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At least 325 records · Page 18

Compactly‐Supported Nonstationary Kernels for Computing Exact Gaussian Processes on Big Data

The Gaussian process (GP) is a widely used method for analyzing large-scale data sets, including spatio-temporal measurements of nonlinear processes that are now commonplace in the environmental sciences. Traditional implementations of GPs involve stationary kernels (also termed covariance functions) that limit their flexibility, and exact methods for inference that prevent application to data sets with more than about 10,000 points. Modern approaches to address stationarity assumptions generally fail to accommodate large data sets, while all attempts to address scalability focus on approximating the Gaussian likelihood, which can involve subjectivity and lead to inaccuracies. In this work, we explicitly derive an alternative kernel that can discover and encode both sparsity and nonstationarity. We embed the kernel within a fully Bayesian GP model and leverage high-performance computing resources to enable the analysis of massive data sets. We demonstrate the favorable performance of our novel kernel relative to existing exact and approximate GP methods across a variety of synthetic data examples. Furthermore, we conduct space–time prediction based on more than 1 million measurements of daily maximum temperature and verify that our results outperform state-of-the-art methods in the Earth sciences. More broadly, having access to exact GPs that use ultra-scalable, sparsity-discovering, nonstationary kernels allows GP methods to truly compete with a wide variety of machine learning methods.

Gaussian processes↗

Environmental life cycle of fentanyl: From the cradle to an unknown grave

The lack of available information on the presence and persistence of fentanyl in the environment is a significant gap in the technical literature. Although the origins of the opioid in the environment are well-known because they follow the same pathways of other drug-related environmental contaminants, the downstream effects of fentanyl in the water supply and its retention in soil are less understood. The characterization of fentanyl and its potential degradation products in complex environmental samples such as soil is severely understudied. Very few articles are available that work to identify fentanyl and its degradation products in complex samples or name the possible hazards that may result from environmental exposure and degradation. Therefore, the objectives were to identify available articles focused on environmental fentanyl and its pathways and highlight quantifiable research or results that included specific degradation products or downstream effects. Research articles focused on fentanyl between 2000 and 2024 were identified and reviewed and then filtered using Boolean search terms for environmental parameters. Various studies have determined that trace levels of fentanyl can be found in a variety of environments, and additional data suggest preferential partitioning into soils from water and long-term persistence. Despite this knowledge, very little data exists on the long-term downstream effects of fentanyl or its analogs. As the chronic effects from low-level fentanyl exposure are currently unknown, this lack of insight brings to the forefront the need for further research to improve our understanding of fentanyl persistence, degradation, and toxicity within the environment.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Raccoon densities across four land cover types in the southeastern United States

Raccoons (Procyon lotor) are the primary reservoir for rabies virus in eastern North America. Management of rabies in raccoons is achieved primarily with the use of oral rabies vaccination (ORV) and effective ORV bait densities are determined in part by the densities of raccoons. Decisions regarding ORV bait densities, however, are limited by an incomplete understanding of raccoon densities across the spectrum of landscapes they occupy. We carried out a mark-recapture study of raccoons on the Savannah River Site in South Carolina, USA, from 2017–2019, to develop sex- and landscape-specific raccoon density estimates across 4 rural land cover types in the southeastern United States: bottomland hardwood, riparian forest, isolated wetland, and upland pine (Pinus spp.). We captured 404 unique raccoons 773 times over the 3-year trapping period. Estimated densities were 5.44 ± 0.37 (SE) animals/km 2 in bottomland hardwood forest, 2.62 ± 0.32 animals/km 2 in riparian forest, 2.19 ± 0.29 animals/km 2 in isolated wetlands, and 2.14 ± 0.23 animals/km 2 in upland pine. Densities were significantly higher in bottomland hardwood than all other land cover types, whereas densities among the remaining cover types were similar. These patterns are likely the result of landscape fragmentation and configuration, with riparian forests typically embedded in a matrix of less suitable cover types, leading to low densities despite presumably high resource availability. There were higher densities of males than females in every cover type except upland pine, where the sex ratio was balanced. Densities on our site were low compared to other rural areas, which likely results from the lack of human influence in terms of agriculture or development. The financial cost of baiting for ORV distribution may be reduced by considering the comparatively low densities of raccoons in these rural landscapes in the southeastern United States.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

An international laboratory comparison of dissolved organic matter composition by high resolution mass spectrometry: Are we getting the same answer?

