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At least 325 records · Page 18

Bayes_Opt-SWMM: A Gaussian process-based Bayesian optimization tool for real-time flood modeling with SWMM

Real-time flood model plays a pivotal role in averting urban flood damage, particularly when there is minimal lead time for preparatory measures. However, urban flood modeling in real-time often contends with inherent uncertainties arising from input data uncertainty and parameter ambiguities. Here this study introduces a real-time calibration (RTC) tool called Bayes_Opt-SWMM, specifically tailored for real-time urban flood modeling and uncertainty optimization. This tool leverages the Gaussian process-based Bayesian optimization algorithm and interfaces seamlessly with the Stormwater Management Model (SWMM). It integrates real-time model forcing data and flood monitoring collected through sensors and gauges which are strategically placed within critical locations of urban drainage systems. Our approach hinges on the Surrogate Model based Uncertainty Optimization (SMUO) concept, providing an avenue for enhancing real-time flood modeling. Bayes_Opt-SWMM runs the optimization process using a surrogate model called Gaussian Process emulator with two inference methods: (1) the Gaussian Process (GP) model and (2) Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm in GP model (GP_MCMC). Furthermore, three acquisition functions, namely Expected Improvement (EI), Maximum Probability of Improvement (MPI), and Lower Confidence Bound (LCB), facilitate optimal parameter fitting within the surrogate models. The efficiency of GP-based surrogate models in learning SWMM model parameters, leads to an improved uncertainty quantification and accelerated real-time flood modeling in urban areas. Overall, Bayes_Opt-SWMM emerges as a cost-effective and valuable tool for real-time flood modeling and monitoring, with significant potential for managing intelligent storm water systems in urban environments.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Dating fractures using luminescence

Rock fracturing (cracking) is a universal process that drives and limits chemical degradation, sediment production and erosion, and deterioration of infrastructure. Despite extensive research gains in rock mechanics on one hand and geochronology on the other, there remains a glaring gap in our ability to understand the long term evolution of natural, in situ fractures. Here we develop a novel fracture exposure dating technique, grounded in modern advances in luminescence geochronology. We apply our new dating method to a granitic boulder from a glacial outwash terrace in California, US. We conclude that the longest, clast-splitting E-W fracture appeared shortly after the boulder's deposit, whereas the secondary N-S fracture appeared 5 ka after the deposition, approximately correlating with the Last Glacial Maximum and Younger Dryas periods of the region, respectively. However, dating of the third fracture (<< 50 µm width) which does not fully split the rock, is ambiguous due to negligible daylight penetration and poor determination of fracture width. The fracture dating method presented herein brings with it the potential to decipher relationships that are crucial for the interpretation and modeling of, for example, long-term landscape and atmospheric evolution relating rock weathering to climate change and erosion.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Analyzing inference workloads for spatiotemporal modeling

Ensuring power grid resiliency, forecasting climate conditions, and optimization of transportation infrastructure are some of the many application areas where data is collected in both space and time. Spatiotemporal modeling is about modeling those patterns for forecasting future trends and carrying out critical decision-making by leveraging machine learning/deep learning. Once trained offline, field deployment of trained models for near real-time inference could be challenging because performance can vary significantly depending on the environment, available compute resources and tolerance to ambiguity in results. Users deploying spatiotemporal models for solving complex problems can benefit from analytical studies considering a plethora of system adaptations to understand the associated performance-quality trade-offs. To facilitate the co-design of next-generation hardware architectures for field deployment of trained models, it is critical to characterize the workloads of these deep learning (DL) applications during inference and assess their computational patterns at different levels of the execution stack. In this paper, we develop several variants of deep learning applications that use spatiotemporal data from dynamical systems. We study the associated computational patterns for inference workloads at different levels, considering relevant models (Long short-term Memory, Convolutional Neural Network and Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolution Network), DL frameworks (Tensorflow and PyTorch), precision (FP16, FP32, AMP, INT16 and INT8), inference runtime (ONNX and AI Template), post-training quantization (TensorRT) and platforms (Nvidia DGX A100 and Sambanova SN10 RDU). Overall, our findings indicate that although there is potential in mixed-precision models and post-training quantization for spatiotemporal modeling, extracting efficiency from contemporary GPU systems might be challenging. Instead, co-designing custom accelerators by leveraging optimized High Level Synthesis frameworks (such as SODA High-Level Synthesizer for customized FPGA/ASIC targets) can make workload-specific adjustments to enhance the efficiency.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Concurrent measurement of strain and chemical reaction rates in a calcite grain pack undergoing pressure solution: Evidence for surface-reaction controlled dissolution

