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At least 307 records · Page 17

Pre-Transient Characterization of MLOF-1 Test Pin

This study focuses on the pre-transient characterization of U-10Zr test and sibling fuel pins for the THOR-M-LOF test series. Using neutron radiography, element contact profilometry (ECP), precise gamma scan (PGS), and gas assay, sampling, and recharge (GASR) analysis, it was confirmed that the fuel pins were intact and suitable for testing. Key fuel behaviors quantified include axial elongation, diametral strain, fluff structure geometry, axial isotope distribution, and fission gas release. Any deviations from historically expected behaviors were investigated and attributed to factors other than the irradiation behavior of the fuel pin. These pre-transient measurements establish a baseline for future post-transient analysis, which will be used to inform fuel performance models and safety criteria for sodium-cooled fast reactors (SFRs). The results will enhance understanding of transient fuel behavior and expand limited data on LOF scenarios.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

First Examination of Irradiated Fuel with Pulsed Neutrons at LANSCE (Preliminary Results)

We present preliminary results on the characterization of an irradiated U-lOZr-lPd fuel sample that was prepared from the irradiated AFC-3A-R5A sample. U-lOZr metallic fuels are researched as host materials for potential transmutation fuels and the addition of palladium strives to bind lanthanides, thus preventing fuel-cladding chemical interactions (FCCI). These interactions limit the lifetime of metallic fuels and are caused by migration of lanthanide fission products to the periphery of the fuel slug, where they start to interact with the D9 or HT9 steel cladding, ultimately leading to failure of the mechanical integrity of the cladding. Neutrons offer bulk characterization of irradiated materials for which X-ray tomography methods are not suitable due to the immense gamma background emitted from the samples. In particular pulsed neutrons provide information from the ability to resolve the neutron energy using their time-of-flight and thus the potential to utilize neutron absorption resonance to characterize the spatial distribution of isotopes. This, in turn, may allow to characterize the distribution of fission and neutron capture products non-destructively and may ultimately be applied to the bulk of an irradiation capsule prior to destructive post-irradiation examination to identify regions of interest. To allow the characterization of entire irradiation capsules, a cask is under development in the advanced post-irradiation work package at LANL and progress on this development was reported elsewhere. In parallel, an irradiated U-lOZr-lPd sample cut from the AFC-3AR5A irradiation was shipped to LANL and will be fully characterized with an NSUF funded rapid turnaround experiment (RTE) in the 2020 LANSCE run cycle. The sample emits at a dose rate of ~3R/hr on contact and is therefore manageable with remote handling, without requiring a cask. The disk-shaped material is larger than samples prepared for analysis using electron or X-ray methods and is therefore an intermediate step towards characterization of bulk samples at LANSCE. However, since it covers the full diameter of the irradiated fuel slug, some insight on redistribution of elements, spatially resolved information on microstructure, e.g. phase composition and texture, will be possible using the pulsed neutron-based methods developed for fuel characterization at LANSCE. This report describes the development of procedures to handle the sample at LANSCE as well as preliminary data and results from tests conducted in December 2019 on the energy-resolved neutron imaging (ERNI) beam line at flight path 5 and the high pressure-preferred orientation diffractometer (HIPPO) at LANSCE. This effort is a collaboration between LANL, INL, and ORNL. To compare our capabilities with prior work, we present an overview of previously reported bulk characterization of irradiated or spent fuels. The overview addresses neutron diffraction and neutron absorption resonance spectroscopy, both of which have only few reported applications on irradiated or spent nuclear fuel, as well as neutron radiography. This literature review was already described in a previous report but is repeated here to put our current efforts in context of previous work.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Actinide Radiation Chemistry and Used Nuclear Fuel Reprocessing

Although the actinides boast many unique physical and chemical properties, their inherent susceptibility to radioactive decay—and subsequent consequences of radiation-induced chemistry—are what make them truly interesting and challenging elements to understand. From a closed nuclear fuel cycle perspective, the ability to predict and control the effects of actinide-driven radiolysis is critical for the design, development, and deployment of advanced used nuclear fuel reprocessing strategies and technologies. The absorption of ionizing radiation from actinide decay leads to the formation of a variety of transient and steady-state radicals, ions, and molecular radiolysis products that can lead to significant changes in a reprocessing solvent system’s physical and chemical properties, which ultimately limits that process’ efficiency and longevity. Presented here is an overview of recent advances in actinide radiation chemistry as it applied to used nuclear fuel reprocessing.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Mechanistic Multiscale Uncertainty Propagation in Support of Accelerated Fuel Qualification

