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NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Evaluating the Impact of Agricultural Soil NOx Emissions on Air Quality Using Advanced Satellite, Ground-based, and Model Data

Soil moisture can also influence the concentration of atmospheric trace gases by moderating the emission of nitrogen oxides (NOx = NO + NO2) from agricultural fields. Human activities can play an important role in controlling the available soil moisture depending on irrigation demand and agricultural management. To further complicate matters, nitrogen fertilizer use has also been found to be a significant source of NOx emissions in agricultural areas. In fact, some of the highest emissions have been reported from fertilized soils in high-temperature agricultural regions, such as the Imperial Valley of California. Since NO2 is an important precursor to ozone formation in the troposphere, which is a leading cause of premature death in humans, it is critical to understand how natural and anthropogenic factors contribute to NOx emissions in these areas. O3 pollution is also a growing threat to global food security due to its detrimental impacts on crop production. This work uses a suite of satellite, ground-based, and model data to investigate how agricultural soil NOx emissions from natural (rainfall) and anthropogenic factors (irrigation, nitrogen fertilizer) govern air quality over California. We evaluate the capabilities of using SMAP retrievals and SMAP Land Information System (LIS) output for monitoring irrigation activities over the major agricultural areas of California by conducting intensive analyses of soil moisture and precipitation data. High-resolution trace gas observations from the new generation TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) sensor are used to characterize and monitor the variability of trace gases and air quality conditions associated with soil NOx emissions. We also synthesize satellite, ground-based, and agriculture data to estimate the separate contributions from rainfall, irrigation, and nitrogen fertilizer practices on soil NOx emissions and associated air quality conditions. Finally, unprecedented hourly trace gas retrievals from the NASA Tropospheric Emissions: Monitoring of Pollution (TEMPO) geostationary satellite sensor are used to monitor the diurnal evolution of NO2 and O3 concentrations from soil NOx emissions.

Aaron R Naeger↗
NASA NTRS2023

Surface Shortwave Radiative Fluxes Derived from the U.S. Air Force Cloud Depiction Forecast System World-Wide Merged Cloud Analysis

We present a global-scale evaluation of surface shortwave (SW↓) radiative fluxes as derived with cloud amount information from the U.S. Air Force (USAF) Cloud Depiction Forecast System (CDFS) II World-Wide Merged Cloud Analysis (WWMCA) and implemented in the framework of the NASA Land Information System (LIS). Evaluation of this product is done against ground observations, a satellite-based product from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), and several reanalysis outputs. While the LIS/USAF product tends to overestimate the SW↓ fluxes when compared to ground observations and satellite estimates, its performance is comparable or better than the following reanalysis products: ERA5, CFSR, and MERRA-2. Results are presented using all available observations over the globe and independently for several regional domains of interest. When evaluated against ground observations over the globe, the bias in the LIS/USAF product at daily time scale was about 9.34 W m −2 and the RMS was 29.20 W m −2 while over the United States the bias was about 10.65 W m −2 and the RMS was 35.31 W m −2 . The sample sizes used were not uniform over the different regions, and the quality of both ground truth and the outputs of the other products may vary regionally. It is important to note that the LIS/USAF is a near-real-time (NRT) product of interest for potential users and as such fills a need that is not met by most products. Due to latency issues, the level of observational inputs in the NRT product is less than in the reanalysis data.

Cloud radiative effects↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Medium-Range River Flood Forecasts Using a Long Short-Term Memory Network

