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At least 325 records · Page 18

Feature selection with distance correlation

Choosing which properties of the data to use as input to multivariate decision algorithms—also known as feature selection—is an important step in solving any problem with machine learning. While there is a clear trend towards training sophisticated deep networks on large numbers of relatively unprocessed inputs (so-called automated feature engineering), for many tasks in physics, sets of theoretically well-motivated and well-understood features already exist. Working with such features can bring many benefits, including greater interpretability, reduced training and run time, and enhanced stability and robustness. We develop a new feature selection method based on distance correlation, and demonstrate its effectiveness on the tasks of boosted top- and W -tagging. Using our method to select features from a set of over 7,000 energy flow polynomials, we show that we can match the performance of much deeper architectures, by using only ten features and two orders-of-magnitude fewer model parameters. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

Astronomy & Astrophysics↗

FFTSF: Revisiting Sub-Seasonal Streamflow Forecasting with Simple Feedforward Network

Accurate short-to-subseasonal streamflow forecasts are vital for water management, including flood preparedness, drought mitigation, hydropower scheduling, and ecosystem protection. However, extending a forecast beyond a few days remains challenging due to complexity of hydrological processes. While recent self-attention based transformer architectures such as iTransformer have gained traction in time-series forecasting, these models suffer from several critical limitations: (1) significant computational overhead that scales quadratically with sequence length, (2) vulnerability to overfitting on limited hydrological datasets, (3) degraded performance on long-horizon forecasts due to attention decay, and (4) excessive architectural complexity that hampers interpretability and operational deployment. In this study, we propose a simple Feedforward Time Series Forecasting (FFTSF) network that directly addresses these limitations through its lightweight architecture and long-range forecasting capabilities. We evaluate FFTSF across 178 USGS stream gauges spanning diverse climate regimes by forecasting lead times of 1-, 7-, 14-, and 30-days. Our results demonstrate that FFTSF achieves competitive performance at short lead times (NSE of 0.778 for 1-day forecasts) while substantially outperforming complex baselines at longer forecast period, achieving the highest NSE (0.271) at 30-day forecasts with greater robustness and stability. For 30-day forecasts, FFTSF achieves a 71% improvement over NLinear, 57% improvement over DLinear and 12% improvement over the computationally intensive iTransformer while requiring fewer computational resources. Our findings reveal that architectural complexity is not necessary for hydrological forecasting, demonstrating that well-designed simple models can outperform attention mechanisms for subseasonal streamflow forecasting. The computational efficiency and consistent long-range performance of FFTSF make it suitable for water management applications where reliable extended forecasts are essential.

Krishnan Kutty Ambika, Anukesh [ORNL] (ORCID:00000↗

Lithium-compatible and air-stable vacancy-rich Li 9 N 2 Cl 3 for high–areal capacity, long-cycling all–solid-state lithium metal batteries

Attaining substantial areal capacity (>3 mAh/cm 2 ) and extended cycle longevity in all–solid-state lithium metal batteries necessitates the implementation of solid-state electrolytes (SSEs) capable of withstanding elevated critical current densities and capacities. In this study, we report a high-performing vacancy-rich Li 9 N 2 Cl 3 SSE demonstrating excellent lithium compatibility and atmospheric stability and enabling high–areal capacity, long-lasting all–solid-state lithium metal batteries. The Li 9 N 2 Cl 3 facilitates efficient lithium-ion transport due to its disordered lattice structure and presence of vacancies. Notably, it resists dendrite formation at 10 mA/cm 2 and 10 mAh/cm 2 due to its intrinsic lithium metal stability. Furthermore, it exhibits robust dry-air stability. Incorporating this SSE in Ni-rich LiNi 0.83 Co 0.11 Mn 0.06 O 2 cathode-based all–solid-state batteries, we achieve substantial cycling stability (90.35% capacity retention over 1500 cycles at 0.5 C) and high areal capacity (4.8 mAh/cm 2 in pouch cells). These findings pave the way for lithium metal batteries to meet electric vehicle performance demands.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

arco (Assembled Resource-Constrained Optimization) [SWR-26-030]

