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At least 325 records · Page 18

Mean-square-error bounds for reduced-order linear state estimators

The mean-square error of reduced-order linear state estimators for continuous-time linear systems is investigated. Lower and upper bounds on the minimal mean-square error are presented. The bounds are readily computable at each time-point and at steady state from the solutions to the Ricatti and the Liapunov equations. The usefulness of the error bounds for the analysis and design of reduced-order estimators is illustrated by a practical numerical example.

Baram, Y.↗

The GISS global climate-middle atmosphere model. II - Model variability due to interactions between planetary waves, the mean circulation and gravity wave drag

The variability which arises in the GISS Global Climate-Middle Atmosphere Model on two time scales is reviewed: interannual standard deviations, derived from the five-year control run, and intraseasonal variability as exemplified by statospheric warnings. The model's extratropical variability for both mean fields and eddy statistics appears reasonable when compared with observations, while the tropical wind variability near the stratopause may be excessive possibly, due to inertial oscillations. Both wave 1 and wave 2 warmings develop, with connections to tropospheric forcing. Variability on both time scales results from a complex set of interactions among planetary waves, the mean circulation, and gravity wave drag. Specific examples of these interactions are presented, which imply that variability in gravity wave forcing and drag may be an important component of the variability of the middle atmosphere.

Rind, D.↗

On the accuracy of monthly mean wind speeds over the equatorial Pacific

In this paper, yearlong in situ wind measurements at a 3.8-m height, obtained at three sites along the Pacific equator (95, 110, and 152 deg W), were used to estimate the number of random observations required per month for monthly mean wind speeds accurate to 1.0 m/s and 0.5 m/s. Wind measurements were made with a vector-averaging wind recorder mounted on a surface-following toroid float, which measured speed continuously, and direction nearly continuously. For equatorial Pacific winds in the 95 to 152 deg W region, the typical numbers of random wind observations required per month were found to be about nine for a 1.0 m/s accuracy, and 35 for a 0.5 m/s accuracy. The corresponding number of ship winds would likely be greater. The number of random observations required increased westward and was highly correlated with monthly mean standard deviations.

Halpern, David↗

Observations of the 30-60 day oscillation in zonal mean atmospheric angular momentum and high cloud cover

Zonally averaged momentum and high-cloud data were analyzed for the periods of April-October 1979 and November 1982-October 1983 periods. The analysis yielded belt correlation fields implying a symmetry and propagation of momentum out of the tropics in the momentum data and an asymmetrical oscillation across the equatorial zone in the high-cloud data. The 30-60 day oscillation was found to be the dominant periodicity in tropical and subtropical belts in both the momentum and cloud fields, with variation of time spectra evident between 1979 and 1983. The lag correlations between high cloud belts and momentum belts showed strong correlations with the 30-60 day oscillation present. Anomalously high/low zonal mean high cloudiness in the tropics was accompanied by anomalously high/low zonal mean momentum in the tropics, with the latter anomalies subsequently propagating into midlatitudes.

Risbey, James S.↗

The mean flow structure around and within a turbulent junction or horseshoe vortex. I - The upstream and surrounding three-dimensional boundary layer

An experimental study of the mean flow structure upstream, around, and in a turbulent junction or horseshoe vortex is presented for the case of an incompressible subsonic flow. Mean velocity field and turbulent kinetic energy field measurements (obtained with hot film anemometry) and local wall shear stress measurements are used to monitor the upstream and surrounding three-dimensional turbulent boundary layer-like flow away from separation. Freestream or edge velocity and floor static pressure results are reported.

Menna, J. D.↗

Estimation of mean rain rate - Application to satellite observations

A method for the estimation of the mean area average rain rate from dependent data is developed and applied to the GARP Atlantic Tropical Experiment data. The method consists of fitting a mixed distribution, containing an atom at zero, by minimum chi-square in combination with certain time-space sampling designs. In modeling the continuous component of the mixed distribution, it is shown that the lognormal distribution provides a very close fit for the nonzero area average rainrates. A comparison with the gamma distribution shows that the lognormal distribution is a better choice as expressed by the minimum chi-square criterion. Some of the time-space sampling designs correspond to satellite sampling. The results indicate that a satellite visiting an area of about 350 x 350 sq km in the tropics approximately every 10 hours over a period can provide a rather close estimate for the mean area average rain rate.

