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At least 343 records · Page 19

Improved surrogates in inertial confinement fusion with manifold and cycle consistencies

Neural networks have become the method of choice in surrogate modeling because of their ability to characterize arbitrary, high-dimensional functions in a data-driven fashion. This paper advocates for the training of surrogates that are 1) consistent with the physical manifold, resulting in physically meaningful predictions, and 2) cyclically consistent with a jointly trained inverse model; i.e., backmapping predictions through the inverse results in the original input parameters. We find that these two consistencies lead to surrogates that are superior in terms of predictive performance, are more resilient to sampling artifacts, and tend to be more data efficient. Using inertial confinement fusion (ICF) as a test-bed problem, we model a one-dimensional semianalytic numerical simulator and demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Does Bayesian model averaging improve polynomial extrapolations? Two toy problems as tests

We assess the accuracy of Bayesian polynomial extrapolations from small parameter values, x, to large values of x. We consider a set of polynomials of fixed order, intended as a proxy for a fixed-order effective field theory (EFT) description of data. We employ Bayesian model averaging (BMA) to combine results from different order polynomials (EFT orders). Our study considers two 'toy problems' where the underlying function used to generate data sets is known. We use Bayesian parameter estimation to extract the polynomial coefficients that describe these data at low x. A 'naturalness' prior is imposed on the coefficients, so that they are $\mathcal{O}(1)$. We BMA different polynomial degrees by weighting each according to its Bayesian evidence and compare the predictive performance of this BMA with that of the individual polynomials. In conclusion, the credibility intervals on the BMA forecast have the stated coverage properties more consistently than does the highest evidence polynomial, though BMA does not necessarily outperform every polynomial.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

An ultra-compact x-ray free-electron laser

In the field of beam physics, two frontier topics have taken center stage due to their potential to enable new approaches to discovery in a wide swath of science. These areas are: advanced, high gradient acceleration techniques, and x-ray free electron lasers (XFELs). Further, there is intense interest in the marriage of these two fields, with the goal of producing a very compact XFEL. In this context, recent advances in high gradient radio-frequency cryogenic copper structure research have opened the door to the use of surface electric fields between 250 and 500 MV m -1 . Such an approach is foreseen to enable a new generation of photoinjectors with six-dimensional beam brightness beyond the current state-of-the-art by well over an order of magnitude. This advance is an essential ingredient enabling an ultra-compact XFEL (UC-XFEL). In addition, one may accelerate these bright beams to GeV scale in less than 10 m. Such an injector, when combined with inverse free electron laser-based bunching techniques can produce multi-kA beams with unprecedented beam quality, quantified by 50 nm-rad normalized emittances. The emittance, we note, is the effective area in transverse phase space (x, p x /m e c) or (y, p y /m e c) occupied by the beam distribution, and it is relevant to achievable beam sizes as well as setting a limit on FEL wavelength. These beams, when injected into innovative, short-period (1–10 mm) undulators uniquely enable UC-XFELs having footprints consistent with university-scale laboratories. We describe the architecture and predicted performance of this novel light source, which promises photon production per pulse of a few percent of existing XFEL sources. We review implementation issues including collective beam effects, compact x-ray optics systems, and other relevant technical challenges. To illustrate the potential of such a light source to fundamentally change the current paradigm of XFELs with their limited access, we examine possible applications in biology, chemistry, materials, atomic physics, industry, and medicine—including the imaging of virus particles—which may profit from this new model of performing XFEL science.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Alfvén eigenmode classification based on ECE diagnostics at DIII-D using deep recurrent neural networks