Pressure solution is inferred to be a significant contributor to sediment compaction and lithification, especially in carbonate sediments. For a sediment deforming primarily by pressure solution, the compaction rate should be directly related to the rate of calcite dissolution, transport along grain contacts, and calcite reprecipitation. Previous experimental work has shown that there is evidence that deformation in wet calcite grain packs is consistent with control by pressure solution, but considerable ambiguity remains regarding the rate limiting mechanism. We present the results of laboratory compaction experiments designed to directly measure calcite dissolution and precipitation rates (recrystallization rates) concurrently with strain rate to test whether measured rates are consistent with predicted rates both in absolute magnitude and time evolution. Recrystallization rates are measured using trace element chemistry (Sr/Ca, Mg/Ca) and isotopes (87Sr/86Sr) of fluids flowing slowly through a compacting grain pack as it is being triaxially compressed. Imaging techniques are used to characterize the grain contacts and strain effects in the post-experiment grain pack. Our data show that calcite recrystallization rates calculated from all three geochemical parameters are in approximate agreement and that the rates closely track strain rate. The geochemically inferred rates are close to predicted rates in absolute magnitude. Uncertainty in grain contact dimensions makes distinguishing between surface reaction control and diffusion control difficult. Measured reaction rates decrease faster than predicted from standard pressure solution creep flow laws. This inconsistency may indicate that calcite dissolution rates at grain contacts are more complex, and more time-dependent, than suggested by geometric models designed to predict grain contact stresses.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Multipole interaction in spectral line broadening by plasmas

A long-standing ambiguity in spectral line broadening theory related to the electric field divergence in the quadrupole term of the screened Coulomb radiator-plasma interaction is examined. This is accomplished with multipole expansions from a Taylor series as well as a partial wave analysis of the screened Coulomb interaction. Here, it is explicitly shown that the two approaches agree up to the octupole term for an effective radiator size small compared to the plasma screening length. Furthermore, the ambigous corrections are confirmed appearing naturally in both methods. For higher multipoles the agreement is demonstrated numerically with a computer program using exact arithmetic.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Co 3 Ga 2 Ge 5 : Probing site mixing of the Ru 3 Sn 7 structure type with elements difficult to distinguish by diffraction

Co 3 Ga 2 Ge 5 was synthesized through arc-melting stoichiometric ratios of the elements, and a Ru 3 Sn 7 -type structure was confirmed by X-ray diffraction. Because Co 3 Ga 2 Ge 5 contains Ga and Ge, which have very similar X-ray and neutron scattering factors, any Ga/Ge crystallographic site preference cannot be determined with diffraction alone. The purpose of this study is to highlight the importance of using multiple techniques to characterize otherwise structurally ambiguous intermetallic compounds. Here, we utilize 71 Ga nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy and an analysis of the X-ray absorption fine structure to clarify the amount of Ga/Ge site mixing. Our combined use of X-ray diffraction and spectroscopy provides a comprehensive structural analysis of Ga site mixing across the Ge crystallographic sites, enhancing the understanding of the structure and properties of Co 3 Ga 2 Ge 5 .

