Lab’s longest-serving director took the helm 75 years ago Norris Bradbury credited with saving the Lab, town from post-war decline
Abstract not provided.
99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗
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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.
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A spy among the trees: The story of Oscar Seborer
It’s long been known that during World War II, Theodore “Ted” Hall, Klaus Fuchs and David Greenglass committed espionage at Los Alamos. Each worked at the secret laboratory charged with creating the world’s first atomic bomb, stole classified weapons information and shared it with the Soviet Union. Just recently, though, in September 2019, historians confirmed a fourth wartime spy: Oscar Seborer. But who was he, what do we know about him, what did he steal, and what happened to him?
45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗
Winning the Cold War: Los Alamos 1970-1992 [Slides]
A presentation by Lab Historian Alan Carr discussing the role of Los Alamos in the later cold war.
96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗
Introduction to Historical Methods [Slides]
A talk by lab historian Alan Carr, intended for an instructional writing seminar. The talk covers methods for historical research and writing
99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗
"Mister Los Alamos": The Life, The Times and The Laboratory of Norris E. Bradbury [Slides]
A presentation discussing Norris Bradbury and his time as the director of the Laboratory. The talk is a historical presentation by Alan Carr.
45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗
Managing Solar Photovoltaic Integration in the Western United States: Power System Flexibility Requirements and Supply
As penetrations of variable renewable energy generation technologies such as wind and solar photovoltaics (PV) continue to increase across the United States, greater uncertainty and variability in the net load often lead to a concern about how power systems may adapt. Managing the system net load (i.e., load minus contribution from variable generation technologies) may become more challenging with increasing variable generation, as the magnitude and frequency of net ramps increase. However, there is inherent flexibility in power systems through the conventional generator fleet (under least-cost unit commitment and economic dispatch), less-conventional generation sources (e.g., storage, demand response, concentrating solar power with thermal energy storage), and imports and exports with neighbors. In this analysis, we create an open-source tool to analyze the flexibility of the results of a specific commercial unit commitment and economic dispatch tool (PLEXOS), but the code can be applied generically as well. The tool assesses the flexibility requirements (or demand) of a system through a net load analysis. The constraints and limitations of each generator are then considered to determine the availability (or supply) of flexibility. Then, the supply and demand of flexibility are compared to gain a more complete picture of potential flexibility concerns. We apply this open-source tool to high-penetration PV scenarios constructed for three focus regions in the western United States defined using the Resource Planning Model (RPM) capacity expansion modeling tool: RPM-OR, RPM-CO, and RPM-AZ. Generally, we find few flexibility concerns, as the western United States represents a large and interconnected power system with significant inherent flexibility. In addition, the PV scenarios we analyzed are overbuilt on capacity, leaving plenty of ramping ability on the system. We do find that for each focus region, the impact of imports on meeting ramping needs is essential. This means the PV integration in each focus region impacts the entire rest of the system. Each system has different dominant sources of flexibility. The conventional generator fleet (especially coal and gas combined-cycle technologies) as well as less-conventional sources such as storage are all shown to be important sources of flexibility. The scenarios evaluated here were designed to study the planning and operations impact of high solar penetration in each of three focus regions. However, none of the three focus regions likely will deploy PV in isolation, meaning the ability of imports and exports to provide flexibility may be considerably different in scenarios with strong PV deployment in every region. Overall, we intend that the framework we present here will be useful in future analysis of other system evolutions to identify whether and how flexibility may constrain the successful deployment of variable generation technologies.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Beyond the Moon [Slides]
A historical talk addressing the Los Alamos Rover program in which scientists worked on nuclear powered rocket engines. The talk is by historian Alan Carr, this talk is a refresh of an older talk on the subject with the same title.
