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At least 307 records · Page 17

THE SPITZER SURVEY OF STELLAR STRUCTURE IN GALAXIES (S{sup 4}G): MULTI-COMPONENT DECOMPOSITION STRATEGIES AND DATA RELEASE

The Spitzer Survey of Stellar Structure in Galaxies (S{sup 4}G) is a deep 3.6 and 4.5 μm imaging survey of 2352 nearby (<40 Mpc) galaxies. We describe the S{sup 4}G data analysis pipeline 4, which is dedicated to two-dimensional structural surface brightness decompositions of 3.6 μm images, using GALFIT3.0. Besides automatic 1-component Sérsic fits, and 2-component Sérsic bulge + exponential disk fits, we present human-supervised multi-component decompositions, which include, when judged appropriate, a central point source, bulge, disk, and bar components. Comparison of the fitted parameters indicates that multi-component models are needed to obtain reliable estimates for the bulge Sérsic index and bulge-to-total light ratio (B/T), confirming earlier results. Here, we describe the preparations of input data done for decompositions, give examples of our decomposition strategy, and describe the data products released via IRSA and via our web page (www.oulu.fi/astronomy/S4G-PIPELINE4/MAIN). These products include all the input data and decomposition files in electronic form, making it easy to extend the decompositions to suit specific science purposes. We also provide our IDL-based visualization tools (GALFIDL) developed for displaying/running GALFIT-decompositions, as well as our mask editing procedure (MASK-EDIT) used in data preparation. A detailed analysis of the bulge, disk, and bar parameters derived from multi-component decompositions will be published separately.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Implications of two-component dark matter induced by forbidden channels and thermal freeze-out

We consider a model of two-component dark matter based on a hidden U(1) {sub D} symmetry, in which relic densities of the dark matter are determined by forbidden channels and thermal freeze-out. The hidden U(1) {sub D} symmetry is spontaneously broken to a residual Z{sub 4} symmetry, and the lightest Z{sub 4} charged particle can be a dark matter candidate. Moreover, depending on the mass hierarchy in the dark sector, we have two-component dark matter. We show that the relic density of the lighter dark matter component can be determined by forbidden annihilation channels which require larger couplings compared to the normal freeze-out mechanism. As a result, a large self-interaction of the lighter dark matter component can be induced, which may solve small scale problems of ΛCDM model. On the other hand, the heavier dark matter component is produced by normal freeze-out mechanism. We find that interesting implications emerge between the two dark matter components in this framework. We explore detectabilities of these dark matter particles and show some parameter space can be tested by the SHiP experiment.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Dark and luminous mass components of Omega Centauri from stellar kinematics

Here we combine proper motion data from Gaia EDR 3 and HST with line-of-sight velocity data to study the stellar kinematics of the ω Cen globular cluster. Using a steady-state, axisymmetric dynamical model, we measure the distribution of both the dark and luminous mass components. Assuming both Gaussian and Navarro–Frenk–White mass profiles, depending on the data set, we measure an integrated mass of ≲10 6 M ⊙ within the ω Cen half-light radius for a dark component that is distinct from the luminous stellar component. For the HST and radial velocity data, models with a non-luminous mass component are strongly statistically preferred relative to a stellar mass-only model with a constant mass-to-light ratio. While a compact core of stellar remnants may account for a dynamical mass up to ~5 x 10 5 M ⊙ , they likely cannot explain the higher end of the range. This leaves open the possibility that this non-luminous dynamical mass component comprises non-baryonic dark matter. In comparison to the dark matter distributions around dwarf spheroidal galaxies, the ω Cen dark mass component is much more centrally concentrated. Interpreting the non-luminous mass distribution as particle dark matter, we use these results to obtain the J-factor, which sets the sensitivity to the annihilation cross-section. For the data sets considered, the range of median J-factors is ~10 22 -10 24 GeV 2 cm -5 , which is larger than that obtained for any dwarf spheroidal galaxy.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Probing the origin of the two-component structure of broad-line region by reverberation mapping of an extremely variable quasar

