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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 325 records · Page 18
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NASA NTRS2015

"Intelligent Ensemble" Projections of Precipitation and Surface Radiation in Support of Agricultural Climate Change Adaptation

Earth's climate is changing and will continue to change into the foreseeable future. Expected changes in the climatological distribution of precipitation, surface temperature, and surface solar radiation will significantly impact agriculture. Adaptation strategies are, therefore, required to reduce the agricultural impacts of climate change. Climate change projections of precipitation, surface temperature, and surface solar radiation distributions are necessary input for adaption planning studies. These projections are conventionally constructed from an ensemble of climate model simulations (e.g., the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project 5 (CMIP5)) as an equal weighted average, one model one vote. Each climate model, however, represents the array of climate-relevant physical processes with varying degrees of fidelity influencing the projection of individual climate variables differently. Presented here is a new approach, termed the "Intelligent Ensemble, that constructs climate variable projections by weighting each model according to its ability to represent key physical processes, e.g., precipitation probability distribution. This approach provides added value over the equal weighted average method. Physical process metrics applied in the "Intelligent Ensemble" method are created using a combination of NASA and NOAA satellite and surface-based cloud, radiation, temperature, and precipitation data sets. The "Intelligent Ensemble" method is applied to the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 anthropogenic climate forcing simulations within the CMIP5 archive to develop a set of climate change scenarios for precipitation, temperature, and surface solar radiation in each USDA Farm Resource Region for use in climate change adaptation studies.

Taylor, Patrick C.↗
NASA NTRS2022

Thermospheric Neutral Density Variation During the “SpaceX” Storm: Implications From Physics-Based Whole Geospace Modeling

The Starlink satellites launched on 3 February 2022 were lost before they fully arrived in their designated orbits. The loss was attributed to two moderate geomagnetic storms that occurred consecutively on February 3-4. We investigate the thermospheric neutral mass density variation during these storms with the Multiscale Atmosphere-Geospace Environment (MAGE) model, a first-principles, fully coupled geospace model. Simulated neutral density enhancements are validated by Swarm satellite measurements at the altitude of 400-500 km. Comparison with standalone TIEGCM and empirical NRLMSIS 2.0 and DTM-2012 models suggests better performance by MAGE in predicting the maximum density enhancement and resolving the gradual recovery process. Along the Starlink satellite orbit in the middle thermosphere (∼ 200 km altitude), MAGE predicts up to 150% density enhancement near the second storm peak while standalone TIEGCM, NRLMSIS 2.0 and DTM-2012 suggest only ∼ 50% increase. MAGE also suggests altitudinal, longitudinal, and latitudinal variability of storm-time percentage density enhancement due to height dependent Joule heating deposition per unit mass, thermospheric circulation changes, and travelling atmospheric disturbances. This study demonstrates that a moderate storm can cause substantial density enhancement in the middle thermosphere. Thermospheric mass density strongly depends on the strength, timing, and location of high-latitude energy input, which cannot be fully reproduced with empirical models. A physics-based, fully coupled geospace model that can accurately resolve the high-latitude energy input and its variability is critical to modeling the dynamic response of thermospheric neutral density during storm time.

Starlink↗
NASA NTRS2013

Reducing Spread in Climate Model Projections of a September Ice-Free Arctic

This paper addresses the specter of a September ice-free Arctic in the 21st century using newly available simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5). We find that large spread in the projected timing of the September ice-free Arctic in 30 CMIP5 models is associated at least as much with different atmospheric model components as with initial conditions. Here we reduce the spread in the timing of an ice-free state using two different approaches for the 30 CMIP5 models: (i) model selection based on the ability to reproduce the observed sea ice climatology and variability since 1979 and (ii) constrained estimation based on the strong and persistent relationship between present and future sea ice conditions. Results from the two approaches show good agreement. Under a high-emission scenario both approaches project that September ice extent will drop to approx. 1.7 million sq km in the mid 2040s and reach the ice-free state (defined as 1 million sq km) in 2054-2058. Under a medium-mitigation scenario, both approaches project a decrease to approx.1.7 million sq km in the early 2060s, followed by a leveling off in the ice extent.

simulation↗
NASA NTRS2022

Changes in Anthropogenic Precursor Emissions Drive Shifts in the Ozone Seasonal Cycle Throughout the Northern Midlatitude Troposphere