River flooding and the impacts are a concern for decision makers throughout the United States. Accurate medium-range forecasts (~3-7 days) are critical for providing advanced outlooks to emergency management officials. Unfortunately, accurately forecasting rainfall-runoff and the subsequent rise and fall within rivers remain a challenge in hydrological modeling. While complex physical modeling systems are the standard for representing the hydrological processes, they are computationally demanding and can require extensive calibration. Further, uncertainties remain in the model parameters and input data. The use of machine learning can reduce some of the computational demand while maintaining high accuracy. Therefore, this project makes use of a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network which explicitly accounts for the time-dependent nature of rainfall-runoff modeling. The developed LSTM was trained to predict river gauge height, or stage height, based on time-lagged input features which include: gauge height to initialize the model, the NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition Center’s instance of the Land Information System (SPoRT-LIS) relative soil moisture to describe the rainfall infiltration rate, and 6-hr Multi-Radar Multi-Sensor quantitative precipitation estimate (MRMS QPE). The developed LSTM based system is then used to produce 7-day forecasts with a 6-hr temporal resolution using three different quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPF) from the NWS’s Weather Prediction Center (WPC), the NCEP Global Forecast System (GFS) model and the National Blend of Models (NBM). This trained modeling system has been implemented as an experimental product at over 100 different rivers in collaboration with at multiple National Weather Service (NWS) Forecast Offices and River Forecast Centers (RFC) across the eastern half of the United States. The developed LSTM model achieved average Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) 0.89 higher than the equivalent medium-range National Water Model ensemble member forecast over a 7-day forecast. In addition to the initial development and evaluation, this project has continued to expand. While the initial model was developed for precipitation dominated basins, expansion of the project has taken it to basins effected by snow melt. This presentation will provide an overview of the project with focus on recent developments on incorporating snow melt processes into the model.

Andrew T. White↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Role of Antecedent Soil Moisture and Vegetation Stress in Lightning-Initiated Wildfires

Lightning-caused wildfires are a small percentage of all wildfire events within the Conterminous U.S. (CONUS), but they account for over 56% of the acreage burned. The atmospheric conditions favoring wildfire and rapid growth are well understood: large dewpoint depressions, unstable planetary boundary layer, strong winds, etc. However, antecedent land surface conditions affecting dead and live fuel moisture is more difficult to quantify. This study examines over 20 years of antecedent land surface, vegetation stress, and wildfire characteristic data associated with nearly 77,000 lightning-initiated wildfires from the U.S. Forest Service Wildfire Database. We will invoke two in-house databases generated by the NASA Short-term Prediction Research and Transition (SPoRT) Center: an observations-driven, climatological run of the Noah land surface model within the NASA Land Information System (i.e., SPoRT-LIS) to depict soil moisture deficits / anomalies, and a satellite-constrained Evaporative Stress Index (ESI) product to denote areas of stressed vegetation. We will mine these datasets associated with lightning-caused (and null) events to determine important relationships, distributions, and delineators that correspond to elevated threat areas for lightning-initiated wildfires.

Wildfire↗
NASA NTRS2022

SMAP Soil Moisture Assimilation To Enhance Streamflow Estimates Across South Asia

Streamflow estimation across areas facing water scarcity is important considering the evolving climatic conditions. In this study, the impact of assimilating Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) soil moisture retrievals on the modeled streamflow across three main river basins in South Asia is explored. Model estimated runoff was hydraulically routed using the HYMAP routing model within the NASA Land Information System (LIS) framework. Streamflow estimates via soil moisture assimilation highlighted the potential improvements in streamflow across low-flow river tributaries in irrigated regions. Limited relative change was noted along high-flow river tributaries. Modeled streamflow tended to underestimate the flow magnitude at upstream stations and overestimated the streamflow at downstream stations within the Indus basin due to missing physics related to reservoir operation. Improvement of the modeling systems representativeness of the ground conditions by the inclusion of water management information would potentially improve the current streamflow modeling capability across South Asia.

Jawairia Ahmad↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Improving Simulation of Irrigation in a Global Land Surface Model

Studies have shown that irrigated agriculture has substantial effects on local to regional hydrologic and atmospheric processes. These effects include increased evapotranspiration and near surface humidity, decreased air and ground temperature, augmented downwind precipitation, enhanced recharge, depletion of source water stocks, and overall changes to the regional water budget. However, developers of global offline and coupled modeling systems have been slow to incorporate irrigation. This presentation will describe progress towards simulating irrigation worldwide in the Land Information System (LIS) and Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS). We have developed and refined the ability to simulate sprinkler irrigation, furrow irrigation, paddy irrigation, and drip irrigation. We have reconciled multiple global and national irrigation, land cover, and crop type databases in an effort to (1) distinguish irrigated and rainfed agriculture, (2) simulate the proper distribution of crops (as sub-grid tiles) in each model grid pixel, and (3) apply the most likely irrigation method in each tile based on the crop type and country or state level information on the relative usage of sprinkler, flood, and drip irrigation. Using agricultural water withdrawal data, as available, for calibration and evaluation, we show that the implemented approach is promising but that much fine tuning remains to be done. In particular, irrigation model parameters that produce good results in one location often produce less satisfying results in others.

