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At least 343 records · Page 19
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2025

Wildfire towers drive firebrand lofting: insights from coupled fire-atmosphere model simulations

Wildfire behavior is shaped by complex fire dynamics, with firebrands playing a critical role in spot fire ignition and fire spread. While previous studies have explored firebrand generation and transport, the specific role of towers and troughs from wildland fires in the lofting of firebrands remains unquantified. This study addresses that gap by using physics-based coupled fire-atmosphere model simulations to examine how wildfire towers (updrafts) and troughs (downdrafts) influence firebrand lofting. Our results show that the majority of firebrands (78.85%) are lofted from towers, where strong updrafts drive long-range transport. In contrast, only 21.15% of firebrands are lofted within troughs, where downdrafts cause most firebrands to fall near the fireline. We also find that firebrand size significantly influences lofting behavior, with smaller particles (1 mm radius) exhibiting the strongest correlation with updraft intensity. These findings highlight the dominant role of wildfire towers in promoting long-distance firebrand dispersal—an essential factor in rapid wildfire growth and wildland-urban interface (WUI) fire risks. By quantifying the relationship between firebrand lofting and fire-induced atmospheric features, this study provides critical insights to improve spot fire modeling, support mitigation planning, and enhance firefighter and WUI community safety in spot fire-prone regions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Quantifying Dynamic Signal Spread in Real-Time High-Energy X-ray Diffraction

Abstract Measured intensity in high-energy monochromatic X-ray diffraction (HEXD) experiments provides information regarding the microstructure of the crystalline material under study. The location of intensity on an areal detector is determined by the lattice spacing and orientation of crystals so that changes in the heterogeneity of these quantities are reflected in the spreading of diffraction peaks over time. High temporal resolution of such dynamics can now be experimentally observed using technologies such as the mixed-mode pixel array detector (MM-PAD) which facilitates in situ dynamic HEXD experiments to study plasticity and its underlying mechanisms. In this paper, we define and demonstrate a feature computed directly from such diffraction time series data quantifying signal spread in a manner that is correlated with plastic deformation of the sample. A distinguishing characteristic of the analysis is the capability to describe the evolution from the distinct diffraction peaks of an undeformed alloy sample through to the non-uniform Debye–Scherrer rings developed upon significant plastic deformation. We build on our previous work modeling data using an overcomplete dictionary by treating temporal measurements jointly to improve signal spread recovery. We demonstrate our approach in simulations and on experimental HEXD measurements captured using the MM-PAD. Our method for characterizing the temporal evolution of signal spread is shown to provide an informative means of data analysis that adds to the capabilities of existing methods. Our work draws on ideas from convolutional sparse coding and requires solving a coupled convex optimization problem based on the alternating direction method of multipliers.

Engineering↗
DOE OSTI2022

How the Great Plains Dust Bowl drought spread heat extremes around the Northern Hemisphere

Abstract Extraordinary heat extremes occurred in the 1930s in areas of the Northern Hemisphere far from the record setting heat over the US associated with the Great Plains Dust Bowl drought. A climate model sensitivity experiment is used to identify a new mechanism involving a warm season circumglobal atmospheric teleconnection pattern that spread heat extremes over far-flung areas of the Northern Hemisphere arising from the intense heating over the desiccated Great Plains themselves. It has only been in the twenty-first century that human populations in these regions of the Northern Hemisphere have experienced heat extremes comparable to the 1930s. This demonstrates that humans influenced Northern Hemisphere temperature and heat extremes through disastrous and unprecedented regional land use practices over the Great Plains, and points to the possibility that future intense regional droughts could affect heat extremes on hemispheric scales.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Progress in the HTTF Benchmark and RELAP5-3D Gas-Cooled Reactor Validation

