Engineering Papers⌕ Search

SEARCH · Engineering Papers

Results for “model parameterization”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 307 records · Page 17

Southern Great Plains (SGP) Three-Dimensional Observations of Fair-Weather Cumuli Field Campaign Report

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) user facility Southern Great Plains (SGP) Three-Dimensional (3D) Observations of Fair-Weather Cumuli (SGP3DOBS) experiment employed scanning Doppler lidar and the recently installed stereo camera ring to conduct a one-month intensive operational period (IOP) of fair-weather cumuli in a 3D domain at the ARM SGP Central Facility (CF). The SGP3DOBS is part of the Climate Model Development and Validation (CMDV) “Coupling Mechanistically the Convective Motions and Cloud Macrophysics in a Climate Model” (CM4) project and provides advanced observational analyses for improving physical understanding of shallow cumulus and supporting model parameterization evaluation. For the CM4 project, cloud macroscale and dynamical properties are determined using vertically pointing active remote-sensing measurements (e.g., lidar and radar), which provide a 2D view of fair-weather cumuli (FWC). It is critical to evaluate how well the 2D observations represent 3D cloud fields. The objectives of SGP3DOBS include: 1) evaluate the 3D gridded cloud field from stereo photogrammetry with scanning Doppler lidar measurements; 2) retrieve sub-cloud-layer turbulence (vertical velocity and mass flux) in a 3D domain; 3) estimate shallow cumulus lateral entrainment rate and its relation to environment conditions. The SGP3DOBS IOP was held at the SGP Central Facility from August 31 to September 30, 2017, as the fair-weather nonprecipitating shallow cumuli are prevalent during summertime over land (Lamer and Kollias, 2015). A weather forecast team conducted a short-range forecast of weather conditions in the early morning each day to determine whether it was favorable for FWC. For each IOP day, the Doppler lidar at the SGP Central Facility ran under the range height indicator (RHI) scanning mode in the cross-wind direction. Occasionally, plan position indicator (PPI) scanning mode was run for updated wind directions. During each RHI scanning, the Doppler lidar run continuously between 30- and 150-degree elevation angles. The scanning rate was approximately 10 degree/s, corresponding to a transverse resolution of 111 m at 2 km of a typical FWC height. The newly established three pairs of stereo cameras ran concurrently during the IOP.

Southern Great Plains, Doppler lidar, fair-weather↗

Improving Mixed-phase Cloud Parameterization in Climate Model with the ACRF Measurements

Mixed-phase cloud microphysical and dynamical processes are still poorly understood, and their representation in GCMs is a major source of uncertainties in overall cloud feedback in GCMs. Thus improving mixed-phase cloud parameterizations in climate models is critical to reducing the climate forecast uncertainties. This study aims at providing improved knowledge of mixed-phase cloud properties from the long-term ACRF observations and improving mixed-phase clouds simulations in the NCAR Community Atmosphere Model version 5 (CAM5). The key accomplishments are: 1) An improved retrieval algorithm was developed to provide liquid droplet concentration for drizzling or mixed-phase stratiform clouds. 2) A new ice concentration retrieval algorithm for stratiform mixed-phase clouds was developed. 3) A strong seasonal aerosol impact on ice generation in Arctic mixed-phase clouds was identified, which is mainly attributed to the high dust occurrence during the spring season. 4) A suite of multi-senor algorithms was applied to long-term ARM observations at the Barrow site to provide a complete dataset (LWC and effective radius profile for liquid phase, and IWC, Dge profiles and ice concentration for ice phase) to characterize Arctic stratiform mixed-phase clouds. This multi-year stratiform mixed-phase cloud dataset provides necessary information to study related processes, evaluate model stratiform mixed-phase cloud simulations, and improve model stratiform mixed-phase cloud parameterization. 5). A new in situ data analysis method was developed to quantify liquid mass partition in convective mixed-phase clouds. For the first time, we reliably compared liquid mass partitions in stratiform and convective mixed-phase clouds. Due to the different dynamics in stratiform and convective mixed-phase clouds, the temperature dependencies of liquid mass partitions are significantly different due to much higher ice concentrations in convective mixed phase clouds. 6) Systematic evaluations of mixed-phase cloud simulations by CAM5 were performed. Measurement results indicate that ice concentrations control stratiform mixed-phase cloud properties. The improvement of ice concentration parameterization in the CAM5 was done in close collaboration with Dr. Xiaohong Liu, PNNL (now at University of Wyoming).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Machine‐Learning‐Assisted Stochastic Cloud Population Model as a Parameterization of Cumulus Convection

