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At least 343 records · Page 19
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

Field and Model Data Associated with the Manuscript “Drivers of Streamflow Intermittency in Humid Regions: 1. Evaluating Above- and Below-ground Controls of Flow Persistence in a Forested Catchment”

This package contains field data, modeling files, and scripts supporting the investigation of the drivers of streamflow intermittency in a forested catchment. It includes the field data collected from electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) surveys, ground penetrating radar (GPR), continuous self-potential (SP) monitoring, electromagnetic (EM) imaging, groundwater and stilling well. In addition, it contains the data and results of the coupled water- and electrical-flow model developed using the COMSOL Multiphysics and Advanced Terrestrial Simulator (ATS), as well as software files and Jupyter notebooks used to process the data and generate figures in the manuscript submitted for peer review. The data archive is organized in the following directories: 1) Climate Includes hourly precipitation and daily evapotranspiration time series (2024 – 2025) provided as CSV files, alongside a text file detailing dataset units. 2) Coupled_model Contains two subfolders: Synthetic and Field_Application subfolder. Synthetic subfolder contains the ATS XML input script (can be opened using any code editor) for the four synthetic hydrological cases tested (Connected and gaining, Connected and losing, Disconnected and losing, and dry stream). It also includes other experimental cases to test the influence of precipitation and concentration gradient. For each synthetic case, the flow model simulation is executed using the ATS XML scripts and the included Python script (generate_data_set.py) to convert ATS output to COMSOL-ready input. COMSOL Multiphysics template (.mph can be opened with the commercial software COMSOL and requires a license) is executed using the ATS output data to simulate the potential field. It also includes the Synthetic_model_plot.ipynb (can be opened using any code editor) to visualize the SP result and generate manuscript figures. The data subfolder contains mesh files to run both the ATS (.exo and .stl files can be viewed using Paraview; .h5 files can be opened using HDFView software and h5py Python package) and COMSOL models. Field_Application subfolder contains two subfolders: ES_MDA_inversion and Final_Model. ES_MDA_inversion contains the Python script (.py can be opened using any code editor) and SP observation data used to run the Ensemble Smoother with Multiple Data Assimilation (ES-MDA) inversion sequence to get the optimal model parameters. The Final_model subfolder contains the ATS XML input scripts, data files, output data for the two SP sites. The same workflow steps outlined for the Synthetic subfolder apply here. It also contains the Jupyter notebook (Plot_final_calib.ipynb) to visualize the results of the modeled SP, stream-groundwater exchange and moisture content. 3) Discharge Includes the electrical conductivity (EC) time series (provided as CSV files) from salt slug injections. It also includes the Jupyter notebook (Discharge_process.ipynyb) used to estimate discharge. All discharge measurements collated into rating_curve_processed.csv 4) EM Contains the CSV file of the EM data from the DUALEM-42, including spatial coordinates (x, y, z), apparent conductivity, and in-phase measurements at 2 m coil separations for horizontal coplanar (HCP) and perpendicular (PRP) geometries. 5) ERT Contains raw resistivity data (provided as CSV files), spatial location of each of the electrodes (provided as CSV files), and files used for the resistivity inversion (.resipy can be opened with the open-source ResIPy software). 6) GPR Includes GPR field datasets collected at 100 MHz and 250 MHz antenna frequencies, along with the processing/interpretation project file (GPR_process.gpz can be viewed using EKKO_Project 6, a commercial software by Sensors & Software that requires a license). 7) Slug_test Includes the slug test data at all the groundwater wells provided as CSV files, as well as the Jupyter notebook (Slug_test.ipynb) for calculating hydraulic conductivity. 8) SP Contains the SP data collected in field at the two SP sites (one in the perennial reach and the other in the intermittent reach), provided as DAT files. 9) Well_data Contains two subfolders: 1) Raw, which provides unprocessed pressure, electrical conductivity and temperature timeseries downloaded from the loggers in all the groundwater and stilling wells, and 2) Processed, which contains sorted, QA/QC timeseries data for each well. The data archive also contains data_process.ipynb, a Jupyter notebook used for field data analysis and generating figures (plotting well, SP, climate, and discharge data, as well as calculating head gradient at sites with nested groundwater wells). It also includes DTW.ipynb, a Jupyter notebook containing the code for the dynamic time warping (DTW) with sliding window to evaluate SP signal synchronicity.

