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At least 343 records · Page 19
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NASA NTRS2014

Variations in Modeled Dengue Transmission over Puerto Rico Using a Climate Driven Dynamic Model

Dengue fever is a mosquito‐borne viral disease reemerging throughout much of the tropical Americas. Dengue virus transmission is explicitly influenced by climate and the environment through its primary vector, Aedes aegypti. Temperature regulates Ae. aegypti development, survival, and replication rates as well as the incubation period of the virus within the mosquito. Precipitation provides water for many of the preferred breeding habitats of the mosquito, including buckets, old tires, and other places water can collect. Because of variations in topography, ocean influences and atmospheric processes, temperature and rainfall patterns vary across Puerto Rico and so do dengue virus transmission rates. Using NASA's TRMM (Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission) satellite for precipitation input, ground‐based observations for temperature input, and laboratory confirmed dengue cases reported by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention for parameter calibration, we modeled dengue transmission at the county level across Puerto Rico from 2010‐2013 using a dynamic dengue transmission model that includes interacting vector ecology and epidemiological components. Employing a Monte Carlo approach, we performed ensembles of several thousands of model simulations for each county in order to resolve the model uncertainty arising from using different combinations of parameter values that are not well known. The top 1% of model simulations that best reproduced the reported dengue case data were then analyzed to determine the most important parameters for dengue virus transmission in each county, as well as the relative influence of climate variability on transmission. These results can be used by public health workers to implement dengue control methods that are targeted for specific locations and climate conditions.

Morin, Cory↗
NASA NTRS1993

Calibration of radiation codes in climate models: Comparison of calculations with observations from the SPECtral Radiation Experiment (SPECTRE)

The primary goal of SPECTRE is to: close the loopholes by which longwave radiation models have eluded incisive comparisons with measurements. Likewise, the experimental approach was quite simple in concept, namely: accurately measure the zenith infrared radiance at high spectral resolution while simultaneously profiling the radiatively important atmospheric properties with conventional and remote sensing devices. The field phase of SPECTRE was carried out as part of FIRE Cirrus II, and detailed spectra of the down welling radiance were obtained by several interferometers simultaneous to the measurement of the optical properties of the atmosphere. We are now well along in the process of analyzing the data and calibrating radiation codes so that they may be used more effectively in climate related studies. The calibration is being done with models ranging from the most detailed (line-by-line) to the broad-band parameterizations used in climate models. This paper summarizes our progress in the calibration for clear-sky conditions. When this stage is completed, we will move on to the calibration for cirrus conditions.

Ellingson, R. G.↗
NASA NTRS1995

Spatial and Spatial Frequency Spreads Of Masking: Measurements and a Contrast-Gain-Control Model

Masked pattern detection is affected by the mask's proximity to the target in both the spatial and the spatial frequency domains. We measured contrast thresholds for detection of a Gabor patch centered in a sample of static band-pass noise with a central noise-free aperture. To examine spatial spread, target and mask frequency were identical, at either 2, 4, or 8 cycles/degree (cpd), and the radius of the aperture was 0, 1/2 or 1 cycle of the noise band's center frequency. The results suggest that the spatial spread of masking is scale invariant, with the largest radius producing little masking. To examine spatial frequency spread, a radius of 0 (no aperture) was used with all pairings of 2,4, and 8 cpd for target and mask. The results suggest that masking is asymmetrical over log frequency: 8 cpd noise masks a 2 cpd target, but 2 cpd noise does not mask an 8 cpd target. We have used these results to calibrate a model of contrast-gain-control.

Solomon, J. A.↗
NASA NTRS1995

Spatial and Spatial Frequency Spreads of Masking: Measurements and A Contrast-Gain-Control Model

Masked pattern detection is affected by the mask's proximity to the target in both the spatial and the spatial frequency domains. We measured contrast thresholds for detection of a Gabor patch centered in a sample of static band-pass noise with a central noise-free aperture. To examine spatial spread, target and mask frequency were identical, at either 2, 4, or 8 cycles/degree (cpd), and the radius of the aperture was 0, 1/2 or 1 cycle of the noise band's center frequency. The results suggest that the spatial spread of masking is scale invariant, with the largest radius producing little masking. To examine spatial frequency spread, a radius of 0 (no aperture) was used with all pairings of 2, 4, and 8 cpd for target and mask. The results suggest that masking is asymmetrical over log frequency: 8 z 0 cpd noise masks a 2 cpd target, but 2 cpd noise does not mask an 8 cpd target. We have used these results to calibrate a model of contrast-gain-control.