Arco (Assembled Resource-Constrained Optimization) is a memory-smart optimization DSL and solver for LP and MIP problems on constrained hardware. The software is an optimization framework built around a KDL-based domain-specific language and a CLI compiler/solver. You write optimization models in .kdl files, and the arco CLI compiles, validates, inspects, and solves them. Language bindings (Python today, more planned) provide programmatic access to the same engine. Built for harder optimization problems on constrained resources, Arco is intentional about every allocation, careful with stack and heap behavior, and relentless about minimizing memory usage so more systems can run real workloads. Arco is built primarily for internal use within our organization. You are welcome to try it, but we make no guarantees about API stability or robustness at this stage

Sanchez Perez, Pedro Andres [National Laboratory o↗

Amorphous boron nitride: synthesis, properties and device application

Amorphous boron nitride (a-BN) exhibits remarkable electrical, optical, and chemical properties, alongside robust mechanical stability, making it a compelling material for advanced applications in nanoelectronics and photonics. This review comprehensively examines the unique characteristics of a-BN, emphasizing its electrical and optical attributes, state-of-the-art synthesis techniques, and device applications. Key advancements in low-temperature growth methods for a-BN are highlighted, offering insights into their potential for integration into scalable, CMOS-compatible platforms. Additionally, the review discusses the emerging role of a-BN as a dielectric material in electronic and photonic devices, serving as substrates, encapsulation layers, and gate insulators. Finally, perspectives on future challenges, including defect control, interface engineering, and scalability, are presented, providing a roadmap for realizing the full potential of a-BN in next-generation device technologies.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Arctic sea ice albedo: Spectral composition, spatial heterogeneity, and temporal evolution observed during the MOSAiC drift

The magnitude, spectral composition, and variability of the Arctic sea ice surface albedo are key to understanding and numerically simulating Earth’s shortwave energy budget. Spectral and broadband albedos of Arctic sea ice were spatially and temporally sampled by on-ice observers along individual survey lines throughout the sunlit season (April–September, 2020) during the Multidisciplinary drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) expedition. The seasonal evolution of albedo for the MOSAiC year was constructed from spatially averaged broadband albedo values for each line. Specific locations were identified as representative of individual ice surface types, including accumulated dry snow, melting snow, bare and melting ice, melting and refreezing ponded ice, and sediment-laden ice. The area-averaged seasonal progression of total albedo recorded during MOSAiC showed remarkable similarity to that recorded 22 years prior on multiyear sea ice during the Surface Heat Budget of the Arctic Ocean (SHEBA) expedition. In accord with these and other previous field efforts, the spectral albedo of relatively thick, snow-free, melting sea ice shows invariance across location, decade, and ice type. In particular, the albedo of snow-free, melting seasonal ice was indistinguishable from that of snow-free, melting second-year ice, suggesting that the highly scattering surface layer that forms on sea ice during the summer is robust and stabilizing. In contrast, the albedo of ponded ice was observed to be highly variable at visible wavelengths. Notable temporal changes in albedo were documented during melt and freeze onset, formation and deepening of melt ponds, and during melt evolution of sediment-laden ice. While model simulations show considerable agreement with the observed seasonal albedo progression, disparities suggest the need to improve how the albedo of both ponded ice and thin, melting ice are simulated.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Nek5000 developments in support of industry and the NRC

This year, the Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling Simulation program (NEAMS) thermal-hydraulics verification and validation (V&V) work has focused in three areas of Nek5000 V&V-driven development. First, in a close collaborative effort with the U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) staff, we have continued V&V efforts for the HYMERES-2 project using the OECD/NEA sponsored testing in the PSI PANDA facility. This year’s focus of ANL-NRC collaboration involves Nek5000 setups and validation for a range of problems relevant to and including the HYMERES-2 benchmark from PSI. The primary outcome of this year efforts is a more efficient geometry and inlet modeling simplification after a careful sensitivity study of the inlet profiles and pipe geometries. The resulting modeling choice of a short recycling/fully-developed turbulent inlet is within the experimental uncertainty estimate. This finding simplifies the next step of the cross-V&V HYMERES-2 project. In addition, the ANL team continue to provide assistance to the NRC staff in the form of Nek5000 application support in general and on the use of the HPC platforms of ALCF and INL in particular. This supports the NRC’s assessment of Nek5000 for use with the NRC Blue CRAB code suite. Second, we have implemented and tested more robust model of URANS, namely the k – τ model, a variant of the k-ω model, along with other improvements to RANS Nek5000 modeling in general. Because of its demonstrated robustness and stability, the k – τ model is the only RANS model that has been implemented in the new GPU version of the Nek5000 code, nekRS. Lastly, we report the initial implementation of Jacobian-free Newton Krylov approach to the direct Newton method for steady fluid solvers aimed at acceleration of RANS modeling and at IC improvement for LES campaigns. Also leveraging the Exascale Computing Project (ECP) ANL/CEED & SMR team’s software development effort to support NEAMS problems at large scale of the advanced computing architectures, NekRS, a GPU variant of Nek5000, built on top of kernels from libParanumal using OCCA for portability, has been successfully run on the full system of Summit (4608 nodes, 27648 GPUs).