ATS↗
NASA NTRS2019

Two Decades Observing Smoke Above Clouds in the South-Eastern Atlantic Ocean: Deep Blue Algorithm Updates and Validation with ORACLES Field Campaign Data

This study presents and evaluates an updated algorithmfor quantification of absorbing aerosols above clouds(AACs) from passive satellite measurements. The focus isbiomass burning in the south-eastern Atlantic Ocean duringthe 2016 and 2017 ObseRvations of Aerosols above CLoudsand their intEractionS (ORACLES) field campaign deployments.The algorithm retrieves the above-cloud aerosoloptical depth (AOD) and underlying liquid cloud opticaldepth and is applied to measurements from the Sea-viewingWide Field-of-view Sensor (SeaWiFS), Moderate ResolutionImaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), and Visible InfraredImaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS) from 1997 to 2017. AirborneNASA Ames Spectrometers for Sky-Scanning, Sun-Tracking Atmospheric Research (4STAR) and NASA LangleyHigh Spectral Resolution Lidar 2 (HSRL2) data collectedduring ORACLES provide important validation for spectralAOD for MODIS and VIIRS; as the SeaWiFS missionended in 2010, it cannot be evaluated directly. The 4STARand HSRL2 comparisons are complementary and reveal performancegenerally in line with uncertainty estimates providedby the optimal estimation retrieval framework used. Atpresent the two MODIS-based data records seem the mostreliable, although there are differences between the deployments,which may indicate that the available data are not yetsufficient to provide a robust regional validation. Spatiotemporalpatterns in the data sets are similar, and the time seriesare very strongly correlated with each other (correlationcoefficients from 0.95 to 0.99). Offsets between the satellitedata sets are thought to be chiefly due to differences in absolutecalibration between the sensors. The available validationdata for this type of algorithm are limited to a small numberof field campaigns, and it is strongly recommended that suchairborne measurements continue to be made, both over thesouthern Atlantic Ocean and elsewhere.

Sayer, Andrew M.↗
NASA NTRS1998

Feature Detection in Linked Derived Spaces

This paper describes by example a strategy for plotting and interacting with data in multiple metric spaces. The example system was designed for use with time-varying computational fluid dynamics (CFD) datasets, but the methodology is directly applicable to other types of field data. The central objects embodied by the tool are {\em portraits}, which show the data in various coordinate systems, while preserving their spatial connectivity and temporal variability. The coordinates are derived in various ways from the field data, and an important feature is that new and derived portraits can be created interactively. The primary operations supported by the tool are brushing and linking: the user can select a subset of a given portrait, and this subset is highlighted in all portraits. The user can combine highlighted subsets from an arbitrary number of portraits with the usual logical operators, thereby indicating where an arbitrarily complex set of conditions holds. The system is useful for exploratory visualization and feature detection in multivariate data.

Henze, Chris↗
NASA NTRS1972

Intensive probing of clear air convective fields by radar and instrumented drone aircraft.

Clear air convective fields were probed in three summer experiments (1969, 1970, and 1971) on an S-band monopulse tracking radar at Wallops Island, Virginia, and a drone aircraft with a takeoff weight of 5.2 kg, wingspan of 2.5 m, and cruising glide speed of 10.3 m/sec. The drone was flown 23.2 km north of the radar and carried temperature, pressure/altitude, humidity, and vertical and airspeed velocity sensors. Extensive time-space convective field data were obtained by taking a large number of RHI and PPI pictures at short intervals of time. The rapidly changing overall convective field data obtained from the radar could be related to the meteorological information telemetered from the drone at a reasonably low cost by this combined technique.

Rowland, J. R.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Case study of sample spacing in planar near-field measurement of high gain antennas

Far field antenna patterns can be reconstructed from planar near field measurements acquired at a sample spacing of lambda/2 or less. For electrically large antennas, sampling at the Nyquist rate may result in errors due to system electronic drift over long acquisition times. The computer capacity may limit the largest size of the near field data set. The requirement to sample at the Nyquist rate is relaxed for high gain antennas which concentrate most of the radiated energy into a small angular region of the far field. The criteria for sample spacing at greater than lambda/e through the use of a priori information of the antenna radiation characteristics are presented. Far field patterns of a 30 GHz dual offset reflector system with a 2.7 m parabolic main reflector are computed from near field data obtained at sample spacings ranging from 0.1 lambda to 10 lambda. The effects of sampling interval and spectrum cutoff on the far field patterns are discussed.

