SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “optimal experimental design”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

SourceResearch connectionFrom yearThrough year

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 325 records · Page 18

All sources NASA NTRS DOE OSTI

DOE OSTI2023

Autonomous and dynamic precursor selection for solid-state materials synthesis

Abstract Solid-state synthesis plays an important role in the development of new materials and technologies. While in situ characterization and ab-initio computations have advanced our understanding of materials synthesis, experiments targeting new compounds often still require many different precursors and conditions to be tested. Here we introduce an algorithm (ARROWS 3 ) designed to automate the selection of optimal precursors for solid-state materials synthesis. This algorithm actively learns from experimental outcomes to determine which precursors lead to unfavorable reactions that form highly stable intermediates, preventing the target material’s formation. Based on this information, ARROWS 3 proposes new experiments using precursors it predicts to avoid such intermediates, thereby retaining a larger thermodynamic driving force to form the target. We validate this approach on three experimental datasets, containing results from over 200 synthesis procedures. In comparison to black-box optimization, ARROWS 3 identifies effective precursor sets for each target while requiring substantially fewer experimental iterations. These findings highlight the importance of domain knowledge in optimization algorithms for materials synthesis, which are critical for the development of fully autonomous research platforms.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Design and fabrication of robust hybrid photonic crystal cavities

Abstract Heterogeneously integrated hybrid photonic crystal cavities enable strong light–matter interactions with solid state, optically addressable quantum memories. A key challenge to realizing high quality factor ( Q ) hybrid photonic crystals is the reduced index contrast on the substrate compared to suspended devices in air. This challenge is particularly acute for color centers in diamond because of diamond’s high refractive index, which leads to increased scattering loss into the substrate. Here, we develop a design methodology for hybrid photonic crystals utilizing a detailed understanding of substrate-mediated loss, which incorporates sensitivity to fabrication errors as a critical parameter. Using this methodology, we design robust, high-Q, GaAs-on-diamond photonic crystal cavities, and by optimizing our fabrication procedure, we experimentally realize cavities with Q approaching 30,000 at a resonance wavelength of 955 nm.

Abulnaga, Alex↗

DOE OSTI2020

Online Modelling and Optimization of Nonlinear Integrable Systems

Nonlinear integrable optics was recently proposed as a design approach to increase the limits on beam brightness and intensity imposed by fast collective instabilities. To study these systems experimentally, a new research electron and proton storage ring, the Integrable Optics Test Accelerator, was constructed and recently commissioned at Fermilab. Beam-based diagnostics and online modelling of nonlinear systems presents unique challenges - in this paper, we report on our efforts to develop optimization methods suited for such lattices. We explore the effectiveness of neural networks as fast online surrogate estimators, and integrate them into a beam-based tuning algorithm. We also develop a method of knob dimensionality reduction and subsequent robust multivariate optimization for maximizing key performance metrics under complicated lattice optics constraints.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Building a Computational and Experimental Rapid Response Pipeline to Counter the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Outbreak and Emerging Biothreats

