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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 307 records · Page 17
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Advances in solar forecasting: Computer vision with deep learning

Renewable energy forecasting is crucial for integrating variable energy sources into the grid. It allows power systems to address the intermittency of the energy supply at different spatiotemporal scales. To anticipate the future impact of cloud displacements on the energy generated by solar facilities, conventional modeling methods rely on numerical weather prediction or physical models, which have difficulties in assimilating cloud information and learning systematic biases. Augmenting computer vision with machine learning overcomes some of these limitations by fusing real-time cloud cover observations with surface measurements acquired from multiple sources. This Review summarizes recent progress in solar forecasting from multisensor Earth observations with a focus on deep learning, which provides the necessary theoretical framework to develop architectures capable of extracting relevant information from data generated by ground-level sky cameras, satellites, weather stations, and sensor networks. Overall, machine learning has the potential to significantly improve the accuracy and robustness of solar energy meteorology; however, more research is necessary to realize this potential and address its limitations.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Effect of Zr and Sc additions on coarsening- and creep resistance of AlSi10Mg fabricated by laser powder bed fusion

Microstructure and creep properties are studied in a eutectic AlSi10Mg alloy modified with Zr and Sc additions (Al-9.8Si-0.32Mg-0.70Zr-0.23Sc, wt%) manufactured through laser powder-bed fusion (L-PBF). Three types of Zr/Sc-bearing powders - elemental, master-alloy, and pre-alloyed - are employed in the fabrication process, with the pre-alloyed powders providing the highest incorporation of Zr and Sc in the Al matrix. Here, the as-printed alloy exhibits a fine cellular Al-Si eutectic structure which fragments and coarsens into micron-sized Si particles during aging at 300 ºC, leading to a steady drop in alloy microhardness between 0.1 and 1000 h. Coarsening of the eutectic Si phase during aging is not measurably affected by Zr and Sc in solid solution, which precipitate during aging and increases strength, compensating weakening from Si coarsening between 1 and 200 h at 300 ºC. Atom-probe analysis in the peak-aged condition (96 h/300 °C) confirms the presence of Al 3 (Sc,Zr) secondary nano-precipitates with an average radius of 1.0 nm and some Si solubility. Micron-sized grains are present throughout the alloy, with ultra-fine-grained regions at the melt pool boundaries, neither of which coarsen during long-term aging at 300 ºC. Under creep conditions at 300 °C, the Zr/Sc-bearing alloy with Al 3 (Sc,Zr) nano-precipitates exhibits power-law behavior, with a high apparent stress exponent (n a = 9) and a high threshold stress (σ th = 43 MPa), exhibiting nearly double the strength of a Zr/Sc-free AlSi10Mg control alloy (σ th = 22 MPa).

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Innovative accident tolerant fuel concept enabled through direct manufacturing technology

Nuclear energy is one of the largest sources of carbon-free electricity in the world. Some countries are looking at new ways to support and revitalize the nuclear sector since the Fukushima disaster. The accident tolerant fuel program is geared toward improving the safety of nuclear energy by investigating materials that can replace or modify the current uranium-dioxide nuclear fuel and zirconium-based cladding. This research program is being supported by all major nuclear countries since 2011. The practical limitations on allowable uranium enrichment has taken the focus away from the most promising fuels with high radioactivity retention such as tristructural isotropic particle fuel. To overcome such enrichment limitation, a new fuel concept is proposed using advanced ceramic direct manufacturing with laser-induced chemical vapor deposition. The fuel-as-fiber concept is an accident-tolerant fuel design that features high thermal conductivity, strong capability of radioactivity retention and most importantly requires reasonable enrichment levels with uranium nitride as the fuel. In this work, the initial fabrication of uranium-based fuel with laser-induced chemical vapor deposition technology is demonstrated. Then an advanced multi-physics guided modeling approach based on finite element analysis codes and informed by the manufacturing capabilities is developed to accelerate the advancement of fuel-as-fiber concept for use in current light-water reactor technology. The detailed thermomechanical analysis showed promising results for viability of the innovative fuel-as-fiber concept. The predicted stresses in the fuel structural materials were similar to the case of tristructural isotropic particle fuel experience base that has shown excellent reliability in retention of fuel radioactivity at high temperatures.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2022

UrbanPop: A spatial microsimulation framework for exploring demographic influences on human dynamics