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Scale up production of carbon fibers from petroleum mesophase pitch

This work investigates the scale-up of pitch precursors for the carbon fiber market using mesophase pitch formulated and produced by Advanced Carbon Products Technologies’ (ACPT’s) patented mesophase pitch processing technology. Through use of its patented process, ACPT developed strategic materials by converting petroleum-based pitch into a high-value, low-cost, carbon-rich feedstock for carbon fiber and other materials critical to our national security. The team successfully developed processing criteria for the tailored mesophase pitch material that can be processed further into precursor and carbon fiber. Processability of the mesophase pitch into precursor and carbon fiber was demonstrated at scale. The resulting materials sequester the carbon that would otherwise be burned and released into the atmosphere, making this an environmentally friendly way to produce these materials in the United States.Pitch-based carbon fibers offer a promising pathway toward cost-effective, high-performance materials for structural and high-modulus composite applications; however, adoption has been limited by challenges in precursor processability and scale-up. In this work, tailored isotropic and mesophase petroleum-derived pitch materials were developed and evaluated for precursor and carbon fiber production through a collaborative effort between Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and ACPT. Processing conditions were established at ORNL’s Carbon Fiber Technology Facility to enable stable melt-blowing of pitch-based precursors under continuous operation. Mesophase pitch precursor fibers were produced following oxidation and carbonization, corresponding to a diameter shrinkage of approximately 12%–13% and an estimated mass yield of about 75%–80%. Continuous melt-blowing steady-state operation was demonstrated over time, indicating robust process stability. Melt-blowing was achieved at throughput rates of approximately 20 lb/h⁻¹, validating the commercial viability of petroleum-derived pitch feedstocks for fiber production. Further studies are required to tailor carbon fiber microstructure and properties for specific composite applications.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Data-Driven Tailoring Optimization of Thermoset Polymers Using Ultrasonics and Machine Learning

Thermoset polymers are highly demanded for their structural robustness, thermal stability, and chemical resistance. Tailoring the properties of these polymers for high-performance applications is often preferred to designing brand-new polymers. However, the traditional destructive techniques used to characterize their properties as a function of manufacturing parameters are expensive and time-consuming. A novel non-destructive, data-driven method leveraging ultrasonics and machine learning techniques to tailor the properties of thermosets as a function of the manufacturing parameters is demonstrated. Thermoset epoxy samples with varying curing temperatures (15–40 °C) and curing agent amounts (±40%) were manufactured and tested. Their curing kinetics were monitored by determining the sound speed in the material in real time, while the longitudinal modulus of the samples was determined post-cure. Machine learning models were developed using a k-nearest neighbors algorithm. These models were implemented to predict the curing and final elastic properties using the manufacturing parameters, i.e., stoichiometry and curing temperature, and vice versa. Understanding and modeling how these parameters affect the cure kinetics and final properties will allow for efficient and reliable optimization of thermoset tailoring and manufacturing.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Robustness and computational aspects of nonlinear stochastic estimators and regulators

Robustness properties of nonlinear extended Kalman filters with constant gains and modeling errors are presented. Sufficient conditions for the nondivergence of state estimates generated by such nonlinear estimators are given. In addition, the overall robustness and stability properties of closed-loop stochastic regulators, based upon the linear-quadratic Gaussian design methodology using linearized dynamics, are presented; the sufficient conditions for closed-loop stability have a 'separation-type' property.

Safonov, M. G.↗

Robustness and computational aspects of nonlinear stochastic estimators and regulators

Robustness properties of nonlinear extended Kalman filters with constant gains and modeling errors are presented. Sufficient conditions for the nondivergence of state estimates generated by such nonlinear estimators are given. In addition, the overall robustness and stability properties of closed-loop stochastic regulators, based upon the Linear-Quadratic-Gaussian design methodology using linearized dynamics, are presented; the sufficient conditions for closed-loop stability have 'separation-type' property.