This slide set presents results of analysis done in the first year after the kickoff of the HTTF benchmark. This work includes the development of a new RELAP5-3D model of the facility and collection and presentation of results from one of the exercises in the benchmark. Highlights include good agreement between the new and legacy models for full-power steady state and similar predictions of maximum block temperature during a pressurized conduction cooldown. Additionally, code-to-code comparisons of a full-power steady state and depressurized conduction cooldown (DCC) from full-power steady state as part of Problem 2 Exercises 1A and 1B show good agreement on temperatures predicted in the core but considerable spread in central reflector temperatures. During the DCC, temperature behavior is similar across all models, but cooldown rates are dictated by the performance of the reactor cavity cooling system

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Metrics for Interzonal Dispersion Assessment of Airborne SARS-CoV-2 Within Office Buildings

High ventilation rate is increasingly considered as a mitigation strategy in the rapid spread of COVID-19 in existing buildings in addition to other options like UVGI and added filtration. However, this and other similar measures may also impact energy use and the efficiency of the buildings in which they are installed. Without concrete metrics, the impact of all these potential changes to the system cannot be properly assessed relative to the other impacts the measures might have, including additional energy use, added operation and maintenance costs, and reduced system life. Multizone airflow and contaminant transport simulations involving parameters such as infiltration rate, system configuration, and level of occupancy can provide critical information on relative risk distribution within a building. In this study, prototype airflow models are used to assess the degree to which ventilation-related measures can mitigate the spread of a virus like SARS-CoV-2 in a similar way that prototype energy models are used to study energy efficiency measures. A new detailed medium-sized office building prototype model is developed using the CONTAM software to represent contaminant transport in buildings like those modeled by the U.S. Department of Energy’s detailed medium office prototype model. The goal of this study is to generate a set of suitable metrics that will give a whole-building picture of airborne SARS-CoV-2 virus distributions across the different zones of the building under different parameters and scenarios.

DeGraw, Jason↗
DOE OSTI2021

Enhanced Beam Diagnostics with Existing BPPMs via GPU-powered Multi-Particle Simulation

This research aims to utilize the multi-particle code, High-Performance Simulator (HPSim), to realistically model the Side-Coupled-Cavity Linac (CCL) lattice of the LANSCE accelerator. This new model would allow us to predict the beam’s bunch length (the longitudinal spread), which is unavailable for individual accelerating modules or only accessible at the end of the linac. However, a correct bunch length is critical for the high-energy beam transport after the CCL. Its impact would be most significant in the Proton Storage Ring (PSR), where we should be able to reduce losses for the circulating beam. The PSR is scheduled to have a 25% current increase for the neutron spallation target upgrade at the Lujan Center. A highly bunched beam would be necessary to reduce the particle losses and lower the radiation levels produced from the ring. A realistic HPSim model with >1M macro-particles can help tackle the beam losses at the sub-percent level. This new work would also create a realistic surrogate model for future machine learning projects.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Evaluation of two inoculation routes of an adenovirus-mediated viral protein inhibitor in a Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever mouse model

Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever virus (CCHFV) is a tick-borne nairovirus with a wide geographic spread that can cause severe and lethal disease. No specific medical countermeasures are approved to combat this illness. The CCHFV L protein contains an ovarian tumor (OTU) domain with a cysteine protease thought to modulate cellular immune responses by removing ubiquitin and ISG15 post-translational modifications from host and viral proteins. Viral deubiquitinases like CCHFV OTU are attractive drug targets, as blocking their activity may enhance cellular immune responses to infection, and potentially inhibit viral replication itself. We previously demonstrated that the engineered ubiquitin variant CC4 is a potent inhibitor of CCHFV replication in vitro. A major challenge of the therapeutic use of small protein inhibitors such as CC4 is their requirement for intracellular delivery, e.g., by viral vectors. In this study, we examined the feasibility of in vivo CC4 delivery by a replication-deficient recombinant adenovirus (Ad-CC4) in a lethal CCHFV mouse model. Since the liver is a primary target of CCHFV infection, we aimed to optimize delivery to this organ by comparing intravenous (tail vein) and intraperitoneal injection of Ad-CC4. While tail vein injection is a traditional route for adenovirus delivery, in our hands intraperitoneal injection resulted in higher and more widespread levels of adenovirus genome in tissues, including, as intended, the liver. However, despite promising in vitro results, neither route of in vivo CC4 treatment resulted in protection from a lethal CCHFV infection.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