Modern tokamaks have achieved significant fusion production, but further progress towards steady-state operation has been stymied by a host of kinetic and MHD instabilities. Control and identification of these instabilities is often complicated, warranting the application of data-driven methods to complement and improve physical understanding. In particular, Alfvén eigenmodes are a class of ubiquitous mixed kinetic and MHD instabilities that are important to identify and control because they can lead to loss of confinement and potential damage to the walls of a plasma device. In the present work, we use reservoir computing networks to classify Alfvén eigenmodes in a large labeled database of DIII-D discharges, covering a broad range of operational parameter space. However, despite the large parameter space, we show excellent classification and prediction performance, with an average hit rate of 91% and false alarm ratio of 7%, indicating promise for future implementation with additional diagnostic data and consolidation into a real-time control strategy.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

The scoping, design, and plasma physics optimization of the Eos neutron source stellarator

On the path to a fusion pilot plant, Thea Energy plans to build Eos, a sub-breakeven, deuterium-deuterium, beam-target fusion, stellarator neutron source facility for producing tritium and other valuable radioisotopes. In this paper, a set of 1D plasma physics models are coupled and used to design the operating point of the facility and predict performance. At this foundational stage of the design, analytic and approximate models are sufficient to capture the leading-order effects, and fast enough to run in the inner loop of an optimizer. Higher-fidelity analyses will follow. Models of 1D profile-dependent neutral beam stopping, ion beam slowing down, beam-target fusion, electron-ion classical heat transfer, energy confinement (ISS04), beam pressure, beam heating of ions and electrons, beam-beam fusion fraction, and neutral beam injection and gyrotron heating electrical efficiencies are included. A numerical optimizer is used to determine the minimum required facility electric power to generate tritium at a given rate. A potentially advantageous regime is described in which modern precisely-quasisymmetric stellarators, new high-temperature superconductors, ITER-derived neutral beam injection, and new high-frequency gyrotrons enable a suitible target plasma with hot electrons, cold ions, peaked density and temperature profiles, and high beam-injected ion density. It appears possible at this time for a facility with a medium-scale and medium-strength stellarator whose required facility electric power is less than 40 MW to produce $2.5\times 10^{17}$ neutrons s -1 for the production of radioisotopes. With the addition of a tritium breeding blanket, such a facility could produce 0.2 grams d -1 or 70 grams yr -1 of tritium.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

An overview of 3D field optimization for control of transport and edge instabilities on KSTAR

An international team from several laboratories and universities has made key advances over the last few years in the control of plasma transport and edge instabilities with applied 3D fields in the KSTAR tokamak to optimize long pulse operation scenarios. This overview begins with the optimization of both core and edge resonant magnetic perturbations (RMP) to improve fast ion confinement to avoid excessive limiter heat loads due to fast ion losses and successful modeling of the experimental results. Integrated and advanced plasma control techniques with machine learning (ML) and adaptive control were then used to optimize the 3D field spectrum in real-time to control edge localized modes (ELMs) while avoiding core locked modes that could disrupt the plasma. Accelerating the offline model of 3D fields with a surrogate ML model can optimize ELM suppression in the edge while limiting the impact of the applied RMP fields deeper in the plasma core in real-time. In addition, the impact of the 3D fields on the divertor heat load has been modeled and compared with experimental measurements. An analysis of a multi-machine database including KSTAR has been performed to better understand the metrics for the observed RMP thresholds for ELM suppression and the resulting plasma performance. Predictive modeling of the operational space for ELM suppression and density pumpout due to RMP has shown the importance of magnetic islands in the plasma edge and their impact on plasma turbulence. This research has culminated in the development of successful long pulse operational scenarios on KSTAR while attempting to overcome challenges of the new tungsten divertor.

3D fields↗

Mesh-based multiphysics coupling acceleration for fusion neutronics through clustering for fusion blanket applications

Accurate modeling of particle transport within fusion blankets is essential for predicting performance metrics such as heat deposition and the tritium breeding ratio (TBR). However, high-fidelity coupling of thermal fluids from computational fluid dynamics (CFD) to neutronics simulations often incurs significant computational costs due to the complexity of surface intersection calculations in Monte Carlo codes. This paper presents an accelerated multiphysics coupling method for neutronics that utilizes hierarchical agglomerative clustering to map complex material property distributions to a neutronics model. Implemented within the fusion reactor design and assessment (FREDA) framework, the method leverages existing Python packages to automate the creation of clustered geometries for OpenMC. The approach is demonstrated on a sector model of an ARC-class tokamak with an immersion molten salt blanket, and an simple geometry with varying isotopic concentrations. Results show that the clustering method significantly reduces computational burden without compromising fidelity, providing a foundation for agile iteration of neutronics simulations involving multiple coupled material properties.

