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At least 343 records · Page 19

Constraining Type Ia supernova explosions and early flux excesses with the Zwicky Transient Factory

In the new era of time-domain surveys, Type Ia supernovae are being caught sooner after explosion, which has exposed significant variation in their early light curves. Two driving factors for early-time evolution are the distribution of 56 Ni in the ejecta and the presence of flux excesses of various causes. We perform an analysis of the largest young SN Ia sample to date. We compare 115 SN Ia light curves from the Zwicky Transient Facility to the turtls model grid containing light curves of Chandrasekhar mass explosions with a range of 56 Ni masses, 56 Ni distributions, and explosion energies. We find that the majority of our observed light curves are well reproduced by Chandrasekhar mass explosion models with a preference for highly extended 56 Ni distributions. We identify six SNe Ia with an early-time flux excess in our gr-band data (four ‘blue’ and two ‘red’ flux excesses). We find an intrinsic rate of 18 ± 11 percent of early flux excesses in SNe Ia at z < 0.07, based on three detected flux excesses out of 30 (10 percent) observed SNe Ia with a simulated efficiency of 57 percent. This is comparable to rates of flux excesses in the literature but also accounts for detection efficiencies. Two of these events are mostly consistent with circumstellar material interaction, while the other four have longer lifetimes in agreement with companion interaction and 56 Ni-clump models. We find a higher frequency of flux excesses in 91T/99aa-like events (44 ± 13 percent).

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Three-dimensional supernova explosion simulations of 9-, 10-, 11-, 12-, and 13-M⊙ stars

Abstract Using the new state-of-the-art core-collapse supernova (CCSN) code fornax, we have simulated the three-dimensional dynamical evolution of the cores of 9-, 10-, 11-, 12-, and 13-M⊙ stars from the onset of collapse. Stars from 8 to 13 M⊙ constitute roughly 50 per cent of all massive stars, so the explosive potential for this mass range is important to the overall theory of CCSNe. We find that the 9-, 10-, 11-, and 12-M⊙ models explode in 3D easily, but that the 13-M⊙ model does not. From these findings, and the fact that slightly more massive progenitors seem to explode, we suggest that there is a gap in explodability near 12 to 14 M⊙ for non-rotating progenitor stars. Factors conducive to explosion are turbulence behind the stalled shock, energy transfer due to neutrino–matter absorption and neutrino–matter scattering, many-body corrections to the neutrino–nucleon scattering rate, and the presence of a sharp silicon–oxygen interface in the progenitor. Our 3D exploding models frequently have a dipolar structure, with the two asymmetrical exploding lobes separated by a pinched waist where matter temporarily continues to accrete. This process maintains the driving neutrino luminosity, while partially shunting matter out of the way of the expanding lobes, thereby modestly facilitating explosion. The morphology of all 3D explosions is characterized by multiple bubble structures with a range of low-order harmonic modes. Though much remains to be done in CCSN theory, these and other results in the literature suggest that, at least for these lower mass progenitors, supernova theory is converging on a credible solution.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Monitoring Surface Phenomena Created by an Underground Chemical Explosion Using Fully Polarimetric VideoSAR

Sandia National Laboratories flew its Facility for Advanced RF and Algorithm Development X-Band (9.6-GHz center frequency), fully polarimetric synthetic aperture radar (PolSAR) in VideoSAR mode to collect complex-valued SAR imagery before, during, and after the sixth Source Physics Experiment's (SPE-6) underground explosion. The VideoSAR products generated from the data sets include "movies'' of single- and quad-polarization coherence maps, magnitude imagery, and polarimetric decompositions. Residual defocus, due to platform motion during data acquisition, was corrected with a digital elevation model-based autofocus algorithm. We generated and exploited the VideoSAR image products to characterize the surface movement effects caused by the underground explosion. Unlike seismic sensors, which measure local area seismic waves using sparse spacing and subterranean positioning, these VideoSAR products captured high-spatial resolution, 2-D, time-varying surface movement. The results from the fifth SPE (SPE-5) used single-polarimetric VideoSAR data. In this paper, we present single-polarimetric and fully polarimetric VideoSAR results while monitoring the SPE-6 underground chemical explosion. We show that fully polarimetric VideoSAR imaging provides a unique, coherent, time-varying measure of the surface expression of the SPE-6 underground chemical explosion. As a result, we include new surface characterization results from the measured PolSAR SPE-6 data via H/A/α polarimetric decomposition.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

