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At least 307 records · Page 17

"Hidden" hydrothermal technical potential & technoeconomics: Revealing permeability & fluids with more data

Historical hydrothermal estimates have largely relied on temperature or heat flow estimates ignoring the need for natural flowing fluids. More accurate hydrothermal estimates require some indication of permeability and fluids that naturally exist in the subsurface. This paper describes a novel approach that includes proxies of permeability and fluids in hydrothermal estimates by leveraging the relatively data-rich Great Basin. Specifically, nameplate capacities (megawatts) of operating geothermal plants, negative (0 megawatt) locations and 48 geophysical and geologic features are used to used in eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) regression to make hydrothermal capacity predictions. Additionally, this work inputs the XGBoost-based hydrothermal predictions into the Renewable Energy Potential (reV) model to quantify technical capacity, its uncertainty and techno-economics. Compared to historical hydrothermal estimates, these predictions adhere to the 37 operating geothermal plants and negative locations. We present a method for subsampling the negative sites to bring the labels into balance that uses the geologic domain knowledge to proportionally represent negatives. Overall, the distributions of the hydrothermal technical capacity and the site levelized cost of energy are respectively much tighter, lower and more accurate than the previous estimates for the Great Basin, as they include geological and geophysical surrogates for permeability and fluids. Percentile (50th and 90th, median and high estimate, respectively) models provide bookends for these metrics.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Mining G.O.L.D. (Geothermal Opportunities Leveraged Through Data): Exploring Synergies Between the Geothermal and Mining Industries

This report analyzes potential collaborations between the geothermal and locatable mineral industries (focused on the portion of the Basin and Range Province within Nevada, United States of America). The objectives of this study included analyzing: 1. The type and quality of data collected by the locatable mineral industry to determine feasibility for geothermal resource exploration; 2. The regulatory pathways and potential barriers that could prevent development of geothermal resources discovered via a mining claim (and vice versa) in the United States; 3. The historical development of geothermal resources discovered via mineral exploration data in the United States and illustrations of co-located mining and geothermal power projects; 4. The value propositions for both the locatable mineral and the geothermal industries to collaborate. This article concludes that many of the data collected by the mining industry as part of locatable mineral exploration (e.g., copper, gold, lithium) would also be useful for identifying and developing previously unknown geothermal resources (and in some notable cases, already have led to geothermal resource development). In addition, for minimal costs, the mining industry could catalogue these data and potentially monetize the data itself or use the data in the future to develop a geothermal project. Leveraging these locatable mineral data to develop geothermal resources and/or co-located minerals and geothermal resources would represent significant cost savings when compared to developing geothermal resources under a business-as-usual scenario as well as compared to current generating technologies (e.g., diesel-powered generators) employed at remote mining operations. Ultimately, leveraging mining industry data, knowledge, and expertise serves to effectively expand the geothermal exploration workforce, increase the rate of geothermal resource discovery, and potentially reduce geothermal electricity's levelized cost of energy (LCOE) by 23%-29%.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Resource Assessment for Distributed Wind Energy: An Evaluation of Best-Practice Methods in the Continental US

Current wind resources within the United States (US) indicate a potential to profitably install nearly 1,400 gigawatts of distributed wind (DW) capacity. This amount is equivalent to over half of the United States’ current energy demand from electricity, making it enough to power millions of homes and businesses and replace countless fossil fuel-based generating plants. Despite the potential growth of DW in the US, deployments are presently hindered by a lack of confidence in resource estimation methods. One potential challenge is that smaller-scale turbines, with hub heights of 40 meters or less, are disproportionately impacted by obstacles such as buildings and vegetation. These obstacles may produce complex wake effects, best modeled with high-fidelity complex fluid dynamics (CFD) models that are too computationally expensive to use for routine siting and resource assessment. Thus, installers today make use of heuristics and simple equations to approximate the impact of obstacles while also leveraging long-term resource data from commercial or publicly available atmospheric models. This study evaluates these historical and commonly used methods alongside new lower-order obstacle models produced from CFD simulations and measurement-based bias correction. The preliminary results from this study show the importance of taking care in the choice and application of mesoscale atmospheric models and the significant value of bias correction using measurements from nearby meteorological towers. Detailed obstacle modeling provides only modest additional gains in performance and, in some cases, can add error, especially at sites where turbines have already been located to avoid obvious impact from upwind obstacles. These findings reinforce the importance of collecting in situ measurements and suggest that obstacle models may be better applied in practice to automated or computer-aided siting, rather than in economic wind resource assessments.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Risk to ecological resources following remediation can be due mainly to increased resource value of successful restoration: A case study from the Department of Energy's Hanford Site

