Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “variable selection”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 325 records · Page 18

Approximate Latent Factor Algorithm for Scenario Selection and Weighting in Transmission Expansion Planning

One major difficulty in transmission expansion planning is selecting the representative scenarios to use to evaluate candidate transmission networks. The variability in demand and renewable generation makes the inclusion of several scenarios critical when calculating reliability and cost, but including too many scenarios in an optimization is computationally intractable. To reduce the number of representative operating conditions needed to obtain an accurate approximation of the system, we propose a method rooted in multivariate statistics that exploits the latent correlative structure between different scenarios and network configurations. The proposed algorithm includes an objective and rigorous way to select a subset of scenarios that provide as much information about the system as possible, and a method to accurately approximate the system cost from that scenario subset. The result is a set of scenarios and weights that are easily incorporated into traditional transmission expansion planning formulations. We apply this to a 312-bus WECC model with 8,736 distinct operating conditions. The transmission plans found with the proposed method are more reliable and have a lower total cost than those from other scenario reduction techniques, as well as a smaller error between the expected system performance from the optimization objective and the actual system performance.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Long-term multi-wavelength study of 1ES 0647+250

The BL Lac object 1ES 0647+250 is one of the few distant γ-ray emitting blazars detected at very high energies (VHEs; &100 GeV) during a non-flaring state. It was detected with the MAGIC telescopes during a period of low activity in the years 2009-2011 as well as during three flaring activities in the years 2014, 2019, and 2020, with the highest VHE flux in the last epoch. An extensive multi-instrument data set was collected as part of several coordinated observing campaigns over these years. We aim to characterise the long-term multi-band flux variability of 1ES 0647+250, as well as its broadband spectral energy distribution (SED) during four distinct activity states selected in four different epochs, in order to constrain the physical parameters of the blazar emission region under certain assumptions. We evaluated the variability and correlation of the emission in the different energy bands with the fractional variability and the Z transformed discrete correlation function, as well as its spectral evolution in X-rays and γ rays. Owing to the controversy in the redshift measurements of 1ES 0647+250 reported in the literature, we also estimated its distance in an indirect manner through a comparison of the GeV and TeV spectra from simultaneous observations with Fermi-LAT and MAGIC during the strongest flaring activity detected to date. Moreover, we interpret the SEDs from the four distinct activity states within the framework of one-component and two-component leptonic models, proposing specific scenarios that are able to reproduce the available multi-instrument data. We find significant long-term variability, especially in X-rays and VHE γ rays. Furthermore, significant (3-4σ) correlations were found between the radio, optical, and high-energy (HE) γ-ray fluxes, with the radio emission delayed by about ~400 days with respect to the optical and γ-ray bands. The spectral analysis reveals a harder-when-brighter trend during the non-flaring state in the X-ray domain. However, no clear patterns were observed for either the enhanced states or the HE (30 MeV < E < 100 GeV) and VHE γ-ray emission of the source. The indirect estimation of the redshift yielded a value of z = 0.45 ± 0.05, which is compatible with some of the values reported in the literature. The SEDs related to the low-activity state and the three flaring states of 1ES 0647+250 can be described reasonably well with the both one-component and two-component leptonic scenarios. However, the long-term correlations indicate the need for an additional radio-producing region located about 3.6 pc downstream from the gamma-ray producing region.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

A physical method for downscaling land surface temperatures using surface energy balance theory

