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NASA NTRS2020

VolKilau: Volcano Rapid Response Balloon Campaign During the 2018 Kilauea Eruption

After nearly 35 years of stable activity, the Kilauea volcanic system in Hawaiʽi, went through sudden changes in May 2018 with the emergence of 20 volcanic fissures along the Lower Eastern Rift Zone(LERZ) destroying 700 homes in Leilani Estates and forcing more than 2000 people to evacuate. Volcanic emissions lasted for several months between June and September 2018 leading to low visibility and poor air quality in Hawaiʽi and across the Western Pacific. The NASA-funded VolKilau mission was rapidly mounted and conducted between 11-18 June 2018 to: i) Profile volcanic emissions with SO2and aerosol measurements, ii) Validate satellite observations and iii) Be prepared for the next large volcanic eruption. Through a series of balloon-borne measurements with tethered and free released launches, we measured SO2 concentration, aerosol concentration and optical properties 60 to 80km downwind from the volcanic fissures using gas sensors, optical particle counters, backscatter sondes, and an aerosol impactor. While most of measurements made during the Kilauea eruption were ground-based, the VolKilau mission represented a unique opportunity to characterize plume properties, constrain emission profiles, study early chemistry involving the conversion of SO2 into sulfuric acid and understand the influence of water clouds in the removal of SO2. Our team continues to be better prepared for deploying in the event of a major volcanic eruption

J-P Vernier↗
NASA NTRS2022

The Zn, S, and Cl Isotope Compositions of Mare Basalts: Implications for the Effects of Eruption Style and Pressure on Volatile Element Stable Isotope Fractionation on the Moon

We compare the stable isotope compositions of Zn, S, and Cl for Apollo mare basalts to better constrain the sources and timescales of lunar volatile loss. Mare basalts have broadly elevated yet limited ranges in δ(66)Zn, δ(34)S, and δ(37)Cl_(SBC+WSC) values of 1.27 ± 0.71, 0.55 ± 0.18, and 4.1 ± 4.0‰, respectively, compared to the silicate Earth at 0.15, –1.28, and 0‰, respectively. We find that the Zn, S, and Cl isotope compositions are similar between the low- and high-Ti mare basalts, providing evidence of a geochemical signature in the mare basalt source region that is inherited from lunar formation and magma ocean crystallization. The uniformity of these compositions implies mixing following mantle overturn, as well as minimal changes associated with subsequent mare magmatism. Degassing of mare magmas and lavas did not contribute to the large variations in Zn, S, and Cl isotope compositions found in some lunar materials (i.e., 15‰ in δ(66)Zn, 60‰ in δ(34)S, and 30‰ in δ(37)Cl). This reflects magma sources that experienced minimal volatile loss due to high confining pressures that generally exceeded their equilibrium saturation pressures. Alternatively, these data indicate effective isotopic fractionation factors were near unity. Our observations of S isotope compositions in mare basalts contrast to those for picritic glasses (Saal and Hauri 2021), which vary widely in S isotope compositions from –14.0 to 1.3‰, explained by extensive degassing of picritic magmas under high-P/P_(Sat) values (>0.9) during pyroclastic eruptions. The difference in the isotope compositions of picritic glass beads and mare basalts may result from differences in effusive (mare) and explosive (picritic) eruption styles, wherein the high-gas contents necessary for magma fragmentation would result in large effective isotopic fractionation factors during degassing of picritic magmas. Additionally, in highly vesiculated basalts, the δ(34)S and δ(37)Cl values of apatite grains are higher and more variable than the corresponding bulk-rock values. The large isotopic range in the vesiculated samples is explained by late-stage low-pressure “vacuum” degassing (P/P-(Sat) ~ 0) of mare lavas wherein vesicle formation and apatite crystallization took place post-eruption. Bulk-rock mare basalts were seemingly unaffected by vacuum degassing. Degassing of mare lavas only became important in the final stages of crystallization recorded in apatite—potentially facilitated by cracks/fractures in the crystallizing flow. We conclude that samples with wide-ranging volatile element isotope compositions are likely explained by localized processes, which do not represent the bulk Moon.

