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At least 307 records · Page 17

Opportunities for Earth Observation to Inform Risk Management for Ocean Tipping Points

Abstract As climate change continues, the likelihood of passing critical thresholds or tipping points increases. Hence, there is a need to advance the science for detecting such thresholds. In this paper, we assess the needs and opportunities for Earth Observation (EO, here understood to refer to satellite observations) to inform society in responding to the risks associated with ten potential large-scale ocean tipping elements: Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation; Atlantic Subpolar Gyre; Beaufort Gyre; Arctic halocline; Kuroshio Large Meander; deoxygenation; phytoplankton; zooplankton; higher level ecosystems (including fisheries); and marine biodiversity. We review current scientific understanding and identify specific EO and related modelling needs for each of these tipping elements. We draw out some generic points that apply across several of the elements. These common points include the importance of maintaining long-term, consistent time series; the need to combine EO data consistently with in situ data types (including subsurface), for example through data assimilation; and the need to reduce or work with current mismatches in resolution (in both directions) between climate models and EO datasets. Our analysis shows that developing EO, modelling and prediction systems together, with understanding of the strengths and limitations of each, provides many promising paths towards monitoring and early warning systems for tipping, and towards the development of the next generation of climate models.

Wood, Richard A. (ORCID:0000000239609513)↗

Deformability of Oxide Inclusions in Tire Cord Steels

The deformation of oxide inclusions in tire cord steels during hot rolling was analyzed, and the factors influencing their deformability at high and low temperatures were evaluated and discussed. The aspect ratio of oxide inclusions decreased with the increasing reduction ratio of the steel during hot rolling owing to the fracture of the inclusions. The aspect ratio obtained after the first hot-rolling process was used to characterize the high-temperature deformability of the inclusions. The deformation first increased and then decreased with the increasing (MgO + Al{sub 2}O{sub 3})/(SiO{sub 2} + MnO) ratio of the inclusions. It also increased with the decreasing melting temperatures of the inclusions. Young’s modulus was used to evaluate the low-temperature deformability of the inclusions. An empirical formula was fitted to calculate the Young’s moduli of the oxides using the mean atomic volume. The moduli values of the inclusions causing wire fracture were significantly greater than the average. To reduce fracture in tire cord steel wires during cold drawing, it is proposed that inclusions be controlled to those with high SiO{sub 2} content and extremely low Al{sub 2}O{sub 3} content. This proposal is based on the hypothesis that the deformabilities of oxides during cold drawing are inversely proportional to their Young’s moduli. The future study thus proposed includes an experimental confirmation for the abovementioned predictions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

A Comparative Study on Formability of the Third-Generation Automotive Medium-Mn Steel and 22MnB5 Steel

Third-generation advanced automotive medium-Mn steel, which can replace 22MnB5 steel, was newly developed to improve the lightweight and crashworthiness of automobile. Studies on the formability and simulation method of medium-Mn steel have just been initiated. In this study, finite element simulation models of square-cup deep drawing were established based on various material property experiments and validated by experiments. The effects of blank holder force (BHF), fillet radii of tools (die and punch) on the maximum drawing depth (MDD), thickness distribution of the formed products, and the microstructure before and after forming were investigated and compared with those on 22MnB5 steel. Results show that the MDD of the two steels decreased with increased BHF but increased with the fillet radius of punch; however, the fillet radius of die showed no significant effect on the MDD for both steels. Compared with hot-formed 22MnB5 steel, the martensitic transformation of the hot-formed medium-Mn steel is rarely influenced by the process parameters; thus, it holds the complete, fine-grained, and uniform martensitic microstructure. Moreover, the medium-Mn has better formability, lower initial blank temperature, and smaller impact of BHF and fillet radius of tools on the hot-formed product. Thus, a theoretical basis for the replacement of 22MnB5 steel by medium-Mn steel in hot forming process is provided.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Effects of Chromium Additions upon Microstructure and Mechanical Properties of Cold Drawn Pearlitic Steel Wires