ABSTRACT The physical origins of quasar components, such as the broad-line region (BLR) and dust torus, remain under debate. To gain insights into them, we focused on changing-state quasars (CSQs) which provide a unique perspective through structural changes associated with accretion disc state transitions. We targeted SDSS J125809.31+351943.0, an extremely variable CSQ, to study its central core structure and kinematics. We conducted reverberation mapping with optical spectroscopy to explore the structure of the BLR and estimate the black hole mass. The results from Hβ reverberation mapping indicated a black hole mass of $10^{9.64^{+0.11}_{-0.20}}\rm {M_\odot }$. Additionally, we analysed variations in the optical to X-ray spectral indices, αox, before and after the state transition, to investigate the accretion disc. These variations in αox and the Eddington ratio (from 0.4 per cent to 2.4 per cent) exhibitied behaviour similar to state transitions observed in X-ray binary systems. Spectral analysis of Hβ revealed a predominantly double-peaked profile during dim periods, transitioning to include a single-peaked component as the quasar brightened, suggesting that Hβ contains a mixture of two components. Each of these components has its distinct characteristics: the first is a double-peaked profile that remains stable despite changes in the accretion rate, while the second is a variable single-peaked profile. Using time-lags from reverberation mapping, we estimated the spatial relationships between these BLR components, the accretion disc, and the dust torus. Our results suggest that the BLR consists of two distinct components, each differing in location and origin.

Nagoshi, Shumpei (ORCID:0000000326504322)↗

Simulation and Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes modeling of a three-component Rayleigh-Taylor mixing problem with thermonuclear burn

Rayleigh-Taylor mixing in the presence of a third component with intermediate density is investigated through three-dimensional large-eddy simulation (LES) with a high-order compact finite-difference code. Two configurations are considered: (1) a symmetric configuration in which the Atwood number between the heavy and intermediate components matches the Atwood number between the intermediate and light components and (2) an asymmetric configuration in which the Atwood number between the heavy and intermediate components is an order of magnitude greater than the Atwood number between the intermediate and light components. Mass fraction covariances are extracted, and proposed Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) closures for density-specific-volume and density-mass-fraction covariances are evaluated in an a priori fashion. Additionally, a multicomponent extension of the k - Φ - L - a - V RANS model [Morgan, Phys. Rev. E 104, 015107 (2021)] is presented which includes model equations for the upper-triangular elements of the mass fraction covariance matrix. This model, referred to as the k - Φ - L - a - C model, is compared against results from LES and against other RANS models. Profiles of average mass fraction, mass-fraction covariance, and density-specific-volume covariance obtained with the k - Φ - L - a - C model are found to agree well with LES data. Finally, the impact of three-component turbulent mixing on average reaction rate is investigated in both premixed and nonpremixed cases by heating the mixing layer and allowing it to undergo thermonuclear (TN) burn. A closure model for average reaction rate is proposed for use with the k - Φ - L - a - C model, and when this model is applied, improved agreement is obtained between LES and RANS in total TN neutron production.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Multi-degree of Freedom Energy Analysis for Identification of Failure Risk in Structural Components Subjected to Random Vibration and Shock Loading

When designing or analyzing a mechanical system, energy quantities provide insight into the severity of shock and vibration environments; however, the energy methods in the literature do not address localized behavior because energy quantities are usually computed for an entire structure. The main objective of this paper is to show how to compute the energy in the components of a mechanical system. The motivation for this work is that most systems fail functionally due to component failure, not because the primary structure was overloaded, and the ability to easily compute the spatial distribution of energy helps identify failure sensitive components. The quantity of interest is input energy. That input energy can be decoupled modally is well known. What is less appreciated is that input energy can be computed at the component level exactly, using the component effective modal mass. We show the steady state input energy can be decomposed both spatially and modally and computed using input power spectra. A numerical example illustrates the spatial and modal decomposition of input energy and its utility in identifying components at risk of damage in random vibration and shock environments. Our work shows that the modal properties of the structure and the spectral content of the input must be considered together to assess damage risk. Because input energy includes absorbed energy as well as relative kinetic energy and dissipated energy, it is the recommended energy quantity for assessing the severity for both random vibration and shock environments on a structure.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Novel method for detecting the hadronic component of extensive air showers

