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NASA NTRS2006

Flood and Landslide Applications of High Time Resolution Satellite Rain Products

Experimental, potentially real-time systems to detect floods and landslides related to heavy rain events are described. A key basis for these applications is high time resolution satellite rainfall analyses. Rainfall is the primary cause for devastating floods across the world. However, in many countries, satellite-based precipitation estimation may be the best source of rainfall data due to insufficient ground networks and absence of data sharing along many trans-boundary river basins. Remotely sensed precipitation from the NASA's TRMM Multi-satellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA) operational system (near real-time precipitation at a spatial-temporal resolution of 3 hours and 0.25deg x 0.25deg) is used to monitor extreme precipitation events. Then these data are ingested into a macro-scale hydrological model which is parameterized using spatially distributed elevation, soil and land cover datasets available globally from satellite remote sensing. Preliminary flood results appear reasonable in terms of location and frequency of events, with implementation on a quasi-global basis underway. With the availability of satellite rainfall analyses at fine time resolution, it has also become possible to assess landslide risk on a near-global basis. Early results show that landslide occurrence is closely associated with the spatial patterns and temporal distribution of TRMM rainfall characteristics. Particularly, the number of landslides triggered by rainfall is related to rainfall climatology, antecedent rainfall accumulation, and intensity-duration of rainstorms. For the purpose of prediction, an empirical TMPA-based rainfall intensity-duration threshold is developed and shown to have skill in determining potential areas of landslides. These experimental findings, in combination with landslide surface susceptibility information based on satellite-based land surface information, form a starting point towards a potential operational landslide monitoring/warning system around the globe.

Adler, Robert F.↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Recent Results from Dragonfly Testing/Analysis as we head to PDR

Dragonfly is a relocatable lander mission to Saturn's moon Titan4, which as well as being a target of out-standing astrobiological interest as an organic-rich Ocean World, has the combination of low gravity (1/7 that of Earth) and a thick atmosphere (4x the density of Earth), making it an environment uniquely suitable for flight. Thus, the Dragonfly lander (similar in size to the Curiosity Mars rover) can take off using lift from a set of eight rotors and fly to a new landing site several kilometers away. The ability to perform such flights, lasting approximately 30 minutes, every month or so on Titan brings unprecedented mobility to planetary exploration, on a world known to have a diverse land-scape of dunes, craters and other features. Dragonfly is planned to launch in 2027, and following a nearly seven year interplanetary cruise would arrive at Titan by 2034. Due to the large scale height of the Titan atmosphere, Entry, Descent, and Landing (EDL) will be prolonged affair, taking nearly two hours to reach the surface. The ballistic entry environments that Dragonfly will be subjected to are fairly similar to that experienced by recent Mars missions; peak heating on the aeroshell will be about 300 W/sq.cm and peak deceleration is about 10g’s. Following the five minute entry segment, much of the remaining time is spent descending on the drogue and main para-chutes, which carry the dual role of decelerating the spacecraft and stabilizing the system during the long descent. While on one hand, this leisurely EDL sequence affords a relaxed timeline and plenty of time for event staging, it also provides ample opportunity for small disturbances to grow into potential flight safety risks, adding emphasis to the need for careful modeling, simulation and testing of key dynamic events. About two hours after entering the atmosphere, the nearly one metric ton rotocraft will be lowered approximately one meter out of the backshell (the ‘pose’ maneuver) to expose all eight rotors. The rotors will then be used to arrest any residual spin rate and prepare the system for transition to powered flight. Once despin is complete and the lander reaches a target altitude of 1.2 km above the surface (as verified by on-board lidar), the lander will be released and free fall for approximately one second before beginning controlled free flight. This entire “preparation for powered flight” process takes place over several minutes while the system is subject to the dynamic environment produced by so-called “wrist-mode” oscillations as the lander and backshell swing on the main parachute. Once in free flight, the lander will engage on-board terrain relative navigation to locate and navigate to a safe landing zone in the Shangri-La dune field south of Selk crater. Communication during this sequence will be limited to a series of direct-to-Earth X-band tones signalling key events and providing forensic information. Once on the ground, the lander will begin to send additional information, including data collected during this EDL sequence by the on-board Dragonfly Entry Aerosciences Measurements (DrEAM) instrumentation suite. This presentation will walk through the entry to first landing timeline in more detail, with a focus on recent analysis and testing results that inform system performance, margins and residual risk estimation.

