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At least 343 records · Page 19

A Recursive Multi-step Machine Learning Approach for Airport Configuration Prediction

Airport configuration selection is a complex decision-making process that involves several operational and human factors. In this paper we propose a novel recursive multi-step machine learning (ML) approach to predict airport configuration. The multi-step approach guarantees stability of the predicted configuration by taking as input the configuration predicted at the previous time step. The features of the proposed model include weather data, future arrival and departure counts and current configuration. Due to the importance of arrival and departure counts in predicting the airport configuration, arrival counts are calculated using landing time predictions selected from physics-based landing time predictions available in FAA System Wide Information Management data feeds for each flight. The selection rules were developed and refined to select the most accurate time for different phases of flight. The proposed model predicts the airport configurations up to 6 hours ahead. In this paper we show the predictive performance of the proposed model for six major US airports, including Charlotte Douglas International Airport (CLT), Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport (DFW), John F. Kennedy International Airport (JFK), Newark Liberty International Airport (EWR), LaGuardia Airport (LGA) and Dallas Love Field Airport (DAL). We trained and evaluated models on 2019 and 2020 data in order to study the effect of the pandemic and how changes in traffic patterns affected the performance of the proposed model. Results are compared with a baseline assuming no airport configuration changes. In our results for DFW, we obtained a prediction accuracy of 89.3% for 3 hours ahead prediction, and 82.8% for 6 hours ahead when applied on 2019 data.

machine learning↗

Tendency Bias Correction in the GEOS AGCM

In this report, we summarize the results of global and regional TBC applied to the GEOS AGCM(the same model used to generate MERRA-2 though run at lower resolution, referred to as the M2_AGCM) employing the analysis increments (analysis minus forecast) generated by MERRA-2 to calculate the TBC terms. Extending the results of Chang et al. (2019)and Schubert et al. (2019), we examine in more detail the seasonality of the TBC impacts, including a deeper look into the reasons for why TBC appears to be least effective during boreal winter. We also look into the ability of TBC to correct other diagnostic fields such as cloudiness and surface fluxes and, more generally, attempt to provide some insight into why TBC is effective in correcting long term climate biases. Looking beyond TBC, we also present some preliminary results from an extension of the TBC approach in which we include a state-dependent term

Yehui Chang↗

Assessing Cyanobacterial Frequency and Abundance at Surface Waters Near Drinking Water Intakes Across the United States

This study presents the first large-scale assessment of cyanobacterial frequency and abundance of surface water near drinking water intakes across the United States. Public water systems serve drinking water to nearly 90% of the United States population. Cyanobacteria and their toxins may degrade the quality of finished drinking water and can lead to negative health consequences. Satellite imagery can serve as a cost-effective and consistent monitoring technique for surface cyanobacterial blooms in source waters and can provide drinking water treatment operators information for managing their systems. This study uses satellite imagery from the European Space Agency’s Ocean and Land Colour Instrument (OLCI) spanning June 2016 through April 2020. At 300-m spatial resolution, OLCI imagery can be used to monitor cyanobacteria in 685 drinking water sources across 285 lakes in 44 states, referred to here as resolvable drinking water sources. First, a subset of satellite data was compared to a subset of responses (n = 84) submitted as part of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s fourth Unregulated Contaminant Monitoring Rule (UCMR 4). These UCMR 4 qualitative responses included visual observations of algal bloom presence and absence near drinking water intakes from March 2018 through November 2019. Overall agreement between satellite imagery and UCMR 4 qualitative responses was 94% with a Kappa coefficient of 0.70. Next, temporal frequency of cyanobacterial blooms at all resolvable drinking water sources was assessed. In 2019, bloom frequency averaged 2% and peaked at 100%, where 100% indicated a bloom was always present at the source waters when satellite imagery was available. Monthly cyanobacterial abundances were used to assess short-term trends across all resolvable drinking water sources and effect size was computed to provide insight on the number of years of data that must be obtained to increase confidence in an observed change. Generally, 2016-2020 was an insufficient time period for confidently observing changes at these source waters; on average, a decade of satellite imagery would be required for observed environmental trends to outweigh variability in the data. However, five source waters did demonstrate a sustained short-term trend, with one increasing in cyanobacterial abundance from June 2016 to April 2020 and four decreasing.

