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At least 325 records · Page 18

Microreactor Core Transportation Cask Model Description for Criticality Safety Validation Basis Assessment (Rev. 2)

Criticality safety analyses are completed on transportation casks used for microreactor whole core shipment to provide examples of models and analyses to industry, regulators, and nuclear community at large to be used in verification and validation analyses of similar applications. The microreactors considered are based on a Gas-Cooled Microreactor (GCMR) and a Heat-Pipe Microreactor (HPMR), both utilize HALEU fuel in the form of TRISO particles and various other design options considered in industry microreactor designs. Variant design options of GCMR and HPMR were also investigated to provide a wider application range for each technology. Criticality safety analyses for the GCMR and HPMR packages were performed using the CSAS6 sequence of SCALE 6.3.2 with the ENDF/B-VII.1-based continuous energy neutron libraries. Different scenarios were investigated, including normal operation and water flooded conditions to represent nominal and hypothetical accident scenarios. Sensitivity and similarity analyses are also performed using the TSUNAMI sequence of SCALE 6.3.2, and the similarity analysis uses all the experiments from the ICSBEP Handbook with High Enriched Uranium (HEU), Intermediate and mixed Enriched Uranium (IEU) and Low Enriched Uranium (LEU) systems. Many ICSBEP experiments were found marginally similar, with similarity index (ck) values greater than 0.8, to the GCMR and HPMR cask models, especially in flooded conditions that may be more constraining due to reduced reactivity margins. Some experiments using TRISO fuel particles and graphite moderator, including the recent THETA and Deimos experiments from LANL, together with some IRPhEP experiments, were also used for the similarity analyses. These TRISO-fueled and graphite moderated experiments behaved similarly to the GCMR models, with maximum ck value greater than 0.9, but they are less similar to the HPMR models. This observation indicates that additional critical experiments might be needed to further validate the criticality safety models, especially for heat-pipe based microreactor transport packages and for non-flooded transportation configurations.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

An Optimal Power Control Strategy for Grid-Following Inverters in a Synchronous Frame

This work proposes a power control strategy based on the linear quadratic regulator with optimal reference tracking (LQR-ORT) for a three-phase inverter-based generator (IBG) using an LCL filter. The use of an LQR-ORT controller increases robustness margins and reduces the quadratic value of the power error and control inputs during transient response. A model in a synchronous reference frame that integrates power sharing and voltage–current (V–I) dynamics is also proposed. This model allows for analyzing closed-loop eigenvalue location and robustness margins. The proposed controller was compared against a classical droop approach using proportional-resonant controllers for the inner loops. Mathematical analysis and hardware-in-the-loop (HIL) experiments under variations in the LCL filter components demonstrate fulfillment of robustness and performance bounds of the LQR-ORT controller. Experimental results demonstrate accuracy of the proposed model and the effectiveness of the LQR-ORT controller in improving transient response, robustness, and power decoupling.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Dynamic Probabilistic Safety Assessment Studies for Advanced Reactor Using RAVEN

Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) is used extensively to evaluate the risks associated with complex engineering systems like Nuclear Power Plants (NPPs). Current PSA models are based on the Event-Tree/Fault-Tree (ET/FT) methodology. ET and FT models are static and are based on Boolean logic approaches. In the past, concerns have been raised in the literature regarding the capability of the traditional static modelling approaches to adequately account for the impact of process, hardware, software, firmware and human interactions on the stochastic system behaviour. To overcome the limitations of the traditional approach to PSA, several dynamic PSA methodologies have been proposed. One of the dynamic PSA methodologies used for dynamic evaluations is Dynamic Event Tree (DET) framework which can be used to assess the impact of the parameter variability and scenario dynamics on the PSA model for the initiating event. The DET framework couples the stochastic model (number of component/trains that start on demand, operator action timing, etc.) with a Thermal-Hydraulic (TH) model of the plant. This paper explores the use of DET along with a case study on advanced reactor. The initiating event selected for the study was Class IV power supply failure event. The TH analysis considering uncertainty in various parameters was performed using RELAP5 and Reactor Analysis and Virtual control ENvironment (RAVEN) tool. Based on the uncertainty analysis, it is concluded that the peak clad temperatures (PCT) are within the limits in all the code runs implying a high-degree of safety margin. However, variation in time to reach the PCT was observed among the code runs and the mean time to reach the PCT was found to be around 8590sec (approximately 2.4 hours). Hence, sufficient time margin is available for human intervention and the operator might have a relatively stress-free state during such an accident scenario. Due to the static nature of the traditional PSA models, the safety margin available was lesser, whereas, with the help of dynamic PSA models, one can demonstrate that the actual available safety margin is more in the present case study and is valuable input from the design point of view.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Identification and mitigation of memory block timing issue in ITk ABCStar during ASIC production

