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At least 343 records · Page 19
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

Risk-Informed Applications and Science – Past, Present, & Future

This is a presentation to be made at the University of Tokyo. The Idaho National Laboratory is creating the next-generation reliability- and risk-assessment methods and tools that support risk-informed decision-making by combining physics-based models with probabilistic quantification approaches. Integrating these two worlds of physics and probability using a simulation framework leads us to predictions based upon an approach called “computational risk assessment” which will serve as the technical basis for the future of reliability and risk approaches. The driving factors for this new approach includes: temporal (timing issues), spatial (location issues), mechanistic (physics issues), and topological (complexity issues). By combining phenomenology directly with stochastic quantification, we are able to perform advanced uncertainty analysis directly on both parameters and models. In addition, new tools allow for the creation of reduced order models that mimic high-fidelity engineering models while still permitting the realization of thousands of simulation iterations in short run-times on current workstation-class computers. While these advanced methods and tools can provide increased realism in our engineering safety and risk approaches, their greater benefit is to provide a risk-informed engineering framework for design and operation. This talk will briefly review the history of risk assessment and risk-informed applications, describe some of the current research and development found at the Idaho National Laboratory, and discuss potential future applications and approaches for advanced methods and tools.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Critical Assemblies: Dragon Burst Assembly and Solution Assemblies

This work reviews the historical literature associated with the Dragon experiment and water boiler reactors operated at Los Alamos during the Manhattan Project. Frisch’s invited talk given at the American Nuclear Society’s Fast Burst Reactor Conference held at the University of New Mexico in Albuquerque, New Mexico, in 1969 is quoted. From the literature review, basic models for the Dragon experiment and for a water boiler–type assembly (aqueous homogeneous reactor) were created that can be used for conducting multiphysics simulations for criticality excursion studies. This methodology utilizes the coupled neutronic-hydrodynamic method to perform a time-dependent dynamic simulation of a criticality excursion. MCNP® was utilized to calculate important nuclear kinetic parameters that were incorporated into the models. Simulation results compare reasonably well with historic data.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Group structure selection with random forests

Choosing an appropriate group structure for multigroup transport is far from an exact science. For some applications, one blindly uses a group structure developed years ago by forgotten methods. Furthermore, one sometimes uses the same group structure for a variety of problems, even if the group structure was originally developed with a certain application in mind. In this work, we create optimized group structures with simulated annealing for critical assembly test problems and apply a random forest regressor with bagging to choose the best group structure based on parameters of the different test problems. The optimized group structures were generated using a simulated annealing optimizer for several simple, spherical, and unreflected problems. The optimization was performed to minimize a cost function that included fission rate, absorption rate, leakage, and k{sub eff}. A random forest regressor was then trained on a set of International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project inputs and used to select one of these six group structures. The trained machine learning model chose the best group structure 65% of the time, and one of the three best 89% of the time. Furthermore, it decreased the L2 error over all test problems by a factor of 25 when compared to the standard Los Alamos 70-group structure. In other words, the model chose group structure that were far more appropriate for the test problems than the traditional LANL group structure. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2022

CSEWG Meeting Minutes

Work has been done at LANL to validate various updated evaluations from ENDF/BVIII.1b0 including: Fe, Cu, Si, U, Pu. Continuous energy tables were processed with NJOY2016 and output to ACE files. For non-Pu legacy critical benchmarks, all calculations were within the experimental benchmark uncertainty, with some benchmarks having shown lower bias using ENDF/B-VIII.1b0. In HST systems, ENDF/B-VIII.0 shows reasonable results above the thermal leakage fraction. ENDF/B-VIII.0.1 is doing slightly worse than ENDF/B- VIII.0. b0.2 and it also includes a new 19 F evaluation, so more work is needed to examine its impact. 233 U thermal and intermediate bare and water-reflected benchmarks agree well with ENDF/B-VIII.0. From ENDF/B-VIII.0 to ENDF/B-VIII.0b0.1, HMF-007 C/E are increasing and the new 19 F evaluation is helping the HMF-007 cases containing Teflon which have historically had high C/E. The Pu legacy benchmark suite is within experimental uncertainty with the exception of THOR. The INDEN evaluation followed by LANL gave the lowest mean absolute bias, but it remains difficult to make a determination on which Pu evaluation is the best. INDEN performs slightly better for the JEZEBEL series, while the LANL Pu evaluation is better for THOR and flattop benchmarks. For the PMI benchmark series INDEN outperforms the LLNL evaluation. For the PST benchmark series ENDF/B-VIII.0 and LLNL Pu evaluations are better than the INDEN evaluation. C/E ratios for Jezebel and Godiva reaction rate ratios show all the Pu evaluations are very close to one another, making it again difficult to say which is best. When examining neutron reactor kinetics parameters, each Pu evaluation is once again very close. Each individual Pu evaluation seems to have advantages in their own applications.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Improving Zr cross sections: 90 Zr(n, y) [Slides]