A novel method for studying the hadronic component of extensive air showers (EAS) is proposed. The method is based on recording thermal neutrons accompanying EAS with en-detectors that are sensitive to two EAS components: an electromagnetic (e) component and a hadron component in the form of neutrons (n). In contrast to hadron calorimeters used in some arrays, the proposed method makes it possible to record the hadronic component over the whole area of the array. The efficiency of a prototype array that consists of 32 en-detectors was tested for a long time, and some parameters of the neutron EAS component were determined.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Mechanical Characterization of Electrolyzer Membranes and Components Under Compression

Proton-exchange membrane (PEM) water electrolysis is a promising technology for producing clean hydrogen by electrochemically splitting water when paired with renewable energy sources. A major roadblock to improving electrolyzer durability is the mechanical degradation of the cell components, which requires an understanding of their mechanical response under device-relevant conditions. However, there is a lack of studies on the mechanical characterization of the PEM and other components, as well as and their interactions. This study aims to address this gap by using a custom-designed testing apparatus to investigate the mechanics of electrolyzer components in uniaxial compression at 25 and 80 °C. Findings show stress-strain response of components have a varying degree of nonlinearity owing to their distinct deformation mechanisms and morphologies, from porous structures to polymers. These results are used to develop an expression for compressive stress-strain response of Nafion membranes and then analyze the deformation of components under applied pressure by using a 1-D spring network model of cell assembly. This work provides a new understanding of mechanical responses of the electrolyzer membrane and cell components, which can help assess material design and cell assembly strategies for improved electrolyzer durability.

08 HYDROGEN↗

A rapid live-cell ELISA for characterizing antibodies against cell surface antigens of Chlamydomonas reinhardtii and its use in isolating algae from natural environments with related cell wall components

Background: Cell walls are essential for most bacteria, archaea, fungi, algae and land plants to provide shape, structural integrity and protection from numerous biotic and abiotic environmental factors. In the case of eukaryotic algae, relatively little is known of the composition, structure or mechanisms of assembly of cell walls in individual species or between species and how these differences enable algae to inhabit a great diversity of environments. In this paper we describe the use of camelid antibody fragments (VHHs) and a streamlined ELISA assay as powerful new tools for obtaining mono-specific reagents for detecting individual algal cell wall components and for isolating algae that share a particular cell surface component. Results: To develop new microalgal bioprospecting tools to aid in the search of environmental samples for algae that share similar cell wall and cell surface components, we have produced single-chain camelid antibodies raised against cell surface components of the single-cell alga, Chlamydomonas reinhardtii. We have cloned the variable-region domains (VHHs) from the camelid heavy-chain-only antibodies and overproduced tagged versions of these monoclonal-like antibodies in E. coli. Using these VHHs, we have developed an accurate, facile, low cost ELISA that uses live cells as a source of antigens in their native conformation and that requires less than 90 minutes to perform. This ELISA technique was demonstrated to be as accurate as standard ELISAs that employ proteins from cell lysates and that generally require >24 hours to complete. Among the cloned VHHs, VHH B11, exhibited the highest affinity (EC50 < 1 nM) for the C. reinhardtii cell surface. The live-cell ELISA procedure was employed to detect algae sharing cell surface components with C. reinhardtii in water samples from natural environments. In addition, mCherry-tagged VHH B11 was used along with fluorescence activated cell sorting (FACS) to select individual axenic isolates of presumed wild relatives of C. reinhardtii and other Chlorphyceae from the same environmental samples. Conclusions: Camelid antibody VHH domains provide a highly specific tool for detection of individual cell wall components of algae and for allowing the selection of algae that share a particular cell surface molecule from diverse ecosystems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Complexity and entropy representation for machine component diagnostics