The COVID-19 pandemic underscored the promise of monoclonal antibody-based prophylactic and therapeutic drugs, especially where protective candidates can be rapidly identified or developed for emerging biothreats and escape variants. Current cutting-edge technologies for this purpose still rely on pathogen-exposed convalescent volunteers and a large screening effort to find a proverbial needle in a haystack. Computational design of protective antibodies based on pre-existing templates skips those requirements and allows for greater control over the breadth and target epitope, while also co-optimizing for potency and developability or other biophysical characteristics. We approached this problem by building and expanding an in vitro experimental rapid antibody production and characterization pipeline to support development of an autonomous, closed loop, active learning software system based on structural simulation and ground truth experimental data to design and evaluate antibody antigen interactions. Starting from early in the pandemic, we targeted SARS-CoV-2, the causative agent of COVID-19, by re-purposing neutralizing antibodies against SARS-CoV-1 that had been identified in the wake of that outbreak in the early 2000’s. We successfully re-targeted three different anti-SARS-CoV-1 antibodies to neutralize SARS-CoV-2 in vitro, where the antibodies were generated externally and tested through conventional binding and neutralization assays internally or with collaborators. As antibodies were identified from the blood of humans infected with SARS-CoV-2, we shifted to collaborate with academic partners to develop improved versions of their human-derived antibodies. This work reached its most important stage in rapid response to the emergence of the Omicron variant of concern (VOC) in late 2021. In a matter of weeks, enabled by on demand innovation to our screening pipeline, we computationally designed and experimentally characterized derivative antibodies of COV2-2130, one of two antibodies from Vanderbilt that form the basis of the AstraZeneca Evusheld prophylactic drug product. This drug product suffers a serious loss of efficacy against Omicron BA.1 and BA.1.1, the first Omicron strains. Due to tight integration of computational design and experimental evaluation, we were able to identify a pair of designs with potent neutralization of the main targets Omicron BA.1 and BA.1.1; but also the earlier Delta variant, and subsequent Omicron strains including BA.2, BA.4, BA.5, and BA.2.75, demonstrating that our multi-target design process can, by its nature, produce robust antibody designs that strictly improve over the parental antibody. These results, recognized by a 2022 Director’s Science and Technology award, have enabled the follow-on GUIDE program, to commence in FY23. While earlier design campaigns were substantially outsourced, we have engineered better and faster processes internally to better compliment, calibrate, and speed computational designs. As part of the follow-on GUIDE program, we will stand up a rapid and high-throughput antibody production and characterization facility staffed with the expertise and capabilities to foster our current collaboration across PLS and ENG as well as other partnerships toward computational design of biologics.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Experimental Assessment of Elastic Modulus vs. Relative Density for Stretch- and Bend-Dominated Lattices

This project was designed to study the possibility of using structural properties of lattices to replicate the material properties of certain hard to manufacture designs and use topology optimization to determine the lattice type and density required to mimic these properties. The integration of additively manufactured lattice structures with topology optimization highlights the need for well characterized mechanical properties and uncertainty analyses to insure these optimized structures respond as predicted. Stereolithographically printed octet and rhombic dodecahedron lattices were manufactured at 10%, 25% and 65% density by volume. As a separate task, yet integrated into this work, finite element analysis (FEA) was used to predict the printed lattice’s mechanical properties, which were then compared to our experimental results. After comparing FEA and experimentallymeasured elastic moduli, it was determined that the FEA provides highly reliable predictions for the modulus of these printed lattice structures. These lattices also exhibited greater tensile stiffness than that of the solid material demonstrating the flexibility that lattices provide to designing parts with designer structural properties. The accurate printing and reliable modeling of these lattices will enable topology optimization of complex parts from well-characterized rhombic dodecahedron and octet lattice structures of varying densities.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

Adaptive learning-driven high-throughput synthesis of oxygen reduction reaction Fe–N–C electrocatalysts

Reducing human reliance on inefficient energy systems and fossil fuels has become more urgent due to the consequences of global climate change. However, traditional trial-and-error approaches have hampered our ability to accelerate the discovery and implementation of functional materials for efficient energy conversion devices, such as polymer electrolyte fuel cells (PEFCs). To address this, we develop an adaptive learning framework that integrates machine learning and state-of-the-art capabilities in high-throughput synthesis to achieve expedited optimization of iron-nitrogen-carbon PEFC oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) electrocatalysts. We use statistical inference, uncertainty quantification, and global optimization to build a computational design-of-experiment tool that identifies the optimum compositions to be investigated next to reduce the demands placed on experimental materials discovery. We benchmark the ability of the proposed strategy to discover optimum catalyst synthesis conditions in a six-dimensional search space when starting with a thirty-six-sample database. By following the adaptive learning strategy, we synthesize fourteen new catalysts from approximately ten billion unique compositions and discover four catalysts that outperform all original samples. The best machine learning-optimized catalyst is 33% more active than the highest-performing one in the initial database, showing an ORR activity seven times larger than those typically reported for the same class of materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2021

Net Electronic Charge as an Effective Electronic Descriptor for Oxygen Release and Transport Properties of SrFeO 3 -based Oxygen Sorbents