remote sensing↗

Atacama Cosmology Telescope: Detection of Millimeter-Wave Transient Sources

We report on the serendipitous discovery of three transient millimeter-wave sources using data from the Atacama Cosmology Telescope. The first, detected at R.A. = 273.8138, decl. = −49.4628 at ∼50σ total, brightened from less than 5 mJy to at least 1100 mJy at 150 GHz with an unknown rise time shorter than 13 days, during which the increase from 250 mJy to 1100 mJy took only 8 minutes. Maximum flux was observed on 2019 November 8. The source's spectral index in flux between 90–150 GHz was positive, α = 1.5 ± 0.2. The second, detected at R.A. = 105.1584, decl. = −11.2434 at ∼20σ total, brightened from less than 20 mJy to at least 300 mJy at 150 GHz with an unknown rise time shorter than 8 days. Maximum flux was observed on 2019 December 15. Its spectral index was also positive, α = 1.8 ± 0.2. The third, detected at R.A. = 301.9952, decl. = 16.1652 at ∼40σ total, brightened from less than 8 mJy to at least 300 mJy at 150 GHz over a day or less but decayed over a few days. Maximum flux was observed on 2018 September 11. Its spectrum was approximately flat, with a spectral index of α = −0.2 ± 0.1. None of the sources were polarized to the limits of these measurements. The two rising-spectrum sources are coincident in position with M and K stars, while the third is coincident with a G star.

Time domain astronomy↗

Calibration of Landsat 8 Aquatic Reflectance Band Data to Spatial Variations in Chlorophyll a, Suspended Sediment, N, and P in Coastal Estuaries of Southern Louisiana

Nutrient enrichment of coastal estuaries is a proven causal agent of harmful algal blooms, fish kills, and hypoxic zones. To enable regional mapping in coastal estuaries of southern Louisiana of Chlorophyll a, suspended sediment, N, and P concentrations, monthly water sample data collected at over 30 stations along a 129 km transect in the Barataria Basin by Turner et al. (2019) were correlated with Landsat 8 aquatic reflectance (ar) band 3 and 4 image data (2013-2016). Results showed significant non-linear correlations (R2 > 0.2) of Landsat ar band 4 values with measured concentrations of Chlorophyll a, total suspended sediment, N, and P. The strongest correlations were revealed between Landsat ar band 4 reflectances and total P concentrations, periodically at R2 values > 0.6. Landsat ar band images revealed detailed variations in total N and P concentrations that were consistent with the measured nutrient declines associated with dilution of freshwater as sampling locations progressed toward more coastal saline waters. Regional map images of ar band 4 in 2019 and 2020 confirmed that recent openings of Bonnet Carre Spillway could have resulted in damage to oyster beds in the brackish Gulf waters near Lake Borgne and the Mississippi River Delta, possibly due to reduced salinity levels and enhanced sediment deposition.

Calibration↗

On the origin & thermal stability of Arrokoth's and Pluto's ice

In this paper we discuss in a thermodynamic, geologically empirical way the long-term nature of the stable majority ices that could be present in Kuiper Belt object (KBO) 2014 MU69 (also called Arrokoth; hereafter “MU(69)”) after its 4.6 Gyr residence in the Edgeworth-Kuiper belt (EKB) as a cold classical object. We compare the upper bounds for the gas production rate (~10^(24) molecules/s) measured by the New Horizons (NH) spacecraft flyby on 01 Jan 2019 to estimates for the outgassing flux rates from a suite of common cometary and KBO ices at the average ~ 40 K sunlit surface temperature of MU69, but do not find the upper limit very constraining except for the most volatile of species (e.g. CO, N2, CH4). More constraining is the stability versus sublimation into vacuum requirement over Myr to Gyr, and from this we find only 3 common ices that are truly refractory: HCN, CH3OH, and H2O (in order of increasing stability), while NH3 and H2CO ices are marginally stable and may be removed by any positive temperature excursions in the EKB, as produced every 10^(8)–10^(9) years by nearby supernovae and passing O/B stars. To date the NH team has reported the presence of abundant CH3OH and H2O on MU69's surface (Stern et al., 2019; Grundy et al., 2020). NH3 has been searched for, but not found. We predict that future absorption feature detections, if any are ever derived from higher signal-to-noise ratio spectra, will be due to an HCN or poly-H2CO based species. Consideration of the conditions present in the EKB region during the formation era of MU69 lead us to state that it is highly likely that it “formed in the dark”, in an optically thick mid-plane, unable to see the nascent, variable, highly luminous Young Stellar Object (YSO)/TTauri Sun, and that KBOs contain HCN and CH3OH ice phases in addition to the H2O ice phases found in their short period (SP) comet descendants. Finally, when we apply our ice thermal stability analysis to bodies/populations related to MU69, we find that methanol ice is likely ubiquitous in the outer solar system; that if Pluto isn't a fully differentiated body, then it must have gained its hypervolatile ices from proto-planetary disk (PPD) sources in the first few Myr of the solar system's existence; and that hypervolatile rich, highly primordial comet C/2016 R2 was placed onto an Oort Cloud orbit on a similar few Myr timescale.