Cr-containing pearlitic steel wires were prepared through cold drawing and simulated galvanization process. Effect of chromium microalloying on microstructural and mechanical properties of the steel wires was investigated. Experimental results show that size of pearlitic colonies of the steel rods decreased as Cr content increased from 0.2 to 0.6 wt.%; meanwhile, interlamellar spacing was little affected because of isothermal phase transition in salt bath. The tensile strength of the pearlitic steel rods was increased from 1480 to 1550 MPa. The tensile strength of the Cr-containing cold drawn wires (ε = 1.58) was increased about 33%, and the torsion circle of the wires were about 15 with cleavage fracture. After annealing at 450 °C for 2 min, tensile strength of the wires increased, but torsion circle was decreased to less than 5. As the annealing time increased, the torsion circle of the steel wires with 0.2 wt.% Cr was improved to about 10 with cleavage fracture, while the torsion performance of the wires having high Cr contents remained low because of delamination fracture. The cementite platelets in Cr-containing wires turned into cementite crystal particles during cold drawing. Microstructure observation and thermal analysis have confirmed that thermal stability of cementite was enhanced with the increase of Cr content.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Post-forming Room Temperature Brittle Fracture in a High-Strength Low-Alloy Steel Sheet After Various Forming Modes

The effects of various sheet forming modes on the post-forming room temperature fracture behavior of a 550-MPa yield strength high-strength low-alloy (HSLA) steel are investigated. In-plane biaxial stretching, plane strain (cold rolling), uniaxial tension, cylindrical cup drawing, and in-plane compression (IPC) are examined up to a von Mises effective prestrain ε{sub eff} = 0.7. Most of the results pertain to sub-size Charpy-type impact specimens prepared from the prestrained material. After sufficiently large prestrains, the fracture behavior is highly anisotropic. Low-energy fracture modes, namely cleavage and intergranular fracture, occur after all modes of prestraining along plane directions that are perpendicular to the principal compressive prestrain. These planes are parallel to the sheet surface after biaxial stretching and cold rolling and correspond to brittle splits extending into the primary, ductile fracture surface. After cup drawing, the brittle planes are oriented perpendicular to the circumferential compressive prestrain. This results in very low energy fractures propagating in the length direction of a fully drawn cup. After in-plane compression, brittle fracture occurs along planes that are perpendicular to the compression direction. The fracture toughness for a crack propagating along such a plane after IPC to ε{sub eff} = 0.38 was very low (12.7 MPa √m), much lower than in the undeformed condition (247 MPa√m). Changes in grain shape and in crystallographic texture caused by the various prestraining modes, as well as the microstructural damage at non-metallic inclusions and carbides, are examined to try to understand the fracture behavior.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

High-entropy Al 0.3 CoCrFeNi alloy fibers with high tensile strength and ductility at ambient and cryogenic temperatures

High-entropy alloys (HEAs) are multi-component systems based on novel alloy composition designs with entropy maximization. They feature an array of unique mechanical properties when compared with traditional alloys. In this study, HEA fibers with diameters ranging from 1 to 3.15 mm in diameter, with the composition of Al 0.3 CoCrFeNi (atomic percent, at.%), were successfully fabricated by hot-drawing, followed by microstructural characterization using scanning-electron microscopy (SEM) and transmission-electron microscopy (TEM). The compositional variations within and between fibers were determined using energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy in TEM along with atomic-probe tomography (APT). These analyses revealed a homogeneous face-centered cubic (FCC) structure in the as-cast material, while post processing (e.g., forging and wire drawing) produced nanosized B2 particles in an FCC matrix. Electron back-scatter diffraction (EBSD) was used to determine the evolution of the texture and grain boundary character after processing of the fibers. The tensile strength and plasticity of the fibers were determined at both 298 K (1207 MPa/7.8%) and 77 K (1600 MPa/17.5%). Detailed TEM analyses revealed that the improvement of mechanical properties at 77 K (i.e. increased strength and ductility) is due to a change in deformation mechanisms from the planar slip of dislocations to nano-twinning. Such properties could be beneficial for cryogenic applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Black carbon emissions in Russia: A critical review