Solomon, Joshua A.↗
NASA NTRS1999

Numerical Thermal Model of a 30-cm NSTAR Ion Thruster

A thermal computer model of the NSTAR (Nasa Solar Electric Propulsion Technology Applications Readiness) xenon ion thruster has been produced using a lumped parameter thermal nodal network scheme. This model contains 104 nodes on the thruster and was implemented using SINDA (Systems Improved Numerical Differencing Analyzer) and TRASYS (Thermal Radiation Analyzer System) on various UNIX workstations. The model includes radiation and conduction heat transfer, the effect of plasma interaction on the thruster, and an account for finely perforated surfaces. The model was developed in conjunction with an NSTAR thruster outfitted with approximately 20 thermocouples for thermal testing at the NASA Lewis Research Center. The results of these experiments were used to calibrate and confirm the computer model first without and then with the plasma interaction. The calibrated model was able to predict discharge chamber temperatures to within 10 C of measured temperatures. To demonstrate the ability of the model under various circumstances the heat flux was examined for a thruster operating in the environment of space.

VanNoord, Jon↗
NASA NTRS2005

Consistent Large-Eddy Simulation of a Temporal Mixing Layer Laden with Evaporating Drops: A Posteriori Modelling - Part 2

Large-eddy simulation (LES) is conducted of a three-dimensional temporal mixing layer whose lower stream is initially laden with liquid drops which may evaporate during the simulation. The gas-phase equations are written in an Eulerian frame for two perfect gas species (carrier gas and vapour emanating from the drops), while the liquid-phase equations are written in a Lagrangian frame. The effect of drop evaporation on the gas phase is considered through mass, species, momentum and energy source terms. The drop evolution is modelled using physical drops, or using computational drops to represent the physical drops. Simulations are performed using various LES models previously assessed on a database obtained from direct numerical simulations (DNS). These LES models are for: (i) the subgrid-scale (SGS) fluxes and (ii) the filtered source terms (FSTs) based on computational drops. The LES, which are compared to filtered-and-coarsened (FC) DNS results at the coarser LES grid, are conducted with 64 times fewer grid points than the DNS, and up to 64 times fewer computational than physical drops. It is found that both constant-coefficient and dynamic Smagorinsky SGS-flux models, though numerically stable, are overly dissipative and damp generated small-resolved-scale (SRS) turbulent structures. Although the global growth and mixing predictions of LES using Smagorinsky models are in good agreement with the FC-DNS, the spatial distributions of the drops differ significantly. In contrast, the constant-coefficient scale-similarity model and the dynamic gradient model perform well in predicting most flow features, with the latter model having the advantage of not requiring a priori calibration of the model coefficient. The ability of the dynamic models to determine the model coefficient during LES is found to be essential since the constant-coefficient gradient model, although more accurate than the Smagorinsky model, is not consistently numerically stable despite using DNS-calibrated coefficients. With accurate SGS-flux models, namely scale-similarity and dynamic gradient, the FST model allows up to a 32-fold reduction in computational drops compared to the number of physical drops, without degradation of accuracy; a 64-fold reduction leads to a slight decrease in accuracy.

two-phase flow↗
NASA NTRS1991

Preliminary calibration plan for the Advanced Particles and Field Observatory (APAFO) magnetometer experiment

Prelaunch and postlaunch calibration plans for the APAFO magnetometer experiment are presented. A study of tradeoffs between boom length and spacecraft field is described; the results are summarized. The prelaunch plan includes: calibration of the Vector Fluxgate Magnetometer (VFM), Star Sensors, and Scalar Helium Magnetometer (SHM); optical bench integration; and acquisition of basic spacecraft field data. Postlaunch calibration has two phases. In phase one, SHM data are used to calibrate the VFM, total vector magnetic field data are used to calibrate a physical model of the spacecraft field, and both calibrations are refined by iteration. In phase two, corrected vector data are transformed into geocentric coordinates, previously undetected spacecraft fields are isolated, and initial geomagnetic field models are computed. Provided the SHM is accurate to the required 1.0 nT and can be used to calibrate the VFM to the required 3.0- nT accuracy, the tradeoff study indicates that a 12 m boom and a spacecraft field model uncertainty of 5 percent together allow the 1.0 nT spacecraft field error requirement to be met.

