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At least 307 records · Page 17

Application of an Erosion Wear Model to Predict Wear of Hammer Milling Components

A workable analytical erosion model that relates critical hammermill process parameters (hammermill geometry and rotational speed) to critical material attributes of inorganic mineral species in feedstock (density, size, and aspect ratio) and substrate (hardness, toughness, and fatigue ductility) was applied to model wear (more specifically, change in the shape of hammers) in hammer milling operations. Results of the model were compared to experimental observations of the shape of hammers used in the INL Stage 1 Vermeer hammermill. Results showed good agreement between predicted and measured shape of the hammer, and that a quality-by-design (QbD) approach can be developed to predict component reliability based on scientific engineering principles in lieu of trial-and-error approaches.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

MAPredict: Static Analysis Driven Memory Access Prediction Framework for Modern CPUs

Application memory access patterns are crucial in deciding how much traffic is served by the cache and forwarded to the dynamic random-access memory (DRAM). However, predicting such memory traffic is difficult because of the interplay of prefetchers, compilers, parallel execution, and innovations in manufacturer-specific micro-architectures. This research introduced MAPredict, a static analysis-driven framework that addresses these challenges to predict last-level cache (LLC)-DRAM traffic. By exploring and analyzing the behavior of modern Intel processors, MAPredict formulates cache-aware analytical models. MAPredict invokes these models to predict LLC-DRAM traffic by combining the application model, machine model, and user-provided hints to capture dynamic information. MAPredict successfully predicts LLC-DRAM traffic for different regular access patterns and provides the means to combine static and empirical observations for irregular access patterns. Evaluating 130 workloads from six applications on recent Intel micro-architectures, MAPredict yielded an average accuracy of 99% for streaming, 91% for strided, and 92% for stencil patterns. By coupling static and empirical methods, up to 97% average accuracy was obtained for random access patterns on different micro-architectures.

Monil, M. A. H.↗

Prediction of hemiwicking dynamics in micropillar arrays

Dynamic hemiwicking behavior is observable in both nature and a wide range of industrial applications ranging from biomedical devices to thermal management. We present a semi-analytical modeling framework (without empirical fitting coefficients) to predict transient capillary-driven hemiwicking behavior of a liquid through a nano/microstructured surface, specifically a micropillar array. In our model framework, the liquid domain is discretized into micropillar unit cells to enable the time marching of the hemiwicking front. A simplified linear pressure drop is assumed along the hemiwicking length such that the local meniscus curvature, contact angle, and effective liquid height are determined at each time step in our transient model. This semi-analytical model is validated with experimental data from our own experiments and from published literature for different fluids. Our model predicts hemiwicking dynamics with <20% error over a broad range of micropillar geometries with height-to-pitch ratio ranging between ≈0.34 and 6.7 and diameter-to-pitch ratio in the range of ≈0.25–0.7 and without any fitting parameters. For lower diameter-to-pitch ratio data points related to sparse micropillar array arrangements, we suggest modifications to the semi-analytical model. This work sheds light on complex and dynamic solid–liquid–vapor interfacial interactions which could serve as a guide for the design of textured surfaces for wicking enhancement in multi-phase thermal and mass transport technologies and applications.

Mechanics↗

Machine Learning-enabled Scalable Performance Prediction of Scientific Codes

Hardware architectures become increasingly complex as the compute capabilities grow to exascale. Here, we present the Analytical Memory Model with Pipelines (AMMP) of the Performance Prediction Toolkit (PPT). PPT-AMMP takes high-level source code and hardware architecture parameters as input and predicts runtime of that code on the target hardware platform, which is defined in the input parameters. PPT-AMMP transforms the code to an (architecture-independent) intermediate representation, then (i) analyzes the basic block structure of the code, (ii) processes architecture-independent virtual memory access patterns that it uses to build memory reuse distance distribution models for each basic block, and (iii) runs detailed basic-block level simulations to determine hardware pipeline usage. PPT-AMMP uses machine learning and regression techniques to build the prediction models based on small instances of the input code, then integrates into a higher-order discrete-event simulation model of PPT running on Simian PDES engine. We validate PPT-AMMP on four standard computational physics benchmarks and present a use case of hardware parameter sensitivity analysis to identify bottleneck hardware resources on different code inputs. We further extend PPT-AMMP to predict the performance of a scientific application code, namely, the radiation transport mini-app SNAP. To this end, we analyze multi-variate regression models that accurately predict the reuse profiles and the basic block counts. We validate predicted SNAP runtimes against actual measured times.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Review—Effects of Solution and Alloy Composition on Critical Crevice Temperature