Halogens↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Plasmoids, Flows, and Jets During Magnetic Reconnection in a Failed Filament Eruption

We report a detailed analysis of a flare/failed eruption in Active Region 12018 on April 3, 2014, using observations from SDO/AIA, IRIS, STEREO and Hinode/SOT. Initially, we observed multiple jets originating from the cusp of a large coronal bright point (null-point topology) 1-2 hours prior to the slow rise of a filament. The subsequent filament eruption, which was outside the IRIS field of view, was accompanied by a flare but remained confined. Multiple blobs were observed, most likely formed in a breakout current sheet near the cusp during the filament slow rise. During the explosive flare reconnection phase, plasmoids also appeared and moved bidirectionally (speed=100-285 km/s, periodicity~70 s) in the flare current sheet below the erupting filament. The tiny jet-like features in the fan loops were detected during the filament slow-rise/pre-flare phase associated with slow interchange/breakout reconnection at 3D null followed by multiple plasmoids moving along the fan-loops/separatrix. We will discuss why our interpretation is more robust than the nanoflare heating/flows suggested by Antolin et al. (2021).

P. Kumar↗
NASA NTRS2023

Another Look at Erupting Minifilaments at the Base of Solar X-Ray Polar Coronal “Standard” and “Blowout” Jets

We examine 21 solar polar coronal jets that we identify in soft X-ray images obtained from the Hinode/X-ray telescope (XRT). We identify 11 of these jets as blowout jets and four as standard jets (with six uncertain), based on their X-ray-spire widths being respectively wide or narrow (compared to the jet’s base) in the XRT images. From corresponding Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) images from the Solar Dynamics Observatory’s (SDO) Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA), essentially all (at least 20 of 21) of the jets are made by minifilament eruptions,consistent with other recent studies. Here, we examine the detailed nature of the erupting minifilaments (EMFs) in the jet bases. Wide-spire (“blowout”) jets often have ejective EMFs, but sometimes they instead have an EMF that is mostly confined to the jet’s base rather than ejected. We also demonstrate that narrow-spire (“standard”) jets can have either a confined EMF, or a partially confined EMF where some of the cool minifilament leaks into the jet’s spire. Regarding EMF visibility: we find that in some cases the minifilament is apparent in as few as one of the four EUV channels we examined, being essentially invisible in the other channels; thus it is necessary to examine images from multiple EUV channels before concluding that a jet does not have an EMF at its base. The size of the EMFs, measured projected against the sky and early in their eruption, is 14′′ ± 7′′, which is within a factor of two of other measured sizes of coronal-jet EMFs. A full report on these results will be published in the Astrophysical Journal. This work was supported by NASA's HGI, HSR, and HSOC programs, and by the NASA/MSFC Hinode Project.

Alphonse C Sterling↗
NASA NTRS2022

The 2019 Raikoke volcanic eruption -Part 2: Particle-phase dispersion and concurrent wildfire smoke emissions

