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At least 325 records · Page 18

An ODE-Fitting Approach to Estimate Critical Aircraft Performance Parameters for Trajectory Prediction

Ground-based decision support tools (DST) in air traffic management (ATM) typically perform trajectory prediction based on aircraft performance model (APM) parameters, but some or all of these parameters might not be readily available. In particular, the three critical parameters required for trajectory prediction are the thrust setting, drag coefficients, and takeoff weight of the aircraft. Unfortunately, these parameters are coupled and appear together in physics-based kinetic models. Past approaches utilize data from a specific phase of flight (climb, level flight or descent), where one or more of the parameters are assumed to be known and estimate the remaining unknown parameters. This approach introduces bias/errors and also does not extend to scenarios where all of the above parameters are not known with sufficient accuracy. This paper is the first of its kind to propose a generalized framework for simultaneous estimation of all three critical APM parameters (thrust, drag, and mass). The proposed approach utilizes data from both the climb and descent phases and fits the ordinary differential equation for altitude in each phase using historical trajectory data available from radar tracks or ADS-B. The approach yields a set of optimized APM parameters that are best suited to fit each historical flight record. The methodology is applied on on sample flights from three different aircraft types, and the results demonstrate low fit error and consequently will yield a high level of prediction accuracy.

trajectory prediction, aircraft performance model,↗

An ODE-Fitting Approach to Estimate Critical Aircraft Performance Parameters for Trajectory Prediction

Ground-based decision support tools (DST) in air traffic management (ATM) typically perform trajectory prediction based on aircraft performance model (APM) parameters, but some or all of these parameters might not be readily available. In particular, the three critical parameters required for trajectory prediction are the thrust setting, drag coefficients, and takeoff weight of the aircraft. Unfortunately, these parameters are coupled and appear together in physics-based kinetic models. Past approaches utilize data from a specific phase of flight (climb, level flight or descent), where one or more of the parameters are assumed to be known and estimate the remaining unknown parameters. This approach introduces bias/errors and also does not extend to scenarios where all of the above parameters are not known with sufficient accuracy. This paper is the first of its kind to propose a generalized framework for simultaneous estimation of all three critical APM parameters (thrust, drag, and mass). The proposed approach utilizes data from both the climb and descent phases and fits the ordinary differential equation for altitude in each phase using historical trajectory data available from radar tracks or ADS-B. The approach yields a set of optimized APM parameters that are best suited to fit each historical flight record. The methodology is applied on on sample flights from three different aircraft types, and the results demonstrate low fit error and consequently will yield a high level of prediction accuracy.

trajectory prediction↗

Mars Exploration Rover Terminal Descent Mission Modeling and Simulation

Because of NASA's added reliance on simulation for successful interplanetary missions, the MER mission has developed a detailed EDL trajectory modeling and simulation. This paper summarizes how the MER EDL sequence of events are modeled, verification of the methods used, and the inputs. This simulation is built upon a multibody parachute trajectory simulation tool that has been developed in POST I1 that accurately simulates the trajectory of multiple vehicles in flight with interacting forces. In this model the parachute and the suspended bodies are treated as 6 Degree-of-Freedom (6 DOF) bodies. The terminal descent phase of the mission consists of several Entry, Descent, Landing (EDL) events, such as parachute deployment, heatshield separation, deployment of the lander from the backshell, deployment of the airbags, RAD firings, TIRS firings, etc. For an accurate, reliable simulation these events need to be modeled seamlessly and robustly so that the simulations will remain numerically stable during Monte-Carlo simulations. This paper also summarizes how the events have been modeled, the numerical issues, and modeling challenges.

Raiszadeh, Behzad↗

Orion Exploration Flight Test-1 Post-Flight Navigation Performance Assessment Relative to the Best Estimated Trajectory

This paper details the post-flight navigation performance assessment of the Orion Exploration Flight Test-1 (EFT-1). Results of each flight phase are presented: Ground Align, Ascent, Orbit, and Entry Descent and Landing. This study examines the on-board Kalman Filter uncertainty along with state deviations relative to the Best Estimated Trajectory (BET). Overall the results show that the Orion Navigation System performed as well or better than expected. Specifically, the Global Positioning System (GPS) measurement availability was significantly better than anticipated at high altitudes. In addition, attitude estimation via processing GPS measurements along with Inertial Measurement Unit (IMU) data performed very well and maintained good attitude throughout the mission.

Gay, Robert S.↗

Aerodynamic Performance of the 2018 InSight Mars Lander

InSight touched down in Elysium Planitia on 26 November 2018, becoming NASA’s eighth successful entry, descent, and landing (EDL) at Mars. InSight was a build-to-print of the successful 2008 Phoenix EDL system, flying a non-spinning, ballistic trajectory with a 70-degree sphere-cone aeroshell (2.65-meter diameter), disk-gap-band parachute, and pulsed terminal descent and landing engines. This work discusses entry aerodynamic performance for InSight up to parachute deployment, including pre-flight aerodynamics predictions and comparisons with post-flight reconstruction, as well as comparisons with the Phoenix reconstruction.