Critical temperature for localized corrosion can be a good design parameter because localized corrosion is not likely to occur below that temperature. The critical temperature depends on alloy composition, microstructure, and environment chemistry (including its redox potential). This paper reviews the literature on critical temperature for localized corrosion, expressed either as Critical Pitting Temperature (CPT) or Critical Crevice Temperature (CCT). A history of various testing methods is presented. Different approaches for modeling the temperature of transition to active pit growth are reviewed, including probabilistic aspects of critical temperature. A semi-empirical, electrolyte-based, model is described that can be useful in predicting CCT in service environments that differ from standard laboratory test environments. The model predictions are compared to experimental data for various alloys. The effect of solvent on CCT/CPT is described briefly and future avenues of research are recommended.

02 PETROLEUM↗

Quantifying the drivers and predictability of seasonal changes in African fire

Africa contains some of the most vulnerable ecosystems to fires. Successful seasonal prediction of fire activity over these fire-prone regions remains a challenge and relies heavily on in-depth understanding of various driving mechanisms underlying fire evolution. Here, we assess the seasonal environmental drivers and predictability of African fire using the analytical framework of Stepwise Generalized Equilibrium Feedback Assessment (SGEFA) and machine learning techniques (MLTs). The impacts of sea-surface temperature, soil moisture, and leaf area index are quantified and found to dominate the fire seasonal variability by regulating regional burning condition and fuel supply. Compared with previously-identified atmospheric and socioeconomic predictors, these slowly evolving oceanic and terrestrial predictors are further identified to determine the seasonal predictability of fire activity in Africa. Our combined SGEFA-MLT approach achieves skillful prediction of African fire one month in advance and can be generalized to provide seasonal estimates of regional and global fire risk.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The quenching of galaxies, bulges, and disks since cosmic noon

Here, we present an analysis of the quenching of star formation in galaxies, bulges, and disks throughout the bulk of cosmic history, from z = 2 – 0. We utilise observations from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey and the Mapping Nearby Galaxies at Apache Point Observatory survey at low redshifts. We complement these data with observations from the Cosmic Assembly Near-Infrared Deep Extragalactic Legacy Survey at high redshifts. Additionally, we compare the observations to detailed predictions from the LGalaxies semi-analytic model. To analyse the data, we developed a machine learning approach utilising a Random Forest classifier. We first demonstrate that this technique is extremely effective at extracting causal insight from highly complex and inter-correlated model data, before applying it to various observational surveys. Our primary observational results are as follows: at all redshifts studied in this work, we find bulge mass to be the most predictive parameter of quenching, out of the photometric parameter set (incorporating bulge mass, disk mass, total stellar mass, and B/T structure). Moreover, we also find bulge mass to be the most predictive parameter of quenching in both bulge and disk structures, treated separately. Hence, intrinsic galaxy quenching must be due to a stable mechanism operating over cosmic time, and the same quenching mechanism must be effective in both bulge and disk regions. Despite the success of bulge mass in predicting quenching, we find that central velocity dispersion is even more predictive (when available in spectroscopic data sets). In comparison to the LGalaxies model, we find that all of these observational results may be consistently explained through quenching via preventative ‘radio-mode’ active galactic nucleus feedback. Furthermore, many alternative quenching mechanisms (including virial shocks, supernova feedback, and morphological stabilisation) are found to be inconsistent with our observational results and those from the literature.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Uncoupling Electrokinetic Flow Solutions

The continuum-scale electrokinetic porous-media flow and excess charge redistribution equations are uncoupled using eigenvalue decomposition. The uncoupling results in a pair of independent diffusion equations for “intermediate” potentials subject to modified material properties and boundary conditions. The fluid pressure and electrostatic potential are then found by recombining the solutions to the two intermediate uncoupled problems in a matrix-vector multiplication. Expressions for the material properties or source terms in the intermediate uncoupled problem may require extended precision or careful rewriting to avoid numerical cancellation, but the solutions themselves can typically be computed in double precision. The approach works with analytical or gridded numerical solutions and is illustrated through two examples. The solution for flow to a pumping well is manipulated to predict streaming potential and electroosmosis, and a periodic one-dimensional analytical solution is derived and used to predict electroosmosis and streaming potential in a laboratory flow cell subjected to low frequency alternating current and pressure excitation. The examples illustrate the utility of the eigenvalue decoupling approach, repurposing existing analytical solutions or numerical models and leveraging solutions that are simpler to derive for coupled physics.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Incorporating historical data and past analyses for improved tensile property prediction of 9% Cr steel