Russia has a particularly important role regarding black carbon (BC) emissions given the extent of its territory above the Arctic Circle, where BC emissions have a particularly pronounced effect on the climate. This study presents a comprehensive review of BC estimates from a range of studies. We assess underlying methodologies and data sources for each major emissions source based on their level of detail, accuracy and extent to which they represent current conditions. We then present reference values for each major emissions source. In the case of flaring, the study presents new estimates drawing on data on Russian associated petroleum gas and the most recent satellite data on flaring. We also present estimates of organic carbon (OC) for each source, either based on the reference studies or from our own calculations. In addition, the study provides uncertainty estimates for each source. Total BC emissions are estimated at 689 Gg in 2014, with an uncertainty range between (407-1,416), while OC emissions are 9,228 Gg (with uncertainty between 5,595 and 14,728). Wildfires dominated and contributed about 83% of the total BC emissions, however the effect on radiative forcing is mitigated by OC emissions. We also present an adjusted estimate of Arctic forcing from Russian OC and BC emissions. In recent years, Russia has pursued policies to reduce flaring and limit particulate emissions from on-road transport, both of which appear to significantly contribute to the lower emissions and forcing values found in this study.

Black carbon↗

Machine learning modeling and model predictive control of a closed-circuit reverse osmosis system

Closed-circuit reverse osmosis (CCRO) offers a flexible and energy-efficient alternative to conventional reverse osmosis by operating in a semi-batch mode that recycles brine, enabling higher recovery rates and reduced specific energy consumption (SEC). However, developing accurate, system-level dynamic models for CCRO remains challenging due to its nonlinear, multi-phase operation and sensitivity to variable feed water conditions. Traditional modeling approaches, such as NARMAX (nonlinear autoregressive moving average with exogenous inputs), often struggle to generalize across varying inlet feed concentrations, necessitating frequent parameter re-estimation and limiting their utility for real-time control applications. To address these limitations, we developed a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network model trained on an extensive experimental data set from a CCRO pilot plant. The model accepts three inputs, feed flow rate, recirculation flow rate, and initial feed conductivity, and predicts three key outputs: reject conductivity, feed pump power draw, and recirculation pump power draw. We validated the LSTM model against experimental data, demonstrating its ability to distinguish between different feed conductivities and adapt to variable flow rates. Subsequently, we incorporated the LSTM model within a nonlinear model predictive control (MPC) scheme and conducted closed-loop simulations to optimize the integrated SEC (iSEC). In conclusion, the results project up to a 6% reduction in iSEC by using MPC to optimize performance over the entire experiment duration, without requiring any random excitation for data collection or parameter re-estimation.

Desalination↗

Polyacrylonitrile nanocomposite fibers from acrylonitrile-grafted carbon nanofibers

For the first time, uniform distribution of surface functionalized carbon nanofibers (CNFs) has been achieved in low molecular weight (≈120,000 g/mol) textile grade-polyacrylonitrile (PAN)-based composite filaments. Furthermore, surface grafting of CNFs with acrylonitrile enhances the dispersion of nanofibers in PAN fiber matrix. XPS study reveals high atomic nitrogen content (7%) on the CNF surface due to the grafting reaction. The solution-spun filaments have been characterized for distribution of CNFs in the PAN matrix by electron microscopy. PAN composite filaments containing 3.2 wt.% CNF and processed at draw ratio of ≈6.3 exhibit enhanced tensile strength and modulus by more than three folds compared to the control PAN filament. Because of chemically compatible surface modification of the nanofibers, better dispersion and improved mechanical properties were accomplished in the reinforced PAN fibers. This should then allow the production of CNF reinforced carbon fibers with improved tensile properties. An increase in CNF loading (6.4 wt.%), however, reduced performance due to inefficient alignment of CNF along the fiber axis. Nevertheless, hot stretching (at draw ratio ≈ 10) of the filaments enhanced tensile strength and elastic modulus of PAN composite filaments by 20–30% compared to the control hot stretched PAN filaments.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

