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At least 325 records · Page 18

Heavy-quark meson spectrum tests of the Oktay–Kronfeld action

The Oktay-Kronfeld (OK) action extends the Fermilab improvement program for massive Wilson fermions to higher order in suitable power-counting schemes. It includes dimension-six and -seven operators necessary for matching to QCD through order ${\mathrm{O}}(\Lambda^3/m_Q^3)$ in HQET power counting, for applications to heavy-light systems, and ${\mathrm{O}}(v^6)$ in NRQCD power counting, for applications to quarkonia. In the Symanzik power counting of lattice gauge theory near the continuum limit, the OK action includes all ${\mathrm{O}}(a^2)$ and some ${\mathrm{O}}(a^3)$ terms. To assess whether the theoretical improvement is realized in practice, we study combinations of heavy-strange and quarkonia masses and mass splittings, designed to isolate heavy-quark discretization effects. We find that, with one exception, the results obtained with the tree-level-matched OK action are significantly closer to the continuum limit than the results obtained with the Fermilab action. The exception is the hyperfine splitting of the bottom-strange system, for which our statistical errors are too large to draw a firm conclusion. Lastly, these studies are carried out with data generated with the tadpole-improved Fermilab and OK actions on 500 gauge configurations from one of MILC's $a\approx0.12$~fm, $N_f=2+1$-flavor, asqtad-staggered ensembles.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Machine learning based design space exploration for hybrid main-memory design

We develop a machine learning (ML) based design space exploration (DSE) method that builds predictive models for various responses of a hybrid main-memory system. To overcome the challenges associated with latency, capacity, and power of memory systems in future extreme-scale machines, the hybrid memory architectures are being considered in which novel non-volatile memory (NVM) systems augment the traditional DRAM. However, way before their actual design and implementation, these emerging hybrid memory systems need to be simulated and analyzed to fully understand their capabilities and limitations. As the conventional architectural-level memory simulators require significant amounts of computational costs and time, we propose to utilize ML techniques for developing various memory-response models that can instantly provide a predicted response corresponding to any new memory configuration. Specifically, in this work, we apply four supervised ML techniques to build regression models for memory latency, bandwidth, power, and total read/write responses. The training and validation data for the ML methods are generated using NVMain memory simulator for DRAM, NVM, and their hybrid combinations. We demonstrate the results of the ML based memory-DSE method in terms of the learning curve characteristics for hyperparameter tuning and the statistical error analyses of the designed predictive models.

Sen, Satyabrata↗

Arctic Sea Ice Volume Variability over 1901–2010: A Model-Based Reconstruction

PIOMAS-20C, an Arctic sea ice reconstruction for 1901–2010, is produced by forcing the Pan-Arctic Ice Ocean Modeling and Assimilation System (PIOMAS) with ERA-20C atmospheric data. ERA-20C performance over Arctic sea ice is assessed by comparisons with measurements and data from other reanalyses. ERA-20C performs similarly with respect to the annual cycle of downwelling radiation, air temperature, and wind speed compared to reanalyses with more extensive data assimilation such as ERA-Interim and MERRA. PIOMAS-20C sea ice thickness and volume are then compared with in situ and aircraft remote sensing observations for the period of ~1950–2010. Error statistics are similar to those for PIOMAS. We compare the magnitude and patterns of sea ice variability between the first half of the twentieth century (1901–40) and the more recent period (1980–2010), both marked by sea ice decline in the Arctic. The first period contains the so-called early-twentieth-century warming (ETCW; ~1920–40) during which the Atlantic sector saw a significant decline in sea ice volume, but the Pacific sector did not. The sea ice decline over the 1979–2010 period is pan-Arctic and 6 times larger than the net decline during the 1901–40 period. Sea ice volume trends reconstructed solely from surface temperature anomalies are smaller than PIOMAS-20C, suggesting that mechanisms other than warming, such as changes in ice motion and deformation, played a significant role in determining sea ice volume trends during both periods.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Pangeo-Enabled ESM Pattern Scaling (PEEPS): A customizable dataset of emulated Earth System Model output