Safonov, M. G.↗

Attitude and vibration control of a large flexible space-based antenna

The problem of control systems synthesis is considered for controlling the rigid body attitude and elastic motion of a large deployable space based antenna. Two methods for control systems synthesis are considered. The first method utilizes the stability and robustness properties of the controller consisting of torque actuators and collocated attitude and rate sensors. The second method is based on the linear quadratic Gaussian (LQG) control theory. A combination of the two methods, which results in a two level hierarchical control system, is also briefly discussed. The performance of the controllers is analyzed by computing the variances of pointing errors, feed misalignment errors and surface contour errors in the presence of sensor and actuator noise.

Joshi, S. M.↗

An improved output feedback control of flexible large space structures

A special output feedback control design technique for flexible large space structures is proposed. It is shown that the technique will increase both the damping and frequency of selected modes for more effective control. It is also able to effect integrated control of elastic and rigid-body modes and, in particular, closed-loop system stability and robustness to modal truncation and parameter variation. The technique is seen as marking an improvement over previous work concerning large space structures output feedback control.

Lin, Y. H.↗

Control systems synthesis for a large flexible space antenna

The problem of control systems synthesis is considered for controlling the rigid-body attitude and elastic motion of a large deployable space-based antenna. Two methods for control systems synthesis are considered. The first method utilizes the stability and robustness properties of the controller consisting of torque actuators and collocated attitude and rate sensors. The second method is based on the linear-quadratic-Gaussian (LQG) control theory. A combination of the two methods, which results in a two-level hierarchical control system, is also briefly discussed. The performance of the controllers is analyzed by computing the variances of pointing errors, feed misalignment errors and surface contour errors in the presence of sensor and actuator noise.

Joshi, S. M.↗

Attitude and vibration control of a large flexible space-based antenna

Control systems synthesis is considered for controlling the rigid body attitude and elastic motion of a large deployable space-based antenna. Two methods for control systems synthesis are considered. The first method utilizes the stability and robustness properties of the controller consisting of torque actuators and collocated attitude and rate sensors. The second method is based on the linear-quadratic-Gaussian control theory. A combination of the two methods, which results in a two level hierarchical control system, is also briefly discussed. The performance of the controllers is analyzed by computing the variances of pointing errors, feed misalignment errors and surface contour errors in the presence of sensor and actuator noise.

Joshi, S. M.↗

Adaptive control in the presence of unmodeled dynamics

Stability and robustness properties of a wide class of adaptive control algorithms in the presence of unmodeled dynamics and output disturbances were investigated. The class of adaptive algorithms considered are those commonly referred to as model reference adaptive control algorithms, self-tuning controllers, and dead beat adaptive controllers, developed for both continuous-time systems and discrete-time systems. A unified analytical approach was developed to examine the class of existing adaptive algorithms. It was discovered that all existing algorithms contain an infinite gain operator in the dynamic system that defines command reference errors and parameter errors; it is argued that such an infinite gain operator appears to be generic to all adaptive algorithms, whether they exhibit explicit or implicit parameter identification. It is concluded that none of the adaptive algorithms considered can be used with confidence in a practical control system design, because instability will set in with a high probability.

Rohrs, C. E.↗

Feedback maximization

Consideration is given to synthesis methods for feedback systems with nonlinear dynamic compensation, which permits increased feedback while preserving robustness, global stability, good transient responses, and stability of the output processes. Material needed for the realization of design goals from the areas of linear systems, nonlinear oscillation, and stability of nonlinear systems is covered. The three main parts of the book are: (1) linear feedback systems, (2) nonlinear feedback system analysis, and (3) synthesis methods for globally stable Nyquist-stable feedback systems with increased feedback.

Lurie, B. J.↗

Modelling and Control of an Annular Momentum Control Device

The results of a modelling and control study for an advanced momentum storage device supported on magnetic bearings are documented. The control challenge posed by this device lies in its dynamics being such a strong function of flywheel rotational speed. At high rotational speed, this can lead to open loop instabilities, resulting in requirements for minimum and maximum control bandwidths and gains for the stabilizing controllers. Using recently developed analysis tools for systems described by complex coefficient differential equations, the closed properties of the controllers were analyzed and stability properties established. Various feedback controllers are investigated and discussed. Both translational and angular dynamics compensators are developed, and measures of system stability and robustness to plant and operational speed variations are presented.

Downer, James R.↗