High performance Nb/TiNi nanocomposites produced by packaged accumulative roll bonding

Taking full advantage of intrinsic high strength of nano-reinforcements has been proven difficult in a composite until the concept of strain matching was experimental verified in a nanowire Nb/TiNi in-situ composite, which was obtained via solidifying eutectic Nb/TiNi and subsequent severe wire drawing. However, the volume fraction of the nano-reinforcement was dictated by eutectic reaction, which severely limited the development of high-performance composites. Here, the martensitic transformation nanocomposites were successfully acquired with increased volume fraction and changeable morphology of the nano-reinforcement through hot packaged ARB (PARB) and subsequent wire drawing. The nano-reinforcement with lamellar configuration in the composite could exhibit a large lattice strain of similar to 3.8%, which demonstrated the applicability and effectiveness of the strain matching principle in nano-lamellar composite. The obtained composites show a yield strength over 2.0 GPa and a quasi-linear elastic strain as larger as similar to 6.5% with adjustable apparent elastic modulus from 30 to 50 GPa.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Computing the QRPA level density with the finite amplitude method

Here, we describe a new algorithm to calculate the vibrational nuclear level density of an atomic nucleus. Fictitious perturbation operators that probe the response of the system are generated by drawing their matrix elements from some probability distribution function. We use the Finite Amplitude Method to explicitly compute the response for each such sample. With the help of the Kernel Polynomial Method, we build an estimator of the vibrational level density and provide the upper bound of the relative error in the limit of infinitely many random samples. The new algorithm can give accurate estimates of the vibrational level density. Since it is based on drawing multiple samples of perturbation operators, its computational implementation is naturally parallel and scales like the number of available processing units.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Meeting the imperative to accelerate environmental bioelectromagnetics research

Highlights: • Concerns mount about adverse health effects of low-level radiofrequency (RF) radiation. • Bioelectronics and environmental RF effects research both need an omics platform. • Standard bioelectromagnetic data models would advance dosimetry and omics work. • Steps toward developing standards and a shared research platform are proposed. In this article, the author draws on his experience in the world of geospatial information technology standards to suggest a path toward acceleration of bioelectromagnetics science. Many studies show biological effects of extremely low frequency (ELF) and radiofrequency (RF) radiation despite that fact that the radiation is too weak to cause temperature changes in biological features. Considered together in worst case scenarios, such effects, many of which appear to have long latencies, could have potentially disastrous consequences for the health and safety of humans and wildlife. Other studies show no such effects, and in both cases, often there are significant research quality deficits that make it difficult to draw firm conclusions from the data. The progress of bioelectromagnetics science is retarded by a lack of standard data models and experimental protocols that could improve the overall quality of research and make it easier for researchers to benefit from omics-related bioinformatics resources. {sup C}ertainty of safety{sup }of wireless devices used in digital communications and remote sensing (radar) is impossible without dosimetry standards that reflect the effects of non-thermal exposures. Electrical signaling in biological systems, a poorly funded research domain, is as biologically important as chemical signaling, a richly funded research domain, and these two types of signaling are inextricably connected. Entreprenuerial scientists pursuing bioelectronic innovations have begun to attract new funding. With appropriate institutional coordination, this new funding could equally benefit those investigating environmental effects of ELF and RF radiation. The author proposes a concerted effort among both bioelectronics technology stakeholders and environmental bioelectromagnetics science researchers to collaborate in developing institutional arrangements and standard data models that would give the science a stronger bioinformatics platform and give researchers better access to omics data. What is proposed here is essentially a bioelectromagnetics omics initiative.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Can developing countries leapfrog the centralized electrification paradigm?