Taking a nuclear fuel concept through the research, development, and qualification stages has historically taken on the order of 20 to 25 years because of extensive irradiation tests required for a variety of conditions. The concept of accelerated fuel qualification (AFQ) has been proposed to increase the innovation pace for nuclear fuels. The goal of AFQ is not to replace the traditional qualification approach but rather to reduce the total number of experiments required to ensure approval from the regulatory authority. Of the many AFQ approaches being explored, advanced modeling—and, in particular, mechanistic modeling—is in a uniquely cross-cutting position to reduce the number of required integral tests through the inclusion of separate-effects testing, while helping to extrapolate reactor performance during rare events. We make the case that propagation of uncertainty through various computational length scales helps contextualize mechanistic modeling. We will utilize UO 2 fission gas diffusion predictions from the atomistically informed cluster dynamics code Centipede to inform fuel performance rodlet simulations using the BISON finite element code as the metric for showing how multiscale mechanistic uncertainty quantification can help reduce uncertainty in fuel performance. In conclusion, by quantifying uncertainty and its reduction through multiscale modeling, the qualification process may be accelerated through the reduction of costly irradiation experiments.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

In situ liquid SIMS analysis of uranium oxide

Trace analysis of nuclear materials in solid particles collected in the environment or particles in liquid slurry generated in nuclear material manufacturing processes can pinpoint elemental, organic, and isotopic signatures of nuclear fuel cycle activities and processes. Such information can support nuclear safeguards programs by increasing our ability to detect undeclared nuclear materials, routine activities for safeguarding at declared facilities, and illicit activities. However, trace radioactive material analysis in liquids and slurries is challenging using bulk approaches. For example, one drawback of sensitive analysis such as inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (ICP-MS) is that sample is consumed or destroyed as a result of the technical approach. We developed a vacuum compatible microfluidic interface to enable surface analysis of liquids and liquid-solid interactions using time-of-flight secondary ion mass spectrometry (ToF-SIMS). In this work, we illustrate initial results of liquid standards containing uranium using in situ liquid SIMS. Specifically a series of diluted uranium standards used for ICPMS analysis were studied and the limit of detection was estimated. Since the liquid SIMS analysis is almost nondestructive, the same sample can be analyzed by other more destructive approaches afterwards or saved for future references. Consequently, multimodal analysis is possible. Our results demonstrate that in situ liquid SIMS can be used as a new approach to analyze radioactive materials in liquid and slurry forms of relevance to the IAEA safeguards missions.

In situ liquid ToF-SIMS, uranium, limit of detecti↗

Out-of-pile and postirradiated examination of lanthanide and lanthanide-palladium interactions for metallic fuel

Palladium is being investigated as a fuel additive to bind with and potentially immobilize lanthanide fission products. A primary cause of fuel-cladding chemical interaction (FCCI) is the lanthanide fission products migrating to the fuel periphery and interacting with the cladding. This interaction will lead to wastage of the cladding and eventually to a cladding breach. Palladium has previously been identified as a promising additive used to prevent or decrease FCCI by reacting with the lanthanide fission products. In the current study, an alloy cast from the four highest abundant lanthanides found in irradiated metallic fuel, Nd, Ce, Pr, and La, with and without Pd, has been characterized using neutron diffraction, scanning electron microscopy, and electron probe microanalysis. In the lanthanide-Pd intermetallic compounds, all of the constituent compounds, i.e. Nd-Pd, Ce-Pd, La-Pd and Pr-Pd are known. There is very good agreement, both structurally and compositionally, between the out-of-pile lanthanide alloy and lanthanide fission products characterized in irradiated fuels. In both cases, the lanthanide elements form a solid solution in a hexagonal crystal structure. The out-of-pile lanthanide alloy follows Vegard's Law, with the measured and calculated (weighted average of constituents) lattice parameters being within 1% for both the a and c parameters. Pd bonds with the lanthanides (Ln) forming the phases LnPd and Ln7Pd3. The results indicate the properties of lanthanide compounds in irradiated metallic fuel can be reliably simulated in out-of-pile experiments.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Measurements at the Facility for Experiments of Nuclear Reactions in Stars (FENRIS) (Final Technical Report)