Fine-resolution land surface temperature (LST) derived from thermal infrared remote sensing images is a good indicator of surface water status and plays an essential role in the exchange of energy and water between land and atmosphere. A physical surface energy balance (SEB)-based LST downscaling method (DTsEB) is developed to downscale coarse remotely sensed thermal infrared LST products with fine-resolution visible and near-infrared data. Here, the DTsEB method is advantageous for its ability to mechanically interrelate surface variables contributing to the spatial variation of LST, to quantitatively weigh the contributions of each related variable within a physical framework, and to efficaciously avoid the subjective selection of scaling factors and the establishment of statistical regression relationships. The applicability of the DTsEB method was tested by downscaling 12 scenes of 990 m Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and aggregated Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER) LST products to 90 m resolution at six overpass times between 2005 and 2015 over three 9.9 km by 9.9 km cropland (mixed by grass, tree, and built-up land) study areas. Three typical LST downscaling methods, namely the widely applied TsHARP, the later developed least median square regression downscaling (LMS) and the geographically weighted regression (GWR), were introduced for intercomparison. The results showed that the DTsEB method could more effectively reconstruct the subpixel spatial variations in LST within the coarse-resolution pixels and achieve a better downscaling accuracy than the TsHARP, LMS and GWR methods. The DTsEB method yielded, on average, root mean square errors (RMSEs) of 2.01 K and 1.42 K when applied to the MODIS datasets and aggregated ASTER datasets, respectively, which were lower than those obtained with the TsHARP method, with average RMSEs of 2.41 K and 1.71 K, the LMS method, with average RMSEs of 2.35 K and 1.63 K, and the GWR method, with average RMSEs of 2.38 K and 1.64 K, respectively. The contributions of the related surface variables to the subpixel spatial variation in the LST varied both spatially and temporally and were different from each other. In summary, the DTsEB method was demonstrated to outperform the TsHARP, LMS, and GWR methods and could be used as a good alternative for downscaling LST products from coarse to fine resolution with high robustness and accuracy.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Impact of petrophysical uncertainty on Bayesian hydrogeophysical inversion and model selection

Quantitative hydrogeophysical studies rely heavily on petrophysical relationships that link geophysical properties to hydrogeological properties and state variables. Coupled inversion studies are frequently based on the questionable assumption that these relationships are perfect (i.e., no scatter). Using synthetic examples and crosshole ground-penetrating radar (GPR) data from the South Oyster Bacterial Transport Site in Virginia, USA, we investigate the impact of spatially-correlated petrophysical uncertainty on inferred posterior porosity and hydraulic conductivity distributions and on Bayes factors used in Bayesian model selection. Our study shows that accounting for petrophysical uncertainty in the inversion (I) decreases bias of the inferred variance of hydrogeological subsurface properties, (II) provides more realistic uncertainty assessment and (III) reduces the overconfidence in the ability of geophysical data to falsify conceptual hydrogeological models.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Shaping of Cams for High-Torque Variable-Speed Drives

Attention focuses on the calculation of the working profile for three-dimensional cams in an oscillatory lever mechanism with a contacting spherical roller. That permits the creation of 3D surfaces for milling of the cams on CNC machine tools. Methods are proposed for determining the pressure angle and selecting the optimal parameters of the oscillatory mechanism in a nonfrictional high-torque variable-speed drive.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Image Analysis for Rapid Assessment and Quality-Based Sorting of Corn Stover

Imaging in the visible spectrum is a low-cost tool that can be readily deployed for in-field or over-belt monitoring of biomass quality for bio-refining operations. Rapid image analysis coupled with innovative preprocessing may reduce the impacts of feedstock variability through identification of contaminants or other material attributes to guide selective sorting and quality management. Image analysis was employed to evaluate the quality of corn stover in red-green-blue (RGB) chromatic space. This study used controlled, bench-scale imaging as a proof-of-concept for rapid quality assessment of corn stover based on variations in material attributes, including chemical and physical attributes, that relate to biological degradation and soil contamination. Additionally, logistic regression-based classification algorithms were used to develop a method for biomass screening as a function of biological degradation or soil contamination. This study demonstrated the use of image analysis to extract features from RGB color space to investigate variations in critical material attributes from chemical composition of corn stover. Fourier transform infrared (FT-IR) suggested a correlation between red band intensity and biological degradation, while detailed surface texture analysis was found to distinguish among variations in ash. These insights offer promise for development of a rapid screening tool that could be deployed by farmers for in-field assessment of biomass quality or biorefinery operators for in-line sorting and process optimization.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Challenges and perspectives for large-scale temperature reconstructions of the past two millennia

