DOE OSTI2018
Highlights: • OP moderately correlated (r ~.6) with PM{sub 2.5} mass, NO{sub 2}, and elemental constituents. • OP{sup AA} and OP{sup GSH} LUR models were developed and evaluated for five areas. • Three reasonably performing (R{sup 2}: .45–.58) OP{sup AA} LUR models in hold-out validation. • OP{sup GSH} models were not robust to new coefficients derived against sub-samples of sites. Oxidative potential (OP) of particulate matter (PM) is proposed as a biologically-relevant exposure metric for studies of air pollution and health. We aimed to evaluate the spatial variability of the OP of measured PM{sub 2.5} using ascorbate (AA) and (reduced) glutathione (GSH), and develop land use regression (LUR) models to explain this spatial variability. We estimated annual average values (m{sup −3}) of OP{sup AA} and OP{sup GSH} for five areas (Basel, CH; Catalonia, ES; London-Oxford, UK (no OP{sup GSH}); the Netherlands; and Turin, IT) using PM{sub 2.5} filters. OP{sup AA} and OP{sup GSH} LUR models were developed using all monitoring sites, separately for each area and combined-areas. The same variables were then used in repeated sub-sampling of monitoring sites to test sensitivity of variable selection; new variables were offered where variables were excluded (p > .1). On average, measurements of OP{sup AA} and OP{sup GSH} were moderately correlated (maximum Pearson's maximum Pearson's R = = .7) with PM{sub 2.5} and other metrics (PM{sub 2.5}absorbance, NO{sub 2}, Cu, Fe). HOV (hold-out validation) R{sup 2} for OP{sup AA} models was .21, .58, .45, .53, and .13 for Basel, Catalonia, London-Oxford, the Netherlands and Turin respectively. For OP{sup GSH}, the only model achieving at least moderate performance was for the Netherlands (R{sup 2} = .31). Combined models for OP{sup AA} and OP{sup GSH} were largely explained by study area with weak local predictors of intra-area contrasts; we therefore do not endorse them for use in epidemiologic studies. Given the moderate correlation of OP{sup AA} with other pollutants, the three reasonably performing LUR models for OP{sup AA} could be used independently of other pollutant metrics in epidemiological studies.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