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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 307 records · Page 17
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2017

Attribution of the July–August 2013 heat event in Central and Eastern China to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions

In the midsummer of 2013, Central and Eastern China (CEC) was hit by an extraordinary heat event, with the region experiencing the warmest July-August on record. To explore how human-induced greenhouse gas emissions and natural internal variability contributed to this heat event, we compare observed July-August mean surface air temperature wit h that simulated by climate models. We find that both atmospheric natural variability and anthropogenic factors contributed to this heat event. This extreme warm midsummer was associated with a positive high-pressure anomaly that was closely related to the stochastic behavior of atmospheric circulation. Diagnosis of CMIP5 models and large ensembles of two atmospheric models indicates that human influence has substantially increased the chance of warm mid-summers such as 2013 in CEC, although the exact estimated increase depends on the selection of climate models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Lost in translation: What we have learned from attributes that do not translate from Arabidopsis to other plants

Abstract Research in Arabidopsis thaliana has a powerful influence on our understanding of gene functions and pathways. However, not everything translates from Arabidopsis to crops and other plants. Here, a group of experts consider instances where translation has been lost and why such translation is not possible or is challenging. First, despite great efforts, floral dip transformation has not succeeded in other species outside Brassicaceae. Second, due to gene duplications and losses throughout evolution, it can be complex to establish which genes are orthologs of Arabidopsis genes. Third, during evolution Arabidopsis has lost arbuscular mycorrhizal symbiosis. Fourth, other plants have evolved specialized cell types that are not present in Arabidopsis. Fifth, similarly, C4 photosynthesis cannot be studied in Arabidopsis, which is a C3 plant. Sixth, many other plant species have larger genomes, which has given rise to innovations in transcriptional regulation that are not present in Arabidopsis. Seventh, phenotypes such as acclimation to water stress can be challenging to translate due to different measurement strategies. And eighth, while the circadian oscillator is conserved, there are important nuances in the roles of circadian regulators in crop plants. A key theme emerging across these vignettes is that even when translation is lost, insights can still be gained through comparison with Arabidopsis.

Biochemistry & Molecular Biology↗
DOE OSTI2020

A Study of Imbalance Levels Attributed to Photovoltaic Penetration in Distribution Systems

Abstract— The number of renewable sources, namely photovoltaics (PV), continues to grow within distribution systems. How placements impact a system’s performance remains a concern within both the research and the utility communities. Beyond system node voltages and real power losses, this work looks to industry standard imbalance metrics and the changes experienced on these values with varied levels of PV. Specifically, four imbalance metrics are presented and studied for an actual 906-bus distribution system. Multiple loading conditions and photovoltaic placement schemes are explored to compare the changes seen on these metrics across a variety of scenarios experienced by the network.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2017

The sensitivity of breeding songbirds to changes in seasonal timing is linked to population change but cannot be directly attributed to the effects of trophic asynchrony on productivity

Abstract A consequence of climate change has been an advance in the timing of seasonal events. Differences in the rate of advance between trophic levels may result in predators becoming mismatched with prey availability, reducing fitness and potentially driving population declines. Such “trophic asynchrony” is hypothesized to have contributed to recent population declines of long‐distance migratory birds in particular. Using spatially extensive survey data from 1983 to 2010 to estimate variation in spring phenology from 280 plant and insect species and the egg‐laying phenology of 21 British songbird species, we explored the effects of trophic asynchrony on avian population trends and potential underlying demographic mechanisms. Species which advanced their laying dates least over the last three decades, and were therefore at greatest risk of asynchrony, exhibited the most negative population trends. We expressed asynchrony as the annual variation in bird phenology relative to spring phenology, and related asynchrony to annual avian productivity. In warmer springs, birds were more asynchronous, but productivity was only marginally reduced; long‐distance migrants, short‐distance migrants and resident bird species all exhibited effects of similar magnitude. Long‐term population, but not productivity, declines were greatest among those species whose annual productivity was most greatly reduced by asynchrony. This suggests that population change is not mechanistically driven by the negative effects of asynchrony on productivity. The apparent effects of asynchrony on population trends are therefore either more likely to be strongly expressed via other demographic pathways, or alternatively, are a surrogate for species' sensitivity to other environmental pressures which are the ultimate cause of decline.