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Prussian blue analogues as platform materials for understanding and developing oxygen evolution reaction electrocatalysts

Transition metal based materials containing Fe have drawn great attention as oxygen evolution reaction (OER) catalysts. The nature of the electrocatalytic active species remains under debate due to the ambiguous physicochemical properties of the catalyst materials, such as the oxidation states and crystal structures. Here, in order to address this issue, transition metal Prussian blue analogues (TM-PBA, Na(TM)(Fe)(CN) 6 , TM = V, Fe, Co, and Ni) with an isomorphous structure are investigated for OER catalysis. Our combined experimental measurements and density functional theory (DFT) calculations reveal that TM-PBAs exhibit volcano-like OER activity with Ni-PBA located near the top of the volcano. Such a volcano-like activity profile can be attributed to the distinctive binding energy difference between *O and *OH on different TM-PBAs surfaces. This research demonstrates that TM-PBAs can be used as platform materials for understanding structure-property-activity relationships in OER catalysts.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

Influence of initial conditions on data-driven model identification and information entropy for ideal mhd problems

Data-driven methods of model identification are able to discern governing dynamics of a system from data. Such methods are well suited to help us learn about systems with unpredictable evolution or systems with ambiguous governing dynamics given our current understanding. Many plasma problems of interest fall into these categories as there are a wide range of models that exist, however each model is only useful in a certain regime and often limited by computational complexity. To ensure data-driven methods align with theory, they must be consistent and predictable when acting on data whose governing dynamics are known. Weak Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics (WSINDy) is a recently developed data-driven method that has shown promise in learning governing dynamics from data with high noise levels [1]. This work examines how WSINDy acts on ideal MHD test problems as the initial conditions are varied and specifies limiting requirements for successful equation identification. Furthermore, it is hard to recover the governing dynamics from data that emphasize a single dominant behavior. In these low information cases, Shannon information entropy is able to pick up on the redundancies in the data that affect recoverability.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Effects of Zr substitution on soot combustion over cubic fluorite-structured nanoceria: Soot-ceria contact and interfacial oxygen evolution

Ceria is widely used as a catalyst for soot combustion, but effects of Zr substitution on the reaction mechanism is ambiguous. The present work elucidates effects of Zr substitution on soot combustion over cubic fluorite-structured nanoceria. The nanostructured CeO 2 , Ce 0.92 Zr 0.08 O 2 , and Ce0.84Zr0.16O2 composed of 5–6 nm crystallites display Tm-CO 2 (the temperature at maximum CO 2 yield) at 383, 355, and 375°C under 10 vol.% O 2 /N 2 , respectively. Additionally, the size of agglomerate decreases from 165.5 to 51.9–57.3 nm, which is beneficial for the soot-ceria contact. Moreover, Zr increases the amount of surface oxygen vacancies, generating more active oxygen (O2- and O-) for soot oxidation. Thus, the activities of Ce 0.92 Zr 0.08 O 2 and Ce 0.84 Zr 0.16 O 2 in soot combustion are better than that of CeO2. Although oxygen vacancies promote the migration of lattice O 2- , the enriched surface Zr also inhibits the mobility of lattice O 2- . Therefore, the Tm-CO 2 of Ce 0.84 Zr 0.16 O 2 is higher than that of Ce 0.92 Zr 0.08 O 2 . Based on reaction kinetic study, soot in direct contact with ceria preferentially decomposes with low activation energy, while the oxidation of isolated soot occurs through diffusion with high activation energy. The obtained findings provide new understanding on the soot combustion over nanoceria.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Mechanistic definition and prediction of the mass exchange coefficient between rivers and hyporheic zones: The $α$ of two $Ω$s