The Study on the Shock Wave Propagation Rule of a Gas Explosion in a Gas Compartment

Combined with the k-ε turbulence model of general application, a refined finite element model of a utility tunnel’s gas compartment filled with the methane/air mixture is developed. A series of analyses are made by using the powerful industry-leading computational fluid dynamics (CFD) software flame acceleration simulator (FLACS) to study the shock wave propagation rule in the gas compartment. The longitudinal and transversal distribution laws of the explosion shock wave are gained taking into consideration the spatial characteristics of the gas compartment. The influences of a few parameters, such as initial conditions and section size of the gas compartment, on the shock wave propagation rule are further discussed. The basic procedure for predicting the peak pressure of the blast wave is provided by considering the initial conditions and the gas compartment, and the corresponding injury effect of the explosion wave on the living beings is assessed. The investigation demonstrates that the peak pressure by the coupled effect between the initial conditions is significantly influenced, especially at the upper and lower gas explosion limits. The peak pressure increases gradually as the width or height increases, and both basically meet the linear relation. The proposed method can forecast the peak pressure of the explosion shock wave in the gas compartment accurately. According to the peak pressure longitudinal and transversal distributions of the blast wave, the peak pressure is far greater than the killing pressure threshold in the underground and closed space; consequently, it is not safe for the living beings in the gas compartment.

Lin, Shu-Chao↗

Source Characterization of Underground Explosions from Combined Regional Moment Tensor and First-Motion Analysis

Here in this study, we investigate the 14 September 1988 U.S.–Soviet Joint Verification Experiment nuclear test at the Semipalatinsk test site in eastern Kazakhstan and two nuclear explosions conducted less than 10 years later at the Chinese Lop Nor test site. These events were very sparsely recorded by stations located within 1600 km, and in each case only three or four stations were available in the regional distance range. We have utilized a regional distance seismic waveform method fitting long-period, complete, three-component waveforms jointly with first-motion observations from regional stations and teleseismic arrays. The combination of long-period waveforms and first-motion observations provides a unique discrimination of these sparsely recorded events in the context of the Hudson et al. (1989) source-type diagram. We demonstrate through a series of jackknife tests and sensitivity analyses that the source type of the explosions is well constrained. One event, a 1996 Lop Nor shaft explosion, displays large Love waves and possibly reversed Rayleigh waves at one station, indicative of a large F-factor. We show the combination of long-period waveforms and P-wave first motions are able to discriminate this event as explosion-like and distinct from earthquakes and collapses. We further demonstrate the behavior of network sensitivity solutions for models of tectonic release and spall-based tensile damage over a range of F-factors and K-factors.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

The Effects of Assumed Source Depth and Shear-Wave Velocity on Moment Tensors Estimated for Small, Contained Chemical Explosions in Granite