Perovskite oxides, as oxygen sorbents, exhibit excellent potential in thermochemical redox applications such as chemical looping air separation (CLAS), resulting from their excellent redox properties and high tunability. The structural and compositional flexibility of perovskites, while making these mixed oxides highly versatile, also poses challenges for their design and optimization. Moreover, the elevated operating temperature and dynamic oxygen partial pressure swings during redox processes add additional complications for oxygen sorbent design. From a fundamental standpoint, finding simple yet effective descriptors for the effect of cation substitutions on oxygen sorbents’ redox and oxygen transport properties are of significant importance for rational optimization of perovskite-based oxygen sorbents. In the present study, a series of A/B-site-doped SrFeO 3-δ perovskites are investigated using density functional theory (DFT) + U simulations. From these simulations, an effective electronic structural descriptor, the net electronic charge (Δe) of oxygen anions, is extracted based on its excellent correlations with vacancy formation energy, experimentally derived oxygen capacity, and oxygen vacancy migration barrier. Overall, these findings provide an effective tool to correlate the oxygen sorbents’ redox performances with a simple yet physically meaningful descriptor for rational design and optimization of perovskites in the context of CLAS.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2021

Design of Efficient Molecular Electrocatalysts for Water and Carbon Dioxide Reduction Using Predictive Models of Thermodynamic Properties

Objectives: 1) To design and synthesize water soluble transition metal complexes that function as electrocatalysts for the reduction of water to hydrogen or carbon dioxide to formate 2) To experimentally measure thermochemical properties, such as hydride donor ability, and use these quantities to optimize catalyst performance in solutions of varying pH 3) To incorporate results from detailed mechanistic and kinetic studies to direct improvements in catalyst design 4) To use thermochemical data from objective 2 to generate predictive models for the properties of new complexes to apply to the development of catalysts for other reductive reactions, with an emphasis on carbon dioxide reduction to methanol Description: Wide-spread implementation of renewable but intermittent energy sources, such as solar, requires the development of efficient methods for energy storage. The high energy density of chemical bonds makes chemical fuels an ideal solution for energy storage. Hydrogen and reduced carbon compounds have been proposed as ideal candidates for chemical fuels. However, the generation of chemical fuels from electricity requires competent electrocatalysts. The proposed research focuses on developing electrocatalysts for the reduction of water to hydrogen, and carbon dioxide to formate. Both products can be used directly as an energy carrier in fuel cells, or as a reductant for more saturated chemical fuels. Hydrogen is the most common fuel used in current commercial fuel cells. Additionally, there is interest in formic acid as a liquid carrier for hydrogen because of its increased storage density and ease of dehydrogenation. Formate is also an intermediate in the sequential reduction of CO 2 to methanol, another potential chemical fuel with high energy storage density. Despite the utility of formate as a chemical fuel or precursor, there are very few examples of electrocatalysts for its production from CO 2 , and even fewer demonstrate high product selectivity. In heterogeneous catalysis, the Sabatier principle is used to generate volcano curves that describe optimal thermochemical properties for key intermediates that result in peak catalytic activity. In most cases, such as hydrogen production and oxidation, the most favorable metals (Pt, Re, Rh, and Ir) are rare and expensive. Molecular inorganic complexes provide an opportunity to use electronic and steric ligand effects to tune the critical thermodynamic parameters of abundant metals to values comparable to key surface intermediates on precious metals. This principle will be applied to the design of aqueous homogeneous catalysts for the reduction of H 2 O and CO 2 optimized to function at specific pH ranges. The critical intermediate in both of these reactions is a metal hydride. The strength of this bond, or hydricity (ΔGH - ) dictates the overall thermodynamics of the reduction of H + to H 2 and the sequential reduction of C1 substrates, such as CO 2 , CO, and H 2 CO (the latter to CH 3 OH). ΔGH - will be systematically measured for a series of first row metal complexes to form predictive models for metal and ligand electronic effects. Benefits and Outcomes: This approach addresses thermodynamic requirements essential for energy-efficient catalyst design and transition state barrier considerations for faster catalysis. The advancements made from this research will include the discovery of efficient, stable, and fast catalysts for hydrogen and formate generation from electricity. The ability to store energy efficiently is critical to the widespread use of renewable energy schemes. This provides a viable solution to produce high energy density fuels for stationary and mobile energy applications. The fundamental research conducted is also directly applicable to the design of catalysts for the generation of further reduced products such as methanol.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2024