Ashley M Korzun↗

Failure Bounding And Sensitivity Analysis Applied To Monte Carlo Entry, Descent, And Landing Simulations

In the study of entry, descent, and landing, Monte Carlo sampling methods are often employed to study the uncertainty in the designed trajectory. The large number of uncertain inputs and outputs, coupled with complicated non-linear models, can make interpretation of the results difficult. Three methods that provide statistical insights are applied to an entry, descent, and landing simulation. The advantages and disadvantages of each method are discussed in terms of the insights gained versus the computational cost. The first method investigated was failure domain bounding which aims to reduce the computational cost of assessing the failure probability. Next a variance-based sensitivity analysis was studied for the ability to identify which input variable uncertainty has the greatest impact on the uncertainty of an output. Finally, probabilistic sensitivity analysis is used to calculate certain sensitivities at a reduced computational cost. These methods produce valuable information that identifies critical mission parameters and needs for new technology, but generally at a significant computational cost.

Gaebler, John A.↗

Aerocapture Guidance and Performance at Mars for High-Mass Systems

The objective of this study is to understand the performance associated with using the aerocapture maneuver to slow high-mass systems from an Earth-approach trajectory into orbit around Mars. This work is done in conjunction with the Mars Entry Descent and Landing Systems Analysis (EDL-SA) task to explore candidate technologies necessary for development in order to land large-scale payloads on the surface of Mars. Among the technologies considered include hypersonic inflatable aerodynamic decelerators (HIADs) and rigid mid-lift to drag (L/D) aeroshells. Nominal aerocapture trajectories were developed for the mid-L/D aeroshell and two sizes of HIADs, and Monte Carlo analysis was completed to understand sensitivities to dispersions. Additionally, a study was completed in order to determine the size of the larger of the two HIADs which would maintain design constraints on peak heat rate and diameter. Results show that each of the three aeroshell designs studied is a viable option for landing high-mass payloads as none of the three exceed performance requirements.

Zumwalt, Carlie H.↗

Numerical Evaluation of Entry System Trajectory Control via Active Porosity Control of Transpiration Cooled Thermal Protection System

As space exploration expands, atmospheric descent requirements will tighten to improve landing accuracy to areas of interest. One way to meet higher landing accuracy requirements is by increasing vehicle maneuverability. This study explores the concept of manipulating a transpiration cooling scheme for entry capsules that could provide both active aerodynamic control as well as thermal protection for external surfaces. Numerical methods of fluid dynamics and heat transfer are presented to study the effectiveness of the concept in both thermal protection and entry vehicle attitude control. This effort works through development of an entry vehicle model at aeromaneuvering conditions with designated boundary activated for effects of transpiration cooling. Preliminary results show calculated values of heat flux and aerodynamic forces as a function of varying transpiration cooling flow rates. This contributes evidence of asymmetric cooling utilization as an additional mechanism for vehicle attitude control.

Caroline Anderson↗

Computations of diabatic descent in the stratospheric polar vortex

A radiation model, together with National Meteorological Center temperature observations, was used to compute daily net heating rates in the northern hemisphere (NH) for the Arctic late fall and winter periods of both 1988-1989 and 1991-1992 and in the southern hemisphere (SH) for the Antarctic fall and winters of 1987 and 1992. The heating rates were interpolated to potential temperature (theta) surfaces between 400 K and 2000 K and averaged within the polar vortex, the boundary of which was determined by the maximum gradient in potential vorticity. The averaged heating rates were used in a one-dimensional vortex interior descent model to compute the change in potential temperature with time of air parcels initialized at various theta values, as well as to compute the descent in log pressure coodinates. In the NH vortex, air parcels which were initialized at 18 km on November 1, descended about 6 km by March 21, while air initially at 25 km descended 9 km in the same time period. this represents an average descent rate in the lower stratosphere of 1.3 to 2 km per month. Air initialized at 50 km descended 27 km between November 1 and March 21. In the SH vortex, parcels initialized at 18 km on March 1, descended 3 km, while air at 25 km descended 5-7 km by the end of October. This is equivalent to an average descent in the lower stratosphere of 0.4 to 0.9 km per month during this 8-month period. Air initialized at 52 km descended 26-29 km between March 1 and October 31. In both the NH and the SH, computed descent rates increased markedly with height. The descent for the NH winter of 1992-1993 and the SH winter of 1992 computed with a three-dimensional trajectory model using the same radiation code was within 1 to 2 km of that calculated by the one-dimensional model, thus validating the vortex averaging procedure. The computed descent rates generally agree well with observations of long-lived tracers, thus validating the radiative transfer model.