Emulation through pattern scaling is a well-established method of rapidly producing climate fields (like temperature or precipitation) from existing Earth System Model (ESM) output that, while inaccurate, is often useful for a variety of downstream purposes. Conducting pattern scaling has historically been a laborious process, in large part due to the increasing volume of ESM output data that has often required downloading and storing locally to train on. Here we describe the Pangeo-Enabled ESM Pattern Scaling (PEEPS) dataset, a repository of trained annual and monthly patterns from CMIP6 outputs. This manuscript describes and validates these updated patterns so that users can save effort calculating and reporting error statistics in manuscripts focused on the use of patterns. The trained patterns are available as NetCDF files on Zenodo for ease of use in the impact community, and are reproducible with the code provided via GitHub in both Jupyter notebook and Python script formats. Because all training data for the PEEPS data set is cloud-based, users do not need to download and house the ESM output data to reproduce the patterns in the zenodo archive, should that be more efficient. Validating the PEEPS data set on the CMIP6 archive for annual and monthly temperature, precipitation, and near-surface relative humidity, pattern scaling performs well over a variety of future scenarios except for regions in which there are strong, potentially nonlinear climate feedbacks. Although pattern scaling is normally conducted on annual mean ESM output data, it works equally well on monthly mean ESM output data. We identify several downstream applications of the PEEPS data set, including impacts assessment and evaluating certain types of Earth system uncertainties.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Finite-Temperature Behavior of PdH x Elastic Constants Computed by Direct Molecular Dynamics

In this paper, robust time-averaged molecular dynamics has been developed to calculate finite-temperature elastic constants of a single crystal. We find that when the averaging time exceeds a certain threshold, the statistical errors in the calculated elastic constants become very small. We applied this method to compare the elastic constants of Pd and PdH 0.6 at representative low (10 K) and high (500 K) temperatures. The values predicted for Pd match reasonably well with ultrasonic experimental data at both temperatures. In contrast, the predicted elastic constants for PdH 0.6 only match well with ultrasonic data at 10 K; whereas, at 500 K, the predicted values are significantly lower. We hypothesize that at 500 K, the facile hydrogen diffusion in PdH 0.6 alters the speed of sound, resulting in significantly reduced values of predicted elastic constants as compared to the ultrasonic experimental data. Finally, literature mechanical testing experiments seem to support this hypothesis.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Impact of Molecular Dynamics Simulations on Research and Development of Semiconductor Materials

Atomic scale defects critically limit performance of semiconductor materials. To improve materials, defect effects and defect formation mechanisms must be understood. In this paper, we demonstrate multiple examples where molecular dynamics simulations have effectively addressed these issues that were not well addressed in prior experiments. In the first case, we report our recent progress on modelling graphene growth, where we found that defects in graphene are created around periphery of islands throughout graphene growth, not just in regions where graphene islands impinge as believed previously. In the second case, we report our recent progress on modelling TlBr, where we discovered that under an electric field, edge dislocations in TlBr migrate in both slip and climb directions. The climb motion ejects extensive vacancies that can cause the rapid aging of the material seen in experiments. In the third case, we discovered that the growth of InGaN films on (0001) surfaces suffers from a serious polymorphism problem that creates enormous amounts of defects. Growth on ( $11\bar{2}0$ ) surfaces, on the other hand, results in single crystalline wurtzite films without any of these defects. In the fourth case, we first used simulations to derive dislocation energies that do not possess any noticeable statistical errors, and then used these error-free methods to discover possible misuse of misfit dislocation theory in past thin film studies. Lastly, we highlight the significance of molecular dynamics simulations in reducing defects in the design space of nanostructures.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Muon Antineutrino Disappearance in the MINOS Experiment