Kedem, Benjamin↗

Mean motion resonances

Recent research on the resonant structure of the asteroid belt is reviewed. The resonant mechanism is discussed, and analytical models for the study of mean motion resonances are examined. Numerical averaging methods and mapping methods are considered. It is shown how fresh insight can be obtained by means of a new semianalytical approach.

Froeschle, CL.↗

Aircraft measurements of the mean and turbulent structure of marine stratocumulus clouds during FIRE

The mean and turbulent structure of marine stratocumulus clouds is defined from data that were collected from 10 flights made with the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Electra during the First ISCCP Regional Experiment (FIRE). The number of cases sampled is sufficiently large that researchers can compare the boundary layer structure obtained (1) for solid and broken cloud conditions, (2) for light and strong surface wind conditions, (3) for different sea-surface temperatures, and (4) on day and night flights. Researchers will describe the cloud and synoptic conditions present at the time of the Electra flights and show how those flights were coordinated with the operations of other aircraft and with satellite overpasses. Mean thermodynamic and wind profiles and the heat, moisture, and momentum fluxes obtained from data collected during these flights will be compared. Variations in the cloud-top structure will be quantified using LIDAR data collected during several of the Electra flights. The spatial structure of cloud-top height and the cloud-base height will be compared with the turbulent structure in the boundary layer as defined by spectra and cospectra of the wind, temperature, and moisture.

Albrecht, Bruce A.↗

Mean state densities, temperatures and winds during the MAC/SINE and MAC/EPSILON campaigns

Two field campaigns were conducted, primarily in northern Norway, in the summer and late autumn of 1987; these yielded a total of 41 in situ temperature profiles and 67 in situ wind profiles. Simultaneously, ground-based measurements were conducted of OH temperatures and sodium lidar temperatures for 85 and 104 hours, respectively. The summer campaign's mean temperature profile exhibited major deviations from the CIRA (1986) reference atmosphere; the differences between this model and the observations are less pronounced in the autumn. Both the summer and autumn mean wind profiles were in general agreement with the CIRA model.

Luebken, F.-J.↗

WKBJ approximation of the stability of a frontal mean state

The baroclinic instability of a frontal mean state is investigated using the WKBJ approximation. The results are compared with numerical calculations performed on the same mean state. Excellent agreement (within 5 percent) is found for jets whose half-width is as a Rossby radius of deformation. For jets 20 percent broader, the agreement is almost perfect.

Lindzen, Richard S.↗

COSPAR International Reference Atmosphere grand mean

The mean behavior of the earth atmosphere from 0 to 120 km altitude is briefly characterized on the basis of the COSPAR International Reference Atmosphere (CIRA) for 1986. The CIRA annual zonal mean for 30 deg N is used to derive single profiles for the pressure, height, temperature, and zonal wind, and the results are presented in a table.

Barnett, J. J.↗

Monthly means of selected climate variables for 1985 - 1989

Meteorologists are accustomed to viewing instantaneous weather maps, since these contain the most relevant information for the task of producing short-range weather forecasts. Climatologists, on the other hand, tend to deal with long-term means, which portray the average climate. The recent emphasis on dynamical extended-range forecasting and, in particular measuring and predicting short term climate change makes it important that we become accustomed to looking at variations on monthly and longer time scales. A convenient toll for researchers to familiarize themselves with the variability which occurs in selected parameters on these time scales is provided. The format of the document was chosen to help facilitate the intercomparison of various parameters and highlight the year-to-year variability in monthly means.