42 ENGINEERING↗
Behind-the-Meter Solar Accounting in Renewable Portfolio Standards
If a behind-the-meter solar photovoltaic (BTM PV) system is adopted, how does that influence the total amount of renewable electricity in its state in the long run (i.e., after the existence of the generator is reflected in the relevant utility's generation mix)? Would we expect the total amount of renewable generation to increase on a 1:1 basis with the BTM PV's generation? Or could it be something more, or something less? We show in this paper that the answer can depend on two key elements of how BTM PV is accounted for in a state’s renewable portfolio standard (RPS): (1) whether renewable energy certificates (RECs) from BTM PV can be used for RPS compliance, and (2) whether load served by generation from BTM PV counts as load covered by the RPS. These two elements combine into four possible accounting options, and we characterize the implications of each under the simplifying assumptions that the RPS is binding and the BTM PV RECs are used for compliance when allowed. For example, if load served by BTM PV generation counts toward the RPS load and BTM PV RECs cannot be used for compliance, the presence of BTM does not change the amount of RECs that the utility is required to retire, and yet additional RECs will be retired by the BTM PV owner - therefore, the total amount of renewable generation would increase on a 1:1 basis with the BTM PV generation. In contrast, under a common RPS design in which BTM PV RECs can be used for compliance and the load served by BTM PV generation is not covered by the RPS, the presence of BTM PV and transfer of RECs for compliance can actually decrease the total amount of renewable generation in the state, relative to a situation in which there is no BTM PV.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Managing Solar Photovoltaic Integration in the Western United States: Resource Adequacy Considerations
This study examines the impact of reserve margin-based reliability assessment, as commonly used in capacity expansion models, on planning resource-adequate power systems under high penetrations of solar photovoltaics (PV). As a generation resource, PV is operationally different from the conventional dispatchable resources for which most capacity expansion models were designed. The question this study attempts to answer is whether large amounts of PV on a system (in this case, the Western Interconnection of North America) would bias the results of conventional reserve margin-based capacity expansion modeling towards an over- or under-provisioning of resource adequacy. This analysis used NREL’s Resource Planning Model (RPM) for capacity expansion modeling and NREL’s Probabilistic Resource Adequacy Suite (PRAS) for resource adequacy assessment. RPM uses a reserve margin requirement to enforce resource adequacy. PRAS, a collection of tools for studying the resource adequacy of power systems and the adequacy contributions of individual resources on a probabilistic basis, was used to compute multiple resource adequacy metrics across a number of simulated scenarios and system representations with differing regional detail. In all cases, including high PV penetrations (up to 33% annual generation from PV, interconnection-wide), RPM was able to produce resource-adequate systems as measured by normalized expected unserved energy and loss-of-load expectation results from PRAS. The accuracy of reserve margin approaches depends heavily on the underlying assumptions informing the capacity credit assigned to variable and energy-limited resources, particularly when such resources are abundant in the modeled system. RPM’s standard methodology for estimating variable and flexible resources’ capacity contributions, which is based on the top 100 hours of net load, did not appear to systematically undervalue or overvalue variable generation relative to a more rigorous equivalent firm capacity assessment using PRAS, although both over- and under-valuations were observed in specific scenarios. In the worst cases, the top 100 hour method underestimated the equivalent firm capacity of PV by two percentage points, and overestimated the equivalent firm capacity of PV by five percentage points. Calculating capacity contributions based on the top 10 hours of net load systematically underestimated equivalent firm capacities at more modest PV penetrations, but was often a better approximation of equivalent firm capacity than the existing 100-hour approach in scenarios with higher PV penetrations.
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Managing Solar Photovoltaic Integration in the Western United States Appendix: Reference and High Solar Photovoltaic Scenarios for Three Regions [Slides]
This slide deck is an appendix to a paper series that examines potential challenges related to planning future power systems with higher solar photovoltaic (PV) penetrations. The series uses the western U.S. power system for these investigations because it is a region the authors and their colleagues have already extensively studied. We are therefore well-suited to analyze even higher PV penetrations and then examine the results in multiple models to determine whether our current approaches are missing key details that only emerge at higher PV penetrations. This deck details the systems underlying those analyses and how they were modeled using the Resource Planning Model (RPM), a capacity expansion modeling tool. We examine both Western Interconnection-wide and regional results for three regions in the Western U.S. with significantly different existing power systems and connections to neighboring regions; this provides a more balanced picture as to how power systems with high PV penetration might emerge in different contexts and what the resulting grid challenges, if any, might be.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Introduction to U.S. Nuclear Testing, 1945 to 1992 [Slides]
This is a historical talk of general interest.
98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗
OWL and Waste Form Characteristics (Annual Status Update)
This report represents completion of milestone deliverable M2SF-21SN010309012 “Annual Status Update for OWL and Waste Form Characteristics” that provides an annual update on status of fiscal year (FY 2020) activities for the work package SF-20SN01030901 and is due on January 29, 2021. The Online Waste Library (OWL) has been designed to contain information regarding United States (U.S.) Department of Energy (DOE)-managed (as) high-level waste (DHLW), spent nuclear fuel (SNF), and other wastes that are likely candidates for deep geologic disposal, with links to the current supporting documents for the data (when possible; note that no classified or official-use-only (OUO) data are planned to be included in OWL). There may be up to several hundred different DOE-managed wastes that are likely to require deep geologic disposal. This draft report contains versions of the OWL model architecture for vessel information (Appendix A) and an excerpt from the OWL User’s Guide (Appendix B and SNL 2020), which are for the current OWL Version 2.0 on the Sandia External Collaboration Network (ECN).
