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At least 343 records · Page 19
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Frequency–Magnitude Statistics of Laboratory Foreshocks Vary With Shear Velocity, Fault Slip Rate, and Shear Stress

Understanding the nucleation phase of earthquakes is key for advancing earthquake hazard assessment and improving earthquake early warning systems. However, little progress has been made in this area due to a poor understanding of nucleation processes and incomplete seismic and fault zone measurements. The ability to integrate measured fault zone properties with seismic data could significantly improve our understanding of how earthquakes begin and whether there are systematic variations in seismic properties preceding failure. In this work, we use high-resolution laboratory measurements of fault zone properties along with acoustic emission data to document temporal variations of foreshock properties. Our data show that foreshock size increases with shear stress, loading rate, and fault slip rate. We propose that the preseismic fault slip rate and fault zone thickness (i.e., porosity) work in concert to modulate foreshock properties.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Attention Network Forecasts Time-to-Failure in Laboratory Shear Experiments

Rocks under stress deform by creep mechanisms that include formation and slip on small-scale internal cracks. Intragranular cracks and slip along grain contacts release energy as elastic waves termed acoustic emissions (AE). AEs are thought to contain predictive information that can be used for fault failure forecasting. Here, we present a method using unsupervised classification and an attention network to forecast labquakes using AE waveform features. Our data were generated in a laboratory setting using a biaxial shearing device with granular fault gouge intended to mimic the conditions of tectonic faults. Here, we analyzed the temporal evolution of AEs generated throughout several hundred laboratory earthquake cycles. We used a Conscience Self-Organizing Map (CSOM) to perform topologically ordered vector quantization based on waveform properties. The resulting map was used to interactively cluster AEs. We examined the clusters over time to identify those with predictive ability. Finally, we used a variety of LSTM and attention-based networks to test the predictive power of the AE clusters. By tracking cumulative waveform features over the seismic cycle, the network is able to forecast the time-to-failure (TTF) of lab earthquakes. Our results show that analyzing the data to isolate predictive signals and using a more sophisticated network architecture are key to robustly forecasting labquakes. In the future, this method could be applied on tectonic faults to monitor earthquakes and augment early warning systems.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Monitoring Fracture Saturation With Internal Seismic Sources and Twin Neural Networks

Seismic coda-wave analysis is a well-developed method for detecting subtle physical changes in complex media by measuring arrival times in the late-arriving energy from multiply scattered or reflected waves. However, a challenge arises when multiply scattered waves are not sufficiently separated in time from the direct arrivals to provide a clear coda wave train. Additional complications for monitoring changes in fracture systems arise when the signals originate from unsynchronized internal sources, such as natural or induced seismicity, from acoustic emission, or from transportable intra-fracture sources (chattering dust), that generate uncontrolled signals that vary in arrival time, amplitude and frequency content. Here, we use a twin neural network (TNN also known as a Siamese neural network) for dimensionality reduction to analyze signals from chattering dust to classify the fluid saturation state of a synthetic fracture system. The TNN with shared weights generates a low-dimensional representation of the data input by minimizing contrastive loss, serving as the input to a multiclass classifier that accurately classifies whether multiple fractures in a fracture system are fully saturated or partially saturated, or whether a change in saturation has occurred in different fractures in the system. Furthermore, these results show that information buried in unresolved codas from uncontrolled sources can be extracted using machine learning to monitor the evolution of fracture systems caused by physical and chemical processes even when the scattered and direct wave fields overlap.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

The High-Frequency Signature of Slow and Fast Laboratory Earthquakes

Tectonic faults fail through a spectrum of slip modes, ranging from slow aseismic creep to rapid slip during earthquakes. Understanding the seismic radiation emitted during these slip modes is key for advancing earthquake science and earthquake hazard assessment. In this work, we use laboratory friction experiments instrumented with ultrasonic sensors to document the seismic radiation properties of slow and fast laboratory earthquakes. Stick-slip experiments were conducted at a constant loading rate of 8 μm/s and the normal stress was systematically increased from 7 to 15 MPa. We produced a full spectrum of slip modes by modulating the loading stiffness in tandem with the fault zone normal stress. Acoustic emission data were recorded continuously at 5 MHz. We demonstrate that the full continuum of slip modes radiate measurable high-frequency energy between 100 and 500 kHz, including the slowest events that have peak fault slip rates <100 μm/s. The peak amplitude of the high-frequency time-domain signals scales systematically with fault slip velocity. Stable sliding experiments further support the connection between fault slip rate and high-frequency radiation. Experiments demonstrate that the origin of the high-frequency energy is fundamentally linked to changes in fault slip rate, shear strain, and breaking of contact junctions within the fault gouge. Our results suggest that having measurements close to the fault zone may be key for documenting seismic radiation properties and fully understanding the connection between different slip modes.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Seismic Features Predict Ground Motions During Repeating Caldera Collapse Sequence

