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Risk-Informed Analysis for Enhanced Resilient Nuclear Power Plant with Initiatives including ATF, FLEX, and Advanced Battery Technology

This report documents the activities performed by the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) during fiscal year (FY) 2021 for the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) Program, Risk-Informed Systems Analysis (RISA) Pathway, Enhanced Resilient Plant (ERP) Systems research. The purpose of the RISA Pathway research and development is to support plant owner-operator decisions with the aim to improve the economics, reliability, and maintain the high levels of safety of current nuclear power plants over periods of extended plant operations. The concept of ERP refers to the combinations of accident-tolerant fuel (ATF), optimal use of diverse and flexible coping strategy (FLEX), enhancements to plant components and systems, the incorporation of augmented or new passive cooling systems, the advanced battery technology with extended capacity, as well as improved fuel cycle efficiency. The objective of the ERP research effort is to use the RISA methods and toolkit in industry applications, including methods development and early demonstration of technologies, in order to enhance existing reactors? safety features and to substantially reduce operating costs through risk-informed approaches to plant design modifications to the plant and their characterization. The ERP R&D efforts in FY 2021 are focused on three industry initiatives, including accident-tolerant fuel (ATF), optimal use of diverse and flexible coping strategy (FLEX), and advanced battery technology with extended capacity.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Analysis of Benefits Associated With Projects and Technologies Supported by the Clean Transportation Program

The California Energy Commission's Clean Transportation Program (CTP) supports a wide range of alternative, low-carbon fuel and vehicle projects. This report improves upon the 2014 Alternative and Renewable Fuel and Vehicle Technology Program (ARFVTP) Benefits Report(the former name of the Clean Transportation Program), which focused on two components of benefit calculation: expected benefits and market transformation benefits. The "expected benefits" are defined as benefits that accrue because of the direct displacement of petroleum-based fuels or vehicle technologies. The "market transformation benefits" accrue because of CTP funding shifting the underlying market dynamics and accelerating the adoption of alternative fuel vehicles. This report documents the updated methods used in the benefits analysis in 2014 and applies them for this 2021 Clean Transportation Program Benefits Report. The project team used data collected from CTP projects funded from 2009 to the third quarter of 2021 to estimate the benefits between 2021 and 2030. CTP projects valued at $\$898.3 million$ were assessed (out of $\$1.04 billion$ funded) to estimate expected benefits of 249 million gallons per year petroleum reduction and 2.79 million metric tons per year of carbon dioxide equivalent greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction in 2030. Market transformation benefits are additive to the expected benefits and were estimated with high and low ranges for the 315 relevant projects evaluated. The market transformation benefits' GHG reductions are estimated as 2.2 million to 6.2 million metric tons of carbon dioxide equivalent per year and the petroleum reductions as 145.3 million to 671.5 million gasoline gallon equivalents per year in 2030. Combining both benefit types, the CTP projects can make significant progress toward meeting California's long-term GHG and petroleum fuel use reduction goals.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Risk-Informed Safety Analysis for Accident Tolerant Fuels

Accident Tolerant Fuels (ATF) are being tested by different nuclear vendors and research organization and their introduction in light water reactors fleet is planned for the second half of the 2020`s. In the framework of the US-DOE Light-Water Reactor Sustainability program, Risk-Informed Safety Analysis pathway (LWRS-RISA), research activities are being conducted at the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) for developing tools and methods that can help the industry in quantifying the ATF introduction benefits. In this paper we describe the developed risk-informed methodology, the codes improvements and we present some results for selected accidental conditions. The developed methodology combines INL state-of-the-art deterministic Best Estimate tools like RELAP5-3D code, and Probabilistic Risk Analysis tools like RAVEN and SAPHIRE codes. The analyses are performed on a three-loops pressurized water reactor (PWR) simulating accidental conditions like Station Blackout and LB-LOCA and considering near-term ATF (FeCrAl and Chromium-coated clads). Finally, we show, through our methodologies, how the delta-Core Damage Frequency can be assessed.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Structural Simluation Toolkit (SST) v.11.0

The SST provides a parallel framework to perform system simulation of computer architectures to determine their performance and power consumption. Additionally, the SST contains basic models of a computer processor, and interconnect and can connect to an external memory simulator (DRAMSim II). The SST framework provides a simple interface by which other computer simulation models can be combined under a common parallel discrete event-based simulation environment. This allows design exploration of future architectures, analysis of how current computer programs will function on future architectures. The SST provides a parallel discrete event simulation framework, including partitioning and object distribution over MPI. It also provides a mechanism by which components can report their power consumption for analysis.