A Process-based Model with Temperature, Water, and Lab-derived Data Improves Predictions of Daily Culex pipiens/restuans Mosquito Density

While the number of human cases of mosquito-borne diseases has increased in North America in the last decade, accurate modeling of mosquito population density has remained a challenge. Longitudinal mosquito trap data over the many years needed for model calibration, and validation is relatively rare. In particular, capturing the relative changes in mosquito abundance across seasons is necessary for predicting the risk of disease spread as it varies from year to year. We developed a discrete, semi-stochastic, mechanistic process-based mosquito population model that captures life-cycle egg, larva, pupa, adult stages, and diapause for Culex pipiens (Diptera, Culicidae) and Culex restuans (Diptera, Culicidae) mosquito populations. This model combines known models for development and survival into a fully connected age-structured model that can reproduce mosquito population dynamics. Mosquito development through these stages is a function of time, temperature, daylight hours, and aquatic habitat availability. The time-dependent parameters are informed by both laboratory studies and mosquito trap data from the Greater Toronto Area. The model incorporates city-wide water-body gauge and precipitation data as a proxy for aquatic habitat. This approach accounts for the nonlinear interaction of temperature and aquatic habitat variability on the mosquito life stages. We demonstrate that the full model predicts the yearly variations in mosquito populations better than a statistical model using the same data sources. This improvement in modeling mosquito abundance can help guide interventions for reducing mosquito abundance in mitigating mosquito-borne diseases like West Nile virus.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Review of "ML for Surface Complexation Model Development"

The presentation given by Jadallah Zouabe on “ML for Surface Complexation Model Development”was extremely informative, but lacked some explanation of details that made the latter half hard to follow as someone outside of the field. He began his presentation with an anecdote to spilling milk or ink on the floor and seeing it spread, cleverly connecting that to the spread of contamination in the real world. He then explained the importance of being able to model contamination, as it allows specialists to see the potential effects on different areas and environments in the coming years. Heal so made it clear that the main issue trying to be addressed here is how expensive modelling is and that their goal is to make computationally cheaper models. The introduction was overall very well formulated and attention-grabbing, but it seemed to take up too much of the presentation time, as after this point the presentation lacked details and explanations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Advanced Instrumentation for Metal Additive Manufacturing

Laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) is the most widely used process for metal additive manufacturing (AM), particularly where complex geometries provide performance advantages unattainable with traditional manufacturing techniques. However, LPBF is highly sensitive to innate variability in both the powder spreading and fusion steps, often leading to defects such as pores that are difficult to detect yet significantly impair component mechanical properties and fatigue life. This thesis presents a range of novel instruments enabling both precise assessment of powder layer characteristics and in-situ thermal metrology of metal AM to advance the quality control of LPBF. First, leveraging a custom X-ray microscope and a radiation-transport model developed through this work, transmission X-ray imaging is used to study spreading of thin metal powder layers. Effective layer depth is directly mapped at a process-relevant size scale, surpassing optical techniques that can only estimate local deposition from layer surface topography. Layer packing density and quality are shown to be influenced by powder flowability and particle size relative to nominal powder layer thickness. Layer quality is additionally connected to the geometry of the spreading implement and its velocity. This technique and its presented findings enable pairing feedstocks with spreading strategies that create layers with consistent packing density and uniformity. Second, a twofold approach is employed to optically interrogate the laser fusion step of LPBF for observing signatures of defect formation. Aperture division multiplexing is conceptualized, providing for simultaneous laser delivery and high-fidelity infrared (IR) process monitoring through a common optic. In-situ microscopy at 50 μm spatial resolution and at mid-wave IR wavelengths is proven readily achievable with the first purpose-built optic of this type. Next, a bespoke imaging spectrometer, along with a temperature-emissivity separation technique, is used to retrieve accurate process temperatures over a 1000 K range. Data from these instruments are correlated to porosity as fine as 4.3 μm in two LPBF test artifacts, as verified using computed tomography (CT), establishing the viability of robust optically-based component qualification.