Dragonfly↗

DOE OSTI2022

Comparing generator predictions of transverse kinematic imbalance in neutrino-argon scattering

The largest uncertainties in estimating neutrino-nucleus interaction cross sections lie in the incomplete understanding of nuclear effects. A powerful tool to study nuclear effects is Transverse Kinematic Imbalance. This paper presents the first detailed comparison of the predictions of multiple event generators for distributions associated with Transverse Kinematic Imbalance for neutrino interactions on argon. Predictions for muon neutrinos interacting with an argon target are obtained using four standard neutrino event generation tools (GENIE, NuWro, GiBUU and NEUT). Example opportunities for discrimination between nuclear models leveraging future measurements are highlighted. The predictions shown in this paper are motivated by studying muon neutrinos from the Fermilab Booster Neutrino Beam interacting at the location of the MicroBooNE liquid argon time projection chamber, but the methods directly apply to other accelerator-based liquid argon neutrino experiments such as SBND, ICARUS and DUNE.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2020

An Overview of the State-of-the-Art Reactor Consequence Uncertainty Assessment Accident Progression Insights

The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) with Sandia National Laboratories (Sandia) have completed three uncertainty analyses (UAs) as part of the State-of-the-Art Reactor Consequence Analyses (SOARCA) program. The SOARCA UAs included an integrated evaluation of uncertainty in accident progression, radiological release, and offsite health consequence projections. The UA for Peach Bottom, a boiling-water reactor (BWR) with a Mark I containment located in the State of Pennsylvania, analyzed the unmitigated long-term station blackout SOARCA scenario. The UA for Sequoyah, a 4-loop Westinghouse pressurized-water reactor (PWR) located in the State of Tennessee, analyzed the unmitigated short-term station blackout SOARCA scenario, with a focus on issues unique to the ice condenser containment and the potential for early containment failure due to hydrogen deflagration. The UA for Surry, a 3-loop Westinghouse PWR with a sub-atmospheric large dry containment located in the State of Virginia, analyzed the unmitigated short-term station blackout SOARCA scenario including the potential for thermally-induced steam-generator tube rupture. These three UAs are currently documented in three NUREG/CR reports. This report provides input to planned NRC documentation on the insights and findings from the SOARCA UA program. The purpose of the summary report is to provide a useful reference for regulatory applications that require the evaluation of offsite consequence risk from beyond design basis event severe accidents. This report focuses on the accident progression and source term insights developed from the MELCOR analyses. MELCOR is the NRC's best-estimate, severe accident computer code used in the SOARCA UAs. In anticipation of the SOARCA UA insights work, NRC and Sandia benchmarked the response of the Peach Bottom model to selected reference calculations from the Peach Bottom SOARCA UA. Peach Bottom was the first SOARCA UA performed and was completed in 2015 using the MELCOR 1.8.6 code. The PWR SOARCA UAs evolved the original methodology and utilized the updated MELCOR 2.2 computer code. The Peach Bottom model has been systematically updated for other NRC research efforts and has been updated to MELCOR 2.2. computer code. The findings from the new reference calculations using the updated model with the MELCOR 2.2 code are also integrated into the report. A second objective is an assessment of the applicability of the results to the other nuclear reactors in the U.S. As the key findings are reviewed, judgments are presented on the applicability of the results to other U.S. nuclear power plants. An important objective of the SOARCA program relied on high- fidelity plant-specific modeling. However, the nature of the insights and conclusions allowed judgements to be made on the applicability of the various insights to the same general classification of plant (i.e., BWR or PWR) or the entire fleet of plants. Finally, the results from the SOARCA UA accident progression calculations contain a wealth of information not previously documented in the NUREG/CRs. This report includes new but related information that can be used to benchmark past or support future regulatory decisions related to severe accidents. The new work includes a benchmark of the NUREG-1465 licensing source term definitions, the variability of key accident progression events and timing to radionuclide release, and an improved understanding of the timing and source terms from consequential steam generator tube ruptures. iii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The Sandia authors gratefully acknowledge the significant technical and programmatic contributions from the NRC SOARCA team which are reflected throughout the report. Dr. Tina Ghosh has been involved throughout the SOARCA UAs, providing the primary managerial and technical oversight. The long lists of NRC and Sandia contributors from the SOARCA UAs are cited in the three NUREG/CRs and are also gratefully acknowledged by the small team of authors compiling the results of their efforts. Significant technical contributions, advice, and reviews were provided by Dr. Hossein Esmaili, Dr. Alfred Hathaway, and Dr. Edward Fuller (retired) of the NRC. Dr. Randal Gauntt (retired), Mr. Patrick Mattie, Mr. Joseph Jones (retired), and Dr. Doug Osborn from Sandia are recognized as the SOARCA UA managers guiding the past efforts. There is a comparable list of project managers at the NRC including Ms. Patricia Santiago, Dr. Salman Haq, and Mr. Jon Barr. Sadly, we have lost Mr. Charlie Tinkler and Mr. Robert Prato, who were important contributors to the original SOARCA project. Finally, Mr. Kyle Ross and Mr. Mark Leonard have also retired but were significant technical contributors. Mr. Kyle Ross was the technical lead on all three SOARCA UAs and the original pressurized water reactor SOARCA study. Mr. Leonard was the technical lead on the original boiling water reactor SOARCA study and a key contributor to the first Peach Bottom SOARCA UA. iv