The ABCStar is a mixed-signal front-end readout ASIC for the strips sensor portion of the ATLAS ITk detector being developed as part of the High-Luminosity LHC upgrade. In pre-production testing, a subtle design flaw was uncovered in the ABCStar that was reducing wafer yields in some manufactured lots from the expected 90% to as low as 2%. The root cause was determined to be a timing issue in the logic synthesized to control previously silicon proven memory blocks re-used for this ASIC. The solutions proposed included manufacturing process changes by the wafer foundry, changes to the operating parameters for the ABCStar in the detector, and the possibility that a redesign might be required. The two mitigation efforts were undertaken in parallel, with the process modification route a less desirable solution since already manufactured wafers would need to be scrapped in favour of the new ones. Based on a knowledge of the existing process, and testing done on the worst performing wafers, it was proposed that raising the core operating voltage of the ABCStar from 1.20V to 1.25V could address the timing issue by sufficiently speeding up its transistors. An extensive testing program that included the effects of temperature and radiation expected over the lifetime of the ITk detector was conducted to validate that approach. Those tests and studies proved that even the worst performing wafers would have yields over 80% with the 1.25V core voltage, and neither the modified process nor redesign would be required for ensuring reliable operation of the ITk. Based on testing, a further timing mitigation was implemented to provide an additional margin of reliability by increasing the duty cycle of the clock to the ABCStar. Testing of all ABCStar wafers has been completed and the production of the detector modules using these ASICs is now well underway as a result of the efforts detailed herein.

FOS: Physical sciences↗

A Verification and Validation Approach for COMSOL Multiphysics to Support High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR)

Over the last several decades, many reactors have successfully been converted from high enriched uranium (HEU) to low enriched uranium (LEU) fuels in United States in support of its global non-proliferation objectives. Of the reactors slated for conversion, five high-performance research reactors (HPRRs) remain. The high-flux isotope reactor (HFIR) at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) is one of the five. Conversion of HFIR requires the qualification of a new fuel. To aid in the conversion process as well as improve safety margins, COMSOL Multiphysics was chosen to support and eventually supplement the steady-state heat-transfer code (SSHTC). In order to use COMSOL as a supplementary tool, i.e. one used for safety basis calculations, the code needs to undergo a verification and validation process. Verification and validation are important processes for the use of any software; however, physics-based solvers have a unique challenge, in that the validation is much more rigorous and its domain is only applicable to the general scope of the problem. This document details the verification and validation of COMOSL for analysis of HFIR. This report is intended for two different users: (1) current and future users of COMSOL for HFIR and (2) for individuals interested in assessing the scope of the validation of COMSOL for HFIR. This report is divided into six sections. The first of which details the process of verification and validation. Section one provides an overview of key concepts from ASME V&V 10, 20, and 40 and how these concepts are used to provide a validation of any multiphysics software. Section two covers the approach needed in order to validate multiphysics software for a given HFIR analysis. Parts three through five split up the key concepts highlighted in section two. The final section provides concluding remarks which demonstrate the scope and limitations of the validation study and how these may be expanded and improved.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Decarbonizing the grid: Utilizing demand-side flexibility for carbon emission reduction through locational marginal emissions in distribution networks