Steam Generator Model Design Parameter Sensitivity Study Using Advanced Optimization Tools

This study focuses on design parameter sensitivity studies pertaining to a steam generator (SG) model, using both Python and machine-learning tools. The SG model is a mathematical representation (including fluid flow and heat transfer equations/models/correlations) of a steam-generating unit in a pressurized water reactor (PWR)-type small modular reactor (SMR) system. Design studies involve changing the model’s input design parameters (e.g., temperature, pressure, mass flow rate) to observe the resulting effects on the output of the system (e.g., heat transfer coefficient [HTC], Nusselt number, heat transfer performance). Sensitivity studies analyze the degree to which system output and/or desired parameters (e.g., HTC or heat transfer performance) are sensitive to changes in input parameters. By using machine-learning tools such as the Risk Analysis Virtual Environment (RAVEN) developed at Idaho National Laboratory (INL), detailed design parametric sensitivity studies and model optimization were performed. Six input parameters—namely, the pressure, temperature, and mass flow rate for the inlet of the primary-side (hot fluid) and secondary-side (cold fluid) of the SG—were randomly perturbed via RAVEN’s Monte Carlo Sampler module, using uniform distributions (±1% relative changes). The analysis results give valuable insights into SG system performance and optimization, and provide justification for researching optimized sensor placement to effectively monitor and obtain experimental data.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2024

Steam Generator Model Design Parameter Sensitivity Study Using Advanced Optimization Tools

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2022

Efficient, Compact, and Smooth Variable Propulsion Motor (Final Report)

In this project, a new architecture of highly efficient hydraulic motor was developed for the propulsion of off-highway vehicles. The motor uses an adjustable linkage driving a cam to vary the displacement of the piston, resulting in a Variable Displacement Linkage Motor (VDLM). The motor uses low friction rolling element bearings to significantly reduce mechanical friction, especially in the demanding low-speed high-torque conditions experienced by off-highway vehicles. The VDLM has high torque capabilities for its size due to the radial piston packaging and use of a multi-lobe cam. A VDLM is very smooth due to the ability to tune the torque ripple through the design of the cam profile. The project was divided into three periods. During the first period, a dynamic model was constructed of the motor to predict the performance of the motor and the vehicle. During the second period, a single-cylinder learning prototype was designed, built, and tested to validate the models constructed in the first period. In the third period, a multi-cylinder prototype motor was optimized, designed, fabricated, and tested. The motor demonstrated excellent mechanical efficiency (above 92.5% across the range of displacements), but the experimentally measure volumetric efficiency was lower than expected due to higher leakage rates created by the poor tolerance control on the prototype. To validate the dynamic models developed in the first period and better understand design trade-offs. In the third period a multi-cylinder concept demonstration prototype will be designed, fabricated, and tested. The final prototype will be tested on a motor dynamometer and will be utilized in hardware-in-the-loop testing to demonstrate its efficiency and performance impacts on the overall drive train. The experimental results were used in a drive train simulation of a compact track loader operating through a drive cycle. Using the VDLM in a hydrostatic circuit yielded 17.1% reduction in fuel consumption and 36.5% reduction in a series hybrid transmission.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

DOE OSTI2023

Integrated Multiscale Model for Design of Robust 3D Solid-state Lithium Batteries

In FY23, we successfully established the multiscale modeling framework for probing the effects of materials microstructure on cell performance of 3D solid-state batteries. The framework covers physicochemical processes co-evolving at the atomistic and microstructure scales. Our simulations revealed the mechanism of initial interfacial degradation, formation of secondary phases, and the structure-property relationship for ion transport and mechanical stability at the interface. In addition, we also established the microstructure-performance relationships by performing sensitivity tests of various microstructure features and extracting their impact on cell performance during charge-discharge cycles. We have successfully applied our multiscale, multiphysics modeling capability to common electrode and electrolyte materials that are of interests to VTO and the experimental teams within the US-Germany collaboration. The insights we obtained from these simulations provide valuable design principles to optimize materials properties for advanced 3D solid-state batteries.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Autonomous organic synthesis for redox flow batteries via flexible batch Bayesian optimization