Knowledge of the temperature variability during the last one to two millennia is important for providing a perspective to present-day climate excursions, for assessing the sensitivity of the climate to different forcings, and for providing a test bed for climate models. Since systematic instrumental temperature records only extend back to the nineteenth century, such knowledge mainly relies on climate-sensitive proxy data. Here we critically assess some of the many challenges related to large-scale multiproxy temperature reconstructions. We begin with a review of available large-scale temperature reconstructions, focusing on the differences in low-frequency variability and the response to natural forcings such as major volcanic eruptions and changes in total solar irradiance. Then, we discuss different proxy selection strategies, review previously used reconstruction methods, and discuss their ability to reconstruct the amplitude of the low-frequency variability. To shed additional light on the challenges of large-scale reconstructions, we investigate the spatial and temporal correlation structures in the observed temperature field and discuss the implications of these correlation structures regarding the required number and positions of proxies. We demonstrate how the unavoidable uncertainty related to noisy proxies will show up as bias and variance in the reconstruction and that the partition between these forms of errors depends on the reconstruction method. Pseudo-proxy experiments are conducted to further discuss the influence of noise and the requirements regarding the geographical location and number of proxies necessary for reliably reconstructing the low-frequency variability. Finally, we conclude with recommendations for future large-scale temperature reconstructions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Diurnal observations of basal stem CO2 efflux in three canopy dominant trees in the central Amazon

We explored mechanisms responsible for disturbance-induced shifts in carbon metabolism in forests north of Manaus, Brazil (S2º 38' 17", W60º 09' 25"), using data from a selective logging experiment (BIONTE). BIONTE (the BIOmass and NuTrient Experiment) selective logging treatments were initiated in the mid-1980s and comprised variable removal of commercial tree (not total) species basal area (T1 =32%, T2 = 42%, T3 = 69%), and control plots with no logging (T0). Raw data including tree base diameter (Db), CO2 concentration versus time inside a static stem chamber, and wood density were used to derive stem respiration rates (Rw), wood production rates (Pw), and wood carbon use efficiency (CUE). Changes in tree base diameter (Db; measured at 1.3 m height, or above the buttresses) was used to calculate wood production for individual trees (Pw). Wood density enabled calculation of stem growth rate in the same units as stem respiration (mmol C m-2 s-1). Four trees were randomly selected from five tree growth rate classes for each treatment block, for a total of 20 trees per treatment block, or 80 trees total from the BIONTE plots. Each of the 80 trees selected for the Rw study were outfitted with dendrometer bands (da Silva et al. 2002). Stem respiration was measured using the method described in Chambers et al. (2004). Briefly, an infra-red gas analyzer (LiCor 820) was operated as a closed dynamic chamber with a flow rate of 1.0 L min-1. Polyvinyl chloride (PVC) semi-cylindrical chambers (250–400 mL) were secured to the tree stem near the dendrometer bands using nylon straps. The measurement interval spanned 1–2 min, and the CO2 flux from the stem of each tree was quantified using the enclosed stem area and slope of the stem CO2 concentration versus time.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Updraft dynamics and microphysics: on the added value of the cumulus thermal reference frame in simulations of aerosol–deep convection interactions