Data-driven analytical clustering and visualization techniques were applied to the dataset of 9% Cr experimental alloy data generated through the eXtremeMAT project. Techniques and results were compared with the resulting clusters obtained through similar analytical techniques on previous and reduced versions of the dataset. The principal components were generated in order to reduce the dimensionality of the complex dataset and to visualize the underlying trends in the data. Partitioning around medoids was performed on the resulting principal components to determine relevant clusters. Domain knowledge labels were further applied to the principal components to compare the labels with the trends identified through the clustering methods. The resulting clusters show the addition of the new data into the dataset, and show where alignment between the domain knowledge labels and partitioning around medoids (PAM) clusters show where the labels are appropriate. The clusters can be used to compare the tensile properties of the alloys, and to reduce the variation in the dataset.

Alloy design, Mechanical Properties, data analysis↗

Laser transport and backscatter in low-density SiO 2 and Ta2O 5 foams

Experiments using a single 527 nm wavelength beam interacting with sub- and supercritical density SiO 2 and Ta 2 O 5 foams examined laser propagation and backscatter from laser–plasma instabilities such as Stimulated Brillouin Scattering (SBS). Two densities of each material were examined, and multiple diagnostics were used to characterize the propagation and backscatter. For 5 mg/cc SiO 2 (n e /n c = 0.375), the laser propagation distance was well approximated by treating the foam as a gas. However, for the 2 mg/cc SiO 2 foam (n e /n c = 0.15), the same model over-predicts the propagation distance by ~40%. Furthermore, existing analytical theories on propagation through subcritical foams were able to account for this difference. The laser heat wave propagated ~1/2 as far in Ta 2 O 5 than SiO 2 foams with similar electron density. We showed that this difference is due to the increased radiation losses in the higher Z foam. The fraction of backscattered light scales linearly with incident laser intensity for the range of intensities examined. Ta 2 O 5 foams had significantly lower levels of backscatter (1–3%) than the SiO 2 (4–8%), which is consistent with estimates of large Landau damping due to the presence of the oxygen atoms. The measured fraction of SBS backscattered laser energy for a 2 mg/cc SiO 2 foam shot was ~4 times lower than predicted by simulations assuming a gas-like foam. We found that we needed to assume increased ion heating such that T i /T e ~1.2–1.5 in the plasma to agree with the measured SBS reflectivity. Analytical models of laser-heated foams predict preferential heating of the ions as has been observed in previous experiments.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Kinetic entropy-based measures of distribution function non-Maxwellianity: theory and simulations

We investigate kinetic entropy-based measures of the non-Maxwellianity of distribution functions in plasmas, i.e. entropy-based measures of the departure of a local distribution function from an associated Maxwellian distribution function with the same density, bulk flow and temperature as the local distribution. First, we consider a form previously employed by Kaufmann & Paterson (J. Geophys. Res., vol. 114, 2009, A00D04), assessing its properties and deriving equivalent forms. To provide a quantitative understanding of it, we derive analytical expressions for three common non-Maxwellian plasma distribution functions. We show that there are undesirable features of this non-Maxwellianity measure including that it can diverge in various physical limits and elucidate the reason for the divergence. We then introduce a new kinetic entropy-based non-Maxwellianity measure based on the velocity-space kinetic entropy density, which has a meaningful physical interpretation and does not diverge. We use collisionless particle-in-cell simulations of two-dimensional anti-parallel magnetic reconnection to assess the kinetic entropy-based non-Maxwellianity measures. We show that regions of non-zero non-Maxwellianity are linked to kinetic processes occurring during magnetic reconnection. We also show the simulated non-Maxwellianity agrees reasonably well with predictions for distributions resembling those calculated analytically. These results can be important for applications, as non-Maxwellianity can be used to identify regions of kinetic-scale physics or increased dissipation in plasmas.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Physics consistent machine learning framework for inverse modeling with applications to ICF capsule implosions