Since the first detailed compositional analysis of dissolved organic matter (DOM) in 1995, high resolution mass spectrometry (HRMS) has become a vital tool for DOM characterization. While the upward trend in HRMS for molecular level analysis of DOM continues, so do the challenges of data comparison and interpretation between laboratories operating instruments of differing performance and user operating conditions. It is therefore essential that the community establishes whether data and trends can be compared robustly between research groups. To this end, 4 identically prepared DOM samples were each studied by 16 laboratories, representing 17 commercially-purchased instruments located across 8 countries, using positive- and negative-mode electrospray ionization (ESI) HRMS analysis. Despite the widely reported sensitivity of ESI experiments to sample matrix, preparation, ion source operation and instrument tuning parameters, the instruments used in this study showed relatively low variability between results for the same samples, particularly H/C and AI metrics. The variation in O/C and m/z metrics was relatively higher, although z-score graphs and %BCD demonstrated that the relative difference in general chemical composition between samples was the same for each instrument included in the study. As such, these metrics can be used for fingerprinting of DOM samples and as a benchmark for quality control in participating laboratories, with future strides in environmental science building upon these efforts.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

How much carbon can be added to soil by sorption?

Abstract Quantifying the upper limit of stable soil carbon storage is essential for guiding policies to increase soil carbon storage. One pool of carbon considered particularly stable across climate zones and soil types is formed when dissolved organic carbon sorbs to minerals. We quantified, for the first time, the potential of mineral soils to sorb additional dissolved organic carbon (DOC) for six soil orders. We compiled 402 laboratory sorption experiments to estimate the additional DOC sorption potential, that is the potential of excess DOC sorption in addition to the existing background level already sorbed in each soil sample. We estimated this potential using gridded climate and soil geochemical variables within a machine learning model. We find that mid- and low-latitude soils and subsoils have a greater capacity to store DOC by sorption compared to high-latitude soils and topsoils. The global additional DOC sorption potential for six soil orders is estimated to be 107 $$\pm$$ ± 13 Pg C to 1 m depth. If this potential was realized, it would represent a 7% increase in the existing total carbon stock.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Integrating Analytical Solutions and U-Net Model for Predicting Groundwater Contaminant Plumes in Pump-and-Treat Systems

Pump-and-treat (P&T) is a common technique for groundwater remediation involving the extraction and treatment of contaminated water above ground. Optimizing the design and operation of the P&T well network is essential for maximizing the system’s effectiveness and efficiency. However, this optimization often necessitates many model evaluations, leading to computationally demanding tasks. This study introduces a novel approach that integrates analytical solutions for groundwater dynamics with the U-Net (Ronneberger et al., 2015) deep learning framework to predict groundwater contaminant plume migration under dynamic pumping conditions. By incorporating the Thiem equation (Thiem, 1906) into the input preprocessing, the U-Net model transforms sparse well data into a continuous spatial field that captures the hydraulic impacts of pumping activities. This integration enables the model to leverage both deep learning capabilities and classical physics-based groundwater theories, enhancing prediction accuracy and computational efficiency. These advancements can facilitate rapid, large-scale evaluations of P&T optimization simulations, allowing for timely and effective decision-making in well placement and system management. We demonstrate the model's robust performance across both simplified transient 2D models and a more complex 3D heterogeneous site model at the 200 West P&T facility at the Hanford Site. The U-Net-based model offers substantial computational advantages, reducing simulation times significantly compared to full physics-based models and providing a powerful tool for rapid site evaluation and P&T system optimization, such as evaluating alternative P&T well network designs. Our findings highlight the potential of advanced machine learning models to significantly enhance the efficiency and sustainability of groundwater remediation efforts, offering a novel application of U-Net architecture in environmental science.