Nuclear reactions in stars have transformed the universe since the Big Bang, turning hydrogen and helium into all of the elements we see around us today. These reactions fuel a star throughout its lifetime. When the star burns out, its ashes are ejected into space to enrich the next generation of stars so to understand the origin of the elements in the cosmos, we must learn how stars burn their fuel. In this stellar burning, the rates of nuclear reactions are key. The rates can be determined by recreating the reactions in the laboratory, but often they occur too rarely to measure at the low energies characteristic of stellar burning. Novel, indirect measurements must be used. With support from the Department of Energy Office of Science, a research program has been developed to perform such measurements, primarily using the Enge split-pole spectrograph at the Triangle Universities Nuclear Laboratory (TUNL). High-energy nuclear reactions coupled with theoretical models were used to ascertain the rate of the low-energy nuclear reactions occurring in stars. Detailed analysis of the data reveals the structure of nuclei and how they affect stellar burning. In parallel to these experimental efforts, theoretical tools were developed to identify which nuclear reactions are most critical for understanding stars, thus discovering priorities for future measurements. This complementary suite of experiments and theoretical calculations can be used to help answer one of the key questions facing the physics community: How did visible matter come into being and how did it evolve?

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Uncertainty Quantification of Fatigue Behavior of Rough AM Surfaces and Microstructures to Enable Hydrogen Gas Turbine

Modifying fossil-fueled industrial gas turbines to utilize low or zero-carbon fuels, such as hydrogen or hydrogen-natural gas blends, is a complex endeavor. The successful implementation of this technology hinges on three key design criteria: (1) developing new fuel injectors capable of efficiently burning alternative fuels, (2) ensuring manufacturability to meet cost and time-to-market goals, and (3) achieving component durability in the demanding environment of an operating gas turbine. Additive manufacturing (AM) accelerates product development, yet concerns persist regarding the durability of parts with rough AM surfaces. A fully experimental approach to quantify the fatigue performance of rough AM microstructures is both costly and labor-intensive. To address this, ORNL and Solar Turbines Incorporated (Solar) employed a crystal plasticity finite element (CPFE) model to identify the factors influencing AM surface fatigue behavior. These CPFE findings, combined with targeted experimental data, were used to develop a computationally efficient surrogate model suitable for assessing the lifespan of gas turbine engine components.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Conjugate Heat Transfer Modeling of Salt-Filled Fuel Pins for Stable Salt Reactor Safety Analysis

The Stable Salt Reactor (SSR) combines the proven structural design of light water reactor fuel assemblies with the inherent safety and fuel-cycle advantages of molten salt technology. In its fast reactor configuration, the SSR utilizes recycled nuclear waste as fuel, sealed within narrow salt-filled fuel pins and cooled by a surrounding liquid salt coolant. Reliable transfer of heat from the molten fuel salt through the cladding to the external coolant is essential for both reactor safety and performance. This work investigates conjugate heat transfer (CHT) in the SSR’s salt-filled fuel pins using NekRS, a high-fidelity spectral element computational fluid dynamics (CFD) solver. The analyses capture internal natural convection within the molten fuel salt and external forced convection in the coolant, under steady-state and transient operating conditions. Parametric studies evaluate how variations in reactor power and coolant flow rate influence heat transfer distributions and system response. The high-fidelity CFD results are time-averaged and post-processed for direct comparison with moderate-fidelity Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes (RANS) models, and for the development of reduced-order models within the SAM system code. These validated models support fast-running safety analyses of normal and off-normal transients, improving predictive capability for key safety margins. By integrating advanced CFD with system-level safety tools, this study strengthens the modeling framework for SSR design, reduces uncertainty in molten salt CHT simulations, and accelerates the engineering and licensing of next-generation nuclear reactors.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

High-temperature compressive creep tests of U 3 Si 2 with spark plasma sintering: Experiments and finite element modeling