Matthew Rodell↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Exploring Lightning and Convective Processes Using the Ground-Radar Multiplatform Precipitation Feature Database

The Multiplatform Precipitation Feature (MPF) database synthesizes coincident spaceborne and ground-based lightning and radar data in a framework of storm-based features, fusing broader spaceborne detection capabilities with process-based, storm-level analysis practices. The MPF database was designed to extend the scale and scope of investigations into the complex connections between precipitation, updrafts, and lightning. The NASA International Space Station Lightning Imaging Sensor (ISS LIS) serves as the source of lightning information for the database. The first iteration of the MPF database leveraged the NASA Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM) mission spaceborne Dual-frequency Precipitation Radar (DPR) to define features, along with contributions of microphysics data and vertical wind retrievals from the GPM Validation Network (VN) of ground-based radar data. The dependency on coincident ISS and GPM satellite overpasses of radars in a dual-Doppler configuration significantly limited the size of the initial database of features, referred to as VNMPFs, but established the database infrastructure and feasibility. We present here a second iteration of the MPF database that omits the GPM DPR and VN, instead incorporating data directly from selected proximal installations of the operational Next Generation Radar (NEXRAD) network that facilitate vertical wind retrievals via dual-Doppler analysis. These features based exclusively on ground-based polarimetric Doppler radar are hereafter referred to as Ground-Radar MPFs (GRMPFs). Removing the restriction of a coincident GPM overpass appreciably increases the size of the GRMPF database while incorporating more detailed information from higher-resolution radar data and retrievals. This expansion allows for unprecedented broad, robust statistical analyses of the electrical, kinematic, and microphysical characteristics of deep convective processes. These results highlight the potential for advancements in lightning meteorology made possible by combining multiple perspectives from global lightning measurements and ground-based radar data.

Lightning↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Future Lightning Instruments for Weather and Climate Monitoring From LEO

Lightning is not only a natural hazard, but it also holds information about physical processes at work in deep convection and influences atmospheric oxidants that modulate ozone and methane. Hence, spaceborne lightning observations are essential for monitoring extreme events and feedbacks in Earth’s climate system. Low-Earth orbiting (LEO) lightning mapping instruments established a 25-year record of global lightning activity and resulted in a wealth of studies that motivated its designation as an Essential Climate Variable by the World Meteorological Organization. Although geostationary observations of lightning have become increasingly available since 2017, LEO lightning mappers continue to serve critical needs given their unique vantage point and acceptance as a unifying reference for geostationary lightning mapper and ground-based global lightning datasets. At the close of 2023, the Lightning Imaging Sensor (LIS) will cease operations on the International Space Station, which introduces a critical gap in LEO-based monitoring of global lightning activity. To address this need, NASA is developing new lightning mapping technology that enables future LEO-based satellite missions. Existing LEO-based lightning mappers rely on narrowband optical emissions centered on 777.4-nm and detectors that capture 500 images per second to detect lightning both day and night. Lightning can also produce optical emissions in a narrowband centered on 337-nm without any corresponding emissions at the traditionally used near-infrared (NIR) wavelength. These near-ultraviolet (UV) emissions are associated with earlier stage electrical breakdown (e.g., streamers), may frequent intense regions of deep convective storms, and may be a significant source of nitrogen oxide production in the upper atmosphere. A new lightning mapping instrument called the CubeSat Lightning Imaging and Detection Experiment (CLIDE) is being designed at NASA Marshall Space Flight Center to use high-speed, scientific CMOS image sensors capable of detecting lightning’s transient optical emissions in the near-UV and NIR during both daylit and nighttime scenes. This will extend the record of global lightning activity and help pave the way for future small satellite missions that combine radio and optical lightning detectors to obtain novel three-dimensional maps of lightning on a global scale, which can revolutionize the way lightning is used to monitor weather and understand changes in climate.