Rodrigues, ArunF.↗

Risk-Informed Safety Analysis for Accident Tolerant Fuels

Accident Tolerant Fuels (ATF) are being tested by different nuclear vendors and research organizations and their introduction in the US light water reactors fleet is planned for the second half of the 2020`s. In the framework of the US-DOE Light-Water Reactor Sustainability program, Risk-Informed Systems Analysis pathway, researches are being conducted at the Idaho National Laboratory for developing tools and methods that can help the industry quantifying the benefits from the adoption of ATF technology. In this paper we describe the developed risk-informed methodology including the safety analysis codes improvements, and we present some results for selected accident scenarios. The developed methodology combines INL state-of-the-art deterministic Best Estimate code RELAP5-3D, and Probabilistic Risk Analysis tools RAVEN and SAPHIRE. The analyses are performed on a three-loops pressurized water reactor, simulating Station Blackout and LB-LOCA accidents and considering near-term ATFs, or FeCrAl and Chromium-coated clads. Finally, we show how, applying our methodology, the new Core Damage Frequency can be assessed. The results indicated that the main benefits in introducing near-term ATFs concern a significant reduction in the hydrogen production during accident conditions. No significant Core Damage Frequency reduction was found.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Historical Data Analysis Supporting the Data Quality Objectives for the INL Site Environmental Soil Monitoring Program

This document represents the initial evaluation and soil monitoring proposed by Battelle Energy Alliance, LLC (BEA) in 2015. The evaluation included analyses of historical soil monitoring data and soil inventories, current emission estimates, and modeled potential deposition/accumulation patterns. The initially proposed monitoring included a 5-year rotation of in-situ gamma measurements augmented by soil sampling with laboratory analyses near each major active and some inactive facilities. It also proposed rotational in-situ gamma measurements and soil sampling at two centrally located onsite air monitoring locations coinciding with sampling at the traditional offsite soil monitoring locations. The chosen alternative includes only physical soil sampling with laboratory analysis and only at the Radioactive Waste Management Complex (RWMC), the two air monitors and the offsite locations as documented in Data Quality Objectives Supporting the Environmental Soil Monitoring Program for the Idaho National Laboratory (INL) Site, INL/EXT-15-34909, Revision 0, February 2016. The data and evaluations in this document are valid for comparisons with future soil data that may be collected in many INL site locations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Physical Security Timeline Analysis in Support of Advanced Reactor Demonstration and Deployment

This report presents the regulatory requirements and directions on the physical security of advanced nuclear reactors in USA. Presently, a rule is being proposed that allows for a performance-based analysis. In determining the physical security requirements for an advanced reactor, new tools may be desired to conduct a performance-based analysis. These tools should incorporate dynamic analysis methods to provide as much realism as possible. In comparison, the security requirements for existing light water reactors (LWRs) are much more prescriptive and the analysis conducted to establish the required physical security strategies were more easily performed with static analysis. In order to achieve the cost goals that advanced reactors require for adoption; the nuclear security force required should not be excessive. Dynamic physical security analysis methods and tools have been developed by the US Department of Energy (DOE) Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) program. This report details how the dynamic risk analysis tools developed in the LWRS program using the dynamic risk modelling tool, EMRALD, may be adapted for use in analyzing the physical security designs for advanced reactors accounting for variable performance-based requirements. This report provides an example analysis of a hypothetical SFR using publicly available information and generic assumptions to demonstrate the methods and potential presentation and analysis of the results. No actual plant information is used in this example analysis. Future work in this area will create additional models that can be adapted for any advanced reactor concept and use various security features to create a physical security system that provides adequate protection from radiological theft and sabotage.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Open Source Software Prevalence Ingest Tool