Pluto↗

Soluble Organic Matter (SOM) analysis of the Hayabusa2 samples: The first results

The Hayabusa2 spacecraft successfully collected the surface and possible sub-surface materials of the asteroid 162173 Ryugu. Ryugu is a C-type asteroid characterized by a low-albedo surface probably consisting of hydrous minerals and carbonaceous materials. [1] The direct optical and spectral analysis of the returned samples indicates that Ryugu material is dominated by hydrous carbonaceous chondrite-like matter (similar to CI chondrites) [2]. Since carbonaceous chondrites have generally yielded various types of organic matter, the collected Ryugu grains are expected to contain diverse types of organic compounds including bio-related molecules. The occurrence of organic compounds in the Ryugu surface will provide clues to the evolution of prebiotic molecules and their preservations associated with aqueous alteration of the primitive asteroid. The initial analysis of soluble organic matter (SOM) of the Hayabusa2-returned samples has been performed by an international team consisting of 32 members. Because the sample amount available for comprehensive SOM analyses is limited, and because the SOM is expected to be present as a complex mixture of various types of organic compounds with very small concentrations of each compound, high-sensitivity and high-resolution analytical techniques have been developed using carbonaceous meteorites [e.g. 3]. Two aggregate samples of the Ryugu grains (A106 and C107) were allocated for the solvent extractions and bulk carbon (C), hydrogen (H), nitrogen (N), sulfur (S) and oxygen (O) measurements. The A106 sample was collected during the 1st sampling in February 2019 and the C107 sample was collected during the 2nd sampling in July 2019 after the Small Carry Impactor (SCI) operation. They consist mainly of particles smaller than 1 mm in diameter, and each sample mass was 38-39 mg. They were firstly investigated spectroscopically in the near infrared wavelength range by the Stone Team prior to the solvent extractions. Other small grains (A0080 and C0057) were also allocated for this study to investigate the spatial distribution of organic compounds on the sample surface. The extraction and analytical measurements implemented by the SOM Team are summarized in Figure 1. Each powder sample was extracted sequentially with non-polar to polar solvents, i.e., hexane, dichloromethane (DCM), methanol (MeOH) and H2O, for non-targeted analysis to reveal the compound composition. Each solvent extract was analyzed by solution state nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) spectroscopy [4], Fourier transform- ion cyclotron resonance/mass spectrometry (FT-ICR/MS) with ESI and APPI ionization [5] and by high-resolution mass spectroscopy using Orbitrap MS coupled with nano-liquid chromatography (nanoLC/Orbitrap MS) [6], and using two dimensional gas chromatography/mass spectrometry (GC×GC/MS). The extracted residues were passed to the Chemistry Team for further inorganic element analysis. The other powder sample was subjected to the hot water extraction for amino acid analyses including chiral isomer separation, which was performed by three-dimensional (3D) high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) with high-sensitivity fluorescence detection (FD) [7] and by HPLC/FD coupled with quadrupole-time of flight/mass spectrometry (QToF/MS) [8]. After the hot water extraction, the residue was split into two halves. One half was further extracted with hydrochloric acid (HCl) to analyze for amino acids in bound-form. The other half was sequentially extracted with DCM/MeOH (1/1) to analyze semi-polar compounds such as polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) by GC/MS, followed by further extraction with formic acid to analyze polar heterocyclic compounds, and subsequent extraction with HCl to detect bound-form polar compounds. The extracted residues were passed to the IOM Team for the analysis of insoluble organic matter (IOM). Compound-specific stable isotope analyses will be performed using GC/combustion/isotope ratio mass spectrometry (GC/C/IRMS) if the compound concentration is high enough to enable such an isotopic measurement. All extraction procedures were performed on an ISO 6 (Class 100) clean bench inside an ISO 5 (Class 1000) clean room. Baked serpentine powder was also analyzed as a procedural blank. In situ organic compound analysis with the molecular imaging was performed using desorption electrospray ionization (DESI) equipped with Orbitrap MS [9, 10], followed by spatial imaging of organic compounds using ToF/secondary ion mass spectrometry (ToF/SIMS) [11]. The bulk chemical and isotopic compositions of CNS and HO were determined using nano-elemental analysis/isotope ratio mass spectrometry (nanoEA/IRMS) [12] and EA/pyrolysis/IRMS, respectively. We have identified a variety of indigenous organic compounds in the extracts of both A106 and C107 samples. The Ryugu grains host organic molecules under the high-vacuum and cosmic-ray irradiation environment of the asteroid surface. The analysis of extracted molecules is in progress, and the first results will be presented at the symposium.