Antineutrinos from the set of 7.09$\times 10^{20}$ Protons-on-target (POT) of $\nu_\mu\textrm{-dominant}$ and 3.40$\times 10^{20}$ POT of $\bar\nu_\mu\textrm{-enhanced}$ MINOS beam data is analysed to extract the antineutrino atmospheric-scale oscillation parameters $\left|\Delta\bar m^2\right|$ and $\sin^2\left(2\bar\theta\right)$. Using the Feldman-Cousins statistical technique to account for systematic and statistical errors, $\left|\Delta\bar m^2\right|=2.58^{+0.26}_{-0.17} \times 10^{-3}~\textrm{eV}^2$ and $\sin^2\left(2\bar\theta\right)=0.96^{+0.04}_{-0.10}$ were measured. This measurement of $\left|\Delta\bar m^2\right|$ improves on the previous world limits from Super-K by a factor of five. Any observed difference between the neutrino and antineutrino oscillation parameters could be an indication of CPT violation, or otherwise physics beyond the standard model. This measurement is consistent with the global limits on $\left|\Delta m^2\right|$ and $\sin^2\left(2\theta\right)$ for neutrinos.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Comparison Of 252 Cf Time Correlated Induced Fisssion With AmLi Induced Fission On Fresh MTR Research Reactor Fuel

The effective application of international safeguards to research reactors requires verification of spent fuel as well as fresh fuel. To accomplish this goal various nondestructive and destructive assay techniques have been developed in the US and around the world. The Advanced Experimental Fuel Counter (AEFC) is a nondestructive assay (NDA) system developed at Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) combining both neutron and gamma measurement capabilities. Since spent fuel assemblies are stored in water, the system was designed to be watertight to facilitate underwater measurements by inspectors. The AEFC is comprised of six 3 He detectors as well as a shielded and collimated ion chamber. The 3 He detectors are used for active and passive neutron coincidence counting while the ion chamber is used for gross gamma counting. Active coincidence measurement data is used to measure residual fissile mass, whereas the passive coincidence measurement data along with passive gamma measurement can provide information about burnup, cooling time, and initial enrichment. In the past, most of the active interrogation systems along with the AEFC used an AmLi neutron interrogation source. Owing to the difficulty in obtaining an AmLi source, a 252 Cf spontaneous fission (SF) source was used during a 2014 field trail in Uzbekistan as an alternative. In this study, experiments were performed to calibrate the AEFC instrument and compare use of the 252 Cf spontaneous fission source and the AmLi (α,n) neutron emission source. The 252 Cf source spontaneously emits bursts of time-correlated prompt fission neutrons that thermalize in the water and induce fission in the fuel assembly. The induced fission (IF) neutrons are also time correlated resulting in more correlated neutron detections inside the 3 He detector, which helps reduce the statistical errors in doubles when using the 252 Cf interrogation source instead of the AmLi source. In this work, two MTR fuel assemblies varying both in size and number of fuel plates were measured using 252 Cf and AmLi active interrogation sources. This paper analyzes time correlated induced fission (TCIF) from fresh MTR fuel assemblies due to 252 Cf and AmLi active interrogation sources.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

High-Resolution Regional Wave Hindcast for the U.S. Alaska Coast

Regional long-term wave hindcast with state-of-art third-generation models is essential for characterization of regional wave resources. This report summarizes modeling efforts for the simulation of the wave climate along southern Alaska, which used an unstructured, nested-grid modeling approach that incorporates a global-regional nested grid using WAVEWATCH III ® and the high-resolution SWAN (Simulating Waves Nearshore) model. Wave resource and wave bulk parameters were simulated for a 32-year period from 1979 to 2010 and were subsequently validated with wave buoy data in the model domain. Error statistics of model skills were calculated at all buoy stations. Overall, model results, both resource and bulk parameters, match observations well. The model hindcast was able to reproduce the seasonal variation of the sea state with large waves that occur in the winter and early spring months when wind forcing is strong and the calm sea state during the summer when wind forcing is weak. The hindcast also considers the effect of sea ice on wave growth, which affects the southern Bering Sea. The hindcast results, including resource and bulk parameters, were archived at every model grid point for the entire model domain at three-hour intervals. In addition, spectral results were saved at National Data Buoy Center buoy stations and selected virtual buoy locations at hourly intervals. The nested-grid modeling framework employed in this study provides a powerful and efficient modeling approach for accurately simulating wave climate at regional and long-term temporal scales with sufficiently fine resolutions in the nearshore region.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Model Test Bed for Evaluating Unstructured-Grid Wave Models for Resource Assessment and Characterization