ABSTRACT The Source Phenomenology Experiment (SPE-Arizona) included of a series of chemical explosions detonated within a copper mine in Arizona. This study focuses on ground motions from detonations in the copper mine, which are analyzed to assess the uniqueness of the resulting source representation when the source region propagation characteristics have a range of possible models. P-wave velocities are well constrained by refraction data with less constraint of the S-wave velocities. The effects of explosion source depth and VS are assessed with Green’s functions for a range of models in which VP is held constant. Propagation models with a Poisson’s value of 0.25 and a source depth 30–60 m most accurately replicate the data. The explosion was detonated at a centroid depth of 30 m, so trade-offs in depth are demonstrated. The compensated linear vector dipole and explosion components of the Green’s functions convolved with a Mueller–Murphy source function are compared. Both produce significant energy in the 2–12 Hz band, due to surface-wave contributions with no clear depth dependencies above 20 Hz. The range of propagation models is used with the observational data to invert for the frequency-domain moment tensor. Fits to the data from these inversions have cross-correlation values of 0.64, demonstrating effectiveness in replicating the observations with the assumed propagation path effects and resulting source function. Inversions produce horizontal dipoles (Mxx and Myy), roughly half the maximum amplitude of Mzz, consistent with a compensated linear vector dipole source, which is frequency dependent. Denny and Johnson, Mueller–Murphy, Walter and Ford, and the revised Mueller–Murphy source models, parameterized for granite, are compared to the moment tensors. Despite a nonisotropic moment tensor source, the revised Mueller–Murphy isotropic source model best replicates the long-period moments, overshoot, and corner frequency.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗

Explosive Yield Estimation Using Regional Seismic Moment Tensors

Here, we use the Pasyanos and Chiang (2022) data set to calculate the seismic moment M 0 for each explosion and use the measured explosive yield W to validate the W~M 0 relationship in Denny and Johnson (1991; hereafter, DJ91). The M 0 is corrected by transforming to a potency tensor and applying more appropriate near-source geophysical parameter values in the moment estimate. The mean residual between observed and predicted yield is near zero; however, the standard deviation of the residuals results in an F-value (a 95% confidence factor) of about 5. We re-estimate the coefficients in the DJ91 model and find similar values and only a slight improvement in the F-value. Next, we embark on a similar model selection process as DJ91, allowing for non-cube-root yield scaling and other plausible near-source elastic moduli. As was found by DJ91, the yield dependence is not significantly different from unity, and a cube root assumption is valid. Therefore, we yield scale the seismic moment and test the significance of all plausible explanatory variables. Isotropic moment performs better in the response variable than total moment. The preference for isotropic moment could be due to its relationship to volume change, which would be more directly affected by explosive yield. Surprisingly, we find that the overburden pressure, which is a function of depth, is not a significant parameter in the model. We hypothesize that this is due to the competing depth effects on source asymmetry and the incorporation of depth in the Green’s functions used to calculate the seismic moment tensors. Importantly, this emphasizes that only seismic moment tensor-derived moments should be used in these models. After removing insignificant model parameters, we are left with a simple model to predict explosive yield $\widehat{W}$ in kt from isotropic moment M I in N·m, $\widehat{W}$=κ –1.4132 10 0.035626GP M I , in which κ and GP are the near-source bulk modulus and gas porosity in Pa and %, respectively. The F-value for this model is approximately 3.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

On Magnitudes and Inferred Yields of the 39 Underground Nuclear Test Explosions at the Novaya Zemlya Test Site

ABSTRACT We review the previously compiled seismic magnitudes for underground nuclear explosions at the Union of the Soviet Socialist Republics Novaya Zemlya Test Site, and analyze these data in the context of published details about individual tests and official Russian reports of annual cumulative explosive energy release at the test site. We derive relationships between teleseismic body wave magnitude mb and explosive yield Y by predicting the yield of each test using mb and minimizing the difference between predicted and reported annual cumulative yield. A linear relationship between mb and logY with a slope of 0.82 provides a good fit to the annual total yield, with a root mean square (rms) misfit of 0.095 logY units. A spectral magnitude relationship based on the explosion source model of Mueller and Murphy (1971) with a single-free-parameter provides a slightly better fit. For the 10 tests for which individual yields can be directly deduced from the official reports, the rms misfit of reported yields is less than 0.1 logY units or about 25%. More complex relationships that differentiate between the northern and southern test areas, or take account of variations in the scaled depth of burial, do not provide substantially better fits to the reported yields.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗

Rapid and Temporary Deployment of Fiber-Optic Arrays to Measure Surface Chemical Explosion Series with Distributed Acoustic Sensing