This presentation covers key take-aways such as the first of 4 isotopes (90,91,92,94) to be measured. 91 Zr is currently being measured at GELINA. Once all measurements are done a join evaluation with SAMMY will be undertaken. Further, there will be production of new evaluated resonance parameters and covariances. New data will be used to improve evaluation information, benefitting transport calculations of reactors, waste storage, etc.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

Bayesian Monte Carlo Evaluation Framework for Imperfect Data and Models [Abstract]

Nuclear data evaluation methods conventionally make the following assumptions: prior and posterior probability distribution functions (PDFs) of all model parameters and data are normal (Gaussian); the linear approximation is sufficiently accurate for minimization of a cost function (even for non-linear models); and that both the model (of, e.g., neutron cross section) and experimental data (including their covariance data) are perfect. These assumptions are inherent to the well-known generalized linear least squares (GLLS) minimization method commonly used for evaluations of resolved resonance region (RRR) neutron cross sections. However, these assumptions are often not justified due to the presence of non-normal PDFs, non-linear models (e.g. R -matrix formalism), and inherent imperfections in data and models (e.g. discrepant data sets, discrepancies between the previous evaluation and newly measured data, or imperfect covariance data). We remove the said assumptions in a mathematical framework of Bayes’ theorem, and implement it using the Metropolis-Hastings Monte Carlo method. Parameters of a new kind are introduced to parameterize inherent imperfections, e.g. , any discrepancies between the theoretical model and measured data. These new parameters enable evaluators to quantify their expert judgement about any discrepancies or imperfections in a reproducible manner. We demonstrate the framework with an ongoing evaluation of 233 U in the eV region using the ENDF-B/VIII library and transmission data measured by Guber, et al. , and compare the posterior parameters to those obtained by conventional evaluation methods.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Verification of Upcoming MCNP Features For Estimating Nuclear Data Sensitivities in Fixed Source Simulations [Abstract]

Predictive simulation codes, like the Monte Carlo N-Particle (MCNP) transport code, are used throughout the nuclear community. These simulations are based on nuclear data. Maximizing the accuracy and precision of nuclear data maximizes the accuracy and precision of the overall simulation. This is imperative to applications that rely on simulations. For example, improving nuclear data for special nuclear material improves simulation accuracy in stockpile stewardship applications, which results in larger safety margins and decreased operational costs. The improvement and validation of nuclear data is completed through integral benchmark experiments. Past benchmarks have primarily been limited to focus on the effective multiplication factor ($\kappa$ eff ); broadening the purview of benchmarks beyond $\kappa$ eff -dependent nuclear data addresses nuclear data deficiencies. Different response types depend on different areas of nuclear data. This dependence is quantified as nuclear data sensitivity: the change in response due to perturbation of a contributing parameter. The larger the nuclear data sensitivity of a response, the more the experiment is influenced by the uncertainties of the nuclear data. The optimization of nuclear data sensitivities in future benchmarks would result in more detailed validation of lesser studied areas of nuclear data. Currently, direct sensitivity capabilities are not easily found for all experiment types and parameters. An MCNP tool to directly estimate the cross section sensitivities of tallied values is under development. Additionally, updates have been made to the perturbation feature of MCNP, which can be used in a less direct approach to estimating sensitivities. This work verifies these features to estimate nuclear data sensitivities in fixed source simulations of a 4.5-kg sphere of alpha- phase weapons-grade plutonium surrounded by differing amounts of copper and polyethylene. Integrated estimates made using MCNP’s tools were found to statistically agree with integrated estimates made from manual perturbation of nuclear data proving the validity of the MCNP tools.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