Recent development of unstructured-grid wave models demonstrates the advantage of using an unstructured-grid modeling framework in wave modeling, especially in coastal areas that have complex coastlines, islands, shallow-water bays, and estuaries. This study evaluated the performance of unstructured-grid models in comparison to structured-grid models for predicting the IEC wave energy resource parameters at a common test bed site. Model skill was assessed using a set of model performace error statistics. Sensitivity of open boundary conditions and ]wind forcing on model results, computational efficiency, and the advantage and limitation of the unstructured-grid model are summarized in the report.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

UFCC Calibration Measurements for Bulk U 3 O 8 Powder Samples

The uranium UF 6 coincidence counter (UFCC) was designed to measure 5A/B cylinders containing UF 6 in the passive neutron self-interrogation mode. The purpose of the present report is to extend the UFCC capability to other sample types such as oxides and liquids that might be found during verification activities. A 252 Cf source was introduced into the detector to make the active mode measurements possible, because only the UF 6 samples have adequate neutron emission for self-interrogation. The sample enrichments varied from 0.72% to 91% to establish the shape of the calibration curve and the measurement uncertainties. The measurements included the singles, doubles, and triples rates. The time correlations between the 252 Cf source and the induced fission reactions reduced the statistical error in the doubles and triples rates to be small enough for useful measurements in 5-10 minutes.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Validation of the High-Resolution Salish Sea Tidal Hydrodynamic Model

In this study, a tidal hydrodynamic model was developed and validated to simulate tidal currents in Puget Sound, Washington, to support tidal energy resource characterization using the unstructured-grid, Finite Volume Community Ocean Model (FVCOM). The Salish Sea tidal hydrodynamic model was driven by tides along two open boundaries at the entrance of the Strait of Juan de Fuca and north end of Georgia Strait, and river flows from 19 major rivers in the Salish Sea. To simulate the tidal current in Puget Sound, a high-resolution model grid is required to accurately represent the complex coastlines and bathymetry. The spatial resolution of the model grid varies from ~10 m near river boundaries and ~30 m in small tidal channels and estuaries to near 1000 m inside Georgia Strait and at the open boundaries. Model validation was carried out by comparing simulated and observed water levels at 12 tidal stations and currents at 135 Acoustic Doppler Current Profiler stations in the model domain. A set of model performance metrics, including root mean square error, scatter index, bias, and linear correlation coefficient, were used to quantify the model skills in simulating the tidal hydrodynamics in Puget Sound. Error statistics showed an overall good agreement between simulated and observed tidal elevations and currents, which demonstrated that the Puget Sound tidal model can be used to accurately characterize the tidal stream energy resource in Puget Sound.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