Penny, Ryan↗
DOE OSTI2020

Evaporation Sub-model Development for Volume of Fluid (eVOF) Method Applicable to Spray-Wall Interaction Including Film Characteristics with Validation at High Pressure and Temperature Conditions (Final Report)

Internal combustion engines have seen a great evolution over the last several decades through application of high pressure direct injection, multiple injections, and other technologies to reduced fuel consumption, NOx, and PM. Although combustion systems with advanced injection strategies have been studied extensively, there exists a significant fundamental knowledge gap on the fuel-spray interactions with the piston surface and chamber walls. Advanced computational codes validated with experimental techniques have to be developed for accurate representation of the drop impingement, fuel film formation, and vaporization. Current engine CFD spray models utilize a Lagrangian framework for modeling which lacks critical considerations of the physics pertaining to these interactions and thus requiring extensive parameterization, tuning and validation. The team from Michigan Technological University, University of Massachusetts Dartmouth, and Argonne National Laboratory is composed of experts in sprays, combustion, engines and CFD with a wide spectrum of knowledge including specific expertise in the area under consideration. In the proposed work, a VOF modeling approach has been adopted for the spray-wall interaction, film formation and spreading, and vaporization. With the inclusion of a vaporization submodel, a more predictive and accurate simulation of the spray-film was performed without extensive need of parameterization and tuning. Extensive experimentation of the spray-wall interaction under the range of conditions matching the thermodynamic and surface temperatures that occur in diesel and gasoline engines were conducted to validate the SWI submodels and for development of the evaporation sub-model, which has been implemented in the Converge software.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Widening of Wind Stress Anomalies Amplifies ENSO in a Warming Climate

Abstract Climate change simulations generally indicate the strengthening of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) sea surface temperature (SST) variability through the twenty-first century, yet a robust physical mechanism explaining this change across different models is still lacking, and the projections for ENSO amplitude exhibit a large spread. Most commonly, changes in the background state of the tropical Pacific are invoked to explain these changes of ENSO. Here, we show that changes in the structure of wind stress anomalies associated with ENSO are potentially as important as these background state changes. Specifically, changes in the magnitude, meridional width, and zonal structure of wind stress anomalies can explain approximately 53% of the intermodel variance in the projected change of ENSO magnitude through the twenty-first century as well as 43% in ENSO periodicity changes. Among these changes in the wind structure, the meridional widening of wind anomalies plays the most important role. To demonstrate that these changes are indeed critical, we develop a hybrid model of ENSO based on the Community Earth System Model, version 2, which incorporates a dynamical ocean coupled to a simplified statistical atmosphere within the tropical Pacific. In the absence of external forcing and corresponding mean-state changes, the imposed changes in wind stress anomalies in this hybrid model result in an increase of ENSO amplitudes of nearly 10% along the equator. Our results are also theoretically supported by a recharge-oscillator model that incorporates the meridional wind structure. Thus, changes in the structure of wind stress anomalies, together with changes in the mean state, likely play a critical role in the projected strengthening of ENSO.