Decarbonization of the electric grid has become an important world-wide priority and is actively happening in many ways by introducing innovations and new technologies from the generation sectors to the demand sectors. In particular, one promising pathway toward such net-zero carbon emissions is to utilize the demand-side flexibility with the increasing number of flexible loads in distribution networks. In this paper, we explore a load shifting strategy with the emerging concept of location marginal emissions (LMEs) to reduce carbon emissions. LMEs measure the impact of carbon emissions including the locational aspect in more granular way and thus provide a novel mechanism for the system operator and load aggregators to design the LME-based load shifting strategy, which can efficiently guide consumers and thus adjust their consumption behaviors. Simulation case studies on the IEEE test networks are performed to validate the capability of the proposed load shifting method to reduce carbon emissions. We also compare this with other relevant strategies to discuss multiple scenarios and corresponding results. Finally, while each provides a different level of flexibility, all the explored strategies tested have led to solutions that have lower carbon emissions, indicating the great potential of demand-side flexibility in reducing carbon emissions for future distribution networks.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Quantitative Risk Analysis of High Safety Significant Safety-related Digital Instrumentation and Control Systems in Nuclear Power Plants using IRADIC Technology

This report documents the activities performed by Idaho National Laboratory (INL) during fiscal year (FY) 2021 for the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Light Water Reactor Sustainability (LWRS) Program, Risk Informed Systems Analysis (RISA) Pathway, digital instrumentation and control (DI&C) Risk Assessment project. In FY-2019, the RISA Pathway initiated a project to develop a risk assessment strategy for delivering a strong technical basis to support effective, licensable, and secure DI&C technologies for digital upgrades/designs. An integrated risk assessment technology for the DI&C systems (IRADIC technology) was proposed for this strategy, which aims to (1) provide a best-estimate risk-informed capability to quantitatively and accurately estimate the safety margin obtained from plant modernization, especially for the High Safety Significant Safety-related (HSSSR) DI&C systems, (2) develop an advanced risk assessment technology to support transition from analog to DI&C technologies for nuclear industry, (3) assure the long-term safety and reliability of vital HSSSR DI&C systems, (4) reduce uncertainty in costs and support integration of DI&C systems in the plant. To achieve these technical goals and deal with the expensive licensing justifications from regulatory insights, the IRADIC technology is instructive for nuclear vendors and utilities to effectively lower the costs associated with digital compliance and speed industry advances by: (1) defining an integrated risk-informed analysis process for DI&C upgrade, including hazard analysis, reliability analysis, and consequence analysis, (2) applying systematic and risk-informed tools to address common cause failures (CCFs) and quantify responding failure probabilities for DI&C technologies, particularly software CCFs, (3) evaluating the impact of digital failures at the individual level, system level, and plant level, (4) providing insights and suggestions on designs to manage the risks; thus, to support the development, licensing, and deployment of advanced DI&C technologies on nuclear power plant (NPPs). In this report, an approach for performing software CCF analysis, given limited data, is developed and demonstrated using a case study of a highly redundant digital reactor trip system. Consequence analysis is also performed based on different accident scenarios. Results indicate that plant modernization including the improvement of HSSSR DI&C systems will make great benefits to plant safety by providing more safety margins to accident management. In addition, a novel approach is proposed in this report for the quantification of software hazards when sufficient operational and testing data available. The method incorporates software development quality as well as strong analysis techniques to identify and link software defects to potential failure modes. The approach includes both semantic and test-based analysis to detect failures that can exist in different stages of the software development life cycle. This method is applied to an advanced human system interface relevant to reactor trip safety developed from the APR 1400 design.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Multi-layer anodes for high-current applications

In this work, we present a combination of experiments and modeling of a two-layer anode structure designed by EnPower Inc. for high-energy and fast-charge capabilities. The anode consists of lower porosity near the current collector and higher porosity near the separator with comparable active materials in both regions. A pseudo-two-dimensional electrochemical–thermal model was designed to represent the performance of this electrode. Simulations, consistent with experiments, show superior ion transport and lithiation in the multi-layer anode (MLA) compared to a conventional single-layer anode (SLA). Surprisingly, this improved transport in MLA manifests as enhanced cathode performance during high-rate discharge and this, in turn, provides higher energy density for MLA. Similarly, during fast charge, less irreversible lithium is deposited due to this improved transport in MLA, and hence MLA exhibits less capacity fade compared to SLA. Polarization analysis demonstrates marginally lower cumulative overpotential for MLA in different case studies; however, MLA cells maintain a significantly higher capacity in the same conditions and have more than double the cycle life. Further, this means despite the apparently limited polarization benefit provided by MLA; the MLA structure can more reliably be employed in cell designs. Additional design changes are also analyzed by means of the model.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