Due to the rapidly decreasing costs of small renewable electricity generation 'systems, centralized power systems are no longer a necessary condition of universal access to modern energy services. Developing countries, where centralized electricity infrastructures are less developed, may be able to adopt these new technologies more quickly. We first review the costs of grid extension and distributed solar home systems (SHSs) as reported by a number of different studies. We then present a general analytic framework for analyzing the choice between extending the grid and implementing distributed solar home systems. Drawing upon reported grid expansion cost data for three specific regions, we demonstrate this framework by determining the electricity consumption levels at which the costs of provision through centralized and decentralized approaches are equivalent in these regions. We then calculate SHS capital costs that are necessary for these technologies provide each of five tiers of energy access, as defined by the United Nations Sustainable Energy for All initiative. Our results suggest that solar home systems can play an important role in achieving universal access to basic energy services. The extent of this role depends on three primary factors: SHS costs, grid expansion costs, and centralized generation costs. Given current technology costs, centralized systems will still be required to enable higher levels of consumption; however, cost reduction trends have the potential to disrupt this paradigm. By looking ahead rather than replicating older infrastructure styles, developing countries can leapfrog to a more distributed electricity service model. (C) 2016 International Energy Initiative. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

distributed electrification↗

Monte Carlo Simulations of the Corrosion of Aluminoborosilicate Glasses

Aluminum is one of the most common components included in nuclear waste glasses. Therefore, Monte Carlo (MC) simulations were carried out to investigate the influence of aluminum on the rate and mechanism of dissolution of sodium borosilicate glasses in static conditions. The glasses studied were in the compositional range (70-2x)% SiO2 x% Al2O3 15% B2O3 (15+x)% Na2O, where 0 ≤ x ≤ 15%. The simulation results show that increasing amounts of aluminum in the pristine glasses slow down the initial rate of dissolution as determined from the rate of boron release. However, the extent of corrosion - as measured by the total amount of boron release - initially increases with addition of Al2O3, up to 5 Al2O3 mol%, but subsequently decreases with further Al2O3 addition. The MC simulations reveal that this behavior is due to the interplay between two opposing mechanisms: (1) aluminum slows down the kinetics of hydrolysis/condensation reactions that drive the reorganization of the glass surface and eventual formation of a blocking layer; and (2) aluminum strengthens the glass thereby increasing the lifetime of the upper part of its surface and allowing for more rapid formation of a blocking layer. Additional MC simulations were performed whereby a process representing the formation of a secondary aluminosilicate phase was included. Secondary phase formation draws dissolved glass components out of the aqueous solution, thereby diminishing the rate of condensation and delaying the formation of a blocking layer. As a result, the extent of corrosion is found to increase continuously with increasing Al2O3 content, as observed experimentally. For Al2O3 < 10 mol%, the MC simulations also indicate that, because the secondary phase solubility eventually controls the aluminum content in the part of the altered layer in contact with the bulk aqueous solution, the dissolved aluminum and silicon concentrations at steady state are not dependent on the Al2O3 content of the pristine aluminoborosilicate glass.

Environmental Molecular Sciences Laboratory↗

Microstructure and texture evolution of Cu–Nb composite wires

The evolution of microstructure and texture in Cu–Nb composite wires fabricated by an accumulative drawing and bundling process was investigated by backscattered electron (BSE), electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD) and transmission electron microscopy (TEM). Results indicate the onset of severe curling and shape changing occurred at the size of Nb ∼ 400 nm with a surface increase of about 6.91 μm{sup 2}/μm{sup 3} (the area per unit volume). Two kinds of grain boundaries in Nb are suggested: one is 20°–50° boundary with a rotate/tilt axis around <110> parallel to drawing direction (DD), and another is > 50° boundary with the axis perpendicular to DD. The curling phenomenon occurred at the Cu–Nb interface and is related not only to the deformation mechanism of Nb but also to the presence of interface. This result is distinct from reported works showing that curling takes place when BCC metals are heavily drawn (Area reduction > 73%). The variation in microstructure and texture evolution between Cu and Nb filaments was discussed based on the differences in deformation mechanisms of these two metals. - Highlights: • Microstructure and texture evolution were studied systematically by EBSD. • In Nb, grain boundaries of 20°–50° have a rotate/tile axis around <110>//DD. • The rotation axes of above 50° boundaries are concentrated around <111> ⊥ DD in Nb. • Curling is related to not only deformation mode of BCC but also Cu–Nb interface.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Optimization of chemical compositions in low-carbon Al-killed enamel steel produced by ultra-fast continuous annealing