In high energy density physics (HEDP) and inertial confinement fusion (ICF), predictive modeling is complicated by uncertainty in parameters that characterize various aspects of the modeled system, such as those characterizing material properties, equation of state (EOS), opacities, and initial conditions. Typically, however, these parameters are not directly observable. What is observed instead is a time sequence of radiographic projections using X-rays. In this work, we define a set of sparse hydrodynamic features derived from the outgoing shock profile and outer material edge, which can be obtained from radiographic measurements, to directly infer such parameters. Our machine learning (ML)-based methodology involves a pipeline of two architectures, a radiograph-to-features network (R2FNet) and a features-to-parameters network (F2PNet), that are trained independently and later combined to approximate a posterior distribution for the parameters from radiographs. We show that the machine learning architectures are able to accurately infer initial conditions and EOS parameters, and that the estimated parameters can be used in a hydrodynamics code to obtain density fields, shocks, and material interfaces that satisfy thermodynamic and hydrodynamic consistency. Finally, we demonstrate that features resulting from an unknown EOS model can be successfully mapped onto parameters of a chosen analytical EOS model, implying that network predictions are learning physics, with a degree of invariance to the underlying choice of EOS model. To the best of our knowledge, our framework is the first demonstration of recovering both thermodynamic and hydrodynamic consistent density fields from noisy radiographs.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Verification of induction zone models for wind farm annual energy production estimation

Fast engineering wake models are the backbone of wind farm annual energy production (AEP) estimators, whereas the addition of induction zone models in existing tools is a more recent response to rising concerns over wind farm blockage associated losses. Here, "blockage" describes the combined induction fields of all wind turbines inside a farm. Unlike the term might suggest, blockage not only reduces flow speeds, but also increases them; for instance along the outer edges of wind farms. Evaluating the overall impact on AEP of these gains and losses necessitates accurate wind farm induction models. Whilst engineering wake models are tuned to predict wind farm performance, existing induction zone models are all derived for accurately predicting the near field induction not the far field value—important for wind farm simulations. This paper presents the induction models implemented in the wind farm simulation tool PyWake, as well as results from novel analytical models and compares their far field predictions to RANS-AD simulations of different turbines. We demonstrate that when including blockage in AEP simulations, the downstream speed-ups need to be included to avoid an unrealistic bias toward AEP loss and that wake expansion significantly impacts induction at rated thrust levels.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Advanced Design and 3D Printing Strategies With Alginate‐Nanoclay Nanocomposites: From Microstructure to Bioprinting

Nanocomposites made from alginate and nanoclay are extensively applied for diverse biomedical applications. However, the lack of a clear understanding of the interactions between alginate and nanoclay makes it difficult to rationally design the nanocomposites for different material extrusion-based 3D bioprinting strategies. Here, a combined analytical model is proposed to accurately predict the interaction mechanisms between alginate and nanoclay through small-angle neutron scattering. These mechanisms are summarized into a phase diagram that can guide the design of alginate-nanoclay nanocomposites for different bioprinting applications. The rheological properties of various nanocomposites are measured to validate the proposed interaction mechanisms at the macroscale. Accordingly, three representative extrusion-based bioprinting strategies are linked with the nanocomposite design and applied to freeform fabricate complex structures. In conclusion, a roadmap is summarized to bridge the gap between biomaterial design and bioprinting processes, enabling the rapid and rational selection of biomaterial formula based on available 3D printing methods, and vice versa.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Data for: A hybrid biophysical-machine learning framework for diurnal surface energy flux estimation using proximal sensing

Thermal-based remote sensing of surface energy fluxes has traditionally relied on high spatial resolution satellite data with revisit frequencies on the order of weeks. In this study, we evaluate a biophysics-based analytical surface energy balance model for predicting latent energy (LE) and sensible heat (H) fluxes using proximal sensing observations. The Surface Temperature Initiated Closure (STIC1.2) model has been extensively validated across a wide range of spatial and temporal scales using various satellite-derived thermal datasets. Here we extend this validation by applying STIC at sub-hourly temporal resolution over multiple growing seasons for four distinct agricultural systems. We further develop and evaluate novel STIC variants that incorporate machine learning (ML) techniques to eliminate the need for specific surface energy balance observations, specifically net radiation and soil heat flux, thereby enhancing model applicability in data-sparse settings. The integration of an ML component to estimate surface available energy is shown to have strong predictive performance for both LE (R2 = 0.81-0.94) and H (R2 = 0.46-0.72) across all agricultural systems examined here, demonstrating the potential of hybrid biophysical – machine learning approaches for surface energy balance modeling with minimal data requirements. This study concludes with a novel application of explainable machine learning (exML) to diagnose sources of model error. This exML framework attributes residual prediction errors to both model input variables and environmental drivers not explicitly included in the simulation experiments. This approach provides a new pathway for improving model design and integrating previously overlooked yet influential variables into future model iterations.