Bae, Jin Whan [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000326548907)↗

Wind farm blockage effects: comparison of different engineering models

The work presents four engineering methods to estimate the induction zone in front of a wind turbine and account for the wind farm blockage effect. The methods comprise the vortex cylinder model, vortex dipole model, self-similar model, and wake projection model. The majority of the models presented account for yaw misalignments and ground effect. Actuator disk simulations are used to verify the individual models. The performance of each model is evaluated both in terms of precision and computational time. The induction models are coupled to wake models within the FLOw Redirection and Induction in Steady State framework to provide the full velocity field within a wind farm. Sample wind farm computations are presented, and the impact of including induction effects into wind farm performance predictions is reported. The different codes are publicly available online.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Continental-Scale Controls on Hyporheic Respiration Revealed by Knowledge-Guided Machine Learning

Hyporheic zone sediments regulate organic matter turnover and in-stream respiration, yet controls on sediment respiration remain poorly constrained across heterogeneous river networks, limiting prediction of stream metabolism and carbon processing at continental scales. Here, we integrate observations from ~90 river corridors across the United States in the WHONDRS consortium with a knowledge-guided machine learning (KGML) framework that couples thermodynamic rate theory with machine learning to identify dominant controls on hyporheic respiration. Diagnostic analyses show that organic matter concentration and thermodynamic favorability define an upper bound on respiration potential, whereas biological catalytic capacity and physical accessibility jointly govern realized respiration rates through interaction effects. To represent unmeasurable accessibility constraints, we use the mechanistic model as a scaffold for KGML, allowing machine learning to target residual structure not explained by process theory. This hybrid framework improves predictive skill relative to both the mechanistic model alone and fully data-driven models while preserving interpretability. These results indicate that variability in hyporheic respiration is largely mechanistically structured and demonstrate how integrating process theory with explainable AI enhances predictive performance while enabling scalable synthesis of river corridor observations.

Zheng, Jianqiu↗

Machine learning for reparameterization of multi-scale closures

Scientific machine learning (ML) is becoming increasingly useful in learning closure models for multi-scale physics problems; however, many ML approaches require a vast array of training data and can struggle with generalization and interpretability. Here, rather than learning an entire closure operator, we adopt an existing reduced-dimension model of the microphysics and learn an optimal re-parameterization of the solver. We demonstrate two approaches for training the reduced dimension closure model (1) an a priori method that optimizes the closure parameterization and the neural network parameters separately and (2) an a posteriori method that simultaneously optimizes both. Using the simulation of biomass pyrolysis as a motivating example, we show that the a posteriori method achieves better target losses and is less dependent on training dataset size for generalizability. We then demonstrate the impact that implementing this reparameterization has at the macroscale, showing improved predictive performance with no modification to the underlying macroscale solvers.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Carbon- and Oxygen-rich stars in MaStar: identification and classification