Stuivenvolt-Allen, Jacob [Yale University, New Hav↗
DOE OSTI2022

The role of geographical spreaders in infectious pattern formation and front propagation speeds

The pattern formation and spatial spread of infectious populations are investigated using a kernel-based Susceptible–Infectious–Recovered (SIR) model applicable across a wide range of basic reproduction numbers R O . The goal is to examine the role of geographical spreaders on transient spatial pattern formation of infectious populations and the associated maximum invasive front speeds c max . In the simulations conducted here, geographical spreaders are defined as a portion of the infected population Φ experiencing high mobility between identical communities. The spatial organization of the infected population and c max are determined when the infections are randomly initiated in space within multiple communities. For small but finite , scaling analysis and numerical simulations in 1-dimension suggest that when the spreading kernel is Gaussian-shaped, where is the inverse of the infectious duration. This finding for agrees with a diffusion-based representation of mobility in 1-D. Numerical simulations in 2-D across wide-ranging suggest that , the variance of the spatial kernel describing mobility of long-distance geographical spreaders across communities, determines the spatial organization of infections across communities. When (long-distance mobility, where is the minimum spatial extent defining adjacent communities), the infectious population will experience a transient but spatially coherent pattern with a wavelength that can be derived from the spreading kernel properties. Moreover, the 2-D simulations for the bounded kernel suggest that attainment of is also dictated by but the magnitude is not sensitive to unlike diffusion-based models.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Superdiffusive transport of energy in one-dimensional metals

Metals in one spatial dimension are described at the lowest energy scales by the Luttinger liquid theory. It is well understood that this free theory, and even interacting integrable models, can support ballistic transport of conserved quantities including energy. In contrast, realistic one-dimensional metals, even without disorder, contain integrability-breaking interactions that are expected to lead to thermalization and conventional diffusive linear response. We argue that the expansion of energy when such a nonintegrable Luttinger liquid is locally heated above its ground state shows superdiffusive behavior (i.e., spreading of energy that is intermediate between diffusion and ballistic propagation), by combining an analytical anomalous diffusion model with numerical matrix-product–state calculations on a specific perturbed spinless fermion chain. Different metals will have different scaling exponents and shapes in their energy spreading, but the superdiffusive behavior is stable and should be visible in time-resolved experiments.

Bulchandani, Vir B.↗
DOE OSTI2025

Quantification of regional net CO 2 flux errors in the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) v10 model intercomparison project (MIP) ensemble using airborne measurements

Inverse model intercomparison projects (MIPs) provide a chance to assess the uncertainties in inversion estimates arising from various sources. However, accurately quantifying ensemble CO 2 flux errors remains challenging and often relies on the ensemble spread. This study proposes a method for quantifying the errors in regional net surface–atmosphere CO 2 flux estimates from models taken from the Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) v10 MIP by using independent airborne CO 2 measurements for the period 2015–2017. We first calculate the root mean square error (RMSE) between the ensemble mean of posterior CO 2 concentrations and airborne observations and then isolate the CO 2 concentration errors caused solely by the ensemble mean of posterior net fluxes by subtracting the observation, representation, and transport errors from seven regions. Our analysis reveals that the flux errors projected onto CO 2 space account for 55 %–85 % of the regional average RMSE over the 3 years, ranging from 0.88 to 1.91 ppm. In five regions, the error estimates based on observations exceed those computed from the ensemble spread of posterior fluxes by a factor of 1.33–1.93, implying an underestimation of the actual flux errors, while their magnitudes are comparable in two regions. The adjoint sensitivity analysis identifies that the underestimation of flux errors is prominent where the magnitudes of fossil fuel emissions exceed those of terrestrial-biosphere fluxes by a factor of 3–31 over the 3 years. This suggests the presence of systematic biases in the inversion estimates associated with errors in the prescribed fossil fuel emissions common to all models. Our study emphasizes the value of airborne measurements for quantifying regional errors in ensemble net CO 2 flux estimates.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

The Complexation Properties of Self-Defensive Microgel-Modified Antimicrobial Surfaces