Schubert, S.↗

Rossby waves in a fluctuating zonal mean flow

The effects of the zonal mean wind variability on the energy propagation of a stationary Rossby wave in a barotropic nondivergent atmosphere are studied. It is shown that the random nature of the zonal wind fluctuations do not allow Rossby wave energy to propagate from its energy source. The mechanism for this effect is strongly dependent on the spatial resolution at which the zonal mean flow is assumed to be known. Some speculations are offered on the relation between this mechanism and the systematic error of some low-resolution climate models.

Pandolfo, Lionel↗

Tidal deceleration of the moon's mean motion

The secular change in the mean motion of the moon, n, caused by the tidal dissipation in the ocean and solid earth is due primarily to the effect of the diurnal and semidiurnal tides. The long-period ocean tides produce an increase in n, but the effects are only 1 percent of the diurnal and semidiurnal ocean tides. In this investigation, expressions for these effects are obtained by developing the tidal potential in the ecliptic reference system. The computation of the amplitude of equilibrium tide and the phase corrections is also discussed. The averaged tidal deceleration of the moon's mean motion, n, from the most recent satellite ocean tide solutions is -25.25 +/- 0.4 arcseconds/sq century. The value for n inferred from the satellite-determined ocean-tide solution is in good agreement with the value obtained from the analysis of 20 years of lunar laser-ranging observations.

Cheng, M. K.↗

Determination of mean rainfall from the Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I) using a mixed lognormal distribution

Global estimates of monthly, seasonal, and annual oceanic rainfall are computed for a period of one year using data from the Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSM/I). Instantaneous rainfall estimates are derived from brightness temperature values obtained from the satellite data using the Hughes D-matrix algorithm. The instantaneous rainfall estimates are stored in 1 deg square bins over the global oceans for each month. A mixed probability distribution combining a lognormal distribution describing the positive rainfall values and a spike at zero describing the observations indicating no rainfall is used to compute mean values. The resulting data for the period of interest are fitted to a lognormal distribution by using a maximum-likelihood. Mean values are computed for the mixed distribution and qualitative comparisons with published historical results as well as quantitative comparisons with corresponding in situ raingage data are performed.

Berg, Wesley↗

Periodic gravitational perturbations for conversion between osculating and mean orbit elements

Algorithms for converting between osculating and mean orbit elements are currently limited to computing the contribution due to the second zonal harmonic (J2). This paper presents an improved conversion algorithm that includes the effects of all zonal, sectorial and tesseral harmonics, second order J2, and third-body gravitational perturbations. Mean elements are useful for preliminary orbit and maneuver design; however, for more precise work, such as groundtrack targeting, osculating elements are required. This improved conversion algorithm was developed to meet accuracy requirements for the TOPEX/Poseidon mission; but, additional use can be considered for satellites orbiting planets like Venus that do not have a dominant J2. Results are presented from tests performed using the new algorithm with the planned TOPEX/Poseidon earth orbit as well as the Mars Observer and proposed circular Magellan (Venus) orbits.

Guinn, Joseph R.↗

A study of eddy-induced fluctuations of the zonal-mean wind using conventional and transformed Eulerian diagnostics

The dynamics of eddy-induced fluctuations of the zonal-mean current in the troposphere and lower stratosphere is investigated using conventional and transformed Eulerian diagnostics utilizing ECMWF FGGE IIIb data. The results obtained support the notion that large convergences of the vertical component of the Eliassen-Palm flux in the middle troposphere at mid- to high-latitudes have much less effect on zonal-mean angular momentum fluctuations than do small divergences of the horizontal component at lower latitudes and higher altitudes.

Pfeffer, Richard L.↗

Mean sea surface and gravity investigations using TOPEX/Poseidon altimeter data

From a broad point of view, we will be concerned with studying global ocean circulation patterns on the basis of ocean surface determinations with geoid undulation information. In addition, we will study local variations of the gravity field implied by the altimeter data. These general goals are reflected in the title of our investigation. To meet our general goal, we have defined a number of specific objectives: (1) sea surface topography representation; (2) mean sea surface determination; (3) development of local geoid models; (4) mean sea surface comparisons; (5) sea surface topographic files; and (6) gravity anomaly determination.

Rapp, Richard H.↗