ABSTRACT Carbon- and Oxygen-rich stars populating the Thermally Pulsing Asymptotic Giant Branch (TP-AGB) phase of stellar evolution are relevant contributors to the spectra of ∼1 Gyr old populations. Atmosphere models for these types are uncertain, due to complex molecules and mass-loss effects. Empirical spectra are then crucial, but samples are small due to the short (∼3 Myr) TP-AGB lifetime. Here we exploit the vastness of the MaNGA Stellar library MaStar (∼60 000 spectra) to identify C and O-rich type stars. We define an optical colour selection with cuts of (g − r) > 2 and (g − i) < 1.55(g − r) − 0.07, calibrated with known C- and O-rich spectra. This identifies C- and O-rich stars along clean, separated sequences. An analogue selection is found in V, R, I bands. Our equation identifies C-rich and O-rich spectra with predictive performance metric F1-scores of 0.72 and 0.74 (over 1), respectively. We finally identify 41 C- and 87 O-rich type AGB stars in MaStar, 5 and 49 of which do not have a SIMBAD counterpart. We also detect a sample of non-AGB, dwarf C-stars. We further design a fitting procedure to classify the spectra into broad spectral types, by using as fitting templates empirical C- and O-rich spectra. We find remarkably good fits for the majority of candidates and categorize them into C- and O-rich bins following existing classifications, which correlate to effective temperature. Our selection models can be applied to large photometric surveys (e.g. Euclid, Rubin). The classified spectra will facilitate future evolutionary population synthesis models.

Hill, Lewis (ORCID:0000000180528080)↗

Coefficient-to-Basis Network: a fine-tunable operator learning framework for inverse problems with adaptive discretizations and theoretical guarantees

We propose a Coefficient-to-Basis Network (C2BNet), a novel framework for solving inverse problems within the operator learning paradigm. C2BNet efficiently adapts to different discretizations through fine-tuning, using a pre-trained model to significantly reduce computational cost while maintaining high accuracy. Unlike traditional approaches that require retraining from scratch for new discretizations, our method enables seamless adaptation without sacrificing predictive performance. Furthermore, we establish theoretical approximation and generalization error bounds for C2BNet by exploiting low-dimensional structures in the underlying datasets. Our analysis demonstrates that C2BNet adapts to low-dimensional structures without relying on explicit encoding mechanisms, highlighting its robustness and efficiency. To validate our theoretical findings, we conducted extensive numerical experiments that showcase the superior performance of C2BNet on several inverse problems. The results confirm that C2BNet effectively balances computational efficiency and accuracy, making it a promising tool to solve inverse problems in scientific computing and engineering applications.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DuraMAT: Building a Consortium to Accelerate the Photovoltaic Module Reliability Learning Cycle

Durable and reliable photovoltaic (PV) modules are critical to enabling an efficient transition to sustainable energy generation. The rate at which new module designs and materials are developed and deployed currently outpaces the rate at which we can identify failure mechanisms and understand degradation rates. Increasing the service life of PV modules, and our ability to predict performance over time, requires more durable materials and designs, better durability testing, more extensive material characterization, robust modeling, and methods to cross-examine historical performance data to extract meaningful results. This is a multidisciplinary challenge that requires expertise from a broad range of fields and, therefore, benefits significantly from a collaborative approach. In this Perspective, we outline the approach taken by the Durable Module Materials Consortium (DuraMAT), present a few case studies where our approach was successful, and provide an outlook on where this approach might be applied as the PV technology landscape continues to rapidly evolve. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Tula: Optimizing Time, Cost, and Generalization in Distributed Large-Batch Training

Distributed training increases the number of batches processed per iteration either by scaling-out (adding more nodes) or scaling-up (increasing the batch-size). However, the largest configuration does not necessarily yield the best performance. Horizontal scaling introduces additional communication overhead, while vertical scaling is constrained by computation cost and device memory limits. Thus, simply increasing the batch-size leads to diminishing returns: training time and cost decrease initially but eventually plateaus, creating a knee-point in the time/cost vs. batch-size pareto curve. The optimal batch-size therefore depends on the underlying model, data and available compute resources. Large batches also suffer from worse model quality due to the well-known “generalization gap”. In this paper, we present Tula, an online service that automatically optimizes time, cost, and convergence quality for large-batch training of convolutional models. It combines parallel-systems modeling with statistical performance prediction to identify the optimal batchsize. Tula predicts training time and cost within 7.5−14% error across multiple models, and achieves up to 20× overall speedup and improves test accuracy by ≈9% on average over standard large-batch training on various vision tasks, thus successfully mitigating the generalization gap and accelerating training at the same time.