Traditional trial-and-error methods for materials discovery are inefficient to meet the urgent demands posed by the rapid progression of climate change. This urgency has driven the increasing interest in integrating robotics and machine learning into materials research to accelerate experimental learning. However, idealized decision-making frameworks to achieve maximum sampling efficiency are not always compatible with high-throughput experimental workflows inside a laboratory. For multi-step chemical processes, differences in hardware capacities can complicate the digital framework by introducing constraints on the maximum number of samples in each step of the experiment, hence causing varying batch sizes in variable selection within the same batch. Therefore, designing flexible sampling algorithms is necessary to accommodate the multi-step synthesis with practical constraints unique to each high-throughput workflow. In this work, we designed and employed three strategies on a high-throughput robotic platform to optimize the sulfonation reaction of redox-active molecules used in flow batteries. Our strategies adapt to the multi-step experimental workflow, where their formulation and heating steps are separate, causing varying batch size requirements. By strategically sampling using clustering and mixed-variable batch Bayesian optimization, we were able to iteratively identify optimal conditions that maximize the yields. Our work presents a flexible approach that allows tailoring the machine learning decision-making to suit the practical constraints in individual high-throughput experimental platforms, followed by performing resource-efficient yield optimization using available open-source Python libraries.

Tamura, Clara [Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA (U↗

DOE OSTI2024

High-Performance Iridium–Molybdenum Oxide Electrocatalysts for Water Oxidation in Acid: Bayesian Optimization Discovery and Experimental Testing

Ir oxides are costly and scarce catalysts for oxygen evolution reaction (OER) in acid. There has been extensive interest in developing alternatives that are either Ir-free or require smaller amounts of Ir to drive the reactions at acceptable rates. One design strategy is to identify Ir-based mixed oxides that achieve similar performance while requiring smaller amounts of Ir. The obstacle to this strategy has been a very large phase space of the Ir-based mixed metal oxides, in terms of the metals combined with Ir and the different crystallographic structures of the mixed oxides, which prevents a thorough exploration of possible materials. In this work, we developed a workflow that uses machine-learning-aided Bayesian optimization in combination with density functional theory to make the exploration of this phase space plausible. This screening identified Mo as a promising dopant for forming acid-tolerant Ir-based oxides for the OER. We synthesized and characterized the Ir–Mo mixed oxides in the form of thin-film electrocatalysts with a known surface area. We show that these mixed oxides exhibited overpotentials ~30 mV lower than a pure Ir control while maintaining 24% lower Ir dissolution rates than the Ir control. Furthermore, these findings suggest that Mo is a promising dopant and highlight the promise of machine learning to guide the experimental exploration and optimization of catalytic materials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2022