Simulations by six Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) Earth system models indicate that the seasonal cycle of baseline tropospheric ozone at northern midlatitudes has been shifting since the mid-20th century. Beginning in ∼ 1940, the magnitude of the seasonal cycle increased by ∼10 ppb (measured from seasonal minimum to maximum), and the seasonal maximum shifted to later in the year by about 3 weeks. This shift maximized in the mid-1980s, followed by a reversal – the seasonal cycle decreased in amplitude and the maximum shifted back to earlier in the year. Similar changes are seen in measurements collected from the 1970s to the present. The timing of the seasonal cycle changes is generally concurrent with the rise and fall of anthropogenic emissions that followed industrialization and the subsequent implementation of air quality emission controls. A quantitative comparison of the temporal changes in the ozone seasonal cycle at sites in both Europe and North America with the temporal changes in ozone precursor emissions across the northern midlatitudes found a high degree of similarity between these two temporal patterns. We hypothesize that changing precursor emissions are responsible for the shift in the ozone seasonal cycle; this is supported by the absence of such seasonal shifts in southern midlatitudes where anthropogenic emissions are much smaller. We also suggest a mechanism by which changing emissions drive the changing seasonal cycle: increasing emissions of NOx allow summertime photochemical production of ozone to become more important than ozone transported from the stratosphere, and increasing volatile organic compounds (VOCs) lead to progressively greater photochemical ozone production in the summer months, thereby increasing the amplitude of the seasonal ozone cycle. Decreasing emissions of both precursor classes then reverse these changes. The quantitative parameter values that characterize the seasonal shifts provide useful benchmarks for evaluating model simulations, both against observations and between models.

Ozone↗
NASA NTRS2018

Air-Sea Interactions in a High-Resolution Ocean-Atmosphere Simulation

During the past few years the Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS) and Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) modeling groups have produced, respectively, global atmosphere-only and ocean-only simulations with km-scale grid spacing. These simulations have proved invaluable for process studies and for the development of satellite and in-situ sampling strategies. Nevertheless, a key limitation of these "nature" simulations is the lack of interaction between the ocean and the atmosphere, which limits their usefulness for studying air-sea interactions and for designing observing missions to study these interactions. We present here results from a coupled GEOS-MIT "nature run" simulation, wherein we have coupled a cubed-sphere-720 (~ 1/8) configuration of the GEOS atmosphere to a lat-lon-cap-1080 (~ 1/12) configuration of the MIT ocean. We compare near-surface diagnostics of this fully coupled ocean-atmosphere simulation to equivalent atmosphere-only and ocean-only simulations. A particular focus of the comparisons is the coupled versus uncoupled differences in interactions between Sea Surface Temperature (SST) and ocean surface wind. We discuss, in particular, a several-day mode of temporal variability in the SST-wind cycle and how it is represented in the different model simulations and in observationally-based products. A mechanism for the cycle, which is driven by SST-wind feedback, is proposed.

Strobach, Ehud↗
NASA NTRS1975

Microwave resonance thermomagnetic analysis - A new method for characterizing fine-grained ferromagnetic constituents in lunar materials

Microwave resonance thermomagnetic analysis (MRTA) is the name given to a newly evolved technique for inferring the natures of fine-grained ferromagnetic constituents in lunar materials. Based on standard ferromagnetic resonance (FMR) procedures, the method makes use of the microwave skin effect for diagnosing the presence of metallic iron. Modelling experiments carried out on well-characterized iron and magnetitelike precipitates produced independently in simulated lunar glasses, coupled with published data for magnetite, provide a potential basis for detecting and discriminating between iron metal and ferric iron spinel, even when both are present in an unknown sample. Application of the technique to the lunar samples indicates the possible existence of magnetitelike phases in amounts up to about 0.3 wt% in soils from seven samples regions of the moon. These findings do not require any special geologic processes for their explanation, although some evidence supports the suggestion that fumarolic activity may have occurred in the lunar highlands.

Griscom, D. L.↗
NASA NTRS1975

Effect of combined roll rate and sideslip angle on aircraft flight stability

The combined destabilizing effects of roll rate and sideslip angle are studied for a high angle-of-attack flight condition using a linear simulation of the coupled motions of a Space Shuttle-like configuration. Variations in the eigenvalues for a flight condition nominally identified by an angle of attack of 33.29 deg and a Mach number of 4.9 are examined with illustrations of the separate effects of body-axis roll rate and yaw rate, stability-axis roll rate, dynamic pressure, and sideslip angle. It is shown that the stability of the free motion of the vehicle is sensitive to roll rate and that this sensitivity is enhanced by nonzero sideslip angle. The results suggest that fully coupled linearized equations can be of value both for the study of Space Shuttle stability and for a better understanding of post-stall gyrations, incipient spin, and departure prevention for high-performance aircraft.

Stengel, R. F.↗
NASA NTRS1977

Recovery of spinning satellites

The behavior of a space tug and a spinning satellite in a coupled configuration was simulated and analyzed. A docking concept was developed to investigate the requirements pertaining to the design of a docking interface. Sensing techniques and control requirements for the chase vehicle were studied to assess the feasibility of an automatic docking. The effects of nutation dampers and liquid propellant slosh motion upon the docking transient were investigated.