Ensuring the social equity of planning measures in social systems requires an understanding of human dynamics, particularly how individual relationships, activities, and interactions intersect with individual needs. Spatial microsimulation models (SMSMs) support planning for human security goals by representing human dynamics through realistic, georeferenced synthetic populations, that a) provide a complete representation of social systems while b) also protecting individual privacy. In this paper, we present UrbanPop, an open and reproducible SMSM framework for analysis of human dynamics with high spatial, temporal, and demographic resolution. UrbanPop creates synthetic populations of demographically detailed worker and student agents, positioning them first at probable nighttime locations (home), then moving them to probable daytime locations (work/school). Summary aggregations of these populations match the granular detail available at the census block group level in the American Community Survey Summary File (SF), providing realistic approximations of the actual population. UrbanPop users can select particular demographic traits important in their application, resulting in a highly tailored agent population. We first lay out UrbanPop's baseline methodology, including population synthesis, activity modeling, and diagnostics, then demonstrate these capabilities by developing case studies of shifting population distributions and high-risk populations in Knox County, TN during the global COVID-19 pandemic.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Simulation of hardened cement degradation and estimation of uncertainty in predicted failure times with peridynamics

Modeling the degradation of cement-based infrastructure due to aqueous environmental conditions continues to be a challenge. In order to develop a capability to predict concrete infrastructure failure due to chemical degradation, here we created a chemomechanical model of the effects of long-term water exposure on cement paste. The model couples the mechanical static equilibrium balance with reactive–diffusive transport and incorporates fracture and failure via peridynamics (a meshless simulation method). The model includes fundamental aspects of degradation of ordinary Portland cement (OPC) paste, including the observed softening, reduced toughness, and shrinkage of the cement paste, and increased reactivity and transport with water induced degradation. This version of the model focuses on the first stage of cement paste decalcification, the dissolution of portlandite. Given unknowns in the cement paste degradation process and the cost of uncertainty quantification (UQ), we adopt a minimally complex model in two dimensions (2D) in order to perform sensitivity analysis and UQ. We calibrate the model to existing experimental data using simulations of common tests such as flexure, compression and diffusion. Then we calculate the global sensitivity and uncertainty of predicted failure times based on variation of eleven unique and fundamental material properties. We observed particularly strong sensitivities to the diffusion coefficient, the reaction rate, and the shrinkage with degradation. Also, the predicted time of first fracture is highly correlated with the time to total failure in compression, which implies fracture can indicate impending degradation induced failure; however, the distributions of the two events overlap so the lead time may be minimal. Extension of the model to include the multiple reactions that describe complete degradation, viscous relaxation, post-peak load mechanisms, and to three dimensions to explore the interactions of complex fracture patterns evoked by more realistic geometry is straightforward and ongoing.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Long term oxidation of NiCoCrAlY coated Ni-based superalloys: A comparison of observed and simulated interdiffusion

Lifetimes of MCrAlY-type coatings can easily surpass 25 kh when the criteria of ß-depletion is used. To reduce experimental effort, it’s necessary to develop models capable of simulating interdiffusion and oxidation. In the present study, NiCoCrAlY coatings were high velocity oxyfuel deposited on PWA 1483, MARM247, and CMSX-4 substrates, and samples were exposed at 900 °C for 5–20 kh in air+10 vol%H 2 O to study interdiffusion rates. Here, Thermo-Calc/DICTRA was used to reproduce the observed differences, and microstructures were compared. Based on the agreement between calculated and observed rates, simulations were projected past the experimental exposures, utilizing ß-depletion as lifetime criteria.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Conditional distribution estimation of building characteristics with diffusion models for urban energy modeling

Understanding current energy consumption behavior in communities is critical for informing future energy use decisions and enabling efficient energy management. Urban energy models, which are used to simulate these energy use patterns, require large datasets with detailed building characteristics for accurate outcomes. However, such detailed characteristics at the individual building level are often unknown and costly to acquire, or unavailable. Through this work, we propose using a generative modeling approach to generate realistic building attributes to fill in the data gaps and finally provide complete characteristics as inputs to energy models. Our model learns complex, building-level patterns from training on a large-scale residential building stock model containing 2.2 million buildings. We employ a tabular diffusion-based framework that is designed to handle heterogeneous (discrete and continuous) features in tabular building data, such as occupancy, floor area, heating, cooling, and other equipment details. We develop a capability for conditional diffusion, enabling the imputation of missing building characteristics conditioned on known attributes. We conduct a comprehensive validation of our conditional diffusion model, firstly by comparing the generated conditional distributions against the underlying data distribution, and secondly, by performing a case study for a Baltimore residential region, showing the practical utility of our approach. Our work is one of the first to demonstrate the potential of generative modeling to accelerate building energy modeling workflows.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2021