Tyagi, Sahil [ORNL] (ORCID:0009000783144745)↗

Development Of A Photonic Doppler Velocimeter To Verify A Fabry-Perot Velocimeter

The laser shock system uses acoustic shockwaves to measure the interface strength of newly designed nuclear fuel plates. The quantitative measurement of interface strength will help understand fuel performance during irradiation. The laser shock technique imparts laser energy into a plate that then creates an acoustic shockwave. The amount of energy in the plate is proportional to the surface velocities measured on the back side of the plate. An accurate determination of surface velocity will enable better fuel performance predictions. The focus of this paper is on the implementation of a Photonic Doppler Velocimeter to corroborate the Fabry-Perot measurements from the laser shock system. Currently, a Fabry-Perot velocimeter takes the velocity measurements that are converted in stress. We have designed and implemented a Photonic Doppler Velocimeter to corroborate the Fabry-Perot measurements, which we discuss here along with implementing the short time fast Fourier transform to demodulate the heterodyne beat frequency into velocities. The Photonic Doppler Velocimeter has successfully corroborated the Fabry-Perot measurements.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Model Validation and Demonstration of a Hydrogen Fuel Cell Parcel Delivery Truck

With an emphasis on reducing fossil fuel consumption and emissions, major delivery service corporations have begun deploying and operating Class 6 battery electric delivery vans. Fuel cell hybrid delivery vans offer a zero emissions solution with extended range and route planning flexibility. This paper follows a prior publication [1] on the vehicle modeling and design and presents demonstration data and a validation of the prior modeling and design effort. Here, the validation exercise shows that the modeling tools predict performance and energy efficiency within 5% for most of the routes, while the demonstration data shows that in service operation fuel economy was over 14 km/kg of hydrogen gas. In addition, results from a range test showed the vehicle design and onboard hydrogen storage was able to surpass the design target range of 200 km.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Improvements to PVWatts for Fixed and One-Axis Tracking Systems

This work presents improvements to the widely used NREL PVWatts photovoltaic system energy model to improve modeling accuracy for typical fixed and one axis system designs. The aim is to calculate losses in the PV system assuming typical modern system design practices, while maintaining simplicity by keeping the required set of input parameters small. These improvements allow users to more credibly and quickly evaluate competing system designs in early stage feasibility. Common submodels for module cover, spectral, snow, tracker, transformer, plant controller, and self-shading losses, in addition to a bifacial gain option, are incorporated into the PVWatts model, and are shown to improve PVWatts' system performance prediction capabilities without major impact to ease of use. We anticipate including these improvements in a future release of NREL's open source PVWatts code, and some of the features may become available in the System Advisor Model (SAM) desktop software as well as the popular PVWatts web application.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Unbundling Smart Meter Services Through Spatio-Temporal Decomposition Agents in DER-rich Environment

Smart meters and the advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) facilitate distribution system operators (DSOs) to gather information on energy consumption at the customer level. With the increasing penetration of building-level intermittent distributed energy resources (DERs) behind the meter, DER information is not available to DSOs. At the same time, smart meter enables users to participate in grid, with real-time information. Information for behind the meter is needed by user to coordinate building level assets for maximum benefits. The concept of unbundled smart meter (USM) needs agents to decompose smart meter measurements to provide service to DSO as well as customers. In this paper, we propose a Spatio-Temporal Decomposition Agent (STDA) for USM based on Artificial Intelligence (AI). STDA can help users optimize their energy usage, help DSO to utilize building assets for the grid operation. The energy usage strategy developed by STDA is suitable for different users, and can be customized by deep learning (DL) models according to the different energy consumption habits of each user. The power prediction performance results of various DL models and evaluation using a set of data from a Hawaii utility is presented. Furthermore, STDA integration with Home Energy management Systems (HEMS) to manage resources is presented and validated. STDA pre-processes the measurements before model training, and provides the spatio-temporal decomposed forecasting.

42 ENGINEERING↗