11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
Thirty Minutes Before the Dawn
The Trinity test of July 16, 1945, marked the scientific apex of the Manhattan Project. Often recognized as the symbolic birth of the nuclear age, Trinity’s multifaceted legacy remains just as captivating and complex today as it did 75 years ago. This paper examines why the test was necessary from a technical standpoint, shows how Los Alamos scientists planned the event, and explores the physical and emotional aftermaths of Trinity. The author also uses rarely accessed original records to reconstruct the story of Trinity’s health hazards, as seen through the eyes of radiation technicians and medical doctors as events unfolded. Trinity was conducted as the Potsdam Conference began, weeks after the collapse of Nazi Germany. It was considered necessary to let President Harry S. Truman know whether the United States possessed a nuclear capability ahead of his negotiations with Joseph Stalin, the Soviet premier. The author examines the competing priorities that drove the timetable for the test: international politics, security, and safety. Three weeks after Trinity, a gun-assembled enriched-uranium bomb called Little Boy was used against the Japanese city of Hiroshima. Three days later, Fat Man, a weaponized version of the imploding Trinity device, was dropped on Nagasaki. The author briefly examines these strikes and what impact they may have had on the Japanese surrender. The paper concludes by examining the legacy of the Trinity test 75 years into the age it helped usher in.
45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗
Trinity
The Manhattan Project was established in August 1942. Its mission: beat the Nazis to the atomic bomb. Los Alamos was selected as the site for the weapons design laboratory. J. Robert Oppenheimer served as the Laboratory’s director. In early summer 1944, Los Alamos scientists discovered plutonium would not work in a gun assembly. Thus, Oppenheimer reorganized the Laboratory to build an implosion bomb
45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗
Harold Agnew’s son gives Lab never-before-seen photos, documents
When I arrived at Los Alamos in 2003, the Laboratory’s long-retired third director was still a very popular figure. He was so popular, in fact, that he enjoyed an honor typically reserved for only the most adored and outrageous pop stars and Brazilian footballers: He was known by one name. Back then, most Lab staff knew exactly who you were talking about when you referred to “Harold.” Harold Agnew was at the helm from 1970 – 1979, though his career here began when he was still just in his 20s. He was recruited to work on the U.S. government’s top-secret project to build the first atomic bombs and help bring a swift end to World War II. Harold died in 2013 at 92, but March 28 would have been his 100th birthday. Although he’s no longer here to celebrate with us, we can gain inspiration by remembering his remarkable life of service – and mischief. Both are now well-documented in the collections of the National Security Research Center (NSRC), the Lab’s classified library, which also includes unclassified pieces of our history. The NSRC’s newest addition to its collections comes from Harold’s son John Agnew, who just recently gave me a box of about 250 images and about 15 documents that belonged to his dad. The contents are nothing short of remarkable, one-of-a-kind, and in some cases, hilarious. As the NSRC staff are accessioning these pieces into the Lab’s collections, looking through these materials is a chance for me to remember our former director and my friend.
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The Los Angeles 100% Renewable Energy Study (LA100): Executive Summary
The City of Los Angeles has set ambitious goals to transform its electricity supply, aiming to achieve a 100% renewable energy power system by 2045, along with aggressive electrification targets for buildings and vehicles. To reach these goals, and assess the implications for jobs, electricity rates, the environment, and environmental justice, the Los Angeles City Council passed a series of motions directing the Los Angeles Department of Water and Power (LADWP) to determine the technical feasibility and investment pathways of a 100% renewable energy portfolio standard. The Los Angeles 100% Renewable Energy Study (LA100) is a first-of-its-kind objective, rigorous, and science-based power systems analysis to determine what investments could be made to achieve these goals. The LA100 final report is presented as a collection of 12 chapters and an executive summary, each of which is available as an individual download.
100% renewable↗
Classified Library Completes Large Digitization Project of Patent Collection
Many of us regularly enjoy the online resources provided by the National Security Research Center (NSRC), which is the Lab’s classified library. However, you may not be aware of all the work that goes on behind the scenes to digitize articles, reports, photographs, and correspondence. This process not only preserves documents, many of which date back to the Manhattan Project era, but also ensures they are searchable and accessible for today’s national security work. You also may not be aware that a vast majority of the Laboratory’s information holdings have not yet been digitized. And by vast majority, I mean perhaps 90% of the millions of holdings in the NSRC is only available in hard copy.
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VITAL-Viral InhibiTors from ALgae: Generating Extracts for Antiviral Activity Assays
Algae from marine and extreme environments may provide novel compounds with antiviral activity for use in therapeutic drug development. We established a first effort combining experience and cultures used in biofuel research and from the Culture Collection of Microbes from Extreme Environments at PNNL. We generated a novel library of fractionated, algae-derived compounds for guiding research on small molecules in the environment and for the treatment of SARS-CoV-2 and other infectious diseases.
09 BIOMASS FUELS↗