This paper reports a systematic high-temperature creep behavior of dense U 3 Si 2 pellets using a spark plasma sintering (SPS) apparatus at elevated temperatures and pressures under vacuum conditions. The stress exponent was subsequently derived to be 3.21 at 1173 K and 2.17 at 1223 K, respectively, indicating a grain boundary sliding creep mechanism. The creep activation energy was determined to be 203.6 ± 19.0 kJ/mol, which agrees well with the literature. Finite element modeling was performed using the creep parameters fitted from the strain-time plot. Additionally, the results suggest an excellent match with the experimental data, confirming the validity of the experiments. Microstructure characterizations indicate that the main phase of the specimens after creep tests remains to be U 3 Si 2 , with a 4 μm thick layer of nano-sized particles induced from the diffusion between U 3 Si 2 and alumina disc used to avoid electric current passing through the sample. The successful conduct of creep experiments demonstrates the great potential of SPS to perform high-temperature mechanical testing of nuclear fuels under vacuum conditions. The subsequent finite element modeling exhibits excellent capabilities for accurately predicting material performance in the creep tests and provides a practical tool in evaluating nuclear fuels’ performance for a much-extended time scale.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Multi-element isotopic analysis of hot particles from Chornobyl

Microscopic fuel fragments, so-called “hot particles”, were released during the 1986 accident at the Chornobyl nuclear powerplant and continue to contaminate the exclusion zone in northern Ukraine. Isotopic analysis can provide vital information about sample origin, history and contamination of the environment, though it has been underutilized due to the destructive nature of most mass spectrometric techniques, and inability to remove isobaric interference. Recent developments have diversified the range of elements that can be investigated through resonance ionization mass spectrometry (RIMS), notably in the fission products. The purpose of this study is to demonstrate the application of multi-element analysis on hot particles as relates to their burnup, particle formation in the accident, and weathering. The particles were analysed with two RIMS instruments: resonant-laser secondary neutral mass spectrometry (rL-SNMS) at the Institute for Radiation Protection and Radioecology (IRS) in Hannover, Germany, and laser ionization of neutrals (LION) at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) in Livermore, USA. Comparable results across instruments show a range of burnup dependent isotope ratios for U and Pu and Cs, characteristic of RBMK-type reactors. Results for Rb, Ba and Sr show the influence of the environment, retention of Cs in the particles and time passed since fuel discharge.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Formation of uranium nitride nanoparticles via mechanical alloying of uranium-molybdenum alloy fuels in gaseous nitrogen

Uranium-molybdenum (U-Mo) alloys show promise as a nuclear fuel system due to their high thermal conductivity and fuel loading capability. However, U-Mo systems are susceptible to irradiation induced swelling ultimately affecting the cladding via mechanical and chemical interactions. To address these shortcomings, this research investigated the formation of uranium mononitride (UN) nanoparticles within a 90 wt% U/10 wt% Mo (U-10Mo) matrix to act as a prospective defect sink for fission products at nanometric hetero-interfaces. To promote the formation of UN, U-10Mo powders were mechanically alloyed under a high purity nitrogen atmosphere. Variations of the milling process investigated included media size, duration of milling, and number of times the milling jar was re-aerated with nitrogen gas. Characterization of the fuel microstructure was completed using light element analysis, X-ray diffraction, scanning and transmission-electron microscopy, electron energy loss spectroscopy, and atom probe tomography. UN nanoparticles measuring 1–5 nm in radius were observed in the U-Mo matrix as early as 1 h into the mechanical alloying process. Milling time in excess of 10 h was found to lead to deleterious effects induced by the stainless-steel milling media.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Interface Problem Formulation Improvements with Application to Nuclear Fuel Performance Analysis

The U.S. Department of Energy’s Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation Program aims to develop predictive capabilities by applying computational methods to the analysis and design of advanced reactor and fuel cycle systems. This program has been providing engineering scale support for the development of BISON, a high-fidelity and high-resolution fuel performance tool. This report documents new developments and robustness improvements in mechanical and thermal (gap heat transfer) contact formulations. The improvements range from the migration of industrial level (“assessment”) nuclear fuel model setups to the usage of mortar formulations, the addition of frictional contact to one-dimensional layered representations of fuel and cladding components, and the addition of the Petrov-Galerkin approach to dual mortar, which improves performance on curved, relatively coarse meshes. In addition, the Lagrange-multiplier enforcement of mechanical mortar contact constraints has been extended to two additional types of enforcement: penalty and augmented Lagrange-Uzawa. We show that the latter approach yields the same interface results as dual mortar in the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment, with the advantage of not worsening the condition number of the system matrix—thereby enabling the use of some general implementations of iterative preconditioners, at the expense of additional system evaluations (i.e., augmentations).