Several nations are faced with the need to remediate large contaminated sites following World War II, the Cold War, and abandoned industrial sites, and to return them to productive land uses. In the United States, the Department of Energy (DOE) has the largest cleanup challenge, and its Hanford Site in the state of Washington has the most extensive and most expensive cleanup task. Ideally, the risk to ecological resources on remediation sites is evaluated before, during, and after remediation, and the risk from, or damage to, ecological resources from contaminants should be lower following remediation. In this paper, we report the risk to ecological resources before, during, and as a consequence of remediation on contaminated units requiring cleanup, and then examine the causes for changes in risk by evaluating 56 cleanup evaluation units (EUs) at the Hanford Site. In this case, remediation includes a restoration phase. In general, the risk to ecological and eco-cultural resources is currently not discernible or low at most contaminated units, increases during remediation, and decreases thereafter. Remediation often causes physical disruption to ecosystems as it reduces the risk from exposure to contaminants. Most new remediation projects at the Hanford Site include ecological restoration. Ecological restoration results in the potential for the presence of higher quality resources after remediation than currently exists on these contaminated lands and facilities. Although counter-intuitive, our evaluation of the risk to ecological resources following remediation indicated that a significant percentage of units (61%) will be at increased risk in the post-remediation period. This increased risk is due to DOE's successful remediation and restoration that results in a higher percent of native vegetation and higher ecological value on the sites in the post-remediation period than before. These newly-created resources can then be at risk from post-remediation activities. Risks to these new higher quality resources include the potential for spread of invasive species and of noxious grasses used in previous cleanup actions, disruption of ecosystems (including those with state or federally listed species and unique ecosystems), compaction of soil, use of pesticides to control invasive species, and the eventual need for continued monitoring activities. Thus, by greatly improving the existing habitat and health of eco-receptors, and maintaining habitat corridors between high quality habitats, the ecological resources in the post-remediated units are at risk unless care is taken to protect them. Many of the negative effects of both remediation and future monitoring (or other future land uses) can be avoided by planning and management early in the remediation process. We suggest DOE and other agencies convene a panel of managers, remediation scientists, regulators, environmental and ecological scientists, Native Americans, economists, and the public to develop a generic list of performance metrics for the restoration phase of remediation, including evaluation of success, which could be applied across the DOE complex.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Towards a Standard Process Management Infrastructure for Workflows Using Python

Orchestrating the execution of ensembles of processes lies at the core of scientific workflow engines on large scale parallel platforms. This is usually handled using platform-specific command line tools, with limited process management control and potential strain on system resources. The PMIx standard provides a uniform interface to system resources. The low level C implementation of PMIx has hampered its use in workflow engines, leading to the development of Python binding that has yet to gain traction. In this paper, we present our work to harden the PMIx Python client, demonstrating its usability using a prototype Python driver to orchestrate the execution of an ensemble of processes. We present experimental results using the prototype on the Summit supercomputer at Oak Ridge National Laboratory. This work lays the foundation for wider adoption of PMIx for workflow engines, and encourages wider support of more PMIx functionality in vendor provided system software stacks.