lightning↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Overview of Lightning Science at NASA Marshall Space Flight Center

NASA Marshall Space Flight Center (MSFC) is a recognized world leader in the science of lightning. To date, MSFC has led three space-based global lightning observing missions and has helped lead multiple suborbital field campaigns involving lightning observations. Recently, the MSFC Lightning Team is closing out the recently completed International Space Station Lightning Imaging Sensor (ISS LIS) mission, including developing a nearly three-decade global climatology of lightning from space. This work also includes integrating lightning observations with data from NASA precipitation missions. The Team is also busy analyzing data from a recent airborne field campaign that observed dozens of terrestrial gamma-ray flashes (TGFs) from intense tropical thunderstorms. Lightning Team members are also leaders in validation of the Geostationary Lightning Mapper (GLM) operated by NOAA, and in developing lightning safety applications and studying the relationship between lightning and wildfires. The Lightning Team also studies chemical production by lightning and contributes to the National Climate Assessment (NCA). Finally, the Lightning Team is busy developing the next generation of spaceborne lightning sensors to broaden our understanding of the relationships between lightning, weather, climate, and atmospheric composition.

Timothy Lang↗
NASA NTRS1989

Dust emission in the Sagittarius B2 molecular cloud core

A model is presented for the dust emission from the Sagittarius B2 molecular cloud core which reproduces the observed spectrum between 30 and 1300 micron, as well as the distribution of the emission at 1300 micron. The model is based on the assumption that Sgr B2(N) continuum source is located behind the dust cloud associated with Sgr B2(M) continuum source. The fact that Sgr B2(N) is stronger at 1300 micron can be attributed to a local column density maximum at the position of this source. Absence of a 53 micron emission peak at the position of Sgr B2(N) suggests that the luminosity of the north source is lower than that of the middle source.

Lis, Dariusz C.↗
NASA NTRS1991

Protostellar condensations in the core of NGC 2024

The J = 4-3 transition of HCO(+) was observed in the core of NGC 2024. The findings indicate a possibly expanding torus centered around the FIR 6 continuum source and an E-W ridge below the ionization front. The presence of HCO(+) J = 4-3 emission from the torus and E-W ridge suggests relatively high gas densities in these regions. The relatively strong intensity of the observed HCO(+) J = 4-3 emission toward the FIR source suggests that the emission originates from relatively warm and dense gas. Continuum radiation transport modeling of the core shows that submillimeter and millimeter continuum observations of the cores can be reproduced under the assumption that the cores are externally heated objects without internal heating sources. This requires a factor of about 250 enhancement of the external radiation field intensity compared to the standard Galactic radiation field. This enhancement is consistent with the stellar luminosities required to explain the observed FIR continuum emission from the region.

Lis, D. C.↗
NASA NTRS1991

Size and density distribution of very small dust grains in the Barnard 5 cloud

The effects of the temperature fluctuations in small graphite grains on the energy spectrum and the IR surface brightness of an isolated dust cloud heated externally by the interstellar radiation field were investigated using a series of models based on a radiation transport computer code. This code treats self-consistently the thermal coupling between the transient heating of very small dust grains and the equilibrium heating of conventional large grains. The model results were compared with the IRAS observations of the Barnard 5 (B5) cloud, showing that the 25-micron emission of the cloud must be produced by small grains with a 6-10 A radius, which also contribute about 50 percent to the observed 12-micron emission. The remaining 12 micron flux may be produced by the polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons. The 60-and 100-micron radiation is dominated by emission from large grains heated under equilibrium conditions.

Lis, Dariusz C.↗
NASA NTRS1991

Infrared emission from isolated dust clouds in the presence of very small dust grains

Models of the effects of small grain-generated temperature fluctuations on the IR spectrum and surface brightness of externally heated interstellar dust clouds are presently constructed on the basis of a continuum radiation transport computer code which encompasses the transient heating of small dust grains. The models assume a constant fractional abundance of large and small grains throughout the given cloud. A comparison of model results with IRAS observations indicates that the observed 12-25 micron band emissions are associated with about 10-A radius grains, while the 60-100 micron emission is primarily due to large grains which are heated under the equilibrium conditions.