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Radar-derived precipitation climatology for wind turbine blade leading edge erosion

Wind turbine blade leading edge erosion (LEE) is a potentially significant source of revenue loss for wind farm operators. Thus, it is important to advance understanding of the underlying causes, to generate geospatial estimates of erosion potential to provide guidance in pre-deployment planning, and ultimately to advance methods to mitigate this effect and extend blade lifetimes. This study focuses on the second issue and presents a novel approach to characterizing the erosion potential across the contiguous USA based solely on publicly available data products from the National Weather Service dual-polarization radar. The approach is described in detail and illustrated using six locations distributed across parts of the USA that have substantial wind turbine deployments. Results from these locations demonstrate the high spatial variability in precipitation-induced erosion potential, illustrate the importance of low-probability high-impact events to cumulative annual total kinetic energy transfer and emphasize the importance of hail as a damage vector.

Letson, Frederick (ORCID:0000000192750359)↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Dose-Response Data Considerations for the NASA Quesst Community Test Campaign

Key outcomes for NASA's Quesst mission are noise dose and perceptual response data to inform regulators on their decisions regarding noise certification standards for the future of overland commercial supersonic flight. Dose-response curves are commonly utilized in community noise studies to describe the annoyance of a community to a particular noise source. The X-59 aircraft utilizes shaped-boom technology to demonstrate low noise supersonic flight. For X-59 community studies, the sound level from X-59 overflights constitutes the dose, while the response is an annoyance rating selected from a verbal scale, e.g., “slightly annoyed” and “very annoyed.” Dose-response data will be collected from individual flyovers (single event dose) and an overall response to the accumulation of single events at the end of the day (cumulative dose). There are quantifiable sources of error in the noise dose due to uncertainty in microphone measurements of the sonic thumps and uncertainty in predicted noise levels at survey participant locations. Assessing and accounting for error in the noise dose is essential to obtain an accurate dose-response model. There is also a potential for error in the perceptual response. This error is due to the ability of participants to provide their response in a timely manner and participant fatigue after responding to up to one hundred surveys over the course of a month. This talk outlines various challenges in estimating noise dose and perceptual response and the methods considered in preparation for X-59 community tests.

dose-response↗

DOE OSTI2025

Electrodermal activity as a proxy for sweat rate monitoring during physical and mental activities

Electrodermal activity has long been used for mental activity monitoring by measuring skin conductance at specific locations, such as fingertips, with high sweat gland density. However, electrodermal activity has not been considered useful for physical activity monitoring, where large sweat volumes are generated, resulting in the accumulation of sweat at the skin–electrode interface and, thus, preventing further dynamic response to sweating events. Here we show that electrodermal activity can be used as a proxy for sweat loss measurement under both low and high physical activity levels. We use wearable sweat sensors that consist of water-permeable electrodes and microfluidic-based sweat analysers, and show that skin conductance is proportional to the instantaneous sweat loss. We demonstrate that sweat loss during exercise can be estimated by integrating skin conductance over time, which can be applied to assess the body hydration status of exercisers. From multisite measurements of skin conductance, we show that the wrist, forearm and upper arm are reflective of physical activity levels, whereas the finger is indicative of mental activity. Simultaneous measurement of two different sites selectively decouples mental and physical activities.