Franks, Samantha E.↗
DOE OSTI2020

Biomass increases attributed to both faster tree growth and altered allometric relationships under long‐term carbon dioxide enrichment at a temperate forest

Abstract Increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) concentrations are expected to lead to increases in the rate of tree biomass accumulation, at least temporarily. On the one hand, trees may simply grow faster under higher CO 2 concentrations, preserving the allometric relations that prevailed under lower CO 2 concentrations. Alternatively, the allometric relations themselves may change. In this study, the effects of elevated CO 2 (eCO 2 ) on tree biomass and allometric relations were jointly assessed. Over 100 trees, grown at Duke Forest, NC, USA, were harvested from eight plots. Half of the plots had been subjected to CO 2 enrichment from 1996 to 2010. Several subplots had also been subjected to nitrogen fertilization from 2005 to 2010. Allometric equations were developed to predict tree height, stem volume, and aboveground biomass components for loblolly pine ( Pinus taeda L.), the dominant tree species, and broad‐leaved species. Using the same diameter‐based allometric equations for biomass, it was estimated that plots with eCO 2 contained 21% more aboveground biomass, consistent with previous studies. However, eCO 2 significantly affected allometry, and these changes had an additional effect on biomass. In particular, P. taeda trees at a given diameter were observed to be taller under eCO 2 than under ambient CO 2 due to changes in both the allometric scaling exponent and intercept. Accounting for allometric change increased the treatment effect of eCO 2 on aboveground biomass from a 21% to a 27% increase. No allometric changes for the nondominant broad‐leaved species were identified, nor were allometric changes associated with nitrogen fertilization. For P. taeda , it is concluded that eCO 2 affects allometries, and that knowledge of allometry changes is necessary to accurately compute biomass under eCO 2 . Further observations are needed to determine whether this assessment holds for other taxa.

Kim, Dohyoung↗
DOE OSTI2022

Attributes of Bi-Directional Turbomachinery for Pumped Thermal Energy Storage

Abstract In this paper, we (i) present a methodology for determining the aerodynamic performance of bi-directional turbomachines for pumped thermal energy storage, i.e., turbomachines designed to operate as a compressor in one direction, and then as a turbine in the opposite direction, (ii) carry out performance computations for such turbomachines, and (iii) propose principles for conceptual design of these devices. Focus is placed on using the energy storage cycle not only to identify the novel requirements placed on bi-directional turbomachines but also to estimate the effect of these requirements on the efficiency of the energy storage process. In particular, the difference between aerodynamic loading in forward and in backward operation causes the blading to work at incidences leading to the performance below maximum efficiency, resulting in a lower round-trip efficiency. The description of the design principles includes determination of the number of stages, definition of nondimensional parameters for blading selection, and optimization of two-dimensional blading for bi-directional operation. The assessment of stage count shows the relationship between relative Mach number, pressure ratio, and round-trip efficiency. The nondimensional parameters are assessed through a bi-directional analogue to existing “Smith charts,” for the efficiency of single-direction turbomachines, as a function of camber and stagger. The blade shape evaluation and optimization show how the blade profile can be modified to address the requirements of a bi-directional turbomachine, enabling an increase in round-trip efficiency of two percentage points compared to a baseline double circular arc configuration.

Engineering↗
DOE OSTI2023

Machine Learning for Daily Forecasts of Arctic Sea Ice Motion: An Attribution Assessment of Model Predictive Skill

Physics-based simulations of Arctic sea ice are highly complex, involving transport between different phases, length scales, and time scales. Resultantly, numerical simulations of sea ice dynamics have a high computational cost and model uncertainty. We employ data-driven machine learning (ML) to make predictions of sea ice motion. The ML models are built to predict present-day sea ice velocity given present-day wind velocity and previous-day sea ice concentration and velocity. Models are trained using reanalysis winds and satellite-derived sea ice properties. We compare the predictions of three different models: persistence (PS), linear regression (LR), and a convolutional neural network (CNN). We quantify the spatiotemporal variability of the correlation between observations and the statistical model predictions. Additionally, we analyze model performance in comparison to variability in properties related to ice motion (wind velocity, ice velocity, ice concentration, distance from coast, bathymetric depth) to understand the processes related to decreases in model performance. Results indicate that a CNN makes skillful predictions of daily sea ice velocity with a correlation up to 0.81 between predicted and observed sea ice velocity, while the LR and PS implementations exhibit correlations of 0.78 and 0.69, respectively. The correlation varies spatially and seasonally: lower values occur in shallow coastal regions and during times of minimum sea ice extent. LR parameter analysis indicates that wind velocity plays the largest role in predicting sea ice velocity on 1-day time scales, particularly in the central Arctic. Regions where wind velocity has the largest LR parameter are regions where the CNN has higher predictive skill than the LR.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2018