One fundamental question about atmospheric moist convection processes that remains debated is whether, or under which conditions, a relevant variability in background aerosol concentrations may have a significant dynamical impact on convective clouds and their associated precipitation. Furthermore, current climate models must parameterize both the microphysical and the cumulus convection processes, but this is usually implemented separately, whereas in nature there is a strong coupling between them. As a first step to improve our understanding of these two problems, we investigate how aerosol concentrations modify key properties of updrafts in eight large-eddy-permitting regional simulations of a case study of scattered convection over Houston, Texas, in which convection is explicitly simulated and microphysical processes are parameterized. Dynamical and liquid-phase microphysical responses are investigated using the following two different reference frames: static cloudy updraft grid cells versus tracked cumulus thermals. In both frameworks, we observe the expected microphysical responses to higher aerosol concentrations, such as higher cloud number concentrations and lower rain number concentrations. In terms of the dynamical responses, both frameworks indicate weak impacts of varying aerosol concentrations relative to the noise between simulations over the observationally derived range of aerosol variability for this case study. On the other hand, results suggest that thermals are more selective than cloudy updraft grid cells in terms of sampling the most active convective air masses. For instance, vertical velocity from thermals is significantly higher at upper levels than when sampled from cloudy updraft grid points, and several microphysical variables have higher average values in the cumulus thermal framework than in the cloudy updraft framework. In addition, the thermal analysis is seen to add rich quantitative information about the rates and covariability of microphysical processes spatially and throughout tracked thermal lifecycles, which can serve as a stronger foundation for improving subgrid-scale parameterizations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Discovering novel therapeutic V H Hs for emerging viruses: perspectives from VEEV selection strategies

Introduction: Evolution or emergence of a new viral variant is a significant public health concern. Alphaviruses, such as Venezuelan equine encephalitis virus (VEEV), are mosquito-borne viruses which are becoming more prevalent due to expansion of vector habitats. Despite this, there are currently no antiviral therapies or FDA-approved vaccines available to treat or prevent VEEV infection. The increased prevalence of such viruses provides opportunities for novel variants to evolve. Key therapeutic molecules that could be developed against viral pathogens are recombinant antibodies or antibody fragments, such as the variable heavy domain of heavy chain antibodies (V H Hs). Methods: In vitro selections offer a promising pathway for identification of therapeutic antibodies, here we explored isolation of V H Hs using phage and yeast display methodology with three antigen formats 1) recombinant E2, 2) linear peptides of E2, selected based on molecular dynamics analysis, and 3) UV inactivated virus. Results: Here we report four novel “human” V H Hs which bind to the VEEV E2 protein selected using different strategies that include both computational and biochemical design of suitable antigens and whole virus selections. These V H Hs have distinct complementarity-determining regions (CDRs). Multiple VHHs bind to the VEEV viral particles in ELISAs, and we report the peptide epitope recognized by these V H Hs. Discussion: Though non-neutralizing, these V H Hs bind to and sequester VEEV viral particles preventing infection, demonstrating the potential of these V H Hs to perform viral “sponging” which represents a novel therapeutic approach. The selection strategies we report may have applications to further antibody developments against other viruses.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Uncertainty-aware mixed-variable machine learning for materials design

Abstract Data-driven design shows the promise of accelerating materials discovery but is challenging due to the prohibitive cost of searching the vast design space of chemistry, structure, and synthesis methods. Bayesian optimization (BO) employs uncertainty-aware machine learning models to select promising designs to evaluate, hence reducing the cost. However, BO with mixed numerical and categorical variables, which is of particular interest in materials design, has not been well studied. In this work, we survey frequentist and Bayesian approaches to uncertainty quantification of machine learning with mixed variables. We then conduct a systematic comparative study of their performances in BO using a popular representative model from each group, the random forest-based Lolo model (frequentist) and the latent variable Gaussian process model (Bayesian). We examine the efficacy of the two models in the optimization of mathematical functions, as well as properties of structural and functional materials, where we observe performance differences as related to problem dimensionality and complexity. By investigating the machine learning models’ predictive and uncertainty estimation capabilities, we provide interpretations of the observed performance differences. Our results provide practical guidance on choosing between frequentist and Bayesian uncertainty-aware machine learning models for mixed-variable BO in materials design.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Measurements of the groomed and ungroomed jet angularities in pp collisions at $ \sqrt{s}$ = 5.02 TeV