Acosta, R. J.↗
DOE OSTI2023

A Machine Learning–Based Approach to Time-series Wave Identification in the Solar Wind

The Wind spacecraft has yielded several decades of high-resolution magnetic field data, a large fraction of which displays small-scale structures. In particular, the solar wind is full of wavelike fluctuations that appear in both the field magnitude and its components. The nature of these fluctuations can be tied to the properties of other structures in the solar wind, such as shocks, that have implications for the time evolution of the solar wind. As such, having a large collection of wave events would facilitate further study of the effects that these fluctuations have on solar wind evolution. Given the large volume of magnetic field data available, machine learning is the most practical approach to classifying the myriad small-scale structures observed. To this end, a subset of Wind data is labeled and used as a training set for a multibranch 1D convolutional neural network aimed at classifying circularly polarized wave modes. Using this algorithm, a preliminary statistical study of 1 yr of data is performed, yielding about 300,000 wave intervals out of about 5,000,000 solar wind intervals. The wave intervals come about more often in the fast solar wind and at higher temperatures, and the number of waves per day is highly periodic. This machine learning–based approach to wave detection has the potential to be a powerful, inexpensive way to catalog waves throughout decades of spacecraft data.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
NASA NTRS2023

A Machine Learning-Based Approach to Time-Series Wave Identification in the Solar Wind

The Wind spacecraft has yielded several decades of high-resolution magnetic field data, a large fraction of which displays small-scale structures. In particular, the solar wind is full of wavelike fluctuations that appear in both the field magnitude and its components. The nature of these fluctuations can be tied to the properties of other structures in the solar wind, such as shocks, that have implications for the time evolution of the solar wind. As such, having a large collection of wave events would facilitate further study of the effects that these fluctuations have on solar wind evolution. Given the large volume of magnetic field data available, machine learning is the most practical approach to classifying the myriad small-scale structures observed. To this end, a subset of Wind data is labeled and used as a training set for a multi-branch 1D convolutional neural network aimed at classifying circularly polarized wave modes. Using this algorithm, a preliminary statistical study of one year of data is performed, yielding about 300,000 wave intervals out of about 5,000,000 solar wind intervals. The wave intervals come about more often in the fast solar wind and at higher temperatures, and the number of waves per day is highly periodic. This machine learning-based approach to wave detection has the potential to be a powerful, inexpensive way to catalog waves throughout decades of spacecraft data.

Samuel Fordin↗
NASA NTRS1999

A LIS Validation Study at the KSC-ER using LDAR and Field Mill Data

The chance of having the TRMM satellite pass over east central Florida when there is lightning over the NASA Kennedy Space Center (KSC) and USAF Eastern Range (ER) is small; however, such a condition did occur on September 21, 1998 (Day 264). Starting at about 20:40 GMT, the Lightning Imaging Sensor (LIS) reported 5 flashes during a 90 second interval that the KSC-ER was within the sensor field of view. Ground-based instrumentation, the Lightning Detection and Ranging (LDAR) system and a network of electric field mills (FM), detected 6 flashes in the same interval. In this paper, we will compare the times and locations of the optical pulses that were detected by LIS with the times and locations of RF sources (LDAR) and the charges that were deposited by the flash (FM network). We will show that LIS responded to all flashes that the LDAR and FM network detected; however, two discharges that were separated by less than 1 second in time and by about 10 km in space were grouped as one flash by the LIS data processing algorithm. In spite of the fact that all flashes occurred near the edge of the LIS field of view, the locations of the LIS events were consistent with both the LDAR and FM locations (the latter are usually within 1-2 kilometers of each other and often are co-located). Two of the 5 flashes reported by LIS were shifted north by about 8 km from the corresponding LDAR and FM locations. The LIS flash times tended to be after the first LDAR pulse was detected and before the last, and the integrated light signal (per LIS event) was surprisingly constant over the 5 flashes that were detected by LIS. In the future, we plan to study more correlated events and will try to determine whether and how the LIS light signal is related to the charge transfer in the flash and/or the number and spatial extent of RF sources.