A machine-learning framework for the simulation of nuclear deflection of Planet-Killer-Asteroids

Here, as detection capabilities in astronomy have dramatically improved over the last two decades, concerns over Planet-Killer-Asteroids (PKAs) have become widespread, with nuclear weapons being proposed to destroy or deflect asteroids that are on a short-term projected collision course with Earth. Two main mitigation strategies have been proposed: • Case 1: Break up an incoming asteroid into smaller pieces that will disperse widely, resulting in smaller-scale, less detrimental, Earth-impacts or • Case 2: Deflect an incoming asteroid trajectory to avoid collision altogether. While the two strategies are not mutually exclusive, deflection is a safer strategy, ideally by harnessing all of the released energy from a nuclear device to move the asteroid as a rigid body. However, this case may not be always possible, since the strength of the energy release may break up the asteroid. In this work, the dynamical response of a PKA to a series of ultra-high energy impulses, such as those generated by nuclear devices, is formulated. A rapid iterative Discrete Element Method (DEM) method is developed to describe the deflection and potential breakup of the PKA as a function of a material bonding strength parameter within the asteroid and the magnitude of the applied impulse. The use of DEM allows for fragmentation of the PKA and the ability to compute the trajectories and distribution of the resulting debris field. Finally, a machine-learning algorithm is then developed and combined with the DEM approach to optimize the pulsation strategy for maximum possible safety and success.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Modeling glass degradation and release of radionuclides from vitrified waste for performance assessment simulations

The release of radionuclides initially encapsulated in a slowly degrading solid waste form and contained in an eventually corroding canister defines the source term for numerical simulations for the assessment of a geologic repository for high-level radioactive waste. While the details of waste degradation, canister corrosion, and dissolution and mobilization of the radionuclides in pore water include complex chemical reaction and transport processes that are coupled to the thermal, hydrological, microbiological, and mechanical conditions in the repository, the source-term model suitable for use in a numerical performance assessment model should be a defensible abstraction of these mechanisms. We developed a radiological source-term model and implemented it into a non-isothermal flow and transport simulator. While the proposed source-term model is applicable to various waste forms, canister systems, and disposal concepts, we specifically considered radionuclide releases from vitrified high-level waste placed in a cylindrical canister disposed in a deep vertical borehole repository. In this model, waste degradation is a function of temperature, and it can be adjusted to evaluate the influence of and propagate uncertainties in pH, passivation reactions, and chemical conditions as well as geometrical factors. The time-dependent, congruent release of safety-relevant radionuclides present in the decaying inventory is then calculated. Finally, the radionuclides are mobilized by diffusive and advective transport according to the thermo-hydraulic conditions prevailing in the near field of the repository, from where they migrate through the geosphere to the accessible environment. We examine the influence of the source-term model’s parameters on performance assessment calculations through sensitivity and uncertainty propagation analyses, identifying influential factors and confirming the upper bound of their impact. These considerations align with the overarching goal of repository design, which is to demonstrate that engineered and natural barriers can collectively delay radionuclide migration for timescales far exceeding human planning, thereby providing multiple, redundant barriers against environmental contamination.

iTOUGH2↗
DOE OSTI2021

181 Ta - fast neutron evaluation [Slides]

Reliable fast-neutron evaluation can be entirely encapsulated in the reaction model and related input. Ta181 is a particularly relevant case due to extraordinary coverage of various observables by differential experiments that offer much help and relatively little headache. Differences from the similar ENDF/B-VIII evaluation include: more advanced modeling (CC OMP, MSD, MSC, decay schemes), more careful selection of models and parameters, new experimental data, and isomers. Overall, improved agreement with differential data and hints of better performance in integral testing.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Automatic Generation of Chemical Mechanisms for Electrochemical Systems: Solid Electrolyte Interphase Formation in Lithium Batteries

