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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 343 records · Page 19
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

A Data-Driven Global Sensitivity Analysis Framework for Three-Phase Distribution System with PVs

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) of distribution systems with respect to stochastic PV and load variations plays an important role in designing optimal voltage control schemes. This paper proposes a data-driven framework for GSA of distribution systems. In particular, two representative surrogate modeling-based approaches are developed, including the traditional Gaussian process-based and the analysis of variance (ANOVA) kernel ones. The key idea is to develop a surrogate model that captures the hidden global relationship between voltage and real and reactive power injections from the historical data. With the surrogate model, the Sobol indices can be conveniently calculated through either the sampling-based method or the analytical method to assess the global sensitivity of voltage to variations of PV and load power injections. The sampling-based method approximates the Sobol indices using Monte Carlo simulations while the analytical method calculates them by resorting to the ANOVA expansion framework. Comparison results with other model-based GSA methods on the unbalanced three-phase IEEE 37-bus and 123-bus distribution systems show that the proposed framework can achieve much higher computational efficiency with negligible loss of accuracy. The results on a real 240-node distribution system using actual smart meter data further validate the feasibility and scalability of the proposed framework.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2016

Overview of lower length scale model development for accident tolerant fuels regarding U 3 Si 2 fuel and FeCrAl cladding

U 3 Si 2 and FeCrAl have been proposed as fuel and cladding concepts, respectively, for accident tolerance fuels with higher tolerance to accident scenarios compared to UO 2 . However, a lot of key physics and material properties regarding their in-pile performance are yet to be explored. To accelerate the understanding and reduce the cost of experimental studies, multiscale modeling and simulation are used to develop physics-based materials models to assist engineering scale fuel performance modeling. In this report, the lower-length-scale efforts in method and material model development supported by the Accident Tolerance Fuel (ATF) high-impact-problem (HIP) under the NEAMS program are summarized. Significant progresses have been made regarding interatomic potential, phase field models for phase decomposition and gas bubble formation, and thermal conductivity for U 3 Si 2 fuel, and precipitation in FeCrAl cladding. The accomplishments are very useful by providing atomistic and mesoscale tools, improving the current understanding, and delivering engineering scale models for these two ATF concepts.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Development and Validation of Quantitative Model-Based Image Reconstruction for NDE of Reinforced Steel-Lined Concrete Structures: Kal-El FY 2020

This project studied the capabilities of Model-Based Image Reconstruction (MBIR) and Machine Learning (ML) algorithms in the imaging and estimation of rebar corrosion from ultrasound signals. The application was challenging due to the introduction of a steel liner between the sensor and the concrete containing the rebar. The study focused in a synthetic specimen with a 6.35 mm thick steel liner, and a 19.05 mm diameter rebar at a depth of 44.5 mm and with four levels of corrosion; 0%, 20%, 50%, and 100% corrosion level. The corrosion was applied uniformly around the rebar, generating a ring in the perimeter of the rebar with different acoustic density. In order to generate a realistic synthetic dataset, we added random texture to the concrete of the synthetic specimens. This texture will mimic the variations encountered in real concrete specimens.We adapted our MBIR algorithm for the application and enhanced the algorithm to integrate in the physical model known specimen features, such as the steel liner thickness. The new MBIR method was able to cancel out reverberation from the steel liner and properly image the rebar. In particular, corrosion for the 50% and 100% cases were easily visible and quantitative metrics showed a slight separation for the 0% and 20% levels. The quantitative results were in agreement with the qualitative assessment. We also developed a ML XGBoost model to estimate corrosion level from the ultrasound signals. By combining the ML method with MBIR, we can pinpoint in the ultrasound signals the section that corresponds to the echoes from the rebar. The extract signals are processed by the XGBoost model for prediction. From each system scan, we obtain 15 predictions. The median prediction value is used as the final prediction. The True Acceptance Rate for the method is over 99%.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Improved Diagnosis of Precipitation Type with LightGBM Machine Learning