Solute transport in interconnected rivers and hyporheic zones is typically modeled through dual-domain models where first-order solute mass transfer between the two domains, Ω R and Ω HZ , is represented by a coefficient α. The transient storage model (TSM) is an example of such an approach. In practice, α is determined by fitting the tails of solute tracer breakthrough curves using a TSM. This approach has led to ambiguity regarding α’s physical meaning and transferability. Here, in this work, we investigated the physical basis for α and tested it with virtual experiments through the fully coupled multiphysics model hyporheicFoam for the Ω R – Ω HZ system. hyporheicFoam explicitly simulated coupled flow and solute transport over a kilometer with centimeter-scale resolution. Model results were analyzed to calculate α following its theoretical definition directly. Using the determined α within a TSM enables accurate reproduction of solute transport, underscoring α’s physical relevance and precision.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Spectroscopic and computational investigations of organometallic complexation of group 12 transition metals by methanobactins from Methylocystis sp. SB2

Methanotrophic bacteria catalyze the aerobic oxidation of methane to methanol using Cu-containing enzymes, thereby exerting a modulating influence on the global methane cycle. To facilitate the acquisition of Cu ions, some methanotrophic bacteria secrete small modified peptides known as “methanobactins,” which strongly bind Cu and function as an extracellular Cu recruitment relay, analogous to siderophores and Fe. In addition to Cu, methanobactins form complexes with other late transition metals, including the Group 12 transition metals Zn, Cd, and Hg, although the interplay among solution-phase configurations, metal interactions, and the spectroscopic signatures of methanobactin-metal complexes remains ambiguous. In this study, the complexation of Zn, Cd, and Hg by methanobactin from Methylocystis sp. strain SB2 was studied using a combination of absorbance, fluorescence, extended x-ray absorption fine structure (EXAFS) spectroscopy, and time-dependent density functional theory (TD-DFT) calculations. We report changes in sample absorbance and fluorescence spectral dynamics, which occur on a wide range of experimental timescales and characterize a clear stoichiometric complexation dependence. Mercury L3-edge EXAFS and TD-DFT calculations suggest a linear model for Hg--S coordination, and TD-DFT suggests a tetrahedral model for Zn 2+ and Cd 2+ . We observed an enhancement in the fluorescence of methanobactin upon interaction with transition metals and propose a mechanism of complexation-hindered isomerization drawing inspiration from the wild-type Green Fluorescent Protein active site. Collectively, our results represent the first combined computational and experimental spectroscopy study of methanobactins and shed new light on molecular interactions and dynamics that characterize complexes of methanobactins with Group 12 transition metals.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Empirical and mechanistic transient fission gas release model for high-burnup LOCA conditions

In response to the nuclear industry desire to extend burnup beyond current licensing practices, the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) released a research information letter (RIL) that provides a basis for analyzing fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal (FFRD) in light-water reactors. Of the five elements discussed, the most ambiguous is the significance of transient fission gas (FG) release (FGR) (tFGR) and its effects on fuel performance under loss-of-coolant accident conditions. In fresh fuel, FG migration and eventual release is primarily governed by diffusion-based mechanisms at higher temperatures (>1,000 °C). However, the mechanisms governing FGR changes as burnup increases. More recent research indicates that FGR increases as burnup increases, specifically under temperature transient conditions, and this release occurs at lower temperatures with a new release mechanism. This behavior has been attributed to microcracking in the fuel and is likely related to microstructure embrittlement with the presence of over pressurized FG bubbles. The NRC RIL outlines the complexity of the phenomenon and a need for a deeper understanding to adequately address FFRD for regulatory application. Here, therefore, this manuscript intends to summarize the publicly available tFGR data and discuss the observed dependencies (e.g., burnup, heating rate, sample geometry, terminal temperature). An empirical model has been developed and benchmarked against recently published experimental data. However, this empirical model is limited to conditions for which fitting data exist and, therefore, a high-level discussion is included to provide a roadmap for atomistically-informed multiscale modeling in conjunction with experimental data collection to develop a mechanistic tFGR model widely applicable to a broad range of nuclear fuel conditions at high burnup.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Characterization of the radial microstructural evolution in LWR UO 2 using electron backscatter diffraction