Hiroshi Naraoka↗

Importance of Quantifying the Full-depth Carbon Reservoir of Jamaica Bay Salt Marshes, New York

Constraining uncertainty in the global carbon cycle requires valid assessment of both surface and stored carbon in marine and coastal ecosystems (Blue Carbon) as well as terrestrial carbon (forests, peatlands, and soils) [Pendleton et al., 2012]. Quantifying the global carbon stock of coastal salt marshes, potentially the most efficient carbon-burying ecosystems in the world per area, is a key area of further research in both of these fields Pendleton et al., 2012. One of the largest challenges is that despite the fact that salt marshes often sequester carbon several meters deep, nearly all estimates of salt marsh carbon stocks consider only the upper 1 m of sediment (Windham-Myers et al., 2015) [54]. This is particularly concerning because coastal wetlands are increasingly at risk due to climate change, sea level rise, and anthropogenic disturbance and destruction (Deegan et al., 2012) [15]. Using full-depth measurements from marsh cores, we estimate the carbon stock of five salt marshes in the highly urbanized estuary of Jamaica Bay, New York and argue that partial-depth measurements can underestimate carbon stocks. These estimates use calculated carbon content and probe depth data of these marshes collected between 2000 and 2019, applying this data across the full area of the marsh obtained from satellite imagery. Carbon density measurements are then multiplied by the full-depth volume of the marshes to create an estimate of total carbon stock. In addition to calculating present-day estimates, we compare our carbon stock estimates to historical Jamaica Bay imagery to calculate historical carbon stocks and carbon loss. The carbon stock estimates presented here show a 95% carbon stock loss between 1885 and 2019 in Jamaica Bay and highlight the severe underestimation of carbon stocks without full-depth calculations. These findings have important implications for disappearing salt marshes with regard to the global carbon cycle and the incorporation of belowground carbon into global climate models. The findings are increasingly relevant for advocacy efforts aiming to conserve these marshes with sea level rise.

Tidal wetlands↗

Search for Gravitational Waves Associated with Gamma-Ray Bursts Detected by Fermi and Swift during the LIGO–Virgo Run O3a

We search for gravitational-wave transients associated with gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) detected by the Fermi and Swift satellites during the first part of the third observing run of Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo (2019 April 1 15:00 UTC–2019 October 1 15:00 UTC). A total of 105 GRBs were analyzed using a search for generic gravitational-wave transients; 32 GRBs were analyzed with a search that specifically targets neutron star binary mergers as short GRB progenitors. We find no significant evidence for gravitational-wave signals associated with the GRBs that we followed up, nor for a population of unidentified subthreshold signals. We consider several source types and signal morphologies, and report for these lower bounds on the distance to each GRB.