Elwasif, Wael↗

Technical, economic, and load-following capabilities assessment of grid-connected geothermal and geothermal-solar hybrid systems

The technical and economic performance as well as the load-following capabilities of grid-connected geothermal hybrid systems were assessed in this work. The analyzed geothermal hybrid configuration is composed of a binary geothermal plant integrated with a concentrating solar-thermal system and underground thermal energy storage (UTES) through a primary heat exchanger. Physics-based models for the hybrid system for plant generation capacities of 1, 25, and 50 MW were developed from validated models for each subsystem. Also, an economic model was developed that accounts for different hybrid system capabilities, solar field sizes, and thermal storage duration. The advantage of the geothermal hybrid system was assessed by comparing the performance with the baseline benchmark geothermal plant with a similar configuration and generation capacity. It was found that hybridizing geothermal plants with concentrating solar and thermal energy storage not only improves the thermal efficiency by up to 8 percentage points when additional heat from the solar-UTES loop rises the evaporator temperatures from 70 to 125 °C, but also enhances the load-following capability for the geothermal plant, which can meet a typical residential load profile with a power rate of change 0.25 kW/s with an absolute error under 13 kW for a 1 MW plant. Other benefits of hybridization include resource preservation and a potential LCOE reduction of up to 56% for a 50 MW geothermal hybrid plant having a 50% solar share, a 1.4 solar multiple, and 24-h storage capacity. The results presented in this work demonstrate that hybridizing geothermal systems transforms them into a flexible and cost-effective solution for addressing the dynamic requirements of modern electric grids.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Empower Wall: Active insulation system leveraging additive manufacturing and model predictive control

Buildings are one of the largest energy consumers worldwide, using large amounts of energy during their construction and for climate control during operation. Active insulation systems (AIS) have been shown to reduce the energy needed for climate control in buildings by dynamically regulating the heat transferred between a building’s interior and exterior. Infrastructure-scale additive manufacturing (AM) has the potential to reduce the resources needed for building construction. Combining these two technologies into a single building envelope would create a path towards more sustainable buildings. A test was conducted for the Federal Energy Management Program (FEMP) Energy Exchange training and trade show, in August 2021, to investigate a new building envelope design, termed the Empower Wall, that utilized an AIS and was constructed using AM. Model predictive control was implemented to manage operation of the Empower Wall in concert with the existing HVAC system. Finally, the prototype system demonstrated that the Empower Wall lowered total energy consumption and reduced the cost of energy used.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Enhanced deep neural networks with transfer learning for distribution LMP considering load and PV uncertainties

As the flexibility of generation and demand increases in distribution systems, the residential loads are emerging as a promising means to participate in demand response and the transactive energy market. Market pricing is an instrumental mechanism for the distribution system operator to exploit the full potential of the flexible resources. The distribution locational marginal price (DLMP) can be used to guide the residential load consumption. This type of market signal helps the distribution system operator to optimize the scheduling of all resources while satisfying related network constraints through a day-ahead market. However, solving the optimization problem for large-scale systems can be computationally expensive. To address the scalability and practicability limitations of the DLMP framework, a learning-based approach is proposed in this paper to complement the day-ahead distribution market framework. Here, the proposed approach combines long short-term memory and transfer learning to develop deep neural network that can capture the spatial–temporal correlation of the input data. The model can determine the optimal DLMP for each node in a distribution system without the system parameters required to formulate the optimization problem. Testing results on IEEE 33-bus and 123-bus systems show that the proposed approach can generate a comparable DLMP against the optimization solutions.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Variational quantum eigensolver with reduced circuit complexity