Rapid and temporary distributed acoustic sensing (DAS) deployments are crucial for accurately capturing the seismic wavefield following major events, such as earthquakes, or in anticipation of known events of interest, such as chemical explosions. We provide an overview of two DAS campaigns conducted in May and October 2024 to record the seismoacoustic waves generated by two series of surface chemical explosions in New Mexico, United States, involving 1- and 10-ton trinitrotoluene-equivalent charges. In both campaigns, we deployed approximately 2 km of fiber-optic cables in a dry riverbed, about 12 km east of the explosion sites. For the October campaign, seven geophones and two anemometers were collocated with the fiber. We describe the field deployments and present preliminary results from the recorded signals. Specifically, we cross analyze the data recorded in May and October, validate the DAS data with geophone measurements, and highlight the benefits of burying fibers to reduce wind noise and improve signal-to-noise ratios. This study demonstrates the potential of DAS to record the seismoacoustic waves generated by surface chemical explosions of varying sizes at distances of approximately 10 km from the source.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Differential Seismic Phase Detection Probability as a Potential Discriminant of Explosions and Earthquakes

Deep learning models trained to estimate the probability of seismic P and S phases are rapidly expanding the scale of local event detections. Here, we evaluate the potential for deep learning model output phase detection probabilities to contribute to event‐type classification, particularly discrimination of single‐fired borehole explosions and earthquakes at local distances (<300 km). Motivated by the empirical success of P/S amplitude ratios, we consider the difference between P and S pick probability output from previously developed phase detection models, P prob −S prob ⁠, as a discriminant. Test data include M L ∼1–4 earthquakes and explosions observed by common seismographs in ten geologically diverse localities. Depending on the picking model and training data, binary classification using P prob −S prob with at least three stations can achieve approximately equivalent classification accuracy as P/S amplitude ratios without requiring any customization. Joint classification with P/S and P prob −S prob improves accuracy for most quality control scenarios. Pick probabilities are an efficient attribute to consider in explosion discrimination because they can be automated byproducts of event detection. They avoid the binary choice of picking or not picking weakly visible S waves common to explosions.

Duan, Chenglong [Rice Univ., Houston, TX (United S↗

Summary Report of Ecological Risk Assessment for the Operation of the Explosives Waste Treatment Facility at Site 300 of the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory.

An ecological risk assessment is required as part of the Resource Recovery and Conservation Act (RCRA) permit renewal process for Miscellaneous Units subject to 22 CCR 66270.23. This risk assessment is prepared in support of the RCRA permit renewal for the Explosives Waste Treatment Facility (EWTF) at Site 300 of the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL). LLNL collected soil samples and used the resulting data to produce a scoping-level ecological risk assessment pursuant to the Department of Toxic Substances Control, Guidance for Ecological Risk Assessment at Hazardous Waste Sites and Permitted Facilities, Part A: Overview, July 4, 1996. The scoping-level ecological risk assessment provides a framework to determine the potential interaction between ecological receptors and chemicals of concern from hazardous waste treatment operations in the area of EWTF. A scoping-level ecological risk assessment includes the step of conducting soil sampling in the area of the treatment units. The Sampling Plan in Support of the Human Health and Ecological Risk Assessment for the Operation of the Explosives Waste Treatment Facility at Site 300 of the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, (Terusaki, 2007), outlines the EWTF project-specific soil sampling requirements. Soil samples were obtained and analyzed for constituents from four chemical groups: furans, explosives, semi-volatiles and metals. Analytical results showed that furans, explosives and semi-volatiles were not detected; therefore, no further analysis was conducted. The soil samples did show the presence of metals. Soil samples analyzed for metals were compared to site-wide background levels, which had been developed for site -wide cleanup activities pursuant to the Comprehensive Environmental Response, Compensation, and Liability Act (CERCLA). Total metal concentrations from 28 discrete soil samples obtained in the EWTF area were all below CERCLA-developed background levels. Therefore, following DTSC 1996 guidance, the EWTF hazardous waste treatment units exit the ecological risk evaluation process upon completion of the requirements of a scoping-level assessment report. This summary report documents that the requirements of a scoping-level assessment have been met.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Application of Active Seismic and Electrical Methods to Detect and Characterize Subsurface Effects of an Underground Explosion