Coppey, J. M.↗
NASA NTRS1978

On the supposed anticorrelation of solar polar and equatorial rotation rates

The anticorrelation between two of the three parameters used to calculate the angular velocity of the sun's differential rotation is here said to be due to numerical coupling. A computer simulation technique shows that the relationship between the two parameters is caused by the effect of noise on the least-squares analysis used to obtain the three parameters used to determine the angular velocity in terms of the heliographic latitude. The computer simulation technique is described. The supposed anticorrelation had been used to infer that variations of the sun's polar and equatorial rotation rates are anticorrelated.

Duvall, T. L., Jr.↗
NASA NTRS1980

Effects of magnification and visual accommodation on aimpoint estimation in simulated landings with real and virtual image displays

Twenty professional pilots observed a computer-generated airport scene during simulated autopilot-coupled night landing approaches and at two points (20 sec and 10 sec before touchdown) judged whether the airplane would undershoot or overshoot the aimpoint. Visual accommodation was continuously measured using an automatic infrared optometer. Experimental variables included approach slope angle, display magnification, visual focus demand (using ophthalmic lenses), and presentation of the display as either a real (direct view) or a virtual (collimated) image. Aimpoint judgments shifted predictably with actual approach slope and display magnification. Both pilot judgments and measured accommodation interacted with focus demand with real-image displays but not with virtual-image displays. With either type of display, measured accommodation lagged far behind focus demand and was reliably less responsive to the virtual images. Pilot judgments shifted dramatically from an overwhelming perceived-overshoot bias 20 sec before touchdown to a reliable undershoot bias 10 sec later.

Randle, R. J.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Jet production in super-Eddington accretion disks

A two-dimensional, radiation-coupled, Newtonian hydrodynamic simulation is reported for a super-Eddington, mass accretion rate, M = 4 M(E) disk accretion flow onto a 3-solar mass pseudoblack hole. Near the disk midplane, convection cells effectively block the accretion flow, even though viscous heating maximizes there. Accretion predominantly occurs in a supersonic inflow which follows streamlines of approximately constant angular momentum. The optically thick inflow traps radiation so that 80 percent of the luminosity is absorbed by the black hole; the emergent power is sub-Eddington. An axial jet self consistently forms just outside a conical photosphere which bounds the accretion zone; radiation pressure accelerates the jet to about 10 to the 10th cm/s. The jet's mass efflux is only 0.4 percent of the total mass accretion rate.

Eggum, G. E.↗
NASA NTRS1986

Analysis of coaxial spray combustion flames and related numerical issues

An approach to the simulation of strongly coupled multiphase flows in combustion hardware is sketched and its unique requirements highlighted. An example of a successful application to a coaxial injector flame is presented. Furthermore, several numerical issues that tend to interact with the physics of the problem are discussed with special regard to their potential impact on the choices of numerical parameters by the analyst. These include the issues of stability, numerical diffusivity, stiffness, and boundary conditions. The theme of this paper focuses on the intriguing relationships among the grid, the solution algorithm, and the actual physical mechanisms themselves.

Liang, P. Y.↗
NASA NTRS1987

Surface brightness profiles of 10 comets

CCD photometric observations of the comae of 10 comets, obtained at the 4-m and 2.1-m telescopes at KPNO during 1985-1986 using filters centered at 700.5, 650.0, or 546.0 nm, are reported. The data are presented in extensive tables and graphs and characterized in detail. The radial surface brightness profiles are shown to be steeper than predicted by an idealized spherically symmetric steady-state comet model, the steepness increasing with the projected distance from the nucleus. These profiles are attributed, on the basis of Monte Carlo simulations, to imperfect coupling between the sublimated gas and the optically dominant grains of the coma.

Jewitt, D. C.↗
NASA NTRS1988

Adaptive remeshing for transient problems with moving bodies

The combination of adaptive remeshing techniques, flow solvers for transient problems with moving grids, and integrators for rigid body motion is presented. The resulting scheme allows the economic simulation of fully coupled fluid-rigid body interaction problems of arbitrary geometric complexity. Several results are given to demonstrate the capabilities developed.

Lohner, Rainald↗
NASA NTRS1988

An adaptive finite element solver for transient problems with moving bodies

The combination of adaptive remeshing techniques, flow solvers for transient problems with moving grids, and integrators for rigid body motion is presented. The resulting scheme allows the economic simulation of fully coupled fluid-rigid body interaction problems of arbitrary geometric complexity. Several results are given to demonstrate the capabilities developed.

Lohner, Rainald↗
NASA NTRS1990

Magnetospheric and exospheric imaging in the extreme ultraviolet

Extreme ultraviolet line emissions by exospheric oxygen ions and neutrals of ionospheric origin can be used to form images of the dynamic magnetospheric regions with sufficient speed to provide a new global means of observing the dynamics of magnetosphere-ionosphere coupling processes. Computer simulations of such exospheric images based on the latest measurements of ion outflow, on known or estimated solar fluxes, and on known emission and excitation rates are shown. An evaluation of the current and foreseeable EUV imaging technology relevant to magnetospheric imaging is also given.

Chiu, Y. T.↗