Abstract Existing precipitation-type algorithms have difficulty discerning the occurrence of freezing rain and ice pellets. These inherent biases are not only problematic in operational forecasting but also complicate the development of model-based precipitation-type climatologies. To address these issues, this paper introduces a novel light gradient-boosting machine (LightGBM)-based machine learning precipitation-type algorithm that utilizes reanalysis and surface observations. By comparing it with the Bourgouin precipitation-type algorithm as a baseline, we demonstrate that our algorithm improves the critical success index (CSI) for all examined precipitation types. Moreover, when compared with the precipitation-type diagnosis in reanalysis, our algorithm exhibits increased F1 scores for snow, freezing rain, and ice pellets. Subsequently, we utilize the algorithm to compute a freezing-rain climatology over the eastern United States. The resulting climatology pattern aligns well with observations; however, a significant mean bias is observed. We interpret this bias to be influenced by both the algorithm itself and assumptions regarding precipitation processes, which include biases associated with freezing drizzle, precipitation occurrence, and regional synoptic weather patterns. To mitigate the overall bias, we propose increasing the precipitation cutoff from 0.04 to 0.25 mm h −1 , as it better reflects the precision of precipitation observations. This adjustment yields a substantial reduction in the overall bias. Finally, given the strong performance of LightGBM in predicting mixed precipitation episodes, we anticipate that the algorithm can be effectively utilized in operational settings and for diagnosing precipitation types in climate model outputs. Significance Statement Freezing rain can have significant impacts on transportation and infrastructure, making accurate prediction of precipitation types crucial. In this study, we use a machine learning method known as LightGBM to predict precipitation types. We show that the new algorithm performs better than the existing methods for all precipitation types examined. Additionally, we compute a freezing-rain climatology over the eastern United States. Although the resulting climatology pattern corresponds well to observations, the algorithm overpredicts freezing-rain occurrence. We argue that this bias can be substantially reduced by increasing the precipitation cutoff from 0.04 to 0.25 mm h −1 . Overall, this work highlights the potential of the LightGBM algorithm for both weather forecasting and diagnosing precipitation types in climate models.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗
DOE OSTI2021

AI-based language models powering drug discovery and development

The discovery and development of new medicines is expensive, time-consuming, and often inefficient, with many failures along the way. Powered by artificial intelligence (AI), language models (LMs) have changed the landscape of natural language processing (NLP), offering possibilities to transform treatment development more effectively. Here, we summarize advances in AI-powered LMs and their potential to aid drug discovery and development. We highlight opportunities for AI-powered LMs in target identification, clinical design, regulatory decision-making, and pharmacovigilance. We specifically emphasize the potential role of AI-powered LMs for developing new treatments for Coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) strategies, including drug repurposing, which can be extrapolated to other infectious diseases that have the potential to cause pandemics. Finally, we set out the remaining challenges and propose possible solutions for improvement.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2023

Multi-reward reinforcement learning based development of inter-atomic potential models for silica

Abstract Silica is an abundant and technologically attractive material. Due to the structural complexities of silica polymorphs coupled with subtle differences in Si–O bonding characteristics, the development of accurate models to predict the structure, energetics and properties of silica polymorphs remain challenging. Current models for silica range from computationally efficient Buckingham formalisms (BKS, CHIK, Soules) to reactive (ReaxFF) and more recent machine-learned potentials that are flexible but computationally costly. Here, we introduce an improved formalism and parameterization of BKS model via a multireward reinforcement learning (RL) using an experimental training dataset. Our model concurrently captures the structure, energetics, density, equation of state, and elastic constants of quartz (equilibrium) as well as 20 other metastable silica polymorphs. We also assess its ability in capturing amorphous properties and highlight the limitations of the BKS-type functional forms in simultaneously capturing crystal and amorphous properties. We demonstrate ways to improve model flexibility and introduce a flexible formalism, machine-learned ML-BKS, that outperforms existing empirical models and is on-par with the recently developed 50 to 100 times more expensive Gaussian approximation potential (GAP) in capturing the experimental structure and properties of silica polymorphs and amorphous silica.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

An Entropy-Based Test and Development Framework for Uncertainty Modeling in Level-Set Visualizations

We present a simple comparative framework for testing and developing uncertainty modeling in uncertain marching cubes implementations. The selection of a model to represent the probability distribution of uncertain values directly influences the memory use, run time, and accuracy of an uncertainty visualization algorithm. We use an entropy calculation directly on ensemble data to establish an expected result and then compare the entropy from various probability models, including uniform, Gaussian, histogram, and quantile models. Our results verify that models matching the distribution of the ensemble indeed match the entropy. We further show that fewer bins in nonparametric histogram models are more effective whereas large numbers of bins in quantile models approach data accuracy.

Sisneros, Robert↗
DOE OSTI2023

A GPU-Accelerated Population Generation, Sorting, and Mutation Kernel for an Optimization-Based Causal Inference Model

We develop a GPU-accelerated machine learning generative adversarial network model that can be used with observational data for the purpose of constructing causal inferences. The theoretical basis of our machine learning model is novel and is conceptualized to be operable and scalable for high performance computing platforms. Our GPU-accelerated code enables large-scale parallelization of the computation within a common and accessible computing environment. This will expand the reach of our model and empower research in new substantive domains while maintaining the underlying theoretical properties.