Biomedical engineering↗

NASA NTRS1985

The Nagoya cosmic-ray muon spectrometer 3, part 2: Track detector

The twelve wide gap spark chambers were utilized as the track detectors of the Nagoya cosmic-ray muon spectrometer not only to obtain the precise locations of particles, but also to get some information about the correspondences between segments of trajectories. The area of each chamber is 150 x 70 sq cm and the width of a gap is 5 cm. The gas used is He at the atmospheric pressure. Each three pairs of them are placed on both sides of the deflection magnet. All images of sparks for each event are projected through the mirror system and recorded by two cameras stereoscopically. The mean detection efficiency of each chamber is 95 + or - 2% and the spacial resolution (jitter and drift) obtained from the prototype-experiment is 0.12 mm. Maximum detectable momentum of the spectrometer is estimated at about 10 TeV/c taking into account these characteristics together with the effects of the energy loss and multiple Coulomb scattering of muons in the iron magnet.

Shibata, S.↗

NASA NTRS1991

Modeling the growth phase of a substorm using the Tsyganenko model and multi-spacecraft observations - CDAW-9

The CDAW-9 Event C focused upon the early part of 3 May 1986 when a large substorm onset occurred at 0111 UT. By modifying the Tsyganenko 1989 magnetic field model, a model is constructed in which the near-earth current systems are enhanced with time to describe the observed development of the tail magnetic field during the growth phase. The cross-tail current intensity and the thickness of the current sheet are determined by comparison with three spacecraft in the near-earth tail. The location of the auroral bulge as recorded by the Viking imager is mapped to the equatorial current sheet. The degree of chaotization of the thermal electrons is estimated, and the consequences to the tail stability towards on tearing are discussed. It is concluded that the mapping of the brightening region in the auroral oval corresponds to the regions in the tail where the current sheet may be unstable towards ion tearing.

Pulkkinen, T. I.↗

DOE OSTI2021

Dissipation in the magnetic turbulence of reversed field pinch plasmas

Reversed field pinch plasmas are subject to tearing instability that creates a broad spectrum of magnetic fluctuations. The dominant fluctuations have poloidal and toroidal mode numbers (m,n) = (1,6 - 10) and can grow to 2 - 3% of the mean magnetic field. Through non-linear coupling this growth culminates in a strong reconnection event and broadening of the magnetic spectrum extending to the ion gyroradius scale. Multiple developments occur during the reconnection stage: ions and electrons are energized, magnetic fluctuation amplitudes increase, plasma flow is halted, and the toroidal magnetic flux increases in a sawtooth-like fashion as the RFP dynamo becomes stronger. Magnetic fluctuations are measured in the plasma edge at multiple radial locations from r/a = 0.75 to 0.96 to assess and characterize the magnetic turbulence. The measured spectrum perpendicular to the mean field, S(k ⊥ ), can be fit to a model spectrum consisting of power law and exponential component with one free parameter that characterizes dissipation. The measured dissipation is much larger than estimated from classical viscous or resistive dissipation, but it is consistent with a flow damping measurement of anomalous viscosity. The measurements show an evolution of the spectrum during which fluctuation power builds up in the smallest wavenumbers and cascades to the larger wavenumber due to the non-linear coupling between the linear (m,n) = (1, > 6) and the non-linear (m,n) = (0, 1) tearing mo

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Measuring dark neutrinos and light using external and internal components of LArTPCs

The so-called MiniBooNE low-energy excess has been a long-standing questionfor beyond Standard Model (BSM) physics in the neutrino field. The ShortBaseline Neutrino (SBN) program was proposed to investigate and provide furtherinsights into this excess. The SBN program utilises Liquid Argon Time ProjectionChamber (LArTPC) technology, which allows for precise measurements of neutrinointeractions and holds great potential for addressing significant open questions inthe field. Within the SBN program, the Short Baseline Near Detector (SBND) plays acrucial role as one of the near detector, positioned just 110 meters from the neutrinosource. Being located on the surface, SBND is exposed to cosmic-ray background,and to mitigate this, the Cosmic Ray Tagger (CRT) system has been implemented toidentify and veto cosmic background events, thereby enhancing the purity of neutrinointeractions. Additionally, the CRT system can be used to search for BSM signatures,such as the dark neutrinos, which have been proposed to explain the MiniBooNElow-energy excess. This thesis presents a novel approach for searching for darkneutrinos using existing SBND CRT data, collected with a unique setup called theCRT Beam Telescope. An extended model-independent search based on the darkneutrino analysis is also presented. The sensitivity plot for the CRT Beam Telescopeis compared with an estimated MiniBooNE exclusion limit. Furthermore, this thesiscovers the commissioning work conducted for the SBND CRT system, which is vitalfor ensuring optimal performance. The LArTPC technology also benefits from liquidargon’s excellent scintillation properties, producing abundant scintillation light. Thisthesis describes a method developed to understand the detector response to thescintillation light produced across the LArTPC, enhancing our understanding of thedetector’s performance and facilitating more accurate measurements.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