Abstract Applying machine learning to continuous acoustic emissions, signals previously deemed noise, from laboratory faults and slowly slipping subduction‐zone faults, demonstrates hidden signatures are emitted that describe physical details, including fault displacement and friction. However, no evidence currently exists to demonstrate that similar hidden signals occur during seismogenic stick‐slip on earthquake faults—the damaging earthquakes of most societal interest. We show that continuous seismic emissions emitted during the 2018 multi‐month caldera collapse sequence at the Kı̄lauea volcano in Hawai'i contain hidden signatures characterizing the earthquake cycle. Multi‐spectral data features extracted from 30 s intervals of the continuous seismic emission are used to train a gradient boosted tree regression model to predict the GNSS‐derived contemporaneous surface displacement and time‐to‐failure of the upcoming collapse event. This striking result suggests that at least some faults emit such signals and provide a potential path to characterizing the instantaneous and future behavior of earthquake faults.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Empowering Machine Learning Forecasting of Labquake Using Event‐Based Features and Clustering Characteristics

Abstract Following recent advances of machine learning (ML), we present a novel approach to extract spatiotemporal seismo‐mechanical features from Acoustic Emission (AE) catalogs to empower ML‐based forecasting. The AE data were recorded during laboratory stick‐slip experiments on granite samples cut by rough faults. Based on the features computed for a past time window, a random forest (RF) classifier is used to forecast the occurrence of a large magnitude event ( M AE > 3.5) in the next time window. Event‐based features allow us to associate informative time‐space characteristics to each feature and nearest‐neighbor clustering analysis enables us to separate background and clustered seismicity and train individual models. The results show that the separation of AEs enhances the forecasting accuracy from 73.2% for the entire catalog up to 82.1% and 89.0% if background and clustered events are used separately. The presented new approach may be upscaled for applications to forecast tectonic earthquakes.

Karimpouli, Sadegh↗
DOE OSTI2026

Fault Slip and Fluid Flow: Seismic Source Analysis to Assess Role of Multiple Slip Patches in Fault Permeability

The relationship between fault reactivation, microearthquakes (MEQs), and permeability evolution during fluid injection plays a critical role in energy harvesting and waste disposal. Recent studies have demonstrated the possibility of predicting fault permeability using cumulative seismic moments of MEQs quantitatively. To understand the underlying physical processes, we conduct fault reactivation experiments using Utah FORGE granitoid and analyze acoustic emission (AE) signals generated during stepwise increases in fluid injection pressure. Frequency analysis of thousands of calibrated AE signals reveals that fault reactivation produces multiple AE source patches with millimeter-scale radii—smaller than the sample fault radius. The cumulative area of the reactivated patches covers the fault multiple times over (∼10x–50x area) for each pressure step. These findings provide mechanistic insight that measured permeability enhancement is not driven by a single large slip event, but by the sequential and interacting activation of multiple slip patches that create a continuous flow pathway.

Nurshal, M. E. M. [Pennsylvania State University, ↗
DOE OSTI2021

Predicting fault slip via transfer learning

Abstract Data-driven machine-learning for predicting instantaneous and future fault-slip in laboratory experiments has recently progressed markedly, primarily due to large training data sets. In Earth however, earthquake interevent times range from 10’s-100’s of years and geophysical data typically exist for only a portion of an earthquake cycle. Sparse data presents a serious challenge to training machine learning models for predicting fault slip in Earth. Here we describe a transfer learning approach using numerical simulations to train a convolutional encoder-decoder that predicts fault-slip behavior in laboratory experiments. The model learns a mapping between acoustic emission and fault friction histories from numerical simulations, and generalizes to produce accurate predictions of laboratory fault friction. Notably, the predictions improve by further training the model latent space using only a portion of data from a single laboratory earthquake-cycle. The transfer learning results elucidate the potential of using models trained on numerical simulations and fine-tuned with small geophysical data sets for potential applications to faults in Earth.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Foreshock properties illuminate nucleation processes of slow and fast laboratory earthquakes