During the period of underground nuclear testing in the U.S., now ended for over 20 years, the focus of work was to conduct the test and analyze the data as quickly as possible; there was little concern about application of technologies that could be used to detect and characterize the location and depth of the explosion. Thus, there is little experience with applying geophysical methods in places where an underground nuclear explosion (UNE) has taken place. On the other hand, application of geophysical methods to the detection of shallow artifacts and water table depth is commonly applied in the environmental remediation and site characterization realm of commercial geophysical surveys. For nuclear nonproliferation treaty applications which may incorporate both shallow and deep geophysical probing methods (such as on-site inspection (OSI) under the Comprehensive Nuclear Test Ban Treaty [CTBT]), there thus remains a need to better understand detection capabilities of the deeper targets: anomalies related to an explosion cavity or rubble zone that may be located several hundred meters below the ground surface. The purpose of this Coordinated Inspection Technologies (CIT) project was to gain experience in applying active seismic methods and electrical methods at a site in Nevada where an underground nuclear test (UNE) had been conducted in the past to get a better understanding of the capabilities of these methods for detection and characterization of deep subsurface effects of the explosion.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Isolator fragmentation and explosive initiation tests

Three tests were conducted to evaluate the effects of firing an isolator in proximity to a barrier or explosive charge. The tests with explosive were conducted without barrier, on the basis that since any barrier will reduce the shock transmitted to the explosive, bare explosive represents the worst-case from an inadvertent initiation perspective. No reaction was observed. The shock caused by the impact of a representative plastic material on both bare and cased PBX9501 is calculated in the worst-case, 1-D limit, and the known shock response of the HE is used to estimate minimum run-to-detonation lengths. The estimates demonstrate that even 1-D impacts would not be of concern and that, accordingly, the divergent shocks due to isolator fragment impact are of no concern as initiating stimuli.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Analysis of xRAGE and flag high explosive burn models with PBX 9404 cylinder tests

High explosives are energetic materials that release their chemical energy in a short interval of time. They are able to generate extreme heat and pressure by a shock driven chemical decomposition reaction, which makes them valuable tools that must be understood. This study investigated the accuracy and performance of two Los Alamos National Laboratory hydrodynamic codes, which are used to determine the behavior of explosives within a variety of systems: xRAGE which utilizes an Eulerian mesh, and FLAG with utilizes a Lagrangian mesh. Various programmed and reactive burn models within both codes were tested using a copper cylinder expansion test. The test was based on a recent experimental setup which contained the plastic bonded explosive PBX 9404. Detonation velocity versus time curves for this explosive were obtained using Photon Doppler Velocimetry (PDV). The modeled results from each of the burn models tested were then compared to one another and to the experimental results. This study validate

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Isolator fragmentation and explosive initiation tests

Three tests were conducted to evaluate the effects of firing an isolator in proximity to a barrier or explosive charge. The tests with explosive were conducted without a barrier, on the basis that since any barrier will reduce the shock transmitted to the explosive, bare explosive represents the worst-case from an inadvertent initiation perspective. No reaction was observed. The shock caused by the impact of a representative plastic material on both bare and cased PBX 9501 is calculated in the worst-case, 1-D limit, and the known shock response of the HE is used to estimate minimum run-to-detonation lengths. The estimates demonstrate that even 1-D impacts would not be of concern and that, accordingly, the divergent shocks due to isolator fragment impact are of no concern as initiating stimuli.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Shear Heating of Explosives using the Crush Gun; FY2018 Report