NASA NTRS1996

Evidence of Boundary Reflection of Kelvin and First-Mode Rossby Waves from Topex/Poseidon Sea Level Data

The TOPEX/POSEIDON sea level data lead to new opportunities to investigate some theoretical mechanisms suggested to be involved in the El Nino-Southern Oscillation phenomenon in the tropical Pacific ocean. In particular, we are interested in studying the western boundary reflection, a process crucial for the delayed action oscillator theory, by using the TOPEX/POSEIDON data from November 1992 to May 1995. We first projected the sea level data onto Kelvin and first-mode Ross waves. Then we estimated the contribution of wind forcing to these waves by using a single baroclinic mode simple wave model forced by the ERS-1 wind data. Wave propagation was clearly observed with amplitudes well explained by the wind forcing in the ocean interior. Evidence of wave reflection was detected at both the western and eastern boundaries of the tropical Pacific ocean. At the eastern boundary, Kelvin waves were seen to reflect as first-mode Rossby waves during the entire period. The reflection efficiency (in terms of wave amplitude) of the South American coasts was estimated to be 80% of that of an infinite meridional wall. At the western boundary, reflection was observed in April-August 1993, in January-June 1994, and, later, in December 1994 to February 1995. Although the general roles of these reflection events in the variability observed in the equatorial Pacific ocean are not clear, the data suggest that the reflections in January-June 1994 have played a role in the onset of the warm conditions observed in late 1994 to early 1995. Indeed, during the January-June 1994 period, as strong downwelling first-mode Rossby waves reflected into downwelling Kelvin waves, easterly wind and cold sea surface temperature anomalies located near the date line weakened and eventually reversed in June-July 1994. The presence of the warm anomalies near the date line then favored convection and westerly wind anomalies that triggered strong downwelling Kelvin waves propagating throughout the basin simultaneously with the beginning of the 1994-1995 warm conditions.

Boulanger, Jean-Philippe↗

DOE OSTI2026

Discovery of a nearby radio relic in the low-mass, merging cluster Abell 4067

Shock waves generated during cluster mergers offer a powerful probe of how large-scale structure grows and evolves in the Universe. As part of the MeerKAT-South Pole Telescope (SPT) survey, we report the discovery of a single arc-like radio relic in the galaxy cluster Abell 4067 ($z=0.099$), one of the lowest-mass clusters known to host such a structure. MeerKAT UHF-band (0.58–1.09 GHz) observations reveal a relic with a largest linear size of $\sim 1.48\pm 0.02$ Mpc, located at a projected distance of 0.95 Mpc from the cluster centre. XMM–Newton X-ray data show that the relic’s position and orientation relative to the intracluster medium (ICM) elongation are consistent with a merger-driven shock-wave scenario. The relic has an estimated radio power of $3.10\pm 0.03\times 10^{24}$ W Hz$^{-1}$ at 150 MHz. When placed in the $P_{150\, \mathrm{MHz}}$–$M_{500}$ scaling relation, the Abell 4067 relic appears less luminous compared to relics in more massive clusters, suggesting an association with weak merger shocks. This finding supports the idea that relics in low-mass clusters may form through less energetic merger events, leading to weak merger shocks. The latter is supported by the absence of a detectable central radio halo in Abell 4067, which reinforces the idea that luminous radio haloes are not a universal outcome of cluster mergers and highlights the role of cluster mass, merger energetics, and evolutionary stage in shaping diffuse radio emission in the ICM.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2020

Multichannel Deconvolution of Vibrational Shock Signals: An Inverse Filtering Approach