Erroneous Attribution of Deep Convective Invigoration to Aerosol Concentration

Abstract Contiguous time–height cloud objects at the Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement Southern Great Plains (SGP) site are matched with surface condensation nuclei (CN) concentrations and retrieved thermodynamic and kinematic vertical profiles for warm-cloud-base, cold-cloud-top systems in convectively unstable environments. Statistical analyses show that previously published conclusions that increasing CN concentrations cause a decrease in minimum cloud-top temperature (CTT) at the SGP site through the aerosol convective invigoration effect are unfounded. The CN–CTT relationship is statistically insignificant, while correlations between convective available potential energy (CAPE), level of neutral buoyancy (LNB), and CN concentration account for most of the change in the CN–CTT positive correlation. Removal of clouds with minimum CTTs > −36°C from the analysis eliminates the CN–CTT correlation. Composited dirty conditions at the SGP have ~1°C-warmer low levels and ~1°C-cooler upper levels than clean conditions. This correlation between aerosol concentrations and thermodynamic profiles may be caused by an increase in regional rainfall preceding deep convective conditions as CN concentration decreases. Increased rainfall can be expected to increase wet deposition of aerosols, cool low-level temperatures, and warm upper-level temperatures. The masking of a potential aerosol effect by such small thermodynamic changes implies that the strategy of analyzing subsets of aerosol data by binned meteorological factor values is not a valid method for discerning an aerosol effect in some situations. These findings highlight the need for more careful, detailed, and strategic observations to confidently isolate and quantify an aerosol deep convective invigoration effect.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Spatial and temporal trends and variabilities of hailstones in the United States Northern Great Plains and their possible attributions

Following on our study of hail for the Southern Great Plains (SGP), we investigated the spatial and temporal hail trends and variabilities for the Northern Great Plains (NGP) and the contributing factors for summer seasons (June–August) over 2004–2016 using two independent hail datasets. Both severe hail (1 < diameter = 2 inches) and significant severe hail (diameter > 2 inches) were examined and similar results were obtained. The hailstones in the NGP demonstrate a large interannual variability, with an overall increasing trend over 2004–2016. Spatially, the positive trend is mainly located in the western part of South Dakota and North Dakota. We find the three major dynamical factors that most likely contribute to the hail interannual variability in the NGP are the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), North Atlantic subtropical high (NASH), and low-level jet (LLJ). With a thermodynamical variable integrated water vapor transport (IVT) that is strongly controlled by LLJ, the four factors can explain 76% of the hail interannual variability from the hail reports based on the multivariate linear regression. Hail occurrences are 73% higher during the cold phase of ENSO (La Nin~a) than the warm phase of ENSO (El Nin~o). When the NASH has a larger northwestward expansion or stronger intensity, more hail occurs over the NGP, because the increases of latitudinal gradient of pressure leads to a stronger LLJ. Interestingly, the important factors impacting hail interannual variability over the NGP are quite different from those for the SGP, except ENSO.

Jeong, Jong-Hoon↗
DOE OSTI2017

Developing methodologies for source attribution: glass phase separation in Trinitite using NF3

This study details thermal reactions between glasses, common minerals, and Trinitite post-detonation material with the fluorinating agent nitrogen trifluoride (NF3). The ultimate goal of our investigation is to develop a relatively rapid method for the effective separation of bomb components from complex matrices resulting from a nuclear explosion. Trinitite samples, silicate minerals (quartz; plagioclase and microcline), amorphous SiO2, calcite, a natural glass (obsidian), and two synthetic glasses were characterized extensively before and after the fluorination to fully understand the effects of the NF3 thermal treatment. Samples were reacted with NF3 using a combined thermogravimetric (TG) differential thermal analysis (DTA) unit, as well as in a stainless steel bomb reactor connected to a fluorination line. Subsequent to the NF3 treatment, samples were imaged by scanning electron microscopy in order to document changes in grain size and morphology.

Koeman, Elizabeth C.↗