conductivity over existing commercial counterparts. An experimental program was conducted to study the impact of the inclusion of CenoPCM on the mechanical and thermal performance of gypsum composites, and the results were compared to those of commercially available polymerencapsulated PCM benchmark (Micronal). The findings highlighted that PCM-charged samples exhibited up to 95.90 J/g (CenoPCM) of latent heat with 70 % CenoPCM loading. The results of mechanical tests also showed that CenoPCM outperformed its polymer-encapsulated counterpart, achieving 55 % higher mechanical strength on average. Here, this improvement is attributed to the rigid shell of fly ash cenosphere (FAC) serving as a PCM carrier, providing a skeleton-like structure to gypsum composites for higher load-bearing capacity. Additionally, hotbox tests demonstrated that the CenoPCM-charged wall panels yielded a 20 % higher thermal conductivity and a 22 % increased time lag compared to Micronal PCM-charged panels, indicating its potential to shift the peak load in buildings.

Ceno PCM↗

Testing the parametric model for self-interacting dark matter using matched halos in cosmological simulations

Here, we systemically evaluate the performance of the self-interacting dark matter (SIDM) halo model proposed in Ref.Yang et al. (2023) with matched halos from high-resolution cosmological CDM and SIDM simulations. The model incorporates SIDM effects along mass evolution histories of CDM halos and it is applicable to both isolated halos and subhalos. We focus on the accuracy of the model in predicting halo density profiles at z = 0 and the evolution of maximum circular velocity. We find the model predictions agree with the simulations within 10%–50% for most of the simulated (sub)halos, 50%–100% for extreme cases. This indicates that the model effectively captures the gravothermal evolution of the halos with very strong, velocity-dependent self-interactions. For an example application, we apply the model to study the impact of various SIDM scenarios on strong lensing perturber systems, demonstrating its utility in predicting SIDM effects for small-scale structure analyses. Our findings confirm that the model is an effective tool for mapping CDM halos into their SIDM counterparts.

Yang, Daneng [Chinese Academy of Sciences, Nanjing↗

The locational value of distributed energy resources: A parcel-level evaluation of solar and wind potential in New York state

We report distributed energy resources (DERs) are poised to play a significant role in evolving power systems because of their flexibility to be sited in areas of high value to the grid. Traditional DER compensation frameworks, specifically net energy metering (NEM), inadequately communicate differences in the locational and temporal value of DER generation to the grid. As a transition from NEM, New York State's (NYS's) Value of Distributed Energy Resources (VDER) framework provides a methodology for calculating different value components that DERs offer the grid. To study the impacts of VDER frameworks on DER deployment, we developed a model to assess the value of distributed solar and wind systems configured as either a behind-the-meter system or a front-of-the-meter system for each parcel of land in NYS. Using parcel-level granularity, we can closely evaluate DER locational value and siting availability, particularly in urban and suburban settings. Our analysis finds while most DER generators would be modestly compensated for deferred transmission and distribution infrastructure upgrades (~0.01 $\$$/kWh for solar PV), a subset of projects receive significant value from this component (0.035 to 0.089 $\$$/kWh for top 5% of parcels for solar PV). Finally, our analysis finds VDER provides less overall compensation than NEM to the average DER generator, however, it increases access to compensation for front-of-the-meter DERs - a large and emerging market.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Effects of dissolved cations, dissolved organic carbon, and exposure concentrations on per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances bioaccumulation in freshwater algae

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS) have attracted global attention because of their persistence, toxicity, bioaccumulation potential, and associated adverse effects. As important primary producers, freshwater algae constitute the base of the food web in freshwater aquatic ecosystems. However, the effects of key environmental factors on PFAS uptake and bioaccumulation in freshwater algae have not been thoroughly studied. In this study, three bioaccumulation experiments were conducted to evaluate the influence of dissolved cations, dissolved organic carbon, and exposure concentrations on PFAS bioaccumulation in algae. Among the 14 studied PFAS, seven long-chain PFAS tended to bioaccumulate in algae. Elevated divalent cations (Ca 2+ and Mg 2+ ) and dissolved organic carbon did not significantly change the algal bioconcentration factors (BCFs) of PFAS, suggesting complexity of the interactions among PFAS, environmental factors, and biotic activities. Additionally, increasing exposure concentrations (0.5, 1, 5, and 10 μg/L of each PFAS) increased PFAS concentrations in algae but decreased the BCF values. This indicated that attention should be paid to the application of BCFs in future studies, including ecological risk assessment. Moreover, fluorotelomer sulfonic acids (FTSs) were incompletely recovered, suggesting that biotransformation occurred. Further studies should be conducted to evaluate whether algae play a role in FTSs biotransformation and to determine the mechanisms. In conclusion, studying the impacts of key environmental factors on PFAS bioaccumulation in algae is crucial for understanding the bioaccumulation processes that occur at the lowest trophic level and that eventually affect the dynamics of entire aquatic ecosystems.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗

Investigating the potential of a higher reactivity fuel to achieve faster heat-up of aftertreatment systems

