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At least 343 records · Page 19

AmeriFlux US-LL3 Longleaf Pine - Red Dirt (Xeric site)

This is the AmeriFlux version of the carbon flux data for the site US-LL3 Longleaf Pine - Red Dirt (Xeric site). Site Description - Xeric longeaf pine site with wiregrass in the understory and >90 year old Pinus palustris and Quercus spp. in the mid- and overstory

Starr, Gregory↗

Impacts of High Variable Renewable Energy Futures on Electric-Sector Decision Making: Demand-Side Effects

Previous work by the Berkeley Lab describes how high shares of variable renewable energy (VRE) such as wind and solar power could change wholesale electricity price dynamics. These include the timing of when electricity is cheap or expensive, locational differences in the cost of electricity, and the degree of regularity or predictability in those costs. Many decentralized decision-makers on the demand-side may not yet have considered the implications of these possible future changes. In this report, we evaluate the sensitivity of a set of demand-side decisions to different levels of VRE penetration ranging from a low of 5-20% to a high of 40-50%. The analysis builds on hourly wholesale energy and capacity prices in different VRE scenarios for four wholesale markets in the United States for the year 2030 (CAISO, ERCOT, NYISO, and SPP). The principal question for this exploration is whether private and public electric-sector decisions that are made based on assumptions reflecting low VRE levels still achieve their intended objective in a high VRE scenario with 40-50% wind and solar? This scoping report evaluates the impacts of changing patterns of peak system needs on the benefits of demand reductions by examining the altered value of different energy efficiency (EE) measures. Similarly, we investigate new opportunities for large energy consumers that may arise from periods with very low wholesale electricity prices. We calculate the value of new process investments (e.g., hydrogen production and other generalized electro-commodities), showcase the varying value of new product storage investments (such as reservoir extensions at a desalination plant), and estimate the benefits of increased process flexibility that uses electricity as a process-input in addition to traditional fossil fuels (e.g., district energy systems). Finally, many decentralized decision-makers and end-use customers are not directly exposed to wholesale electricity prices but instead receive price signals from their retail electricity rates. As wind and solar shares increase, we compare the economic efficiency of flat retail rates relative to more dynamic time-of-use tariffs with and without critical peak-pricing events.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Effects of Experimental Warming and Elevated CO 2 on CO 2 and CH 4 Fluxes in an Ombrotrophic Black-Spruce. Final Report

High latitude peatlands and permafrost soils contain nearly half of the soil carbon pool on Earth. The potential for large soil C stocks in peatlands and permafrost to become a positive feedback to climate change by increasing net emissions of CO₂ and CH₄ to the atmosphere is a subject of grave concern. This research was conducted at the Spruce and Peatland Responses Under Changing Environments (herein SPRUCE) experimental facility, located in the USDA’s Marcell Experimental Forest in northern Minnesota. The site is dominated by Picea mariana [herein black spruce], ericaceous shrubs and Sphagnum spp. Ten 12m-diameter open top chambers expose portions of the 8.1-ha S1 bog to warming up to +9°C in 2.25°C increments at ambient and elevated CO₂ (eCO₂, 900ppm). The Finzi lab group began manual measurements of CO₂ and CH₄ fluxes and their C-isotopic compositions in 2014. With funding from the DOE-TES program automated measurements of these species began in 2015. With a one-year no cost extension we were able to make measurements through the 2018 growing season. Across the study period we find that experimental warming of the peatland significantly increases the flux of CO₂ and CH₄ to the atmosphere. The highest temperature treatments had the highest fluxes. As peatlands have complex topography and water table dynamics, many of these results were contingent upon the topographic location in which the measurements were made. In the raised portions of the peatland divorced from the water table, fluxes of CO₂ were high and fluxes of CH₄ were low. By contrast, in the lower portions of the peatland surface, which is at or very near the water table, fluxes of CH₄ were substantially higher. A significant fraction of the total annual CH₄ flux was derived from episodic ebullitive fluxes. The occurrence and size of these ebullitive fluxes also increased with temperature. Experimental fumigation of the black spruce peatland with elevated concentrations of atmospheric CO₂ [herein eCO₂] also had significant effects on emissions of greenhouse gasses. In general these effects were far more subtle than the effects of rising temperature. This indicates that temperature change more than atmospheric chemistry changes are affect the belowground cycle of C in the peatland. Overall, this study shows that boreal peatlands are highly sensitive to changes in temperature. The warmer it becomes the more C will be lost from the peatland to the atmosphere. This appears to create a positive feedback loop that is likely to enhance the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Laboratory Directed Research and Development Program (FY 2019 Annual Summary of Completed Projects)

Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) is the US Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) largest multiprogram science, technology, and energy laboratory with distinctive capabilities in neutron science, computing, advanced materials, and nuclear science and technology. Using these capabilities, ORNL conducts basic and applied research and development (R&D) to support DOE’s overarching mission to “ensure America’s security and prosperity by addressing its energy, environmental and nuclear challenges through transformative science and technology solutions.” As a national resource, ORNL also applies its capabilities and skills to specific needs of other federal agencies and customers through the DOE Strategic Partnership Projects (SPP) program. Information about the laboratory and its programs is available at the ORNL website. The Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) program at ORNL operates under the authority of the DOE Order 413.2C, “Laboratory Directed Research and Development,” which establishes DOE’s requirements for the program while providing the laboratory director broad flexibility for program implementation. The LDRD program funds are obtained through a charge to all laboratory programs. ORNL reports on the program status to DOE each year.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Light Energy Transduction in Green Sulfur Bacteria

Green sulfur bacteria (GSB) are exquisitely adapted for growth at extraordinarily low light intensities. They are important primary producers of biomass in many anoxic environments, and they contribute significantly to the biogeochemical cycling of carbon, nitrogen, and sulfur on Earth. Green bacteria more generally share the property of using chlorosomes for light-harvesting, and these unusual organelles have many unique features. These include the presence of a monolayer lipid-protein envelope, self-assembling bacteriochlorophylls (BChl) in which pigment-pigment interactions predominate, and the presence of redox components ([2Fe-2S] ferredoxins and quinones) that play a role in regulating excitation energy transfer to the type-1 homodimeric reaction centers. The reaction centers of GSB are related to Photosystem I of cyanobacteria and higher plants but also exhibit several unique structural and functional features. The long-term objectives of this research program are to understand the structure, functions, and biogenesis of the chlorosomes, reaction centers, and electron transport chains that carry out the photochemical transduction of light energy into chemical energy in the model green sulfur bacterium, Chlorobaculum (formerly Chlorobium) tepidum. Over a period of 26 years, we characterized chlorosomes in detail. We identified the proteins in the chlorosome envelopes of diverse organisms, identified the nearest neighbors of those proteins, and characterized the chlorosomes of mutant strains lacking one to five of these proteins. After the genome sequence of Cba. tepidum became available, we identified all genes encoding enzymes for BChl a , BChl c/d/e/ƒ , and Chl a biosynthesis Cba. tepidum . We additionally identified all genes encoding enzymes for carotenoid biosynthesis. By constructing a bchQRU mutant strain that produces [Et, Me]-BChl d , together with collaborators who are specialists in solid-state NMR and cryo-electron microscopy, we solved the structure of the BChls in chlorosomes. Using similar methods and chlorosomes containing [Et, Me]-BChl c , we then showed that alternative structures were possible using the same syn-anti BChl dimer. The structures were refined by introducing spectroscopic data from single-chlorosome measurements. Over the course of this project, we sequenced the genomes of approximately twenty GSB strains, which provided important information for comparative analyses. Through analyses of metagenomic data from Mushroom and Octopus Springs in Yellowstone National Park, we identified a novel chlorophototroph belonging to the phylum Acidobacteriota. We successfully isolated an axenic culture of this organism. We characterized the photosynthetic apparatus of this bacterium, named Chloracidobacterium thermophilum, in significant detail, in particular its type-1, homodimeric reaction centers. Surprisingly, these reaction centers contain three types of Chls, BChl a , Chl a , and Zn-BChl a' . We showed that a dimer of Zn-BChl a' is the primary donor and Chl a the primary acceptor of electrons in this reaction center by using advanced spectroscopic techniques. We isolated eight additional strains of Chloracidobacterium spp. from Mushroom Spring and Rupite hot springs in Bulgaria. Comparative genomes showed that these represent three species, Cab. thermophilum , Cab. aggregatum , and Cab. validum . By applying comparative genomics, genetic, biochemical biophysical and physiological approaches to study green bacteria, we produced a wealth of new information about the remarkable light-harvesting and energy transduction capabilities of these poorly characterized microorganisms.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Techno-Economic Analysis for Shear Assisted Processing and Extrusion (ShAPE) of High Strength Aluminum Alloys