The Complexity-entropy causality plane (CECP) is a parsimonious representation space for time series. It has only two dimensions: normalized permutation entropy and Jensen-Shannon complexity of a time series. This two-dimensional representation allows for detection of slow or rapid drifts in the condition of mechanical components monitored through sensor measurements. The CECP representation can be used for both predictive analytics and visual monitoring of changes in component condition. This method requires minimal pre-processing of raw signals. Furthermore, it is insensitive to noise, stationarity, and trends. These desirable properties make CECP a good candidate for machine condition monitoring and fault diagnostics. In this work we study the effectiveness of CECP on three rotary component condition assessment applications. We use CECP representation of vibration signals to differentiate various machine component health conditions for rotary machine components, namely roller bearing and gears. The results confirm that the CECP representation is able to detect, with high accuracy, changes in underlying dynamics of machine component degradation states. From class separability perspective, the CECP representation is able to generate linearly separable classes for the classification of different fault states. This classification performance improves with increasing signal length. For signal length of 16,384 data points, the fault classification accuracy varies from 90% to 100% for bearing applications, and from 85% to 100% for gear applications. We observed that the optimum parameter for CECP representating depends on the application. For bearing applications we found that embedding dimension D = 4, 5, 6, and embedding delay τ = 1, 2, 3 are suitable for good fault classification. For gear applications we find that embedding dimension D = 4, 5, and embedding delay τ = 1, 5 are suitable for fault classification.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Physics based Reliability Models for Supercritical CO 2 Turbomachinery Components

CSP plants using sCO 2 power cycle can potentially achieve high thermal conversion efficiency at low capital cost due to compact turbo-machinery and other components. An sCO 2 expander and improved heat exchanger is expected to provide a major stepping stone for achieving CSP power at $0.06/kW-hr LCOE, energy conversion efficiency > 50%, and total power block cost < $1,200/kW installed. Hybrid gas bearings (HGB) and Dry gas seals (DGS) are two key components that are critical for robust and efficient operation of future sCO 2 power cycles. From a system perspective, HGBs can provide substantial benefits (~3 to 5%) to the modular CSP operation, while use of DGSs limits the leakage losses as well as the windage losses in the generator and can increase overall generator efficiency by ~ 8%. The life limiting mechanisms of HGBs and DGSs in high pressure, high temperature sCO2 environment were not well understood and hence this program aims at developing physics-based performance prediction and life prediction models for these two components. The output of the performance models serves as input to the life models. The performance models were validated using experimental data and using data from literature. DGS and HGB models have shed light on some risks associated with its operation in sCO2 expander and will guide more robust designs tailored towards sCO 2 cycle applications. A DGS was tested in 1MWe sCO2 turbo expander to study its performance and validate the performance models. To understand the effect of high pressures, high temperatures and sCO 2 environment on crack initiation, crack propagation and LCF/HCF life of these components, a novel experimental setup was developed. The LCF test data was used to calibrate and validate the life prediction models. The effect of sCO 2 corrosion on the life of Ni-based super-alloys is quantified using long duration experiments. Advanced microstructure and spectroscopic analyses conducted shed light on some key differences between IN718 and IN617 in terms of oxidation morphology, chemical species diffusion and trapping, the formation of protective corrosion resistant layers and changes in surface properties. A novel crack initiation model was developed which takes into account strain distribution, temperature, hold times and activation energy at the gas-metal interface and predicts the number of cycles to initiate the crack in the Inconel alloy. An advanced 3D fracture mechanics-based crack propagation model was also developed which takes into account the transient loading mission of the component and predict how fast the crack will grow and what will be its final shape and size. High energy X-Ray tomography measurements were conducted to study and validate 3D morphology of crack growth inside the specimen. These two models along with chemical kinetics models obtained from corrosion tests can be combined to predict the total life of the component under given long term operating conditions. A Bayesian Hybrid Modeling (BHM) probabilistic framework was developed to quantify uncertainty in physics-based performance models and in crack initiation and crack propagation models, to calibrate the models and to validate the models with statistical confidence. Advanced coupled physics multi-phase flow models were developed to study condensation, boiling and phase change behavior of CO 2 under various sCO 2 turbomachinery and heat exchanger conditions. A novel experimental setup was also designed to observe phase change of CO 2 during its transition across liquid-gas-supercritical state lines.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Residential Slab Component Calculations