VERA-Grizzly Ex-Core Calculations: Watts Bar Unit 1 Cycles 1-2

The critical structures that comprise light-water reactor (LWR) nuclear power plants are subjected to operating environments that can challenge their integrity. Structures in close proximity to the reactor core, such as the reactor pressure vessel (RPV) and the biological shield wall, are subjected to high levels of radiation emanating from the core, as well as elevated temperatures. As the US fleet of operating LWRs ages, the effects of these operating environments on the integrity of these structures must be considered to ensure their continued safe operation. Extending the lifetime of commercial reactors and maintaining the aging reactor fleet require accurate prediction of the exposure of ex-core components to neutron and photon radiation. In particular, concrete degradation studies must be performed to evaluate the safety and long-term operation of reactors with lifetime extensions. The concrete reactor bioshield is important for providing radiological protection during operation and must last for the entire lifetime of the reactor. Recent interest in lifetime extensions furthers the need to accurately simulate concrete material degradation in the reactor bioshield. As a result of this need, the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program has funded this study to couple its tools, Virtual Environment for Reactor Applications (VERA) and Grizzly. VERA allows users to set up models to calculate time-dependent and fully coupled solutions (with thermal feedback) for ex-core quantities of interest such as vessel and coupon fluence and detector responses for multiple statepoints and cycles. Grizzly is a finite-element application based on the Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) framework that is used to enable aging materials calculations. This report highlights the work performed to calculate the fluence in the vessel and concrete for Watts Bar Nuclear Plant Unit 1 (WBN1) Cycles 1 and 2. The fluences obtained from VERA were successfully transferred to Grizzly using a Python script. Four simulations were run with Grizzly: (1) the Mazars model with the initial Young’s modulus being the instantaneous modulus, (2) the Mazars model with the initial Young’s modulus being the delayed modulus, (3) the Mazars model with the initial Young’s modulus being the delayed modulus with the addition of the effects of micro-damage caused by irradiation, and (4) the Mazars model with the initial Young’s modulus being the instantaneous modulus, and with the addition of micro-damage and creep. Details regarding the methods used to obtain the fluence and the statistical errors associated with the VERA Monte Carlo Shift calculations are discussed in greater detail in this report. The results obtained from the four Grizzly models are also presented in this report.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Overview of a Methodology for Calculating the A Priori Scan Minimum Detectable Concentration for Post-Processed Radiological Surveys (Final Report) (Rev.1)

Increased continuous data collection using automated data loggers and autonomous radiological survey devices or vehicles has introduced a need for corresponding guidance and statistical techniques for data that are collected without surveyor vigilance. This report presents a method for calculating the a priori scan minimum detectable concentrations (MDCs) for surveys performed without vigilance similar to methods described in the Multi-Agency Radiation Survey and Site Investigation Manual, NUREG-1507, and NUREG/CR-6364. A priori scan MDCs are calculated during survey planning to ensure that survey parameters (e.g., scanning speed, scanning altitude, detector geometry) will lead to collecting data in which potentially contaminated areas can be detected when data are processed after the survey, within acceptable statistical error probabilities.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Tidal Hydrodynamic Model for Cook Inlet, Alaska, to Support Tidal Energy Resource Characterization

Cook Inlet in Alaska has been identified as a prime site in the U.S. for potential tidal energy development, because of its enormous tidal power potential that accounts for nearly one-third of the national total. As one important step to facilitate tidal energy development, a tidal hydrodynamic model based on the unstructured-grid, finite-volume community ocean model (FVCOM) was developed for Cook Inlet to characterize the tidal stream energy resource. The model has a grid resolution that varies from about 1000 m at the open boundary to 100–300 m inside the Inlet. Extensive model validation was achieved by comparing model predictions with field observations for tidal elevation and velocity at various locations in Cook Inlet. The error statistics confirmed the model performs reasonably well in capturing the tidal dynamics in the system, e.g., R2 > 0.98 for tidal elevation and generally > 0.9 for velocity. Model results suggest that tides in Cook Inlet evolve from progressive waves at the entrance to standing waves at the upper Inlet, and that semi-diurnal tidal constituents are amplified more rapidly than diurnal constituents. The model output was used to identify hotspots that have high energy potential and warrant additional velocity and turbulence measurements such as East Foreland, where averaged power density exceeds 5 kw/m2. Lastly, a tidal energy extraction simulation was conducted for a hypothetical turbine farm configuration at the Forelands cross section to evaluate tidal energy extraction and resulting changes in far-field hydrodynamics.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