Pump-and-treat↗

Queen bees offload pesticide burden to eggs when social buffering is overwhelmed

Honey bee colonies pollinate about one-third of the world’s food crops, and their rapid decline directly threatens agricultural productivity and ecosystem stability. Understanding how colony-level social defenses influence pesticide fate and the circumstances under which they fail is therefore a crucial question in pollinator biology. We used biological accelerator mass spectrometry (BioAMS), a sensitive radiotracer technique, to track the movement of a model pesticide through a small honey bee colony under laboratory conditions. We tested the hypothesis that social buffering protects honey bees from toxic accumulation and that this protection can be overcome, leading to maternal offloading of the pesticide to developing eggs. Consistent with this hypothesis, our results identified three key mechanisms governing chemical movement within a social insect colony: (1) worker bees initially decrease dietary pesticide levels by 95% through diet filtering and deposition in honeycombs, though this declines to 86% by day 10; (2) queen bees maintain markedly lower pesticide levels than workers but, over time, they accumulate the pesticide in their ovaries and transfer it into developing eggs, revealing a previously undocumented protective mechanism in reproductive individuals; and (3) the presence of a queen bee shifts colony-wide chemical distribution by concentrating worker exposure and increasing pesticide deposition in wax. Our findings show that honey bee colonies function as integrated detoxification networks, in which chemical fate depends on complex social behaviors and caste-specific physiology. When social buffering is overwhelmed, reproductive queens may survive by transferring their chemical burden to their offspring.

Biological and medical sciences↗

Bio-distribution and deposition of wildfire smoke chemicals into olfactory bulb and brain of rats after intranasal instillation

Epidemiological and experimental studies suggest wildfire smoke is a potential contributor to neurological dysfunction and associated with neuroinflammation. Using doses comparable to those encountered during intense wildfire events (200-300 μg/m 3 ), we explore the absorption, distribution, metabolism, and elimination (ADME) and pharmacokinetics of representative members of major chemical classes (acid, phenol, PAH, aldehyde) in inhaled wood smoke condensates. Male Sprague Dawley rats were intranasally instilled with smoldering eucalyptus woodsmoke extract (WSE) reconstituted in saline spiked with 14 C-labeled palmitic acid (PA), benzo[a]pyrene (B[a]P), catechol (CAT) or benzaldehyde (BZ). Serum was collected from 5 min to 2 weeks after exposure and tissues were collected at 0.5, 2, 4, 24 h and 2 weeks after exposure. Urine was collected over the 24 h exposure. Tissues were collected, rinsed in PBS and analyzed by accelerator mass spectrometry (AMS) for 14C-labeled chemicals. PA and B[a]P entered circulation slowly, reached maximum concentration (C max ) near 15 ng/mL at 2 h, and had circulating concentrations near 1/3 C max 24 h after exposure. CAT and BZ rapidly entered circulation and were mostly cleared at 2 h. Excess 14 C from all four chemicals was detected in olfactory bulb and brain over the first 24 h but only PA (or its metabolites) was retained in olfactory bulb, brain and kidney at 2 weeks post exposure. All excess 14 C was cleared from the lung at 2 weeks. Metabolite analysis of urine (CAT, BZ and B(a)P) dosed samples did not detect any parent compound. CAT and BZ were rapidly cleared. The slower uptake and clearance of PA or B[a]P or their reactive metabolites when dosed with WSE in brain and olfactory bulb potentially provide greater opportunity for inflammatory response. This study suggests that wildfire smoke chemicals can enter the brain directly from the nasal cavity to the olfactory bulb and via systemic circulation.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗

Comprehensive process and environmental impact analysis of integrated DBD plasma steam methane reforming

Utilization of electricity generated from renewable sources to obtain hydrogen, H 2 , is of critical importance to decrease the overall carbon footprint. Here in this work, integration of a dielectric discharge barrier (DBD) plasma reactor to convert low calorific value gas, such as landfill gas or coal mine gas into hydrogen, into the existing steam methane reforming (SMR) technology was evaluated using process design considerations. In particular, a DBD-enhanced catalytic SMR reactor was modeled to operate at near atmospheric pressure and 500 °C sequentially with the conventional reformer to obtain ~ 65 kmol/hr H2 for distributed production. This allowed decreasing the size of the conventional reformer albeit at the increased overall electricity consumption. Calculated process economics showed that only at an electricity cost of less than $0.004/kWh does the hybrid DBD plasma process derived H 2 price become competitive with that of the conventional SMR. A Life Cycle Assessment framework was used to compare environmental impacts from the conventional SMR, hybrid DBD SMR and hybrid DBD SMR utilizing only onshore wind-derived electricity. Larger environmental impacts in the plasma reformer were obtained due to the use of electricity for the plasma reforming operation, which was modeled as coming from the typical U.S. grid mix. Utilizing only 100% wind-derived electricity provided certain environmental benefits, except for the ecotoxicity impact where the wind power scenario modeled here only reduced ecotoxicity impacts associated with electricity by 30%.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Analysis of digitized herbarium records and community science observations provides a glimpse of downy mildew species diversity of North America, reveals potentially undescribed species, and documents the need for continued digitization and collecting