Rosenfield, Joan E.↗

Flight Demonstration of the Tailored Arrival Manager

A flight demonstration of arrival traffic management automation was conducted in partnership between NASA, FAA and Boeing as an element of the latter’s ecoDemonstrator2020 flight program. For the demonstration, NASA’s prototype Tailored Arrival Manager(TAM) was used to compute efficient trajectory-based solutions to traffic management problems representing those encountered during time-based metering operations today. TAM solutions involving route modifications were uplinked to a Boeing 787 airplane using Controller Pilot Data Link Communications and seamlessly loaded into the airplane’s Flight Management System (FMS). The paper describes the concept and technology behind TAM along with the data exchanges and procedures involved with the demonstration. All TAM solutions were delivered in a timely manner and successfully integrated with the airplane’s FMS, thereby demonstrating the basic feasibility of trajectory-based arrival management using currently available data communications and avionics equipage. Although TAM solutions were not executed during this initial demonstration, a limited study of trajectory prediction accuracy was possible given that the airplane flew uninterrupted, automated descents with known route and speed intent. Analysis revealed that TAM meter-fix arrival time predictions were accurate to within ± 30 seconds for time horizons of 30 minutes or less, which matched closely with FMS predictions acquired through real-time data exchange. Top-of-descent predictions over similar time horizons were found accurate to within ± 5 nautical miles.

air traffic management↗

Flight Demonstration of the Tailored Arrival Manager

A flight demonstration of arrival traffic management automation was conducted in partnership between NASA, FAA and Boeing as an element of the latter’s ecoDemonstrator2020 flight program. For the demonstration, NASA’s prototype Tailored Arrival Manager(TAM) was used to compute efficient trajectory-based solutions to traffic management problems representing those encountered during time-based metering operations today. TAM solutions involving route modifications were uplinked to a Boeing 787 airplane using Controller Pilot Data Link Communications and seamlessly loaded into the airplane’s Flight Management System (FMS). The paper describes the concept and technology behind TAM along with the data exchanges and procedures involved with the demonstration. All TAM solutions were delivered in a timely manner and successfully integrated with the airplane’s FMS, thereby demonstrating the basic feasibility of trajectory-based arrival management using currently available data communications and avionics equipage. Although TAM solutions were not executed during this initial demonstration, a limited study of trajectory prediction accuracy was possible given that the airplane flew uninterrupted, automated descents with known route and speed intent. Analysis revealed that TAM meter-fix arrival time predictions were accurate to within ± 30 seconds for time horizons of 30 minutes or less, which matched closely with FMS predictions acquired through real-time data exchange. Top-of-descent predictions over similar time horizons were found accurate to within ± 5 nautical miles.

Air traffic managment↗

Trajectory module of the NASA Ames Research Center aircraft synthesis program ACSYNT

A program was developed to calculate trajectories for both military and commercial aircraft for use in the aircraft synthesis program, ACSYNT. The function of the trajectory module was to calculate the changes in the vehicle's flight conditions and weight, as fuel is consumed, during the flying of one or more missions. The trajectory calculations started with a takeoff, followed by up to 12 phases chosen from among the following: climb, cruise, acceleration, combat, loiter, descent, and paths. In addition, a balanced field length was computed. The emphasis was on relatively simple formulations and analytic expressions suitable for rapid computation since a prescribed trajectory had to be calculated many times in the process of converging an aircraft design, or finding an optimum configuration. The trajectory module consists of about 2500 cards and operational on a CDC 7600 computer.

Tauber, M. E.↗

Physics-based Entry, Descent and Landing Risk Model

A physics-based risk model was developed to assess the risk associated with thermal protection system failures during the entry, descent and landing phase of a manned spacecraft mission. In the model, entry trajectories were computed using a three-degree-of-freedom trajectory tool, the aerothermodynamic heating environment was computed using an engineering-level computational tool and the thermal response of the TPS material was modeled using a one-dimensional thermal response tool. The model was capable of modeling the effect of micrometeoroid and orbital debris impact damage on the TPS thermal response. A Monte Carlo analysis was used to determine the effects of uncertainties in the vehicle state at Entry Interface, aerothermodynamic heating and material properties on the performance of the TPS design. The failure criterion was set as a temperature limit at the bondline between the TPS and the underlying structure. Both direct computation and response surface approaches were used to compute the risk. The model was applied to a generic manned space capsule design. The effect of material property uncertainty and MMOD damage on risk of failure were analyzed. A comparison of the direct computation and response surface approach was undertaken.

descent and landing↗

Use of Forecast Atmosphere for Earth Entry, Descent, and Landing Modeling

Flight mechanics simulations are used to characterize the performance of Earth entry, descent, and landing vehicles. Atmospheric prediction models are often a key component of these simulations. Global atmospheric models are used for both engineering design due to their ability to define atmospheric properties over a large swath of locations and times as well as used for the availability of atmospheric uncertainties in the models that can be used in statistical performance analysis. However for day-of-flight operations, the use of forecast atmospheres based on more current measurements are beneficial to the accuracy of the performance prediction, including landing locations. Reanalysis of these forecasts can also be used for post-flight analysis, including trajectory reconstruction. This paper describes how forecast atmospheres can be beneficial for Earth entry, descent, and landing analysis and ways these models can be implemented in simulations.