Modern residential building energy codes provide a component tradeoff mechanism by which builders can trade reductions in the efficiency of some building components in trade for corresponding improvement in other components. One common tradeoff approach is based on maintaining a building "UA value," which represents the building envelope's overall thermal conductance. The building UA is the sum of individual component UA values, each of which is calculated as the product of the component's U-factor and area. Current codes, however, provide little guidance on including slab-on-grade components in the overall UA calculation. This brief provides information on calculating effective slab UA values and provides recommended text for building codes.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Physics based Reliability Models for Supercritical CO 2 Turbomachinery Components

CSP plants using sCO 2 power cycle can potentially achieve high thermal conversion efficiency at low capital cost due to compact turbo-machinery and other components. An sCO 2 expander and improved heat exchanger is expected to provide a major stepping stone for achieving CSP power at 0.06/kW-hr LCOE, energy conversion efficiency > 50 % ,and total power block cost< $1,200/kW installed. Hybrid gas bearings (HGB) and Dry gas seals (DGS) are two key components that are critical for robust and efficient operation of future sCO 2 power cycles. From a system perspective, HGBs can provide substantial benefits (~3 to 5%) to the modular CSP operation, while use of DGSs limits the leakage losses as well as the windage losses in the generator and can increase overall generator efficiency by ~ 8%. The life limiting mechanisms of HGBs and DGSs in high pressure, high temperature sCO 2 environment were not well understood and hence this program aims at developing physics-based performance prediction and life prediction models for these two components. The output of the performance models serves as input to the life models. The performance models were validated using experimental data and using data from literature. DGS and HGB models have shed light on some risks associated with its operation in sCO 2 expander and will guide more robust designs tailored towards sCO 2 cycle applications. A DGS was tested in 1MWe sCO 2 turbo expander to study its performance and validate the performance models. To understand the effect of high pressures, high temperatures and sCO 2 environment on crack initiation, crack propagation and LCF/HCF life of these components, a novel experimental setup was developed. The LCF test data was used to calibrate and validate the life prediction models. The effect of sCO 2 corrosion on the life of Ni-based super-alloys is quantified using long duration experiments. Advanced microstructure and spectroscopic analyses conducted shed light on some key differences between IN718 and IN617 in terms of oxidation morphology, chemical species diffusion and trapping, the formation of protective corrosion resistant layers and changes in surface properties. A novel crack initiation model was developed which takes into account strain distribution, temperature, hold times and activation energy at the gas-metal interface and predicts the number of cycles to initiate the crack in the Inconel alloy. An advanced 3D fracture mechanics-based crack propagation model was also developed which takes into account the transient loading mission of the component and predict how fast the crack will grow and what will be its final shape and size. High energy X-Ray tomography measurements were conducted to study and validate 3D morphology of crack growth inside the specimen. These two models along with chemical kinetics models obtained from corrosion tests can be combined to predict the total life of the component under given long term operating conditions. A Bayesian Hybrid Modeling (BHM) probabilistic framework was developed to quantify uncertainty in physics-based performance models and in crack initiation and crack propagation models, to calibrate the models and to validate the models with statistical confidence. Advanced coupled physics multi-phase flow models were developed to study condensation, boiling and phase change behavior of CO 2 under various sCO 2 turbomachinery and heat exchanger conditions. A novel experimental setup was also designed to observe phase change of CO 2 during its transition across liquid-gas-supercritical state lines.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