Abstract A machine‐learning‐assisted stochastic cloud population model is coupled with the Advanced Research Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to represent fluctuations in the cloud‐base mass flux associated with the life cycles and interactions among cumulus convection cells. In this cloud population model, the size distribution and the associated cloud‐base mass flux of the convective cells are related to their previous state and to the change in the total convective area via a transition function. The convective area tendency in turn is assumed to depend on the cloud‐base mass flux that is resolved by the host WRF model. The transition function is represented by a single hidden‐layer neural network trained by the evolution of convective cell size distributions in a 1‐km grid‐spacing WRF simulation run over the Australian Monsoon region. At every grid point of the host model, the cloud population model predicts the cell size and cloud‐base mass flux distributions from which a random sample of cells is fed to an entraining parcel model that calculates precipitation as well as the associated liquid water potential temperature and total moisture tendencies. These tendencies are averaged over the cells and provided to the host model. Several regional simulations are performed over tropical and midlatitude domains to test this as a potential approach to scale‐aware parameterization. It is shown that such an approach could be a new promising path to simulating realistic precipitation statistics and propagation of precipitation associated with the Madden‐Julian Oscillation while maintaining realistic depictions of the diurnal cycle over both land and ocean.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The Stochastic Parcel Model: A deterministic parameterization of stochastically entraining convection

Convective entrainment is a process that is poorly represented in existing convective parameterizations. By many estimates, convective entrainment is the leading source of error in global climate models. As a potential remedy, an Eulerian implementation of the Stochastic Parcel Model (SPM) is presented here as a convective parameterization that treats entrainment in a physically realistic and computationally efficient way. Drawing on evidence that convecting clouds comprise air parcels subject to Poisson-process entrainment events, the SPM calculates the deterministic limit of an infinite number of such parcels. For computational efficiency, the SPM groups parcels at each height by their purity, which is a measure of their total entrainment up to that height. This reduces the calculation of convective fluxes to a sequence of matrix multiplications. The SPM is implemented in a single-column model and compared with a large-eddy simulation of deep convection.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Watershed Workflow: A toolset for parameterizing data-intensive, integrated hydrologic models

Integrated, distributed hydrologic models leverage advances in computational power and data accessibility to improve predictive understanding of the water cycle. While impressive advances in this area of environmental modeling have been accomplished, such models are still rarely used, partially because of difficulty integrating model and data. This research describes the release of Watershed Workflow version 1.2, a new library aiming to automate and enable complex workflows defining inputs to high resolution, integrated, distributed hydrologic models. Watershed Workflow provides tools enabling the discovery, acquisition, mapping, and coordination of watershed geometry, land cover, soil properties, and meteorological data. It enables the construction of unstructured meshes that incorporate this data, and provides tools for automating a “first” simulation on any watershed in the United States. We present the design of the workflow tool, and describe best practices for its usage, culminating in a final example from watershed specification to simulation at the Coweeta Hydrologic Laboratory.

Integrated hydrologic modeling↗

Parameterization and Explicit Modeling of Cloud Microphysics: Approaches, Challenges, and Future Directions

Cloud microphysical processes occur at the smallest end of scales among cloud-related processes and thus must be parameterized not only in large-scale global circulation models (GCMs) but also in various higher-resolution limited-area models such as cloud-resolving models (CRMs) and large-eddy simulation (LES) models. Instead of giving a comprehensive review of existing microphysical parameterizations that have been developed over the years, this study concentrates purposely on several topics that we believe are understudied but hold great potential for further advancing bulk microphysics parameterizations: multi-moment bulk microphysics parameterizations and the role of the spectral shape of hydrometeor size distributions; discrete vs “continuous” representation of hydrometeor types; turbulence-microphysics interactions including turbulent entrainment-mixing processes and stochastic condensation; theoretical foundations for the mathematical expressions used to describe hydrometeor size distributions and hydrometeor morphology; and approaches for developing bulk microphysics parameterizations. Also presented are the spectral bin scheme and particle-based scheme (especially, super-droplet method) for representing explicit microphysics. Their advantages and disadvantages are elucidated for constructing cloud models with detailed microphysics that are essential to developing processes understanding and bulk microphysics parameterizations. Particle-resolved direct numerical simulation (DNS) models are described as an emerging technique to investigate turbulence-microphysics interactions at the most fundamental level by tracking individual particles and resolving the smallest turbulent eddies in turbulent clouds. Outstanding challenges and future research directions are explored as well.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Unified Ice Microphysical Parameterization for Numerical Models: Development and Testing with In-situ Data