The OSSP Ingest Tool accepts user-input organizational information, ingests IT/OT asset lists in Excel format, and ingests the associated CycloneDX SBOM's. It then performs analytics demonstrating the ability to answer the follow research questions: o RQ1. Ability to identify all OSS services running on, and all OSS components present within, an OT device o RQ1a: Ability to differentiate multiple versions of the same OSS component within each OT device. o RQ1b: Ability to differentiate running from not-running OSS components. o RQ1c: Ability to differentiate based on the originator of the component, because a supplier may have modified it after retrieval from the upstream software source. o RQ2. Ability to correlate the identity of a single OSS component across multiple OT devices, mitigating common name variations such as differences in capitalization, '-' vs '_', and so on. o RQ3. Ability to perform subset analysis of OSS components across multiple OT devices o RQ3a: Ability to perform subset analysis across OSS libraries, generating density & distribution graphs to identify commonly-used libraries and outliers. o RQ3b: Ability to perform subset analysis of a single OSS library, generating density & distribution by CI sector, by device type, by device make/model, and/or by firmware version. o RQ3c: Ability to perform subset analysis by grouping OSS libraries according to programming language, then overlay with RQ4b. o RQ3d: Ability to perform subset analysis by OSS upstream source, providing insight into degree of modifications performed by suppliers. o RQ4. Ability to identify dependencies (transitive and direct) of each differentiated OSS library within each OT device, and enable RQ1,2,3 iteratively for dependencies. o RQ1. Ability to identify all OSS services running on, and all OSS components present within, an OT device o RQ1a: Ability to differentiate multiple versions of the same OSS component within each OT device. o RQ1b: Ability Page

Kapadia, Shayna [Lawrence Livermore National Labor↗

Cost of saving natural gas through efficiency programs funded by utility customers: 2012–2017

This study estimates the cost of saving a therm of natural gas from energy efficiency programs funded by utility customers during the period 2012 to 2017. Berkeley Lab researchers compiled and analyzed efficiency program data reported by investor-owned utilities and other program administrators in a dozen states representative of the four U.S. Census regions — Arkansas, California, Connecticut, Iowa, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma, Rhode Island and Utah. Depending on the year, the dataset accounts for about 50 percent to 70 percent of annual national spending on natural gas efficiency programs. The estimated cost of saving natural gas during the study period is $0.40 per therm. The analysis also includes estimates of the program administrator cost of saved energy for three core sectors for natural gas: commercial and industrial, residential, and low-income households. It aggregates these sectors to provide regional and national values. Our metrics include savings-weighted averages, unweighted medians, and interquartile ranges (25th and 75th percentiles) of the levelized program administrator cost of saving gas, in constant 2017 dollars. In addition, the study analyzes cost trends during the study period, finding that average program costs trended downward. The U.S. Department of Energy’s Building Technologies Office supported this work.

03 NATURAL GAS↗

Time-Varying Feedback Optimization for Quadratic Programs with Heterogeneous Gradient Step Sizes

Online feedback-based optimization has become a promising framework for real-time optimization and control of complex engineering systems. This tutorial paper surveys the recent advances in the field as well as provides novel convergence results for primal-dual online algorithms with heterogeneous step sizes for different elements of the gradient. The analysis is performed for quadratic programs and the approach is illustrated on applications for adaptive step-size and model-free online algorithms, in the context of optimal control of modern power systems.

gradient methods↗

Nuclear Data Management and Analysis System Plan

The United States Department of Energy Advanced Reactor Technologies Program was formed in Fiscal Year 2015 and encompasses the Next Generation Nuclear Plant Project and Very High Temperature Reactor (VHTR) Program as they were known previously. The VHTR Program was created to support design and licensing of the first VHTR nuclear plant. Data created for and used by the program must be qualified for use, stored in a readily accessible electronic form, categorized to assure the correct data are used, and controlled to prevent data corruption or inadvertent changes. The Nuclear Data Management and Analysis System was designed to support the data needs of the VHTR Program, at the time and now the Advanced Reactor Technologies Program. Since its inception, use of the Nuclear Data Management and Analysis System has expanded to support additional projects and programs with similar requirements for control, analysis, and availability of large data sets.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Role of microstructure on CO corrosion of SiC layer in UO₂-TRISO fuel