Voorhies, C. V.↗
NASA NTRS1972

Flight test evaluation and analysis of an optical IR PWI system

The flight test results of the optical infrared (IR) Pilot Warning Instrument (PWI) system are presented. The test program is described and the flight test data presented. The data is analyzed and used to calibrate a model that is developed to characterize the system performance. The cumulative probability of detection versus range from a given system threshold is calculated and compared with the PWI performance specification. The comparison indicates that the Optical IR PWI system tested met the specifications for a detection likelihood of 95 percent for a 1 nmi range for an appreciable fraction of the testing time.

Phillips, C. O.↗
NASA NTRS1979

The double seismic zone in downgoing slabs and the viscosity of the mesosphere

The seismic zone beneath several island arcs between about 100 and 200 km depth consists of an upper zone having down-dip compression and a lower zone having down-dip tension. Several numerical models of the Aleutian arc were computed to test the hypothesis that these double seismic zones are due to sagging of the slab under its own weight. This sagging occurs because the asthenosphere (between about 100 and 200 km) provides little support or resistance to the slab, which is supported from below by the more viscous mesosphere and from above by the lithosphere. The viscosity of the mesosphere was constrained to the interval between 0.25 x 10 to the 22nd and 0.5 x 10 to the 22nd P by noting that the slab would have mainly down-dip compression at higher viscosities and mainly down-dip tension at lower viscosities. The deviatoric stress in the slab and the fault plane between the slab and the island arc is about 200-300 bars (expressed as shear stress). The models were calibrated to the observed depth and gravity anomalies in the trench.

Sleep, N. H.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Testing an Energy Balance Model for Estimating Actual Evapotranspiration Using Remotely Sensed Data

An energy-balance model is used to estimate daily evapotranspiration for 3 days for a barley field and a wheat field near Hannover, Federal Republic of Germany. The model was calibrated using once-daily estimates of surface temperatures, which may be remotely sensed. The evaporation estimates were within the 95% error bounds of independent eddy correlation estimates for the daytime periods for all three days for both sites, but the energy-balance estimates are generally higher; it is unclear which estimate is biassed. Soil moisture in the top 2 cm of soil, which may be remotely sensed, may be used to improve these evaporation estimates under partial ground cover. Sensitivity studies indicate the amount of ground data required is not excessive.

Gurney, R. J.↗
NASA NTRS1988

Accuracy requirements and benchmark experiments for CFD validation

The role of experiment in the development of Computation Fluid Dynamics (CFD) for aerodynamic flow prediction is discussed. The CFD verification is a concept that depends on closely coordinated planning between computational and experimental disciplines. Because code applications are becoming more complex and their potential for design more feasible, it no longer suffices to use experimental data from surface or integral measurements alone to provide the required verification. Flow physics and modeling, flow field, and boundary condition measurements are emerging as critical data. Four types of experiments are introduced and examples given that meet the challenge of validation: flow physics experiments; flow modeling experiments; calibration experiments; and verification experiments. Measurement and accuracy requirements for each of these differ and are discussed. A comprehensive program of validation is described, some examples given, and it is concluded that the future prospects are encouraging.

Marvin, Joseph G.↗
NASA NTRS1987

Validating regional differences in modelled satellite microwave signatures

A three-part microwave T(B) brightness temperature model was tested for applicability in regions of differing climatic and vegetation regime. Model parameters were limited to vegetation in the form of the normalized vegetation index (NDVI) and climatically modeled soil moisture. The T(B) model was calibrated for two climatically contrasting areas and subsequently validated on different test sites of similar climatic character. Vegetative characteristics in the form of the mean NDVI was used to partition and lump data from different test sites. Good agreement was realized between estimated T(B) and Nimbus-7 SMMR T(B) at the 6.6 GHz horizontal channel.