Cho, Wendy K. Tam↗
DOE OSTI2018

Infiltration Time Profiles for E-Area LLWF Intact and Subsidence Scenarios

To support future Unreviewed Disposal Question Evaluations (UDQEs), Special Analyses (SAs) and/or Performance Assessments (PAs) for the E-Area Low-Level Waste Facility (LLWF) at the Savannah River Site (SRS), the Hydrologic Evaluation of Landfill Performance (HELP) model and a newly developed, Python-based, probabilistic model employing a Monte Carlo sampling technique were used together to generate infiltration degradation curves over a 10,000-year simulation period for both intact and subsided slit- and engineered-trench closure-cap scenarios. The results will be used in PORFLOW transport model simulations of the E-Area LLWF trench units.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2021

Development of a Random-Forest Cloud-Regime Classification Model Based on Surface Radiation and Cloud Products

Various methods have been developed to characterize cloud type, otherwise referred to as cloud regime. These include manual sky observations, combining radiative and cloud vertical properties observed from satellite, surface-based remote sensing, and digital processing of sky imagers. While each method has inherent advantages and disadvantages, none of these cloud-typing methods actually includes measurements of surface shortwave or longwave radiative fluxes. Here, a method that relies upon detailed, surface-based radiation and cloud measurements and derived data products to train a random-forest machine-learning cloud classification model is introduced. Measurements from five years of data from the ARM Southern Great Plains site were compiled to train and independently evaluate the model classification performance. A cloud-type accuracy of approximately 80% using the random-forest classifier reveals that the model is well suited to predict climatological cloud properties. Furthermore, an analysis of the cloud-type misclassifications is performed. While physical cloud types may be misreported, the shortwave radiative signatures are similar between misclassified cloud types. From this, we assert that the cloud-regime model has the capacity to successfully differentiate clouds with comparable cloud–radiative interactions. Therefore, we conclude that the model can provide useful cloud-property information for fundamental cloud studies, inform renewable energy studies, and be a tool for numerical model evaluation and parameterization improvement, among many other applications.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Integrating the Design of Desalination Technologies into Produced Water Network Optimization

The oil and gas energy sector uses billions of gallons of water for hydraulic fracturing each year to extract oil and gas. The water injected into the ground for fracturing along with naturally occurring formation water from oil wells surfaces back in the form of produced water. Produced water can contain high concentrations of total dissolved solids and is unfit for reuse outside the oil and gas industry without desalination. In semi-arid shale plays, produced water desalination for beneficial reuse could play a crucial role in alleviating water shortages and addressing extreme drought conditions. In this poster we co-optimize the design and operation of desalination technologies along with operational decisions across produced water networks. A multi-period produced water network model with simplified split-fraction-based desalination nodes is developed. Rigorous steady-state desalination mathematical models based on mechanical vapor recompression are developed and embedded at the desalination sites in the network model. An optimal common design across all periods is ensured using global capacity constraints. The solution approach is demonstrated for multi-period planning problems on networks from the PARETO open-source library. Model formulation and challenges associated with scalability are discussed.

Naik, Sakshi↗
DOE OSTI2024

Integrating the Design of Desalination Technologies into Produced Water Network Optimization

The oil and gas energy sector uses billions of gallons of water for hydraulic fracturing each year to extract oil and gas. The water injected into the ground for fracturing along with naturally occur-ring formation water from the oil wells surfaces back in the form of produced water. Produced water can contain high concentrations of total dissolved solids and is unfit for reuse outside the oil and gas industry without desalination. In semi-arid shale plays, produced water desalination for beneficial reuse could play a crucial role in alleviating water shortages and addressing extreme drought conditions. In this paper we co-optimize the design and operation of desalination technologies along with operational decisions across produced water networks. A multi-period produced water network model with simplified split-fraction-based desalination nodes is developed. Rigorous steady-state desalination mathematical models based on mechanical vapor recompression are developed and embedded at the desalination sites in the network model. An optimal common design is ensured across all periods using global capacity constraints. The solution approach is demonstrated for multi-period planning problems on networks from the PARETO open-source library. Model formulation and challenges associated with scalability are discussed.

Naik, Sakshi↗
DOE OSTI2022

Crystal plasticity including a phase-field deformation twinning model for the high-rate deformation of cyclotetramethylene tetranitramine

A new finite strain thermomechanical model for the high-rate deformation of the β-polymorph of cyclotetramethylene tetranitramine (β-HMX) has been developed and applied to simulations of plate impact experiments. The crystal plasticity model is based on a model developed previously for RDX (Luscher et al. 2017), which is extended to incorporate deformation twinning. Twinning during normal plate impacts is simulated with a phase-field twin model. First, material parameters governing the kinetics of dislocation slip are calibrated on the subset of simulations which had negative Schmid factors for the twin system. Second, a parametric study of the twin material parameters was performed to find suitable values. Overall, the results of the simulations with the phase-field twinning model are reported for impacts on several crystal orientations. We find that the twin growth decreases with increasing distance from the impact surface because of dissipation of the shock front via dislocation-mediated plasticity, and that the simulated interface velocity with and without phase-field twinning do not show appreciable differences. These modeling results suggest that the significance of twinning in β-HMX cannot be determined with traditional loading configurations and diagnostics.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