Abstract The variational quantum eigensolver (VQE) is one of the most promising algorithms to find eigenstates of a given Hamiltonian on noisy intermediate-scale quantum devices (NISQ). The practical realization is limited by the complexity of quantum circuits. Here we present an approach to reduce quantum circuit complexity in VQE for electronic structure calculations. Our ClusterVQE algorithm splits the initial qubit space into clusters which are further distributed on individual (shallower) quantum circuits. The clusters are obtained based on mutual information reflecting maximal entanglement between qubits, whereas inter-cluster correlation is taken into account via a new “dressed” Hamiltonian. ClusterVQE therefore allows exact simulation of the problem by using fewer qubits and shallower circuit depth at the cost of additional classical resources, making it a potential leader for quantum chemistry simulations on NISQ devices. Proof-of-principle demonstrations are presented for several molecular systems based on quantum simulators as well as IBM quantum devices.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Determinants of cognitive and brain resilience to tau pathology: a longitudinal analysis

Mechanisms of resilience against tau pathology in individuals across the Alzheimer’s disease spectrum are insufficiently understood. Longitudinal data are necessary to reveal which factors relate to preserved cognition (i.e. cognitive resilience) and brain structure (i.e. brain resilience) despite abundant tau pathology, and to clarify whether these associations are cross-sectional or longitudinal. We used a longitudinal study design to investigate the role of several demographic, biological and brain structural factors in yielding cognitive and brain resilience to tau pathology as measured with PET. In this multicentre study, we included 366 amyloid-β-positive individuals with mild cognitive impairment or Alzheimer’s disease dementia with baseline 18 F-flortaucipir-PET and longitudinal cognitive assessments. A subset (n = 200) additionally underwent longitudinal structural MRI. We used linear mixed-effects models with global cognition and cortical thickness as dependent variables to investigate determinants of cognitive resilience and brain resilience, respectively. Models assessed whether age, sex, years of education, APOE-ε4 status, intracranial volume (and cortical thickness for cognitive resilience models) modified the association of tau pathology with cognitive decline or cortical thinning. We found that the association between higher baseline tau-PET levels (quantified in a temporal meta-region of interest) and rate of cognitive decline (measured with repeated Mini-Mental State Examination) was adversely modified by older age (Stβ interaction = -0.062, P = 0.032), higher education level (Stβ interaction = -0.072, P = 0.011) and higher intracranial volume (Stβ interaction = -0.07, P = 0.016). Younger age, higher education and greater cortical thickness were associated with better cognitive performance at baseline. Greater cortical thickness was furthermore associated with slower cognitive decline independent of tau burden. Higher education also modified the negative impact of tau-PET on cortical thinning, while older age was associated with higher baseline cortical thickness and slower rate of cortical thinning independent of tau. Our analyses revealed no (cross-sectional or longitudinal) associations for sex and APOE-ε4 status on cognition and cortical thickness. In this longitudinal study of clinically impaired individuals with underlying Alzheimer’s disease neuropathological changes, we identified education as the most robust determinant of both cognitive and brain resilience against tau pathology. The observed interaction with tau burden on cognitive decline suggests that education may be protective against cognitive decline and brain atrophy at lower levels of tau pathology, with a potential depletion of resilience resources with advancing pathology. Finally, we did not find major contributions of sex to brain nor cognitive resilience, suggesting that previous links between sex and resilience might be mainly driven by cross-sectional differences.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

A Priority-Based Control Strategy and Performance Bound for Aggregated HVAC-Based Load Shaping

Air conditioning systems have been recognized as a potential, cost-effective resource for shaping electrical load in a power system. This work presents a new priority-based control strategy that explicitly addresses three requirements for using a collection of air conditioning units in this capacity. These are 1) tracking a regulation signal, 2) maintaining the building temperature near its set point, and 3) satisfying a cycling constraint of the air conditioners. After introducing the control strategy, we derive a bound for the regulation signal within which tracking is guaranteed while also satisfying the temperature requirement. These results are illustrated with simulations.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

The leaf economics spectrum of triploid and tetraploid C 4 grass Miscanthus x giganteus