Probing dense plasmas for HEDS and ICF*

This paper is a retrospective of almost four decades of conceptualization and development of active x-ray probing of dense plasmas, involving multiple teams. In hindsight it was a surprisingly nonlinear and nonsystematic progression, with cycles of key epiphanies followed by multi-step technique optimization, spanning years.Further, each new idea or endeavor, whether or not realized / successful, spawned the next, and not necessarily in order of difficulty. The journey can be summarized by adapting/paraphrasing what Edward Teller said about NIF, that we develop new capabilities precisely because we don't know what those capabilities will enable.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2026

Correlation between microstructure and residual stress formation in friction stir welded armor steels characterized by neutron diffraction

Friction stir welding (FSW) is a solid-state joining process that minimizes the heat-affected zone (HAZ) compared with fusion-based arc welding, making it well suited for joining martensitic armor steels where hardness and ballistic resistance are critical. This study investigates residual stress formation in three defect-free FSW butt-joint configurations relevant to armored-vehicle fabrication: similar rolled homogeneous armor (RHA–RHA, Case 1), similar high-hardness armor (HHA–HHA, Case 2), and dissimilar HHA–RHA (Case 3) joints produced under temperature-controlled conditions (770 °C). Neutron diffraction was employed to quantify the magnitude and spatial distribution of residual stresses in the longitudinal, transverse, and normal directions and to correlate them with weld microstructure and hardness. Tensile residual stresses were concentrated in the softened HAZ, reaching approximately 300 MPa for Case 2 and 400 MPa for Case 1 (≈50–70 % of the base-metal yield strength; ∼581 MPa for RHA and ∼566 MPa for HHA), while compressive residual stresses dominated the stir zone. The spatial extent of tensile stresses scaled with the width of the softened HAZ, which was largest in the dissimilar HHA–RHA joint and smallest in the HHA–HHA joint. Full-width-at-half-maximum (FWHM) analysis revealed low microstrain in overtempered HAZ regions and high microstrain in the stir zone associated with severe plastic deformation and fresh martensite formation. This work demonstrates that residual stress evolution in FSW of martensitic armor steels is governed not primarily by peak temperature or thermal contraction, as inferred from fusion-welding analogies, but by the competition between transformation-induced volumetric expansion and tempering-induced stress relaxation. The relative dominance of these mechanisms is shown to depend on alloy hardenability and local thermal history, leading to more extensive HAZ softening and broader tensile stress regions in the lower-hardenability RHA steel. These findings establish a transferable mechanistic framework for optimizing solid-state joining strategies in high-strength steels and other transformation-hardening alloys beyond armor applications.

Friction stir welding↗
DOE OSTI2022

Machine Learning Models for Binary Molecular Classification using VUV Absorption Spectra

Machine learning methods were combined with differential absorption spectroscopy measurements in the vacuum-ultraviolet region (5.167 – 9.920 eV) in order to develop predictive capabilities for inferring molecular structure from the spectra. Several types of species were analyzed and, for modeling purposes, were defined using a single classification: (1) alkane, (2) conjugation with oxygen (e.g. diacetyl, ethyl vinyl ether), (3) non-conjugated alkene (e.g. 1-butene, 1,4-cyclohexadiene), (4) oxygen-containing (e.g. 1-butanol, tetrahydrofuran), or (5) cyclic (e.g. cyclopentane, cyclohexanone). The latter molecular classification excluded cyclic ethers. Several modeling methods were employed in the analysis of 102 absorption spectra, 24 of which were measured for the first time. The primary objective was to identify suitable methods that enable accurate predictions of molecular structure classifications with minimized statistical uncertainties. Rather than identifying a single, unifying method to reliably predict molecular structure contributions to VUV absorption spectra, coordination is required among a particular method, the type of molecular structure detail (e.g. conjugation), and absorption region of interest. The latter is accomplished using a binning approach, wherein absorption regions of ~0.5 eV were utilized rather than the entire ~4.8 eV range. Photon energy binning enabled analysis of region-specific predictions of accuracy, precision, and recall. The outcome from the binning approach is that, rather than utilizing the entire spectrum, optimal determination of molecular structure using machine learning methods depends on the absorption region. Furthermore, the present work provides separate machine learning models for each molecular classification, which enables the identification of multi-functional species relevant to atmospheric chemistry and combustion chemistry, where isomer-resolved speciation is critical to understanding complex reaction networks.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Seismic tomography of compressional wave velocity and attenuation structure for Makushin Volcano, Alaska