The jet angularities are a class of jet substructure observables which characterize the angular and momentum distribution of particles within jets. These observables are sensitive to momentum scales ranging from perturbative hard scatterings to nonperturbative fragmentation into final-state hadrons. We report measurements of several groomed and ungroomed jet angularities in pp collisions at $\sqrt{s}$ = 5.02 TeV with the ALICE detector. Jets are reconstructed using charged particle tracks at midrapidity (|η| < 0.9). The anti-$k_T$ algorithm is used with jet resolution parameters R = 0.2 and R = 0.4 for several transverse momentum $p^{ch jet}_{T}$ intervals in the 20–100 GeV/c range. Using the jet grooming algorithm Soft Drop, the sensitivity to softer, wide-angle processes, as well as the underlying event, can be reduced in a way which is well-controlled in theoretical calculations. We report the ungroomed jet angularities, λ α , and groomed jet angularities, λ α,g , to investigate the interplay between perturbative and nonperturbative effects at low jet momenta. Various angular exponent parameters α = 1, 1.5, 2, and 3 are used to systematically vary the sensitivity of the observable to collinear and soft radiation. Results are compared to analytical predictions at next-to-leading-logarithmic accuracy, which provide a generally good description of the data in the perturbative regime but exhibit discrepancies in the nonperturbative regime. Moreover, these measurements serve as a baseline for future ones in heavy-ion collisions by providing new insight into the interplay between perturbative and nonperturbative effects in the angular and momentum substructure of jets. They supply crucial guidance on the selection of jet resolution parameter, jet transverse momentum, and angular scaling variable for jet quenching studies.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

In-Use Passenger Vessel Emission Rates of Black Carbon and Nitrogen Oxides

This study quantified emission factors of black carbon (BC) and nitrogen oxides (NO x ) from 21 engines on in-use excursion vessels and ferries operating in California's San Francisco Bay, including EPA uncertified and Tier 1-4 engines and across engine operating modes. On average, ~60 fuel-based emission factors per engine were measured using a novel combination of exhaust plume capture combined with GPS location and speed data that can be more readily deployed than common portable emissions measurement systems. Here, BC and NO x emission factors (g kg -1 ) were lowest and least variable during fast cruising and highest during maneuvering and docked operation. Selective catalytic reduction (SCR) reduced NO x emissions by ~80% when functional. However, elevated NO x emissions that exceeded corresponding exhaust standards were measured on most Tier 3 and Tier 4 engines sampled, which can be attributed to inactive SCR during frequent low engine load operation. In contrast, BC emissions exceeded the PM emission standard for only one engine, and SCR systems employed as a NO x reduction technology also reduced emitted BC. Using these measured emission factors to compare commuting options, we show that the CO 2 -equivalent emissions per passenger-kilometer are comparable when commuting by car and ferry, but BC and NO x emissions can be several to more than ten times larger when commuting by ferry.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Cation Crossover Limits Accessible Current Densities for Zero-Gap Alkaline CO2 Reduction to Ethylene

Traditional CO2 reduction systems often fail in an alkaline environment due to the interaction of CO2 with a high-pH electrolyte, where carbonate and bicarbonate ion formation results in potassium-containing salt precipitation. The presence of the salt crystals causes a reduction in the selectivity of the electrolyzer toward CO2 conversion. Here, the critical operational variables, which elicit the salting out process, are investigated (i.e., ion transport). When the electrolyzer exceeds a critical current density, H2 evolution dominates CO2 reduction due to salt formation, which is confirmed by postmortem cross-sectional SEM-EDS of the electrode. The critical current density decreases with an increasing membrane thickness or anolyte ionic strength. Cathode salt formation is mediated by the unmitigated crossover of cations from the anolyte to the cathode across an anion exchange membrane, through which cations are imperfectly excluded. It is likely that electric field-driven migration promotes an increase in concentration of potassium across the membrane, until, at the critical current density for that electrolyzer arrangement, the concentration of potassium and bicarbonate ions exceeds the solubility limit of KHCO3, leading to salt precipitation.