Abstract The leaf economics spectrum (LES) describes multivariate correlations in leaf structural, physiological and chemical traits, originally based on diverse C 3 species grown under natural ecosystems. However, the specific contribution of C 4 species to the global LES is studied less widely. C 4 species have a CO 2 concentrating mechanism which drives high rates of photosynthesis and improves resource use efficiency, thus potentially pushing them towards the edge of the LES. Here, we measured foliage morphology, structure, photosynthesis, and nutrient content for hundreds of genotypes of the C 4 grass Miscanthus × giganteus grown in two common gardens over two seasons. We show substantial trait variations across M .× giganteus genotypes and robust genotypic trait relationships. Compared to the global LES, M .× giganteus genotypes had higher photosynthetic rates, lower stomatal conductance, and less nitrogen content, indicating greater water and photosynthetic nitrogen use efficiency in the C 4 species. Additionally, tetraploid genotypes produced thicker leaves with greater leaf mass per area and lower leaf density than triploid genotypes. By expanding the LES relationships across C 3 species to include C 4 crops, these findings highlight that M .× giganteus occupies the boundary of the global LES and suggest the potential for ploidy to alter LES traits.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Untargeted metabolomics reveals anion and organ‐specific metabolic responses of salinity tolerance in willow

SUMMARY Willows can alleviate soil salinisation while generating sustainable feedstock for biorefinery, yet the metabolomic adaptations underlying their tolerance remain poorly understood.Salix miyabeanawas treated with two environmentally abundant salts, NaCl and Na 2 SO 4 , in a 12‐week pot trial. Willows tolerated salts across all treatments (up to 9.1 dS m −1 soil EC e ), maintaining biomass while selectively partitioning ions, confining Na + to roots and accumulating Cl − and in the canopy and adapting to osmotic stress via reduced stomatal conductance. Untargeted metabolomics captured >5000 putative compounds, including 278 core willow metabolome compounds constitutively produced across organs. Across all treatments, salinity drove widespread metabolic reprogramming, altering 28% of the overall metabolome, with organ‐tailored strategies. Comparing salt forms at equimolar sodium, shared differentially abundant metabolites were limited to 3% of the metabolome, representing the generalised salinity response, predominantly in roots. Anion‐specific metabolomic responses were extensive. NaCl reduced carbohydrates and tricarboxylic acid cycle intermediates, suggesting potential carbon and energy resource pressure, and accumulated root structuring compounds, antioxidant flavonoids, and fatty acids. Na 2 SO 4 salinity triggered accumulation of sulphur‐containing larger peptides, suggesting excess sulphate incorporation leverages ion toxicity to produce specialised salt‐tolerance‐associated metabolites. This high‐depth picture of the willow metabolome underscores the importance of capturing plant adaptations to salt stress at organ scale and considering ion‐specific contributions to soil salinity.

Plant Sciences↗

EXPERIMENTAL EVALUATION OF ULTRASONIC VELOCITIES AND ANISOTROPY IN THE TUSCALOOSA MARINE SHALE FORMATION

Tuscaloosa Marine Shale (TMS) formation is a clay- and organic-rich emerging shale play with a considerable amount of hydrocarbon resources. Despite the substantial potential, there have been only a few wells drilled and produced in the formation over the recent years. The analyzed TMS samples contain an average of 50 wt% total clay, 27 wt% quartz and 14 wt% calcite and the mineralogy varies considerably over the small intervals. The high amount of clay leads to pronounced anisotropy and the frequent changes in mineralogy result in the heterogeneity of the formation. We studied the compressional (V P ) and shear-wave (V S ) velocities to evaluate the degree of anisotropy and heterogeneity, which impact hydraulic fracture growth, borehole instabilities, and subsurface imaging. The ultrasonic measurements of P- and S-wave velocities from five TMS wells are the best fit to the linear relationship with R 2 = 0.84 in the least-squares criteria. We observed that TMS S-wave velocities are relatively lower when compared to the established velocity relationships. Most of the velocity data in bedding-normal direction lie outside constant V P /V S lines of 1.6–1.8, a region typical of most organic-rich shale plays. For all of the studied TMS samples, the S-wave velocity anisotropy exhibits higher values than P-wave velocity anisotropy. In the samples in which the composition is dominated by either calcite or quartz minerals, mineralogy controls the velocities and V P /V S ratios to a great extent. Additionally, the organic content and maturity account for the velocity behavior in the samples in which the mineralogical composition fails to do so. The results provide further insights into TMS Formation evaluation and contribute to a better understanding of the heterogeneity and anisotropy of the play.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗

Data for The Leaf Economics Spectrum of Triploid and Tetraploid C4 Grass Miscanthus x giganteus

The leaf economics spectrum (LES) describes multivariate correlations in leaf structural, physiological and chemical traits, originally based on diverse C3 species grown under natural ecosystems. However, the specific contribution of C4 species to the global LES is studied less widely. C4 species have a CO2 concentrating mechanism which drives high rates of photosynthesis and improves resource use efficiency, thus potentially pushing them towards the edge of the LES. Here, we measured foliage morphology, structure, photosynthesis, and nutrient content for hundreds of genotypes of the C4 grass Miscanthus × giganteus grown in two common gardens over two seasons. We show substantial trait variations across M. × giganteus genotypes and robust genotypic trait relationships. Compared to the global LES, M. × giganteus genotypes had higher photosynthetic rates, lower stomatal conductance, and less nitrogen content, indicating greater water and photosynthetic nitrogen use efficiency in the C4 species. Additionally, tetraploid genotypes produced thicker leaves with greater leaf mass per area and lower leaf density than triploid genotypes. By expanding the LES relationships across C3 species to include C4 crops, these findings highlight that M. × giganteus occupies the boundary of the global LES and suggest the potential for ploidy to alter LES traits.

Biomass Analytics↗

URC Assessment Method

This tool evaluates the potential occurrence of URC resources using a series of validated heuristics as outlined in "Creason, C.G., Justman, D., Rose, K. et al. A Geo-Data Science Method for Assessing Unconventional Rare-Earth Element Resources in Sedimentary Systems. Nat Resour Res (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11053-023-10163-x"

Critical Minerals↗

Alternative Approaches to Traditional Net Energy Metering

Most jurisdictions in the United States originally implemented net energy metering (NEM) tariffs to support the deployment and interconnection of distributed generation (DG) resources (e.g., rooftop solar photovoltaic systems). Since then, NEM has proven effective in promoting adoption of DG resources. Recently, due to concerns about sufficient recovery of utilities’ revenue requirements and cost-shifting, there is increasing interest in—or statutory requirements to pursue—alternative compensation approaches, especially in U.S. states and territories with robust growth in distributed solar. Recent increases in other forms of distributed energy resources (DERs) that can potentially send power to the distribution grid (e.g., distributed battery energy storage system (BESS)) are further driving compensation reforms. This brief provides an overview of design elements associated with alternative approaches to traditional NEM, summarizes common arguments for and against them, and identifies implementation issues that utilities may need to address. Although this brief may be most useful in jurisdictions that are interested in or required to move beyond NEM, it is also applicable to those jurisdictions that have already done so—and are looking to further implement reforms to their existing compensation mechanisms. In the broadest sense, there are three primary tariff-related components when interconnecting a DER onto the local utility’s distribution system (adapted from Zinaman et al., 2017): 1. Metering and Billing Arrangements: How utilities measure and bill electricity consumption and production. 2. DER Export Tariff Design: The structure under which utilities compensate customers for electricity they export to the grid. 3. Consumption Tariff Design: The structure under which customers pay for electricity they consume from the grid. When implementing changes to any of these primary tariff-related components, there are likely implications for a utility’s metering system, billing system, and other technology systems. Where applicable, this brief explicitly identifies such implementation challenges.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