Explosives subject to rapid mechanical deformation can experience large internal velocity gradients; this is a dissipative process, causing internal temperature rise. If this internal frictional heating is sufficiently large and sufficiently localized it can cause ignition of the explosive. Modeling the heat deposition that arises from mechanical insult is an ongoing effort, and additional experimental data is required to develop the model [1]. Apneumatic gun apparatus was designed and built to deliver crushing impacts at velocities of 0-70 m/s. The apparatus is designed to halt the projectile approximately 1 mm before impacting the sapphire imaging surface, preventing a complete “pinch” condition from attaining. The primary diagnostics include high-speed visible videography and infrared imaging to determine spatial temperature rise of the sample during impact. Forty-seven tests were performed with the apparatus during FY18, on four different explosives: Comp-B, PBX 9501, LX-07, and LX-14.No measurable heating was observed with Comp-B at a nominal velocity of 58 m/s. A maximum temperature rise of 17 °C was recorded with PBX 9501 at an impact velocity of 59 m/s. A maximum temperature rise of 32 °C was observed with LX-07 at an impact velocity of 57 m/s. A maximum temperature rise of 15 °C was observed with LX-14 at an impact velocity of 59 m/s. In contrast to drop-weight tower sensitivity testing [2,3], no ignitions were observed in any of the impacts. The lack of appreciable heating is attributed to the arrest mechanism which prevents the projectile from completing the final ~2 mm of crush. Differences between the explosive compositions are attributed primarily to binder effects.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

Analysis of Three-Component Rotational and Translational Ground Motions from Source Physics Experiment Chemical Explosions and Local Earthquakes

Igel et al. (2005) demonstrated that using single point measurements of translational displacement and rotational strain can reconstruct the long-period teleseismic wavefield including wave-type, apparent velocity and propagation direction. We examine if this also holds true for higher frequencies at local distances. Four co-located three-component (3C) Eentec R-1 rotational velocity sensors and Kinemetric 3C accelerometers were deployed at the Nevada National Security Site (NNSS) to record 3 Source Physics Experiment (SPE) chemical explosions with yields of 90kg (SPE-1), 997kg (SPE-2), and 905kg (SPE-3) equivalent TNT. The four sensors were deployed 1-km from the source on granite, sedimentary, and alluvium outcrops. Three small earthquakes were also recorded, a Ml 3.3 at 28 km, a Ml 2.6 at 58 km, and Ml 3.5 at 123 km distance from SPE site. From the 3C rotational and translational motions, we measured the horizontal phase velocity of 450 m/s and 1125 m/s along two separate directions from the source consistent with near-surface geology. In contrast, the horizontal phase velocity measured for the Ml 3.3 earthquake is 5.4 km/s in the 0.1 to 10 Hz band with a propagation direction consistent with the epicenter location. While the earthquake exhibited very high coherency between 3C rotational and translational motions, the explosions exhibited more coherency with P-SV waves but less for SH-waves. This may be due to explosion SH waves originating from motions along joints or scattering near the source. This difference could be exploited as a discriminant between explosions and earthquakes.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Low Temperature Time-to-Explosion Experiments in the LLNL’s ODTX/P-ODTX System

Incidents caused by fire and some operations can heat energetic materials that may lead to thermal explosion and result in structural damage and casualty. Thus, explosive thermal sensitivity is an important topic for oilfield perforating operations and impacts perforating system performance and safety. Explosives have time-dependent temperature limits which can lead to thermal decomposition when exceeded and, under some circumstances, can result in performance losses and safety hazards. The One-Dimensional-Time to Explosion (ODTX) system at the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) has been used for decades to characterize thermal safety of energetic materials. In this study, an integration of a pressure monitoring element has been added into the ODTX system (P-ODTX) to perform extended thermal experiments on HMX at three temperatures 160 °C, 170 °C and 185 °C. The tests generate time-temperature data as well as useful gas pressure data to assist with the thermal safety assessment of the energetics and systems that use the energetics. This report summarizes results of the 3 tests that were performed from July 2018 to November 2018.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