Owe, Manfred↗
NASA NTRS1988

Accuracy requirements and benchmark experiments for CFD validation

The role of experiment in the development of Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) for aerodynamic flow prediction is discussed. The CFD verification is a concept that depends on closely coordinated planning between computational and experimental disciplines. Because code applications are becoming more complex and their potential for design more feasible, it no longer suffices to use experimental data from surface or integral measurements alone to provide the required verification. Flow physics and modeling, flow field, and boundary condition measurements are emerging as critical data. Four types of experiments are introduced and examples are given that meet the challenge of validation: flow physics experiments; flow modeling experiments; calibration experiments; and verification experiments. Measurement and accuracy requirements for each of these differ and are discussed. A comprehensive program of validation is described, some examples given, and it is concluded that the future prospects are encouraging.

Marvin, Joseph G.↗
NASA NTRS1989

A statistical study of radio-source structure effects on astrometric very long baseline interferometry observations

Errors from a number of sources in astrometric very long baseline interferometry (VLBI) have been reduced in recent years through a variety of methods of calibration and modeling. Such reductions have led to a situation in which the extended structure of the natural radio sources used in VLBI is a significant error source in the effort to improve the accuracy of the radio reference frame. In the past, work has been done on individual radio sources to establish the magnitude of the errors caused by their particular structures. The results of calculations on 26 radio sources are reported in which an effort is made to determine the typical delay and delay-rate errors for a number of sources having different types of structure. It is found that for single observations of the types of radio sources present in astrometric catalogs, group-delay and phase-delay scatter in the 50 to 100 psec range due to source structure can be expected at 8.4 GHz on the intercontinental baselines available in the Deep Space Network (DSN). Delay-rate scatter of approx. 5 x 10(exp -15) sec sec(exp -1) (or approx. 0.002 mm sec (exp -1) is also expected. If such errors mapped directly into source position errors, they would correspond to position uncertainties of approx. 2 to 5 nrad, similar to the best position determinations in the current JPL VLBI catalog. With the advent of wider bandwidth VLBI systems on the large DSN antennas, the system noise will be low enough so that the structure-induced errors will be a significant part of the error budget. Several possibilities for reducing the structure errors are discussed briefly, although it is likely that considerable effort will have to be devoted to the structure problem in order to reduce the typical error by a factor of two or more.

Ulvestad, J. S.↗
NASA NTRS1991

The role of tip clearance in high-speed fan stall

A numerical experiment has been carried out to define the near-stall casing endwall flowfield of a high-speed fan rotor. The experiment used a simulation code incorporating a simple clearance model, whose calibration is presented. The results of the simulation show that the interaction of the tip leakage vortex and the in-pasage shock plays a major role in determining the fan flow range. More specifically, the computations imply that it is the area increase of this vortex as it passes through the in-passage shock, which is the source of the blockage associated with stall. In addition, for fans of this type, it is the clearance over the forward portion of the fan blade which controls the flow processes leading to stall.

Adamczyk, J. J.↗
NASA NTRS1991

Ocean dynamics in the Nordic Seas using satellite altimetry

The main objective of this TOPEX/POSEIDON project is to integrate the accurately measured sea surface topography, as resolved by both TOPEX/POSEIDON radar altimeters, into the above-mentioned quantitative studies of the short- and long-term variations in the mesoscale ocean dynamics of the Nordic Seas south of 66 deg N. This implies: (1) comparison and validation of the capability to resolve the general basin-scale circulation and the mesoscale variability by, respectively, radar altimeters and numerical ocean circulation models; (2) calibration and validation of the altimeter-derived sea surface topography against in situ measurements from research vessels and moorings, particularly under extreme wind and wave conditions; and (3) improved monitoring and understanding of the flux variations between the North Atlantic and the Nordic Seas, both on the short and seasonal time scales.

Pettersson, Lasse H.↗
NASA NTRS1991

Detection of stratospheric ozone trends by ground-based microwave observations

We present an assessment of the trend detection capabilities of ground-based microwave measurements of ozone, focusing on the 20-60 km region. Uncertainty due to variable forward model and calibration errors is 3-5 percent; due to temperature profile errors, 1-2 percent; and due to spectral measurement errors, 1-3 percent. The measurement resolution is 8-10 km below 40 km, and increases to 17 km at 60 km. The net error for trend detection is 4-6 percent. Comparison with other measurements suggests interannual variations can be measured to 3-5 percent. We conclude a trend of 0.5 percent per year would be detected in about 10 years.

Connor, Brian J.↗