The Advanced Gas Reactor Fuel Qualification and Development (AGR) program has focused on qualification of UCO kernel tristructural-isotropic (TRISO) particle fuel relative to UO₂ kernel TRISO particle fuel. However, a UO₂ kernel variant was included in the second AGR irradiation experiment (AGR-2) for comparison and to connect to historic fuel irradiation data. The development of a multiscale, post-irradiation examination (PIE) analysis approach through the AGR Program has allowed for a comprehensive understanding of individual particle failure. This approach has been applied to gain an understanding of SiC layer failure in UO₂ kernel TRISO fuel from AGR-2 after safety testing at 1600–1700 °C. Particle failure by intergranular CO corrosion, facilitated by a compromised inner pyrolytic carbon layer, has been confirmed through the combined application of modern x-ray computed tomography and electron microscopy techniques. In addition, a relationship between grain boundary character and CO corrosion has been identified. This finding provides an opportunity to develop mitigating strategies to improve the resilience of the SiC layer to CO corrosion in UO₂ TRISO fuel.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Interface Problem Formulation Improvements with Application to Nuclear Fuel Performance Analysis

The U.S. Department of Energy’s Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation Program aims to develop predictive capabilities by applying computational methods to the analysis and design of advanced reactor and fuel cycle systems. This program has been providing engineering scale support for the development of BISON, a high-fidelity and high-resolution fuel performance tool. This report documents new developments and robustness improvements in mechanical and thermal (gap heat transfer) contact formulations. The improvements range from the migration of industrial level (“assessment”) nuclear fuel model setups to the usage of mortar formulations, the addition of frictional contact to one-dimensional layered representations of fuel and cladding components, and the addition of the Petrov-Galerkin approach to dual mortar, which improves performance on curved, relatively coarse meshes. In addition, the Lagrange-multiplier enforcement of mechanical mortar contact constraints has been extended to two additional types of enforcement: penalty and augmented Lagrange-Uzawa. We show that the latter approach yields the same interface results as dual mortar in the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment, with the advantage of not worsening the condition number of the system matrix—thereby enabling the use of some general implementations of iterative preconditioners, at the expense of additional system evaluations (i.e., augmentations).

42 ENGINEERING↗

Software Development for Data Visualization and Analysis of PN-Diodes & MOSFET Devices

The U.S. Department of Energy has a broad mission to ensure the nation’s security by addressing ongoing environmental challenges, developing novel energy production technologies, and mitigating nuclear security concerns. These efforts benefit from developing more effective semiconductor materials and devices. The research discussed in this report aims to further the development of these new electronics by improving implementations of vertical device structures, which offer theoretically better performance compared to lateral structures. Specifically, it reviews the background and development of a new and easy-to-use program for data processing and analysis from experiments run on vertical gallium nitride power devices. Current vertical structures fall short in critical performance metrics, such as On-Resistance and Breakdown Voltage, due to poor management of the device’s electric field. Junction termination extensions, or JTEs, are a field management technique that increases a device’s resilience to expected failure modes by controlling its surface electric fields. Each JTE design requires significant experimental validation, consisting of hundreds of tested devices, each outputting an enormous set of data points. The new software includes multiple methods of filtering large sets of device testing data to identify and remove flawed devices, automate device analyses, and provide statistical breakdowns for four metrics used to define the effectiveness of the JTE and the current carrying capacity of the device. These results can then be related back to fabrication techniques and device design, and in the future, be combined with processing simulations to further improve our understanding of the JTE mechanisms.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Design, characterization and shape recovery behavior of 3D/4D printed shape memory polymers (SMPs)

Shape memory polymers (SMPs) represent a paradigm shift in material science, uniquely capable of undergoing reversible shape transformations triggered by external stimuli, positioning them as pivotal in developing next-generation biomedical devices, aerospace components, and adaptive structures. Extensive research has been done on SMPs with a major focus on high-temperature programming methods, which can limit energy efficiency and applicability with temperature-sensitive materials. Additionally, while various SMP blends have demonstrated great potential, limited work has been done on the suitability for 3D printing these materials, particularly under high-strain and ambient temperature programming conditions. In this study, a three-component optimized SMP composition was evaluated by 3D printing via the Material Extrusion (MEX) technique and investigating its ambient temperature-programming behavior at high strains. The SMP formulation studied was a tailored blend of thermoplastic polyurethane (TPU), polycaprolactone (PCL), and an octadecane diol-based copolymer (OBC) that exhibits robust shape memory behavior, high strain tolerance, and efficient force generation. Rigorous thermal, mechanical, and shape recovery analyses, along with optimized printing parameters and consistent shape recovery rates of up to 90%, were achieved under dynamic mechanical analysis (DMA), even under ambient programming conditions. This work demonstrates the SMP composition’s potential for adaptive, self-deployable systems with 4D printing characteristics ideal for bio-inspired structures and artificial muscle fibers.