R. Abbott↗

An Analysis of Fire Dynamics Inside and Outside Indigenous Territories and Protected Areas in a Brazilian Agricultural Frontier

Sustainable land management, including protected areas, is integral to conserving tropical ecosystems and reducing carbon emissions in the Brazilian Amazon. In disturbed Amazon landscapes fire is commonly used to clear land or old fields for agriculture or pastureland. Human-set fires are the most common driver of deforestation and carbon emissions in Amazonia. Evidence suggests that indigenous groups have also used fire for land management since Pre-Columbian times. However, when used unsustainably, fires in this biome can result in degradation of forest ecosystems, decreased ability to store carbon, and health impacts resulting from smoke and particulate matter. Due to the uptick in fire occurrences in 2019, more restrictions on fire use were implemented in 2019 and 2020. Presidential decrees 9.992/2019 and 10.424/2020 banned fire use completely for periods of 60 and 120 days respectively, except by indigenous communities or authorities. Despite these bans, fire use remained high in both years. In the state of Mato Grosso, agricultural activity and expansion influences the anthropogenic fire regime. Indigenous and protected areas cover approximately 25% of its land area.

remote sensing↗

Assessment of ICESat-2 Sea Ice Surface Classification with Sentinel-2 Imagery: Implications for Freeboard and New Estimates of Lead and Floe Geometry

NASA's Ice, Cloud, and Land Elevation Satellite-2 (ICESat-2) mission launched in September 2018 and is now providing high-resolution surface elevation profiling across the entire globe, including the sea ice cover of the Arctic and Southern Oceans. For sea ice applications, successfully discriminating returns between sea ice and open water is key for accurately determining freeboard (the extension of sea ice above local sea level) and new information regarding the geometry of sea ice floes and leads. We take advantage of near-coincident optical imagery obtained from the European Space Agency (ESA) Sentinel-2 (S-2) satellite over the Western Weddell Sea of the Southern Ocean in March 2019 and the Lincoln Sea of the Arctic Ocean in May 2019 to evaluate the surface classification scheme in the ICESat-2 ATL07 and ATL10 sea ice products. We find a high level of agreement between the ATL07 (specular) lead classification and visible leads in the S-2 imagery in these two coincident images across all six ICESat-2 beams, increasing our confidence in the freeboard products and deriving new estimates of the sea ice state. The S-2 overlays provide additional, albeit limited, evidence of the misclassification of dark leads due to clouds. Dark leads are no longer used to derive sea surface and thus freeboard as of the third release (r003) of the ICESat-2 sea ice products. We show estimates of lead fraction and more preliminary estimates of chord length (a proxy for floe size) using two metrics for classifying sea surface (lead) segments across both the Arctic and Southern Ocean for the first winter season of data collection.

A. A. Petty↗

Space-Cent: Studying the Physiological and Anatomical Effects of Centrifugation and Head Down Tilt: 2021 Update

BACKGROUND The objective of this study was to evaluate the cerebral and ocular physiological and anatomical effects of head-down tilt bedrest (HDBR) with and without daily artificial gravity (AG) in healthy subjects to provide novel insights into possible countermeasures for the Spaceflight Associated Neuro-ocular Syndrome (SANS). Previous long-term studies using the spaceflight analog of strict 6° HDBR for 30 days revealed changes in ocular structure, including optic disc edema. The effects of an AG countermeasure using intermittent centrifugation to restore upright hydrostatic gradients and reduce the ocular and brain anatomical effects has not been explored. METHODS The effects of 60-day exposure to simulated microgravity (6° HDBR) on the cerebral, ocular and vestibular systems with and without the intervention of daily 30 minute exposure to AG (short-arm centrifugation) was evaluated in 24 healthy subjects. Non-invasive measurements of cerebral blood flow, intracranial blood volume (near infrared spectroscopy, NIRS), cerebral and ocular structure (MRI and optical coherence tomography), internal jugular vein area (ultrasound), lateral ventricular volumes (MRI), intraocular pressure, and sensorimotor/vestibular (i.e. balance and coordination) systems were made during various time-points during the bedrest study. Additional measures with ultrasound and NIRS were made during centrifugation. RESULTS The study began in Spring 2019 and all 24 subjects completed the testing by end of 2019. Data analysis continues. We report the following updated results for 2021. MRI showed significant decreases in carotid artery flow, increases in brain and CSF volumes, and aqueductal flow velocities in all subjects in HDT compared to baseline supine, but no effects of the short duration AG. All groups showed increased posterior globe flattening during bedrest compared to baseline, without protection from AG. As previously reported we observed chorioretinal folds for the first time in a bedrest analog, as well as optic disc edema, with no protection from the short-term AG. Data from the study is now being transmitted to the NASA LSDA which will allow for future research. CONCLUSIONS The 6 degree HDBR analog produced significant changes in the anatomical and physiological functions of the brain and eye in healthy subjects. Daily 30 minute exposure to AG with short-arm centrifugation had significant transient effects on physiology of the cerebrovascular system, but was not sufficient to prevent the anatomical effects of HDBR on the brain and eye.