Low Cost, High Volume, Carbon Fiber Precursor for Plasma Oxidation

Light weighting with carbon fiber is critical to improving the energy efficiency of wind turbines, airplanes, and automobiles, but the high cost of carbon fiber continues to limit market growth and applications. Half of this cost is in the raw materials. For the carbon fiber market to reach the next level of adoption, the cost of both the raw materials and conversion must be reduced. This project considered the combination of low-cost, textile-grade precursors combined with the increased efficiency of plasma oxidation to greatly reduce the cost of carbon fiber. The primary objective of this project was to make industrial-grade carbon fiber (550 ksi tensile strength, 35 Msi tensile modulus) from textile-grade PAN precursors, something that cannot be achieved with conventional oxidation and to date has not been achieved with any technology. To accomplish this, the project team iteratively optimized the process conditions in the plasma oxidation and carbonization stages to maximize the tensile properties of the resultant carbon fibers. This involved implementing experimental designs for both stages, whereby process conditions (e.g. temperature) were varied and correlated to fiber properties. Samples of oxidized PAN fibers (OPFs) were prepared using a small pilot-scale plasma oxidation oven at 4XTechnologies (4XT). The thermal, chemical, and physical properties of OPF samples were analyzed by the University of Tennessee (UTK) and Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL). The OPF samples were then converted to carbon fiber by subsequent low- and high-temperature carbonization using a lab-scale furnace at ORNL. The resultant carbon fibers were tested for tensile strength also at ORNL, and the results were fed back into the experimental design. Of the hundreds of carbon fiber samples produced over the course of the project, the best sample had an average break strength of 479 ksi and modulus of 33 Msi. While the best tensile properties achieved fell short of the final project targets of 550 ksi for break strength and 35 Msi for modulus, the team demonstrated the potential to produce industrial-grade carbon fiber using textile-grade precursors. The best performing fiber samples had tensile properties that are 87% of the goal for tensile strength and 94% of the goal for tensile modulus. With additional optimization work, it is likely that the targets could be achieved, since only a fraction of the process parameter space was explored during this project. 4XT and its affiliate (4M) have already secured funding through private equity, and there is a CRADA (Cooperative Research and Development Agreement) project currently underway with the Carbon Fiber Technology Center (CFTF) at ORNL to continue this research. Additionally, while not an original goal of the project, the carbon fibers for most samples had diameters >8.5μm. This is considerably larger than commercially available carbon fiber products, which can impart unique properties to the composites (e.g. increased compressive strength) and decrease manufacturing costs even further. Moreover, these fibers were oxidized with plasma oxidation using residence times ranging <60mins, which would be considered fast for normal diameter fibers, but it is as much as 5x faster when factoring in the diameter of the fibers.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Optimizing the spatial resolution and gamma discrimination of SiPM-based Anger cameras

SiPM Anger cameras have been designed for use as 2-dimensional thermal neutron detectors for scientific applications such as at single crystal diffraction instruments. These cameras utilize a neutron sensitive scintillator and an array of SiPM photosensors, separated by a light spreading glass. While this optics package is very effective at detecting and positioning neutrons, it is also sensitive to gamma rays, which are a source of unwanted noise. In this work, we underwent a search of scintillator and spreader glass thicknesses to determine the optimal combination for maximizing spatial resolution. Both experimental results and GEANT4 simulations are presented. Further, to address the issue of gamma ray detection, we have also designed and presented a multi-layer scintillator that reduces the amount of scintillation light produced via gamma-ray energy deposition, allowing for easier pulse-height discrimination. A sample of this geometry has been produced that results in a factor of 2 improvement over an equivalent thickness monolithic scintillator.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2024

Reducing Richtmyer–Meshkov instability jet velocity via inverse design

In this work, we detail a novel application of inverse design and advanced manufacturing to rapidly develop and experimentally validate modifications to a shaped charge jet analog. The shaped charge jet analog comprises a copper liner, a high explosive (HE), and a silicone buffer. Here, we apply a genetic algorithm to determine an optimal buffer design that can be placed between the liner and the HE that results in the largest possible change in jet velocity. The use of a genetic algorithm allows for discoveries of unintuitive, complex, yet optimal buffer designs. Experiments using the optimal design verified the effectiveness of the buffer and validated the machine learning approach to hydrodynamic design optimization.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

Experimental Evidence on Latency in a Fleet of Controllable Water Heaters

Demand response is an important emerging part of smart grids with wide coverage in theoretical and modeling research. However, experimental evidence on the real-life behavior of controllable loads is still limited. We present observations regarding latency and communication aspects of the operation on a fleet of residential water heaters in a smart neighborhood in Atlanta, GA. Our analysis shows that latency in water heaters is not constant and does not follow a Gaussian distribution. We also find that there is a systematic relationship between latency and hour of the day. Latency was found to increase during morning and evening hours compared to the afternoon. These findings could help better plan deployment of control for demand response programs. Understanding delays associated with controlling smart devices is crucial for proper design and algorithm development for optimization, frequency of dispatch, and override detection.

communication delay↗