Soumyo Dutta↗

Mars Entry Atmospheric Data System Trajectory Reconstruction Algorithms and Flight Results

The Mars Entry Atmospheric Data System is a part of the Mars Science Laboratory, Entry, Descent, and Landing Instrumentation project. These sensors are a system of seven pressure transducers linked to ports on the entry vehicle forebody to record the pressure distribution during atmospheric entry. These measured surface pressures are used to generate estimates of atmospheric quantities based on modeled surface pressure distributions. Specifically, angle of attack, angle of sideslip, dynamic pressure, Mach number, and freestream atmospheric properties are reconstructed from the measured pressures. Such data allows for the aerodynamics to become decoupled from the assumed atmospheric properties, allowing for enhanced trajectory reconstruction and performance analysis as well as an aerodynamic reconstruction, which has not been possible in past Mars entry reconstructions. This paper provides details of the data processing algorithms that are utilized for this purpose. The data processing algorithms include two approaches that have commonly been utilized in past planetary entry trajectory reconstruction, and a new approach for this application that makes use of the pressure measurements. The paper describes assessments of data quality and preprocessing, and results of the flight data reduction from atmospheric entry, which occurred on August 5th, 2012.

Karlgaard, Christopher D.↗

End-to-End Performance Optimization of a Crewed Lunar Landing Mission Staged from a Near Rectilinear Halo Orbit

A crewed lunar landing mission staged from a Near Rectilinear Halo Orbit (NRHO) presents a unique set of challenges not considered before for the Apollo-type direct missions. The NRHO does not have a fixed orbital plane and its period also changes with time, due to which the mission performance is very sensitive to the timing and location of the NRHO departure and arrival burns for a near-polar surface landing site. For such type of mission staged from the NRHO, an end-to-end optimization approach for the entire mission, from the NRHO departure to surface landing and from surface lift-off to the NRHO insertion, is well-suited for extracting the maximum performance out of this design. In this paper, an integrated approach for performing end-to-end optimization of a NRHO-staged crewed lunar landing mission is proposed that optimizes the in-space and powered flight segments simultaneously using Copernicus trajectory optimization tool. Copernicus is augmented with analytical approximations for the in-space, powered descent, and powered ascent segments in this work to improve the convergence of its multiple-shooting based direct optimization method. New analytical solutions are derived for the different phases of the powered flight segments by solving associated guidance problems. These analytical solutions act as initial guesses for starting the numerical optimization of the integrated mission in Copernicus. An example lunar landing mission is simulated to validate the proposed end-to-end optimization approach and the results are compared with the conventional patched trajectory approach.

Bharat Mahajan↗

Entry, Descent, and Landing Analysis for the OSIRIS-REx Sample Return Capsule

The Origins, Spectral Interpretation, Resource Identification, and Security – Regolith Explorer (OSIRIS-REx) sample return capsule (SRC) returned to Earth on September 24, 2023, safely landing in the Utah Test and Training Range (UTTR). To ensure a safe and successful landing, a pair of high-fidelity EDL simulations, based on the Program to Optimize Simulated Trajectories (POST) architecture, were used to regularly assess the latest orbit determination (OD) solution from the navigation team, making predictions on Entry, Descent, and Landing (EDL) performance and SRC landing location. The results from these analyses fed into the decision processes for the final trajectory correction maneuvers (TCM’s) and SRC release. The models and methods of analysis will be discussed and a comparison of the final pre-entry landing prediction against the observed landing location will be presented along with an assessment of the best estimates of day-of-entry environmental conditions.

Scott R Francis↗

Transformation techniques for minimax optimal control problems and their application to optimal flight trajectories in a windshear - Optimal abort landing trajectories

The optimal-control problem of abort-landing trajectories in the presence of low-altitude wind shear is investigated analytically. The vertical-plane Newtonian motion of a point-mass aircraft in a steady wind field is modeled, and a sequential gradient-restoration algorithm is applied. Numerical results showing the effects of wind-shear intensity, initial altitude, and power-setting rate are presented in extensive graphs and discussed in detail. Optimal trajectories for strong or severe wind shears are found to begin with a descent, followed by level flight and then an ascent after leaving the shear region.

Miele, A.↗