E M Bershad↗

FORECASTING WHEAT YIELD USING REMOTE SENSING: THE ARYA FORECASTING SYSTEM

In this study we present a model to forecast wheat yield based on the evolution of the Difference Vegetation Index (DVI)and the Growing Degree Days (GDD), presented in Franch et al. (2015), but adapted to Franch et al. (2019) model. Additionally, we explore how the Land Surface Temperature (LST) can be included into the model and if this parameter adds any value to the model when combined with the optical information. This study is applied toMODIS data at 1km resolution to monitor the national and state level yield of winter wheat in the United States and Ukraine from 2001 to 2019.

B. Franch↗

Supervised Autonomy for Communication-Degraded Subterranean Exploration by a Robot Team

The importance of autonomy in robotics is magnified when the robots need to be deployed and operated in areas that are too dangerous or not accessible for humans, ranging from disaster areas (to assist in emergency situations) to Mars exploration (to uncover the mystery of our neighboring planet). The DARPA Subterranean (SubT) Challenge presents a great opportunity and a formidable robotics challenge to foster such technological advancement for operations in extreme and underground environments. Robot teams are expected to rapidly map, navigate, and search underground environments including natural cave networks, tunnel systems, and urban underground infrastructure. Subterranean environments pose significant challenges for manned and unmanned operations due to limited situational awareness. In the first phase of the DARPA Subterranean Challenge (held in August 2019; targeting underground tunnels and mines), Team CoSTAR, led by NASA JPL, placed second among 11 teams across the world, accurately mapping several kilometers of two mine systems and localizing 17 target objects in the course of four one-hour missions. While the main goal of Team CoSTAR at the end of this threeyear challenge (August 2021) is a fully autonomous robotic solution, this paper describes Team CoSTAR’s results in the first phase of the challenge (August 2019), focusing on supervised autonomy of a multi-robot team under severe communication constraints. This paper also presents the design and initial results obtained from field test campaigns conducted in various tunnel-like environments, leading to the competition.

Otsu, Kyohei↗

An Empirical Algorithm to Map Perennial Firn Aquifers and Ice Slabs Within the Greenland Ice Sheet Using Satellite L-band Microwave Radiometry