Koshak, William J.↗
NASA NTRS1996

A Conservation Strategy for the Florida Scrub-Jay on John F. Kennedy Space Center/Merritt Island National Wildlife Refuge: An Initial Scientific Basis for Recovery

The Florida Scrub-Jay (Aphelocoma coerulescens) is an indicator of ecosystem integrity of Florida scrub, an endangered ecosystem that requires frequent fire. One of the largest populations of this federally threatened species occurs on John F. Kennedy Space Center/Merritt Island National Wildlife Refuge. Population trends were predicted using population modeling and field data on reproduction and survival of Florida Scrub-Jays collected from 1988 - 1995. Analyses of historical photography indicated that habitat suitability has been declining for 30 years. Field data and computer simulations suggested that the population declined by at least 40% and will decline by another 40% in 1 0 years, if habitat management is not greatly intensified. Data and computer simulations suggest that habitat suitability cannot deviate greatly from optimal for the jay population to persist. Landscape trajectories of vegetation structure, responsible for declining habitat suitability, are associated with the disruption of natural fire regimes. Prescribed fire alone can not reverse the trajectories. A recovery strategy was developed, based on studies of Florida Scrub-Jays and scrub vegetation. A reserve design was formulated based on conservation science principles for scrub ecosystems. The strategy emphasizes frequent fire to restore habitat, but includes mechanical tree cutting for severely degraded areas. Pine thinning across large areas can produce rapid increases in habitat quality. Site-specific strategies will need to be developed, monitored, and modified to achieve conditions suitable for population persistence.

Breininger, D. R.↗
NASA NTRS2019

Understanding the Role of 𝛼 Particles in Oblique Heliospheric Shock Oscillations

Recent observations by DSCOVR provide high temporal resolution (50 samples per second) magnetic vector field data that allows investigating the details of oblique heliospheric shock oscillations. It was found that some of these shocks exhibit magnetic oscillations, both downstream and upstream of the shock front. The DSCOVR/MAG magnetic field data are supplemented by an extensive database of low Mach number (M < 3) low‐β (<1) shock data observed by Wind albeit with lower temporal resolution. Motivated by the observations, we use the 2.5D hybrid model of the oblique shocks with α particles in addition to kinetic protons and electron fluid. We model the properties of the oblique shocks for a number of typical parameters found in observations and study the effects of the shock parameters and the relative α particle abundances on the properties of the shock magnetic field, density, and velocity oscillations. We find the α particles “surf” on the shock front and produce a wake of density oscillations. We examine the details of the phase space of the ions as well as the ion velocity distribution functions in various parts of the shock and study their nonthermal properties. We determine the effects of the α particle kinetic properties and abundances on the structure and dynamics of the shock downstream oscillations for a range of parameters relevant to low Mach number low‐β heliospheric shocks.

Ofman, L.↗
NASA NTRS1992

Survey Data for Geomagnetic Field Modelling

The survey data discussed here are based on observations made relatively recently at points on land. A special subset of land survey data consists of those made at specially designated sites known as repeat stations. This class of data will be discussed in another part of this document (Barton, 1991b), so only the briefest of references will be made to repeat stations here. This discussion of 'ordinary' land survey data begins with a description of the spatial and temporal distributions of available survey data based on observations made since 1900. (The reason for this rather arbitrary choice of cut-off date is that this was the value used in the production of the computer file of magnetic survey data (land, sea, air, satellite, rocket) that is the primary source of data for geomagnetic main-field modeling). This is followed by a description of the various types of error to which these survey data are, or may be, subject and a discussion of the likely effects of such errors on field models produced from the data. Finally, there is a short section on the availability of geomagnetic survey data, which also describes how the data files are maintained.

Barraclough, D. R.↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

ICARTT File Format Enhancements: Supporting FAIRness of Airborne and Field Campaign Data