The detached eclipsing binary KV 29 and the age of the open cluster M11

We present an extensive set of photometry and radial velocities for the detached eclipsing binary KV 29 in the intermediate-aged open cluster M11 (NGC 6705). Spectroscopy shows that the system is double lined, and all available evidence (proper motion, photometry, and position on the color–magnitude diagram) indicates that it is a member of the cluster. We find the period of the binary to be 4.64276 ± 0.00001 days. We find masses 3.604{sub −0.011}{sup +0.002}M{sub ⊙} and 1.837{sub −0.006}{sup +0.001}M{sub ⊙} and radii 5.392{sub −0.035}{sup +0.018}R{sub ⊙} and 1.656{sub −0.044}{sup +0.007}R{sub ⊙} for the primary and secondary stars, respectively. Because the primary star in the binary is rapidly evolving and is brighter than the cluster turnoff in a color–magnitude diagram, the measurement of its mass leads to a strong constraint on the cluster age. We find the age of M11 to be 222{sub −3}{sup +2}±15 Myr, where the quoted uncertainties come from statistical errors in the calculated masses and radii, and systematic uncertainties due to the ambiguity of the metallicity of the open cluster and variations within the isochrone models concerning heavy elements and convective overshooting.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Evolutions and Calibrations of Long Gamma-Ray-burst Luminosity Correlations Revisited

Luminosity correlations of long gamma-ray bursts (GRBs) are extensively proposed as an effective complementarity to trace the Hubble diagram of the universe at high redshifts, which is of great importance to explore properties of dark energy. Recently, several empirical luminosity correlations have been statistically proposed from GRB observations. However, to treat a GRB as the distance indicator, there are two key issues: the redshift evolution of luminosity correlations and their calibrations. In this paper, we choose the Amati relation, the correlation between the peak spectra energy and the equivalent isotropic energy of GRBs (E{sub p}--E{sub iso}) as an example and find that the current GRB data set implies that there could be a evolution of the luminosity correlation with respect to the redshift. Therefore, we propose an extended Amati relation with two extra redshift-dependent terms to correct the redshift evolution of the GRB relation. Second, we carefully check the reliability of the calibration method using the low-redshift GRB data. Importantly, we find that the low-redshift calibration method does not take whole correlations between Ω{sub m} and coefficients into account. Neglecting this correlation information can break the degeneracies and obtain the biased constraint on Ω{sub m}, which is very sensitive to values of parameters for the calibration. A small shift in the parameters of the “calibrated” relation could significantly change the final constraint on Ω{sub m} in the low-redshift calibration method. Finally, we simulate several GRB samples with different statistical errors and find that, in order to correctly recover the fiducial value of Ω{sub m}, using the low-redshift calibration method, we need a large number of GRB samples with high precisions.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Parameter Estimation for Gravitational-wave Bursts with the BayesWave Pipeline

We provide a comprehensive multi-aspect study of the performance of a pipeline used by the LIGO-Virgo Collaboration for estimating parameters of gravitational-wave bursts. We add simulated signals with four different morphologies (sine-Gaussians (SGs), Gaussians, white-noise bursts, and binary black hole signals) to simulated noise samples representing noise of the two Advanced LIGO detectors during their first observing run. We recover them with the BayesWave (BW) pipeline to study its accuracy in sky localization, waveform reconstruction, and estimation of model-independent waveform parameters. BW localizes sources with a level of accuracy comparable for all four morphologies, with the median separation of actual and estimated sky locations ranging from 25.°1 to 30.°3. This is a reasonable accuracy in the two-detector case, and is comparable to accuracies of other localization methods studied previously. As BW reconstructs generic transient signals with SG wavelets, it is unsurprising that BW performs best in reconstructing SG and Gaussian waveforms. The BW accuracy in waveform reconstruction increases steeply with the network signal-to-noise ratio (S/N{sub net}), reaching a 85% and 95% match between the reconstructed and actual waveform below S/N{sub net}≈20 and S/N{sub net}≈50, respectively, for all morphologies. The BW accuracy in estimating central moments of waveforms is only limited by statistical errors in the frequency domain, and is also affected by systematic errors in the time domain as BW cannot reconstruct low-amplitude parts of signals that are overwhelmed by noise. The figures of merit we introduce can be used in future characterizations of parameter estimation pipelines.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