Perennial firn aquifers are subsurface meltwater reservoirs consisting of a meters-thick water-saturated firn layer that can form on spatial scales as large as tens of kilometers. They have been observed within the percolation facies of glaciated regions experiencing intense seasonal surface melting and high snow accumulation. Widespread perennial firn aquifers have been identified within the Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) via field expeditions, airborne ice-penetrating radar surveys, and satellite microwave sensors. In contrast, ice slabs are nearly continuous ice layers that can also form on spatial scales as large as tens of kilometers as a result of surface and subsurface water-saturated snow and firn layers sequentially refreezing following multiple melting seasons. They have been observed within the percolation facies of glaciated regions experiencing intense seasonal surface melting but in areas where snow accumulation is at least 25 % lower as compared to perennial firn aquifer areas. Widespread ice slabs have recently been identified within the GrIS via field expeditions and airborne ice-penetrating radar surveys, specifically in areas where perennial firn aquifers typically do not form. However, ice slabs have yet to be identified from space. Together, these two ice sheet features represent distinct, but related, sub-facies within the broader percolation facies of the GrIS that can be defined primarily by differences in snow accumulation, which influences the englacial hydrology and thermal characteristics of firn layers at depth. Here, for the first time, we use enhanced-resolution vertically polarized L-band brightness temperature () imagery (2015–2019) generated using observations collected over the GrIS by NASA's Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) satellite to map perennial firn aquifer and ice slab areas together as a continuous englacial hydrological system. We use an empirical algorithm previously developed to map the extent of Greenland's perennial firn aquifers via fitting exponentially decreasing temporal L-band signatures to a set of sigmoidal curves. This algorithm is recalibrated to also map the extent of ice slab areas using airborne ice-penetrating radar surveys collected by NASA's Operation IceBridge (OIB) campaigns (2010–2017). Our SMAP-derived maps show that between 2015 and 2019, perennial firn aquifer areas extended over 64 000 km2, and ice slab areas extended over 76 000 km2. Combined together, these sub-facies are the equivalent of 24 % of the percolation facies of the GrIS. As Greenland's climate continues to warm, seasonal surface melting will increase in extent, intensity, and duration. Quantifying the possible rapid expansion of these sub-facies using satellite L-band microwave radiometry has significant implications for understanding ice-sheet-wide variability in englacial hydrology that may drive meltwater-induced hydrofracturing and accelerated ice flow as well as high-elevation meltwater runoff that can impact the mass balance and stability of the GrIS.

Julie Z Miller↗

The Coupling Between Tropical Meteorology, Aerosol Lifecycle, Convection, and Radiation, During the Clouds, Aerosol and Monsoon Processes Philippines Experiment (CAMP2Ex)

The NASA Cloud, Aerosol, and Monsoon Processes Philippines Experiment (CAMP2Ex) employed the NASA P-3, Stratton Park Engineering Company (SPEC) Learjet 35, and a host of satellites and surface sensors to characterize the coupling of aerosol processes, cloud physics, and atmospheric radiation within the Maritime Continent’s complex southwest monsoonal environment. Conducted in the late summer of 2019 from Luzon Philippines in conjunction with the Office of Naval Research Propagation of Intraseasonal Tropical OscillatioNs (PISTON) experiment with its R/VSally Ride stationed in the North Western Tropical Pacific, CAMP2Ex documented diverse biomass burning, industrial and natural aerosol populations and their interactions with small to congestus convection. The 2019 season exhibited El Nino and associated drought, high biomass burning emissions, and an early monsoon transition allowing for observation of pristine to massively polluted environments as they advected through intricate diurnal mesoscale and radiative environments into the monsoonal trough. CAMP2Ex’s preliminary results indicate 1) increasing aerosol loadings tend to invigorate congestus convection in height and increase liquid water paths; 2) lidar, polarimetry, and geostationary Advanced Himawari Imager remote sensing sensors have skill in quantifying diverse aerosol and cloud properties and their interaction; and 3) high resolution remote sensing technologies are able to greatly improve our ability to evaluate the radiation budget in complex cloud systems. Through the development of innovative informatics technologies, CAMP2Ex provides a benchmark dataset of an environment of extremes for the study of aerosol, cloud and radiation processes as well as a crucible for the design of future observing systems.

CAMP2Ex↗

Hybrid Electric Aircraft Thermal Management: Now, New Visions and Future Concepts and Formulation