Aluminum alloy 7075 (AA7075) is a high strength aluminum alloy (HSAL), attractive for applications such as automotive, aviation, aerospace, defense, and marine applications. However, AA7075 has not yet been widely adopted due slow extrusion speed, high energy use, narrow process window, and sensitivity to incipient melting common in conventional extrusion methods. Alternative extrusion methods may overcome these limitations. New research funded by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Advanced Manufacturing Office (AMO) is exploring the use of a new SPP approach called Shear Assisted Processing and Extrusion (ShAPE) for the manufacture of AA7075 extrusions. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) are leading the development, testing and characterization of ShAPE, which is showing that high speed ShAPE extrusions (e.g., above 12 meters/min) which is significantly faster than the 1-2 meters/min possible with conventional AA7075 extrusions. Initial findings from the economic and energy analysis indicate that AA7075 tubes created with ShAPE use less energy than tubes that are conventionally heated and extruded. The reduction in energy use is primarily a result of using direct chill cast (non-homogenized) billets, eliminating the pre-heating step, and faster extrusion speeds. The TEA model translates CAPEX and O&M costs to a manufacturing cost, and then a minimum sustainable price (MSP) per ton of extruded product for multiple facility capacities. A sample output figure of the TEA model is presented below. It presents results of the preliminary version of the TEA model.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Generator Interconnection Cost Analysis in the Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO) territory

Electric transmission system operators (ISOs, RTOs, or utilities) require new large generators seeking to connect to the grid to undergo a series of impact studies before they can be built. This process establishes what new transmission equipment or upgrades may be needed before a project can connect to the system and assigns the costs of that equipment. Berkeley Lab has collected interconnection cost data from interconnection studies for the Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO), representing nearly 50% of all projects requesting interconnection from 2010 to 2020. Project-level cost summary data are available for download on this page. We find: -Average interconnection costs have grown as the number of interconnection requests have escalated -Projects that have completed all required interconnection studies have the lowest cost compared to applicants still actively working through the interconnection process or those that have withdrawn. -Broader network upgrade costs are the primary driver of recent cost increase. -Potential interconnection costs for wind, storage, and solar are larger than for natural gas -Larger generators have greater interconnection costs in absolute terms, but economies of scale exist on a per kW basis. -Interconnection costs vary by location Berkeley Lab will publish a series of short analytical papers of generator interconnection costs to the transmission system for MISO, PJM, SPP, ISO-NE and NYISO, which you can find at https://emp.lbl.gov/interconnection_costs.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Elucidating Mechanisms of Rust Pathogenesis for Engineering Resistance in Poplar

The overall objective of this research was to elucidate the molecular basis for the virulence of Melampsora larici-populina towards Populus spp. in order to address the formidable challenge of engineering durable resistance in poplar against leaf rust. Our original research plan was built on the technically innovative approach of using dual host systems and known host defense proteins and pathogen avirulent effectors along with genome-wide approaches to identify key pathogenesis effectors of Melampsora larici-populina that target poplar defense and nutrient acquisition. Our efforts focused on developing high-throughput experimental approaches and systems to enable us to address our overarching hypothesis that rust effectors with homology to other fungal effectors will either bypass the poplar immune system and/or suppress effector-triggered immunity through conserved mechanisms, and that an analysis of these interaction networks would provide for new approaches to develop rust-resistant poplar. Three main objectives were originally proposed: (1) mine key rust effectors that suppress host immunity; (2) elucidate interaction networks in poplar targeted by key rust effectors; (3) generate transgenic poplar resources for identification of genes involved in pathogen infection or host defense triggered by rust. Generally, we worked towards all three objectives by developing and applying complementary molecular, genomic, biochemical and plant transformation approaches.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Interconnection Cost Analysis in the PJM Territory