Between 27 June and 14 July 2019 aerosol layers were observed by the United Kingdom (UK) Raman lidar network in the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere. The arrival of these aerosol layers in late June caused some concern within the London Volcanic Ash Advisory Centre (VAAC) as according to dispersion simulations the volcanic plume from the 21 June 2019 eruption of Raikoke was not expected over the UK until early July. Using dispersion simulations from the Met Office Numerical Atmospheric-dispersion Modelling Environment (NAME), and supporting evidence from satellite and in situ aircraft observations, we show that the early arrival of the stratospheric layers was not due to aerosols from the explosive eruption of the Raikoke volcano but due to biomass burning smoke aerosols associated with intense forest fires in Alberta, Canada, that occurred 4 d prior to the Raikoke eruption. We use the observations and model simulations to describe the dispersion of both the volcanic and forest fire aerosol clouds and estimate that the initial Raikoke ash aerosol cloud contained around 15 Tg of volcanic ash and that the forest fires produced around 0.2 Tg of biomass burning aerosol. The operational monitoring of volcanic aerosol clouds is a vital capability in terms of aviation safety and the synergy of NAME dispersion simulations, and lidar data with depolarising capabilities allowed scientists at the Met Office to interpret the various aerosol layers over the UK and attribute the material to their sources. The use of NAME allowed the identification of the observed stratospheric layers that reached the UK on 27 June as biomass burning aerosol, characterised by a particle linear depolarisation ratio of 9 %, whereas with the lidar alone the latter could have been identified as the early arrival of a volcanic ash–sulfate mixed aerosol cloud. In the case under study, given the low concentration estimates, the exact identification of the aerosol layers would have made little substantive difference to the decision-making process within the London VAAC. However, our work shows how the use of dispersion modelling together with multiple observation sources enabled us to create a more complete description of atmospheric aerosol loading.

Martin J Osborne↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Another Look at Erupting Minifilaments at the Base of Solar X-Ray Polar Coronal “Standard” and “Blowout” Jets

We examine 21 solar polar coronal jets that we identify in soft X-ray images obtained fromthe Hinode/X-ray telescope (XRT). We identify 11 of these jets as blowout jets and four asstandard jets (with six uncertain), based on their X-ray-spire widths being respectively wide or narrow (compared to the jet’s base) in the XRT images. From corresponding Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) images from the Solar Dynamics Observatory’s (SDO) Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA), essentially all (at least 20 of 21) of the jets are made by minifilament eruptions, consistent with other recent studies. Here, we examine the detailed nature of the erupting minifilaments (EMFs) in the jet bases. Wide-spire (“blowout”) jets often have ejective EMFs, but sometimes they instead have an EMF that is mostly confined to the jet’s base rather than ejected. We also demonstrate that narrow-spire (“standard”) jets can have either a confined EMF, or a partially confined EMF where some of the cool minifilament leaks into the jet’s spire. Regarding EMF visibility: we find that in some cases the minifilament is apparent in as few as one of the four EUV channels we examined, being essentially invisible in the other channels; thus it is necessary to examine images from multiple EUV channels before concluding that a jet does not have an EMF at its base. The size of the EMFs, measured projected against the sky and early in their eruption, is 14′′ ± 7′′, which is within a factor of two of other measured sizes of coronal-jet EMFs. A full report on these results are available in Sterling et al. (2022, ApJ, 927, 127).This work was supported by NASA’s HGI and HSR programs, and by the MSFC HinodeProject.

Alphonse C Sterling↗
NASA NTRS2022

La Soufriere Volcanic Eruptions Launched Gravity Waves Into Space

Atmospheric gravity waves can be excited by explosive volcanic eruptions and may reach Earth's upper atmosphere. In this study, we report on mesoscale concentric gravity waves observed in the mesopause airglow layer following the La Soufriere volcano eruption in April 2021. A large ash plume observed by the spaceborne Multi-angle Imaging SpectroRadiometer instrument on April 10 reached ∼20 km. Temporal evolution of the volcanic ash plume was provided by the GOES-16 Advanced Baseline Imager. Nightglow gravity waves were observed by the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite Day Night Band. These waves had horizontal wavelengths of ∼25–40 km, and took about a half-to-1 hr to travel from the tropopause to the mesopause. Some concentric ionospheric disturbance signatures are also seen in Global Navigation Satellite System-total electron content maps. We found the launch of gravity waves to be highly correlated with the elevated ash plume from explosive eruptions.