A High-Fidelity Molecular Model of the Cu(111) Repeating Unit

Dynamic processes at surfaces are central to heterogeneous catalysis, but their atomistic mechanism(s) can prove difficult to elucidate due to variations in material structure and the corresponding impact on reactivity. Moreover, disparities between reaction conditions and those employed for spectroscopic characterization at surfaces can inhibit detailed understanding of catalysis-relevant chemistries. Herein, we substantiate the so-called “cluster-surface” analogy by leveraging a low-valent tricopper architecture ( 1 ) as a model system for small molecule activation at Cu(111). Two reaction classes are explored: the adsorption of carbon monoxide (CO) and the dissociative adsorption of dihydrogen (H 2 ). These processes serve as an ideal testbed to compare the reactivity of a molecular cluster ( 1 ) to that of a heterogeneous surface, as both reactions have empirical data from measurements performed on crystalline Cu(111). Cluster 1 reversibly binds CO. Variable temperature NMR analysis with 13 CO reveals a favorable enthalpy but large negative entropy (−5.1 kcal × mol –1 and −22.9 cal × mol –1 × K –1 , respectively) for CO binding, affording a process that is marginally endergonic at room temperature (ΔG ads (298.15 K) = 1.7 ± 0.5 kcal × mol –1 ). Similarly, analogous to a Cu(111) surface, 1 is shown to oxidatively add (chemisorb) H 2 . Kinetic parameters were determined for this process and the activation enthalpy (8.4 ± 0.5 kcal × mol –1 ) closely mirrors that established for H 2 binding at the Cu(111) facet (6.0 to 12.4 kcal × mol –1 ). Together, these results showcase that a trinuclear cluster can reproduce the small molecule binding and activation energetics of a bulk crystalline surface, setting the stage for studying less-defined surface processes in an atomically precise molecular setting.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Dynamic PRA-Based Estimation of PWR Coping Time Using a Surrogate Model for Accident Tolerant Fuel

In this study, we propose an interpolation-based response surface surrogate methodology to manage a large number of scenarios in dynamic probabilistic risk assessment. It adopts the shape Dynamic Time Warping algorithm to cluster the interpolation neighborhood from time series sample data. The interpolation method was adapted from Taylor Kriging to allow a reduced-order model of the Taylor series. In order to demonstrate its applicability to complex issues in risk assessment for nuclear engineering, an example risk response surface to estimate emergency core cooling system (ECCS) criteria for triplex silicon carbide (SiC) accident-tolerant fuel was constructed. The response surface was exploited to estimate the cumulative failure probability of the fuel cladding structure due to the uncertainties in operator actions and safety systems. The functional failures were assessed based on a combination of individual layer failures computed by coupling Risk Analysis Virtual Environment software with a pressurized water reactor 1000-MW(electric) RELAP5 model and the in-house fuel performance assessment module. Results showed that SiC cladding failure probability spiked less than 1 min after a large-break loss-of- coolant accident whenever the current ECCS criteria for Zircaloy-4 (Zr-4) cladding was used. However, it still provides an increased safety margin of three orders of magnitude compared to Zr-4. This positive margin could be utilized to relax active ECCS requirements by allowing deviations of up to 450 s in its actuation time. The proposed surrogate methodology generated a response surface of SiC cladding failure probability reasonably well, with a significant savings of computation time. This methodology is expected to be useful in the analysis of system response with complex uncertainty sources.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Interaction of Wheat Bran Particle Size and Stimbiotic Supplementation on Growth Performance and Gut Health Parameters in Broilers