Studies on high burnup UO 2 subjected to loss-of-coolant accident conditions have shown that restructured regions of the fuel are susceptible to pulverization and eventual dispersal. Due to a lack of pre-test characterization, the distinct microstructural features rendering the fuel prone to fragmentation remain ambiguous. Four samples of commercially irradiated light-water reactor UO 2 have been characterized utilizing electron backscatter diffraction to assess the susceptible microstructure. The microscopy focused on determining the burnup and temperature conditions responsible for the formation of the different microstructural regions where the regions were denoted as the high-burnup structure (HBS), HBS transition, mid-radial, restructured central, and central region. Previous works have outlined the specific conditions required for the restructuring of the microstructure into the HBS, but the conditions responsible for the restructuring in the central region of the fuel are not well understood. The four analyzed samples confirm a burnup threshold of 61 GWd/tU, and an unknown temperature range is needed to facilitate the formation of the restructured central region. In conclusion, additional fuel performance evaluations are needed to quantify the temperature range promoting restructuring in the central region.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Are CO2 batteries ready for the grid? A cross-cutting deployment checklist

Metal-CO2 batteries have attracted considerable research interest in the past decade due to the utilization of the greenhouse CO2 gas. The low cost and abundance of CO2 feedstocks, together with high specific capacity metal anodes, make this technology a promising candidate for electricity-demanding data centers and grids. However, nonstandard data reporting, ambiguous hardware designs, and questionable cycling parameters have emerged as the field has grown. A clear checklist and standardized reporting format for research and development are urgently needed. Here, after carefully re-analyzing 15 Na-CO2 and 9 Li-CO2 studies, we propose a general checklist and a flowchart for CO2 batteries and related gas conversion systems. Specific performance values from a deployment-oriented perspective, based on commercial lithium iron phosphate batteries, are integrated into the list. We frame research and development efforts around grid-relevant outputs, including areal rate and capacity, cyclability, gas utilization, and safety. While illustrated for Na- and Li-CO2 cells, this framework is directly transferable to other CO2 batteries and air/oxygen batteries, helping align benchtop demonstrations with systematic metrics that ultimately govern future deployment.

Wu, Wenda [ORNL] (ORCID:000900033307687X)↗

Machine learning prediction on the fractional free volume of polymer membranes

Fractional free volume (FFV) characterizes the microstructural level features of polymers and affects their properties including thermal, mechanical, and separation performance. Experimental measurements and theoretical analyses have been used to quantify the FFV of polymers, but challenges remain because of their limitations. Experimental measurements are laborious and based on semi empirical equations, while Bondi’s group contribution theory involves ambiguities like the determination of van der Waals volume and the choice of factor values in the theoretical equation. To efficiently evaluate the FFV of polymers, this study utilizes high-throughput molecular dynamics (MD) simulations to build a large dataset regarding polymer’s FFV. Based on this large dataset, we further build machine learning (ML) models to establish the composition-structure relation. Inspired by group contribution theory which correlates polymer’s functional groups to FFV, our ML models correlate polymer’s substructures or physico-chemical indexes to FFV. Here, our study first benchmarks the MD simulation protocol to obtain reliable FFV of polymers and then carries out high-throughput MD simulations for more than 6,500 homopolymers and 1,400 polyamides. Such a large and diverse dataset makes the well-trained ML models more generalizable, compared with the group contribution theory. The efficiency of a feed forward neural network model is further demonstrated by applying it to a hypothetical polyimide dataset of more than 8 million chemical structures. The predicted FFVs of hypothetical polyimides are further validated by MD simulations. The obtained FFVs of the 8 million polymers, plus their previously reported gas separation performances, demonstrate the promising capability of ML virtual screening for the discovery of polymer membranes with exceptional permeability/selectivity.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Nuclear Data Sheets for A=245