The primary goal of the project is to develop and test new microphysical parameterizations of ice crystal growth. Over the past 7 years, we have developed a bulk ice microphysical model that evolves a measure of particle shape and density during vapor diffusional growth. The method allows smaller, pristine ice crystals to evolve into larger snow crystals in a more natural fashion than traditional microphysical schemes. In doing so, the new method avoids problems that occur when ice is transferred among pre-defined classes. The new model was developed and tested for vapor grown ice only, and so the goal of this project is to develop bulk parameterizations of the missing physics for the model including the prediction of surface deposition coefficients, riming, and aggregation. The parameterizations are being developed using prior laboratory data as a constraint, and then will be tested in simulations of case studies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Parameterized reduced-order models using hyper-dual numbers.

The goal of most computational simulations is to accurately predict the behavior of a real, physical system. Accurate predictions often require very computationally expensive analyses and so reduced order models (ROMs) are commonly used. ROMs aim to reduce the computational cost of the simulations while still providing accurate results by including all of the salient physics of the real system in the ROM. However, real, physical systems often deviate from the idealized models used in simulations due to variations in manufacturing or other factors. One approach to this issue is to create a parameterized model in order to characterize the effect of perturbations from the nominal model on the behavior of the system. This report presents a methodology for developing parameterized ROMs, which is based on Craig-Bampton component mode synthesis and the use of hyper-dual numbers to calculate the derivatives necessary for the parameterization.

Fike, Jeffrey A.↗

How Well Can We Represent the Spectrum of Convective Clouds in a Climate Model? Comparisons between Internal Parameterization Variables and Radar Observations

Current climate models cannot resolve individual convective clouds, and hence parameterizations are needed. The primary goal of convective parameterization is to represent the bulk impact of convection on the gridbox-scale variables. Spectral convective parameterizations also aim to represent the key features of the subgrid-scale convective cloud field such as cloud-top-height distribution and in-cloud vertical velocities in addition to precipitation rates. Ground-based radar retrievals of these quantities have been made available at Darwin, Australia, permitting direct comparisons of internal parameterization variables and providing new observational references for further model development. A spectral convective parameterization [the convective cloud field model (CCFM)] is discussed, and its internal equation of motion is improved. Results from the ECHAM–HAM model in single-column mode using the CCFM and the bulk mass flux Tiedtke–Nordeng scheme are compared with the radar retrievals at Darwin. The CCFM is found to outperform the Tiedtke–Nordeng scheme for cloud-top-height and precipitation-rate distributions. Radar observations are further used to propose a modified CCFM configuration with an aerodynamic drag and reduced entrainment parameter, further improving both the convective cloud-top-height distribution (important for large-scale impact of convection) and the in-cloud vertical velocities (important for aerosol activation). This study provides a new development in the CCFM, improving the representation of convective cloud spectrum characteristics observed in Darwin. This is a step toward an improved representation of convection and ultimately of aerosol effects on convection. It also shows how long-term radar observations of convective cloud properties can help constrain parameters of convective parameterization schemes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Parameterized anomalous transport model for current-carrying collisionless plasmas in pulsed power inertial confinement fusion

Current delivery in pulsed power inertial confinement fusion is influenced by collisionless current-carrying microturbulent plasmas, which are sourced from electrode surfaces. In this setting, the lower hybrid drift instability—triggered by plasma acceleration—is a leading candidate driver of difficult-to-predict momentum and energy transport. To characterize the nonlinear state of the microturbulent plasma, a parameterized anomalous transport model is developed for the instability, with analytic formulas for anomalous collision frequency, resistivity, and species heating rates. The formulas are expressed in terms of linear-theory variables and four dimensionless parameters that characterize the macroscopic plasma state. The model is built on linear theory analysis, power law analysis, and quasilinear theory analysis, and is validated using a series of nonlinear continuum kinetic Vlasov–Poisson simulations. The theoretical and computational investigation demonstrates that the anomalous collision frequency associated with the instability can be reliably approximated, within about a factor of five or better, by the unscaled linear theory growth rate of the fastest-growing wavenumber mode. This finding enables efficient calculation of anomalous resistivity and species heating rates over a wide range of plasma conditions, resulting in improved predictive capabilities.