Agricultural Sciences↗

Accretion disc sizes from continuum reverberation mapping of AGN selected from the ZTF survey

ABSTRACT We present the accretion disc-size estimates for a sample of 19 active galactic nuclei (AGNs) using the optical g-, r-, and i-band light curves obtained from the Zwicky Transient Facility survey. All the AGNs have reliable supermassive black hole (SMBH) mass estimates based on previous reverberation mapping measurements. The multiband light curves are cross-correlated, and the reverberation lag is estimated using the Interpolated Cross-Correlation Function method and the Bayesian method using the javelin code. As expected from the disc-reprocessing arguments, the g − r band lags are shorter than the g − i band lags for this sample. The interband lags for all, but five sources, are larger than the sizes predicted from the standard Shakura Sunyaev (SS) analytical model. We fit the light curves directly using a thin disc model implemented through the javelin code to get the accretion disc sizes. The disc sizes obtained using this model are on an average 3.9 times larger than the prediction based on the SS disc model. We find a weak correlation between the disc sizes and the known physical parameters, namely the luminosity and the SMBH mass. In the near future, a large sample of AGNs covering broader ranges of luminosity and SMBH mass from large photometric surveys would be helpful in a better understanding of the structure and physics of the accretion disc.

Jha, Vivek Kumar (ORCID:0000000232776335)↗

Numerical simulation of falling film sensible heat transfer over round horizontal tubes

Numerical simulations are performed to explore the heat transfer characteristics of falling films over horizontal round tubes with uniform heat flux imposed for a range of Reynolds numbers spanning the droplet, jet, and sheet regimes. Simulations results agree well with available experimental measurements. The study analyzes the local as well as average heat transfer behavior under the different flow modes. The numerical results show that the local Nusselt number (Nu) distribution depends on the flow features in each mode and varies substantially in all directions for the respective mode. In the droplet mode, the Nu value varies significantly as the droplet impinges and the remnant liquid-bridge retracts (peak instantaneous Nu near 6), followed by wave propagation over the tube surface with peak Nu around 0.25. For the jet modes, the local maximum in the heat transfer occurs off-center to the impingement location with magnitudes of peak Nu = 3.1 for the inline jet mode and Nu = 2.7 for the staggered jet mode, while on the rest of the tube surface, it has an inverse relation with the liquid film thickness. Substantial variations in the heat transfer value are also recorded in the middle of the two impinging jets with Nu = 0.95 in the inline jet mode where the neighboring jets do not interact, and Nu = 0.60 in the crest region of the staggered jet mode where the neighboring jets interact with each other. In the sheet mode, the Nu was seen to depend on the thickness of the liquid waves traversing over the tube surface. Lower Nu values were recorded beneath the crest location of the liquid waves, which increases (1.4–11.6% depending on circumferential location) abruptly in magnitude at the advancing fronts of the waves. The temperature distribution in the liquid film in each of the modes was examined to evaluate the mechanism of heat transfer process. This study also compares the local heat transfer coefficient distribution with the analytical heat transfer models derived to predict heat transfer performance over horizontal tube surfaces.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Adsorption of Iodine on Metal Coupons in Humid and Dry Environments

In this study, five different metal coupons were evaluated for gaseous iodine [I2(g)] adsorption including two stainless steels (i.e., SS304 and SS316), two Inconel® alloys (i.e., 625 and 718) and pure Ni (i.e., Ni-200) within a dynamic flow-through system where temperature, iodine concentration, flow rate, atmosphere, and relative humidity were controlled. Humidity was shown to be critical to iodine adsorption on SS304 and SS316 and Ni-200 at ambient temperatures. The results presented herein suggest that a moisture mediated reaction is occurring. However, higher humidity levels decrease the adsorption, suggesting an ideal range of humidity for highest corrosion. A comparison of the five metal substrates showed the highest I2(g) adsorption in the following descending order Ni-200 > SS304 > SS316 >718>625.The 625 and 718 Inconel alloys were fairly inert to iodine adsorption under the conditions tested. Characterization by scanning electron microscopy, energy dispersive X-ray spectroscopy, and X-ray diffraction of the Ni-200 coupon indicates that NiI2 is formed and flakes off the surface as a black powder. The SS304 and SS316 coupons showed evidence of extensive reactions with I2(g) and formed a much more deliquescent corrosion product, which reacted with air when removed from the flow-through system for weighing on the analytical balance. These findings assist in predicting iodine adsorption behavior on a variety of metal surfaces under various conditions.

Beck, Chelsie L.↗