Electrolytes in many lithium ion batteries decompose at the low potentials near the anode. The decomposition products form a layer termed the solid electrolyte interphase (SEI). The composition and growth of the SEI layer significantly affect both the capacity fade and safety of lithium ion batteries. However, SEI formation and growth kinetics are not well understood. In this work, we present an extension of the Reaction Mechanism Generator (RMG) software to automatically generate mechanisms for SEI formation. We extend RMG’s solvation correction framework to account for kinetic solvent effects and demonstrate the accuracy of our technique. We calculate thermochemical parameters for 252 species and rate coefficients for 69 reactions, most with associated solvation corrections. This and additional quantum chemistry data are used to extend RMG’s thermodynamic group additivity and solute parameter estimation schemes to handle lithiated species and add 14 new reaction families to RMG. RMG is additionally extended to simulate electrocatalytic systems. Lastly, we demonstrate RMG on the decomposition of acetonitrile and ethylene carbonate near a battery anode. Furthermore, while this framework does not yet resolve individual ions, as appropriate thermochemistry estimators are not available, and thus, cannot yet resolve more complex electrochemical pathways, RMG is able to generate reasonable pathways for SEI formation that match literature pathways and products. In particular, RMG identifies a new important reaction pathway that is not present in literature.

Chemical reactions↗
DOE OSTI2024

Experimental Validation of Thermal Hydraulic Behavior in Sodium Fast Reactors (SFR) with the Thermal Hydraulic Experimental Test Article (THETA)

Thermal stratification and transition to natural circulation pose two of the largest sources of uncertainty in systems-level modeling of liquid metal-cooled fast reactors. As these phenomena typically develop during transient event sequences, licensing-basis events analyzed using systemslevel models may have considerable uncertainties associated with thermal-hydraulic parameters of the system to account for these phenomena. As a result, the validation basis for these phenomena for systems-level codes is insufficient to fully support the wide range of liquid metal fast reactors being developed in the US. Currently, the most viable path for licensing a design is to take significant conservatisms and maintain sufficiently large safety margins to account for this uncertainty.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Neutronic Consideration of TREAT Facility Fuel SiC Recladding

The Transient Reactor Test (TREAT) Facility is an air-cooled reactor composed of graphite-urania fuel encapsulated in zirconium alloy canisters and surrounded by ~2 ft (~61 cm) of nuclear grade graphite. The primary role of TREAT is to provide in-pile nuclear-heated safety research via transient testing [1]. Benchmark efforts have demonstrated sensitivity of TREAT neutronics models to graphite cross section data and key neutron poisons found in the fuel assemblies [2]. During fabrication of TREAT fuel assemblies, a small concentration of boron was inadvertently introduced with variable concentration into the aggregate of fuel blocks prepared for TREAT use. The concentration of boron, and its respective uncertainty, represent the most sensitive component in a neutronics study; unfortunately, nothing can be done to reduce or otherwise mitigate its impact. Hydrogen in the fuel blocks reduces the mean free path of the core and its true quantity and uncertainty is approximated. The hydrogen remains from pitch binder used in the fuel fabrication process and was not completely released due to incomplete fuel graphitization. Destructive fuel testing is necessary to quantify the actual hydrogen content and to improve benchmark model quality. A third neutron poison of some significance is the hafnium impurity in the Zircaloy-3 (Zry-3) assembly cladding. The quantity of hafnium is expected to be within nominal manufacturing limits for nuclear grade zircaloy. Recladding the fuel assemblies with material that is less neutron absorbing is expected to benefit reactor neutron economy. Moreover, TREAT’s total transient energy is restricted based on the rate of Zry-3 oxidation in TREAT’s air coolant environment. Hence, cladding with more benign air reaction kinetics could dramatically uprate the facility’s experimental capability. Silicon carbide (SiC) has been proposed as a candidate material for recladding TREAT assemblies, as SiC/SiC demonstrate favorable properties within nuclear environments [3]. The current operational limits of TREAT are restricted by the oxidation of Zry-3. Change of the cladding to SiC could feasibly double the current temperature limitation. Recladding opportunities allow for previously damaged fuel assemblies to be returned to service, as Zry-3 is not commercially available. The initial effort required to consider proceeding with any recladding effort is to neutronically characterize key reactor parameters while replacing Zry-3 with SiC. A characterization summary, with respective results, is provided herein.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Methodology for Generating Covariance Data of Thermal Neutron Scattering Cross Sections