The ICARTT (International Consortium for Atmospheric Research on Transport and Transformation) standards were developed to fulfill data management needs for the ICARTT campaign in 2004. The ICARTT file format is text-based and composed of a header with important data description information and the data section. The ICARTT format, built on the NASA Ames and GTE data formats, was created to facilitate data exchange and promote collaborations among the science teams for achieving the ICARTT campaign goals. Due to the success of the ICARTT campaign, the ICARTT file format was exposed to a broad range of airborne researchers and was adopted for use in many other field campaigns sponsored by NASA and other partner agencies. The ICARTT format standards became a NASA standard in 2010 and was amended in January 2017 providing many enhancements, including the requirement for variable standard names. Primarily designed for airborne field studies, ICARTT has been further utilized for ground-based studies. The ICARTT format can host metadata that is critical for proper use of the data, especially for in-situ measurements. However, the information that needs to be included is often in free text, meaning the information are human readable, but not machine interpretable. Furthermore, the amount and type of information provided can vary substantially between principal investigators and campaigns. To support interoperability and FAIR principles, further enhancements to the ICARTT standards are recommended. Possible recommendations include standardizing timestamps for easier data comparisons and analysis; potential use of controlled and consistent vocabulary for variable short name and certain common metadata elements; and providing guidance on variable measurement units and how they are reported.

Megan Buzanowicz↗
NASA NTRS2014

Simple Statistical Model to Quantify Maximum Expected EMC in Spacecraft and Avionics Boxes

This study shows cumulative distribution function (CDF) comparisons of composite a fairing electromagnetic field data obtained by computational electromagnetic 3D full wave modeling and laboratory testing. Test and model data correlation is shown. In addition, this presentation shows application of the power balance and extention of this method to predict the variance and maximum exptected mean of the E-field data. This is valuable for large scale evaluations of transmission inside cavities.

Models↗
DOE OSTI2021

Injection data analysis using material balance time for CO 2 storage capacity estimation in deep closed saline aquifers

Estimating the ultimate storage capacity of deep saline aquifers is important to address the formation potential to store the envisioned large volumes of CO 2 . Injection data (i.e. injection rate, bottomhole pressure, and cumulative injected volume of CO 2 ) are routinely recorded during storage operations. These data contain valuable information on the subsurface (e.g. the reservoir pore volume and the formation storage capacity) that can be extracted. In this paper, we present a two-step graphical technique to infer the pore volume and the ultimate storage capacity of closed saline aquifers by analyzing the available injection data. First, the pore volume is inferred through adapting the concept of the material balance time. Material balance time is an approximate superposition time function developed to interpret production data from oil and gas wells operating at variable pressure/rate conditions during the boundary-dominated flow period. Using material balance techniques, the ultimate storage capacity is then estimated through linear extrapolation of the average pressure trend to the maximum allowable pressure the formation can withstand. The average pressure is not available in practice, but is can be obtained from the injection data. Two approaches are presented in this study to calculate the average pressure; namely the rigorous and the approximate approaches. Unlike the rigorous approach, the approximate approach does not require a prior knowledge of some reservoir properties (e.g. relative permeability, absolute permeability, formation porosity and thickness) to calculate the average pressure. To investigate its potential and reliability in analyzing CO 2 injection data, the proposed technique is applied to four synthetic cases representing different well operating conditions. Results indicate that the approximate approach consistently overestimates the actual (simulated) storage capacity as compared to the rigorous approach. The agreement - between the inferred and the simulated reservoir pore volume, and between the analytical and numerical estimates of storage capacity - validates the potential application of the technique to CO 2 storage in closed saline aquifers. The technique is further substantiated through application to a field data set utilized from a commercial-scale geological storage (CGS) project. Finally, field data interpretation shows that the proposed technique can be utilized to identify the degree of hydraulic continuity and reservoir compartmentalization within a target formation by interpreting the corresponding pressure and rate responses.

02 PETROLEUM↗
DOE OSTI2023

Operation and Maintenance of PV Systems: Data Science, Analysis, and Standards

This effort improves the effectiveness and reduce uncertainty in O&M cost through four primary objectives/tasks: 1) institutionalize standards for reliability and availability reporting for large PV power plants; 2) bridge systemic O&M knowledge gaps around important topics affecting O&M; 3) characterize systemic failure modes and patterns and accelerate O&M experiential learning cycles using field data; and 4) establish a baseline understanding of UPVS O&M cost drivers. Key results of this effort include publication of IEC standards, published topical papers on O&M topics, training, and characterize field data for climate- and service-related patterns (additional details below). Integrating these results serves to reduce performance risk and facilitate improvement in the way solar projects are operated and maintained. Results are well received and two publications are among the most successful SETO publications at NREL ("Model of Operation and Maintenance Costs for Photovoltaic Systems with over 40,000 downloads and "Best Practices in Operation and Maintenance of PV Systems, 3rd Ed." with over 90,000 downloads).