Shortening the aftertreatment system heat-up period will be crucial to meet upcoming emissions regulations, which mandate significant reductions in tail-pipe emissions for on-road heavy-duty vehicles. This work studies the impact of increasing fuel reactivity on the combustion of post injections during the expansion stroke. The work demonstrates an operating strategy using a blend of di-butyl ether (a potential low-carbon biofuel component) and #2 diesel that achieves higher exhaust enthalpy, while maintaining similar engine-out emissions (NOx and combustion efficiency) in comparison to the baseline #2 diesel fuel (cetane number 41). On average, a 12% increase in exhaust enthalpy was observed for the blend (cetane number 60) relative to the baseline fuel. The ability to operate the higher reactivity fuel at a more retarded post-injection timing, where combustion with #2 diesel was found to be more unstable, and less complete was key to achieving higher exhaust enthalpy. However, a small fuel penalty (3%–5%) was also associated with the higher reactivity fuel with this operating strategy. The formation of fuel lean regions, due to the long ignition delays at late injection conditions, was predicted to be the leading contributor to the increased emissions of products of partial combustion. Here, chemical kinetic simulations using surrogates for the fuels used in the experiments, demonstrated the ability of a higher cetane fuel to outperform the baseline fuel under fuel lean conditions with equivalence ratios less than 0.7.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

ALEGRA: Finite element modeling for shock hydrodynamics and multiphysics

ALEGRA is a multiphysics finite-element shock hydrodynamics code, under development at Sandia National Laboratories since 1990. Fully coupled multiphysics capabilities include transient magnetics, magnetohydrodynamics, electromechanics, and radiation transport. Importantly, ALEGRA is used to study hypervelocity impact, pulsed power devices, and radiation effects. The breadth of physics represented in ALEGRA is outlined here, along with simulated results for a selected hypervelocity impact experiment.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Association Between Patient Education Videos and Knowledge of Radiation Treatment

Patient knowledge of radiation therapy (RT) before consult is typically limited, with many having misconceptions or fears. There exists a need to improve patient education in RT. Our purpose was to study the impact of patient education videos on patient-reported knowledge of RT, anxiety/fear, and satisfaction.

62 RADIOLOGY AND NUCLEAR MEDICINE↗

A hybrid deep neural operator/finite element method for ice-sheet modeling

One of the most challenging and consequential problems in climate modeling is to provide probabilistic projections of sea level rise. A large part of the uncertainty of sea level projections is due to uncertainty in ice sheet dynamics. At the moment, accurate quantification of the uncertainty is hindered by the cost of ice sheet computational models. In this work we develop a hybrid approach to approximate existing ice sheet models at a fraction of their cost. Our approach consists of replacing the finite element model for the momentum equations for the ice velocity, the most expensive part of an ice sheet model, with a Deep Operator Network, while we retain a classic finite element discretization for the evolution of the ice thickness. We show that the resulting hybrid model is very accurate and it is an order of magnitude faster than the traditional finite element model. Further, a distinctive feature of the proposed model, compared to other neural network approaches, is that it can handle high-dimensional parameter spaces (parameter fields) such as the basal friction at the bed of the glacier and can therefore be used for generating samples for uncertainty quantification. Further, we study the impact of hyper-parameters, number of unknowns and correlation length of the parameter distribution on the training and accuracy of the Deep Operator Network on a synthetic ice sheet model. We then target the evolution of the Humboldt glacier in Greenland and show that our hybrid model can provide accurate statistics of the glacier mass loss and can be effectively used to accelerate the quantification of uncertainty.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Molecular dynamics simulations of radiation cascade evolution near cellular dislocation structures in additively manufactured stainless steels

The dislocation dense cellular structures observed in additively manufactured (AM) stainless steels can allow these materials to have enhanced strength and ductility compared to conventionally manufactured materials. Effective design of radiation resistant materials often necessitates creating microstructures containing of a high density of dislocations that act as sinks for radiation induced defects. This work uses molecular dynamics simulations to study the impact of pre-existing defects on radiation damage in stainless steel 316L fabricated by the laser powder bed fusion process. The evolution of synthetically generated dislocations in a crystal system in response to multiple radiation collision cascades suggest that dislocation dense regions reduce the probability of surviving point defects forming clusters. This finding seems to result from the dislocation cores’ ability to absorb point defects, thereby limiting the formation of clusters during the recombination phase. However, after successive cascades, the ability of the dislocation entanglement to prevent defect formation is diminished and defect cluster formation trends to an equilibrium. Accordingly, it is hypothesized that in an experimental setting the dislocation cells will initially act as neutral sinks for point defects, potentially delaying the onset of radiation damage effects; but, these structures will be degraded due to radiation-enhanced diffusion and lose their effectiveness at doses above 1.5–2 displacements per atom. Nevertheless, the ability to produce complex and feature-specific microstructures suggests promise for the design of radiation tolerant materials using AM methods.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Determination of single crystal thermal expansion in Uranium-6wt%Niobium shape memory alloy using in-situ diffraction and modeling of textured polycrystalline samples