A 42-day study was conducted with 720-day-old Cobb male broiler chicks allocated to treatments in a 3 × 2 factorial, with the factors as wheat bran (WB) inclusion (no WB, 50 g/kg coarse WB, or 50 g/kg fine WB) and stimbiotic (STB) supplementation in corn-based diets. The inclusion of WB (p < 0.05) or STB supplementation (p < 0.05) increased the FCR and feed intake in the day 0–10 phase. During the day 0–28 phase, coarse-WB inclusion increased (p < 0.05) the FCR, compared to fine WB or diets without WB. In the day 0–42 phase, WB marginally decreased weight gain in diets without STB supplementation, but the STB-supplemented diet, weight gain was greater (p < 0.05) the diet with fine WB compared with diets with coarse WB. Fine-WB inclusion increased the ileal nitrogen and energy digestibility determined at day 18 compared to coarse WB or diets without WB. Supplementation with STB (p < 0.05) or fine WB (p < 0.05) inclusion increased the villi height compared to diets without STB supplementation or coarse WB, or the diet without WB. Coarse or fine WB decreased (p < 0.05) cecal branched-chain fatty acids compared to diets without WB. In conclusion, stimbiotic supplementation to fine WB improved the performance and nutrient digestibility of broilers compared to coarse WB with no effects on the caeca total SCFA concentration.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Effect of Electrochemical Oxidation on Physicochemical Properties of Fe-Containing Single-Walled Carbon Nanotubes

Metal catalysts are necessary for fabricating carbon nanotubes, but are often considered impurities in the end products, and arduous steps are used to remove catalyst residues from the nanotube structure. However, as metals can be electrocatalytic, instead of removing them we can utilize their role in detection of analgesics. Herein, we study the physicochemical properties of Fe-containing single-walled carbon nanotubes (SWCNTs), and the effect of simple oxidative pretreatment on them. We show that a gentle anodic pretreatment i) increased the amount of oxidized Fe nanoparticles, most likely exhibiting phases Fe3O4 and Fe2O3 and ii) effectively removed disordered carbonaceous material from SWCNT bundles surfaces. Pretreatment had only a marginal effect on sensitivity towards analgesics. However, interestingly, selectivity of Fe-SWCNTs towards paracetamol and morphine could be modified with pretreatment. Through this kind of in-depth investigation, we can, to a certain extent, correlate various material properties of SWCNTs with the observed electrochemical performance. We show this approach allows us to evaluate what factors in SWCNTs truly affect the electrochemical detection of biomolecules.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

First results on ProtoDUNE-SP liquid argon time projection chamber performance from a beam test at the CERN Neutrino Platform

The ProtoDUNE-SP detector is a single-phase liquid argon time projection chamber with an active volume of 7.2× 6.1× 7.0 m3. It is installed at the CERN Neutrino Platform in a specially-constructed beam that delivers charged pions, kaons, protons, muons and electrons with momenta in the range 0.3 GeV/c to 7 GeV/c. Beam line instrumentation provides accurate momentum measurements and particle identification. The ProtoDUNE-SP detector is a prototype for the first far detector module of the Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment, and it incorporates full-size components as designed for that module. This paper describes the beam line, the time projection chamber, the photon detectors, the cosmic-ray tagger, the signal processing and particle reconstruction. It presents the first results on ProtoDUNE-SP's performance, including noise and gain measurements, dE/dx calibration for muons, protons, pions and electrons, drift electron lifetime measurements, and photon detector noise, signal sensitivity and time resolution measurements. The measured values meet or exceed the specifications for the DUNE far detector, in several cases by large margins. ProtoDUNE-SP's successful operation starting in 2018 and its production of large samples of high-quality data demonstrate the effectiveness of the single-phase far detector design.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Lower bounds on entanglement entropy without twin copy

We discuss the possibility of estimating experimentally the von Neumann entanglement entropy S A v N of a symmetric bipartite quantum system A B by using the basic measurement counts (bitstrings) for a single copy of a prepared state. Using exact diagonalization and analog simulations performed with the publicly available QuEra facilities for chains and ladders of Rydberg atoms, we calculate the Shannon entropy S A B X associated with the bitstrings of adiabatically prepared ground states and the reduced entropies S A X and S B X obtained from the marginal probabilities in A and B . We then calculate the classical mutual information I A B X = S A X + S B X − S A B X , which is a lower bound on S A v N . We show that for a broad range of lattice spacing and detuning, I A B X is typically 20% below S A v N in regions where S A v N is large and a less close bound in regions where S A v N is low. We argue that this use of the easily available bitstrings provides a robust and efficient way to explore empirically the phase diagram of qubit-based quantum simulators and identify critical regions. Published by the American Physical Society 2025