Sudan, Kavish [University of Louisville, KY]↗

Agilent CRADA (Abstract)

The CRADA between Agilent Technologies Inc. and Battelle will focus on five software components as listed below: Prototype 4D Feature Finding functionality with a particular focus on recovering low level features and extending the bottom end dynamic range of IM-MS technology. Compare and contrast developments to current 4D Feature Finding capabilities. Highlight important algorithmic aspects employed. Implement the PNNL saturation correction algorithm. Agilent will give PNNL the needed data file access API and assistance in understanding it implementation and any needed instrumental aspects. Supported high resolution products to include Agilent’s TOF, QTOF and IM-QTOF mass spectrometers. PNNL will then work with Agilent to benchmark performance. Implementation of the PNNL Hadamard de-multiplexing algorithm. Agilent will give provide PNNL the needed date file access API access and as needed assistance in understanding the current Agilent multiplexed IM offering. PNNL will then work with Agilent on benchmark performance. Add ion mobility collision cross sections to existing and new metabolomic libraries for data analysis with Agilent’s informatics program MPP/ID Browser. PNNL will work with Agilent to create a software pipeline that takes data from chemical and metabolic standards and properly formats it for inclusion in MPP accessible libraries, using the collision cross section as a new separation dimension. Improvements of MPP multidimensional matching to identify metabolomic features using multiple characteristics beyond retention time and accurate mass. Most significantly matching will include analyte collision cross section with proposed support for sample fraction or RapidFire cartridge and fragmentation spectra. PNNL will work with Agilent to modify and improve the current MPP analysis pipeline to allow for creating, aligning, and identifying MS features defined by accurate mass, collision cross section and chromatographic retention time. As additional criteria such as fraction or RapidFire cartridge type are supported in the identification process, then they also will become part of the automation workflow. This includes the automation of said system to work with command line program (i.e. not a GUI) sufficient for programmatic execution in a pipeline.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Jackson, L., Johnson, M.B., Latrach, A., Grimes, D., Martinez, C., and Mclaughlin, J.F., 2024, Multidisciplinary geotechnical data collection, curation, and analysis for conformity with the regulatory framework for geologic carbon storage in Wyoming, USA: Geological Society of America Abstracts with Programs. Vol. 56, No. 5, 2024, doi: 10.1130/abs/2024AM-405024

Title: Multidisciplinary Geotechnical Data Collection, Curation, and Analysis for Conformity with the Regulatory Framework for Geologic Carbon Storage in Wyoming, USA. Text: Construction and operation of wells for geologic sequestration of carbon dioxide necessitate that they are permitted under the Environmental Protection Agency’s Underground Injection Control Class VI requirements. Class VI wells conform to stringent requirements to ensure long-term safety and integrity of the storage site and the protection of Underground Sources of Drinking Water. Entities pursuing Class VI permitting must provide comprehensive geologic site characterization, including regional geologic structure and stratigraphy, aquifer information, reservoir and confining unit geomechanical properties, geochemical analyses, assessment of trapping capacity and mechanisms, and a variety of other of multidisciplinary geotechnical data. The Wyoming Class VI Site Characterization Database Project is focused on developing a geologic site characterization database of geotechnical information, which has been compiled and verified from established, public databases/entities and scientific literature to expedite Class VI permitting in Sweetwater County within the Greater Green River Basin of southern Wyoming. The preliminary suite of compiled data from 14,000 wells includes 8,000 wells with logs and 7,250 wells with formation tops, ~70 wells with core data (e.g., X-Ray diffraction, petrographic, and petrophysical data), ~2,500 water analyses, ~740 seismic events data, and ~520 bottom-hole temperature measurements. Future work on—and stemming from—this project will include new core analyses, calculation and interpolation of subsurface temperature gradients, mechanical earth models, geochemical simulations, storage capacity estimation, stratigraphic column generation and correlation, and construction of subsurface maps. Finally, this work will help to inspire and facilitate subsurface data compilation and curation beyond Sweetwater County, Wyoming.

42 ENGINEERING↗