The influence of Mn,S and B contents on microstructural characteristics, mechanical properties and hydrogen trapping ability of low-carbon Al-killed enamel steel was investigated. The materials were produced and processed in a laboratory and the ultra-fast continuous annealing processing was performed using a continuous annealing simulator. It was found that increasing Mn,S contents in steel can improve its hydrogen trapping ability which is attributed by refined ferrite grains, more dispersed cementite and added MnS inclusions. Nevertheless, it deteriorates mechanical properties of steel sheet. Addition of trace boron results in both good mechanical properties and significantly improved hydrogen trapping ability. The boron combined with nitrogen segregating at grain boundaries, cementite and MnS inclusions, provides higher amount of attractive hydrogen trapping sites and raises the activation energy for hydrogen desorption from them. - Highlights: • We study microstructures and properties in low-carbon Al-killed enamel steel. • Hydrogen diffusion coefficients are measured to reflect fish-scale resistance. • Manganese improves hydrogen trapping ability but decrease deep-drawing ability. • Boron improves both hydrogen trapping ability and deep-drawing ability. • Both excellent mechanical properties and fish-scale resistance can be matched.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Polyamide-crosslinked graphene oxide membrane for forward osmosis

We report a novel polyamide-graphene oxide (PA-GO) membrane was synthesized on a polyethersulfone support by first intra-crosslinking GO aggregates via m-xylylenediamine (MXDA) and then inter-crosslinking GO aggregates via trimethyle chloride (TMC). This method allows for the use of hydrophilic, more porous supports in forward osmosis (FO) membranes, thereby lending much flexibility to membrane synthesis and also potentially reducing internal concentration polarization in FO. The elemental composition, morphology, and hydrophilicity of the synthesized PA-GO membrane were characterized to confirm intra- and inter-crosslinking reactions and understand membrane properties. It was found that the mixing temperature of MXDA and GO should be controlled below 20 °C to avoid the formation of large GO aggregates and hence reduce membrane heterogeneity and defects. The performance of the PA-GO membrane was compared with that of a commercial FO membrane using trisodium citrate (TSC), Na 2 SO 4 , and MgCl 2 , respectively, as draw solutes. Under the same osmotic pressure, the water flux of the PA-GO membrane was the highest with TSC as draw solute, moderate with Na 2 SO 4 , and almost zero with MgCl 2 , while the ranking of solute fluxes followed a reverse order, revealing that an effective solute barrier plays an important role in making FO membranes with high water flux and low solute flux.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Grain engineering: How nanoscale inhomogeneities can control charge collection in solar cells

Statistical and correlative analysis are increasingly important in the design and study of new materials, from semiconductors to metals. Non-destructive measurement techniques, with high spatial resolution, capable of correlating composition and/or structure with device properties, are few and far between. For the case of polycrystalline and inhomogeneous materials, the added challenge is that nanoscale resolution is in general not compatible with the large sampling areas necessary to have a statistical representation of the specimen under study. For the study of grain cores and grain boundaries in polycrystalline solar absorbers this is of particular importance since their dissimilar behavior and variability throughout the samples makes it difficult to draw conclusions and ultimately optimize the material. In this study, we present a nanoscale in-operando approach based on the multimodal utilization of synchrotron nano x-ray fluorescence and x-ray beam induced current collected for grain core and grain boundary areas and correlated pixel-by-pixel in fully operational Cu(In(1-x)Gax)Se2Cu(In(1-x)Gax)Se2 solar cells. We observe that low gallium cells have grain boundaries that over perform compared to the grain cores and high gallium cells have boundaries that under perform. These results demonstrate how nanoscale correlative X-ray microscopy can guide research pathways towards grain engineering low cost, high efficiency solar cells.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