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
NASA NTRS1989

Plasma and energetic electron flux variations in the Mercury 1 C event - Evidence for a magnetospheric boundary layer

Charge-particle and magnetic-field data obtained during the first encounter (on March 29, 1974) of Mariner 10 with the planet Mercury are reexamined, and a new interpretation of the Mariner 10 energetic electron, plasma electron, and magnetic field data near the outbound magnetopause at Mercury is presented. It is shown that Mariner 10 sampled the hot substorm energized magnetospheric plasma sheet for the first 36 sec of the C event and, for the next 48 sec, alternatively sampled hot (plasma sheet) and cold (boundary-layer magnetosheathlike) plasma regions. It is argued that the counting rate of the ID1 event (i.e., a particle event triggering detector D1 but not the D2, D3, or D7 detectors) throughout the C event most probably represents a pulse pileup response to about 35-175 keV electrons, rather than the nominal above-175 keV electrons presumed in the earlier interpretations.

Christon, S. P.↗
DOE OSTI2024

Uncertainty-Informed Volume Visualization using Implicit Neural Representation

The increasing adoption of Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) has led to their application in many challenging scientific visualization tasks. While advanced DNNs offer impressive generalization capabilities, understanding factors such as model prediction quality, robustness, and uncertainty is crucial. These insights can enable domain scientists to make informed decisions about their data. However, DNNs inherently lack ability to estimate prediction uncertainty, necessitating new research to construct robust uncertainty-aware visualization techniques tailored for various visualization tasks. In this work, we propose uncertainty-aware implicit neural representations to model scalar field data sets effectively and comprehensively study the efficacy and benefits of estimated uncertainty information for volume visualization tasks. We evaluate the effectiveness of two principled deep uncertainty estimation techniques: (1) Deep Ensemble and (2) Monte Carlo Dropout (MC-Dropout). These techniques enable uncertainty-informed volume visualization in scalar field data sets. Our extensive exploration across multiple data sets demonstrates that uncertainty-aware models produce informative volume visualization results. Moreover, integrating prediction uncertainty enhances the trustworthiness of our DNN model, making it suitable for robustly analyzing and visualizing real-world scientific volumetric data sets.

Saklani, Shanu↗
DOE OSTI2021

Assessing dynamic vegetation model parameter uncertainty across Alaskan arctic tundra plant communities

Abstract As the Arctic region moves into uncharted territory under a warming climate, it is important to refine the terrestrial biosphere models (TBMs) that help us understand and predict change. One fundamental uncertainty in TBMs relates to model parameters, configuration variables internal to the model whose value can be estimated from data. We incorporate a version of the Terrestrial Ecosystem Model (TEM) developed for arctic ecosystems into the Predictive Ecosystem Analyzer (PEcAn) framework. PEcAn treats model parameters as probability distributions, estimates parameters based on a synthesis of available field data, and then quantifies both model sensitivity and uncertainty to a given parameter or suite of parameters. We examined how variation in 21 parameters in the equation for gross primary production influenced model sensitivity and uncertainty in terms of two carbon fluxes (net primary productivity and heterotrophic respiration) and two carbon (C) pools (vegetation C and soil C). We set up different parameterizations of TEM across a range of tundra types (tussock tundra, heath tundra, wet sedge tundra, and shrub tundra) in northern Alaska, along a latitudinal transect extending from the coastal plain near Utqiaġvik to the southern foothills of the Brooks Range, to the Seward Peninsula. TEM was most sensitive to parameters related to the temperature regulation of photosynthesis. Model uncertainty was mostly due to parameters related to leaf area, temperature regulation of photosynthesis, and the stomatal responses to ambient light conditions. Our analysis also showed that sensitivity and uncertainty to a given parameter varied spatially. At some sites, model sensitivity and uncertainty tended to be connected to a wider range of parameters, underlining the importance of assessing tundra community processes across environmental gradients or geographic locations. Generally, across sites, the flux of net primary productivity (NPP) and pool of vegetation C had about equal uncertainty, while heterotrophic respiration had higher uncertainty than the pool of soil C. Our study illustrates the complexity inherent in evaluating parameter uncertainty across highly heterogeneous arctic tundra plant communities. It also provides a framework for iteratively testing how newly collected field data related to key parameters may result in more effective forecasting of Arctic change.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