CO2 reduction↗

Mid-latitude ionospheric irregularity spectral density as determined by ground-based GPS receiver networks

In this paper, we present a new technique to experimentally measure the spatial spectrum of ionospheric disturbances in the spatial scale regime of 40 – 200 km. This technique produces a 2-dimensional (2-D) spectrum for each time snapshot over two dense GPS receiver networks (GEONET in Japan and PBO in the Western U.S.). Because this technique created the spectrum from an instantaneous time snapshot, no assumptions are needed about the speed of ionospheric irregularities. We examine spectra from three days: one with an intense geomagnetic storm, one with significant lightning activity, and one quiet day. Radial slices along the 2-D spectra provide 1-dimensional spectra that can be fit to a power law to quantify the steepness of the fall-off in the spatial scale sizes. Continuous data of this type in a stationary location allows monitoring the variability in the 2-D spectrum over the course of a day and comparing between days, as shown here, or even over a year or many years. We find that the spectra are highly variable over the course of a day and between the two selected regions of Japan and the Western U.S. When strong travelling ionospheric disturbances (TIDs) are present, the 2-D spectra provide information about the direction of propagation of the TIDs. We compare the TID propagation direction with horizontal wind directions from the Horizontal Wind Model. Finally, TID direction is correlated with the horizontal wind direction on all days, strongly indicating that the primary source of the TIDs measured by this technique is tropospheric.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Discovery of chalcogenides structures and compositions using mixed fluxes

Advancements in many modern technologies rely on the continuous need for materials discovery. However, the design of synthesis routes leading to new and targeted solid-state materials requires understanding of reactivity patterns. Advances in synthesis science are necessary to increase efficiency and accelerate materials discovery. We present a highly effective methodology for the rational discovery of materials using high-temperature solutions or fluxes having tunable solubility. This methodology facilitates product selection by projecting the free-energy landscape into real synthetic variables: temperature and flux ratio. We demonstrate the effectiveness of this technique by synthesizing compounds in the chalcogenide system of A(Ba)-Cu-Q(O) (Q = S or Se; A = Na, K or Rb) using mixed AOH/AX (A = Li, Na, K or Rb; X = Cl or I) fluxes. We present 30 unreported compounds or compositions, including more than ten unique structural types, by systematically varying the temperature and flux ratios without requiring changing the proportions of starting materials. Additionally, we found that the structural dimensionality of the compounds decreases with increasing reactant solubility and temperature. This methodology serves as an effective general strategy for the rational discovery of inorganic solids.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Biochemical approaches for synthesis of performance-advantaged polymers from lignocellulosic biomass

Lignocellulose is an abundant renewable feedstock for production of sustainable fuels, chemicals, and materials. The structural complexity of lignocellulose provides key material properties and inspires the design of advanced materials. However, this same complexity also presents challenges for conversion of lignocellulosic biomass into new materials with consistent properties. Conventional physical and chemical strategies for valorization of biomass to new materials are often limited by the technical challenges of precisely manipulating complex feedstocks, sensitivity to feedstock variability, and associated costs. In contrast, biological approaches are capable of selectively manipulating complex architectures under mild conditions. Recent advances demonstrate the potential of biological and hybrid biochemical methods to tailor biomass-derived polymers and generate new materials. This review provides an overview of biological strategies to valorize lignocellulosic biomass into novel materials, highlighting approaches for in planta engineering, biochemical modification of natural biomass polymers, microbial funneling of deconstructed biomass, and direct biosynthesis of novel polymers. In combination, these approaches open new avenues for the synthesis of performance-advantaged materials from lignocellulosic biomass.

Qian, Liangyu [ORNL] (ORCID:0009000212029938)↗

How plane are plane shock waves in solids

The notion of plane shock waves is a macroscopic, very fruitful idealization of near discontinuous disturbance propagating at supersonic speed. Such a picture is comparable to the picture of shorelines seen from a very high altitude. When viewed at the grain scale where the structure of solids is inherently heterogeneous and stochastic, features of shock waves are non-laminar and field variables, such as particle velocity and pressure, fluctuate. This paper reviews select aspects of such fluctuating nonequilibrium features of plane shock waves in solids with focus on grain scale phenomena and raises the need for a paradigm change to achieve a deeper understanding of plane shock waves in solids.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