NDE Reliability Issues for the Examination of CASS Components

The relatively low cost and corrosion resistance of cast austenitic stainless steel (CASS) materials resulted in their extensive use for piping systems in nuclear power plants (NPPs). However, CASS component welds are among the most challenging volumetric examinations required to be performed for detection of potential service degradation. Effective and reliable inspection methods for CASS materials are essential to achieving the objectives of defense-in-depth. A complicating issue is the presence of thermal aging embrittlement, a known degradation mechanism that occurs in CASS NPP materials. Further, while not as yet reported in CASS, many unforeseen instances of cracking in safety-related piping system welds have been experienced in other austenitic materials. Currently, a performance-based method to qualify NDE in CASS is not available. Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) has performed nondestructive examination (NDE) research under the sponsorship of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) for over four decades. A primary objective of the research has been to assess the effectiveness and reliability of conventional and advanced NDE methods for the inspection of light-water reactor components. One of the tasks being performed within this framework is to evaluate state-of-the-art technical approaches for examining safety-related nuclear reactor components that pose significant challenges to traditional NDE methods. A specific area of research in this regard is the volumetric examination of coarse-grained weldments and base materials. This report summarizes, compiles, and assesses relevant investigations performed by PNNL and other domestic and international organizations for welds adjacent to CASS components to provide a comprehensive evaluation on this subject. The primary objectives of the report are to assess the overall feasibility for advanced NDE methods to reliably and effectively examine field CASS piping components and to determine if techniques similar to those described in existing standards could be applied to develop performance demonstration requirements for CASS piping components. This report discusses improving the reliability of CASS examinations through the use of advanced low-frequency phased-array techniques, coupled with other “best practice” examination parameters, and makes recommendations for consideration by NRC Staff regarding the development of effective performance-based qualifications for CASS weldments. In addition to the PNNL research documented here, over 230 historical and more recent publications have been reviewed in the development of this document. The report is expected to be a useful resource for engineers and scientists involved in NDE of CASS for purposes of inservice inspection on existing plants during current and extended periods of operation. Finally, researchers and NDE practitioners conducting future investigations to advance the state-of-the-art should find the information contained in this report to be beneficial.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

NRAP-Open-IAM: FutureGen2 Component Models

This report describes the development and testing of three component models for NRAP-Open-IAM, the National Risk Assessment Partnership’s open-source integrated assessment model. The FutureGen2 Lookup Table Reservoir component model is based on interpolation of data from a set of lookup tables. The lookup tables contain pressures and saturations predicted by multiphase flow simulations performed with a reservoir simulator. The FutureGen2 Above Zone Monitoring Interval (AZMI) component is a surrogate model that can be used to estimate the impact that carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) and brine leaks from the CO 2 storage reservoir at the FutureGen 2.0 site might have had on overlying aquifers or monitoring units were a leak to occur. The model estimates the size of “impact plumes” according to five metrics: pH, Total Dissolved Solids (TDS), pressure, dissolved CO 2 and temperature. The FutureGen2 Aquifer component is similar, but is limited to four metrics: pH, Total Dissolved Solids (TDS), pressure, and dissolved CO 2 . The input parameters for each model are the same, but the Aquifer component is applicable to depths between 100 m and 700 m and the AZMI component is applicable from depths between 700 m and 1050 m.

42 ENGINEERING↗

NRAP-Open-IAM: Open Wellbore Component (V.2.0)