Electric transmission system operators (ISOs, RTOs, or utilities) require new large generators seeking to connect to the grid to undergo a series of impact studies before they can be built. This process establishes what new transmission equipment or upgrades may be needed before a project can connect to the system and assigns the costs of that equipment. Berkeley Lab has collected interconnection cost data from interconnection studies for the PJM Territory, representing nearly 86% of all new unique generators requesting interconnection from 2000 to 2022. Project-level cost summary data are available for download on this page. We find: -Average interconnection costs have grown as the number of interconnection requests have escalated -Projects that have completed all required interconnection studies have the lowest cost compared to applicants still actively working through the interconnection process or those that have withdrawn. -Broader network upgrade costs are the primary driver of recent cost increase. -Potential interconnection costs for wind, storage, and solar are larger than for natural gas -Larger generators have greater interconnection costs in absolute terms, but economies of scale exist on a per kW basis. -Interconnection costs vary by location Berkeley Lab will publish a series of short analytical papers of generator interconnection costs to the transmission system for MISO, PJM, SPP, ISO-NE and NYISO, which you can find at https://emp.lbl.gov/interconnection_costs.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Laboratory Directed Research and Development Program: FY 2021 Completed Projects

Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) is the US Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) largest multiprogram science, technology, and energy laboratory. It possesses distinctive capabilities in neutron science, computing, advanced materials, nuclear science and technology, and other fields. Using these capabilities, ORNL conducts basic and applied R&D to support DOE’s overarching mission “to ensure America’s security and prosperity by addressing its energy, environmental and nuclear challenges through transformative science and technology solutions.”1 As a national resource, ORNL also applies its capabilities and skills to specific needs of other federal agencies and customers through the DOE Strategic Partnership Projects (SPP) Program. Information about the laboratory and its programs is available on the ORNL website.2 The Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) Program at ORNL operates under the authority of the DOE Order 413.2C, “Laboratory Directed Research and Development,”3 which establishes DOE’s requirements for the program while providing the laboratory director broad flexibility for program implementation. The LDRD Program funds are obtained through a charge to all laboratory programs. Although it represents a relatively small portion of the overall research budget, the LDRD Program plays an essential role in maintaining the laboratory’s ability to respond to national needs. The program allows ORNL to improve its distinctive capabilities and to enhance its ability to conduct cutting-edge R&D. In accordance with the DOE order, R&D projects funded through the LDRD Program at ORNL support the following goals: (1) maintain the scientific and technical vitality of the laboratory; (2) enhance the laboratory’s ability to address future DOE missions; (3) foster creativity and stimulate exploration of forefront areas of science and technology; (4) serve as a proving ground for new concepts in R&D; and (5) support high-risk, potentially high-value R&D. This report provides an overview of the LDRD Program at ORNL in FY 2021 and contains summaries of all LDRD research projects that concluded between October 1, 2020, and September 30, 2021.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Electron Beam Treatment of Ballast Water

Members from the Great Waters Research Collaborative (GWRC), a project of the University of Wisconsin-Superior (UWS) Lake Superior Research Institute (LSRI), will be bringing two water types to simulate the electron beam removal process for ballast waters. These two types are named low challenge and high challenge. The Low Challenge water is highly transparent water with very low concentration of total suspended solids and dissolved organic carbon. The High Challenge water is like Duluth-Superior Harbor water with low transparency and higher concentration of total suspended solids and dissolved organic carbon. Both water types will undergo a series of applied electron beam radiations and analysis to meet ballast water discharge standards. For the analysis there are standard test organisms that will be evaluated for mortality. Heterotrophic bacteria (E. coli) along with Selenastrum capricornutum will be used and then Eucyclops spp. (or Hyalella azteca) and Daphnia magna will also be evaluated.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Tribological Evaluation of Candidate Coatings

This SPP project with Novus was to investigate tribological properties of candidate ceramic composites. Systematic tribological bench tests and surface characterization were performed to determine composition-property relationships of several Zr-Ti-B based ceramic composites of different compositions. The lowest friction coefficient was measured with Ti0.6Zr0.4B2 composition tested in the hydraulic oil. Surface characterization suggests a formation of ZDDP tribofilm in the worn region when tested with a hydraulic oil. In all experiments, the ceramic composites did not have measurable wear, but caused material loss of the steel countersurface.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Thermoelectric Temperature Measurement of Deforming Solids

Sold phase processing (SPP) utilizes large deformations and elevated but sub-melting temperatures to process materials in an energy-efficient manner to achieve high-performance properties. Studying the fundamental material science and kinetics requires an accurate temperature history of the process, but accurately measuring temperature at the point of deformation is very difficult. This study uses the thermoelectric principle to allow for the direct measurement of a deforming surface by turning the workpieces themselves into the measurement device. By so doing, results measured temperatures are closer to the actual deforming interface, more accurate, more responsive, and more reliable than corresponding measurements taken with standard thermocouples.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Microstructural Characterization of As-Cast MP-1 Experiment U-10Mo Alloy