Understanding the connection between seismic activity and the earthquake nucleation process is a fundamental goal in earthquake seismology with important implications for earthquake early warning systems and forecasting. We use high-resolution acoustic emission (AE) waveform measurements from laboratory stick-slip experiments that span a spectrum of slow to fast slip rates to probe spatiotemporal properties of laboratory foreshocks and nucleation processes. We measure waveform similarity and pairwise differential travel-times (DTT) between AEs throughout the seismic cycle. AEs broadcasted prior to slow labquakes have small DTT and high waveform similarity relative to fast labquakes. We show that during slow stick-slip, the fault never fully locks, and waveform similarity and pairwise differential travel times do not evolve throughout the seismic cycle. In contrast, fast laboratory earthquakes are preceded by a rapid increase in waveform similarity late in the seismic cycle and a reduction in differential travel times, indicating that AEs begin to coalesce as the fault slip velocity increases leading up to failure. These observations point to key differences in the nucleation process of slow and fast labquakes and suggest that the spatiotemporal evolution of laboratory foreshocks is linked to fault slip velocity.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Flexocaloric effect in superelastic materials

We present a combined theoretical–experimental study of flexocaloric effects in superelastic materials exhibiting structural transitions. We study a Ginzburg–Landau model combined with a vibrational model for a beam near a ferroelastic transition loaded with a three-point bending setup. We also perform experiments on a Cu–Al–Ni single crystal undergoing a martensitic transition. We measure bent beam profiles, vertical force vs vertical deflection during a slow isothermal process, time evolution of the bending and unbending amplitudes, and the evolution of temperature profiles. We also compute the evolution of heat source and heat sink profiles. Finally, we study the location of acoustic emission events during the bending/unbending experiment. Our observations are consistent with the model predictions and allow us to identify the main physical parameters relevant for flexocaloric applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Sub-millisecond keyhole pore detection in laser powder bed fusion using sound and light sensors and machine learning

Laser powder bed fusion is a mainstream additive manufacturing technology widely used to manufacture complex parts in prominent sectors, including aerospace, biomedical, and automotive industries. However, during the printing process, the presence of an unstable vapor depression can lead to a type of defect called keyhole porosity, which is detrimental to the part quality. In this study, we developed an effective approach to locally detect the generation of keyhole pores during the printing process by leveraging machine learning and a suite of optical and acoustic sensors. Simultaneous synchrotron x-ray imaging allows the direct visualization of pore generation events inside the sample, offering high-fidelity ground truth. A neural network model adopting SqueezeNet architecture using single-sensor data was developed to evaluate the fidelity of each sensor for capturing keyhole pore generation events. Our comparative study shows that the near infrared images gave the highest prediction accuracy, followed by 100 kHz and 20 kHz microphones, and the photodiode sensitive to processing laser wavelength had the lowest accuracy. Using a single sensor, over 90% prediction accuracy can be achieved with a temporal resolution as short as 0.1 ms. A data fusion scheme was also developed with features extracted using SqueezeNet neural network architecture and classification using different machine learning algorithms. Our work demonstrates the correlation between the characteristic optical and acoustic emissions and the keyhole oscillation behavior, and thereby provides strong physics support for the machine learning approach.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

labquake_future_prediction

The labquake_future_prediction code is a collection of python modules and scripts that serves as supporting information for the article “Predicting future laboratory fault friction through deep learning” for publication in the journal of “Geophysical Research Letters”. It is designed to predict laboratory fault slips in the immediate future by scanning continuous acoustic emission (AE) waveforms recorded in laboratory biaxial shear experiments. The predictions are made with a deep learning model based on convolutional encoder-decoder (CED) models and the Transformer model primarily developed for Natural Language Processing (NLP). The deep learning model is trained with the tensorflow package using publicly available laboratory data sets in standard binary file format in numpy. The utility functions for reading data files, configuring model hyperparameters, constructing the CED and Transformer models, training and testing of the models are defined in python module files. The workflow of training the models for labquake future predictions and the multiple GPU’s rapid model hyperparameter optimization as described in the journal article, are demonstrated in accompanying python script files and Jupyter notebooks.