Meurice, Yannick (ORCID:0000000209959694)↗

UltraLiM: In-Memory Boolean Logic Architecture Using UltraRAM

Conventional computing architectures encounter ‘von Neumann’ and ‘memory wall’ bottlenecks which arise due to the back-and-forth data movement between the physically separate memory and processing units and the speed mismatch between them, respectively. These bottlenecks hurt both energy efficiency and the throughput of computing systems. To address these challenges, in-memory computing architectures have emerged as a promising alternative. They reduce the need for frequent data movement by executing different computing tasks inside the memory system. Here, we present UltraLiM, a logic-in-memory architecture using the UltraRAM-based memory system. UltraRAM holds the promise of developing a ‘universal memory’, overcoming the limitations of charge-based memories thanks to their non-volatile behavior with lower operating voltage. This work presents an in-memory computing architecture that integrates an UltraRAM-based memory array with a custom-designed peripheral circuitry. With this architecture, we can perform various in-memory Boolean logic operations (such as NOT, NAND, NOR, and XOR) in a single cycle. Leveraging the separate read-write paths in the UltraRAM-based memory array, we optimize read operations without encountering design conflicts. This optimization enhances the sense margin, enabling the use of simpler peripheral circuitry for in-memory logic operations.

Alam, Shamiul [University of Tennessee, Knoxville ↗

Integration Study of Converter-Interfaced Combined Heat and Power Plants

Combined Heat and Power (CHP) systems, as a proven technology, provide numerous benefits to the plant owner by saving electricity bill, reducing carbon dioxide emissions, and improving electricity service reliability. However, their integration into the distribution grid faces many barriers including the complexity of grid code requirements and the lack of technical expertise in commercial and small industrial plants to interface with the utility and accelerate the interconnection process. To solve these issues, this study proposes a converter-interfaced solution for CHP integration. Simulations including various fault scenarios and load flow under different grid conditions are carried out to compare technical performances of the proposed solution with directly-coupled CHP. Results show that the generator size of converter-interfaced CHP can be reduced by approximately 25% and it also provides advantageous features such as reduced stress level under fault conditions and a better dynamic stability margin. In addition, a power factor controller is designed and reactive power from CHP is dispatched in such a way that the CHP plant is compliant with power factor requirements from utilities under all operating conditions.

Converter, Combined heat and power, Distributed en↗

Producing cultivated meat cuts that match traditional meat in quality and affordability (CRADA Final Report)

Novel Farms, Inc., as a participant of the Cyclotron Road Lab-Embedded Entrepreneurship Program, investigated the performance of various animal cell lines and animal cell media formulations using its proprietary scaffolds as a growth substratum towards the development of economically-feasible cultivated meat production. As an alternative to conventionally farmed animal meat, cultivated meat production has the potential to yield a marginal carbon footprint while providing sustainable and cruelty-free animal protein. The prohibitively high cost of the growth factors necessary in animal cell culture media constitutes the primary barrier that hinders the economically viable production of cultivated meat products. Furthermore, scaffolding is required to create structured meat products, but current options are unsuitable for cost-effective large-scale production of cultivated meat. Novel Farms has developed a proprietary technology to produce scaffolding that has the potential to reduce production costs while providing an ideal 3D surface for cell growth. Developing cost-efficient methods for cultivated meat production will be vital in satisfying the growing demand for animal protein while avoiding the deforestation, carbon emissions, biodiversity loss and other negative outcomes of industrial animal farming.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Economic impact and risk analysis of integrating sustainable aviation fuels into refineries

The growth of the aviation industry coupled with its dependence on energy dense, liquid fuels has brought sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) research to the forefront of the biofuels community. Petroleum refineries will need to decide how to satisfy the projected increase in jet fuel demand with either capital investments to debottleneck current operations or by integrating bio-blendstocks. This work seeks to compare jet production strategies on a risk-adjusted, economic performance basis using Monte-Carlo simulation and refinery optimization models. Additionally, incentive structures aiming to de-risk initial SAF production from the refiner’s perspective are explored. Results show that market sensitive incentives can reduce the financial risks associated with producing SAFs and deliver marginal abatement costs ranging between 136-182 $/Ton-CO2e.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