The complexation of cationic antimicrobials with polyanionic microgels on a biomaterial surface can render that surface self-defensive against bacteria by killing those bacteria which physically contact the antimicrobial-loaded microgels. This killing has been attributed to the contact-driven transfer of antimicrobial from a microgel to a challenging bacterium, though much remains unknown about this process. Here, in this study, we use a combination of experiments and computational modeling to identify key aspects of the complexation phenomena which influence the self-defensive properties. We synthesize poly(acrylic acid) (PAA) microgels (∼2–5 μm diameter) via membrane emulsification and electrostatically deposit them onto polycaprolactone (PCL) coupons or onto glass to form a discontinuous submonolayer. Subsequent microgel loading with colistin or with Sub5 antimicrobial peptide (AMP) causes microgel deswelling. Under physiological conditions Sub5 remains stably sequestered whereas colistin is quickly released. Coarse-grained molecular dynamics (CGMD) simulations confirm stronger Sub5/PAA complexation. CGMD calculations also indicate that Sub5 forms dimers and higher-order structures, a prediction confirmed experimentally by Small-Angle X-ray Scattering (SAXS). Supramolecular structure entropically enhances the complexation strength because of enhanced counterion release per complexation event, and this finding can help identify other antimicrobials well suited for such a nonelutive yet self-defensive strategy. CGMD simulations also show that Sub5 has a higher complexation strength with the Staphylococcus aureus membrane than it does with PAA, confirming that there is a thermodynamic driving force for antimicrobial transfer. Such self-defensive surfaces significantly reduce S. aureus colonization (over 90% reduction relative to unmodified controls) in an in vitro hematogenous contamination model and remain cyto-compatible as evidenced by mesenchymal stem cell spreading and proliferation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Mixed-strategy approach to band-edge analysis and modeling in semiconductors

In semiconductor physics, the Urbach rule describes an exponential dependence of the UV-Vis absorption coefficient on photon energy at the band edge. The rule is so ubiquitously applied that a single common mechanism, variability in the local potential, is generally considered to be the cause of exponential band edges. Variability in the local potential may be caused by alloy inhomogeneity, structural defects, impurities, thermal excitation, or any other mechanism that interrupts ideal crystallinity and creates disorder. A crucial point of the Urbach rule is its development for band edges which approach linearity when plotted on a logarithmic scale. The rule was not developed in the context of nonlinear band edges with complex fine structure. Even so, this model has been applied extensively to band edges with such features. Using differential analysis and deconvolution, we develop an analytical technique capable of separating the components responsible for the fine structure observed. This approach reduces challenging signal-artifact convolution problems to a simple linear combination. Furthermore, we develop a model that can be applied to the nonlinear band-edge signals extracted. In this work, we show that in the limiting case of linearity, our model is consistent with and produces the same results as the linear Urbach model. Our model is capable of bypassing “tailing” as an indirect measure of the spread in the local potential and gives a direct measure of this quantity.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2020

Predicting Future Disease Burden in a Rapidly Changing Climate

The interplay of a rapidly changing climate and infectious disease occurrence is emerging as a critical topic, requiring investigation of possible direct, as well as indirect, connections between disease processes and climate-related variation and phenomena. First, we introduce and overview three infectious disease exemplars (dengue, influenza, valley fever) representing different transmission classes (insect-vectored, human-to-human, environmentally-transmitted) to illuminate the complex and significant interplay between climate disease processes, as well as to motivate discussion of how Sandia can transform the field, and change our understanding of climate-driven infectious disease spread. We also review state-of-the-art epidemiological and climate modeling approaches, together with data analytics and machine learning methods, potentially relevant to climate and infectious disease studies. We synthesize the modeling and disease exemplars information, suggesting initial avenues for research and development (R&D) in this area, and propose potential sponsors for this work. Whether directly or indirectly, it is certain that a rapidly changing climate will alter global disease burden. The trajectory of climate change is an important control on this burden, from local, to regional and global scales. The efforts proposed herein respond to the National Research Councils call for the creation of a multidisciplinary institute that would address critical aspects of these interlocking, cascading crises.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