Located in the central portion of the Alaska-Aleutian subduction zone, Makushin Volcano is among the most active volcanoes in the United States and has been classified as a very high threat by the National Volcano Early Warning System based on its eruptive history and proximity to the City of Unalaska and international air routes. In 2015, five standalone seismic stations and three mini seismic arrays of 15 stations each were deployed on Unalaska Island to supplement the Alaska Volcano Observatory permanent seismic network. This temporary array was operational for one year. Taking advantage of the increased azimuthal coverage and the array's increased earthquake detection capability, we developed body-wave Vp and Vp/Vs seismic images of the velocity structure beneath the volcano. Our results show a complex structure with the upper 4 km of the crust. The shallow high-Vp features possibly delineate remnant magma pathways or conduits. Low-Vp regions are found east of the caldera at approximately 4–8 km depth. This is in agreement with previous seismic tomographic work and InSAR-based geodetic models, which had identified this region as a possible long-term source of magma. A three-dimensional compressional wave attenuation model complemented the velocity models. In general, we observe regions of corresponding low P-wave velocity and high attenuation east of the summit caldera between 5 and 7 km depth, supporting the presence of a melt-rich zone. The absolute Vp values (5.5–6.0 km/s) in this region are consistent with the presence of a magma body with a mafic signature. Here, we suggest that a triggering mechanism that involves mafic injections into a more evolved shallow magma chamber is representative of the current magmatic system below the volcano, similarly to what petrological studies have inferred for past eruptions.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Climatology of Melting Layer Heights Estimated From Cloud Radar Observations at Various Locations

A melting layer (ML) detection algorithm for cloud radar with polarimetric capability was developed and applied to the cloud radar data collected from five different sites around the world for several years. The retrieved melting layer top height (MLH) showed a very good correspondence with the ECMWF Reanalysis 5 zero degree level data for all five sites. The ML characteristics were distinctively different for different sites, revealing climatological characteristics of ML forming clouds in different regions. Generally, ML tended to occur more frequently in summer than in winter except for a maritime site, where low stratiform clouds formed frequently in summer, the top of which might be lower than the freezing level. In contrast, at two Arctic sites, ML occurred almost exclusively in summer because it was too cold to have an ML in the other seasons. The MLH also varied significantly from site to site but generally was higher during warmer seasons. Based on MLH, two new indices, bulk temperature lapse rate (BLR) and relative depth (RD) of liquid cloud below MLH (RD) were developed, which were useful to explain the environmental characteristics of the five sites. BLR generally increased with the surface temperature at all sites except at the marine site that showed an opposite trend, where a unique synoptic pattern in winter generated high BLR in this cold season. Finally, these findings confirm that studies on thermodynamic structures using cloud radars can be broadened, taking advantage of BLR and RD information, as these indices can represent environmental thermodynamic characteristics of the clouds that have ML.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

SciPy 1.0: fundamental algorithms for scientific computing in Python

SciPy is an open-source scientific computing library for the Python programming language. Since its initial release in 2001, SciPy has become a de facto standard for leveraging scientific algorithms in Python, with over 600 unique code contributors, thousands of dependent packages, over 100,000 dependent repositories and millions of downloads per year. In this work, we provide an overview of the capabilities and development practices of SciPy 1.0 and highlight some recent technical developments.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

3D simulations of vertical displacement events in tokamaks: A benchmark of M3D-C 1 , NIMROD, and JOREK