This paper details and implements a framework for evaluating thermal neutron scattering cross sections that provide S(α,β) data and covariance data for hydrogen in light water. This methodology involves perturbing model parameters of molecular dynamics potentials and fitting the simulation results to experimental data. The framework is general and can be applied to any material or simulation method. The fit is made using the Unified Monte Carlo method to experimentally measure double-differential scattering cross sections of light water at the Spallation Neutron Source at Oak Ridge National Laboratory. Mean values and covariance data were generated for model parameters, phonon density of states, double-differential cross sections, and total scattering cross sections. These posterior parameter values were very similar to their prior values with a maximum relative error of 0.54%. This falls within in the Unified Monte Carlo–calculated uncertainties on the order of 2.7%. Additionally, posterior double-differential cross sections agree favorably with ENDF/B-VIII.0 cross sections. The new thermal scattering law was tested by comparing it against benchmarks from the International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project Handbook, which showed a slight improvement over the ENDF/B-VIII.0 library. Additionally, the covariance matrix of the phonon density of states was validated to confirm that the spread of k eff from the density of states used to generate the covariance matrix was similar to the spread of k eff from the density of states of the sampled covariance matrix.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Failure Analysis–Informed Risk Assessment Framework for Geological Carbon Storage Using Numerical Simulation and Machine Learning

Geological carbon storage (GCS) is recognized as a critical technology for achieving large-scale reductions in anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) emissions. Ensuring long-term containment and safety requires robust risk assessment frameworks that account for geological uncertainty and identify potential failure scenarios. Among various indicators, the area of review (AoR) serves as a key metric for evaluating storage performance, regulatory compliance, and monitoring design, as it delineates the spatial extent impacted by pressure buildup and plume migration. However, conventional AoR-based risk assessments typically perturb parameters within narrow uncertainty bounds, potentially overlooking rare but high-impact events arising from extreme geological conditions. In this study, we present a failure analysis–informed risk assessment framework for large-scale GCS projects to improve site prescreening and monitoring design. A suite of 300 numerical simulations was generated using stochastic geological models that vary five key parameters: net-to-gross ratio, anisotropy azimuth, porosity multiplier, permeability multiplier, and vertical-to-horizontal permeability ratio. Among these, 200 realizations represent normal geological uncertainty, while 100 additional cases explore extreme yet plausible conditions for failure-case analysis. The AoR was simulated and computed from pressure and CO 2 saturation fields, where the baseline AoR boundary, representing the extent predicted under typical geological uncertainty, was defined as the union of 200 normal-range simulations, and failure was identified when extreme-range cases exceeded this baseline. Results show that incorporating broader parameter uncertainty produces significantly larger AoR extents, underscoring the potential underestimation of risk under conventional uncertainty ranges. Furthermore, spatial probability maps derived from failure-induced AoR exceedance identify regions requiring enhanced monitoring attention. Various machine learning (ML)–based classifiers were developed to predict failure occurrence from geological parameters, with the random forest model achieving the highest performance (F1-score of 0.986). Consistent findings from correlation coefficient, feature importance, and Sobol sensitivity analyses reveal that low net-to-gross ratios and permeability multipliers are the dominant risk drivers, reflecting reduced reservoir connectivity and limited pressure dissipation. Altogether, these results provide a novel framework for risk-informed site prescreening and monitoring design that explicitly considers rare but high-impact geological scenarios in GCS projects.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Fire-Induced Pressure Response and Failure Characterization of PCV/SCV/3013 Containers - Phase 3

Several Department of Energy (DOE) facilities have materials stored in robust, welded, stainless - steel containers with presumed fire - induced pressure response behaviors. Lack of test data related to fire exposure requires conservative safety analysis assumptions for container response at these facilities. This conservatism can in turn result in the implementation of challenging operational restrictions with costly nuclear safety controls. To help address this issue for sites that store DOE 3013 stainless - steel containers, a series of ten tests were undertaken at Sandia National Laboratories. The goal of this test series was to obtain the response behavior for various configurations of DOE 3013 containers with various payload compositions when exposed to one of two ASTM fire conditions. Key parameters measured in the test series included identification of failure - specific characteristics such as pressure, temperature, and whether or not a vessel was breached during a test . Numerous failure - specific characteristics were identified from the ten tests. This report describes the implementation and execution of the test series performed to identify these failure - specific characteristics. Discussions on the test configurations, payload compositions, thermal insults, and experimental setups are presented. Test results in terms of pressurization and vessel breach (or no - breach) are presented along with corresponding discussions for each test.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2022