Wang, Kun↗
DOE OSTI2023

Utah FORGE: Fault Shear Reactivation Experimental Data for Fluid Injection-Rate Controls on Seismic Moment

Included are experimental data recorded from shear experiments that specifically explore the link between fluid-injection rate and seismic moment resulting from shear reactivation of laboratory faults. Raw mechanical data from three experiments are included alongside corresponding MATLAB scripts that import and plot the data, as well as use it to calculate shear and normal stress. Experiments are performed on 2.5-3 inch long granitoid cores from the Utah FORGE EGS demonstration site, containing a single inclined fracture with small-scale roughness added to the fracture surface. The raw data included here were recorded from an aluminum triaxial pressure vessel (TEMCO) configured with three independent servo-controlled pumps, with distilled water used as the working fluid. The pumps control confining pressure, upstream pore pressure, and axial pressure, with each pump connected to a LabView interface to record applied pressures, cumulative injected water volumes, and pump flow rates. The downstream outlet from the fracture is closed to allow pressurization, which is measured by an external pressure transducer. A linear variable differential transformer (LVDT) attached to the axial piston measures axial displacement, from which we calculate shear displacement along the fracture. Additionally, P-wave transducers are used to record acoustic signatures, where acoustic emission events and maximum amplitudes are compared against seismic moment and shear slip velocity. Fluid injection rates range between 0.05 mL/min, 0.25 mL/min, and 0.75 mL/min for each experiment. Along-fault pressure distributions are progressively less uniform as injection rates increase, representing a switch from steady-state to transient conditions. Triggered shear displacement is used as a proxy for seismic moment and is indexed against cumulative injection volume and rate. Each experiment is performed under constant shear stress conditions, and the sample is fully saturated with DI water. Axial and confining stresses are applied to 3 MPa through pressure-stepping in 500 kPa increments. The pore pressure is held constant at 200 kPa prior to initiating the experiment, and initial axial displacement is recorded. The axial stress is then increased to initiate shear mobilization during the loading phase (run-in) until a peak steady state is achieved. The initial shear stress is reduced to approximately 80% of the peak shear stress by decreasing the axial stress, then held constant for the duration of each experiment.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Project Plan: Salt in Situ Heater Test

This project plan gives a high-level description of the US Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy (DOE-NE) Spent Fuel and Waste Disposition (SFWD) campaign in situ borehole heater test project planned for the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) site, titled the Brine Availability Test in Salt (BATS). BATS is the first stage in a planned sequence of tests to bolster the technical basis for disposal of heat generating waste in salt. This plan provides an overview of the schedule and responsibilities of the parties involved. This project is a collaborative effort by Sandia, Los Alamos, and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratories to execute a series of small-diameter borehole heater tests in salt for the DOE-NE SFWD campaign. Design of a heater test in salt at WIPP has evolved over several years. The experiment has begun in January 2020 and the first phase will continue for several months with the possibility for follow on testing. BATS comprises a suite of modular tests, which consist of a group of adjacent horizontal boreholes in the wall of drifts at WIPP. Each test is centered around a packer-isolated heated borehole (12.2 cm [4.81 diameter) containing equipment for water-vapor collection and borehole closure monitoring, surrounded by smaller-diameter (up to 5.3 cm [2.11 diameter) satellite observation boreholes. Observation boreholes contain grouted-in temperature sensors, electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) sensors, and fiber optics; packer-isolated tracer release and sampling intervals; and acoustic emission (AE) piezoelectric sensors. A larger-diameter (12.2 cm [4.81) satellite borehole includes sorel and salt cement plugs, as part of an engineered barrier sealing test. The first two tests, to be implemented in parallel, are heated (target borehole wall temperature of 120 °C) and unheated, with similar arrays of observation borehole monitoring changes. Follow-on tests will be designed using information gathered from the first two tests, and may be conducted at other borehole wall temperatures, use multiple observation boreholes, and may include different measurement types and test designs. This 2020 update of the original 2018 project plan satisfies DOE-NE Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) milestone M3SF-205N010303034, as part of the SNL "Salt Disposal R&D" work package.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2021

End-of-Life Evaluation of Compressed Natural Gas Vehicle Fuel Tanks

This study evaluated the structural integrity of Type III and Type IV CNG fuel tanks from the Los Angeles (LA) County Metropolitan Transportation Authority to characterize the fuel tank conditions after experiencing a full service life of 15 years in transit bus application. The data produced provide insight about the condition of the CNG fuel tanks at the conclusion of their defined EOL and potential risks of continued operation of the CNG vehicle without replacement of the expired fuel tanks. In addition to physical testing performed on the fuel tanks, a nondestructive evaluation of modal acoustic emission (MAE) was utilized to assess the structural integrity of the tanks. The CNG fuel tanks were evaluated in their received condition and after experiencing artificial damage. The MAE results were then compared to visual inspection results of the procedures defined in the Compressed Gas Association’s (CGA’s) C-6.2 and C-6.4 standards (Compressed Gas Association 2013; 2012) to better understand the effectiveness of the visual inspection and potential safety risks of continued use of the tanks.