gravity waves↗
NASA NTRS2022

Quantifying Energy Release in Solar Flares and Solar Eruptive Events

Solar flares and the often associated solar eruptive events serve as an outstanding laboratory to study the magnetic reconnection and the associated energy release and conversion processes under plasma conditions difficult to reproduce in the laboratory, and with considerable spatiotemporal details not possible elsewhere in the universe. In the past decade, thanks to advances in multiwavelength imaging spectroscopy, as well as developments in theories and numerical modeling, significant progress has been made in improving our understanding of solar flare/eruption energy release. In particular, broadband imaging spectroscopy at microwave wavelengths offered by the Expanded Owens Valley Solar Array (EOVSA) has enabled the revolutionary capability of measuring the time-evolving coronal magnetic fields at or near the flare reconnection region. However, owing to EOVSA’s limited dynamic range, imaging fidelity, and angular resolution, such measurements can only be done in a region around the brightest source(s) where the signal-to-noise is sufficiently large. In this white paper, after a brief introduction to the outstanding questions and challenges pertinent to magnetic energy release in solar flares and eruptions, we will demonstrate how a next-generation radio facility with many (∼100–200) antenna elements can bring the next revolution by enabling high dynamic range, high fidelity broadband imaging spectropolarimetry along with a sub-second time resolution and arcsecond level angular resolution. We recommend to prioritize the implementation of such a ground-based instrument within this decade. We also call for facilitating multi-wavelength, multi-messenger observations and advanced numerical modeling in order to achieve a comprehensive understanding of the “system science” of solar flares and eruptions.

Bin Chen↗
NASA NTRS2022

Perturbations in Stratospheric Aerosol Evolution Due to the Water-Rich Plume of the 2022 Hunga-Tonga Eruption

The January 2022 Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai (HTHH) volcanic eruption injected a relatively small amount of SO2, but significantly more water into the stratosphere than previously seen in the modern satellite record. Here we show that the large amount of water resulted in large perturbations to stratospheric aerosol evolution. Our Community Earth System Model simulation reproduces the enhanced water vapor observed by the Microwave Limb Sounder at pressure levels between 10 and 50 hPa for three months. Compared with a simulation without a water injection, this additional source of water vapor increases OH, which halves the SO2 lifetime. Subsequent coagulation creates larger sulfate particles that double the stratospheric aerosol optical depth. A seasonal forecast of volcanic plume transport in the southern hemisphere indicates this eruption will greatly enhance the aerosol surface area and water vapor near the polar vortex until at least October 2022, suggesting that there will continue to be an impact of the HTHH eruption on the climate system.

Atmospheric science↗
NASA NTRS2023

The Cross Equatorial Transport of the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai Eruption Plume

On 15 January 2022, the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai (HT) eruption injected SO 2 and water into the middle stratosphere. Shortly after the eruption, the water vapor anomaly moved northward toward and across the equator. This northward movement appears to be due to equatorial Rossby waves forced by the excessive infrared water vapor cooling. Following the early eruption stage, persistent mid-stratospheric water vapor and aerosol layers were mostly confined to Southern Hemisphere tropics (Eq. to 30°S). However, during the spring of 2022, the westerly phase of the tropical quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) descended through the tropics. The HT water vapor and aerosol anomalies were observed to again move across the equator coincident with the shift in the Brewer-Dobson circulation and the descent of the QBO shear zone.

Atmospheric Science↗
NASA NTRS2022

Atmospheric Waves and Global Seismoacoustic Observations of the January 2022 Hunga Eruption, Tonga

The 15 January 2022 climactic eruption of Hunga volcano, Tonga, produced an explosion in the atmosphere of a size that has not been documented in the modern geophysical record. The event generated a broad range of atmospheric waves observed globally by various ground-based and spaceborne instrumentation networks. Most prominent was the surface-guided Lamb wave (≲0.01 hertz), which we observed propagating for four (plus three antipodal) passages around Earth over 6 days. As measured by the Lamb wave amplitudes, the climactic Hunga explosion was comparable in size to that of the 1883 Krakatau eruption. The Hunga eruption produced remarkable globally detected infrasound (0.01 to 20 hertz), long-range (~10,000 kilometers) audible sound, and ionospheric perturbations. Seismometers worldwide recorded pure seismic and air-to-ground coupled waves. Air-to-sea coupling likely contributed to fast-arriving tsunamis. Here, we highlight exceptional observations of the atmospheric waves.