Downy mildew diseases caused by Peronosporaceae cause significant crop losses globally, with several emerging and resurgent threats in recent decades. Biodiversity data from digitized herbarium specimens provide an opportunity to develop a baseline census of species diversity, however, these resources may represent aggregations of nonrandom and opportunistic collecting efforts, which could lead to spurious results. Here, the MyCoPortal census of digitized herbarium records for downy mildew species collected from North America 1800 to present were analyzed. From 9838 unique records, 196 species were identified, reflecting ~28% of known species diversity. Temporal and geographic collecting biases were observed, with 90% of the collections made prior to 1960 and the efforts of six “super-collectors” accounting for 25% of the collections. The presence of 50–100 undescribed species in North America was inferred from the records. Together, these results highlight the need for continued downy mildew collections, taxonomic research and digitization efforts.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

A comparative study of machine learning models for predicting the state of reactive mixing

Mixing phenomena are important mechanisms controlling flow, species transport, and reaction processes in fluids and porous media. Accurate predictions of reactive mixing are critical for many Earth and environmental science problems such as contaminant fate and remediation, macroalgae growth, and plankton biomass evolution. Here, to investigate the evolution of mixing dynamics under different scenarios (e.g., anisotropy, fluctuating velocity fields), a finite-element-based numerical model was built to solve the fast, irreversible bimolecular reaction-diffusion equations to simulate a range of reactive-mixing scenarios. A total of 2,315 simulations were performed using different sets of model input parameters comprising various spatial scales of vortex structures in the velocity field, time-scales associated with velocity oscillations, the perturbation parameter for the vortex-based velocity, anisotropic dispersion contrast (i.e., ratio of longitudinal-to-transverse dispersion), and molecular diffusion. The outputs comprised concentration profiles of reactants and products. The inputs to and outputs from these simulations were concatenated into feature and label matrices, respectively, to train 20 different machine learning (ML) models intended to emulate system behavior. These 20 ML emulators, based on linear methods, Bayesian methods, ensemble learning methods, and multilayer perceptrons (MLPs), were trained to classify the state of mixing and predict three quantities of interest (QoIs) characterizing species production, decay (i.e., average concentration, square of average concentration), and degree of mixing (i.e., variances of species concentration). Unsurprisingly, linear classifiers and regressors failed to reproduce the QoIs; however, ensemble methods (classifiers and regressors) and the MLP model accurately classified the state of reactive mixing and the QoIs. Among ensemble methods, random forest and decision-tree-based AdaBoost faithfully predicted the QoIs. At run time, trained ML emulators produced results times faster than the finite-element simulations. Due to their low computational expense and high accuracy, ensemble and MLP models are excellent emulators for these numerical simulations and great utilities in uncertainty quantification exercises, which can require 1,000s of forward model runs.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Storing sunlight at low temperatures?

Here, artificial leaves that convert sunlight to fuels could provide a sustainable energy future. But several challenges must be overcome to improve their economic viability. Publishing in Energy & Environmental Science, Kölbach, Rehfeld, and May describe the potential of decentralized hydrogen production using thermally integrated architectures that operate under sub-freezing temperatures.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Mostly positive implications of long-haul truck electrification

In this work, it is described how recently in the July 6, 2021 issue of Environmental Science & Technology, Tong et al. estimated health and climate impacts from large-scale long-haul truck electrification. The monetized damages range from a 47%–54% increase to a 77%–88% reduction. However, with adjustments to the marginal emission and static assumptions, impacts are found to be almost certainly positive, a 7%–94% reduction in damages.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Energy and environmental aspects in recycling lithium-ion batteries: Concept of Battery Identity Global Passport

The emergence and dominance of lithium-ion batteries in expanding markets such as consumer electronics, electric vehicles, and renewable energy storage are driving enormous interests and investments in the battery sector. The explosively growing demand is generating a huge number of spent lithium-ion batteries, thereby urging the development of cost-effective and environmentally sustainable recycling technologies to manage end-of-life batteries. Currently, the recycling of end-of-life batteries is still in its infancy, with many fundamental and technological hurdles to overcome. Here in this paper, the authors provide an overview of the current state of battery recycling by outlining and evaluating the incentives, key issues, and recycling strategies. The authors highlight a direct recycling strategy through discussion of its benefits, processes, and challenges. Perspectives on the future energy and environmental science of this important field is also discussed with respect to a new concept introduced as the Battery Identity Global Passport (BIGP).

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