Complex functions↗

Optimal lattice-structured materials

This paper describes a method for optimizing the mesostructure of lattice-structured materials. These materials are periodic arrays of slender members resembling efficient, lightweight macroscale structures like bridges and frame buildings. Current additive manufacturing technologies can assemble lattice structures with length scales ranging from nanometers to millimeters. Previous work demonstrates that lattice materials have excellent stiffness- and strength-to-weight scaling, outperforming natural materials. However, there are currently no methods for producing optimal mesostructures that consider the full space of possible 3D lattice topologies. The inverse homogenization approach for optimizing the periodic structure of lattice materials requires a parameterized, homogenized material model describing the response of an arbitrary structure. This work develops such a model, starting with a method for describing the long-wavelength, macroscale deformation of an arbitrary lattice. The work combines the homogenized model with a parameterized description of the total design space to generate a parameterized model. Finally, the work describes an optimization method capable of producing optimal mesostructures. Several examples demonstrate the optimization method. One of these examples produces an elastically isotropic, maximally stiff structure, here called the isotruss, that arguably outperforms the anisotropic octet truss topology.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Quantifying physical parameterization uncertainties associated with land-atmosphere interactions in the WRF model over Amazon

The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model can be used to diagnose regional land-atmosphere (L-A) coupling strength in the absence of sufficient observations but subjected to uncertainties associated with model physical parameterizations. In this study, we propose a framework to quantify and reduce model physical parameterization uncertainties associated with surface fluxes and L-A coupling. An ensemble of WRF simulations with different physical schemes is used to simulate surface fluxes and land-atmosphere coupling strength over the Amazon region. The physical parameterizations investigated include cloud microphysics (MP), land surface processes (LSM), planetary boundary layer (PBL), surface layer (SL), and cumulus (CU). We perform 120 ensemble simulations using the WRF model and different combinations of six MPs, three LSMs, six PBLs and SLs and three CUs. The measurements from the GoAMAZON field campaign and satellite data are used to evaluate model performance. A Multi-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) approach is applied to quantify the relative importance of different physics processes on L-A coupling. The Tukey’s test is used to sort schemes that have no significant differences into one group. The suite of physics that result in the best simulations of the corresponding variables are selected based on the Taylor skill score. Results show that the relative importance of processes and their interaction vary with the variables of interest. For example, CU was the most important process in modulating soil moisture, 2 m-humidity, latent heat, and net radiation. LSM showed dominant effects on 2 m-temperature and also has the largest impact on sensible heat and the lifting condensation level. The best physical parameterization ensembles show much narrower ranges of the variables of interest than the priori ensemble. Results of this study show the roles of different physical processes in modulating L-A interactions, quantify model uncertainties from physical processes, and provide insights for improving the model physics parameterizations.

Wang, Chen↗

Self‐consistency tests of large‐scale dynamics parameterizations for single‐column modeling

Abstract Large‐scale dynamics parameterizations are tested numerically in cloud‐resolving simulations, including a new version of the weak‐pressure‐gradient approximation (WPG) introduced by Edman and Romps (2014), the weak‐temperature‐gradient approximation (WTG), and a prior implementation of WPG. We perform a series of self‐consistency tests with each large‐scale dynamics parameterization, in which we compare the result of a cloud‐resolving simulation coupled to WTG or WPG with an otherwise identical simulation with prescribed large‐scale convergence. In self‐consistency tests based on radiative‐convective equilibrium (RCE; i.e., no large‐scale convergence), we find that simulations either weakly coupled or strongly coupled to either WPG or WTG are self‐consistent, but WPG‐coupled simulations exhibit a nonmonotonic behavior as the strength of the coupling to WPG is varied. We also perform self‐consistency tests based on observed forcings from two observational campaigns: the Tropical Warm Pool International Cloud Experiment (TWP‐ICE) and the ARM Southern Great Plains (SGP) Summer 1995 IOP. In these tests, we show that the new version of WPG improves upon prior versions of WPG by eliminating a potentially troublesome gravity‐wave resonance.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Quantifying the Temperature Dependence of the Multi-Species, Multi-Reaction Model. Part 1: Parameterization for a Meso-Carbon Micro-Bead Graphite

In this work, the temperature impact on the Multi-Species, Multi-Reaction (MSMR) model is studied. This is accomplished by acquiring data from slow rate lithiation and delithiation of a meso-carbon micro-bead (MCMB) graphite. The MSMR model is used to simulate linear-sweep voltammetry data of a porous electrode composed of graphite, and because the electrode is close to a state of dynamic equilibrium, the peaks in the differential voltage spectroscopy plot can be analyzed. Through this analysis, the temperature impact on the total fraction of available host sites in a particular MSMR gallery (X j ), the impact on the reference potential (U° j ), and the impact on the parameter detailing the deviation from Nernstian behavior ( ω j ) can be found. This is the first time the temperature dependence of the MSMR parameters have been experimentally analyzed. In Part 2, the impact of the temperature dependence of the MSMR parameters on the entropy coefficient of an intercalation material will be studied.