42 ENGINEERING↗

Comparison between PARFUME and Bison Using the AGR-2 Irradiation Experiment

This report documents comparisons between Fuel Model (PARFUME) model predictions versus Bison for selected compacts from the second irradiation test of the Advanced Gas Reactor (AGR) program that occurred from June 2010 to October 2013 in the Advanced Test Reactor (ATR) at Idaho National Laboratory (INL). PARFUME is a fuel performance analysis and modeling code, used for evaluating gas-reactor tristructural isotropic (TRISO) coated particle fuel for prismatic, pebble bed, plate, and cylindrical type fuel geometries. PARFUME is an integrated mechanistic computer code that evaluates the thermal, mechanical, and physico-chemical behavior of TRISO coated-fuel particles and the probability for fuel failure given the particle-to-particle statistical variations in physical dimensions and material properties that arise during the fuel fabrication process. Bison is a nuclear fuel performance application built using the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) finite element library (Permann 2020). Bison is capable of modeling multiple fuel forms in a wide variety of dimensions and geometries. It solves coupled nonlinear partial differential equations, including heat conduction, mechanics, fission product species transport etc., in a fully implicit manner. Comparisons between PARFUME and Bison were performed using four compacts from the AGR-2 experiment. Selected outputs were chosen based on their impact on the probability of the SiC layer failing. In general there was good agreement between PARFUME and Bison with the exception of predicting the gap formed between the buffer and IPyC. Further comparisons between PARFUME and Bison are planned to further develop Bison’s capabilities.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Adhesion, structure, and mechanical properties of Cr HiPIMS and cathodic arc deposited coatings on SiC

Chromium deposited by high-power impulse magnetron sputtering (HIPIMS) versus cathodic arc (CA) processes exhibits very different mechanical properties. Combining the two can result in a single-phase with superior performance that can be tailored for use in coating SiC for advanced nuclear fuel cladding. Coating morphology, residual stress, elemental depth profiles, and mechanical testing by scratch, pull-off adhesion, and microcantilevers are shown for HiPIMS, CA, and combined coatings. CA coatings were likely to spall and had lower adhesion strength due to tensile residual stresses but had desirable material properties. Additionally, by depositing an initial layer of Cr by HiPIMS followed by a layer of Cr by CA, a more adherent coating was achieved and some of the stress issues with CA morphology were resolved. Combined coatings withstood at least 80 MPa in pull-off adhesion tests and had maximum failure stress values of 5GPa in microcantilever tests. These results were better than either individual deposition method and point to a hybrid approach being a path forward for a more robust coating.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Elemental Analysis of Bio-Oils by Inductively Coupled Plasma Optical Emission Spectroscopy (ICP-OES). Laboratory Analytical Procedure (LAP), Issue Date: May 13, 2022

Concentrations of inorganic elements is a key quality metric for bio-oils as certain elements impact upgrading processes and product quality. Unless reduced or removed during production and processing, alkali and alkaline metals native to lignocellulosic biomass can carry over into bio-oils contributing to ash content and degraded catalyst performance during upgrading to hydrocarbon fuels or chemical products. Non-metallic elements such as sulfur and phosphorus can also negatively impact upgrading catalysts and product quality. Inductively coupled plasma optical emission spectroscopy (ICP-OES) can be used to measure inorganic elements of interest in bio-oils. This procedure covers the preparation and analysis of fast pyrolysis (FP) and catalytic fast pyrolysis (CFP) bio-oils. The concentrations of these elements can indicate potential bio-oil quality from the perspective of deoxygenation processes. The implications of elemental composition will depend on process parameters such as upgrading catalyst sensitivities. This Laboratory Analytical Procedure (LAP) covers two methods for quantification of inorganic elements by ICP-OES: Procedure A uses microwave assisted digestion with concentrated nitric acid, and Procedure B is an organic ICP-OES method utilizing a diglyme solvent.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