Available information pertaining to the nuclear structure of ground and excited states for all known nuclei with mass numbers A=245 have been compiled and evaluated. In this work, the adopted level and decay schemes, as well as the detailed nuclear properties and configuration assignments based on experimental data, are presented for these nuclides. When there are insufficient data, expected values from systematics of nuclear properties and/or theoretical calculations are utilized. Unexpected or discrepant experimental results are also noted. Since the last evaluation, new rotational bands in 245 Pu have been observed to high spin from transfer reaction 244 Pu( 209 Bi, 208 Biγ) by 2014Ho16. While in 245 Am, the 249 Bk α decay measurements by 2013Ah03 added a new rotational band based on π3/2[521] configuration. The 245 Pu β - decay scheme is basically what was proposed in the late 60's and 47 γ rays have still not been placed. In 245 Cm, precise alpha energies and intensities were measured by 2015Ah03 in 249Cf α decay. Their reported alpha energies of the main α group were about 2 keV lower than in the previous evaluation. The spin and parity of the g.s. of 245 Es is still ambiguous as more detailed information on the decay is needed. With the production of 249 No via fusion evaporation reaction by groups in Dubna and GSI, it's alpha decay was studied and some properties of the daughter 245 Fm were published and included in this evalaution. Information on the other nuclides is scarce and not much has been investigated since the last evaluation. A summary and compilation of the discovery of the various nuclides in this mass region is given in: 2013Fr02 ( 245 Pu, 245 Am, 245 Cm, 245 Bk, 245 Cf), 2011Me01 ( 245 Es), and 2013Th02 ( 245 Md, 245 Fm).

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Confirming the absence of nuclear warheads via passive gamma-ray measurements

Arms-control agreements between the United States and Russia negotiated after the end of the Cold War have imposed limits on the number of deployed strategic nuclear weapons. Verification of these agreements has relied on onsite inspections, sometimes supported by radiation detection techniques to confirm the absence of a nuclear warhead when ambiguities arise. So far, these measurements have sought to detect neutron emissions associated with the presence of plutonium, but they would be inadequate for uranium devices. In an effort to offer instruments that could be used to confirm the absence of both plutonium and uranium weapons, here we propose an inspection system that uses only passive gamma radiation detection techniques. Such a system would be particularly valuable for next-generation arms-control agreements that limit total numbers of weapons and would involve containerized items in storage. We conducted extensive Monte Carlo simulations to support the development of a verification protocol and detection algorithm. Here, we demonstrate the viability of the technique using standard laboratory check sources and MCNP simulations for simplified configurations of special nuclear material.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

Performance of a triple-GEM detector with capacitive-sharing 3-coordinate (X–Y–U)-strip anode readout

The concept of capacitive-sharing readout, described in detail in a previous study, offers the possibility for the development of high-performance three-coordinates (X--Y--U)-strip readout for Micro Pattern Gaseous Detectors (MPGDs) using simple standard PCB fabrication techniques. Capacitive-sharing (X--Y--U)-strip readout allows simultaneous measurement of the Cartesian coordinates x and y of the position of the particles together with a third coordinate u along the diagonal axis in a single readout PCB. This provides a powerful tool to address multiple-hit ambiguity and enable pattern recognition capabilities in moderate particle flux environment of collider or fixed target experiments in high energy physics HEP) and nuclear physics (NP). We present in this paper the performance of a 10 cm × 10 cm triple-GEM detector with capacitive-sharing (X--Y--U)-strip anode readout. Spatial resolutions of the order of $\sigma_{x}^{res}$ = 71.6 $\pm$ 0.8 $\mu$m for X-strips, $\sigma_{y}^{res}$ = 56.2 $\pm$ 0.9 $\mu$m for Y-strips and $\sigma_{u}^{res}$ = 75.2 $\pm$ 0.9 $\mu$m for U-strips have been obtained at a beam test at Thomas Jefferson National Accelerator Facility (Jefferson Lab). Modifications of the readout design of future prototypes to improve the spatial resolution and challenges in scaling to large-area MPGDs are discussed.

(X-Y-U) strip↗