Robin S Matoza↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Projecting the Lasting Fate of the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai Eruption on the Stratosphere through Connecting Measurements to Models

On 15th Jan. 2022 the submarine volcano Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai (HTHH) injected approximately 0.5 Tg of sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere, but more significantly added 150-170 Tg of water vapor to the stratospheric background (over a 10% perturbation) in a matter of several hours. The sulfur dioxide rapidly converted to sulfate aerosol and along with water vapor, was transported around the Southern Hemisphere sub-tropics into midlatitudes with some transport into the Northern Hemisphere. With a much longer lifetime than sulfate aerosol, measurable water vapor anomalies are likely to persist for the remainder of the decade. Satellite measurements from limb and nadir viewing observing instruments provide the information needed to reasonably initialize the HTHH eruption in the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) model using the “replay” framework coupled to the Global Modeling Initiative (GMI) stratosphere-troposphere chemical mechanism for the recent past and continue the simulations into the future with the free running chemistry climate model (CCM). Using a number of model ensemble members together with the satellite observations, we are beginning to quantify how the HTHH eruption is perturbing stratospheric composition and climate and projecting the influences to come as the enhanced water vapor continues to spread globally with only very slow removal mechanisms. We will also discuss some of the future measurement needs to understand how the atmosphere is responding to events like the HTHH eruption, large wildfires, and a changing climate.

volcano↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Projecting the Lasting Fate of the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai Eruption on the Stratosphere through Connecting Measurements to Models

On 15th Jan. 2022 the submarine volcano Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai (HTHH) injected approximately 0.5 Tg of sulfur dioxide into the stratosphere, but more significantly added 150-170 Tg of water vapor to the stratospheric background (over a 10% perturbation) in a matter of several hours. The sulfur dioxide rapidly converted to sulfate aerosol and along with water vapor, was transported around the Southern Hemisphere sub-tropics into midlatitudes with some transport into the Northern Hemisphere. With a much longer lifetime than sulfate aerosol, measurable water vapor mass anomalies have persisted with only small losses over the past almost 2 years and are likely to continue above background for the remainder of the decade. Satellite measurements from limb and nadir viewing observing instruments provide the information needed to reasonably initialize the HTHH eruption in the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) model using the “replay” framework coupled to the Global Modeling Initiative (GMI) stratosphere-troposphere chemical mechanism for the recent past and continue the simulations into the future with the free running chemistry climate model (CCM). Using a number of model ensemble members together with the satellite observations, we quantify how the HTHH eruption is perturbing stratospheric composition and climate and projecting the influences to come as the enhanced water vapor continues in the stratosphere with only very slow removal mechanisms. HTHH eruption provides a useful test of chemistry climate models and an opportunity for observation-based process understanding, which we will highlight.

Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai↗
NASA NTRS2024

Simulating the Volcanic Sulfate Aerosols From the 1991 Eruption of Cerro Hudson and Their Impact on the 1991 Ozone Hole

The Chilean volcano Cerro Hudson erupted between August 8th and 15th, 1991, injecting between 1.7 and 2.9 Tg of SO2 into the upper troposphere and lower stratosphere. We simulate this injection using the GEOS Earth system model with detailed sulfur chemistry and sectional aerosol microphysics, focusing on the resulting aerosols and their contribution to the 1991 Antarctic Austral Springtime ozone hole. The simulations show a column ozone deficit (12 DU) in the Southern Hemisphere vortex collar region. The majority of this effect is between 10 and 20 km and due to heterogeneous chemistry. The model shows a 26% decrease in ozone from background levels at these altitudes, compared with in-situ observations of a 50% decrease. Above 20 km, the dynamical response to the eruption also causes lower ozone values, a novel modeling result. This experiment highlights potential interactions between proposed solar radiation management geoengineering aerosols and volcanic eruptions.