The Open Wellbore component of NRAP-Open-IAM is applicable to the calculation of Area of Review at a carbon storage site and fast estimation of dense gas dispersion from multiple continuous CO 2 surface leakage sources for risk assessment. The Open Wellbore Component of NRAP-Open-IAM is a lookup table model based on the drift-flux approach. The National Research Assessment Partnership’s second-generation integrated assessment model, NRAP-Open-IAM, is open-source software written in Python for use in performance and quantitative risk assessment of geologic carbon storage (GCS) systems. The look-up table for open well leakage is an updated version the previous model which provides finer resolution of reservoir depth and more accurate fluid properties than the previous open well look-up table, especially in calculating the gas (CO 2 -rich) phase properties. The component model input parameters include the reservoir transmissivity, aquifer transmissivity, brine salinity, well radius, and well top and bottom depths. The reservoir transmissivity and brine salinity were set to values consistent with the reservoir component, and the well top and bottom depths varied with location. The possible outputs from the Open Wellbore component are leakage rates of CO 2 and brine to either an aquifer or atmosphere, depending on the depth of the well top. Several python test scripts are presented that demonstrate that the Open Wellbore component works correctly. Use of the open wellbore model in NRAP-Open-IAM may result in a large CO 2 leakage rates, comparable to the leakage rates of CO 2 blow out.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Cybersecurity and Digital Components: Supply Chain Deep Dive Assessment

The report “America’s Strategy to Secure the Supply Chain for a Robust Clean Energy Transition” lays out the challenges and opportunities faced by the United States in the energy supply chain as well as the federal government plans to address these challenges and opportunities. It is accompanied by several issue-specific deep dive assessments, including this one, in response to Executive Order 14017 “America’s Supply Chains,” which directs the Secretary of Energy to submit a report on supply chains for the energy sector industrial base. The Executive Order is helping the federal government to build more secure and diverse U.S. supply chains, including energy supply chains. As the energy sector has become more globalized and increasingly complex, digitized, and even virtualized, its supply chain risk for digital components – the software, virtual platforms and services, and data – in energy systems has evolved and expanded. All digital components in U.S. energy sector systems are vulnerable and may be subject to cyber supply cha in risks stemming from a variety of threats, vulnerabilities, and impacts. This includes digital components in all systems within the ESIB, namely those systems operated by asset owners across different energy subsectors (e.g., electricity, oil and natural gas, and renewables) and the systems operated by a worldwide industrial complex with capabilities to perform research and development and design, produce, operate, and maintain energy sector systems, subsystems, components, or parts to meet U.S. energy requirements. Supply chain risks for digital components including software, virtual platforms and services, and data have grown in recent years as increasingly sophisticated cyber adversaries have targeted exploiting vulnerabilities in these digital assets. Supply chain risks for digital components in energy sector systems will continue to evolve and likely increase as these systems are increasingly interconnected, digitized, and remotely operated.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Hybrid AI-ML and FE-based Digital Twin Predictive Modeling Framework for a PWR Coolant System Components: Updates on Multi-Time-Series-3D-Location Dependent Usages Factor Prediction

The long-term operation (LTO) of nuclear power plants (NPP) beyond their original design life of 40 years can lead to more material damage associated with cyclic fatigue under thermal-mechanical loading cycles and associated long-term exposure of reactor material to the deleterious reactor-coolant environments. However, under this LTO condition, the reactor components can still safely operate but may require more frequent Nondestructive Evaluation (NDE) of reactor components. Requiring frequent NDE inspections may lead to frequent NPP shutdowns which can lead to power outages and additional NDE inspection cost-related economic loss. The economic loss can be minimized by reducing uncertainty in life estimation of safety-critical pressure boundary components and by implementing a more digital approach such as using upcoming digital-twin (DT) technology for predicting the structural states (e.g., time and location dependent inside/outside thickness temperature, stress, strain, plastic deformation, etc.) and associated fatigue life of a component in real time. The DT framework is based on limited experimental data, Artificial-intelligence (AI)-Machine-Learning (ML) and multiphysics-computationalmechanics such as finite element- (FE) based models. Given the real-time thermal-hydraulic process measurements from several existing plant sensors, the overall goal of the DT framework is to predict the cumulative usages factors or equivalent fatigue lives in real time and at any random 3D location of the components. This includes inaccessible locations such as inside the thickness or location of a component. This prediction can be at thousands to millions of 3D point clouds or locations like conventional FE-based models, but without running an FE model in real time.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