In-situ neutron diffraction and ex-situ dilatometry experiments were performed on a chemically banded, quenched uranium-6wt% niobium shape memory alloy to study the impact of deformation-(detwinning-) induced texture on the evolution of thermally induced strains (and associated stresses). Thermal heating and cooling cycles between 5K and 473K were performed in-situ with neutron diffraction, and the lattice strain evolution is reported for the observed monoclinic α" phase. Comparisons between the measured diffraction strains and macroscopic dilatometry experiments reveal relationships between micro- and macro-level thermal expansion. Softening of the texture during heating suggests that twin boundary motion can accommodate the large internal thermal strains which are approximately 2% greater than that typically observed during the 175K heating interval used to age more randomly oriented polycrystalline material. Assuming weak constraint of neighboring grains in randomly textured polycrystals, the single crystal thermal expansion tensor is extracted from measurements of lattice strains over the range 5K to 473K. Predictions of polycrystalline thermal expansion, based upon this single crystal thermal expansion tensor, are shown to compare favorably with bulk thermal expansion observations of the as quenched microstructure. However, such a lower-bound estimate is insufficient to explain all aspects of the behavior of the textured material, where the matrix is not isotropic. In conclusion, it is hypothesized that relaxation processes which occur within the quenched microstructure during heating are responsible for the distinct thermal expansion behavior observed during the initial heating cycle compared to cooling and subsequent cycling.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Development of a multi-layer canopy model for E3SM Land Model with support for heterogeneous computing

The vertical structure of vegetation canopies creates micro-climates. However, the land components of most Earth System Models, including the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM), typically neglect vertical canopy structure by using a single layer big-leaf representation to simulate water, CO 2 , and energy exchanges between the land and the atmosphere. In this study, we developed a Multi-Layer Canopy Model for the E3SM Land Model to resolve the micro-climate created by vegetation canopies. The model developed in this study re-implements the CLM-ml_v1 to support heterogeneous computing architectures consisting of CPUs and GPUs and includes three additional optimization-based stomatal conductance models. The use of Portable, Extensible Toolkit for Scientific Computation provides a speedup of 25–50 times on a GPU relative to a CPU. The numerical implementation of the model was verified against CLM-ml_v1 for a month-long simulation using data from the Ameriflux US-University of Michigan Biological Station site. Model structural uncertainty was explored by performing control simulations for five stomatal conductance models that exclude and include the control of plant hydrodynamics (PHD) on photosynthesis. The bias in simulated sensible and latent heat fluxes was lower when PHD was accounted for in the model. Additionally, six idealized simulations were performed to study the impact of three environmental variables (i.e. air temperature, atmospheric CO 2 , and soil moisture) on canopy processes (i.e. net CO 2 assimilation, leaf temperature, and leaf water potential). Increasing air temperature reduced net CO 2 assimilation and increased air temperature. Net CO 2 assimilation increased at higher atmospheric CO 2 , while decreasing soil moisture resulted in lower leaf water potential.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Optimization of metal-supported solid oxide fuel cells with a focus on mass transport

Performance of symmetric-architecture metal-supported solid oxide fuel cells was improved significantly by optimizing the catalyst infiltration process and metal support structure. Optimization of component structure and processing parameters was performed during tape-casting and fabrication of button cells. Mass transport of oxygen in the metal support was identified as a major limitation. To overcome this limitation, pore former loading and thickness of the metal support (130–250 μm) were optimized. The catalyst infiltration process was also improved by studying the impact of firing temperature (400 °C–900 °C) and infiltration cycle numbers (1–15). The maximum power density of the optimized cell was 0.9 W cm –2 at 700°C using hydrogen as a fuel, a three-fold increase over the baseline cell performance. The degradation rate of optimized cells at 550 °C, 600 °C, and 700 °C was 2%, 4.5%, and 5.5% per 100 h, respectively. Here, the phenomena of mass transport, catalyst coarsening, and chromium poisoning on the catalyst were analyzed by electrochemical impedance spectroscopy and scanning electron microscopy.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Hydrogen trapping and storage in the group IVB-VIB transition metal carbides

The transition metal carbides have been known to act as traps for hydrogen in steels as well as potential materials for hydrogen storage. Despite numerous experimental and a few theoretical studies, what impacts hydrogen trapping and storage in the transition metal carbides is not well understood. In this work, we use density functional theory to systematically investigate the bulk trapping and storage capabilities of the transition metal carbides. We specifically examine how trapping and storage changes with the transition metal, from the group IVB to group VIB, carbon concentration, and structure. Our results demonstrate a strong correlation between the trap energy and the number of valence electrons in the transition metal, suggesting that the group IVB transition metal carbides are the best carbides for trapping and storage. Hydrogen preferentially sits at octahedral interstices, e.g., the carbon vacancies, in the structure except in certain cases near the Me 2 C concentration when tetrahedral interstices, devoid of nearest neighbor carbon, can become more favorable. Our results further demonstrate that the lower the carbon concentration, the more hydrogen the transition metal carbide can store. These results demonstrate which carbides will act as the best traps for hydrogen.

08 HYDROGEN↗