aerosols↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Tracking the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai Eruption Stratospheric Aerosol and Trace Gas Plumes Using Machine Learning

On January 15, 2022, the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha’apai (hereafter, Hunga Tonga) submarine volcano had an explosive eruption that thrusted ash, gases, and water vapor through the troposphere into the stratosphere and mesosphere. Previous studies manually tracked the aerosol and trace gas plumes over time across different positions in the southern hemisphere. Using data retrieved from low earth orbiting satellite instruments (e.g., OMPS, OMI, and CALIPSO), this research demonstrates how open-source machine learning (ML) models, like Meta’s Segment Anything Model (SAM), with prompt engineering can perform automatic plume tracking following the Hunga Tonga eruption. This extensible methodology, and modular data processing and modeling pipeline using NASA Earthdata and Openscapes, establishes a framework for systematically and rapidly studying extreme events, including volcanic eruptions and large-scale wildfires. By combining advanced machine learning techniques, such as SAM’s zero-shot learning, with large volumes of remote sensing data, this work demonstrates how AI and open science can accelerate research and generate actionable results. The tools and technologies presented here can help translate earth science to action from NASA’s current and future Earth observing satellite missions (e.g., the Atmosphere Observing System (AOS)), and assist researchers and stakeholders in understanding, mapping, and responding to natural disasters and extreme events in a changing world.

David M. Giles↗
NASA NTRS2020

Characterization of the 2008 Phreatomagmatic Eruption of Okmok From ArcticDEM and InSAR: Deposition, Erosion, and Deformation

Okmok volcano, one of the most active volcanoes in the Aleutian Islands, erupted between 12 July and 19 August 2008 and produced a new tephra cone (Ahmanilix) up to 253 m high. A coeruptive deposit thickness map and the posteruptive elevation change rate map are generated for this phreatomagmatic eruption using the new, high-resolution (2 m) digital elevation model (DEM) time series provided by ArcticDEM. The total dense rock equivalent (DRE) volume over the proximal deposit field classified from the elevation change map is estimated as 0.147 ± 0.001 km 3 DRE (bulk volume of 0.453 ± 0.003 km 3 ). Combined with the distal deposit volume derived from field measurements, the total DRE is 0.25 km 3 (bulk volume of 0.76 km 3 ). The estimated erosion rate is up to −15 ± 3 m/year along the flanks of Ahmanilix, and the redeposition rate is about 1 ± 0.3 m/year at the base and 6 ± 1 m/year within the center of Ahmanilix. The surface elevation change also reveals a large ground surface collapse that disrupted the old Cone D lava bench, with a total collapse area of 0.15 km2 and a volume of (7.1 ± 0.4) × 10−3 km 3 . We also produce a coeruptive deformation map from satellite interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) using topography from both ArcticDEM and the Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) and compare the results. Finally, based on historical eruption volumes, the magma supply rate at Okmok is estimated as (1.77 ± 0.1) × 10−3 km 3 /year.

Chunli Dai↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Examining the Early Onset of Selected Large Solar Eruptions During the 2024 May Superstorm Episode

Recent studies indicate that solar flares are preceded by a period of above-ambient coronal heating, along with an increase in coronal X-ray emissions (Hudson et al. 2021). Despite being extremely common, the cause of these enhanced preflare emissions has not yet been understood. Here, our team examines in detail several of the large eruptions during the May 2024 superstorm period that resulted in significant geomagnetic disturbances. We use data from the Solar Dynamics Observatory's (SDO) Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA) and Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI), from the Hinode satellite, and from other sources. For several of the GOES X-class events on 8-10 May, we find that the preflare heating signature is more complex than in the case of flares occurring in less dynamic solar regions, but nonetheless distinct hot (>~ 10 MK) preflare coronal signatures are present. Understanding of the cause of such preflare activity prior to the onset of geoeffective solar eruptions is essential to developing an eventual robust prediction algorithm for warning of impending solar eruptions that threaten Space Weather consequences.

Alphonse C. Sterling↗