When transporting critical systems of national security interest, out-of-the ordinary, impulsive events that can potentially be undetected and affect overall system performance are of great concern. Impulsive events that can occur are essentially pulse-like, transient signals of short duration that evolve from various phenomena. Here the event can be created by either the dropping of a test object, the system, subjecting it to a compact high-energy blow or being struck unintentionally during transit resulting in potential damage. The intensity and location of the strike can cause an inoperability condition that is unacceptable in a national security environment. Therefore, it is essential to detect, classify and localize damage of any test object subjected to an impulsive-event. This effort was targeted to evaluate the vibrational response of test objects that are subjected to “transport” shocks and roadway vibrations during shipping and handling. Any potential damage that could be inflicted during transportation must not only be detected, but also be evaluated to determine the operational readiness of a test object before and after transport. This event is a critical task that must be addressed as part of the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL) national security mission. The estimation of excitation signals from noisy data is termed the deconvolution problem in the signal processing literature. The deconvolution problem is based on recovering the input excitation signal from a system characterized by its impulse response sequence. Using this model of the system, an “inverse” representation or filter is developed to remove the system from the measured data and recover the input. Deconvolution techniques have existed for a long-time; however, transient deconvolution presents a few uncommon problems, since the signal has a finite-length time duration resulting in a limited amount of data containing information about the excitation process. The transient is wideband in the frequency domain relative to any measurement sensor implying that the smaller bandwidth sensor system “filters” the excitation eliminating some of its essential information for recovery. This fact, coupled with the filtering effect of the test object itself makes this excitation recovery (deconvolution) problem a challenge for signal processing.

42 ENGINEERING↗

NASA NTRS2015

Cost-Effective Icy Bodies Exploration using Small Satellite Missions

It has long been known that Saturn's moon Enceladus is expelling water-rich plumes into space, providing passing spacecraft with a window into what is hidden underneath its frozen crust. Recent discoveries indicate that similar events could also occur on other bodies in the solar system, such as Jupiter's moon Europa and the dwarf planet Ceres in the asteroid belt. These plumes provide a possible giant leap forward in the search for organics and assessing habitability beyond Earth, stepping stones toward the long-term goal of finding extraterrestrial life. The United States Congress recently requested mission designs to Europa, to fit within a cost cap of $1B, much less than previous mission designs' estimates. Here, innovative cost-effective small spacecraft designs for the deep-space exploration of these icy worlds, using new and emerging enabling technologies, and how to explore the outer solar system on a budget below the cost horizon of a flagship mission, are investigated. Science requirements, instruments selection, rendezvous trajectories, and spacecraft designs are some topics detailed. The mission concepts revolve around a comparably small-sized and low-cost Plume Chaser spacecraft, instrumented to characterize the vapor constituents encountered on its trajectory. In the event that a plume is not encountered, an ejecta plume can be artificially created by a companion spacecraft, the Plume Maker, on the target body at a location timed with the passage of the Plume Chaser spacecraft. Especially in the case of Ceres, such a mission could be a great complimentary mission to Dawn, as well as a possible future Europa Clipper mission. The comparably small volume of the spacecraft enables a launch to GTO as a secondary payload, providing multiple launch opportunities per year. Plume Maker's design is nearly identical to the Plume Chaser, and fits within the constraints for a secondary payload launch. The cost-effectiveness of small spacecraft missions enables the exploration of multiple solar system bodies in reasonable timeframes despite budgetary constraints, with only minor adaptations. The work presented here is a summary of concepts targeting icy bodies, such as Europa and Ceres, which have been developed over the last year at NASA Ames Research Center's Mission Design Division. The platforms detailed in this work are also applicable to the cost-effective exploration of many other small icy bodies in the solar system.