In recent years, the nonlinear 3D magnetohydrodynamic codes JOREK, M3D-C1, and NIMROD developed the capability of modeling realistic 3D vertical displacement events (VDEs) including resistive walls. In this paper, a comprehensive 3D VDE benchmark is presented between these state-of-the-art codes. The simulated case is based on an experimental NSTX plasma but with a simplified rectangular wall. There are differences between the physics models and numerical methods, and the VDE evolution leads to sensitivities on the initial conditions that cannot be avoided as can be done in edge localized modes (ELM) and sawtooth simulations (due to the non-cyclical nature of VDEs). Nonetheless, the comparison serves to quantify the level of agreement in the relevant quantities used to characterize disruptions, such as the 3D wall forces and energy decay. The results bring confidence regarding the use of the mentioned codes for disruption studies, and they distinguish aspects that are specific to the models used (e.g., reduced vs full MHD models). Here, the simulations show important 3D fea- tures for a NSTX plasma, such as the self-consistent evolution of the halo current and the origin of the wall forces. In contrast to other reduced MHD models based on an ordering in the aspect ratio, the ansatz-based JOREK reduced MHD model allows capturing many aspects of the 3D dynamics even in the spherical tokamak limit considered here.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Disruption avoidance via radio frequency current condensation in magnetic islands produced by off-normal events

This article discusses the use of radio frequency (RF) current drive to stabilize large islands, focusing on nonlinear effects that appear when relatively high powers are used to stabilize large islands. We are interested in developing a capability to stabilize large islands via RF driven currents to avoid the need for mitigation to the extent possible. As tokamaks are designed and built with increasing levels of stored energy in the plasma, disruptions become increasingly dangerous. It has been reported that 95% of the disruptions in the Joint European Torus tokamak with the ITER-like wall are preceded by the growth of large locked islands. These large islands are mostly produced by off-normal events other than neoclassical tearing modes. This paper presents theory and modeling for a nonlinear “RF current condensation” effect that can concentrate the RF driven current near the center of a large island, thereby increasing the efficiency of the stabilization. A nonlinear shadowing effect can hinder the stabilization of islands if the aiming of the ray trajectories does not properly consider the nonlinear effects.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

In situ TEM measurement of electrical properties of individual BaTiO 3 nanocubes

We report on the measurement of the electrical properties of individual pristine and doped BaTiO 3 nanocubes by using in situ transmission electron microscopy with a two-electrode configuration. The dimensions of the nanocubes tested are between 10 and 20 nm, which rendered their in situ electrical characterization challenging. We characterized 4%Cr and 5%La (atomic percentage) doped BaTiO 3 nanocubes and compared them with the properties of pristine BaTiO3 nanocubes synthesized by the same solvothermal method. We found that the resistance of all three types of nanocubes when displayed in log-scale shows a nearly linear dependence on the applied electric field (R2 ≥ 0.95) over a wide range of electric fields (50–900 kV/cm). Compared with pristine BaTiO 3 nanocubes, the resistance of both 4%Cr and 5%La doped nanocubes showed reduced variation rates with respect to the electric field, with 5%La doping, demonstrating a better reduction in the variation rate. By developing techniques capable of evaluating the properties of individual BaTiO 3 nanocubes, we expect that our work to open the door to the use of BaTiO 3 nanomaterials in the design of future multilayer ceramic capacitors with improved volumetric efficiency and ferroelectrics-enabled nanodevices with advanced functionality.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

On discriminating tokamak sawtooth crash models via localized density and temperature measurements

The core electron temperature drops rapidly during the sawtooth crash in tokamak plasmas, which causes heat loss and may lead to fast particle losses or even a disruption. Several models have been proposed for the periodic crash, including the Kadomtsev model with magnetic reconnection and the quasi-interchange model with the growth of higher-mode-number pressure-driven instabilities. 3D MHD simulations were performed for these two models with a goal to develop intuition and to predict qualitatively how different types of sawtooth will appear in various diagnostics. The structures of electron density ne and electron temperature Te show a dominant (1, 1) mode for the Kadomtsev case and a dominant (4, 4) mode for the quasi-interchange case. The oscillations of ne and Te have a positive correlation near the inversion layer for both cases, while their frequencies and amplitudes are different depending on the dominant modes. Particularly, for the Kadomtsev case, we find a relation between the amount of flux reconnected during a sawtooth event and ne or Te oscillations. Therefore, we connect recently developed measurement capabilities for ne and Te to the internal sawtooth behavior. We propose that this method of analysis can help in identifying the type of sawtooth in future experiments augmented by simulations.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