03 NATURAL GAS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Brine Availability Test in Salt (BATS) FY21 Update

This report summarizes the 2021 fiscal year (FY21) status of ongoing borehole heater tests in salt funded by the disposal research and development (R&D) program of the Office of Spent Fuel & Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) of the US Department of Energy’s Office of Nuclear Energy’s (DOE-NE) Office of Spent Fuel and Waste Disposition (SFWD). This report satisfies SFWST milestone M2SF- 21SN010303052 by summarizing test activities and data collected during FY21. The Brine Availability Test in Salt (BATS) is fielded in a pair of similar arrays of horizontal boreholes in an experimental area at the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP). One array is heated, the other unheated. Each array consists of 14 boreholes, including a central borehole with gas circulation to measure water production, a cement seal exposure test, thermocouples to measure temperature, electrodes to infer resistivity, a packer-isolated borehole to add tracers, fiber optics to measure temperature and strain, and piezoelectric transducers to measure acoustic emissions. The key new data collected during FY21 include a series of gas tracer tests (BATS phase 1b), a pair of liquid tracer tests (BATS phase 1c), and data collected under ambient conditions (including a period with limited access due to the ongoing pandemic) since BATS phase 1a in 2020. A comparison of heated and unheated gas tracer test results clearly shows a decrease in permeability of the salt upon heating (i.e., thermal expansion closes fractures, which reduces permeability).

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2022

The Fracture Toughness of Nuclear Graphite Grades, Revision 1

New measurements of graphite mode I critical stress intensity factor, K Ic (commonly referred to as the fracture toughness) and the mode II critical shear stress intensity, K IIc , are reported and compared with prior data for K Ic and K IIc . The new data are for graphite grades PCEA, IG-110 and 2114. Variations of K Ic and acoustic emission (AE) data with graphite texture are reported and discussed. The Codes and Standards applications of fracture toughness, K Ic , data are also discussed. A specified minimum value for nuclear graphite K Ic is recommended.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Probabilistic Failure Criterion of SiC/SiC Composites Under Multiaxial Loading

Owing to its excellent mechanical properties and stability under high temperature and neutron irradiation conditions, SiC/SiC composites have emerged as a promising material for light water reactors (LWRs) in the development of accident-tolerant fuel (ATF) systems. Structural integrity and retention of hermeticity are two crucial requirements for SiC/SiC claddings during normal operations, and both of them are closely related to the proportional limit stress (PLS) of the material. Understanding the behavior of SiC/SiC composites under multiaxial stress states and developing a probabilistic approach for evaluating the structural vulnerability are of paramount importance for reliability-based analysis and design of SiC/SiC composite claddings. So far, there has been very limited effort towards experimental and analytical investigations of probabilistic failure of SiC/SiC claddings. This critical knowledge gap motivates this research. A probabilistic failure criterion for SiC/SiC composites under multi-axial loading is developed, and this criterion is incorporated into reliability analysis of the structural integrity of SiC/SiC fuel cladding. The research consists of two parts: 1) experimental investigation of multiaxial failure behavior of SiC/SiC composites, and 2) theoretical modeling of time-dependent probabilistic failure of SiC/SiC cladding. In the experimental investigation, the PLS is determined through the examination of stress-strain response, the acoustic emission measurement, as well as the X-ray computed tomography. The theoretical framework is derived by combin- ing the finite weakest-link statistical model and the subcritical damage growth model. This theoretical model captures the time-dependent failure mechanism of the material, which has a major consequence for predicting the lifetime distribution of the cladding. Meanwhile, the model also predicts that the failure statistics of the cladding depends strongly on the cladding length. The results of the multiaxial experiments reveal the level of statistical variation of the PLS of SiC/SiC materials under different stress states. The theoretical model provides a robust analytical tool for extrapolation of small-scale laboratory test results to the behavior of full-scale claddings. These findings establish a scientific foundation for the development of reliability-based design of SiC/SiC fuel claddings, which will play an essential role in improving the structural safety and integrity of LWRs.

42 ENGINEERING↗