MECHANISTIC MULTIPHYSICS MODELING OF CLADDING RUPTURE IN NUCLEAR FUEL RODS DURING LOSS-OF-COOLANT ACCIDENT CONDITIONS

The Loss of Coolant Accident (LOCA) is a design basis accident that is included as part of the safety analysis of nuclear power plants. As the nuclear industry desires to increase the cycle length and discharge burnup of existing nuclear power plants they must demonstrate safe operation during a LOCA on high burnup fuel. During a LOCA transient on high burnup fuel rods, the rods may undergo a process known as fuel fragmentation, relocation, and dispersal (FFRD). To permit dispersal, the cladding encapsulating the fuel must rupture with an opening size large enough to allow the fragmented fuel particles to release. Current licensing tools used by industry and the United States Nuclear Regulatory Commission are limited in geometric fidelity and materials that can be analyzed. These simulation tools generally employ a quasi-two-dimensional (1.5D or Layered1D) or 2D-RZ axisymmetric geometric representations exclusively. While a valid approach under some instances, there are times when important physics have an asymmetric behavior in the fuel rod. Examples include fuel fragmentation, thermal-hydraulic boundary conditions, and cladding rupture, all of which are important for LOCA analysis. As industry pursues burnup extensions it must be demonstrated that fuel dispersal can be mitigated or eliminated. To do this, an understanding of the rupture opening after cladding failure is required. This work presents the development of a model for predicting the size and location of the rupture opening in failed fuel rods during LOCA conditions using advanced modeling and simulation tools. In order to supply the rupture model with appropriate boundary conditions, improvements to fuel fragmentation, axial relocation and oxidation modeling were required. First, the eXtended Finite Element Method (XFEM) is used to mechanistically predict the number of fuel fragments that form due to material strength randomization, criteria for strength randomization, mesh density, power ramping rates and irradiation effects. These predictions with associated uncertainty were compared to empirical correlations developed for UO2 verifying that they can be used with increased confidence in subsequent axial relocation analyses. Secondly, a new first-of-its-kind Layered2D computational framework was developed that provides the ability to apply azimuthally varying boundary conditions while providing discrete layers to track fuel movement during the LOCA. An existing fuel axial relocation model developed for Layered1D was extended to work within the Layered2D framework. A large sensitivity study was performed on the initial version of the model to identify modeling parameters of particular importance, with the emissivity used for radiation after blowdown being the primary source of uncertainty. Then, a simplistic approach to incorporate mechanical degradation of the cladding due to oxidation was also developed to investigate the impact of reduced cladding thickness on predictions of the time to failure of cladding tubes. It was found that the cladding will typically rupture prior to a reduction in thickness that is sufficient to impact the rupture behavior. A model was then developed for predicting cladding rupture that transfers the cladding surface temperatures, rod internal and external pressures, fast neutron fluence, and fast neutron flux from a more detailed Layered1D, Layered2D, or 2D-RZ analysis to a 3D cladding only analysis. Comparisons of the rupture model to a few experiments indicate reasonable predictions. The rupture model was then applied to two accident tolerant fuel concepts (FeCrAl and Cr-coated Zircaloy) where it predicted that both ATF concepts would have smaller rupture openings and delayed rupture times than the standard Zircaloy-4 cladding material under identical loading conditions.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Boosting efficiency and reducing graph reliance: Basis adaptation integration in Bayesian multi-fidelity networks

The computational cost of high-fidelity numerical models makes outer-loop analysis, which requires repeated interrogation of the model such as uncertainty quantification, computationally demanding. Multi-fidelity methods, which construct a surrogate model using data from an ensemble of models of varying cost and accuracy, can substantially reduce the cost of outer-loop analysis. However, these methods can be difficult to apply when the model ensemble does not admit a clear hierarchy a priori and the correlations between models are low. Consequently, in this paper, we present a multi-fidelity method that leverages dimension reduction to enhance the correlation between models, thereby reducing the amount of data needed to train a surrogate from an unordered ensemble of models. Our method utilizes basis adaptation to build low-dimensional polynomial chaos expansions of each model and employs Multi-fidelity Networks to encode the relationships among models. We show that the resulting method exhibit two notable advantages over its counterpart: (1) enhanced accuracy (both reduced bias and variance); and (2) reduced dependency on the graph structure encoding relationships among models. We demonstrate the approach on an analytical test problem and a challenging finite element model for a spent nuclear fuel. Our method produces a surrogate model that is significantly more accurate than either a single-fidelity surrogate or a multi-fidelity surrogate constructed without basis adaptation.

42 ENGINEERING↗