Paul, Abigail (ORCID:0000000172892069)↗

Forecasting Remote Atmospheric Responses to Decadal Kuroshio Stability Transitions

Based on observational estimates and global ocean eddy-resolving coupled retrospective initialized predictions, we show that Kuroshio Extension variability affects rainfall variability along the west coast of North America. We show that the teleconnection between the current undulations and downstream rainfall can lead to improved subseasonal to seasonal predictions of precipitation over California, and we demonstrate that capturing these teleconnections requires coupled systems with sufficient ocean resolution (i.e., eddy-resolving), especially over time scales longer than one season. The improved forecast skill is diagnosed in terms of 35 years of retrospective initialized ensemble forecasts with an ocean eddy-resolving and an ocean eddy-parameterized coupled model. Not only does the ocean eddy-resolving model show sensitivity to Kuroshio Extension variability in terms of western North America precipitation, but the ocean eddy-resolving forecasts also show improved forecast skill compared to the ocean eddy-parameterized model. Additionally, the ocean eddy-parameterized coupled model shows no sensitivity to Kuroshio Extension variability. We also find near-decadal variability associated with a progression of a lower-tropospheric height dipole around the North Pacific and how these height anomalies lead to wind-driven Rossby waves that affect the eddy activity in the Kuroshio Extension with a time lag on the order of four years. This decadal-scale variability (~10 years) opens the possibility of multiyear predictability of western North American rainfall.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

“Evaluation of boundary layer cloud processes in an advanced parameterization for global models” (Final Report)

Low clouds over the ocean are a critical component of our planet’s energy budget because they emit almost as much energy as the surface while being much more reflective than the ocean, resulting in a strong net cooling effect. Despite their importance, low marine clouds remain a persistent source of uncertainty in future climate projections. This project explored how the dynamics, thermodynamics and spatial organization of low clouds is represented in a particular physical simplification, or parameterization, of small-scale air motions and cloud processes commonly employed in global atmospheric models used for short-term weather and longer-term earth system prediction. The overall goal was to develop long-term observational products to constrain numerical model representations of turbulence and cloud processes using observations from the US Department of Energy’s (DOE) Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) program’s Eastern North Atlantic (ENA) site. These constraints were then used to demonstrate the type of information that can be gained from confronting simulations with the observations and we assessed the performance of a parameterization in simulating periods of low clouds at ENA. Finally, we used detailed computational fluid dynamics simulations of turbulence and cloud properties to evaluate general physical assumptions embedded in simplified representations of clouds and turbulence for global models of the atmosphere.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Comprehensive Analysis of Uncertainties in Warm-Rain Parameterizations in Climate Models Based on In Situ Measurements

Abstract Because of the coarse grid size of Earth system models (ESMs), representing warm-rain processes in ESMs is a challenging task involving multiple sources of uncertainty. Previous studies evaluated warm-rain parameterizations mainly according to their performance in emulating collision–coalescence rates for local droplet populations over a short period of a few seconds. The representativeness of these local process rates comes into question when applied in ESMs for grid sizes on the order of 100 km and time steps on the order of 20–30 min. We evaluate several widely used warm-rain parameterizations in ESM application scenarios. In the comparison of local and instantaneous autoconversion rates, the two parameterization schemes based on numerical fitting to stochastic collection equation (SCE) results perform best. However, because of Jessen’s inequality, their performance deteriorates when grid-mean, instead of locally resolved, cloud properties are used in their simulations. In contrast, the effect of Jessen’s inequality partly cancels the overestimation problem of two semianalytical schemes, leading to an improvement in the ESM-like comparison. In the assessment of uncertainty due to the large time step of ESMs, it is found that the rainwater tendency simulated by the SCE is roughly linear for time steps smaller than 10 min, but the nonlinearity effect becomes significant for larger time steps, leading to errors up to a factor of 4 for a time step of 20 min. After considering all uncertainties, the grid-mean and time-averaged rainwater tendency based on the parameterization schemes is mostly within a factor of 4 of the local benchmark results simulated by SCE.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