The Mini-Plate-1 (MP-1) test is the first in a series of fuel testing campaigns with the purpose of achieving regulatory qualification for the U-10Mo monolithic plate-type fuel system. The objective of MP-1 is to assess fuel performance behavior of fuel plates fabricated by a commercial fuel fabricator (BWX Technologies, Inc.) and make sure that the fuel maintains mechanical integrity and geometric stability and behaves in a stable and predictable manner. As a part of MP1 fabrication campaign several castings were prepared. The castings were vacuum induction melted using HEU pieces mixed with a master alloy made up of DU and molybdenum pieces. The Master Alloy was poured by a commercial vendor. There was little mixing during melting. A three-plate mold was utilized to form three U-10Mo plates per melt pour. The work described here shows that the resulting microstructure varies greatly from one cast plate to another, and from the top to the bottom of each cast plate. The extent of variation in microstructural features such as grain size, second phase particle (SPP) distribution and morphology, microsegregation of constituents within the dendritic microstructure, porosity, and casting abnormalities are presented and discussed.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Laboratory Directed Research and Development Program: FY 2023 Completed Projects Report

Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) is the US Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) largest multiprogram science, technology, and energy laboratory. It possesses distinctive capabilities in a variety of fields, such as neutron science, computing, advanced materials, and nuclear science and technology. Using these capabilities, ORNL conducts basic and applied research and development (R&D) to support DOE’s overarching mission “to ensure America’s security and prosperity by addressing its energy, environmental and nuclear challenges through transformative science and technology solutions.” As a national resource, ORNL also applies its capabilities and skills to the specific needs of other federal agencies and customers through the DOE Strategic Partnership Projects (SPP) Program. Information about the laboratory and its programs is available on the ORNL website. The Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) Program at ORNL operates under the authority of the DOE Order 413.2C, Laboratory Directed Research and Development, which establishes DOE’s requirements for the program while providing the laboratory director broad flexibility for program implementation. The LDRD Program funds are obtained through a charge to all laboratory programs. Although it represents a relatively small portion of the overall research budget, the LDRD Program plays an essential role in maintaining the laboratory’s ability to respond to national needs. The program allows ORNL to improve its distinctive capabilities and to enhance its ability to conduct cutting-edge R&D. This report provides an overview of the LDRD Program at ORNL in FY 2023 and contains summaries of all the LDRD research projects that concluded between October 1, 2022, and September 30, 2023.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

The International Conference on Surface Plasmon Photonics 10

The International Conference on Surface Plasmon Photonics (SPP Conference) is widely regarded as the premier global conference in nanoscale photonics. The SPP10 meeting was held in the United States for the first time, at Rice University in Houston, Texas, on May 21-26, 2023. This conference was an outstanding venue for communicating research breakthroughs and accomplishments in the represented fields, as well as for visibility, networking, and recruiting, for students, postdoctoral fellows, and faculty throughout the US and the world as they attended this conference. The SPP10 conference hosted sessions on fundamental science, innovations, and applications in modern photonics with high potential for commercialization. Plenary sessions, invited talks from leading scientists in the field, and contributed talks from the larger photonics community on highly multidisciplinary topics of Quantum Plasmonics and Photonics; Energy Harvesting and Plasmonic Chemistry; Active Photonics and Devices; Ultrafast and Nonlinear Phenomena; and Machine Learning/Artificial Intelligence. The meeting schedule includes 3 plenary speakers, 31 Invited talks and 58 contributed talks. There were three well attended poster sessions which included lively discussions. Lunch time in the University Colleges allowed unstructured time for additional networking and discussions. The attendees represented the spectrum of endeavor in this field coming from academia, industry, and government laboratories, both U.S. and foreign scientists, senior researchers, young investigators, and students. The co-chairs of the conference were Prof. Naomi Halas and Prof. Peter Nordlander. The grant from DoE supported student’s and early career scientist’s registration and housing on campus.