Mission Design↗

DOE OSTI2020

Sedimentary Geothermal Resources in Nevada, Utah, Colorado, and Texas

The objectives of this project were to (1) perform a literature review of sedimentary geothermal resources, (2) identify data sources and develop data-collection methodologies that characterize selected resources, (3) screen sedimentary basins and formations for sedimentary geothermal potential, and (4) evaluate the technical feasibility of one or more selected locations. Numerous publications have characterized geothermal resources within sedimentary basins. A literature search reviewed publications describing resources located in Colorado, Louisiana, Nevada, Texas, Utah, and Wyoming. The most attractive resources have high temperature gradients, low drilling costs, and reservoir permeabilities greater than 10 millidarcies (mD). Prospects in Colorado, Nevada, Texas, and Utah exhibit attractive characteristics and were chosen for further analysis. Sedimentary resources in Nevada and Utah are most attractive, followed by tested resources in Texas and untested resources in Colorado. The identified resources in Wyoming and Louisiana had lower geothermal gradients and were not evaluated. Reservoir modeling and techno-economic analysis were performed at Marys River Basin–North in Nevada. Geothermal energy production at this location is expected to have a levelized cost of energy (LCOE) ranging between 10 and 20 cents/kWh. Additional work may result in lower LCOE estimates at this location and at other attractive prospects in these three regions. The Great Basin carbonate and alluvial aquifer system of eastern Nevada and western Utah includes a lower carbonate aquifer unit, which has the potential for hosting both conduction- and convection-dominated geothermal systems. Mapping has identified lateral thickness variability expressed as a roughly 120–150-km-wide central corridor, which hosts the thickest and most continuous formations and extends from near Las Vegas north to the Idaho border. Purchase and analysis of privately held legacy seismic data could potentially compensate for the lack of sufficient data documenting measured depth to the lower carbonate aquifer unit. Multiple orogenies, extension episodes, and intrusive events have deformed and displaced the target formations of the lower carbonate aquifer unit. This structural complexity and potential for dipping reservoirs emphasizes the need for detailed geological, geophysical, and reservoir modeling. Heat flow within three Colorado sedimentary basins reviewed as part of this study was calculated in targeted studies by the Colorado Geologic Survey and Colorado School of Mines. These calculations are based on bottom-hole temperature data sets with significant limitations and some variability but produce values consistently higher than the global continental average of 65 mW/m2 for all three basins. Heat flow in the Raton Basin is the highest; however, permeability measurements from specific sedimentary formations with high heat flow have not been obtained. Promising formations for sedimentary geothermal systems were found in all three regions studied—Nevada-Utah, Colorado, and Texas. The next steps for developing sedimentary geothermal resources vary due to differences in available data and resource uncertainties. Additional scopes of work are recommended for identified basins in these three regions.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Graph-based Simulation Framework for Power Resilience Estimation and Enhancement

The increasing frequency of extreme weather events poses significant risks to power distribution systems, leading to widespread outages and severe economic and social consequences. This paper presents a novel simulation framework for assessing and enhancing the resilience of power distribution networks under such conditions. Resilience is estimated through Monte Carlo simulations, which simulate extreme weather scenarios and evaluate the impact on infrastructure fragility. Due to the proprietary nature of power network topology, a distribution network is synthesized using publicly available data. To generate the weather scenarios, an extreme weather generation method is developed. To enhance resilience, renewable resources such as solar panels and energy storage systems (batteries in this study) are incorporated. A customized Genetic Algorithm is proposed to determine the optimal locations and capacities for solar panels and battery installations, maximizing resilience while balancing cost constraints. Experiment results demonstrate that on a large-scale synthetic distribution network with more than 300,000 nodes and 300,000 edges, the proposed framework can efficiently evaluate the resilience, and enhance the resilience through the installations of distributed energy resources (DERs), providing utilities with valuable insights for community-level power system resilience estimation and enhancement.

Wang, Xuesong [Wayne State Univ., Detroit, MI (Uni↗

DOE OSTI2020

Optimizing long-term monitoring of radiation air-dose rates after the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant

Radiation air dose rates near the Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant (FDNPP) have been steadily decreasing over the past eight years since the release of radioactive elements in March 2011. Currently, the radiation monitoring program is expected to transition to long-term monitoring after most of the remediation activities are completed. The main long-term monitoring objectives are to (1) confirm the continuing reduction of contaminant and hazard levels, (2) provide assurance for the public, (3) accumulate the basic datasets for scientific knowledge and future preparation, and (4) detect changes or anomalies in contaminant mobility (if they occur), or any unexpected processes or events. In this work, we have developed a methodology for optimizing the monitoring locations of radiation air dose-rate monitoring. Our approach consists of three steps in order to determine monitoring locations in a systematic manner: (1) prioritizing the critical locations, such as schools or regulatory requirement locations, (2) diversifying locations that cover the key environmental controls that are known to influence contaminant mobility and distributions, and (3) capturing the heterogeneity of radiation air-dose rates across the domain. Therefore, for the second step, we use a Gaussian mixture model to identify the representative locations among multiple environmental variables, such as elevation and land-cover types. For the third step, we use a Gaussian process model to capture and estimate the heterogeneity of air-dose rates across the domain. Employing an integrated dose-rate map derived from Bayesian geostatistical methods as a reference map, we distribute the monitoring locations in such a way as to capture the heterogeneity of the reference map. Our results have shown that this approach allows us to select monitoring locations in a systematic manner such that the heterogeneity of air dose rates is captured by the minimal number of monitoring locations.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