Lis, Dariusz C.↗
NASA NTRS1991

Millimeter continuum observations of Galactic center giant molecular cloud cores

Results are presented of observations of 1.3- and 0.8-mm continuum emission toward the cores of three Galactic center molecular clouds with ongoing massive star formation, Sagittarius B2, C, and D, which were made in order to study possible variations in the high-mass star formation rate per unit mass between the Galactic center and the disk. The luminosity-to-mass ratio, based on the mass estimates derived from the millimeter continuum emission, is used as a tracer of the high-mass star formation rate in GMC cores. The magnitude of errors involved in using millimeter continuum emission for determining the core mass is estimated through radiative transfer modeling. It is inferred from the present millimeter data, along with previously published far-infrared data, that the Sgr C and D cores are very similar in terms of mean dust optical depth and temperature. The luminosity-to-mass ratios derived for the Sgr C and D cores are found to be consistent with those of typical disk GMC cores with comparable far-infrared luminosities.

Lis, D. C.↗
NASA NTRS1992

High angular resolution far-infrared observations of Sagittarius B2

High-angular-resolution FIR observations of the continuum emission from the Sagittarius B2 molecular cloud core are reported. Evidence is found for a significantly spatially extended component of the FIR emission at 50- and 100-micron wavelength, which has an angular extent of 1 x 2 arcmin. Its approximate spatial coincidence with a low-level extended component of the radio free-free emission and with the portion of the SGR B2 core having densities not less than 10 exp 5 cu cm derived from molecular observations suggests that the ionizing radiation from the massive stars in the compact sources is diffusing through a region with a beam-averaged visual extinction not less than a few hundred mag. It is inferred that the gas and the dust in the central portion of the cloud surrounding the compact radio free-free/FIR sources are highly clumped.

Goldsmith, Paul F.↗
NASA NTRS1994

Synthesized spectra of turbulent clouds

A comparison has been made of the velocity structure of non-star-forming dense molecular clouds and the output of a 512(exp 3) hydrodynamic code for compressible gas displaying features of turbulence. A remarkable similarity exists between the interstellar line profiles and the velocity profiles found by integrating, with an optically thin assumption, through subsections of the simulation. This similarity is in terms of both the structure of individual spectra, showing skewness, multiple peaks, and wings, and also the variations of the spectra from point to point. It is possible to see the origin of the various velocity substructures and how they correlate with regions of high density and velocity divergence, or regions of high vorticity, by deprojecting individual spectra of the simulation. It is found that the interstellar medium spectra are best represented by the epoch of the simulation in which the energy spectrum is essentially Kolmogorov-like and initially developed shocks have been largely converted into vorticity structures. Further, it is found that the vorticity peaks ascribed to intermittency contribute to the non-Gaussian features and wings of the line profile, but at an intensity level that is weak compared to the contribution of the bulk of the flow.

Falgarone, E.↗
NASA NTRS1995

Star formation in the Galactic Center GMC cores: Sagittarius B2 and the dust ridge

The total far-infrared luminosity and the ionizing flux inferred from radio continuum observations of the Galactic center region imply a rate of star formation per unit mass of molecular material comparable to that in the Galactic disk. However, H2O and OH masers commonly found in sites of high-mass star formation are relatively rare in the nuclear disk. Far-infrared studies suggest that the formation rate of stars with masses greater than approximately 20 Solar Mass is reduced in the central region compared to the Galactic disk. Star formation might be suppressed currently in the central region as a result of the different geometry and strength of the magnetic fields there, which arguably might tend to inhibit cloud collapse. High gas pressures implied by observations of the diffuse X-ray emission suggest that giant molecular clouds (GMCs) in the nuclear disk may be held together by external pressure rather than self-gravity. The gravitational collapse leading to the formation of high density cores may thus be suppressed in all but the most massive clouds.

Lis, D. C.↗