The global fuel consumption by commercial airlines has increased each year since 2009 and is predicted to reach an all-time high of 97 billion gallons in 2019. There is also an environmental impact from this: CO2 emissions from commercial passenger and freight operations totaled 918 Mt in 2018 (ICCT, 2019), or around 2.5% of global energy-related CO2 emissions. Passenger transport accounted for 81% of the total. Emissions from aviation have grown 32% over the past five years. Coupled with this aspect, there is a continuous and growing need to satisfy ever-growing electrical power needs on commercial and military aircraft. All the armed services (Army, Navy, and Air Force) are continuously trying to enhance UAV (unmanned aerial vehicle) endurance and range across a broad fleet of different aircraft. The commercial Boeing 787 requires about 1.2MWe and that is expected to grow. Current technologies used to supply increased on-board electrical power are generally: 1) “burn more fuel and convert through on-board generators” and 2) use additional heavy (i.e., weight-inefficient) and sometimes unsafe battery systems on-board the aircraft. The aircraft industry is seeking new, innovative ways to satisfy this increasing power demand. One as-yet-untapped power source is the enormous amount of “waste” thermal energy flowing out the jet engine exhaust; some estimates in smaller “by-pass” flow jet engines is several hundreds of kilowatts (e.g., Pratt & Whitney Canada PW545B turbofan). This quantity is much higher in large jet engines associated with commercial aircraft. This large waste thermal energy manifests itself in large temperature differences within the by-pass-flow engine exhaust system relative to outside ambient conditions, because of the actual by-pass engine design configuration. There is strong need to develop thermal technologies and systems that could harness and convert at least a portion of this thermal energy into useful electrical energy to satisfy growing on-board electrical needs. In addition, there is a strong desire within the aircraft and engine manufacturing community to reduce the “carbon footprint” of the industry though reduced fuel usage worldwide. NASA has a robust aircraft electrification program to meet these desires and support industry in its aircraft electrification objectives. This program is integrating thermoacoustic systems, advanced lightweight heat exchanger technology, and advanced heat pipe technology to capture and transport large amounts of engine waste thermal energy for on-board power conversion, advanced heat-pump cooling, and exergy enhancement (i.e., temperature lift). Advanced lightweight heat exchangers are envisioned to capture engine exhaust thermal energy at approximately 673 K and deliver it to efficient thermoacoustic power conversion systems operating at temperature ratios (Thot/Tcold) > 1.6. Advanced heat pipe systems are envisioned to transport thermal energy from low temperature sources, through thermoacoustic heat pumps, to high temperature needs such as wing anti-icing, fuel pre-heating, and combustion air pre-heating. The paper will discuss the current state-of-the-art, objectives, system design architecture, and remaining technical challenges in system formulation within the NASA aircraft electrification program.

Dyson, Rodger↗

Correlated Changes in Retinal Thickness and Visuomotor Function in Asymptomatic Plaquenil Toxicity Patients

We have previously shown that a 5-minute eye-movement test can capture a number of largely independent “oculometric” parameters of human visual/visuomotor function (Liston & Stone, 2014). This test has been successfully used to characterize mild neural impairment due to traumatic brain injury, sleep and circadian disruption, and alcohol consumption (Liston et al., 2017; Stone et al, 2019; Tyson et al, 2021). Here, we extend this approach to study patients at risk of progressive posterior-segment illness to see how oculometrics relate to standard clinical ophthalmological measures. Five female patients (<20:40 BCVA, 34-60 years old) undergoing hydroxychloroquine treatment (2-7mg/kg/day for 10-23 years for rheumatologic illness) have participated thus far. Under monocular viewing conditions in randomized order, they tracked a moving spot undergoing radial step-ramp motion in one of 90 randomized directions, at one of 5 randomized speeds, starting at random times (for details, see Stone et al, 2019). We computed nine independent oculometrics (latency, initial acceleration, steady-state gain, proportion smooth, saccadic rate, saccadic amplitude, direction noise, speed responsiveness, and speed noise). Spectral-domain optical coherence tomography (Zeiss, Dublin, CA) was used to measure the average thickness of the nine Early Treatment Diabetic Retinopathy Study macular sectors from the internal limiting membrane to the retinal pigmented epithelium. We used Pearson’s correlation between retinal thickness and our oculometrics with t-statistics to test separate one-sided hypotheses across 10 retinae. Our preliminary analysis found significant changes in several different aspects of visuomotor performance. Most notably, latency increased, initial acceleration decreased, and steady-state pursuit gain decreased as retinal thickness decreased (r2 = 0.364, 0.579, and 0.692; one-tailed P = 0.032, 0.005, and 0.001, respectively). Speed responsiveness appeared to decrease, but this effect was marginal for our current sample (r2 = 0.253, P = 0.069). Lastly, direction discrimination and saccadic behavior appeared unchanged. We conclude that oculometrics may provide sensitive measures of changes in retinal thickness. More importantly, oculometrics have the potential to detect impairment before it becomes evident with standard clinical imaging tools, while also providing insight into the behavioral implications of any resulting deficits in visual/visuomotor function.

eye movements↗