77 NANOSCIENCE AND NANOTECHNOLOGY↗

Supporting ARPA-E Power Grid Optimization (Final Report)

Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Arizona State University (ASU), Georgia Institute of Technology (Georgia Tech), Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL), National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), Texas A&M University (TAMU), The University of Texas at Austin (UT), and the University of Wisconsin-Madison (UW-M) supported the ARPA-E Grid Optimization (GO) Competition by providing a common problem formulation, data format, datasets, evaluation mechanism, scoring, rules, and results that resulted in the awarding of $\$9.24$ million dollars to teams from academia, industry, and national labs for solving three sets of increasingly difficult non-linear, security- constrained AC Optimal Powerflow (AC-OPF) optimization problems in order to increase the efficiency of the US Electric Grid. It is estimated that a 1% increase in efficiency can save $\$1$ billion. Current industry practices typically use a linear DC model (DC-OPF) in order solve the OPF problem within the time constraints of the operation schedule. The GO Competition challenges the best power engineers, mathematicians, and computer scientists to make possible operational decisions based on accurate physical models. To accomplish this, the GO Competition created a series of Challenges and funded teams to produce the best solver. Challenge 1 was to solve the security constrained Alternating Current Optimal Power Flow (ACOPF) problem. Challenge 2 extended that to by adding adjustable transformer tap ratios, phase shifting transformers, switchable shunts, price-responsive demand, ramp rate constrained generators and loads, and fast-start unit commitment (UC). Furthermore, Challenge 2 was a maximization problem while Challenge 1 was a minimization problem. While Challenge 3 was being developed, the entrants were invited to find better solutions to the Challenge 2 synthetic datasets with no restrictions on time, hardware, or algorithms. The Challenge 2 solutions turned out to be very good. Challenge 3 expanded the Challenge 2 problem further by using multiperiod dynamic markets, including advisory models for extreme weather events, day-ahead markets, and the real-time markets with an extended look-ahead. These problems included active bid-in demand and topology optimization. Together the Challenges used nearly 30 million CPU hours. Since each team was working on the same problem, using the same data, and running on the same hardware, fair comparisons could be drawn as to the best solver. The datasets were varied enough, however, that the best solver for one dataset was not necessarily the best at another, so cumulative scores were used. The process was managed by the PNNL maintained website https://GOCompetition.energy.gov, where Entrants could find information about the problem, the data, the rules, submit their solver for evaluation, and see the scores of all the competing teams on a Leaderboard. Interest was world-wide but only American teams were eligible for prizes. The Competition has produced 34 journal articles 115 papers and been cited over 500 times in the literature, including 12 dissertations (4 from foreign countries; Columbia (2), Germany, and Italy) and 3 from the DOE ExaScale project. Software developed by Pearl Street Technologies for Challenges 1 and 2 is now deployed by Southwest Power Pool (SPP) and Midcontinent Independent Service Operator (MISO). Other teams have received inquiries from venture capitalists. Google DeepMind has thanked the Competition for making the datasets developed for the Competition public. They are using it to train machine learning models. The larger datasets have billions of unknowns to be solved for, but only a small percent matter in the final solution. Knowing what unknowns are important can dramatically speedup the solution.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Average and Marginal Capacity Credit Values of Renewable Energy and Battery Storage in the United States Power System

As deployment of renewable resources and storage continue to significantly grow in the coming decades, these technologies will play increasingly important roles in maintaining power systems' resource adequacy. Few analyses so far offer comprehensive comparisons of forward-looking average and marginal capacity credits of variable renewable energy and storage in the U.S. interconnections across a wide range of possible futures. To fill this research gap, we quantify the average and marginal capacity credits of solar PV, onshore and offshore wind, and batteries between 2026 and 2050 across the U.S power systems to examine the temporal trends, spatial patterns, and trade-offs between these two capacity accreditation approaches. Across technologies, capacity credits of solar PV most clearly follow downward trends over time, reflecting the significant rise in solar PV generation share as the grid decarbonizes. While battery storages' generation shares also rise significantly over time, their capacity credits always remain stably high due to their capabilities to be dispatched strategically during critical periods to maintain reliability. On the other hand, capacity credits of wind technologies in general follow slight upward trends as their generation shares level off. There are strong spatial variabilities of both average and marginal capacity credits across technologies, but capacity credits of solar PV displaying the most obvious spatial patterns with high capacity credits concentrating in wind-rich, solar-poor regions in SPP, PJM, and MISO, suggesting potential reliability benefits of interconnection-wide planning for renewable energy deployments. Additionally, except for offshore wind, average capacity credits of all other renewable technologies tend to be higher than their marginal capacity credits, indicating that existing renewable resources tend to be accredited higher than new resources at almost any time.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