Analysis of Postulated Accident Scenarios for the Transformational Challenge Reactor

The Transformational Challenge Reactor (TCR) is a helium-cooled, yttrium-hydride-moderated reactor that was designed for the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Nuclear Energy. A key objective of the TCR was to employ advanced manufacturing techniques in a nuclear system and demonstrate their potential for revolutionizing the nuclear reactor design process. One purpose of the present work is to demonstrate the safety of the TCR under postulated accidents. Based on RELAP5-3D and COMSOL analyses, the TCR remained below all current safety limits and far below the expected failure limits for the core materials. Another purpose of this work is to provide useful insights and recommendations regarding the application of RELAP5-3D to gas-cooled or other advanced reactors. A novel approach was implemented for simultaneously modeling conduction and radiation in RELAP5-3D, which was found to provide reasonable predictions of radial core, vessel, and ex-vessel heat transfer during postulated events. A multicode approach was also applied, in which high-fidelity COMSOL calculations were used to tune the radial heat transfer parameters in RELAP5-3D. The tuned RELAP5-3D model demonstrated comparable peak temperature predictions as COMSOL, despite a coarse treatment of the core in RELAP5-3D consisting of only two lumped heat structures. This high-fidelity tuning approach enabled enhanced accuracy as well as minimal complexity within the RELAP5-3D model, even for complex fuel geometric designs as in the TCR. Finally, investigations were made into the potential for flow reversal during a pressurized loss-of-forced-flow event in the TCR. The TCR is designed with downward helium flow through the core during normal operation. The RELAP5-3D model predicted that this downward flow would persist, without flow reversal, up to several days after the circulator trip. This was attributed to natural circulation hysteresis effects as have been noted in similar thermofluidic systems. Although flow stagnation and eventual reversal did not lead to unsafe TCR conditions, interesting spatial effects were observed which may have safety relevance for other reactor system designs and coolant types that are designed for downward core flow during normal operation, warranting closer investigation of the flow reversal phenomenon.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2024

In-situ determination of strain during transient burst testing and the temperature dependence of Zircaloy-4 claddings

Understanding fuel system behavior during postulated loss-of-coolant accidents is pertinent for continued safe and efficient operation of light water reactors, particularly as higher burnups are being pursued and safety margins re-evaluated. Conventional mechanical models for the incumbent Zr alloys typically rely on the assumption that steady-state creep is the dominant fuel cladding response during transient accident conditions. To investigate this assumption, simulated accident burst testing was performed on Zircaloy-4 claddings with balloon behavior measured in-situ. Here, two distinct loading conditions were utilized during burst testing: (1) constant-gas-inventory where pressure was allowed to increase with temperature and (2) constant pressure. In-situ strains and strain rates were measured via 2-dimensional digital image correlation techniques and synchronized with temperature to determine deformation dependencies. The temperature dependence of strain rate was characterized by a two segment Arrhenius relationship, with a distinct transition between the high and low temperature/strain regimes. The average activation energy of the lower temperature/strain regime was 328 ± 25 kJ/mol, in agreement with the ~320 kJ/mol used for conventional LOCA models. However, the higher temperature/strain segment, which encompassed most of ballooning, showed increased activation energies as well as a dependence on whether the burst region was in view. For tests that burst away from the camera view, the average high temperature/strain segment activation energy was 635 ± 150 kJ/mol. For samples where the rupture opening formed in view, the average activation energy was 1015 ± 179 kJ/mol. This observed shift in temperature dependence indicates a transition in deformation mechanism at the end of life, possibly to time independent failure mechanisms, which has not yet been visualized in the literature for Zr alloys. Parameters at the transition points were analyzed to determine thresholds for this change in behavior, which occurred at an average hoop strain of 6.9 ± 2.1 %.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